financial results for q1 2020 · 2020-05-31 · 3 q1 2020 –executive summary financial results...
TRANSCRIPT
Financial results for Q1 2020
Warsaw, 28 May 2020
2
Structure and division of powers of the Management BoardFinancial results for Q1 2020
*Managing Director – coordinates several departments and areas and reports to the President of the Management Board
HR and Administration Department
Corporate Supervision Department
Internal Communications Department
Controlling Department
Accounting Department
Finance Management Department
Branches (PL, DE, RO)
Purchasing Department
Risk Department
IT Department
Strategic Organisational Project Department
Tax Department
Jarosław RomanowskiMember of the Management Board
CIECH R&D
Logistics / S&OP Department
Operational Excellence
Investment Department (including PMO and Power Engineering)
Asset and Safety Management Department (including OHS)
Environmental Department
Quality Management Department
Strategic Investment Project Department
Mirosław SkowronMember of the Management Board
Strategy Department
Legal Department
Compliance Department
Internal Audit Department
MB Representative for Investor Relations
Public Relations Manager / Press Officer
Dawid JakubowiczPresident of the Management Board
Soda segment (soda, salt)
Organic segment (crop protection products, foams, resins)
Silicate and glass segment (silicates, glass packaging)
Transport segment (transport services)
Rafał Czubiński, Managing Director*
Appointed to the Management Board by the Supervisory Board of CIECH S.A. on 20 April 2020. At CIECH, he is in charge of finance and severalother departments. Manager with long-standing experience in management of global organizations. An expert in the field of international trade,financing and project development. For years, associated with the raw materials sector. In 2003-2006 and 2017-2020, he served as Vice-Presidentof the Management Board, Chief Financial Officer at Tele-Fonika Kable S.A. In 2002-2016, he worked for KGHM Polska Miedź S.A as: Chief FinancialOfficer, General Director for Sales and Hedging. First Vice President of the Management Board of KGHM Polska Miedź S.A. between 2013 and 2016.A graduate of the Faculty of Management at the Poznań University of Economics. He has completed a number of prestigious coursesin international finance, risk management and business valuation.
Jarosław Romanowski
new Member of theManagement Board
of CIECH S.A.
3
Q1 2020 – executive summaryFinancial results for Q1 2020
Stable performance in Q1 2020 and sound financial position
Key developments in Q1 2020
PLN 142m adj. EBITDA -11% y/y
17% adj. margin EBITDA [vs 17% in Q1 2019]
PLN 11m – improvement in operating cash flows [+ PLN 33m y/y]
PLN -58m – improvement in working
capital employment y/y [vs PLN -161m in Q1 2019]
PLN -152m – decrease in free cash flows
[-PLN 30m y/y]
2.6 net debt to EBITDA (A)
calculated based on covenants in the facility agreement
• A number of measures aimed at mitigating the impact ofthe coronavirus, such as ensuring staff safety, securing financial liquidity and ensuring continuity of operations
• Continued transformation of the Group
• Completion of contracting for soda for 2020
• Use of available financing – additional revolving facilities of PLN 500m
• Preparations for executing reverse factoring agreements of PLN 200 million – supplier financing agreements, aimed at securing risks related to the current market situation
• Signing letters of intent on cooperation in the construction of a waste incineration plant
• Implementation of the Voluntary Redundancy Programme at CIECH Soda Romania
• Continued construction of new saltworks in Germany
• Demerger of CIECH Sarzyna through the spin-off of CIECH Żywice
• Implementation of a new strategy for CIECH Sarzyna, introduction of systems for more effective management of sales of crop protection products
PLN 694m – cash as at the end of Q1 2019
[+PLN 564 m y/y]
1. Key developments in Q1 2020
2. Financial results for Q1 2020
3. Outlook
4. Appendices
5
COVID-19: support for employees and local communitiesKey developments in Q1 2020
Safety of employees
• 300 thousand masks for all employees
• 12.5 thousand liters of disinfecting fluids for workplace disinfection
• 1 thousand protective suits
• Medical care model extended to include psychological support package
• Infection insurance Visible disinfection of large facilities such as a reception area, entrance gate, cabinets, welfare facilities
• Safe commute to work (disinfected buses, rental of additional cars)
• Assistance in remote working – webinars, podcasts, tips on how to cooperate and deal with isolation
