financial results full year 2011 - investor relations...greek recession, unstable egypt and stronger...
TRANSCRIPT
Athens, March 1, 2012
Financial Results – Full Year 2011
Analysts’ conference call
Disclaimer
2
•This document contains forward-looking statements relating to the Group’s future business,
development and economic performance. It also includes statements from sources that have
not been independently verified by the Company.
•Such statements may be subject to a number of risks, uncertainties and other important
factors, such as but not limited to:
– Competitive pressures
– Legislative and regulatory developments
– Global, macroeconomic and political trends
– Fluctuations in currency exchange rates and general financial market conditions
– Delay or inability in obtaining approvals from authorities
– Technical development
– Litigation
– Adverse publicity and news coverage, which would cause actual development and
results to differ materially from the statements made in this document
•TITAN assumes no obligation to update or alter such statements whether as a result of new
information, future events or otherwise.
Agenda
Group Financial Results
Market Overviews
Outlook
3
4
Greek Recession, Unstable Egypt and Stronger Euro
Take a Toll on 2011 Results
In Million Euro, unless
otherwise stated 12M 2011 12M 2010 Variance Q4 2011 Q4 2010 Variance
Net Sales 1,091.4 1,350.5 -19.2% 252.5 322.0 -21.6%
EBITDA 242.7 315.1 -23.0% 22.8 54.8 -58.3%
FX Gains/Losses -11.9 -8.2 5.7 -2.6
Impairment Charges -18.7 -0.2 -18.7 -0.2
Profit Before Taxes 37.7 130.0 -36.7 11.4
Net Profit after Taxes &
Minorities 11.0 103.1 -41.9 4.8
Earnings per Share
(€/share) – basic 0.1351 1.2658
31 Dec' 11 31 Dec' 10 Variance
Share Price 11.59 16.42 -29.4%
ASE Index 680.42 1,413.94 -51.9%
5
2011-2012 Restructuring Plan Results in more than 26
MM€ in Annualized Recurring EBITDA Savings
Cumulative Cash Flow Impact
-18 +3 +29
Scope: Albania and Kosovo
260218 220 201
145
128 123115
1817
2008 2009 2010 2011
Scope
SG&A
Fixed Cost
17.4
13.0
3.98
15.3
10.9
3.66
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
12.0
14.0
16.0
18.0
20.0
Cement (tn m)
Aggregates (tn m)
Ready-mix (m3 m)
2010A
2011A
6
Full Year
-12%(3)
(1) (2)
(1) Cement sales include clinker and cementitious materials
(2) Includes Turkey at 100%
(3) % represents performance versus last year
-16%(3)
-8%(3)
4.2
3.2
1.04
3.7
2.7
0.94
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
Cement (tn m)
Aggregates (tn m)
Ready-mix (m3 m)
2010A
2011A
4th Quarter
-12%(3)
-18%(3)
-10%(3)
(1) (2)
Group Volume Declines Due Almost Exclusively to Greece
54.8
22.8
(0.1) (31.9)
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
EBITDA2010
Translation Impact
OrganicGrowth
EBITDA2011
-0.2%
-58.1%
9.0%17.0%
-58.3%
EBITDA Margin
(€ in millions)
1,350.5
1,091.4
(47.6)(211.5)
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
1,600
Turnover2010
Translation Impact
OrganicGrowth
Turnover2011
-3.5%
-15.7%
-19.2%(€ in millions)
Turnover Reconciliation
7
315.1
242.7
(13.0) (59.4)
60
110
160
210
260
310
360
EBITDA2010
Translation Impact
OrganicGrowth
EBITDA2011
-4.1%
-18.9%
22.2%23.3%
-23.0%
EBITDA Margin
(€ in millions)
12
mo
nth
s4
thQ
ua
rter
EBITDA Reconciliation
Turnover Reconciliation
322.0
252.5
(2.3) (67.2)
0
100
200
300
400
Turnover2010
Translation Impact
OrganicGrowth
Turnover2011
-0.7%-20.9%
-21.6%(€ in millions)
EBITDA Reconciliation
2011 Results Affected by Sharp Decline in Greece Sales and Exacerbated by Strong Euro
103.1
11.0
(18.5)
(59.4)
(13.0)
2.5 (6.9) 1.9 6.7 (1.7) (3.7)
