february 4 , 2008 national public radio · february 4 , 2008 january 29-31, 2008 1,000 likely...

March 13, 2006

National Survey ResultsNational Public RadioFebruary 4 , 2008

January 29-31, 2008

1,000 Likely voters

Greenberg Quinlan RosnerPage 2 |

March 13, 2006

National Public Radio, February 2008

Direction of the country


March 13, 2006


25 25 23 23

65 6668 68

3037

40 42 41 4142

34

3737

5049

38

54

63

37 3642

37

64

545450 50

5151 56

5550

4139

50

34

25

485451

56

15

40

65

90

Jan-01

Jul-01

Jan-02

Jul-02

Jan-03

Jul-03

Jan-04

Jul-04

Jan-05

Jul-05

Jan-06

Jul-06

Jan-07

Jul-07

Jan-08

Right direction Wrong direction

Demand for new direction reaches record high

ElectionElection KatrinaKatrina 2006 Election2006 Election

Generally speaking, do you think things in the country are going in the right direction, or do you feel things have gotten pretty seriously off on the wrong track?

Net Difference

-13 -22-8-9+10 -18+9-13-10+20+38-12-17 -9-10-11 -19 -18 -34 -40 -45-41 -45


March 13, 2006


3839

44

46

44

4948515251

42

4845

51

45

37 3840

6058

53

5250

4949464647

5552 5350

47

5659

5657

25

40

55

70

85

Sep-04 Jan-05 M ay-05 Sep-05 Jan-06 M ay-06 Sep-06 Jan-07 M ay-07 Sep-07 Jan-08

Approve Disapprove

Bush job approval steady

ElectionElection KatrinaKatrina

-19Net Difference

-14 -9-8-7+4 -20-1+5+4 -6 -17 -22+6

Do you approve or disapprove of the way George Bush is handling his job as president?

-6

2006 Election2006 Election

-13 -22 -18


March 13, 2006


25

35

28

69

59

65

15

30

45

60

75

Apr-07 Aug-07 Dec-07

Approve Disapprove

Congress approval improves slightly

Net Difference

-44-24 -37

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Congress is doing?


March 13, 2006


The issues


March 13, 2006


3

5

6

7

9

11

11

15

29

Moral values

Energy and gas prices

Social Security and Medicare

Taxes and spending

Illegal Immigration

Terrorism and national security

Health care

War in Iraq

The economy and jobs

Economy overtakes the War in Iraq as most important concernNow I am going to read you a list of concerns people have. Please tell me which ONE of these you think the President and Congress should be paying most attention to.


March 13, 2006


5

21

9

15

5

6

5

8

23

2

7

10

7

7

4

11

16

1

3

4

4

5

8

15

21

3231

Moral values

Terrorism and national security

Taxes and spending

Illegal immigration

Energy and gas prices

Social Security and Medicare

Health care

War in Iraq

The economy and jobsRepublicans IndependentsDemocrats

Economy top concern across all partiesNow I am going to read you a list of concerns people have. Please tell me which ONE of these you think the President and Congress should be paying most attention to.


March 13, 2006


The vote


March 13, 2006


40

44

28

36

51

494649

15

30

45

60

75

Dec-06 Apr-07 Aug-07 Dec-07

Republican Democrat

Presidential vote

Net Difference

+11+18 +13

I know it is a long way off, but thinking about the election in 2008, if the election for president were held today, for whom would you vote – the Democratic candidate or the Republican candidate?

+5


March 13, 2006


45 48

Hillary Clinton John McCain

Clinton McCain

Clinton and McCain in a near dead heatNow let me ask you again about your vote for President but with the candidate names. I know it is a long way off, but if the election for president were held today and the candidates were -- Democrat Hillary Clinton and Republican John McCain, for whom would you vote?

-3


March 13, 2006


86

5

32

88

58

90%

4000%

8000%

12000%

Clinton McCain Clinton McCain Clinton McCain

Clinton McCain

-81

Race between Clinton and McCain consolidates bases

+79 -26

Democrats Independents Republicans

Now let me ask you again about your vote for President but with the candidate names. I know it is a long way off, but if the election for president were held today and the candidates were -- Democrat Hillary Clinton and Republican John McCain, for whom would you vote?