• Purchase of additional laptops for employees who work with desktop computers
Support for healthcare
Support for employees and their
families
• 100 mattresses for a camp hospital in the Kujawsko-Pomorskie Province
• 80 protective visors for the emergency centre in Żagań printed on a 3D printer by CIECH Vitrosilicon
• 250 protective visors purchased for Isolation Hospital in Łańcut and Leżajsk
• 200 protective visors and 100 protective suits purchased for Isolation Hospital in Bydgoszcz
• 400 protective visors purchased for the County Hospital and Fire Brigade in Inowrocław, and for Isolation Hospital in Grudziądz
• PLN 42 thousand for the purchase of a specialist bed in Leżajsk Hospital and suits for local authorities
• 100 medical suits for a hospital of Madrid
• 7 thousand liters of disinfecting fluids produced by CIECH Sarzyna for all employees and their families
• 2.8 thousand packages for employees with sweets and games for Easter
• 300 tablets for employees’ children –suport for e-school
• Additional gigabytes of Internet for employees
• Payment of a special award for stationary employees for the period from 16 to 31 March 2020
6Key developments in Q1 2020
Key measures at the Group level and in segments
Continuation of measures focused on many areas at the CIECH Group level
Organic segment Silicates and Glass segmentSoda segment
Organisation adjustment Carrying out investment projects
Review of the organizational structure
Digital transformation
Finance
Energy and production efficiency
Purchases
HR Strategy
IT
R&D/ innovations
Product development
Development projects
Day-to-day operations in businesses
7
Completion of soda contracting for 2020Key developments in Q1 2020
67%
33%
Annual Longer than 1 year
Stable client base over the last 10 years – solid relationships with customers
Long-term relationships and business predictability are the priorities for CIECH
Type of sodium carbonate contracts
2020
8
CIECH's exposure to sectors in key businessesKey developments in Q1 2020
Detailed analysis of exposure to end markets of CIECH customers
Salt: customers’ end marketsSoda: customers’ end markets
38%
27%
9%
8%
8%
9%
Container glass,including economic
Construction Automotive -flat glass
Automotive -other*
Detergents Other
39%
37%
11%
10%3%
Households Food industry,including agriculture
Chemicalindustry
Services, including horeca, swimmingpools
Other
* Including: silicates, phosphoric acid; pigments; water treatment, insulation materials
Customer diversification as an opportunity to mitigate the negative effects of the pandemic
9
Market environment: hedging and contracts at CIECHKey developments in Q1 2020
*The amount contracted may increase depending on the level of sales contracting; ** At CSD – hedging of sales of surplus electricity generation; *** Due to the current market situation and production efficiency, CIECH prefers to purchase coke rather than anthracite.
Market quotations allow us to assess the trend, not the actual contract prices of CIECH. In the first instance, we use up our stocks
Hedging: a long-term hedging strategy aimed at achieving minimum levels of hedging (a simplified overview of the approach to hedging at CIECH):
Contracts: hedging strategy for key raw materials (simplified overview of the approach to contracts at CIECH):
Power coal
Coke
Anthracite
A strategy for long-term hedging of power coal supply conditions (volumes and prices), providing for different levels of exposure hedging depending on the materialisation of market scenarios adopted in the strategy
A strategy for annual hedging of coke supplies (volumes and prices), providing for different levels of contracting in subsequent quarters of the year, depending on the materialisation of market scenarios adopted in the strategy
Purchase under contracts negotiated on a quarterly/ semi-annual basis (volumes and prices)
Up to 75% Up to 50% Up to 25%`
Possible levels of hedging* in the base year for a given period n:
n n+1 n+2
EUR/PLN
EUA
Natural gas
Electricty at CSD**
To reduce the volatility of cash flows and increase the predictability of the Group's financial performance, the Group applies a market risk hedging strategy.
1. Key developments in Q1 2020
2. Financial results for Q1 2020
3. Outlook
4. Appendices
11
[PLNm] Q1 2020 Q1 2019 y/y
Revenues 854.4 952.7 -10.3%
Gross profit on sales
178.8 192.8 -7.3%
Gross marginon sales
20.9% 20.2% 0.7 p.p.
EBITDA 144.9 160.3 -9.6%
EBITDA margin 17.0% 16.8% 0.2 p.p.
EBITDA (A) 142.1 159.6 -11.0%
EBITDA (A) margin 16.6% 16.7% -0.1 p.p.
EBIT 63.3 83.4 -24.0%
EBIT margin 7.4% 8.8% -1.4 p.p.
Net profit/(loss) 39.4 61.8 -35.0%
Net margin 4.6% 6.5% -1.9 p.p.
