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CPFL Energias RenováveisMiguel Abdalla Saad
CEO of CPFL Renováveis
Disclaimer
This presentation may contain statements that represent expectations about future events or results according to Brazilian and international securities regulators. These statements are based on certain assumptions and analysis made by the Company pursuant to its experience and the economic environment and market conditions and expected future events, many of which are beyond the Company's control. Important factors that could lead to significant differences between actual results and expectations about future events or results include the Company's business strategy. Brazilian and international economic conditions, technology, financial strategy, developments in the utilities industry, hydrological conditions, financial market conditions, uncertainty regarding the results of future operations, plans, objectives, expectations and intentions, among others. Considering these factors, the Company's actual results may differ materially from those indicated or implied in forward-looking statements about future events or results.
The information and opinions contained herein should not be construed as a recommendation to potential investors and no investment decision should be based on the truthfulness, timeliness or completeness of such information or opinions. None of the advisors to the company or parties related to them or their representatives shall be liable for any losses that may result from the use or contents of this presentation.
This material includes forward-looking statements subject to risks and uncertainties, which are based on current expectations and projections about future events and trends that may affect the Company's business.
These statements may include projections of economic growth, demand, energy supply, as well as information about its competitive position, the regulatory environment, potential growth opportunities and other matters. Many factors could adversely affect the estimates and assumptions on which these statements are based.
Agenda
Renewable Energy in Brazil
CPFL Renováveis
Operational Performance
PM 579
Agenda
Renewable Energy in Brazil
CPFL Renováveis
Operational Performance
PM 579
Renewable Energy with a high potential for growth
Source: ANEEL; PDE 2021 and the Company; 1) Projected for 2021
Forecast for growth in renewable energy in Brazil at a CAGR of 8.5%, from 13.7 GW in 2011 to 36.1 GW in 2021, in a highly fragmented market
Potential to be developed in Brazil Highly Fragmented Market
Market Share of Renewable Energy in Brazil based on energy (18 GW)
Evolution in Installed Capacityby Source | GW
2011 2021
Hydro Natural gas Others Renewables
182
116
CAGR = +4.6%
The Renewable Energy segment still represents a small share (~12% of domestic Generation capacity)
Distribution of installed capacity by energy source and region, 2011 (%)
Others(2)
8.9 GWNatural Gas10.2 GW
Hydro(1)
83.6 GW
Renewables13.7 GW
SHPP4.6 GW
Biomass7.8 GW
Wind1.4 GW
Although wind energy represents only 10% of the installed capacity of renewable sources, this source will reach 9.4 GW in 2016 – considering the projects contracted
Source: Ten Year Energy Plan, PDE 2021.(1) Hydro includes energy imported from Itaipu. (2) Others: Uranium, coal, fuel oil, diesel oil and process gas
1.500kW
1.800kW80m
3.000kW
100m
70m
750kW50m
30m300kW
75kW17m
1980 -1990
1990 -1995
1995 -2000
2000 -2005
2000 -2005
20100
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
Rotor Diameter (m) Rating (kW)
Altura(m
)Brazil has exceptional wind conditions in addition to benefiting from technological change
Differentiated position for wind energy in Brazil due to exceptional natural wind conditions combined with recent advances in technology
Area89%
Area95%
Area99%
Wind characteristics in Brazil are better suited for energy generation
Significant technological advances in recent years
+ +
Comparison of load factors for wind farms in Brazil and the world
The combination of superior tailor-made technology for a country with favorable wind conditions allows Brazil to present the largest capacity factors in the world
1) Rate of efficiency with smaller turbines. These models do not exist nor are they being built in Brazil. Net efficiency rate – disconsiders aerodynamic and electrical losses and unavailability; 2) Simulation by CPFL Renováveis based on wind certifications. Net efficiency rate – disconsiders aerodynamic and electrical losses and unavailability.
