epidemiology of preterm birth

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Epidemiology of preterm birth Stefan Johansson Department of Neonatology, Karolinska university hospital Department of Medical Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Karolinska institutet Stockholm, Sweden

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Epidemiology of preterm birth. Stefan Johansson Department of Neonatology, Karolinska university hospital Department of Medical Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Karolinska institutet Stockholm, Sweden. extremely preterm ≤ 27 weeks. term 37-41 weeks. postterm ≥ 42 weeks. very preterm - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: Epidemiology of preterm birth

Epidemiology of preterm birthStefan JohanssonDepartment of Neonatology, Karolinska university hospitalDepartment of Medical Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Karolinska institutetStockholm, Sweden

Page 2: Epidemiology of preterm birth

25 October 2006Stefan Johansson 2

Preterm birth

preterm≤ 36 weeks

term37-41 weeks

postterm≥ 42 weeks

extremelypreterm≤ 27 weeks

very preterm28-31 weeks

moderatelypreterm32-36 weeks

Page 3: Epidemiology of preterm birth

25 October 2006Stefan Johansson 3

Preterm birth - not uncommon• extremely preterm 500 per year• very preterm 1500• moderately preterm 4500

Page 4: Epidemiology of preterm birth

25 October 2006Stefan Johansson 4

Preterm birth - part of being human?

Preterm birth more common in humanscompared to other mammalian species.

Evolutionary trend towards earlier birth? narrow pelvis related to bipedal gait large brain / head and risk of

obstructed labour

Steer. BJOG 2005;112, S1:1

Page 5: Epidemiology of preterm birth

25 October 2006Stefan Johansson 5

Preterm birth ≠ prematurity

Preterm birth refers to the timing of birth. Prematurity refers to immature organ systems at birth. Most infants born in week 35-36 are ”mature” and cared for in

regular maternity units.

infants born at term (37 weeks and onwards) can suffer from some degree of immaturity

Page 6: Epidemiology of preterm birth

25 October 2006Stefan Johansson 6

Rates of preterm birth varies in the world

Sweden 6 % US 10 % Malawi 22 %

Why do ratesvary?

Page 7: Epidemiology of preterm birth

25 October 2006Stefan Johansson 7

Increasing rates of preterm birth

Due to factors such as in vitro fertilization higher maternal age Induced delivery before term ultrasound dating of pregnancy length

However, among Danish ”low risk” women the rate of preterm delivery has increased by 51% from 1995 to 2004,from 3.8 to 5.7% why??

Langhoff-Roos. BMJ 2006;332:937

Page 8: Epidemiology of preterm birth

25 October 2006Stefan Johansson 8

Preterm birth and mortality - world-wide

One million infants born preterm die during the first four weeks (26% of neonatal mortality).

Asphyxia

Preterm birth Sepsis

Congenital

TetanusDiarrhea

Other

Lawn et al, Lancet 2005;365:891-900

Page 9: Epidemiology of preterm birth

25 October 2006Stefan Johansson 9

Gestational age and mortality - Sweden

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

-27 wks 28-30 31-33 34-36 37-39 40-42 43-45

Perinatal mortality (%) in Sweden 2003,by gestational age.

Page 10: Epidemiology of preterm birth

25 October 2006Stefan Johansson 10

Very preterm birth and mortality - Sweden

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31

Infant mortality (%) in Sweden1992-98, by gestational week

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

-27 wks 28-30 31-33 34-36 37-39 40-42 43-45

Page 11: Epidemiology of preterm birth

25 October 2006Stefan Johansson 11

Methodological problems - gestational length

How is gestational length defined? last menstrual period early ultrasound (measuring bones, head and abdomen)

Page 12: Epidemiology of preterm birth

25 October 2006Stefan Johansson 12

Methodological problems - gestational length

Gestational length, based on last menstrual period (LMP) true gestational length is shorter the rate of preterm birth is underestimated

Gestational length, based on ultrasound more exact unavailable in most countries

Page 13: Epidemiology of preterm birth

25 October 2006Stefan Johansson 13

Methodological problems - preterm birth

What is the method of assessing gestational length?

Which preterm born infants are classified as alive / dead? ”live-born infants”? ”still-births”?

Border of viability and neonatal care policies? Live-born infants>23-24 wks can be admitted to neonatal care. The policy regarding which infants to treat vary between countries.

Page 14: Epidemiology of preterm birth

25 October 2006Stefan Johansson 14

Methodological problems - preterm birth

Rates of preterm birth and maternal and obstetric care is expected day of delivery (i.e. 40 completed weeks) calculated? are birth date recorded and gestational length calculated? are those data registrered?

Page 15: Epidemiology of preterm birth

25 October 2006Stefan Johansson 15

Methodological aspects of mortality

Consistent definition of outcome…

Consensus on definitions: Perinatal mortality stillbirths + death during the first week Neonatal mortality during the first four weeks Infant mortality during the first year

Page 16: Epidemiology of preterm birth

25 October 2006Stefan Johansson 16

Methodological aspects of mortality

How is ”alive” determined at birth?

How are deaths recorded?

