federal politics · means cutting spending in some government programs. … first prioritize...

29
Report FEDERAL POLITICS June 16, 2019

Upload: others

Post on 29-Jul-2020

0 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: FEDERAL POLITICS · means cutting spending in some government programs. … first prioritize investment in our communities even if means postponing coming back to balanced budgets

DATE

Report

NUMÉRO DE PROJET

FEDERAL POLITICS

June 16, 2019

Page 2: FEDERAL POLITICS · means cutting spending in some government programs. … first prioritize investment in our communities even if means postponing coming back to balanced budgets

2

METHODOLOGY

METHODOLOGY

Web survey using computer-assisted Web interviewing (CAWI) technology.

From June 7 to June 10, 2019

1,528 Canadians, 18 years of age or older, who have the right to vote in Canada, randomly recruited from LegerWeb’s online panel.

Using data from the 2016 Census, results were weighted according to age, gender, mother tongue, region and level of education in order to ensure a representative sample of the population.

No margin of error can be associated with a non-probability sample (Web panel in this case). However for comparative purposes, a probability sample of 1,528 respondents would have a margin of error of ±2.51%, 19 times out of 20.

Page 3: FEDERAL POLITICS · means cutting spending in some government programs. … first prioritize investment in our communities even if means postponing coming back to balanced budgets

3

METHODOLOGY

Notes on Reading this Report

The numbers presented have been rounded up. However, the numbers before rounding were used to calculate the sums presented and might therefore not correspond to the manual addition of these numbers.

In this report, data in bold red characters indicate a significantly lower proportion than that of other respondents. Conversely, data in bold green characters indicate a significantly higher proportion that that of other respondents.

A more detailed methodology is presented in the annex.

If you have questions about the data presented in this report, please contact Christian Bourque, Associate and Executive Vice-Present at the following e-mail address: [email protected]

Page 4: FEDERAL POLITICS · means cutting spending in some government programs. … first prioritize investment in our communities even if means postponing coming back to balanced budgets

4

ISSUES THAT THE FEDERAL GOVERNMENT SHOULD PRIORITIZE Q6. For each of the following issues, please indicate your preference when it comes to overall direction. This is only to find out what the next Federal government should prioritize.

Come October 2019 you would prefer a Federal Government that will…

Base: All respondents (n=1,528)

53%

37%

63%

47%

63%

37%

… first prioritize fighting climate change and protecting the environment, even if it means making tough economic choices.

… first prioritize ensuring finding foreign markets for our oil industry to ensure economic growth in this key sector of our economy.

…first prioritize going back to budget surpluses in the short term even if it means cutting spending in some government programs.

… first prioritize investment in our communities even if means postponing coming back to balanced budgets for four more years.

…first prioritize limiting the number of immigrants we welcome to Canada each year as we may be reaching our limit to integrate them in our communities.

… first prioritize increasing the number of immigrants we welcome to Canada to ensure that we can meet the demands of our growing economy.

Page 5: FEDERAL POLITICS · means cutting spending in some government programs. … first prioritize investment in our communities even if means postponing coming back to balanced budgets

5

TOTAL ATL QC ON MB/SK AB BC Male Female 18-34 35-54 55+

Weighted n = 1,522 104 359 584 97 172 206 732 789 404 522 596

Unweighted n = 1,528 100 411 614 125 125 153 826 702 261 599 668

… first prioritize fighting climate change and protecting the environment, even if it means making

tough economic choices. 53% 55% 66% 54% 37% 29% 52% 47% 58% 63% 54% 45%

… first prioritize ensuring finding foreign markets for our oil industry to ensure economic growth in this key

sector of our economy. 47% 45% 34% 46% 63% 71% 48% 53% 42% 37% 46% 55%

…first prioritize going back to budget surpluses in the short term even if it means cutting spending in some

government programs. 37% 35% 33% 38% 43% 45% 36% 43% 33% 30% 39% 42%

… first prioritize investment in our communities even if means postponing coming back to balanced budgets

for four more years. 63% 65% 67% 62% 57% 55% 64% 57% 67% 70% 61% 58%

…first prioritize limiting the number of immigrants we welcome to Canada each year as we may be reaching

our limit to integrate them in our communities. 63% 57% 64% 63% 72% 72% 53% 61% 65% 50% 66% 69%

… first prioritize increasing the number of immigrants we welcome to Canada to ensure that we can meet

the demands of our growing economy. 37% 43% 36% 37% 28% 28% 47% 39% 35% 50% 34% 31%

Q6. For each of the following issues, please indicate your preference when it comes to overall direction. This is only to find out what the next Federal government should prioritize.

