facilitating a global movement for ... - green building index - igb… · • most green buildings...
TRANSCRIPT
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WORLD GREEN BUILDING COUNCIL
Facilitating a global Facilitating a global movement for the rapid acceleration of green building
Jane HenleyCEO World GBC
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17%of fresh waterconsumption
WORLDWIDE BUILDINGSACCOUNT FOR
25%of woodharvest
33%of CO2
emissions
30-40%of energy use
40-50%of raw materials used
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Buildings are our biggest
opportunity…
Source: IPCC
…and our biggest failure
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China
Korea
VietnamPhilippines
Malaysia
HongKong
Growing number of GBCs
Indonesia
Malaysia
Singapore
6 Established GBCs
6 Emerging GBCs
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Rapid Growth
50
60
Member Councils (2007-2010)
0
10
20
30
40
50
2007 2008 2009 2010
Prospective
Emerging
Established
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The value of green building construction
up from $10 billion in 2005 to circa $40 billion in 2008.
Asia Pacific Region
Market to triple by 2013, to over $100 billion
Source: The McGraw Hill report “Green Outlook 2009: Trends Driving Change
G R O W T H
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MARKET TRANSFORMATION CURVE
Energy
Eff/Green
Building
SaturationMaturityEarly AdoptionInnovation
Building
market
Information,
Education, Ca
pacity
Building
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MARKET TRANSFORMATION CURVE
EneEff/Gr
een
Building Pricing &
Voluntary
Measures
SaturationMaturityEarly AdoptionInnovation
Building
market
Information,
Education, Ca
pacity
Building
Pricing &
Incentives
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MARKET TRANSFORMATION CURVE
EneEff/Gr
een
Building
Pricing &
Incentives
Voluntary
SaturationMaturityEarly AdoptionInnovation
Building
market
Information,
Education, Ca
pacity
Building
Voluntary
Measures
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MARKET TRANSFORMATION CURVE
EneEff/Gr
een
Building
Market
presence is
Pricing &
Incentives
Voluntary
SaturationMaturityEarly AdoptionInnovation
Building
market
presence is
dependent on
extent and
consistency of
market pressureInformation,
Education, Ca
pacity
Building
Voluntary
Measures
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MARKET TRANSFORMATION CURVE
EneEff/Gr
een
Building
Market
presence is
Acceptance
Pricing &
Incentives
Voluntary
Regulations
Early momentum does
not lead to mass
adoption by itself
SaturationMaturityEarly AdoptionInnovation
Building
market
presence is
dependent on
extent and
consistency of
market pressure
Flame-out
Information,
Education, Ca
pacity
Building
Voluntary
Measures
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WORLD GREEN
BUILDING COUNCIL
ASIA PACIFIC NETWORK
The Journey
DIVERSITY, INNOVATION, LEADERSHIP
www.worldgbc-asia-pacific.org
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Green Buildings are not enough, we need a safe place to put them,to create a sustainable future for our people
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economyeconomy
Current Societal View
societyenvironmentenvironment
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environment
Sustainability
economysociety
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System Thinking
environment
society
economy
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Licence to Operate Measure & Plan Assist to Improve Continuous Improvement
Research & Innovation
Leadership & Influence
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Changing Market Dynamics
Want to tenant a Green Building but there are few available
Tenants
Investors Design & Build
Government Product
We can build green building, but developers don’t ask for them
We would like to fund sustainable buildings, but there is no demand
We would ask for more sustainable buildings, but the investors won’t fund them
Investors
Developers
Design & Build
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Investors are from Mars andgreen buildings are from Venus…green buildings are from Venus…
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Perception vs Reality
Business leaders perception is that green
buildings are on average 17% more
expensive.expensive.
….but the average increase is 2%
(WBCSD 2008)
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The Issues…..
– The “cost of cheap” is now becoming clear, to change this model Investors and developers need to understand the demand to be able to meet supply
– Many organisations still have a short term view and require sustainability to commercially out perform require sustainability to commercially out perform other options
– Investors continue to maintain riskier positions if they are cheaper short term, but the GFC has had an impact here
– A focus on cost instead of benefit has resulted in a major dislocation between risk and reward.
To build wealth and leave a positive legacy
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you don’t know 75%
Investors are unclear where to look for the value
25
you don’t know
what you don’t
know!
75%
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Firm strategyOperational capabilityCompetitive analysis
Risk assessmentManagement quality
Adding value through understanding more dimensions
Good risk managementof supply chain
Human capital management, cultur
e and leadership
26
Are stakeholders being considered to limit risk
to brand
Good governance is insurance for when
things go wrong
How are voter values driving government
policy
e and leadership
Are staff aligned through good OH&S
and values
Are management managing risk well
out of the public eyeAre the community and tenants likely to support
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Price = Cash Flow grown over time and discounted
= Cash Flow
--------------------------------------------------------
[ risk free rate + risk premium ] - growth
Pricing Intangibles
27
[ risk free rate + risk premium ] - growth
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Investors are not sure how to unlock the
value to great effect
Cash flow
---------------------------------------------------
[ risk free rate + risk premium ] - growth
Cash flow
---------------------------------------------------
[ risk free rate + risk premium ] - growth
Climate change
Managementquality
Loyal tenants
Workplacesafety
Governmentsupport
Committedworkforce
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Changing dynamics
– Markets are beginning to consider the cost/benefit proposition of sustainable investment.
– Institutional investors are seeking greater engagement from their real estate managers and are engagement from their real estate managers and are starting to comprehend the long term out performance opportunities.
