eu food retailer trends
TRANSCRIPT
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Food Retailer Trends
March 2011
Adam GoodmanVertical Insight Manager
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Contents
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Food Retailers Top News
Food
volume fall since records began.
Consumer spending on food, beverages and tobacco picked up in the
second half of 2010, reaching 7.7% year-on-year growth in Q3.
This appears to indicate consumers bought fewer, more expensive foods
and that food retailers lost some share of the market possibly to internetpure players.
Between December 2009 and December 2010 consumer food prices
rose by +5.7%, underpinning the increased spending on food.
J. Sainsbury posted 14-week Christmas like-for-likes excluding petrol up
3.6%, recording a +20% rise in sales of its top-tier Taste the Difference
range in the week before Christmas.
Waitrose saw its best-ever Christmas performance.
UK like-for-likes over a six-week Christmas period were up
+0.6%, lower than Morrisons% gain.
2011 is likely to be characterised by further rises in inflation in food. This
could stifle any further trading up by consumers.
- 3.4%volume
decline(Mintel, Feb 2011)
Source: Mintel, UK Retail Briefing Food Focus, Feb 2011
http://www.mintel.com/http://www.mintel.com/http://www.mintel.com/http://www.mintel.com/ -
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Mintel
-2010
-retailers,
it is important to note this strong growth is on the back of the lowest-ever annual growthrecorded in January last year when the e-Tina Spooner, Director ofInformation atIMRG
NB: Note truncated scale exaggerates the trendSOURCE: ONS/MINTEL
http://www.mintel.com/http://www.mintel.com/http://www.mintel.com/ -
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In-store food shopping will be very much focused
on leisure, discovery and fulfilment
Most functional and convenience shopping will be delivered through online shopping by2020. UK is and will be largest player in Europe.
% making purchases on the internet, by country(nVision forecast, 2009-based projection)
Source: Eurostat Survey on ICT Usage/nVision | Base: All individuals aged 16-74
https://www.nvisiononline.co.uk/keytrends/beyond_2020_the_future_of_food.pdfhttps://www.nvisiononline.co.uk/keytrends/beyond_2020_the_future_of_food.pdf -
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Groceries & Personal Care a
consumer snapshot
72% have no children in the household
Medium household income
Make quick purchase decisions,
but prepared to shop around for
the best value
65% are the main decision-
maker for the category
They are brand loyal, rather
than early adopters
50% normally buy 2-3 times a week
or more often62% decide & buy on day of purchase
On average they spend
196 per month
Buyer type:
66% Habitual
28% Impulse6% Research
Most recent purchases:
77% Fruit & veg
75% Baked goods
65% Soft drinks, juices, alcohol
58% Chilled or frozen products
Purchase triggers:
41% Ran out of the item
20%A treat for themselves
20% Wanted to try a new brand
Average number of brands
considered: 3
Average number of retailers
considered: 2
43% are aged 35-54
Source: Microsoft & Carat New Shopper Journeys Europe Study 2010 :Groceries & Personal Care n=2622
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of Groceries & Personal Care consumers believe they will
be utilising digital technologies for their future purchases108
Make a
purchase online
Send
pictures/videos
of potential
purchases
Ask opinions
from people
know on forums,
blogs, social
networks
Use mobile to
research whilst
in-store
Make a
purchase
via a mobile
Use mobile to
interact with
billboards/
download
special offers etc
via the phone
16%
75%
12%
8% 7%
13%
Which of the following are you likely to do in the future?
Source: Microsoft & Carat New Shopper Journeys Europe Study 2010 :Groceries & Personal Care n=2622
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8
Retail & Online Retailers Spend
For the most part, Retail advertisers tend to spend the most onadvertising in the Press and on TV
On average the industry currently spends around 5% on Internet
advertising (not including search). 2010 expenditure has increased
+1% from that of 2009
Source: NNR adDynanix : Jan Nov 2010
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Display Advertisement Publisher Location:
Reach and Frequency (Retail Food)
Microsoft sites delivered both the highest number of impressions and the highest number
of unique visitors for Food Retailers in Dec.