Come October 2019 you would prefer a Federal Government that will…

Base: All respondents

ISSUES THAT THE FEDERAL GOVERNMENT SHOULD PRIORITIZE – DETAILED RESULTS

Page 6: FEDERAL POLITICS · means cutting spending in some government programs. … first prioritize investment in our communities even if means postponing coming back to balanced budgets

6

Q6. For each of the following issues, please indicate your preference when it comes to overall direction. This is only to find out what the next Federal government should prioritize.

Come October 2019 you would prefer a Federal Government that will…

Base: Respondents who intend to vote for the LPC, the NDP, the CPC, the PPC or the GPC

ISSUES THAT THE FEDERAL GOVERNMENT SHOULD PRIORITIZE – BY VOTING INTENTION

TOTAL CPC LPC NDP GPC PPC

Weighted n = 1,522 464 353 157 140 41

Unweighted n = 1,528 475 409 138 131 38

… first prioritize fighting climate change and protecting the environment, even if it means making

tough economic choices. 53% 22% 69% 69% 73% 45%

… first prioritize ensuring finding foreign markets for our oil industry to ensure economic growth in this

key sector of our economy. 47% 78% 31% 31% 27% 55%

…first prioritize going back to budget surpluses in the short term even if it means cutting spending in

some government programs. 37% 59% 24% 25% 28% 44%

… first prioritize investment in our communities even if means postponing coming back to balanced

budgets for four more years. 63% 41% 76% 75% 72% 56%

…first prioritize limiting the number of immigrants we welcome to Canada each year as we may be

reaching our limit to integrate them in our communities.

63% 81% 41% 44% 57% 80%

… first prioritize increasing the number of immigrants we welcome to Canada to ensure that

we can meet the demands of our growing economy. 37% 19% 59% 56% 43% 20%

Page 7: FEDERAL POLITICS · means cutting spending in some government programs. … first prioritize investment in our communities even if means postponing coming back to balanced budgets

7

16%

28%

17% 20% 19%

Strongly agree Somewhat agree Somewhat disagree Strongly disagree DNK / Refusal

44%

37%

TOTAL ATL QC ON MB/SK AB BC Male Female 18-34 35-54 55+

Weighted n = 1,522 104 359 584 97 172 206 732 789 404 522 596

Unweighted n = 1,528 100 411 614 125 125 153 826 702 261 599 668

TOTAL AGREE 44% 50% 44% 49% 25% 44% 39% 38% 50% 53% 42% 40%

Strongly agree 16% 15% 14% 18% 11% 19% 15% 13% 19% 21% 15% 13%

Somewhat agree 28% 35% 30% 31% 14% 25% 24% 25% 31% 32% 27% 27%

TOTAL DISAGREE 37% 26% 35% 34% 53% 46% 40% 46% 29% 22% 37% 47%

Somewhat disagree 17% 11% 16% 18% 20% 11% 24% 20% 15% 11% 20% 20%

Strongly disagree 20% 14% 19% 16% 33% 35% 16% 26% 14% 11% 18% 27%

I don’t know 16% 19% 18% 14% 21% 9% 18% 14% 17% 21% 18% 11%

Refusal 3% 5% 2% 3% 0% 2% 3% 2% 4% 5% 2% 1%

LEVEL OF AGREEMENT WITH THE CONCLUSION OF THE MMIWG Q7. Last week, the Canadian National Inquiry Into Missing and Murdered Indigenous Women and Girls issued a statement calling the situation of these women as an “ongoing genocide”. Do you agree or disagree with this conclusion?

Base: All respondents (n=1,528)

Page 8: FEDERAL POLITICS · means cutting spending in some government programs. … first prioritize investment in our communities even if means postponing coming back to balanced budgets

LEVEL OF AGREEMENT WITH THE CONCLUSION OF THE MMIWG – BY VOTING INTENTIONS

8

TOTAL CPC LPC NDP GPC PPC

Weighted n = 1,522 464 353 157 140 41

Unweighted n = 1,528 475 409 138 131 38

TOTAL AGREE 44% 34% 53% 59% 57% 38%

Strongly agree 16% 8% 23% 23% 25% 11%

Somewhat agree 28% 26% 31% 36% 32% 27%

TOTAL DISAGREE 37% 52% 36% 24% 30% 41%

Somewhat disagree 17% 19% 21% 17% 15% 3%

Strongly disagree 20% 33% 15% 7% 16% 38%

I don’t know 16% 12% 9% 16% 12% 21%

Refusal 3% 2% 1% 0% 1% 0%

Q7. Last week, the Canadian National Inquiry Into Missing and Murdered Indigenous Women and Girls issued a statement calling the situation of these women as an “ongoing genocide”. Do you agree or disagree with this conclusion?