Power curve by technology and by geography
Case StudySIIF Wind Farms
24% - 30% 25% - 36% 33.8%1Older Equip. :
37.0% 42.2% 49.2% (2009-2011) | 53.2% (2011-2012)Current Equip.:
Load factors
39.24% 39.61%51.30%²
Positive factors favor renewable energy sources
Source: Company; 1) Taxes on earnings
The renewable energy segment in Brazil enjoys benefits that maximize returns and are sustainable in the long term
Agenda
Renewable energy in Brazil
CPFL Renováveis
Operational Performance
PM 579
Overview of CPFL Renováveis
1) Includes the completion of 7 (seven) wind farms in Santa Clara Complex, a total of 188 MW that are already capable of generating energy and receiving revenues related to the contracted at the Reserve Energy Auction (LER) held in 2009 – dependent of the completion of the construction of the ICG (Installation of the Private Interest Transmission Line for Generation under Shared Connection).
2) Highly reliable projects are those that are ready to sell energy and have a prior environmental license and concluded technical studies. Probable projects are those that will be ready to sell energy within the next 2 – 3 years and have received technical approval from ANEEL. Possible projects are those that will be ready to sell energy within 4 – 5 years and have preliminary study approval from ANEEL.
Pipeline(2) TotalContracted Installed Capacity (MW)
In operation1 2013 2015 Assets with PPA
Highly Reliable Probably Possible Total
SHPP
Wind
Biomass
Solar
# 1 in Renewable Energy in Brazil with 1.7 GW of capacity contracted
Capability of developing 3.0 GW in high quality pipeline
Track Record
1) The difference between total contracted energy of 1,735 MW and 1,611 MW (under construction + acquisitions) is due to some SHPPs previously owned by CPFL Energia
Leadership with a Diversified, High Quality Portfolio
Source: Company and BIG – Generation Information Bank – ANEEL; 1) Will be operational by the end of 2015
In operation:
Hydro
Wind
Biomass
Under construction:
Hydro
Wind
Biomass
Wind Energy PortfolioGood location because of the quality of the winds
SHPP PortfolioAbundant water
resources
Biomass Portfolio close to centers of production of sugarcane
Wind potential (Northeast and South Regions)
Solar
Geographic diversification of Sources Large Scale and the Only Player with diversified Sources in the Renewable Energy Sector1Installed Capacity
Total: 1,735 MW
SHPP
Wind
Biomass
Solar
SHPP
Wind
Biomass
Solar
SHPP potential (Southeast and Center-West Regions)
Ipê Pedra Santa Clara
• Source: Biomass
• Installed Capacity:
25MW
• Contracted Energy:
8.2MW
• Operation: May
2012
• Source: Biomass
• Installed Capacity:
70MW
• Contracted Energy:
24.4MW
• Operation: May 2012
• Source: Wind
• Installed Capacity:
188MW
• Contracted Energy:
75.8MW
• Operation: July
2012(1)
In 2012 CPFL Renováveis concluded the construction of 4 assets, and 284 MW of installed capacity in
operation were added to the portfolio
(1) These facilities are ready to operate and generate energy but are waiting for the construction of the ICG to be concluded before beginning operations. The Company is receiving the revenues related to the contracted energy in the Reserve Energy Auction (LER) of 2009
(2) PPA from Jan/2013 through Dec/2037
Projects concluded in 2012
• Source: Solar
• Installed Capacity:
1.1MW
• Contracted Energy:
0.19MW (2)
• Operation:
November 2012
Tanquinho
Bons VentosComplex
Atlântica Complex
Ester Power Plant
• Source: Wind
• In Operation
• Installed Capacity: 157.5
MW
• Contracted Energy: 62.8
MW
• Closing of the Operation:
June/2012
• Source: Wind
• Under Construction
• Installed Capacity: 120
MW
• Contracted Energy: 52.7
MW
• Closing of the Operation:
March/2012
318 MW in projects under construction or in operation were acquired in 2012
Acquisitions concluded in 2012
• Source: Biomass
• In Operation
• Installed Capacity: 40 MW
• Contracted Energy: 7.0
MW
• Closing of the Operation:
October/2012
Other Assets in Operation
Ninho da Águia – MG (10 MW)
Americana – SP (30 MW)
Baia Formosa– RN (40 MW) Icaraizinho– CE (55 MW)
Bio Buriti – SP (50 MW) Paracuru – CE (25 MW)
Biomass WindSHPP
� Commercial start up in 1H13 | 120 MW/47 MW average
Projects under construction
Alvorada TPP
Coopcana TPP
Salto Góes SPP
(e) (MW) (MWavg) (e)
1Q13 20 11.1BNDES funding(63% debt /37% equity)
Alternative Sources Auction
Aug/10
2Q13 50 18.0
BNDES funding(approved, in contracting process)
Free Market
2Q13 50 18.0
BNDES funding(approved, in contracting process)
Free Market
49% concluded
46% concluded
96% concluded
� Commercial start up in 2H13 | 228 MW/105 MW average
Projects Under Construction (Cont.)