Source: ComScore adMetrix : December 2010
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Display Advertisement Publisher Location:
Reach and Frequency (Retail Food)
Microsoft sites also have the highest share of Food Retailers ad impressions, however
average frequency is very competitive and far less than eBay, AOL and Glam Media.
Source: ComScore adMetrix : December 2010
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Top Advertiser by Impression and UU by ComScoreAdMetrix (Food Retailers)
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Food & Grocery Search Traffic KPIsTraffic Searches for food & grocery generics increased by
+29% between 2009 and 2010
Searches for food & grocery generics increased by
+29% Oct to Dec 2010 v Oct to Dec 2009.
Searches for food and grocery however increased
by 43% in Jan 2011 v Jan 2010
Top Insights: The large grocers were the only channel to gain
sales in 2010 (Mintel)
Mobile applications will be designed to help users
eat and live more healthily. Linked to a country's
national health service, it holds information on all
their medical history and monitors body changes
throughout the day making recommendations on
intake and consumption habits (nVision)
1.Microsoft Advertising Intelligence Tool
http://www.futurefoundation.net/page/view/nVision_UKhttp://www.futurefoundation.net/page/view/nVision_UK -
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Food & Grocery Demographics and Daily Trends
16%)
35-4931% . 25-34
27%
59%
1.Microsoft Advertising Intelligence Tool December 2010 to Feb 2011 data
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Groceries & Personal Care shoppers are using online display
media right now
of Groceries & Personal Care consumers are found on
Microsoft Advertising more than any other online property
63%
59%
46%
ALMOST 23
Top performing MicrosoftAdvertising properties:
51%
35%
31%
Source: Microsoft & Carat New Shopper Journeys Europe Study 2010 :Groceries & Personal Care n=2622
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Microsoft Advertising products can connect you with your consumers
at each point in the path to purchase:
A number of touch points to consider
Source: Microsoft & Carat New Shopper Journeys Europe Study 2010 :Groceries & Personal Care n=2622
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Industry Insights
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Food Retailers Large Grocers benefit
The large grocers were the only channel to gain sales in 2010. The off-licences and
tobacconists performed particularly weakly, but that is probably because of the demise
of Threshers. It may be that the strength of the larger grocers has been because they
picked up most of that business.
-SECTOR, 2006-10
Source: Mintel UK Retail Briefing Food Focus UK. February 2011
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The pie chart below overstates the market sharesof the four leaders because the company sales-which are not included in the total market sizefigure
The pie chart below accounts for the estimate
-retail categoriesare stripped out (such as petrol, restaurants and NHSincome, and business to business sales) Tesco,Sainsbury, Asda and Morrison's share changed
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Scrutiny of the whole journey of food
products
The Digital Revolution is already playing a role in making the fulljourney of food products more transparent, as demonstrated by
to trace the exact origin of the eggs they buy.
By 2020, smartphone apps -like the Breadcrumbs one pictured
here which includes features like a summary of ingredients and
the date of manufacture -will have significantly accelerated and
amplified demand for detailed knowledge of the full journey of ourfood.
Mobile devices will become sensors and RFID readers, allowing
consumers to interact with food in a much more detailed and
informed manner, providing data on exactly where foods originate
(when and how a product was produced, who came in contact
with it, whether it was ethically produced) -and detailing fullingredient lists.
information expectations. They will stimulate new quality demands
within the whole food production process, in particular around
hyper-freshness and hyper-localism.
