financial results presentation - naspers financial results presentation ... classifieds: substantial...
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Financial results presentationFor the six months ended 30 September 2016
Important information
2
This presentation contains forward-looking statements as defined in the United States Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Words such as “believe”, “anticipate”, “intend”, “seek”, “will”, “plan”, “could”, “may”, “endeavour” and similar expressions are intended to identify such forward-looking statements, but are not the exclusive means of identifying such statements.
While these forward-looking statements represent our judgments and future expectations, a number of risks, uncertainties and other important factors could cause actual developments and results to differ materially from our expectations. These include key factors that could adversely affect our businesses and financial performance.
We are not under any obligation to (and expressly disclaim any such obligation to) update or alter our forward-looking statements whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. Investors are cautioned not to place undue reliance on any forward-looking statements contained herein.
STRATEGIC OVERVIEW
1H FY17 Overview: continue building platforms to optimise returns
4
LEAD IN ECOMMERCE
TARGET HIGH-GROWTH
BUSINESS MODELSPURSUE SCALE
TRANSFORM FURTHER INTO
MOBILE
OPTIMISE RETURNS
Mar 16 Sep 16
Mobile classifieds
Monthly unique listers - USA
139%
Target high-growth business models
5
Food delivery
178%
1H FY16 1H FY17
Payments
PSP revenue growth - India
71%
Number of orders - Brazil
Source: Company data
1H FY16 1H FY17
Pursue scale: merging to create a leading Indian travel position
6
Total transactions (1)
34.1mAir (1)
9.7mHotel (1,3)
6.6mBus (1)
17.5mMobile (1,2)
45%
Key terms
• MMYT shareholders – 60% (Ctrip 10%)
• Ibibo shareholders – 40%
• Working capital contribution by Naspers
• Subject to regulatory approvals
• Closing by end Jan 2017
Note:1) Financials and KPIs for fiscal year ended 31 March 2016 and combined on a pro-forma basis2) Includes Air, Hotel and Bus transactions only3) Includes MMYT’s international standalone hotel transactions
Key benefits
• Increased operating scale
• Accelerated tech innovation
• Potential value creation from synergies
• Strengthened depth of management
+
Pursue scale – classifieds and payments
7
1.15x
1.25x
0.53x
0.55x
MAUs
Downloads
Source: Company data; AppAnnie; Press releases
Classifieds: LetGo accelerating vs. OfferUp* Payments: Citrus acquisition by PayU
* USA – Size vs. OfferUP
Sep 16
Jan 16
• Largest ever all-cash M&A deal in Indian fintech history
• Increased customer base to >30m customers and +200k merchants
• Benefits: – new verticals (airlines and telco), – innovative products (LazyPay and SellFie), – additional expertise
• Strong starting point for a consumer play and for expansion of financial services proposition to consumer credit
Transform further into mobile
8
Source: Company data
Mobile growth in % time spent across Naspers platformsClassifieds: Substantial active user growth on OLX app
55%
User time spent – Naspers platforms (mobile share)
37
66
Sep 15 Sep 16
App MAU (daily, m)*
77%
2Q FY172Q FY16
52%
*Reflects associates and JVs on a proportionate basis based on economic interest as per Sep 2016
Source: Similarweb
Allegro: disposal to realise value for shareholders
9
Financial summary (US$m)
313 321
148
193
135 129
62 83
144
10057
93
FY15 FY16 1H FY16 1H FY17
Revenue Trading profit Free cash flow
Transaction is tax neutral
Price implies FY16 EBITDA multiple of 18.3x
Sale consistent with strategy to find and realise value for shareholders
Terms and rationale
Proceeds to pay down debt, fund operations and future investments
Sold for US$3.253bnBuyers: Cinven, Permira and Mid-Europa private equity funds
Returns (US$m)
Announced 14 Oct 2016, subject to approvals; expect to close in Jan 2017
1,485 714
3,253
Initial investment Total return
Sale price
Net cash flows3 967
~3x
FINANCIALS
Synopsis of financials
11
5,861 6,788
548
1H FY16 1H FY17
Revenue* (US$m)
16% (27%)
1,214 1,473
196
1H FY16 1H FY17
Trading profit* (US$m)
21% (42%)
169 212
1H FY16 1H FY17
Core HEPS (USc)
25%
*Results reported on an economic interest basis, i.e. equity accounted investments are proportionately consolidated. Numbers in brackets represent year-on-year growth in local currency, excluding M&A
363 308
41 188
11
1H FY16 1H FY17New investments
Development spend* (US$m)
23% (27%)
Currency impact
Revenue: Tencent and ecommerce drives acceleration in growth rate
