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    Food Retailer Trends

    March 2011

    Adam GoodmanVertical Insight Manager

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    Contents

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    Food Retailers Top News

    Food

    volume fall since records began.

    Consumer spending on food, beverages and tobacco picked up in the

    second half of 2010, reaching 7.7% year-on-year growth in Q3.

    This appears to indicate consumers bought fewer, more expensive foods

    and that food retailers lost some share of the market possibly to internetpure players.

    Between December 2009 and December 2010 consumer food prices

    rose by +5.7%, underpinning the increased spending on food.

    J. Sainsbury posted 14-week Christmas like-for-likes excluding petrol up

    3.6%, recording a +20% rise in sales of its top-tier Taste the Difference

    range in the week before Christmas.

    Waitrose saw its best-ever Christmas performance.

    UK like-for-likes over a six-week Christmas period were up

    +0.6%, lower than Morrisons% gain.

    2011 is likely to be characterised by further rises in inflation in food. This

    could stifle any further trading up by consumers.

    - 3.4%volume

    decline(Mintel, Feb 2011)

    Source: Mintel, UK Retail Briefing Food Focus, Feb 2011

    http://www.mintel.com/http://www.mintel.com/http://www.mintel.com/http://www.mintel.com/
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    Mintel

    -2010

    -retailers,

    it is important to note this strong growth is on the back of the lowest-ever annual growthrecorded in January last year when the e-Tina Spooner, Director ofInformation atIMRG

    NB: Note truncated scale exaggerates the trendSOURCE: ONS/MINTEL

    http://www.mintel.com/http://www.mintel.com/http://www.mintel.com/
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    In-store food shopping will be very much focused

    on leisure, discovery and fulfilment

    Most functional and convenience shopping will be delivered through online shopping by2020. UK is and will be largest player in Europe.

    % making purchases on the internet, by country(nVision forecast, 2009-based projection)

    Source: Eurostat Survey on ICT Usage/nVision | Base: All individuals aged 16-74

    https://www.nvisiononline.co.uk/keytrends/beyond_2020_the_future_of_food.pdfhttps://www.nvisiononline.co.uk/keytrends/beyond_2020_the_future_of_food.pdf
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    Groceries & Personal Care a

    consumer snapshot

    72% have no children in the household

    Medium household income

    Make quick purchase decisions,

    but prepared to shop around for

    the best value

    65% are the main decision-

    maker for the category

    They are brand loyal, rather

    than early adopters

    50% normally buy 2-3 times a week

    or more often62% decide & buy on day of purchase

    On average they spend

    196 per month

    Buyer type:

    66% Habitual

    28% Impulse6% Research

    Most recent purchases:

    77% Fruit & veg

    75% Baked goods

    65% Soft drinks, juices, alcohol

    58% Chilled or frozen products

    Purchase triggers:

    41% Ran out of the item

    20%A treat for themselves

    20% Wanted to try a new brand

    Average number of brands

    considered: 3

    Average number of retailers

    considered: 2

    43% are aged 35-54

    Source: Microsoft & Carat New Shopper Journeys Europe Study 2010 :Groceries & Personal Care n=2622

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    of Groceries & Personal Care consumers believe they will

    be utilising digital technologies for their future purchases108

    Make a

    purchase online

    Send

    pictures/videos

    of potential

    purchases

    Ask opinions

    from people

    know on forums,

    blogs, social

    networks

    Use mobile to

    research whilst

    in-store

    Make a

    purchase

    via a mobile

    Use mobile to

    interact with

    billboards/

    download

    special offers etc

    via the phone

    16%

    75%

    12%

    8% 7%

    13%

    Which of the following are you likely to do in the future?

    Source: Microsoft & Carat New Shopper Journeys Europe Study 2010 :Groceries & Personal Care n=2622

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    8

    Retail & Online Retailers Spend

    For the most part, Retail advertisers tend to spend the most onadvertising in the Press and on TV

    On average the industry currently spends around 5% on Internet

    advertising (not including search). 2010 expenditure has increased

    +1% from that of 2009

    Source: NNR adDynanix : Jan Nov 2010

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    Display Advertisement Publisher Location:

    Reach and Frequency (Retail Food)

    Microsoft sites delivered both the highest number of impressions and the highest number

    of unique visitors for Food Retailers in Dec.