Base: Respondents who intend to vote for the LPC, the NDP, the CPC, the PPC or the GPC

Page 9: FEDERAL POLITICS · means cutting spending in some government programs. … first prioritize investment in our communities even if means postponing coming back to balanced budgets

9

4%

22% 27%

19%

28%

Very good job Good job Poor job Very poor job DNK / Refusal

26% 47%

TOTAL ATL QC ON MB/SK AB BC Male Female 18-34 35-54 55+

Weighted n = 1,522 104 359 584 97 172 206 732 789 404 522 596

Unweighted n = 1,528 100 411 614 125 125 153 826 702 261 599 668

TOTAL GOOD JOB 26% 36% 29% 25% 15% 20% 27% 28% 24% 28% 25% 25%

Very good job 4% 3% 5% 4% 4% 1% 6% 5% 3% 5% 6% 2%

Good job 22% 33% 24% 21% 11% 20% 21% 24% 20% 23% 20% 23%

TOTAL POOR JOB 47% 30% 38% 48% 61% 60% 50% 53% 41% 35% 46% 56%

Poor job 27% 18% 23% 29% 36% 29% 28% 29% 26% 24% 28% 29%

Very poor job 19% 12% 15% 19% 25% 30% 23% 24% 15% 11% 18% 27%

I don’t know 25% 34% 29% 24% 25% 18% 19% 16% 33% 33% 26% 18%

Refusal 3% 0% 4% 3% 0% 2% 3% 2% 3% 4% 3% 1%

OPINION ABOUT HOW THE FEDERAL GOVERNMENT HANDLES ITS RELATIONSHIP WITH CHINA Q8. Canada has arrested Meng Wanzhou, a prominent Chinese technology executive facing an extradition request from the United States, at the request of U.S. authorities. China has arrested two Canadian citizens in what many consider to be retaliation for the detention of Meng, and is also holding up Canadian exports of canola, a dispute that threatens to spread to other agricultural commodities. Do you feel the federal government is doing a good or bad job handling its relationship with China, under the circumstances?

Base: All respondents (n=1,528)

Page 10: FEDERAL POLITICS · means cutting spending in some government programs. … first prioritize investment in our communities even if means postponing coming back to balanced budgets

OPINION ABOUT HOW THE FEDERAL GOVERNMENT HANDLES ITS RELATIONSHIP WITH CHINA – BY VOTING INTENTIONS

10

TOTAL CPC LPC NDP GPC PPC

Weighted n = 1,522 464 353 157 140 41

Unweighted n = 1,528 475 409 138 131 38

TOTAL GOOD JOB 26% 12% 55% 31% 25% 10%

Very good job 4% 1% 8% 9% 5% 0%

Good job 22% 11% 46% 22% 20% 10%

TOTAL POOR JOB 47% 66% 25% 41% 54% 68%

Poor job 27% 30% 21% 29% 32% 43%

Very poor job 19% 36% 4% 12% 21% 24%

I don’t know 25% 19% 20% 27% 20% 22%

Refusal 3% 3% 1% 1% 2% 0%

Q8. Canada has arrested Meng Wanzhou, a prominent Chinese technology executive facing an extradition request from the United States, at the request of U.S. authorities. China has arrested two Canadian citizens in what many consider to be retaliation for the detention of Meng, and is also holding up Canadian exports of canola, a dispute that threatens to spread to other agricultural commodities. Do you feel the federal government is doing a good or bad job handling its relationship with China, under the circumstances?

Base: Respondents who intend to vote for the LPC, the NDP, the CPC, the PPC or the GPC

Page 11: FEDERAL POLITICS · means cutting spending in some government programs. … first prioritize investment in our communities even if means postponing coming back to balanced budgets

APPENDIX

Page 12: FEDERAL POLITICS · means cutting spending in some government programs. … first prioritize investment in our communities even if means postponing coming back to balanced budgets

DETAILED METHODOLOGY

12

Sampling Frame

Participants were randomly selected from LegerWeb’s online panel.

Leger owns and manages an Internet panel that includes more than 400,000 Canadians coast to coast. An online panel consists of Web users profiled according to different demographic variables. The majority of Leger’s panel members (60%) were randomly recruited over the phone in the past ten years, which makes this panel very similar to the current Canadian population on a number of demographic characteristics. Moreover, 35% of panellists were recruited through affiliate programs and 5% through partner campaigns and programs.

To be eligible, respondents were required to be 18 years of age or older and have the right to vote in Canada.

Page 13: FEDERAL POLITICS · means cutting spending in some government programs. … first prioritize investment in our communities even if means postponing coming back to balanced budgets

13

Province Unweighted Weighted

British Columbia 153 206

Alberta 125 172

Saskatchewan 59 45

Manitoba 66 52

Ontario 614 584

Quebec 411 359

New Brunswick 34 34

Nova Scotia 39 40

Prince-Edward-Island 13 16

Newfoundland and Labrador 14 14

DETAILED METHODOLOGY

Weighted and Unweighted Sample

The table below presents the geographic distribution of respondents before weighting.

