feedback from july 28, 2016 -...

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Extend period of record for data comparison – last 5 years may not be representative; NJ 7-day rolling mean criteria should be compared to rolling mean of daily max (not mean); More work needed in identifying potential thermal loads; More work needed to determine if WWF is protective in Zone 1B; More work needed to determine if cold water criteria should be recommended in Zone 1A. Presented to an advisory committee of the DRBC on May 11, 2017. Contents should not be published or re-posted in whole or in part without permission of DRBC. Feedback from July 28, 2016

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Page 1: Feedback from July 28, 2016 - liberty.state.nj.usliberty.state.nj.us/drbc/library/documents/WQAC/051117/yagecic... · 7.4% > PA WWF near Barryville If adopted, exceedances most likely

Extend period of record for data comparison – last 5 years may not be representative;

NJ 7-day rolling mean criteria should be compared to rolling mean of daily max (not mean);

More work needed in identifying potential thermal loads;

More work needed to determine if WWF is protective in Zone 1B;

More work needed to determine if cold water criteria should be recommended in Zone 1A.

Presented to an advisory committee of the DRBC on May 11, 2017. Contents should not be published or re-posted in whole or in part without permission of DRBC.

Feedback from July 28, 2016

Page 2: Feedback from July 28, 2016 - liberty.state.nj.usliberty.state.nj.us/drbc/library/documents/WQAC/051117/yagecic... · 7.4% > PA WWF near Barryville If adopted, exceedances most likely

Compare Observations to PA WWF

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10/28/1995 7/24/1998 4/19/2001 1/14/2004 10/10/2006 7/6/2009 4/1/2012 12/27/2014 9/22/2017

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Comparison of Delaware River Continuous Temperature Data to PA WWF Criteria 1996-2016

Trenton near Barryville PA WWF Criteria

Comparison incorporates longer time series 1996-2016

Presented to an advisory committee of the DRBC on May 11, 2017. Contents should not be published or re-posted in whole or in part without permission of DRBC.

Page 3: Feedback from July 28, 2016 - liberty.state.nj.usliberty.state.nj.us/drbc/library/documents/WQAC/051117/yagecic... · 7.4% > PA WWF near Barryville If adopted, exceedances most likely

Revised Likelihood of Exceedancebased on 1996-2016

14.3% > PA WWF at Trenton

7.4% > PA WWF near Barryville

If adopted, exceedances most likely in spring and in December

Percent of the total potential exceedances at each site by month

Month Trenton near Barryville

Jan 14% 3%

Feb 19% 4%

Mar 22% 12%

Apr 34% 20%

May 24% 22%

Jun 7% 8%

Jul 4% 2%

Aug 2% 0%

Sep 1% 0%

Oct 2% 0%

Nov 6% 1%

Dec 26% 12%

Presented to an advisory committee of the DRBC on May 11, 2017. Contents should not be published or re-posted in whole or in part without permission of DRBC.

Page 4: Feedback from July 28, 2016 - liberty.state.nj.usliberty.state.nj.us/drbc/library/documents/WQAC/051117/yagecic... · 7.4% > PA WWF near Barryville If adopted, exceedances most likely

Compare Observations to NJ FW2-NT1996-2016

Above Criteria Daily Max 7 Day Average

Trenton 0.2% 4.3%

Near Barryville 0.2% 2.2%

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10/28/1995 7/24/1998 4/19/2001 1/14/2004 10/10/2006 7/6/2009 4/1/2012 12/27/2014 9/22/2017

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Comparison of USGS Continuous Temperature Observations toNJ-FW2-NT Daily Max Criteria, 1996-2016

Trenton Daily Max near Barryville Daily Max NJ Daily Max

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10/28/1995 7/24/1998 4/19/2001 1/14/2004 10/10/2006 7/6/2009 4/1/2012 12/27/2014 9/22/2017

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Comparison of USGS Continuous Temperature Observations toNJ-FW2-NT Rolling 7-Day Average Criteria, 1996-2016

Trenton 7-day rolling mean near Barryville 7-day rolling mean NJ Rolling 7-Day Avg Criteria

Rolling 7-day mean of daily

max temperature

Presented to an advisory committee of the DRBC on May 11, 2017. Contents should not be published or re-posted in whole or in part without permission of DRBC.