    Source: ComScore adMetrix : December 2010

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    Display Advertisement Publisher Location:

    Reach and Frequency (Retail Food)

    Microsoft sites also have the highest share of Food Retailers ad impressions, however

    average frequency is very competitive and far less than eBay, AOL and Glam Media.

    Source: ComScore adMetrix : December 2010

  • 8/2/2019 EU Food Retailer Trends

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    Top Advertiser by Impression and UU by ComScoreAdMetrix (Food Retailers)

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    Food & Grocery Search Traffic KPIsTraffic Searches for food & grocery generics increased by

    +29% between 2009 and 2010

    Searches for food & grocery generics increased by

    +29% Oct to Dec 2010 v Oct to Dec 2009.

    Searches for food and grocery however increased

    by 43% in Jan 2011 v Jan 2010

    Top Insights: The large grocers were the only channel to gain

    sales in 2010 (Mintel)

    Mobile applications will be designed to help users

    eat and live more healthily. Linked to a country's

    national health service, it holds information on all

    their medical history and monitors body changes

    throughout the day making recommendations on

    intake and consumption habits (nVision)

    1.Microsoft Advertising Intelligence Tool

    http://www.futurefoundation.net/page/view/nVision_UKhttp://www.futurefoundation.net/page/view/nVision_UK
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    Food & Grocery Demographics and Daily Trends

    16%)

    35-4931% . 25-34

    27%

    59%

    1.Microsoft Advertising Intelligence Tool December 2010 to Feb 2011 data

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    Groceries & Personal Care shoppers are using online display

    media right now

    of Groceries & Personal Care consumers are found on

    Microsoft Advertising more than any other online property

    63%

    59%

    46%

    ALMOST 23

    Top performing MicrosoftAdvertising properties:

    51%

    35%

    31%

    Source: Microsoft & Carat New Shopper Journeys Europe Study 2010 :Groceries & Personal Care n=2622

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    Microsoft Advertising products can connect you with your consumers

    at each point in the path to purchase:

    A number of touch points to consider

    Source: Microsoft & Carat New Shopper Journeys Europe Study 2010 :Groceries & Personal Care n=2622

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    Industry Insights

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    Food Retailers Large Grocers benefit

    The large grocers were the only channel to gain sales in 2010. The off-licences and

    tobacconists performed particularly weakly, but that is probably because of the demise

    of Threshers. It may be that the strength of the larger grocers has been because they

    picked up most of that business.

    -SECTOR, 2006-10

    Source: Mintel UK Retail Briefing Food Focus UK. February 2011

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    The pie chart below overstates the market sharesof the four leaders because the company sales-which are not included in the total market sizefigure

    The pie chart below accounts for the estimate

    -retail categoriesare stripped out (such as petrol, restaurants and NHSincome, and business to business sales) Tesco,Sainsbury, Asda and Morrison's share changed

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    Scrutiny of the whole journey of food

    products

    The Digital Revolution is already playing a role in making the fulljourney of food products more transparent, as demonstrated by

    to trace the exact origin of the eggs they buy.

    By 2020, smartphone apps -like the Breadcrumbs one pictured

    here which includes features like a summary of ingredients and

    the date of manufacture -will have significantly accelerated and

    amplified demand for detailed knowledge of the full journey of ourfood.

    Mobile devices will become sensors and RFID readers, allowing

    consumers to interact with food in a much more detailed and

    informed manner, providing data on exactly where foods originate

    (when and how a product was produced, who came in contact

    with it, whether it was ethically produced) -and detailing fullingredient lists.

    information expectations. They will stimulate new quality demands

    within the whole food production process, in particular around

    hyper-freshness and hyper-localism.

