environmental impact assessment (msm3208) lecture notes 5-scoping investigation
TRANSCRIPT
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Scoping Aquatic Ecological Investigations in
EIA: Matching Experimental Designs to
Environmental Challenges
Great Barrier Reef Marine Park Authority, 5-8-04
Marcus Lincoln-Smith
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Major Stages of EIA:
1. EIA approvals Predictive
Measures existing environmental indictors Measures existing impacts (e.g. other activities; upgrades)
2. EIA post-approval Tests predictions
Measures environmental indicators Distinguishes pre-existing impacts and natural variation from
new disturbance Audit of process (rarely)
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Pre-Approval: Levels of
Investigation
Level 1. a. Existing information & consultation
(jetty upgrade) b. Location description and habitat inventory
Level 2. a & b.
(maintenance c. Quantitative spatial only (dev loc; 2 controls)
dredging)
Level 3. a & b.
(small resort c1. Quantitative space/ time (dev loc; 2 refs + 2 t)
tertiary ofall)
Level 4. a, b & c1.
(major port) d. Issue-oriented or process studies (e.g.
ecological manipulations, modeling)
Increasing c
ost;increa s
ing
confiden
ce
Note: large projects: Levels 3 or 4 oftencheaper
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Post-Approval - Monitoring
Level 1 Surveillance monitoringHypotheses usually not stated
Often open ended (nothing to compare against)
Application: generate hypotheses?
Level 2 Compliance monitoring
Hypotheses can be stated, but often not
Compare results to standard (ANZECC;
rapid assessments)
Difficult to relate to ecology and/or specific location
Application: early warning (often only big effects apparent)
Level 3 Effects monitoring (e.g. Beyond-BACI/Gradient)
Hypotheses clearly stated
Results compared to control (baseline) conditions
Application: the only real way to measure impacts compared
to natural variation
Increa
sing
cost;
increasing
confid e
nce
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Case 1: Uptake of nitrogen isotope in macroalgae,
South Coast outfalls. Client: Shoalhaven Council
15 N = N15 /N14 * 1000indicator of anthropogenic source of nutrients
Kelp (Ecklonia radiata) Bubble weed (Phyllospora comosa)
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Crookhaven Heads
Penguin Head
Kinghorn Point
Scale (km)
Pacific Ocean
Moona Moona
Plantation Point
Hyams Beach
N
Jervis Bay
Gerroa
Coastal location
Bay location (Marine Park)
SydneyJervis Bay
Jervis Bay Region
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Location
Site (Location)
Species
Plants(=replicate)
Shoalhaven Coast Jervis Bay
Penguin
Head
Kinghorn
PointCrookhaven
Head
Plantation
Point
Hyams
Beach
Moona
Moona
Kelp
4 4
Bubble
Weed
Kelp
4 4
Bubble
Weed
South Coast Outfalls Design Tree
ANOVA: Main effects = Location, Site (Location), Species Interactions = Loc x Species; Site (Loc) x
Species
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**
**
Coast Jervis Bay
PH PPKP CH MM HB
Me
anvalueof
15N
(1SE)
3
6
9
12
Sites within Locations
(averaged across species of algae)
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****
Meanvalueof
15N
(1SE)
3
6
9
12 Jervis Bay
Coast
Kelp Bubble Weed
Comparison of locations for each species (across sites)
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South Coast Outfalls: Conclusions
1. Greater 15 N in macroalgae near outfalls than controls under pre-
existing treatment of effluent
2. Greater 15 N in either species of macroalgae from Jervis
Bay than coastal samples
Management Implications:
Existing impact identified used as basis for monitoring the successof effluent upgrade Enabled setting of performance criteria on basis of reduction in 15 N Upgrade has occurred & levels of 15 N have decreased as
predicted
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Case 2: Bioaccumulation of contaminants in oysters in the
Hunter River, central NSW. Client: BHP Billiton
BHP Steelworks
Oyster zone
Shoreline, South Arm
Lincoln-Smith & Cooper (2004): MPB, 48: 873 - 883
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Can be used to identify the extent of an impact
M
eanconcent r
atio
n(+/-SE
)
ofconta
minantintestor g
anism
Distance from point source ( x 100 m)
Putative
background
Gradient Approach Use linear regression
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1 km
N
Upstream
Downstream
Sampling in Hunter
Estuary (Newcastle)
5* = Putative
background
sites (BG)
Intervals = 500 m
n = 5 oyster composites/site
Sydney
Newcastle
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1 2 3 4 5 6123456
SWUpstream Downstream
0.2
0.6
1.0Lead
U/S: -ve ***; r2 = 0.90
D/S: -ve ***; r2 = 0.81
Meanc o
ncentrationm
g/kg,ww(n
=5,
1
SE)
1 2 3 4 5 6123456
SWUpstream Downstream
2
4
6 All PAHs U/S: -ve ***; r2 = 0.70
D/S: -ve ***; r2 = 0.93
Copper
1 2 3 4 5 6123456
SWUpstream Downstream
20
60
100 U/S: 0 ns; r2 = 0.09
D/S: +ve **; r2 = 0.31
Gradient Effects:
regressions