Source: nVision & Future Foundation, Beyond 2010
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Retail M-Commerceevolution of mobile technology has given rise to the empowered consumer: at the touch of a
button, almost anywhere, consumers can research products, companies, and even make purchases(ForseeResults)
Forsee study of 10,000 UK visitors to the biggest e-retail sites in the UK (according to IMRG) stated:
Key findings:
Shoppers are using mobile phones to access websites and
apps more than ever before 32% of respondents have usedtheir phone to access a retailer website, and an additional 32%indicated they plan to access retailer websites or mobile apps by
purchase behaviour is exploding 8% of UK made purchase via
Shoppers use their phones for a variety of tasks
Good experiences with mobile sites and apps have criticalcross-channel impact - Shoppers who are highly satisfied with amobile experience say they are 32% more likely to buy from that
Source: Foresee Results, Jan 2011.
http://foreseeresults.com/http://foreseeresults.com/http://foreseeresults.com/http://foreseeresults.com/ -
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Retail M-Commerce
In which of the following ways did you useyour phone while shopping in a store?
Source: Forseestudy of nearly 10,000 visitors to the biggest e-retail websites in the United Kingdom
accessed that
on their phone
accessed a
website on their
phone
-have for retailers. As smartphone use increases, more customers willturn to the mobile channel to find price and product information(ForeseeResults)
http://foreseeresults.com/http://foreseeresults.com/ -
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Beyond 2020 Eating Habits
Consumers will also eat out of the home in a more spontaneous way as mobile technology
enables them to seamlessly locate food offers wherever they happen to be. They will nolonger need to plan their choices in advance and instead will almost always decide at the last
minute according to their mood, the latest live reviews, the location of their friends and
incentives offered by hospitality players.
% who access the internet via their mobile phone at least once a month in the UK
Eating habits will be much more mobile, flexible and spontaneous
Source: nVision & Future Foundation Research: Beyond 2010 Future of Food Beyond 2010Base: 1,200 respondents aged 16+, GB
Mobile applications will bedesigned to help users eatand live more healthily.Linked to a country'snational health service, itholds information on all theirmedical history and
monitors body changesthroughout the daymaking recommendationson intake and consumptionhabits
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Microsoft Advertising & Carat Study
Retail brand marketing must respond to major shifts in
consumer behaviour as digital media and the
habits.
Microsoft Advertising, shows that shoppers no longer
pass through a standard purchase funnel. Retail brand
marketing must respond to new spheres of influence
and balance the role of bought, owned and earned
Find out more:http://advertising.microsoft.com/uk/retail-brand-
marketing-research
Alternatively speak to your Microsoft Advertising
representative to learn more about this study.
http://advertising.microsoft.com/uk/retail-brand-marketing-researchhttp://advertising.microsoft.com/uk/retail-brand-marketing-researchhttp://advertising.microsoft.com/uk/retail-brand-marketing-researchhttp://advertising.microsoft.com/uk/retail-brand-marketing-researchhttp://advertising.microsoft.com/uk/retail-brand-marketing-researchhttp://advertising.microsoft.com/uk/retail-brand-marketing-researchhttp://advertising.microsoft.com/uk/retail-brand-marketing-researchhttp://advertising.microsoft.com/uk/retail-brand-marketing-researchhttp://advertising.microsoft.com/uk/retail-brand-marketing-research -
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Food & Grocery
APPENDIX
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Which?/ nVision: Most popular online
supermarkets
Ranking measured on a scale of 1-5 (1 being poor, 5 being excellent)
Source: Which?/nVision, 2010
Base: 2,661 respondents aged 16+, UK
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interested would you be in any of the following services?
Demonstrations in the supermarket where a chef shows me how to
prepare better meals /
% who would be very or quite interested, by gender, age and social grade
Source: nVision Research, 2010
Base: 1,000 online respondents aged 16+, GB
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Best reputation on environmental issues
supermarket
each of the following product/service categories, please write in the one brand that you feelhas the best reputation on environmental
Source: Readers Digest European Trusted Brands Survey/nVision, 2010Base: 1,276 respondents aged 20+, UK
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Top 10 grocery retail markets in Europe
In billions of euros
IGD forecast
Source: Institute of Grocery Distribution (IGD)/nVision, 2010