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    INFLATION

    By

    Group-9

    By

    Group-9

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    CONCEPTS

    INFLATION

    DEFINATION GENERAL PRICE LEVELS

    INCREASES

    VALUE OF MONEY (PURCHASINGPOWER OF MONEY ) FALLS

    MONEY CIRCULATION >PRODUCTION

    PROBLEMS

    PRICE RISE IS FASTER THAN INCOME

    STANDARD OF LIVING DECLINES

    MAJOR SOCIAL TENSIONS

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    Inflationary Spikes

    Hyper inflation

    Stagflation

    Disinflation

    Deflation

    Reflation

    Term Related to Inflation

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    Inflation data of past 5 year

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    FIVE YEAR INFLATION TREND

    Data source: www.rbi.gov.in

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    METHODS OF CALCULATION

    WPI CPIMeasure the temporal price change ofwholesale transactions of allcommodities in the country.

    Measures the average price ofconsumer goods and servicespurchased by households.

    The weights of items have beenassigned in proportion to their share inthe total value of transaction (output)in the economy

    Weights are assigned in proportion totheir share in the consumptionexpenditure of the family of industrialworkers in the selected centers

    Measures inflation at each stage ofproduction

    Measures inflation only at final stage ofproduction.

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    India, is amongst fewcountries of the world,which selected WPI as itsofficial scale to measure

    the inflation in theeconomy.

    Most of the majoreconomies like US, UK,Japan, France, Singaporeand even our arch rival

    China have selected CPI asits official barometer toweigh its inflation

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    Demand-pull inflationrefers to the idea that theeconomy actual demands more goods and services thanavailable. This shortage of supply enables sellers to raiseprices until an equilibrium is put in place between supplyand demand.

    Thecost-push theory, also known as "supply shockinflation", suggests that shortages or shocks to the

    available supply of a certain good or product will cause aripple effect through the economy by raising pricesthrough the supply chain from the producer to theconsumer. You can readily see this in oil markets. WhenOPEC reduces oil supply, prices are artificially driven up

    and result in higher prices at the pump.

    CAUSE OF INFLATION IN INDIA

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    Contd..

    Money supplyplays a large role in inflationarypressure as well. Low interest rates correspond with ahigh levels of money supply and allow for more

    investment in big business and new ideas whicheventually leads to unsustainable levels of inflation ascheap money is available.

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    EFFECTS OF INFLATION

    Income Distribution

    # wages earner

    # producers#fixed income class

    #borrowers and lenders

    Employment

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    CRUDE OIL PRICES AND INFLATION

    Crude oil inflation

    205

    210

    215

    220

    225

    230

    235

    240

    245

    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug

    Series2

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    REMEDIES

    1. Cash Reserve Ratio increased.

    2. Control over Price of Petrol and Diesel.

    3. Decreased import tariff.4. Tax increase

    5. Cement price control.

    6. Import duty on non-agricultural productswas brought down to 10% from 12.5%

    7. Allowed appreciating the Rupee.

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    CURRENT SCENARIO

    . The inflation rate in India was recorded at 7.25

    percent in June of 2012

    Indias retail inflation, measured by the

    Consumer Price Index, dropped marginally to

    10.02% in June compared to 10.36% in theprevious month of May

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    Thank you