environmental impact assessment (msm3208) lecture notes 5-scoping investigation

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    Scoping Aquatic Ecological Investigations in

    EIA: Matching Experimental Designs to

    Environmental Challenges

    Great Barrier Reef Marine Park Authority, 5-8-04

    Marcus Lincoln-Smith

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    Major Stages of EIA:

    1. EIA approvals Predictive

    Measures existing environmental indictors Measures existing impacts (e.g. other activities; upgrades)

    2. EIA post-approval Tests predictions

    Measures environmental indicators Distinguishes pre-existing impacts and natural variation from

    new disturbance Audit of process (rarely)

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    Pre-Approval: Levels of

    Investigation

    Level 1. a. Existing information & consultation

    (jetty upgrade) b. Location description and habitat inventory

    Level 2. a & b.

    (maintenance c. Quantitative spatial only (dev loc; 2 controls)

    dredging)

    Level 3. a & b.

    (small resort c1. Quantitative space/ time (dev loc; 2 refs + 2 t)

    tertiary ofall)

    Level 4. a, b & c1.

    (major port) d. Issue-oriented or process studies (e.g.

    ecological manipulations, modeling)

    Increasing c

    ost;increa s

    ing

    confiden

    ce

    Note: large projects: Levels 3 or 4 oftencheaper

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    Post-Approval - Monitoring

    Level 1 Surveillance monitoringHypotheses usually not stated

    Often open ended (nothing to compare against)

    Application: generate hypotheses?

    Level 2 Compliance monitoring

    Hypotheses can be stated, but often not

    Compare results to standard (ANZECC;

    rapid assessments)

    Difficult to relate to ecology and/or specific location

    Application: early warning (often only big effects apparent)

    Level 3 Effects monitoring (e.g. Beyond-BACI/Gradient)

    Hypotheses clearly stated

    Results compared to control (baseline) conditions

    Application: the only real way to measure impacts compared

    to natural variation

    Increa

    sing

    cost;

    increasing

    confid e

    nce

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    Case 1: Uptake of nitrogen isotope in macroalgae,

    South Coast outfalls. Client: Shoalhaven Council

    15 N = N15 /N14 * 1000indicator of anthropogenic source of nutrients

    Kelp (Ecklonia radiata) Bubble weed (Phyllospora comosa)

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    Crookhaven Heads

    Penguin Head

    Kinghorn Point

    Scale (km)

    Pacific Ocean

    Moona Moona

    Plantation Point

    Hyams Beach

    N

    Jervis Bay

    Gerroa

    Coastal location

    Bay location (Marine Park)

    SydneyJervis Bay

    Jervis Bay Region

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    Location

    Site (Location)

    Species

    Plants(=replicate)

    Shoalhaven Coast Jervis Bay

    Penguin

    Head

    Kinghorn

    PointCrookhaven

    Head

    Plantation

    Point

    Hyams

    Beach

    Moona

    Moona

    Kelp

    4 4

    Bubble

    Weed

    Kelp

    4 4

    Bubble

    Weed

    South Coast Outfalls Design Tree

    ANOVA: Main effects = Location, Site (Location), Species Interactions = Loc x Species; Site (Loc) x

    Species

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    **

    **

    Coast Jervis Bay

    PH PPKP CH MM HB

    Me

    anvalueof

    15N

    (1SE)

    3

    6

    9

    12

    Sites within Locations

    (averaged across species of algae)

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    ****

    Meanvalueof

    15N

    (1SE)

    3

    6

    9

    12 Jervis Bay

    Coast

    Kelp Bubble Weed

    Comparison of locations for each species (across sites)

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    South Coast Outfalls: Conclusions

    1. Greater 15 N in macroalgae near outfalls than controls under pre-

    existing treatment of effluent

    2. Greater 15 N in either species of macroalgae from Jervis

    Bay than coastal samples

    Management Implications:

    Existing impact identified used as basis for monitoring the successof effluent upgrade Enabled setting of performance criteria on basis of reduction in 15 N Upgrade has occurred & levels of 15 N have decreased as

    predicted

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    Case 2: Bioaccumulation of contaminants in oysters in the

    Hunter River, central NSW. Client: BHP Billiton

    BHP Steelworks

    Oyster zone

    Shoreline, South Arm

    Lincoln-Smith & Cooper (2004): MPB, 48: 873 - 883

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    Can be used to identify the extent of an impact

    M

    eanconcent r

    atio

    n(+/-SE

    )

    ofconta

    minantintestor g

    anism

    Distance from point source ( x 100 m)

    Putative

    background

    Gradient Approach Use linear regression

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    1 km

    N

    Upstream

    Downstream

    Sampling in Hunter

    Estuary (Newcastle)

    5* = Putative

    background

    sites (BG)

    Intervals = 500 m

    n = 5 oyster composites/site

    Sydney

    Newcastle

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    1 2 3 4 5 6123456

    SWUpstream Downstream

    0.2

    0.6

    1.0Lead

    U/S: -ve ***; r2 = 0.90

    D/S: -ve ***; r2 = 0.81

    Meanc o

    ncentrationm

    g/kg,ww(n

    =5,

    1

    SE)