    Source: nVision & Future Foundation, Beyond 2010

    http://www.nvisiononline.co.uk/http://www.nvisiononline.co.uk/
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    Retail M-Commerceevolution of mobile technology has given rise to the empowered consumer: at the touch of a

    button, almost anywhere, consumers can research products, companies, and even make purchases(ForseeResults)

    Forsee study of 10,000 UK visitors to the biggest e-retail sites in the UK (according to IMRG) stated:

    Key findings:

    Shoppers are using mobile phones to access websites and

    apps more than ever before 32% of respondents have usedtheir phone to access a retailer website, and an additional 32%indicated they plan to access retailer websites or mobile apps by

    purchase behaviour is exploding 8% of UK made purchase via

    Shoppers use their phones for a variety of tasks

    Good experiences with mobile sites and apps have criticalcross-channel impact - Shoppers who are highly satisfied with amobile experience say they are 32% more likely to buy from that

    Source: Foresee Results, Jan 2011.

    http://foreseeresults.com/http://foreseeresults.com/http://foreseeresults.com/http://foreseeresults.com/
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    Retail M-Commerce

    In which of the following ways did you useyour phone while shopping in a store?

    Source: Forseestudy of nearly 10,000 visitors to the biggest e-retail websites in the United Kingdom

    accessed that

    on their phone

    accessed a

    website on their

    phone

    -have for retailers. As smartphone use increases, more customers willturn to the mobile channel to find price and product information(ForeseeResults)

    http://foreseeresults.com/http://foreseeresults.com/
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    Beyond 2020 Eating Habits

    Consumers will also eat out of the home in a more spontaneous way as mobile technology

    enables them to seamlessly locate food offers wherever they happen to be. They will nolonger need to plan their choices in advance and instead will almost always decide at the last

    minute according to their mood, the latest live reviews, the location of their friends and

    incentives offered by hospitality players.

    % who access the internet via their mobile phone at least once a month in the UK

    Eating habits will be much more mobile, flexible and spontaneous

    Source: nVision & Future Foundation Research: Beyond 2010 Future of Food Beyond 2010Base: 1,200 respondents aged 16+, GB

    Mobile applications will bedesigned to help users eatand live more healthily.Linked to a country'snational health service, itholds information on all theirmedical history and

    monitors body changesthroughout the daymaking recommendationson intake and consumptionhabits

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    Microsoft Advertising & Carat Study

    Retail brand marketing must respond to major shifts in

    consumer behaviour as digital media and the

    habits.

    Microsoft Advertising, shows that shoppers no longer

    pass through a standard purchase funnel. Retail brand

    marketing must respond to new spheres of influence

    and balance the role of bought, owned and earned

    Find out more:http://advertising.microsoft.com/uk/retail-brand-

    marketing-research

    Alternatively speak to your Microsoft Advertising

    representative to learn more about this study.

    http://advertising.microsoft.com/uk/retail-brand-marketing-researchhttp://advertising.microsoft.com/uk/retail-brand-marketing-researchhttp://advertising.microsoft.com/uk/retail-brand-marketing-researchhttp://advertising.microsoft.com/uk/retail-brand-marketing-researchhttp://advertising.microsoft.com/uk/retail-brand-marketing-researchhttp://advertising.microsoft.com/uk/retail-brand-marketing-researchhttp://advertising.microsoft.com/uk/retail-brand-marketing-researchhttp://advertising.microsoft.com/uk/retail-brand-marketing-researchhttp://advertising.microsoft.com/uk/retail-brand-marketing-research
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    Food & Grocery

    APPENDIX

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    Which?/ nVision: Most popular online

    supermarkets

    Ranking measured on a scale of 1-5 (1 being poor, 5 being excellent)

    Source: Which?/nVision, 2010

    Base: 2,661 respondents aged 16+, UK

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    interested would you be in any of the following services?

    Demonstrations in the supermarket where a chef shows me how to

    prepare better meals /

    % who would be very or quite interested, by gender, age and social grade

    Source: nVision Research, 2010

    Base: 1,000 online respondents aged 16+, GB

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    Best reputation on environmental issues

    supermarket

    each of the following product/service categories, please write in the one brand that you feelhas the best reputation on environmental

    Source: Readers Digest European Trusted Brands Survey/nVision, 2010Base: 1,276 respondents aged 20+, UK

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    Top 10 grocery retail markets in Europe

    In billions of euros

    IGD forecast

    Source: Institute of Grocery Distribution (IGD)/nVision, 2010