Page 14: FEDERAL POLITICS · means cutting spending in some government programs. … first prioritize investment in our communities even if means postponing coming back to balanced budgets

Weighted and Unweighted Sample

The following tables present the demographic distribution of respondents according to gender, age, language (mother tongue), level of education and household income.

The sample thus collected has a minimum weighting factor of 0.248 and a maximum weighting factor of 3.552. The weighted variance is 0.317.

14

GENDER Unweighted Weighted

Male 826 732 Female 702 789

AGE Unweighted Weighted

Between 18 and 34 261 404 Between 35 and 55 599 522 55 or over 668 596

LANGUAGE (MOTHER TONGUE)

Unweighted Weighted

English 973 1,026 French 348 317 Other 201 171

EDUCATION Unweighted Weighted

Primary/secondary school 357 475

College 450 609

University 706 415

DETAILED METHODOLOGY

Page 15: FEDERAL POLITICS · means cutting spending in some government programs. … first prioritize investment in our communities even if means postponing coming back to balanced budgets

SURVEY

15

[ASK ALL] [SINGLE MENTION] Q0QC. In which province or territory do you live?

AT Q0QCG

A series of questions were then inserted here in order to identify where respondents were from more specifically.

Label Value Attribute Termination

British Columbia 1

Alberta 2

Saskatchewan 3

Manitoba 4

Ontario 5

Quebec 6

New Brunswick 7

Nova Scotia 8

Prince-Edward-Island 9

Newfoundland and Labrador 10

Northwest Territories 11

Yukon 12

Nunavut 13

Page 16: FEDERAL POLITICS · means cutting spending in some government programs. … first prioritize investment in our communities even if means postponing coming back to balanced budgets

SURVEY

16

[ASK ALL]

[SINGLE MENTION]

SEXE. Please indicate your sex:

Note: As indicated by Statistics Canada, transgender, transsexual, and intersex Canadians should indicate the sex (male or female) with

which they most associate themselves.

[ASK ALL]

[SINGLE MENTION]

AGE. How old are you?

Label Value Attribute Termination

Male 1

Female 2

Label Value Attribute Termination

Under 18 0 TERMINATE

Between 18 and 24 1

Between 25 and 34 2

Between 35 and 44 3

Between 45 and 54 4

Between 55 and 64 5

Between 65 and 74 6

75 or older 7

I prefer not to answer 99 TERMINATE

Page 17: FEDERAL POLITICS · means cutting spending in some government programs. … first prioritize investment in our communities even if means postponing coming back to balanced budgets

SURVEY

17

[ASK ALL] [SINGLE MENTION] [LIST ORDER : Random 1-2] Q6. For each of the following issues, please indicate your preference when it comes to overall direction. This is only to find out what the next Federal government should prioritize. Come October 2019 you would prefer a Federal Government that will…

Label (A) Value Attribute Termination

… first prioritize fighting climate change and protecting the environment, even if it means making tough economic choices.

1

… first prioritize ensuring finding foreign markets for our oil industry to ensure economic growth in this key sector of our economy.

2

Label (B) Value Attribute Termination

…first prioritize going back to budget surpluses in the short term even if it means cutting spending in some government programs.

1

… first prioritize investment in our communities even if means postponing coming back to balanced budgets for four more years.

2

Label (C) Value Attribute Termination

…first prioritize limiting the number of immigrants we welcome to Canada each year as we may be reaching our limit to integrate them in our communities.

1

… first prioritize increasing the number of immigrants we welcome to Canada to ensure that we can meet the demands of our growing economy.

2

Page 18: FEDERAL POLITICS · means cutting spending in some government programs. … first prioritize investment in our communities even if means postponing coming back to balanced budgets

SURVEY

18

[ASK ALL] [SINGLE MENTION] [LABEL ORDER : In order] Q7. Last week, the Canadian National Inquiry Into Missing and Murdered Indigenous Women and Girls issued a statement calling the situation of these women as an “ongoing genocide”. Do you agree or disagree with this conclusion?

[ASK ALL] [SINGLE MENTION] [LABEL ORDER : In order] Q8. Canada has arrested Meng Wanzhou, a prominent Chinese technology executive facing an extradition request from the United States, at the request of U.S. authorities. China has arrested two Canadian citizens in what many consider to be retaliation for the detention of Meng, and is also holding up Canadian exports of canola, a dispute that threatens to spread to other agricultural commodities. Do you feel the federal government is doing a good or bad job handling its relationship with China, under the circumstances?

Label Value Attribute Termination

Strongly agree 1

Somewhat agree 2

Somewhat disagree 3

Strongly disagree 4

I don’t know 98 F

I prefer not to answer 99 F

Label Value Attribute Termination

Very good job 1

Good job 2

Poor job 3

Very poor job 4

I don’t know 98 F

I prefer not to answer 99 F

Page 19: FEDERAL POLITICS · means cutting spending in some government programs. … first prioritize investment in our communities even if means postponing coming back to balanced budgets

SURVEY

19

[ASK ALL] [SINGLE MENTION] SCOL. What is the last year of education that you have completed?