    1 2 3 4 5 6123456

    SWUpstream Downstream

    2

    4

    6 All PAHs U/S: -ve ***; r2 = 0.70

    D/S: -ve ***; r2 = 0.93

    Copper

    1 2 3 4 5 6123456

    SWUpstream Downstream

    20

    60

    100 U/S: 0 ns; r2 = 0.09

    D/S: +ve **; r2 = 0.31

    Gradient Effects:

    regressions

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    A1 A2 B1 B2P1 P2 B1 B2

    Reference

    Estuaries

    Impact

    Estuary

    Point Source vs Putative Background

    vs References

    Meanconce

    ntration(+/-SE)

    ofcontaminanti n

    testor g

    anism

    To identify the presence & magnitude

    of an impact & infer estuary-wide effects

    P1, 2 = Point source;

    B1, 2 = Putative background

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    33 35 S

    151 15 E

    C. Hawkesbury

    A. Pt Stephens

    152 05 E

    152 46 E

    32 55 S

    1 km

    N

    B. Hunter

    sSydney

    v A

    v C

    v B

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    Meanc

    oncentrationm g

    /kg,ww(n

    =5,

    1SE)

    SW BG PS HW

    Hunter References

    1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2

    0.2

    0.6

    1.0

    Lead*

    All PAHs

    2

    4

    6

    SW BG PS HWHunter References

    1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2

    *

    Copper

    20

    40

    80

    *

    **

    *

    SW BG PS HW

    Hunter References

    1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2

    Multi-scale Effects:

    ANOVA

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    Newcastle: Conclusions

    1. Strong negative gradients indicated Steelworks as a point

    source of some bioavailable contaminants (e.g. lead, PAHs)

    2. Gradient approach also identified other potential point

    sources (e.g. copper)

    3. Use of external references enabled measure of background

    conditions

    Management Implications:

    Knowledge of sources of bioavailable contaminants helped focus

    on specific area of concern (i.e. steelworks) Justified and reinforced closure of specific area of the estuary to

    consumption of wild oysters

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    Shallow terrace habitat (0 3.5 m) Deep slope habitat (15 22 m)

    Case 3: Testing the effectiveness of a marine protected

    area to replenish harvested invertebrates.

    Client:GBRMPA & ACIAR; Collaborators: World Fish Centre; TNC; SIF.(Lincoln-Smith et al. (2000), Proceedings 9th ICRS, Bali: 621626 & GBRMPA Res. Pub. 69)

    EIA in reverse looking at the effects of removing an impact (i.e. fishing)

    Target species: trochus (top shell), sea cucumbers and giant clams

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    N e wG e o r g i a

    G u a d a l c a n a l

    R u s s e l lI s l a n d s

    F l o r i d a I s l a n d s

    C h o i s e u l

    S a n t a I s a b e l

    M a l a i t a

    G i z o

    H o n i a r a

    1 0 0 k m

    S o l o m o n I s l a7 S

    o

    9 So

    1 5 7 Eo

    1 5 9 Eo

    1 6 1 Eo

    Arnavon IslandsParticipating communities

    Reference groups formonitoring invertebrates

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    Group

    Island

    Site

    Transect(=replicate)

    1 2

    Arnavons.........Ref 1............Ref 2...........Ref 3

    Whagena Ysabel Suavanao

    66 66

    5 6 7 8

    Two habitats sampled: Shallow reef terrace (0-3.5m), Deep slope (15-22m)

    1 2 3 4

    6 6 66

    Analysis of data: Asymmetrical ANOVA (Winer et al. '91, Underwood '93)

    Temporal components: Before (3 surveys 1995), After (3 surveys 1998/9)

    Spatial components:

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    Numb

    erper100m

    2

    0

    0.2

    0.4

    0.6

    0.8

    Arnavon

    Waghe

    na

    Ysabe

    l

    Suavan

    aoBefore

    After

    Trochus niloticus

    (av. across sites)

    Shallow habitat

    Group

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    0.0

    0.4

    0.8

    1.2

    1.6

    2.0

    0.0

    0.4

    0.8

    1.2

    1.6

    2.0Arnavon Waghena

    Ysabel Suavanao

    1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16

    17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32

    Number

    per100m

    2

    Trochus niloticus

    Site

    Before

    After

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    1

    2

    3

    0

    Numberper250m

    2

    Arna

    von

    Waghe

    na

    Ys

    abel

    Suavan

    ao

    Total holothurians

    Group (av. across sites)

    Deep habitat

    BeforeAfter

    Tridacna maxima

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    0

    1

    2

    3

    Arna

    von

    Wagh

    ena

    Ysab

    el

    Suavan

    ao

    Num

    berper100m

    2

    Tridacna maxima

    (av. across sites)

    Shallow habitat

    Before

    After

    Group

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    Arnavons MCA: Conclusions

    1. Successful replenishment of trochus

    2. Maintenance of abundance of holothurians in MCA despite

    probable ongoing exploitation outside

    3. Use of reference areas identified large-scale natural (?) patterns

    (e.g. giant clam)

    Management Implications:

    Different times likely to be required for different species Marine reserve may not be the most appropriate form of

    management for some species Its as important to know what is happening outside a reserve as

    whats happening inside

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    Use of experimental

    design in EIA

    2. Pre- Approval Phase: Good designs improve predictions of effects and generation of

    hypotheses Can be used as the Before part of effects monitoring But, need to allocate adequate time for study & evaluation (both often

    rushed)

    1. Appropriate experimental designs can and should be used to improve

    the reliability of decision making in EIA (design trees really help)

    3. Post-Approval Phase:

    Surveillance & compliance monitoring can be inexpensive, but mightidentify only a big (obvious) effect when its too late or expensive to fix.

    Effects monitoring Measures natural variation Provides baseline for future comparisons Drawback need to have controls available