exponential technologies and their impact on...
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Geneva, October 21, 2014
Charles FadelCharlesfadel (at) gmail (dot) com
Exponential technologies and their impact on humankind
Source: Aaron Kobler
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Music exercise – Audio
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“1950”
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Enjoying artistry
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Innovation follows patterns ���� automatable
Source: Invention Machine “IM Labs”
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Volatile
Uncertain
Complex
Ambiguous
Our New World
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Societal Challenges
Greed
Financial Meltdown
Global Warming
Personal Privacy
Intolerance
Religious fundamentalism
Political Absolutism
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Personal Challenges
Employability
Belonging
� Happiness
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Economic Challenges
Globalization
Innovation
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Source: Video extract from “Occupy Wall Street”
The stakes have never been higher
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Growing Concern
“~50% of US jobs potentially automatable”
Oxford Martin Study 2014
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The Race between Technology and Education
Inspired by “The race between technology and education” Pr. Goldin & Katz (Harvard)
Industrial Revolution
Social pain
Social pain
Prosperity
Technology
Education
Digital Revolution
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Displacement due to Technology
Ox � Harvester
Horse � Automobile
Lab Mice � Assays (not soon enough7)
Humans: Scribes � printing pressWashers � washing machineCashiers/Attendants � bar code scannerHealthcare/Finance/Services/Jeopardy champions � Watson
etc
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The Power of Exponentials
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Exponentials are Misunderstood
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Moore’s Law for Semiconductors
� iPhone: $400 price point
• 40T in 2016
• 40E in 2025
� Video record your entire life (2025)} Already possible
in the Cloud !
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On the road to ExoBrain
Source: Moravec/Kurzweil/SU
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More to come – Augmented Reality - Video
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Will we need to learn a foreign language?
iPhone app: Speech-to-speech translator for 95% of world population (23 languages)http://www.ustar-consortium.com/
Google goggles with Translate
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More to come8 Virtual Reality - Video
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A lot more to come
� 3D printing
� Synthetic biology
� Brain enhancements
� Nanomaterials
� Etc.
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Algorithmic Intelligence
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Google Autonomous Vehicle - Video
>700kmiles,
one minor accident,
occasional human intervention
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Computerized Trading – Flash Crash
>60% of volume is now “high-speed trading”
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“Computational Pathologist”
“Computers found more accurate than doctors in breast-cancer diagnosis”
Science Magazine November 10, 2011
“Computational Pathologist” by
Stanford Schools of Engineering and Medicine
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WikiBots
42% of Wikipedia is edited by 12 bots !
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Even modeling
Source: Le Monde Culture & Idees, December 24, 2011
H&M admits using a mannequin as digital model with “no flaws”
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Meet Zoe - Video
Source: University of Cambridge Research Labs, UK
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Computers can sketch too !
� Seven artists generated about 8,000 pen strokes for the sketches.
� Individual artist preferences were included in the data.
� Disney's software analyzed how greatly artists exaggerated the distance between facial features.
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Even Pop Stars
� Video – Hatsune Miku, “Vocaloid”
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More to come8 Robotics
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High-speed manipulation - Video
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Robot Serves Up 360 Hamburgers Per Hour
� Momentum Machines: “it pays for itself in a year”
� No cashiers or servers.
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Replace Workforce With Robots
Terry Guo, CEO of Foxconn: “one million industrial robots to assembly lines inside of three years”.
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And the small, mini, micro and nano kinds
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And more, including flying - Video
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“The future is already here –
it's just not very evenly distributed.”
Science-Fiction author William Gibson,
quoted in The Economist,
December 4, 2003
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What’s Likely – a Hybrid Future
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So what do we teach for8
7in an era of ubiquitous, symbiotic A.I. and Robotics?
How about:
• Wisdom
• Ethics
And also: (list not exhaustive)
• Fluidity with Technology
• Resilience/Adaptability
• Curiosity
• Courage
• Self-Awareness
• Asking the right questions
• Synthesis/integration
• Creativity
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www.curriculumredesign.org
What should students learnfor the 21st century™?
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Academia
Corporations
Coalition of key global players
International
organizations
Jurisdictions
Foundations
& Non-Profits
Fondation
Henri Moser
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On the basis of all dimensions
Knowledge
Character
Skills
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Versatility as Key Strategy
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Reassess Knowledge for relevance
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Modern, Interdisciplinary Subjects
Journalism
Cinema
Business
Wellness
Social systems
Biosystems
Robotics
Engineering & Technology (M, EE, CS, etc)
MathsPhysics
Language/writing/storyMedia
Communication/RhetoricPhilosophy/ethics/civicsPsychology/SociologyMaths (Stats/Probs)
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Learn Skills
CreativityCritical thinkingCommunication
Collaboration
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Build Character
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Train Metacognition
Learn how to Learn
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A prescient view
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Conclusion: AND not OR
Inspired by an inscription used by Charles Voysey, Britain 1896
Cognition + Action + Emotion
Knowledge + Skills + Character+ Metacognition
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www.curriculumredesign.org
Twitter: @CurrRedesign
Thank you !
“What should students learn for the 21st century?”
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Practical book + DVD classroom examples
“The authors have done nothing less than provide a bold framework for designing a 21st century approach to education, an approach aimed at preparing all of our children to successfully meet the challenges of this brave, new world.”
Paul Reville, Former Secretary of Education,Commonwealth of Massachusetts;
former director of the Education Policy and Management Program,
Harvard Graduate School of Education
“It’s about time that we have such an accessible and wise book about the 21st century skills that so many companies, policymakers, and educators are talking about”
Roy Pea, Professor, Education and the Learning Sciences,
Stanford University
http://www.21stcenturyskillsbook.com