March 13, 2006


47 48

Barack Obama John McCain

Obama McCain

Obama and McCain: evenNow let me ask you again about your vote for President but with the candidate names. I know it is a long way off, but if the election for president were held today and the candidates were -- Democrat Barack Obama and Republican John McCain, for whom would you vote?

-1


March 13, 2006


82

13

48

77

48

180%

4000%

8000%

12000%

Obama McCain Obama McCain Obama McCain

Obama McCain

-69

Obama and McCain: a battle for independents

+59 -

Democrats Independents Republicans

Now let me ask you again about your vote for President but with the candidate names. I know it is a long way off, but if the election for president were held today and the candidates were -- Democrat Barack Obama and Republican John McCain, for whom would you vote?


March 13, 2006


4944

Hillary Clinton Mitt Romney

Clinton Romney

Clinton edges RomneyNow let me ask you again about your vote for President but with the candidate names. I know it is a long way off, but if the election for president were held today and the candidates were -- Democrat Hillary Clinton and Republican Mitt Romney, for whom would you vote?

+5


March 13, 2006


53

41

Barack Obama Mitt Romney

Obama Romney

Obama soundly defeats RomneyNow let me ask you again about your vote for President but with the candidate names. I know it is a long way off, but if the election for president were held today and the candidates were -- Democrat Barack Obama and Republican Mitt Romney, for whom would you vote?

+12


March 13, 2006


Bases happy with their candidates


March 13, 2006


Overall voters more likely to vote for Obama after primary process

2224

37

23

More willing Less willing More willing Less willing

Much more willing Somewhat more willingMuch less willing Somewhat less willing

+10

And now let me ask you about some of the Democratic presidential candidates by name. After watching and reading about (THE CANDIDATE) over the past couple of months, do you find yourself more willing or less willing to consider supporting (THE CANDIDATE) for president?

52

3842

59

Obama Clinton

-21


March 13, 2006


Democrats very happy with both of their candidates

3343

2928



+38

And now let me ask you about some of the Democratic presidential candidates by name. After watching and reading about (THE CANDIDATE) over the past couple of months, do you find yourself more willing or less willing to consider supporting (THE CANDIDATE) for president?

69 65

31 32

Clinton Obama

+33


March 13, 2006


Voters more likely vote for McCain after primary process

1215

2723



+6

And now let me ask you about some of the Republican presidential candidates by name. After watching and reading about (THE CANDIDATE) over the past couple of months, do you find yourself more willing or less willing to consider supporting (THE CANDIDATE) for president?

49

3543

57

McCain Romney

-22


March 13, 2006


Republicans very happy with both of their candidates

23243130



+29

And now let me ask you about some of the Republican presidential candidates by name. After watching and reading about (THE CANDIDATE) over the past couple of months, do you find yourself more willing or less willing to consider supporting (THE CANDIDATE) for president?

62 59

33 34

McCain Romney

+25


March 13, 2006


Issue priorities and candidate characteristics


March 13, 2006


5

5

7

8

9

12

11

25

12

Abortion and the right to choose

Washington corruption and special interests

Individual rights and the Constitution

Gas prices and energy independence

National security and terrorism

Health insurance for all

The Iraq war

Change from Bush

The economy

Single highest priority Top 2 or three priorities

Democratic primary issues reflect priorities of nation: change, economy, the warNow let me read you a list of issues. For each one, based on what you have heard and read, please tell me how important an issue and priority it has been for the Democratic candidates for President?

49

48

43

45

29

29

24

18

16


March 13, 2006


3

5

7

9

7

6

12

11

12

Liberalism of Democratic candidates

Abortion and right to life

Health care costs

Out of control government spending

Illegal immigration

Cutting taxes

The economy

The Iraq war

The war on terrorism

Single highest priority Top 2 or three priorities

Which issues are GOP candidates focusing on?Now let me read you a list of issues. For each one, based on what you have heard and read, please tell me how important an issue and priority it has been for the Republican candidates for President?

