extension cord market - grace n. ferguson · products are regarded as mainstays of ... asia-pacific...
TRANSCRIPT
EXTENSION CORD MARKET Abstract
A bounce-back in U.S. construction activity and an increasing trend toward energy savings and aging electrical
systems is expected to drive future growth for electrical equipment wholesalers.
Introduction The purpose of this report is to inform the reader of the electrical equipment
industry – with special focus on extension cords, which have a general association
with new home and commercial construction. Although this report will indicate
some global sources, emphasis will be placed on the U.S. market.
Market Highlights
An extension cord is an electrical accessory, which is a sub-segment of the
electrical equipment industry.
The demand for cable and wire in the U.S. will remain high, since these
products are regarded as mainstays of the modern information era.
Power cables is the largest segment of the global electrical equipment
market, encompassing 59.2 percent of the industry’s total value.
More balanced growth is expected for the U.S. construction industry in
2015.
Market Between 2010 and 2015, the U.S. electrical equipment manufacturing industry
faced heightened competition from abroad while recessions lowered consumer
demand. Going forward, improvements in infrastructure are expected to motivate
consumer demand over the next five years1.
The demand for electrical components are influenced by various factors, including
construction spending, consumer income and industrial production. Whether
companies make a profit depends on the effectiveness of applied operational,
marketing and technological strategies.
Large companies have cost advantages in terms of purchasing, production,
marketing and distribution. Smaller businesses can remain competitive by
offering niche products and impressive customer service.
The industry is concentrated, dominated by a few large firms and with the top 50
companies generating 50 percent of industry revenue. Below are the major
products (with associated revenue share) in this industry2:
Communication and energy wire and cable = 15 percent
Lighting equipment = 10 percent
Batteries = 10 percent
Wiring devices = 10 percent
Industrial controls = 10 percent
Generators and motors = 10 percent
Transformers = 5 percent
Globally, Asia-Pacific had the highest market value percentage in 20133. Next
were Europe, the Americas and Middle East and Africa. The chart below reveals
the individual shares by geographic location:
1 http://www.ibisworld.com/industry/default.aspx?indid=1916
2 http://www.hoovers.com/industry-facts.electrical-products-manufacturing.1229.html
3 MarketLine Industry Profile: Global Electrical Components & Equipment, July 2014
An upswing in U.S. construction activity, particularly new building and
government-funded road construction, will spike demand for industry products
such as wiring and light fixtures.
According to the U.S. Census Bureau, in June 2015, there were approximately
482,000 new single-family houses4. Though this amount is 6.8 percent less than
the May 2015 rate, it is 18.1 percent higher than the June 2014 rate. There were
392,841 private non-residential constructions in May 2015, an increase from
387,142 in April 20155.
Industry Revenue The U.S. electrical equipment manufacturing industry earns around 43 billion
annually6. Globally, the market grossed $114.1 billion in 2013, an increase of 10.4
percent from 2012.
Manufacturers in the U.S. typically have a low level of capital investment, as
activities needing high-level investment are usually conducted offshore. Each
$1.00 that manufacturers spend on wages is expected to yield capital investment
of $0.08, with most of that investment going toward new equipment and
machinery.
4 http://www.census.gov/construction/nrs/pdf/newressales.pdf
5 https://www.census.gov/construction/c30/pdf/nonresidentialsa.pdf
6 http://www.ibisworld.com/industry/default.aspx?indid=795
The shift in production to countries with low labor costs has caused a decline in
capital expenditures in the U.S. manufacturing market. However, because this
industry requires relatively skilled labor, average wage costs are rising. Companies
in the electrical equipment manufacturing industry largely depend on operational
efficiency to succeed. Typically, operating margins range from 10 to 20 percent,
with some leaders obtaining margins in the 30s and 40s, and a few seeing
profitability in single-digit measures7.
Globally, the industry is predicted to amass $138 billion in 2018, a growth of 2.9
percent since 2013.