12
Incremental revenue* by segment, YoY (US$m)
*Results reported on an economic interest basis, i.e. equity accounted investments are proportionately consolidated. Numbers in brackets represent year-on-year growth in local currency, excluding M&A
1,178
(548)
5,861
1H FY16 Ecommerce Listed investments Video entertainment Media M&A and other Forex 1H FY17
6,788
258(3)
16% (27%)
110
24% 46% 6% n/a 9% 1% YoY change (%)
(68)
Revenue* by segment (US$m)
Ecommerce (20%)
Listed investments (52%)
Video entertainment (24%)
Media & other (4%)
YoY revenue growth rate* (%)
26%22% 20%
27%
FY15 FY16 1H FY16 1H FY17
*Growth rates in local currency, excluding M&A
Development spend: increase due to new growth initiatives
13*Results reported on an economic interest basis, i.e. equity accounted investments are proportionately consolidated. Numbers in brackets represent year-on-year growth in local currency, excluding M&A
Incremental development spend* by segment, YoY (US$m)
496
152
404
1H FY16 New investments Operating Associates Forex 1H FY17
(42)
23% (27%)>100% 17% 12% 3%
(7) (11)
Hotels
YoY change (%)
Classifieds (44%)
Etail (26%)
Other ecommerce (19%)
Video entertainment (9%)
Media (2%)
Development spend* by segment (US$m) Consolidated development spend (US$m)
737 820
708
239 199
41 188
6
FY14 FY15 FY16 1H FY16 1H FY17
Operating New investments
38% (42%)
Currency impact
Increase in number of profitable ecommerce businesses
14
Number of profitable ecommerce entities
15
21
18
23
FY15 FY16 1H FY16 1H FY17
Financial progress of profitable entities* (US$m)
765 774
373
516
217 288
115
215
FY 15 FY 16 1H FY16 1H FY17
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Trading profit
Revenue
87% (58%)
38% (25%)
*Organic growth on a pro-forma basis, i.e. adjusting prior year numbers on a like-for-like basis, would have been 18% for revenue and 50% for trading profit
Recent M&A activity focused on Edtech
15
Naspers Ventures (89%)
Classifieds (8%)
Travel (1%)
Other (2%)
1H FY17 M&A by segment (US$m) Acquisition spend over time (US$m)
465 420
213
FY14 FY15 FY16 1H FY16 1H FY17
Other
1,495
Other
5yr average US$406m*
139
* Calculated from March 2012 – March 2016 (excluding Avito)
16
Summarised income statement
US$m 1H FY16 1H FY17
Revenue* 5,861 6,788
Less: Equity-accounted investments (2,878) (3,830)
Consolidated revenue 2,983 2,958
Trading profit 232 45
Trading margin 8% 2%
Net finance costs (156) (165)
Share of equity accounted results 635 912
Impairments (141) (28)
Taxation (146) (144)
Net profit 636 541
Core headline earnings 696 914Core headline EPS (US$) 1.69 2.12
*Based on economic interest, i.e. Equity-accounted investments are proportionately consolidated.
Free cash flow impacted by reduced profitability of VE in SSA
17
FCF breakdown (US$m)
(174)
120
1H FY16 Cash from operations Working capital Capex Dividends received Other 1H FY17
(4)
24
46
(13)(1)
Balance sheet remains strong
18
US$m 1H FY17
Debt (1): (offshore US$2.9bn) 3,007
Cash: (South Africa US$550m) 1,511
Closing net debt 1,496
Gearing 13%
(1) Excludes satellite lease liabilities (US$1,232m) and non-interest bearing debt (US$161m)
Group net consolidated debt (US$m)
1,461
1,994
1,213
2,213
1,496
23%30%
12%
32%
13%
-30%
-20%
-10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
-
FY14 FY15 FY16 1H FY16 1H FY17
Net debt Gearing %
INTERNET
Ecommerce: continues to grow rapidly
20
Revenue splitRevenue and trading losses* (US$m)
Etail (55%)
Marketplace (14%)
Classifieds (14%)
Other (6%)
Payments (6%)
Travel (5%)
Constant currency revenue growth by type
76% 75%
30% 29%
16% -6%
Classifieds Travel Marketplace Payments Etail Other
*Results reported on an economic interest basis, i.e. equity accounted investments are proportionately consolidated. Numbers in brackets represent year-on-year growth in local currency, excluding M&A
1,986
2,492 2,647
1,210 1,379
(516) (543)(296) (292)
50
Revenue Trading losses
14% (24%)
1% (14%)
FY14 FY15
(541)
Currency impact
FY16 1H FY16 1H FY17
10
B2C: benefiting from steady increase in online penetration
21
B2C: 1H FY17 GMV by region*
India & SE Asia (35%)
Europe (60%)
Africa & Middle East (5%)
B2C: Revenue* (US$)
770
1,459
1,707
755
902
28
FY14 FY15 FY16 1H FY16 1H FY17
Currency impact
19% (20%)
*Includes etail, structured and unstructured marketplaces as well as travel but excludes Netretail and Ricardo which were sold. Results reported on an economic interest basis, i.e. equity accounted investments are proportionately consolidated. Numbers in brackets represent year-on-year growth in local currency, excluding M&A.