Label Value Attribute Termination

Elementary (7 years or less) 1

High school, general or vocational (8 to 12 years) 2

College (pre-university, technical training, certificate, accreditation

or advanced diploma ) 3

University certificates and diplomas 4

University Bachelor (including classical studies) 5

University Master's degree 6

University Doctorate (PhD) 7

I prefer not to answer 9

Page 20: FEDERAL POLITICS · means cutting spending in some government programs. … first prioritize investment in our communities even if means postponing coming back to balanced budgets

SURVEY

20

[ASK ALL]

[SINGLE MENTION]

LANGU. What is the language you first learned at home in your childhood and that you still understand?

[ASK ALL]

[SINGLE MENTION]

ENFAN. Are there any children who are UNDER 18 YEARS OF AGE living in your household?

(IF SO): Are any of them 12 YEARS OLD AND OLDER or LESS THAN 12 years old?

Label Value Attribute Termination

French 1

English 2

Other 3

English and French 7

French and other 4

English and other 5

Other and other 6

I prefer not to answer 9

Label Value Attribute Termination

Yes: 12 years of age and OLDER ONLY 1

Yes: 12 years of age and older AND younger than 12 years old 2

Yes: YOUNGER than 12 years old ONLY 3

No children under 18 years old at all in the household 4

I prefer not to answer 9

Page 21: FEDERAL POLITICS · means cutting spending in some government programs. … first prioritize investment in our communities even if means postponing coming back to balanced budgets

SURVEY

21

[ASK ALL]

[SINGLE MENTION]

OCCUP

What is your current main occupation?

N.B. WE ARE TALKING ABOUT PAYING JOBS ONLY. Even if you are on a sabbatical, maternity/paternity, illness or work-related accident leave, please select your OCCUPATION.

Label Value Attribute Termination

OFFICE WORKER (Cashier, office clerk, accounting clerk, secretary, etc.) 1

PERSONNEL SPECIALIZED IN SALES (Insurance agent, salesperson, sales clerk, real estate agent,

real estate broker, sales rep, etc.) 2

PERSONNEL SPECIALIZED IN SERVICES (Security agent, taxi driver, hairdresser, cook, clergy

member, military force member, police officer, firefighter, etc.) 3

MANUAL WORKERS (Farmer, packer, day labourer, miner, fisherman, forest worker, etc.) 4

SKILLED, SEMI-SKILLED WORKERS (Bricklayer, truck driver, electrician, machine operator,

mechanic, painter, plumber, etc.) 5

SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGIES WORKERS (Computer operator, programmer-analyst, technician,

audio-technician, lab technician, etc) 6

PROFESSIONALS (Archeologist, architect, artist, lawyer, banker, biologist, chemist, accountant,

consultant, foreman, dentist, designer, etc.) 7

MANAGERS/ADMINISTRATORS/OWNERS (Director, editor, entrepreneur, executive, manager,

businessperson, politician, president, etc.) 8

HOMEMAKER 9

STUDENT (Full-time or whose studies take up most of his/her time) 10

RETIRED (Pre-retired or annuitant) 11

UNEMPLOYED (Unemployment, welfare) 12

Other 96

(DO NOT READ) I prefer not to answer 99

Page 22: FEDERAL POLITICS · means cutting spending in some government programs. … first prioritize investment in our communities even if means postponing coming back to balanced budgets

SURVEY

22

[ASK ALL]

[SINGLE MENTION]

REVEN. Among the following categories, which one best reflects the total INCOME, before taxes, of all the members of your household in 2018?

Label Value Attribute Termination

$19,999 or less 1

Between $20,000 and $39,999 2

Between $40,000 and $59,999 3

Between $60,000 and $79,999 4

Between $80,000 and $99,999 5

$100,000 or more 6

I prefer not to answer 9

Page 23: FEDERAL POLITICS · means cutting spending in some government programs. … first prioritize investment in our communities even if means postponing coming back to balanced budgets

CROSSED TABLES (CONTINUED)

23

Come October 2019 you would prefer a Federal Government that will...

No:11 Gender Age Age2 Mother tongue Region Children

BB1 Total Male Female 18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65 + 18-34 35-54 55+ French English Other Atl. QC ON MB/SK AB BC Yes No

CP6A

Weighted Total : 1522 732 789 156 248 245 277 269 327 404 522 596 317 1026 171 104 359 584 97 172 206 410 1098

Absolute Total : 1528 826 702 88 173 262 337 317 351 261 599 668 348 973 201 100 411 614 125 125 153 424 1092

...first prioritize fighting climate change and protecting the environment, even if it means making tough economic choices.