The U.S. Home Centers industry – which include retailers of new home repair and
improvement supplies such as electrical goods – experienced gross margin of 28.7
percent in 2014, a decrease of 1.6 percent from 2013 and an increase of 2 percent
from 2012. This industry had a gross profit of 2 percent in 2014, decreasing from
2.1 percent in 2013 and increasing from 0.5 percent in 20128. See profit
percentages below:
Source: Retail Owners Institute
7
http://www.valueline.com/Stocks/Industries/Industry_Analysis__Electrical_Equipment.aspx#.Vbjl8vlVik
p
8 http://www.retailowner.com/Benchmarks/Bldg-Materials-Garden-Supplies-Dealers/Home-
Centers#2880248-gross-margin
The home builders market generates approximately $66 billion yearly9, while the
commercial building industry produces around $143 billion10. Construction and
construction-related markets continue to lead the list of growth industries, with
projected average compounded annual growth rate of 8-9 percent through
201911. New construction projects in the U.S. are expected to increase 9 percent
($612 billion), which is more than 2014’s estimated increase of 5 percent ($564
billion) 12.
Globally, construction output is predicted to grow by over 70 percent to $15
trillion by 2025, with China, India and the U.S. accounting for nearly 60 percent of
worldwide growth13.
Products/Pricing To understand the potential of a new entrant, an examination of similar products
on the market is necessary.
An extension cord is used to power a device when the cable on the device is not
long enough to reach the electrical outlet. Factors influencing cost are:
Environment and usage, such as indoor or outdoor and general or industrial
Power rating, such as maximum current
Plug type, such as 3- or 2-prong
In considering the above three dynamics, the cost of an extension cord varies
significantly, sometimes retailing for as low as $1.47 to as high as $146. While
there is an abundance of extension cords available on the U.S. market, these
products do not allow easy access to electrical outlets that are blocked by heavy
furniture or other weighty items.
9 http://www.ibisworld.com/industry/default.aspx?indid=169
10 http://www.ibisworld.com/industry/default.aspx?indid=1916
11 http://bizmology.hoovers.com/first-research-updates-industry-forecasts/
12 http://construction.com/about-us/press/construction-industry-to-see-more-balanced-growth-in-
2015-according-to-DDG.asp
13 http://www.pwc.com/gx/en/engineering-construction/publications/global-construction-2025.jhtml
This HDX 6-ft. extension cord, which retails for $1.47,
helps to power lightweight household appliances
such as lamps and clocks. Made of vinyl and ideal for
indoor or general use, the cord comes with a 3-outlet
cube tap, 13 amps and 125 volts.
Manufactured by GoGreen Power, this 20-ft. heavy
duty cord is suitable for hefty appliances such as
refrigerators, washers and dryers. With 15 amps, 220
volts and a 3-prong grounded plug for extra safety,
the cord retails for $25.54 and is designed for indoor
use.
The Cerrowire 100-ft. extension cord retails for
$35.93 and can be used for indoor and outdoor
purposes. The cable has a holding strength of up to
40 pounds and the jacket is resistant to abrasion
and moisture. Containing 15 amps and 125 volts,
the cord provides consistent current in various
situations.
The RIDGID extension cord sells for $146 and is
designed to endure cold weather, with flexibility ranging
from -58°F to 221°F. Constructed for indoor or outdoor
use, the cord is oil resistant and offers 15 amps, 125
volts plus a lighted female end which shows that power
is being transmitted to the cord.
Sales Projections To obtain a 40-percent gross margin on an extension cord retailing for $25.54, the
manufacturer must spend $7.03 to make and deliver the unit. The average retail
markup in the electrical equipment industry is between 40 and 60 percent. In this
report’s example, however, the manufacturer and the retailer would receive a 67-
percent markup. See channel margins below:
If this product were to gain rapid market share and sell 250,000 units with a gross
margin of $4.69, the manufacturer would generate gross profit of $1,172,500 in
the first year of production. The anticipated growth rates over a 5-year period
are:
Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5
15% 20% 25% 20% 15%
$1,348,375 $1,618,050 $2,022,563 $2,427,075 $2,791,136
Licensing Your Product When you have a great idea for a product, there is an important decision to make
right up front: do you want to build a brand new company from the ground up in
order to commercialize the product OR do you sign a product licensing deal with a
pre-existing company that already has the resources needed to market the
product?
If you choose the latter – and you are successful in getting your product licensed
– you will receive royalties on sales of the product, and you will have a lot more
time on your hands to tend to other activities in your life. The tradeoff is that you
will receive a far smaller percentage of the profit from the sale of your invention.