48

47

45

33

31

29

26

18

13


March 13, 2006


Issues in Democratic primary more in tune with voters priorities

36

26

Democratic Republican

Democratic strongly Democratic somewhatRepublican strongly Republican somewhat

+7

Based on what you have heard and read, do you find yourself agreeing more with the issue priorities of the Democratic or the Republican candidates for president?

5043


March 13, 2006


10

13

20

28

28

33

37

Religious faith and good values

Strength

Strong convictions and authenticity

Trustworthiness

Optimism and hopefulness

Experience and effectiveness

Ability to work together

Ability to work together emerges as top quality of Democratic candidatesNow, which TWO of the following personal qualities of the leading Democratic candidates are emerging as most important in the Democratic primaries?


March 13, 2006


14

14

23

24

25

30

38

Strength

Optimism and hopefulness

Religious faith and good values

Strong convictions and authenticity

Ability to work together

Trustworthiness

Experience and effectiveness

Experience is top quality for Republican candidatesNow, which TWO of the following personal qualities of the leading Republican candidates are emerging as most important in the Republican primaries?


March 13, 2006


Voters more comfortable with personal qualities of Democratic candidates

3527

Democratic Republican

Democratic very Democratic somewhatRepublican very Republican somewhat

+6

Based on what you have heard and read, do you find yourself more comfortable with the qualities of the Democratic or the Republican candidates for president?

5044


March 13, 2006


Debate on the economy and Iraq


March 13, 2006

National Public Radio, February 2008 Greenberg Quinlan RosnerPage 30 |

• The Democratic candidates have been saying they will bring nearly all American troops home in a year - and pressure the Iraqi leaders to settle their differences and take responsibility for their own security. The funds spent in Iraq are needed at home.

• The Republican candidates have been saying the situation is getting better in Iraq and withdrawing will be a victory for theterrorists. If we cut off funding now for the troops we would show the terrorists that we don't have the courage to continue the fight against those who attacked us.

Which Iraq statement do you agree with more?


March 13, 2006


Independents support Democratic statement on Iraq

3640

3435

Democratic statement Republican statement Democratic statement Republican statement

Democratic statement strongly Democratic statement somewhatRepublican statement strongly Republican statement somewhat

+9

Now I'm going to read you a pair of statements that describe what the Democratic and Republican candidates for president have been saying. After I read these statements, please tell me which one you agree with more.

5344

+1555

40

Total Independents


March 13, 2006

National Public Radio, February 2008 Greenberg Quinlan RosnerPage 32 |

• The Democratic candidates say, the Bush economy has worked only for the wealthiest and CEOs, while average Americans struggle with high costs for health care, gas and food. Now with the economy falling into recession, we must cut middle class taxes and expand the child tax credit, invest in job-creating transportation projects and alternative energy, extend unemployment benefits for those recently laid off and reform the mortgage market to revive the housing industry.

• The Republican candidates say that the plans the Democrats have for increasing government spending will force Democrats to raise taxes on the middle class. Republicans say that their middle class tax cuts have brought us years of growth and new jobs, and the answer to the problems in housing and financial markets is to encourage business investment to create jobs. They also support making the tax cutspermanent and new tax cuts to put money in people's pockets.

Which Economic statement do you agree with more?


March 13, 2006


Overall and especially those whose top concern is economy overwhelmingly prefer Democratic plan

5143

2429

Democratic statement Republican statement Democratic statement Republican statement

Democratic statement strongly Democratic statement somewhatRepublican statement strongly Republican statement somewhat

+14

Now I'm going to read you a pair of statements that describe what the Democratic and Republican candidates for president have been saying. After I read these statements, please tell me which one you agree with more.

55

41

+26

62

36

Total Top concern: Economy


March 13, 2006


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february 4 , 2008 national public radio · february 4 , 2008 january 29-31, 2008 1,000 likely...

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