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
NPAT 2010
EBITDAExcluding
FX
EBITDATranslation
Impact
ImpairmentCharges
Depn. Interest Taxes Other Minority Interest
FX Gains/Losses
NPAT 2011
NPAT Impacted by Lower Operating Profitability
2011 Group Net Profit After Taxes and Minorities(Reconciliation vs. 2010)
8
(€ in millions)
FX Impact in Million €
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 FY
EBITDA -2 -7 -4 0 -13
FX Gains/Losses -14 -6 +8 +8 -4
30th Sep
2011Δ Q4
31st Dec
2011
Net Equity -35 +32 -3
Net Debt -5 +11 +6
Working Capital -3 +3 0
9
P&
LB
S
Strengthening of the Euro in 2011 Leads to a Substantial Drop in Profitability
FX Gains/Losses
CountryLocal
Currency
Loan
Currency12M 2011
Egypt EGP EUR +5.1
Turkey TRY EUR, USD -7.3
Albania ALL EUR -1.1
Other -0.4
Total -3.7
Variance Variance
31/12/2011 31/12/2010
31/12/11 vs
31/12/10 Avg 2011 Avg 2010 Avg 2011 vs 2010
€1 = USD 1.29 1.34 3% 1.39 1.33 -5%
€1 = EGP 7.80 7.76 -1% 8.28 7.47 -11%
1USD=EGP 6.03 5.80 -4% 5.95 5.64 -5%
€1 = RSD 104.64 105.50 1% 101.99 102.98 1%
€1 = ALL 138.93 138.77 0% 140.33 137.78 -2%
€1 = TRY 2.44 2.07 -18% 2.34 2.00 -17%
Bulgarian Leva fixed at €1 = BGN 1,956
No change in €/MKD exchange rates, at €1 = 61,51
A negative variance represents a devaluation of the base currency vs. the Euro
Balance Sheet P&L
Sources and Uses of Cash
(€ in millions)
10
Operating Free Cash Flow
Group Generates €206m in Operating Free Cash Flow in 2011
€206m
€206m Operating Free Cash Flow covers €119m of finance/tax/dividends related
payments, €23m of restructuring costs and reduces Net Debt by €69m
Note: Non-cash items includes Egypt clay fee return
243
69
2915
(8)(58)
(146)
(6)
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
EBITDA 12M 2011
Non-CashItems/
Adjustments
CapEx Operating Working
Capital
Acquisitions/ Disposals
Interest, Tax, Dividends,
Accruals
Net FX Impact Change in Net Debt
31/12/11
11141154
10281029
971988
917
873
777 777
745 768
708
600
800
1,000
1,200
Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
Net debt
(€ in millions)
Group Net Debt
11
2008 2009 2010 2011
Net Debt/EBITDA (1) = 2.80
(1) calculation according to covenants definition in the syndicated loan of €585m
Further Improving Financial Flexibility Remains a Top Priority for the Group
226,6
815,1
97,2
391,8
ST LT
Utilized Un-utilized
Robust Liquidity ProfileFY 2011
Credit Facilities by Type Facilities by Tenor (€ m)1
Maturity Profile (€ m)
86.7
226.6
2.42.1
523.9
200
<Dec.2012 <Dec.2013 <Dec.2014 <Dec.2015 >Dec.2015
Bank Debt Bonds
Liquidity- 31 December 2011
12
1: includes capital leases
202.1
1,206.9
323.8
Greek banks: 35%
Bonds: 14%
• Titan’s liquidity ratio (long term committed un-utilized lines
plus cash over one year borrowings) is 3.2x
• Titan has utilized € 1.04bn (68%) of total € 1.53bn
facilities and has remaining € 490m (32%) in available
lines
• 51% of total credit facilities are with international banks,
14% is non bank debt and 35% with Greek banks
• Next big maturity is the July 2013 € 200m eurobond, for
which Titan has adequate un-utilized credit lines and cash
to cover
International
banks: 51%
Agenda
Group Financial Results
Market Overviews
Outlook
13
12M 2011 Turnover (€m) 12M 2011 EBITDA (€m)
29%
38%
27%
25%
14%
9%
30%
28%
15%
42%
-11
-11
30%
20%
73%
55%
2011 EBITDA of €242.7m Driven Mainly by SEE and EMED
360.0
236.3
316.9
437.2
277.8
241.2
303.7
268.7
0 100 200 300 400 500
E. MED.
SEE
USA
GREECE
2011 ACT 2010 ACT
-23%
2%
-4%
-39%25%
28%
25%
17%
22%
23%
28%
32%
137.9
86.7
3.6
86.8
127.7
85.6
-5.7
35.0
-20 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140
E.MED.