53% 47% 58% 69% 60% 57% 51% 44% 45% 63% 54% 45% 66% 50% 41% 55% 66% 54% 37% 29% 52% 52% 53%

...first prioritize ensuring finding foreign markets for our oil industry to ensure economic growth in this key sector of our economy.

47% 53% 42% 31% 40% 43% 49% 56% 55% 37% 46% 55% 34% 50% 59% 45% 34% 46% 63% 71% 48% 48% 47%

Come October 2019 you would prefer a Federal Government that will...

FED - Federal voting intentions with leaners

Total LPC NDP BQ CPC GPC PPC Other I would

not vote

I would cancel my

vote

I don't know

I prefer not to

answer

CP6A

Weighted Total : 1522 353 157 54 464 140 41 11 85 34 143 40

Absolute Total : 1528 409 138 63 475 131 38 9 66 33 132 34

...first prioritize fighting climate change and protecting the environment, even if it means making tough economic choices.

53% 69% 69% 77% 22% 73% 45% 64% 49% 78% 60% 66%

...first prioritize ensuring finding foreign markets for our oil industry to ensure economic growth in this key sector of our economy.

47% 31% 31% 23% 78% 27% 55% 36% 51% 22% 40% 34%

Come October 2019 you would prefer a Federal Government that will...

No:13 Gender Age Age2 Mother tongue Region Children

BB1 Total Male Female 18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65 + 18-34 35-54 55+ French English Other Atl. QC ON MB/SK AB BC Yes No

CP6B

Weighted Total : 1522 732 789 156 248 245 277 269 327 404 522 596 317 1026 171 104 359 584 97 172 206 410 1098

Absolute Total : 1528 826 702 88 173 262 337 317 351 261 599 668 348 973 201 100 411 614 125 125 153 424 1092

...first prioritize going back to budget surpluses in the short term even if it means cutting spending in some government programs.

37% 43% 33% 26% 33% 36% 41% 44% 40% 30% 39% 42% 33% 38% 40% 35% 33% 38% 43% 45% 36% 39% 37%

...first prioritize investment in our communities even if means postponing coming back to balanced budgets for four more years.

63% 57% 67% 74% 67% 64% 59% 56% 60% 70% 61% 58% 67% 62% 60% 65% 67% 62% 57% 55% 64% 61% 63%

Page 24: FEDERAL POLITICS · means cutting spending in some government programs. … first prioritize investment in our communities even if means postponing coming back to balanced budgets

CROSSED TABLES (CONTINUED)

24

Come October 2019 you would prefer a Federal Government that will...

FED - Federal voting intentions with leaners

Total LPC NDP BQ CPC GPC PPC Other I would

not vote

I would cancel

my vote

I don't know

I prefer not to

answer

CP6B

Weighted Total : 1522 353 157 54 464 140 41 11 85 34 143 40 Absolute Total : 1528 409 138 63 475 131 38 9 66 33 132 34

...first prioritize going back to budget surpluses in the short term even if it means cutting spending in some government programs.

37% 24% 25% 30% 59% 28% 44% 26% 30% 45% 31% 32%

...first prioritize investment in our communities even if means postponing coming back to balanced budgets for four more years.

63% 76% 75% 70% 41% 72% 56% 74% 70% 55% 69% 68%

Come October 2019 you would prefer a Federal Government that will...

No:15 Gender Age Age2 Mother tongue Region Children

BB1 Total Male Female 18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65 + 18-34 35-54 55+ French English Other Atl. QC ON MB/SK AB BC Yes No CP6C

Weighted Total : 1522 732 789 156 248 245 277 269 327 404 522 596 317 1026 171 104 359 584 97 172 206 410 1098

Absolute Total : 1528 826 702 88 173 262 337 317 351 261 599 668 348 973 201 100 411 614 125 125 153 424 1092

...first prioritize limiting the number of immigrants we welcome to Canada each year as we may be reaching our limit to integrate them in our communities.

63% 61% 65% 43% 55% 63% 69% 74% 66% 50% 66% 69% 65% 63% 64% 57% 64% 63% 72% 72% 53% 62% 63%

...first prioritize increasing the number of immigrants we welcome to Canada to ensure that we can meet the demands of our growing economy.

37% 39% 35% 57% 45% 37% 31% 26% 34% 50% 34% 31% 35% 37% 36% 43% 36% 37% 28% 28% 47% 38% 37%

Come October 2019 you would prefer a Federal Government that will...

FED - Federal voting intentions with leaners

Total LPC NDP BQ CPC GPC PPC Other I would

not vote

I would cancel

my vote

I don't know

I prefer not to

answer

CP6C Weighted Total : 1522 353 157 54 464 140 41 11 85 34 143 40

Absolute Total : 1528 409 138 63 475 131 38 9 66 33 132 34

...first prioritize limiting the number of immigrants we welcome to Canada each year as we may be reaching our limit to integrate them in our communities.