Page 5: Feedback from July 28, 2016 - liberty.state.nj.usliberty.state.nj.us/drbc/library/documents/WQAC/051117/yagecic... · 7.4% > PA WWF near Barryville If adopted, exceedances most likely

Potential Thermal Loads

Point discharges and power generation facilities in drainage to the non-tidal Delaware River

Presented to an advisory committee of the DRBC on May 11, 2017. Contents should not be published or re-posted in whole or in part without permission of DRBC.

Page 6: Feedback from July 28, 2016 - liberty.state.nj.usliberty.state.nj.us/drbc/library/documents/WQAC/051117/yagecic... · 7.4% > PA WWF near Barryville If adopted, exceedances most likely

Is WWF protective in Zone 1B?

Coldwater ecosystem protection recommendations from PA Fish & Boat and NY DEC, January 2010.

Proposed management objectives from Delaware River tailwaters.

Callicoon in Zone 1A (RM 303.7); Upstream limit of 1B at RM 289.9

(13.8 miles downstream); WWF protection in 1B and

downstream would be consistent with PAF&B and NYDEC recommendations.

Presented to an advisory committee of the DRBC on May 11, 2017. Contents should not be published or re-posted in whole or in part without permission of DRBC.

Page 7: Feedback from July 28, 2016 - liberty.state.nj.usliberty.state.nj.us/drbc/library/documents/WQAC/051117/yagecic... · 7.4% > PA WWF near Barryville If adopted, exceedances most likely

Should CWF Criteria be recommended for Zone 1A?

Our expectation is that cold water is a byproduct of reservoir operation;

Expect temperature regimes above the reservoirs to be higher than below;

PA F&B and NY DEC had limited recommendations for cold water protection in 1A;

Recommend a separate track for this effort to allow continued progress for Zones 1B through 1E.

Presented to an advisory committee of the DRBC on May 11, 2017. Contents should not be published or re-posted in whole or in part without permission of DRBC.

Page 8: Feedback from July 28, 2016 - liberty.state.nj.usliberty.state.nj.us/drbc/library/documents/WQAC/051117/yagecic... · 7.4% > PA WWF near Barryville If adopted, exceedances most likely

Old Comparison of reservoir impact on temperature

Presented to an advisory committee of the DRBC on May 11, 2017. Contents should not be published or re-posted in whole or in part without permission of DRBC.

Page 9: Feedback from July 28, 2016 - liberty.state.nj.usliberty.state.nj.us/drbc/library/documents/WQAC/051117/yagecic... · 7.4% > PA WWF near Barryville If adopted, exceedances most likely

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Day of Year

Comparison of Beaver Kill (unimpacted by reservoir) andEast Branch Delaware at Harvard (downstream of reservoir) Temperature Data

Beaver Kill at Cooks Falls East Branch Delaware at Harvard

Temperature influence of reservoirs

Presented to an advisory committee of the DRBC on May 11, 2017. Contents should not be published or re-posted in whole or in part without permission of DRBC.

Daily mean temperatures

2000 through 2016

Page 10: Feedback from July 28, 2016 - liberty.state.nj.usliberty.state.nj.us/drbc/library/documents/WQAC/051117/yagecic... · 7.4% > PA WWF near Barryville If adopted, exceedances most likely

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Comparison of Beaver Kill (unimpacted by reservoir) andWest Branch Delaware at Hale Eddy (downstream of reservoir) Temperature Data

Beaver Kill at Cooks Falls West Branch Delaware at Hale Eddy

Temperature influence of reservoirscontinued

Presented to an advisory committee of the DRBC on May 11, 2017. Contents should not be published or re-posted in whole or in part without permission of DRBC.

Daily mean temperatures

2000 through 2016