Mortality rates of live-born preterm infans underestimate the survival rate related to preterm birth still-births are generally not included

Page 17: Epidemiology of preterm birth

25 October 2006Stefan Johansson 17

Page 18: Epidemiology of preterm birth

25 October 2006Stefan Johansson 18

Why preterm deliveries?

induced

spontaneous

Page 19: Epidemiology of preterm birth

25 October 2006Stefan Johansson 19

Induced preterm delivery

Preeclampsia (hypertension and urinary protein leakege) delivery on ”maternal indication” delivery on ”neonatal indication”

Other indications maternal diseases (diabetes, cancer, trauma etc, etc) fetal growth retardation multiple pregnancies malformations

Page 20: Epidemiology of preterm birth

25 October 2006Stefan Johansson 20

Spontaneous preterm delivery

Infections (malaria)

Preterm rupture of membranes (PROM)

Preterm contractions

Placental bleeding

Page 21: Epidemiology of preterm birth

25 October 2006Stefan Johansson 21

Risks of recurrent preterm delivery

Preterm birth,first pregnancy

Risk of preterm birth,second pregnancy

< 37 weeks 2.9 [2.8-3.0]

< 35 weeks 3.6 [3.4-3.9]

< 32 weeks 4.9 [4.2-5.7]

Ananth. AJOG 2006;195:643

Page 22: Epidemiology of preterm birth

25 October 2006Stefan Johansson 22

Risks of recurrent preterm delivery, 34-36 wks

2nd preterm delivery,spontaneous

2nd preterm delivery,induced

1st preterm delivery spontaneous 3.0 [2.8-3.2] 1.0 [0.8-1.2]

1st preterm delivery induced 0.8 [0.6-1.0] 5.8 [5.0-6.7]

Ananth. AJOG 2006;195:643

Page 23: Epidemiology of preterm birth

25 October 2006Stefan Johansson 23

Risks of recurrent preterm delivery, < 28 wks

2nd preterm delivery,spontaneous

2nd preterm delivery,induced

1st preterm delivery spontaneous 13.2 [8.8-19.8] 12.6 [7.0-22.7]

1st preterm delivery induced 10.4 [5.0-21.4] 22.7 [11.3-46.0]

Ananth. AJOG 2006;195:643

Page 24: Epidemiology of preterm birth

25 October 2006Stefan Johansson 24

Preterm birth…genes or environment?

Page 25: Epidemiology of preterm birth

25 October 2006Stefan Johansson 25

Risk factors of preterm birth - genes

Genetic influence on gestational length. genetic factors accounted for 36% of preterm births

Genetic component of pre-eclampsia heritability for preeclampsia was 31% If the mother/sister had preeclampsia, the risk of preeclampsia for

the daughter/sister is tripled, compared to unrelated women.

Clausson. BJOG 2000;107:375Nilsson. BJOG 2004;111:200

Page 26: Epidemiology of preterm birth

25 October 2006Stefan Johansson 26

Risk factors of preterm birth - infections

Reproductive tract infections* have increased risk 20% of women with infections delivered preterm compared 9.5% of

women without infection.

More than 40% of preterm deliveries attributed to infections.

Treatment of infections reduced the risk of preterm delivery Relative risk 0.16 [0.04-0.66]

*bacterial vaginosis, Chlamydia, Trichomonas, Mycoplasma, gr B strepto, Gonorrhoeae

French. AJOG 2006;194:1717

Page 27: Epidemiology of preterm birth

25 October 2006Stefan Johansson 27

Risk factors of preterm birth - maternal age

Young maternal age Teenage women have a doubled risk of preterm birth,

compared to women aged 20-24

High maternal age Women aged ≥40 are also at increased risk of preterm birth

Olausson. BJOG 2001;108:721Cleary-Goldman, Obstet Gynecol 2005;105:983

Page 28: Epidemiology of preterm birth

25 October 2006Stefan Johansson 28

Risk factors of preterm birth - education

Thompson. Paediatr Perinat Epidemiol. 2006;20:182

Page 29: Epidemiology of preterm birth

25 October 2006Stefan Johansson 29

Risk factors of preterm birth - smoking

Kyrklund-Blomberg. AJOG 1998;179:1051

Page 30: Epidemiology of preterm birth

25 October 2006Stefan Johansson 30

Risk factors of preterm birth - others

Periodontal infections. Interpregnancy weight loss. Previous induced abortion. Air pollutants and ozone.

Page 31: Epidemiology of preterm birth

25 October 2006Stefan Johansson 31

Increasing rate of preterm birth - what to do?

Reduce the prevalance of smoking? Screen for bacterial vaginos, chlamydia and other infections? Sharpen indications for induced preterm deliveries?

More knowledge is needed aboutmodifiable risk factors.

Page 32: Epidemiology of preterm birth

25 October 2006Stefan Johansson 32

Conclusions

Preterm birth is common and rates are increasing. Substantial mortality. Methodoligical issues. Many risk factors identified:

genes Infections maternal age Socioeconomic status smoking

No succesful strategies to prevent preterm birth.