63% 41% 44% 80% 81% 57% 80% 69% 67% 65% 73% 71%

...first prioritize increasing the number of immigrants we welcome to Canada to ensure that we can meet the demands of our growing economy.

37% 59% 56% 20% 19% 43% 20% 31% 33% 35% 27% 29%

Page 25: FEDERAL POLITICS · means cutting spending in some government programs. … first prioritize investment in our communities even if means postponing coming back to balanced budgets

CROSSED TABLES (CONTINUED)

25

Last week, the Canadian National Inquiry Into Missing and Murdered Indigenous Women and Girls issued a statement calling the situation of these women as an 'ongoing genocide'. Do you agree or disagree with this conclusion?

No:19 Gender Age Age2 Mother tongue Region Children

BB1 Total Male Female 18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65 + 18-34 35-54 55+ French English Other Atl. QC ON MB/SK AB BC Yes No

CP7

Weighted Total : 1522 732 789 156 248 245 277 269 327 404 522 596 317 1026 171 104 359 584 97 172 206 410 1098

Absolute Total : 1528 826 702 88 173 262 337 317 351 261 599 668 348 973 201 100 411 614 125 125 153 424 1092

NET AGREE 44% 38% 50% 57% 50% 48% 37% 39% 41% 53% 42% 40% 43% 44% 47% 50% 44% 49% 25% 44% 39% 48% 43%

Strongly agree 16% 13% 19% 23% 20% 16% 15% 10% 15% 21% 15% 13% 13% 17% 17% 15% 14% 18% 11% 19% 15% 16% 16%

Somewhat agree 28% 25% 31% 34% 30% 32% 22% 29% 26% 32% 27% 27% 30% 27% 30% 35% 30% 31% 14% 25% 24% 31% 27%

NET DISAGREE 37% 46% 29% 19% 24% 31% 43% 46% 48% 22% 37% 47% 38% 38% 31% 26% 35% 34% 53% 46% 40% 32% 39%

Somewhat disagree 17% 20% 15% 9% 12% 16% 23% 22% 19% 11% 20% 20% 19% 18% 12% 11% 16% 18% 20% 11% 24% 14% 19%

Strongly disagree 20% 26% 14% 10% 12% 15% 20% 24% 30% 11% 18% 27% 18% 21% 18% 14% 19% 16% 33% 35% 16% 18% 21%

I don't know 16% 14% 17% 21% 21% 20% 17% 14% 9% 21% 18% 11% 17% 15% 17% 19% 18% 14% 21% 9% 18% 16% 16%

I prefer not to answer 3% 2% 4% 4% 5% 2% 3% 1% 1% 5% 2% 1% 2% 2% 5% 5% 2% 3% 0% 2% 3% 4% 2%

Last week, the Canadian National Inquiry Into Missing and Murdered Indigenous Women and Girls issued a statement calling the situation of these women as an 'ongoing genocide'. Do you agree or disagree with this conclusion?

FED - Federal voting intentions with leaners

Total LPC NDP BQ CPC GPC PPC Other I would not

vote

I would cancel my

vote

I don't know

I prefer not to answer

CP7

Weighted Total : 1522 353 157 54 464 140 41 11 85 34 143 40

Absolute Total : 1528 409 138 63 475 131 38 9 66 33 132 34

NET AGREE 44% 53% 59% 47% 34% 57% 38% 60% 44% 26% 35% 31%

Strongly agree 16% 23% 23% 12% 8% 25% 11% 13% 25% 9% 13% 8%

Somewhat agree 28% 31% 36% 35% 26% 32% 27% 47% 19% 17% 23% 23%

NET DISAGREE 37% 36% 24% 44% 52% 30% 41% 18% 24% 40% 19% 28%

Somewhat disagree 17% 21% 17% 23% 19% 15% 3% 9% 11% 23% 8% 21%

Strongly disagree 20% 15% 7% 21% 33% 16% 38% 9% 13% 16% 11% 7%

I don't know 16% 9% 16% 8% 12% 12% 21% 0% 29% 35% 40% 15%

I prefer not to answer 3% 1% 0% 1% 2% 1% 0% 22% 3% 0% 5% 26%

Canada has arrested Meng Wanzhou, a prominent Chinese technology executive facing an extradition request from the United States, at the request of U.S. authorities. China has arrested two Canadian citizens in what many consider to be retaliation for the detention of Meng, and is also holding up Canadian exports of canola, a dispute that threatens to spread to other agricultural commodities. Do you feel the federal government is doing a good or bad job handling its relationship with China, under the circumstances?

