Factors Influencing Step 1 Performance

Class of 2014 dataMay 22, 2012

What explains Step 1 performance?

Step 1

Phase1

MCATGPA

Phase 2CBSE Study

181‐198 199‐216 217‐230 231‐245 245‐271

Correlations with Pre‐Admissions Performance

Performance Correlation with Step 1

MCAT Verbal .205**

MCAT Physical Science .423**

MCAT Biological Science .315**

Undergraduate GPA .225**

Correlation of Step 1 with Courses

Course Correlation with Step 1

PHASE  1

HB .659**M2M .694**B&L .679**D&D .636**CVPR .721**

PHASE  2

NS .632**DEMS .626**LC .541**ID .589**

Correlations with Preparation

Performance Correlation with Step 1

CBSE .693**Study  hours– Phase II -.175*Study  hours– Study period -.355**Total # test questions .125

What explains Step 1 performance?

Step 1

Phase1

.640

MCATGPA.244

CBSE.675

Study.736

Phase 2

.695

R‐square indicates amount of variability in Step 1 attributable to variables in model.  Each step adds significantly (p = .001) to prediction except Phase 2.

What does performance look like at different levels of STEP 1

• Divide class performance on Step 1 into quartiles (Split out those failed or w/n 1 sem) 

at risk of failure (181‐198)1st quartile (199‐216)2nd quartile (217‐230)3rd quartile (231‐245)4th quartile (246‐271)

Phase 1 Scores by Step 1

STEP 1 181‐198 199‐216 217‐230 231‐245 245‐271N 5 28 31 33 35

HB 79.76% 84.02% 83.66% 88.26% 91.53%

M2M 80.81% 83.05% 84.29% 86.36% 90.85%

B&L 78.47% 84.11% 86.67% 89.53% 93.17%

D&D 80.96% 86.14% 86.84% 89.65% 93.27%

CVPR 76.70% 81.15% 82.77% 85.59% 90.43%

MEAN 79.34% 83.69% 84.91% 87.97% 91.94%

Phase 2 Scores by Step 1

STEP 1 181‐198 199‐216 217‐230 231‐245 246‐271

N 5 28 31 33 35

NS 79.80% 85.84% 85.63% 88.20% 92.79%

DEMS 78.58% 85.73% 85.50% 88.74% 91.74%

ID 77.98% 86.10% 84.62% 89.67% 92.82%

LC 78.82% 84.39% 83.37% 86.64% 89.85%

Mean 78.79% 84.78% 85.51% 88.31% 91.80%

Low Phase 1 & 2 Performance Predict Step 1 Scores

Study Behaviors by Step 1

STEP 1 Group 181‐198 199‐216 217‐230 231‐245 246‐271N 3‐5 25‐27 28‐29 27‐30 28‐31

Hours studyingPhase 2  297.60 262.22 322.50 264.53 210.71

Dedicated  214.80 188.54 182.07 138.00 157.16

Total questions 3667 2760 3241 3611 3393

CBSE

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