EBITDA (A) – EBITDA adjusted for untypical one-off events; *Settlement of foreign exchange differences related to debt issued in EUR, previously designated as a hedge of revenues in EUR as of 2020. This settlement will be continued in subsequent quarters until the accumulated negative principal amount from revenues hedging is fully covered. The total value of principal on this account is PLN -22.5m, of which PLN -5.0m was settled for the first quarter. PLN -3.8m is the CIRS settlement of the principal amount.
Financial results for Q1 2020
EBITDA (A) margin has remained stable
Revenues:
• lower soda volumes – shutdown of the Romanian plant (-);
• higher soda and salt prices (+);
• settlement of HY and CIRS debt (PLN -8.8m)* (-);
• higher sales of crop protection products – change of the sales model (+);
• lower sales of foams (-).
EBITDA (A):
• higher prices of coal and CO2 certificates(-);
• effect of shutdown of CSR (-);
• settlement of HY and CIRS debt (PLN -8.8m) (-);
• provision for LTIP (PLN -3.9m) (-);
• other factors are discussed in a slide, broken down by segment.
Net profit (loss):
• provision for LTIP;
• negative valuations of financial instruments.
12
Performance vs consensus
PAP consensus based on projections from 8 brokerage houses.
Financial results for Q1 2020
[PLNm] Q1 2020 Performance Q1 2020 Consensus Range of projections
Revenues 854.4 858.1 800.7 - 930.0
EBITDA 144.9 159.3 149.0 - 177.0
EBITDA margin 17.0% 18.6% -
EBITDA (A) 142.1 159.3 149.0 - 177.0
EBITDA (A) margin 16.6% 18.6% -
EBIT 63.3 74.2 61.0 - 86.8
EBIT margin 7.4% 8.6% -
Net profit/(loss) 39.4 47.4 33.0 - 68.0
Net margin 4.6% 5.5% -
159,6
142,1
174,6
-9,3
2,7 0,9 0,2
-12,0
32,5
1+2+3+4
13
23% adj. EBITDA margin in the soda segmentFinancial results for Q1 2020
EBITDA (A)Q1 2019
Silicates and Glass
segment
EBITDA (A)Q1 2020
Organic segment
Soda segment
Y/y improvement in EBITDA (A) margin in Q1 2020 in all operating segments
Transport segment
Other
EBITDA (A) y/y [PLNm], EBITDA (A) margin
• (2) Provision for LTIP(PLN -3.9m) (-)
• (3) R&D settlement(PLN -3.7m) (-)
• Eliminations (-)
23.2% 9.7% 15.9%
• Increase in soda and salt prices (+)• Decrease in volumes, mainly due to the suspension of production at CSR (-)• Effect of shutdown of the CIECH Soda Romania plant [PLN -16.1m] (-)• Higher coal prices(-), lower prices of furnace fuel and gas (+)• Weakening of PLN against EUR (+)
EBITDA (A) margin:
• Crop protection products: higher sales volumes, higher gross margin (+)
• Foams: lower figures due to the slowdown in the German furniture market caused by COVID-19 (-)
• Resins: stable business
• Higher prices (+)• Lower volumes (-)• Higher prices of raw
materials(-)• Lower fixed costs (+)
(1settlement of HY and CIRS debt (PLN -8.8m) (-);
Events not related to principal business
12.5%
14
CAPEXFinancial results for Q1 2020
2017 2018 2019 Q1 2019 Q1 2020
Acquisitions**
Developmental
Environmental
Replacement
R&D
Other
CAPEX* [PLNm]
*As reported in the statement of cash flows** Acquisition of shares in Proplan Plant Protection Company, S.L. for PLN 173m, of which 10% was a deferred payment
410
514
The y/y difference in CAPEXresults primarily from the
ongoing development and replacement investment project programme.
670
412
101
165
Simplified layout*Due to the sale of real property in CIECH Nieruchomości
15
Increase in operating cash flows by PLN 33m y/y
[PLNm] Q1 2020 Q1 2019
EBITDA (A) 142 160
Working capital -58 -161
Interest paid -2 -2
Tax paid -1 -15
Other -70 -3
Cash flows from operating activities 11 -22
CAPEX -165 -101
Other 2 1
Cash flows from investing activities -163 -100
Free cash flow -152 -122
Debt financing 549 67
Other -8 -7
Cash flows from financing activities 541 60
Total net cash flows 389 -62
Cash at end of period 694 130
Operating activities:• improvement in working capital
as a result of optimisation measures, including Operational Excellence (S&OP);
• lower other operating cash flows are mainly due to the valuation of financial instruments (PLN -55m).
Investing activities:
• y/y increase in expenditure incurred as part of the investment project programme; y/y decrease in expenditure on CO2 certificates.