No:17 Gender Age Age2 Mother tongue Region Children

BB1 Total Male Female 18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65 + 18-34 35-54 55+ French English Other Atl. QC ON MB/SK AB BC Yes No

CP8

Weighted Total : 1522 732 789 156 248 245 277 269 327 404 522 596 317 1026 171 104 359 584 97 172 206 410 1098

Absolute Total : 1528 826 702 88 173 262 337 317 351 261 599 668 348 973 201 100 411 614 125 125 153 424 1092

NET GOOD 26% 28% 24% 26% 29% 27% 24% 25% 25% 28% 25% 25% 31% 25% 23% 36% 29% 25% 15% 20% 27% 29% 25%

Very good job 4% 5% 3% 3% 5% 7% 4% 1% 4% 5% 6% 2% 5% 4% 5% 3% 5% 4% 4% 1% 6% 7% 3%

Good job 22% 24% 20% 23% 23% 20% 20% 24% 22% 23% 20% 23% 26% 21% 18% 33% 24% 21% 11% 20% 21% 23% 22%

NET POOR 47% 53% 41% 38% 33% 42% 50% 55% 56% 35% 46% 56% 36% 49% 54% 30% 38% 48% 61% 60% 50% 47% 47%

Poor job 27% 29% 26% 24% 24% 29% 28% 30% 28% 24% 28% 29% 20% 29% 31% 18% 23% 29% 36% 29% 28% 32% 26%

Very poor job 19% 24% 15% 13% 10% 13% 22% 25% 28% 11% 18% 27% 15% 20% 24% 12% 15% 19% 25% 30% 23% 15% 21%

I don't know 25% 16% 33% 32% 33% 29% 23% 19% 18% 33% 26% 18% 29% 24% 18% 34% 29% 24% 25% 18% 19% 22% 26%

I prefer not to answer 3% 2% 3% 3% 5% 3% 3% 1% 1% 4% 3% 1% 5% 2% 4% 0% 4% 3% 0% 2% 3% 2% 3%

Page 26: FEDERAL POLITICS · means cutting spending in some government programs. … first prioritize investment in our communities even if means postponing coming back to balanced budgets

CROSSED TABLES (CONTINUED)

26

Canada has arrested Meng Wanzhou, a prominent Chinese technology executive facing an extradition request from the United States, at the request of U.S. authorities. China has arrested two Canadian citizens in what many consider to be retaliation for the detention of Meng, and is also holding up Canadian exports of canola, a dispute that threatens to spread to other agricultural commodities. Do you feel the federal government is doing a good or bad job handling its relationship with China, under the circumstances?

FED - Federal voting intentions with leaners

Total LPC NDP BQ CPC GPC PPC Other I would

not vote

I would cancel my

vote

I don't know

I prefer not to

answer

CP8

Weighted Total : 1522 353 157 54 464 140 41 11 85 34 143 40

Absolute Total : 1528 409 138 63 475 131 38 9 66 33 132 34

NET GOOD 26% 55% 31% 34% 12% 25% 10% 25% 15% 12% 13% 12%

Very good job 4% 8% 9% 6% 1% 5% 0% 0% 1% 2% 2% 0%

Good job 22% 46% 22% 28% 11% 20% 10% 25% 13% 11% 11% 12%

NET POOR 47% 25% 41% 49% 66% 54% 68% 36% 46% 43% 34% 41%

Poor job 27% 21% 29% 34% 30% 32% 43% 33% 27% 33% 18% 29%

Very poor job 19% 4% 12% 16% 36% 21% 24% 2% 19% 10% 16% 12%

I don't know 25% 20% 27% 17% 19% 20% 22% 39% 35% 34% 52% 20%

I prefer not to answer 3% 1% 1% 0% 3% 2% 0% 0% 4% 11% 1% 27%

Page 27: FEDERAL POLITICS · means cutting spending in some government programs. … first prioritize investment in our communities even if means postponing coming back to balanced budgets

EMPLOYEES CONSULTANTS

400 75

6 OFFICES

MONTREAL | QUEBEC | TORONTO | EDMONTON | CALGARY | PHILADELPHIA

• Leger Marketing research and polling • Leger Metrics Real-time VOC satisfaction measurement • Leger Analytics Data modeling and analysis • Leger UX UX research and optimization of interactive platforms • Legerweb Panel management • Leger Communities Online community management • International Research Worldwide Independent Network (WIN) • Qualitative Research Room Rentals

OUR SERVICES

27

Page 28: FEDERAL POLITICS · means cutting spending in some government programs. … first prioritize investment in our communities even if means postponing coming back to balanced budgets

OUR CREDENTIALS

Leger is a member of ESOMAR (European Society for Opinion

and Market Research), the global association of opinion polls

and marketing research professionals. As such, Leger is

committed to applying the international ICC/ESOMAR code of

Market, Opinion and Social Research and Data Analytics.

Leger is also member of the Insights Association, the American

Association of Marketing Research Analytics.

Leger is a member of the Canadian Research Insights Council (CRIC), the industry association for the market/survey/insights research industry.

28