– More research, measurement and engagement on key sustainability issues:– Technology and knowledge;
– Government policy direction;
– Ratings and assessments (both of property and managers).
To build wealth and leave a positive legacy
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Demand Side
• Drivers• Corporate Social Responsibility
• Carbon Reporting
• Better information available
• Smart Business • Smart Business
• Need a common language
• Need to trust
• Need to be involved
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Rating Tools = Purchasing Tool
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VOLUNTARY RATING TOOLS
Source: Building Commission, Australia
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Government LeadershipMalaysia• Building owners obtaining GBI Certificates from 24 October 2009 until 31 December 2014 be
given income tax exemption equivalent to the additional c apital expenditure in obtaining such Certificates
Japan• CASBEE Academic developed for government legislation. Required to be used.
Korea• President Lee put highest priority on “Green Growth”. • City of Seoul has introductory green building incentive system.
PhilippinesGovernment depts. working on Green Building Initiatives:� Department of Energy; Environment and Natural Resources; Labor,Transportation and
Communication.
Singaporeby 2030 80% of buildings to be green, all new government bldgs must achieve Greenmark platinum +
all existing bldgs with central HVAC must achieve gold
Australia• Mandatory Disclosure, Green Door policies
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Buildings are vital
business tools
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Productivity Increases• A post-refurbishment study of 500 Collins Street in
Melbourne found a 9% increase in typing speeds of secretaries and a 7% increase in lawyers' billings ratio, despite a 12% decline in the average monthly hours worked.
• At the City of Melbourne's CH2, Australia's first 6 Star Green Star - Office Design rated building, Green Star - Office Design rated building, productivity has risen by an impressive 10.9% since staff moved into their green office, with an estimated annual cost savings of $2 million.
• A productivity study of the Meridian Building in Wellington NZ, showed that, staff productivity improved by 9% (Productivity was closely related to comfort in the building.)
• Reports by RICS, WBCSD, Davis Langdon, Vivian Loftness
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Productivity Gains
Difference between business as usual and a
solution tuned to address productivity in the
workspace could add almost $250/m2/yearworkspace could add almost $250/m2/year
value to a tenant. (Lincoln Scott, 2009)
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Increase in Productivity & Learning
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Reduced Operating Costs
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• Rental Premium 3% - 6 % per square foot
• Sale price 16% higher than non- certified
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Capital Investment Premium
• Most green buildings cost 0 – 4% more than conventional buildings.
• The largest concentration of reported “green cost premiums” between 0 – 1%.
Green premiums increase with the level of • Green premiums increase with the level of greenness but most LEED buildings, up to Gold level (equivalent to 5 Green Star), can be built for the same cost as conventional buildings.
Source: Good Energies- Greening Buildings and Communities: Costs and Benefits
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Will business as usual
deliver?deliver?
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Construction Costs (CAPEX) (Typical Office Building)
Construction Cost (Capex) 41%
Running Costs (Opex) 24%
Furniture & Furnishings (Capex) 7½%
Land 7%
Maintenance 6%
5 / %1
2
5 / %1
2
3 / %1
2
6%
7%
41%
Maintenance 6%
Cleaning 5½%
Depreciation 5½%
Furniture & Furnishings Maintenance 3½%
Note : Excludes Occupants’ Costs
7 / %1
2
24%
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Whole of Life Cost
• Initial Construction (Capex)
• Operation Cost (Opex)
• Occupancy Cost• Occupancy Cost
• Upgrade / Regeneration
• End of Life (Disposal)
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Whole of Life Cost - Typical Office Building
Salaries of occupants 86½%
Construction Cost (Capex) 5½%
Running Costs (Opex) 3%
Furniture & Furnishings (Capex) 1%
Land 1%
1%
1%3
/ %4
3
/ %4
1
/ %2
5 / %1
2
3%
1%
Land 1%
Maintenance 1%
Cleaning ¾%
Depreciation ¾%
Furniture & Furnishings Maintenance ½%
Note : Includes Occupants’ Costs
86 / %1
2
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Decisions made here (Capex) lock in
WHOLE OF LIFE costs
1%
1%3
/ %4
3
/ %4
1
/ %2
5 / %1
2
3%
1%
86 / %1
2
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$5,000,000
$6,000,000
$7,000,000
$8,000,000
$9,000,000
Who
le o
f Life
Cos
tWhole of Life Cost Demo
Conventional
More Efficient
Capex + 40% / Opex -15%
$-
$1,000,000
$2,000,000
$3,000,000
$4,000,000
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Who
le o
f Life
Cos
t
Capex + 40% / Opex -15%
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$5,000,000
$6,000,000
$7,000,000
$8,000,000
$9,000,000
Who
le o
f Life
Cos
tWhole of Life Cost Demo
Conventional
More Efficient
Capex + 40% / Opex -15%
$-
$1,000,000
$2,000,000
$3,000,000
$4,000,000
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Who
le o
f Life
Cos
t
Capex + 40% / Opex -15%
Sweet spot!
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The Need for Integration
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HEADER
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High level of activity
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Clarity of vision ConsistencyCollaboration
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In Summary
• Green Building is future proofed investment
• Collaboration will grow the SIZE of the market
and deliver economic, social, environmental
benefitsbenefits
• Silo delivery model is inefficient
• Speaking the right language is vital
• More data and information is needed
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World Green Building Congress 2010
Join usSingapore 13th – 14th
September
www.worldgbc.org
September