Financing activities:
• balance of drawdowns and repayments of available facilities, mainly RCF and overdraft.
Financial results for Q1 2020
Cash flow
937
1 502 1 522
1 789
1,2
2,42,3
2,8
0,5
1,0
1,5
2,0
2,5
3,0
3,5
4,0
4,5
5,0
0
200
400
600
800
1 000
1 200
1 400
1 600
1 800
2 000
2017 2018 2019 Q1 2020
Net debt [PLNm] Net debt/EBITDA (A)
Net debt/ EBITDA (A)
The Net debt/ EBITDA (A) ratio remains at a safe level – under the facility agreements, the Group's primary covenant is net debt/EBITDA (Z) ratio ≤ 4.00x.
For the purposes of covenants set out in the facility agreement, net debt is calculated according to the pre-IFRS 16 rules – the net debt/EBITDA (Z) ratio
calculated in this way is 2.6 as at the end of Q1 2020.
Net debt / adj. EBITDA ratio at a higher level than at the end of 2019 due to:• decrease in adj. EBITDA by 11% y/y;• higher margin in connection with negative net
valuation of derivative financial liabilities;• higher CAPEX.
In 2018, the ratio was higher than in 2017 mainly due to:• dividend payment (PLN 395m);• acquisition of shares in Proplan
(PLN 156m).
16
The Group's debt remains at a safe levelFinancial results for Q1 2020
1. Key developments in Q1 2020
2. Financial results for Q1 2020
3. Outlook
4. Appendices
18
COVID-19: situation in operating segmentsOutlook
Given the nature of the crisis, estimating the full impact of the pandemic is a challenge for many companies
Soda segment Organic segment Silicates and Glass segment
soda salt agro foams resins silicates packaging
Demand
Key markets, sectors, industry exposure
• Packaging (food)• Detergents• Construction• Automotive
• Food• Agriculture• Households• Chemicals
• Agriculture• Furniture and
mattresses
• Sanitary• Construction and
industrial
• Detergents• Automotive• Paper mills
• Jars• Vigil lights
ManufacturingRaw materials
Logistics
Employees
Outlook assessment of the situation in individual CIECH businesses*
* Assessment as at 27 May 2020
A number of measures have been taken to ensure continuity of operations and continued preparation of the Group for the future
1. Key developments in Q1 2020
2. Financial results for Q1 2020
3. Outlook
4. Appendices
60
100
140
180
220
260
300
340
380
Koks - porty ARA
Coking coal – spot*
Coking coal – benchmark
Coking coal and coke prices[USD/t]
6
10
14
18
22
26
30
20
Market environment: raw material situation
19.97
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
110
ARA (kal. 25 GJ/t)
PSCMI1 (kal. 25 GJ/t)
Power coal prices[USD/t]
Source: Reuters, IHS, www.polskirynekwegla.pl * Coking coal Premium from Australia
Average value 4
9
14
19
24
29
34
CO2 emission allowances[EUR/t]
Average value
22.7922.09
9.77
Appendices
German Gaspool (GPL) Natural Gas – 1M forwards[EUR/MWh]
11.06
18.74
Q1 2018 Q1 2020Q1 2019 Q1 2018 Q1 2020Q1 2019
Q1 2018 Q1 2020Q1 2019 Q1 2018 Q1 2020Q1 2019
3,6
4,1
4,6USD/RON
21
Market environment: currency situation
4,1
4,3
4,5
EUR/PLN
4.30
4.18
4.35
4.17
3.79
4.32
Q1 2018 Q1 2020Q1 2019
Average value
Average value
Appendices
Source: ReutersQ1 2018 Q1 2020Q1 2019
22
Statement of profit or loss
[PLN '000] Q1 2020 Q1 2019 y/y
Net sales revenues 854,381 952,705 (10.3%)
Cost of sales (675,626) (759,947) (11.1%)
Gross profit/(loss) on sales 178,755 192,758 (7.3%)
Other operating income 12,017 15,626 (23.1%)
Selling costs (42,985) (67,560) (36.4%)
General and administrative expenses (58,551) (46,298) 26.5%
Other operating expenses (25,911) (11,151) 132.4%
Operating profit/(loss) 63,325 83,375 (24.0%)
Finance income 29,165 5,262 454.3%
Finance costs (26,098) (16,466) 58.5%
Net finance income/(costs) 3,067 (11,204) -
Profit/(loss) before tax 66,713 72,493 (8.0%)
Income tax (27,292) (10,663) 156.0%
Net profit/(loss) from continuing operations 39,421 61,830 (36.2%)
Appendices
23
Results by segment
[PLN '000]Soda
segment
Organic
segment
S&G
segment
Transport
segment
Other
activities
Corporate
functionsEliminations TOTAL
Q1 2020
Total sales revenues 531,923 261,379 63,325 35,584 24,956 - (62,786) 854,381