SEE
USA
GREECE
2011 ACT 2010 ACT
-7%
-1%
-60%
43%
53%
28%
35%
1%
-2%
28%
14%
15
Greece Turnover Reconciliation Greece EBITDA Reconciliation
437.2
268.7
(168.5)
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
Turnover2010
OrganicGrowth
Turnover2011
-38.5%(€ in millions)
-38.5%12
Mo
nth
s
Profitability in Greece Plummets amidst Recession
Greek recession leads building activity to a tailspin in 2011.
Dramatic decline in sales volumes across all products and market segments.
Export volume almost at 1/3 of 2010 due to collapse of North African exports.
Selling prices quarter-on-quarter decline in all products.
Reduced capacity utilization leads to higher surplus CO2 sales.
Restructuring actions will generate annualized recurring savings of €14.1m.
One-off EBITDA charge of €9.3m in 2011.
86.8
35.0
(51.8)
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
EBITDA2010
OrganicGrowth
EBITDA2011
-59.6%
-59.6%
19.9% 13.0%EBITDA Margin
(€ in millions)
16
US Turnover Reconciliation US EBITDA Reconciliation
2011 USA: Bouncing Along the Bottom
316.9303.71.8
(15.0)
100
150
200
250
300
350
Turnover2010
Translation Impact
OrganicGrowth
Turnover2011
0.6%-4.8%
-4.2%
(€ in millions)
12
Mo
nth
s
Cement consumption growth in 2011 (PCA data): South Atlantic +4%, Florida
+1.7%, Virginia +6.3%, North Carolina +6.5%.
Infrastructure spending weak in 2011.
Modest sales volume growth across all products.
Year-on-Year average price decline as selling prices for all products stabilize,
albeit at the low levels of 1H 2011.
ST profitable growth continues with sales up by 19%.
First signs of improvement in the housing market in Q4.
3.7
(5.7)
0.2 (9.6)
-8
-6
-4
-2
0
2
4
6
8
EBITDA2010
Translation Impact
OrganicGrowth
EBITDA2011
(€ in millions)
6.1%
17
SEE EBITDA ReconciliationSEE Turnover Reconciliation
12
Mo
nth
s
Modest macroeconomic improvement in the region leads to growing demand in
construction materials.
4% average cement sales growth in the region.
2011 average cement prices below last year.
Increasing fuel & energy costs clip margins.
Launched ECO Conception, a company that will spearhead alternative fuels,
energy efficiency and waste management projects in the region.
Sale of excess carbon rights ex Bulgaria supports gross margins and funds the
new alternative fuels investment in Bulgaria.
Continued Growth in SE Europe, whilst Profitability Remains Stable
236.3
241.25.5(0.6)
190
200
210
220
230
240
250
Turnover2010
Translation Impact
OrganicGrowth
Turnover2011
2.3%-0.3%
2.0%(€ in millions)
86.7 85.6(1.1)
40
50
60
70
80
90
EBITDA2010
OrganicGrowth
EBITDA2011
35.5%36.7%
-1.3%
EBITDA Margin
-1.3%(€ in millions)
18
46.4%41.4%
EMED EBITDA ReconciliationEMED Turnover Reconciliation
137.9 127.73.0(13.2)
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
EBITDA2010
Translation Impact
OrganicGrowth
EBITDA2011
-7.4%
2.2%-9.6%
EBITDA Margin 46.0%38.3%
(€ in millions)
360.0
277.8
(31.9)
(50.3)
100
140
180
220
260
300
340
380
Turnover2010
Translation Impact
OrganicGrowth
Turnover2011
-22.8%
-14.0%
-8.9%
(€ in millions)
12
Mo
nth
sPolitical Unrest in Egypt and the Strong Euro Affect
EMED Profitability
Political uncertainty and social unrest take their toll on Egypt’s economy.
Egyptian cement demand declines by 2%.
More than 5MT new market capacity in Egypt came on stream within 2011,
putting pressure on prices.
Egypt sales shrink by 9%, affected by weak July-August demand and S/D
imbalance.
EBITDA in Egypt affected by €26m positive contribution of clay fee case, partly
offset by increased profit sharing and legal settlements.
In Turkey double-digit sales growth further accelerates in 2H. Domestic prices
continue on an upward trend.
Agenda
Group Financial Results
Market Overviews
Outlook
19
• Greece: Further substantial decline in demand
• US: Optimism returns
• South Eastern Europe: Improving trends
• Eastern Med: Growth in Turkey, Transition progressing in Egypt
• Energy costs: Roughly stable (excluding Egypt)
• Pricing power: Some upside potential (excluding Greece)
• Focus remains on:
Free cash flow generation
Productivity initiatives
Reducing carbon footprint
Bolt –on growth initiatives
Outlook 2012
20