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A1 A2 B1 B2P1 P2 B1 B2
Reference
Estuaries
Impact
Estuary
Point Source vs Putative Background
vs References
Meanconce
ntration(+/-SE)
ofcontaminanti n
testor g
anism
To identify the presence & magnitude
of an impact & infer estuary-wide effects
P1, 2 = Point source;
B1, 2 = Putative background
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33 35 S
151 15 E
C. Hawkesbury
A. Pt Stephens
152 05 E
152 46 E
32 55 S
1 km
N
B. Hunter
sSydney
v A
v C
v B
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Meanc
oncentrationm g
/kg,ww(n
=5,
1SE)
SW BG PS HW
Hunter References
1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2
0.2
0.6
1.0
Lead*
All PAHs
2
4
6
SW BG PS HWHunter References
1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2
*
Copper
20
40
80
*
**
*
SW BG PS HW
Hunter References
1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2
Multi-scale Effects:
ANOVA
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Newcastle: Conclusions
1. Strong negative gradients indicated Steelworks as a point
source of some bioavailable contaminants (e.g. lead, PAHs)
2. Gradient approach also identified other potential point
sources (e.g. copper)
3. Use of external references enabled measure of background
conditions
Management Implications:
Knowledge of sources of bioavailable contaminants helped focus
on specific area of concern (i.e. steelworks) Justified and reinforced closure of specific area of the estuary to
consumption of wild oysters
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Shallow terrace habitat (0 3.5 m) Deep slope habitat (15 22 m)
Case 3: Testing the effectiveness of a marine protected
area to replenish harvested invertebrates.
Client:GBRMPA & ACIAR; Collaborators: World Fish Centre; TNC; SIF.(Lincoln-Smith et al. (2000), Proceedings 9th ICRS, Bali: 621626 & GBRMPA Res. Pub. 69)
EIA in reverse looking at the effects of removing an impact (i.e. fishing)
Target species: trochus (top shell), sea cucumbers and giant clams
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N e wG e o r g i a
G u a d a l c a n a l
R u s s e l lI s l a n d s
F l o r i d a I s l a n d s
C h o i s e u l
S a n t a I s a b e l
M a l a i t a
G i z o
H o n i a r a
1 0 0 k m
S o l o m o n I s l a7 S
o
9 So
1 5 7 Eo
1 5 9 Eo
1 6 1 Eo
Arnavon IslandsParticipating communities
Reference groups formonitoring invertebrates
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Group
Island
Site
Transect(=replicate)
1 2
Arnavons.........Ref 1............Ref 2...........Ref 3
Whagena Ysabel Suavanao
66 66
5 6 7 8
Two habitats sampled: Shallow reef terrace (0-3.5m), Deep slope (15-22m)
1 2 3 4
6 6 66
Analysis of data: Asymmetrical ANOVA (Winer et al. '91, Underwood '93)
Temporal components: Before (3 surveys 1995), After (3 surveys 1998/9)
Spatial components:
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Numb
erper100m
2
0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
Arnavon
Waghe
na
Ysabe
l
Suavan
aoBefore
After
Trochus niloticus
(av. across sites)
Shallow habitat
Group
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0.0
0.4
0.8
1.2
1.6
2.0
0.0
0.4
0.8
1.2
1.6
2.0Arnavon Waghena
Ysabel Suavanao
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32
Number
per100m
2
Trochus niloticus
Site
Before
After
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1
2
3
0
Numberper250m
2
Arna
von
Waghe
na
Ys
abel
Suavan
ao
Total holothurians
Group (av. across sites)
Deep habitat
BeforeAfter
Tridacna maxima
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0
1
2
3
Arna
von
Wagh
ena
Ysab
el
Suavan
ao
Num
berper100m
2
Tridacna maxima
(av. across sites)
Shallow habitat
Before
After
Group
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Arnavons MCA: Conclusions
1. Successful replenishment of trochus
2. Maintenance of abundance of holothurians in MCA despite
probable ongoing exploitation outside
3. Use of reference areas identified large-scale natural (?) patterns
(e.g. giant clam)
Management Implications:
Different times likely to be required for different species Marine reserve may not be the most appropriate form of
management for some species Its as important to know what is happening outside a reserve as
whats happening inside
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Use of experimental
design in EIA
2. Pre- Approval Phase: Good designs improve predictions of effects and generation of
hypotheses Can be used as the Before part of effects monitoring But, need to allocate adequate time for study & evaluation (both often
rushed)
1. Appropriate experimental designs can and should be used to improve
the reliability of decision making in EIA (design trees really help)
3. Post-Approval Phase:
Surveillance & compliance monitoring can be inexpensive, but mightidentify only a big (obvious) effect when its too late or expensive to fix.
Effects monitoring Measures natural variation Provides baseline for future comparisons Drawback need to have controls available