The percentage of royalty paid to an inventor varies. The most common
percentage is 5 percent. That is not a hard and fast rule, however. Some royalty
rates can be as low as 1-2 percent, or as high as 15-20 percent or more. It all
depends on the item and industry. Rates relating to gimmicky infomercial products
may be much higher (as much as 20 percent), but they typically have a
substantially shorter product life. The reported royalty rate for consumer goods,
which is the category that the Receptacle Relocator would fall under, is 6 percent.
Based on the sales and manufacturer profit projections in the previous section,
below is a breakdown of the royalty commission that could be expected over the
first 5 years.
Rate Type
RateRate
Type
Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Projected Growth 15.00% 20.00% 25.00% 20.00% 15.00%
Revenue $1,348,375 $1,618,050 $2,022,563 $2,427,075 $2,791,136
Royalty $80,903 $97,803 $121,354 $145,623 $167,468
Profit (After Tax) $68,7673 $82,521 $103,151 $123,781 $142,348
Potential Manufacturers Whirlpool Corporation
A top manufacturer of home appliances, Whirlpool specializes in refrigerators,
washers, dryers, dishwashers, compressors, cooking appliances, filters and
accessories. The company’s products are sold under various brand names such as
Whirlpool, Maytag and Amana.
www.whirlpool.com
Southwire
Southwire is the largest manufacturer of wire, cable, copper and aluminum rod in
the U.S. The company’s products are designed for residential, commercial and
industrial use.
www.southwire.com
General Cable Corporation
Incorporated since 1994, General Cable makes wire and cable products which are
used in the construction, industrial, energy, communications and specialty
markets.
www.generalcable.com
General Electric
A major player in the electrical industry, General Electric produces a vast range of
products including lighting, aircraft engines, locomotive equipment, medical
imaging supplies, turbines, generators and electric control equipment.
www.ge.com
Hubbell Incorporated
Headquartered in Shelton, Connecticut, Hubbell manufactures electronic and
electrical items for residential and non-residential construction and industrial
applications. The company operates out of multiple facilities including the U.S.,
China, Mexico, Canada and Switzerland.
www.hubbell.com
The Ridge Tool Company
The Ridge Tool Company makes and distributes hand tools for wrenching and
draining under the RIDGID brand name. Tools include wrenches, pipe cutters,
extension cords, band saws, drill presses, pipe cutters and construction
equipment.
www.ridgid.com
Prime Wire & Cable
A manufacturer of wiring and cable products, Prime Wire & Cable offers indoor
and outdoor extension cords, power supply cords, surge protectors, lighting and
cabling products.
www.primewirecable.com
Potential Retailers Best Buy
1,731 stores
$40.34 billion in sales for fiscal year ending January 2015
Headquarters: 7601 Penn Ave S, Minneapolis, MN 55423
Website: www.bestbuy.com
Lowe’s
1,840 stores
$56.22 billion in sales for fiscal year ending January 2015
Headquarters: 1000 Lowes Blvd, Mooresville, NC 28117
Website: www.lowes.com
Ace Hardware
4,700 stores
$4.7 billion in sales for 2014
Headquarters: 2200 Kensington Ct, Oak Brook, IL 60523
Website: www.acehardware.com
Home Depot
Over 2,200 stores
$83.18 billion in sales for fiscal year ending January 2015
Headquarters: 2455 Paces Ferry Road, Atlanta, GA 30339
Website: www.homedepot.com
Office Depot
Over 1,500 stores
$16.1 billion in sales for 2014
Headquarters: 6600 North Military Trail, Boca Raton, FL 33496
Website: www.officedepot.com
Northern Tool + Equipment
Approximately 90 stores
$1.5 billion in annual sales
Headquarters: 2800 Southcross Drive W, Burnsville, MN 55306
Website: www.northerntool.com
Wal-Mart
Over 11,000 stores
$485.65 billion in sales for fiscal year ending January 2015
Headquarters: 702 SW 8th Street, Bentonville, AR 72716
Website: www.walmart.com
CVS Pharmacy
Over 7,800 stores
$139.37 billion in sales for 2014
Headquarters: One CVS Drive, Woonsocket, RI 02895
Website: www.cvs.com
True Value Company
Approximately 4,500 stores
$2 billion in sales for 2014
Headquarters: 8600 W. Bryn Mawr Avenue, Chicago, IL 60631
Website: www.truevalue.com