ESIL-02 Overview

Workshop Ground Rules

• All attendees represent themselves only and do NOT represent the views of their employer

• Please consider discussions during this workshop off-the-record

• Specific quotes or opinions that aren’t your own should remain off the web/social media

ObjectivesAssemble a representative and knowledgeable group of the key emerging leaders within the U.S. space sector to

- identify the role of the U.S. Government in the commercial space sector

- how this role should evolve in the future from the perspective of the assembled group

Connect emerging leaders throughout the industry with peers and current industry leaders

Workshop Products

• Out-brief Tuesday at 4 PM

• Further research/development after workshop

• Paper/Presentation IAC 2012, Naples Italy– Additional presentations possible

Monday,March 26, 2012

Longworth HOB 1540-A

Tuesday,March 27, 2012

Cannon HOB 5C (adjacent to room 509)

8:30 Welcoming and Introductions 8:30 8:30

9:00 Overview of FAA AST & COE CSTKen Davidian, AST

9:00 9:00

9:30 Overview of Workshop Objectives 9:30 9:30

10:00 Other Transactional AuthoritiesRichard Dunn

10:00 10:00

10:30 Break 10:30 Break 10:30

11:00 11:00 11:00

11:30 11:30 11:30

12:00 12:00 12:00

12:30 12:30 12:30

13:00 13:00 13:00

13:30 13:30 13:30

14:00 14:00 14:00

14:30 Break 14:30 14:30

15:00 15:00 15:00

15:30 15:30 Break 15:30

16:00 16:00 FAA AST - Dr. George Nield 16:00

16:30 16:30 16:30

17:00 17:00 17:00

17:30 17:30 17:30

18:00 18:00 18:00

18:30 18:30 18:30

DRAFT SCHEDULE FOR THEEMERGING SPACE INDUSTRY LEADERS

WORKSHOP - 02

Industry and Regulators (45min): Jim Van Laak - Deputy Associate

Administrator, FAA AST Clay Mowry - President, Arianespace Inc.

Discussion (45min)

Working Group

Working Group

Lunch Lunch

Working Group

Workshop Outbrief Committee on Science, Space, and Technology Room

Rayburn 2325

Government Representatives (45min): Paul Damphousse

Chris Shank - Deputy CoS, Congressman Lamar Smith

Discussion (45min)

Civil and Defense (45min): Alan Ladwig, NASA HQ

James Finch - Director, Policy and Strategy Development, OSD/Space Policy

Discussion (45min)

Evening Reception Tortilla Coast

Dinner

Method

• Identify role of government in commercial space as:– Customer– Supplier– Regulator– International Representation

• Identify how this role may evolve in the future– What are the key things that need to be

considered?

Method II

• Consider government effect on competitive forces:– Threat of Entry– Intensity of Rivalry Among Existing Competitors– Pressure from Substitute Products– Bargaining Power of Buyers– Bargaining Power of Suppliers

Industry Definition

• Scope is as broad as group feels appropriate– From comsats to commercial crew

• Certain cross-cutting topics exist– What is considered important by this group?– What possible improvements can be made?

• Certain sector-specific topics exist– What is considered important by this group?– What possible improvements can be made?

Cross-Cutting Gov. Influence

• Export control– Includes products and workforce– Prevents export AND import• US Firms Competing Overseas (favors larger firms)• Foreign Firms Competing in US (favors larger firms)

– Impacts all industry segments– Impacts all five forces

Cross-Cutting Gov. Influence

• Contracting Mechanism/Good Customer – Cost-plus vs fixed price, FAR vs OTA• FAR + commercial industry may not be most efficient

– Skin the game?– Government as secondary customer/payload?

– Impacts all industry sectors– Impacts all five forces

Cross-Cutting Gov. Influence

• Research, Development, and Education – Workforce training/pipeline• Support for fundamental research and fellowships• Support for re-training in areas of industry need

– Prizes • Cost-effective innovation engine?

– IP• Protection and expedited evaluation

Cross-Cutting Gov. Influence

• Space Traffic Coordination– Domestic• Launch/Airspace Interface• Range Operations

– International• Orbital Debris/Space Traffic Management• Spectrum Interference/Jamming• Civil vs military considerations

Summary of Impacts

• Where are we today?

• What is the result?

Path of Evolution

• Where might these roles go in the future?

• What possible improvements might be made?

Sector Specific Impacts

• Launch Sector– Liability indemnification– Launch permit/license– Cargo/Crew

Sector Specific Impacts

• Human Transport Systems– Suborbital/Orbital• Crew safety standards?• Launch component and vehicle component

– Industry development financing• As customer/investor

– FAR/SAA– Cost-plus vs fixed price– International competition

Sector Specific Impacts

• Commercial Remote Sensing– Restrictions on publishable performance– Major Customer

Sector Specific Impacts

• Commercial Communications– LEO/GEO– Spectrum allocation/management– Customer– Hosted Payloads– Secondary Payloads

Summary of Impacts

• Where are we today?

• What is the result?

Path of Evolution

• Where might these roles go in the future?

• What possible improvements might be made?

Out-Brief Structure (concept)

• Background on objectives• Overview of method• Overview of cross-cutting impacts• Identification of on-going/future improvements• Overview of sector-specific impacts• Identification of on-going/future improvements

Post-Workshop Plan

• Build on presentation with additional research and input• Identify lead authors and contributing/review authors

– Note authorship will not include affiliation – Participants represent their own views

• Draft paper overviewing factors and possible improvements

• Paper review process• Develop paper and presentation for IAC 2012 • Present elsewhere as appropriate