Cost of sales (400,392) (217,274) (46,465) (33,809) (18,214) - 40,528 (675,626)
Gross profit /(loss) on sales 131,531 44,105 16,860 1,775 6,742 - (22,258) 178,755
Operating profit/(loss) 67,964 14,439 5,445 (358) (682) (21,238) (2,245) 63,325
Profit/(loss) before tax 67,975 12,094 5,935 (445) (1,510) (15,091) (2,245) 66,713
Amortisation and depreciation 57,446 11,010 4,669 4,755 184 3,514 - 81,578
EBITDA 125,410 25,449 10,114 4,397 (498) (17,724) (2,245) 144,903
Adjusted EBITDA 123,312 25,295 10,093 4,465 (1,273) (17,549) (2,246) 142,098
Q1 2019
Total sales revenues 639,694 237,827 59,622 35,848 38,571 - (58,857) 952,705
Cost of sales (492,110) (190,585) (46,318) (33,064) (30,219) - 32,349 (759,947)
Gross profit /(loss) on sales 147,584 47,242 13,304 2,784 8,352 - (26,508) 192,758
Operating profit/(loss) 78,242 12,120 5,125 614 3,769 (16,077) (418) 83,375
Profit/(loss) before tax 76,569 12,372 5,174 518 3,493 (25,215) (418) 72,493
Amortisation and depreciation 55,276 10,372 5,118 3,673 563 1,927 - 76,929
EBITDA 133,518 22,492 10,243 4,287 4,332 (14,150) (418) 160,304
Adjusted EBITDA 132,568 22,637 9,150 4,263 4,296 (14,122) 778 159,570
Appendices
24
Condensed balance sheet
[PLN '000] 31 March 2020 31 December 2019
ASSETS
Total non-current assets 3,941,022 3,734,188
Total current assets 1,770,410 1,312,254
Total assets 5,711,432 5,046,442
EQUITY AND LIABILITIES
Equity attributable to shareholders of the parent 1,952,668 1,978,234
Non-controlling interest (1,025) (1,017)
Total equity 1,951,643 1,977,217
Total long-term liabilities 2,174,089 1,947,307
Total short-term liabilities 1,585,700 1,121,918
Total liabilities3,759,789 3,069,225
Total equity and liabilities 5,711,432 5,046,442
Appendices
25
Working capital
[PLN '000] 31.03.2020 31.12.2019
1. Current assets, including: 1,770,410 1,312,254
Inventories 429,765 455,704
Trade receivables and advances for deliveries 346,790 295,534
2. Cash and other short-term investments 704,885 316,862
3. Adjusted current assets (1-2) 1,065,525 995,392
4. Short-term liabilities, including: 1,585,700 1,121,918
Trade liabilities and advances received for deliveries 333,422 397,426
5. Short-term credits and other current financial liabilities* 584,584 133,737
6. Adjusted current liabilities (4-5) 1,001,116 988,181
7. Working capital including short-term credits (1-4) 184,710 190,336
8. Working capital (3-6) 64,409 7,211
* Other short-term financial liabilities include current finance lease liabilities + current derivative liabilities + factoringliabilities.
Appendices
This document has been prepared solely for informational purposes. It includes only summary of information and is not exhaustive and may not be used as a sole basis for any assessment or analysis. CIECH S.A. makes no guarantees (explicit or implicit) regarding information presented herein and such information including forecasts, estimates and opinions should not be unduly relief upon. CIECH S.A. assume no responsibility for potential mistakes, omission or irregularities found herein. The document is based on sources of information which CIECH S.A. deems to be reliable and accurate, however, it does not guarantee them to be exhaustive nor to fully reflect the actual situation. This document doe not constitute an advertisement or a public offer of securities. This document may contain forward-looking statements. These statements involve investment risk or are a source of uncertainty and may materially differ from actual results or performance. CIECH S.A. shall not be held liable for the consequences of any decisions made on the basis of this analysis. Responsibility rests solely with the user. This document is protected under the Polish Act on Copyright and Neighbouring Rights. Any copying, publication or dissemination of this analysis is subject to CIECH S.A.’s written consent.
CONTACT FOR INVESTORS:Małgorzata MłynarskaRepresentative of the Management Board for Investor Relations+48 669 600 567, [email protected]
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