Macacos I wind farm1
Atlântica wind farm2
(e) (MW) (MWavg) (e)
3Q13 78,2 37.5BNDES funding(under review)
AlternativeSources Auction
Aug/10
3Q13 30 15.0BNDES funding(under review)
Reserve Auction Aug/10
3Q13 120 52.7BNDES funding(under review)
Alternative Sources Auction
2010
23% concluded
9% concluded
37% concluded
Campo dos Ventos II
� Commercial start-up in 2015 | 254 MW/129 MW average
1) Campo dos Ventos I, III, V 2) Ventos de São Benedito, Ventos de Santo Dimas, Santa Mônica, Santa Úrsula, São Domingos and Ventos de São Martinho
Projects Under Construction (Cont.)
(e) (MW) (MWavg) (e)
1Q15 82.0 40.2BNDES funding(under review)
Free market
3Q15 172.0 89.0BNDES funding(under review)
Free market
9% concluded
8% concluded
Agenda
Renewable Energy in Brazil
CPFL Renováveis
Operational Performance
PM 579
Performance of CPFL Renováveis’ Generation of Wind Energy
Source: Company; (1) Last 12 months beginning Nov/11
CPFL Renováveis already has a history of high efficiency.Real output over the last 12 months is greater than the certified load factor.
SiiF
wind farm
sBonsVentoswind farm
s
Certified Load Factor Real UDM Load Factor1 Rate of Efficiency Consolidated UDM Real Load Factor 1
Performance of Hydro Power Generation of CPFL Renováveis
(1) Last 12 months beginning Nov/11
2012 recorded rainfall levels that were much lower than the historical average. Nevertheless, our SHPPs were part of the MRE, mitigating the impact.
Physical Guarantee (MWavg) Generated energy (MWavg)1 Efficiency
Expected Nov - Dec/12 (MWavg)
September/2011
October/2011
May/2012
May/2012
October/2012 (incorporation)
• Adjustments in the steam production at Bio Pedra TPP at the beginning of the harvest; and
• The drought in the Northeast Region, which affected the production of bagasse at Bio Formosa.
In both cases the effects were mitigated: in Bio Pedra with a lower capex, and in Baia Formosa through contractual protection.
Performance of Biomass Generation of CPFL Renováveis
(1) Does not include Ester Plant (2) Accumulated through October/2012 (3) Estimated through December 31, 2012
Physical guarantee (MWmed)
Generated Energy (MWavg)2
Efficiency Rate
Thermoelectric power plants powered by biomass have a total installed capacity of 270 MW in operation
59.1(3)
Agenda
Renewable Energy in Brazil
CPFL Renováveis
Operational Performance
PM 579
• Our first concessions expire in 2027 (58.6 MW average)
• Authorizations expire between 2029 and 2046
• Reductions in the price of re-contracted energy (which does not affect
current PPAs)
• Uncertainties about the renewal of concessions and authorizations
Impact of PM 579 on CPFL Renováveis
Provisional Measure 579, published by the Federal Government on
September 11, 2012, will not bring significant impact on CPFL Renováveis
CPFL Energias RenováveisMiguel Abdalla Saad
CEO of CPFL Renováveis