B2C: GMV (US$m)*
5,677
7,150
2,5393,249
4,133
FY15 FY16 1H FY15 1H FY16 1H FY17
27%
*Allegro accounted for 76% of Europe GMV
Flipkart: competitive market, still early days for India B2C
22
Flipkart mobile monthly active users (m)
1H FY16 1H FY17
27%
Source: Company data, excludes Myntra and Jabong
Source: KANTAR TNS, 1Top of mind brand awareness (responses from a survey of 1,508 Indian online shoppers across 8 tier 1 & 2 cities fielded in October 2016).
Flipkart is #1 ecommerce platform in India
175489
268
937
IndiaBrazilRussiaChinaUS
eCommerce/capita (US$, 2016)
Source: Euromonitor
Brand awareness 1 49% 30% 14%
Visited in past year 85% 79% 63%
Purchased in past 6 months 58% 45% 28%
Most favourite brand 47% 28% 16%
NPS 42 39 31
Classifieds: global footprint for the OLX Group
23
25Offices
44Countries
Global footprint
+4.4APP RATING
#1 app 22 COUNTRIES (1)
Mobile leadership
+1.9bnMONTHLY
VISITS
+37bMONTHLY
PAGE VIEWS
Scale2
1) Google play store; shopping/lifestyle categories2) Numbers reflect proportionate pickup of JVs
24
Classifieds: top line growth while managing profitability
1H FY16 1H FY17
letgo213
267
124
196
24
FY15 FY16 1H FY16 1H FY17
Currency impact
1H FY17 Marketing spend* Revenue* (US$m)
58% (77%)
34%
*Data reflects 100% of controlled entities and proportionate share of JVs. Historic numbers presented on a pro-forma basis for the increased investment in Avito from 22.2% at 1H FY16 to 71% at 1H FY17. YoY revenue growth on a reported basis was 115%.
1.5 2.0
Sep 15 Sep 16
Classifieds: continue to monetise while entering new markets
25
Naspers positions (number of countries)
16
2
12
25 5
21
63 3
24
8
1
5
25
9
1
5
24
10
46
23
11
Entering Fighting Leading Leading and monetising
2014 1HFY15 2HFY15 1HFY16 2HFY16 1HFY17
Monthly unique listers (m)*
11.715.8
Sep 15 Sep 16
Net new listings (daily, m)*35% 32%
37.2
65.7
Sep 15 Sep 16
App MAU (m)*77%
*Data reflects 100% of controlled entities and proportionate share of JVs as per September 2016.
Sep
-14
No
v-1
4
Jan
-15
Mar
-15
May
-15
Jul-
15
Sep
-15
No
v-1
5
Jan
-16
Mar
-16
May
-16
Jul-
16
Sep
-16
Avito Poland
Classifieds: C2C trade drives our business
5%
55%
17%
17%
31%
8%
28%
20%
19%Revenue
NNL
C2C Goods Cars Prop Other Ad
Our traffic engine continues to spin…(App MAU, indexed to Sep 14)*
…allowing us to monetize in the verticals(NNL and Revenue share by category)*
+3.5x
+6.7x
NNL15m
US$23m
100% =
26*Data reflects information relating to our classifieds sites in Poland and Russia
# of paid listings
MULs
MAUs
4.7
7.7
3.3
6.1
FY15 FY16 1H FY16 1H FY17
Classifieds: Russia (Avito)… expanding monetisation
27
+84%
Revenue (RUBb) EBITDA (RUBb)
Revenue split – listing fees growing strongly
Note: 1H FY17 Revenue/Internet User = RUB64 Note: 1H FY17 EBITDA/Internet User = RUB38
2.4
3.8
1.8
3.7
FY15 FY16 1H FY16 1H FY17
+101%
59%44%
28%
22%
8%30%
6% 3%
1H FY16 1H FY17
Shop fees
Listing fees
Advertising
Value-added services
YoY growth in key metrics (Sep 15 vs. Sep 16)
+16%
+18%
+6x
2.8
3.4
4.4
1H FY16 2H FY16 1H FY17
Classifieds: Poland… extending leadership in key verticals
28
Format Brand
Horizontal
Vehicles
Real estate
Revenue (PLN per internet user)
+57%
Classifieds: letgo… increasing investment to accelerate growth
29
Mobile Monthly Active Users (Mobile MAUs)
Source: AppAnnie Pro
Monthly unique listers
Jan
-16
Feb
-16
Mar
-16
Ap
r-1
6
May
-16
Jun
-16
Jul-
16
Au
g-1
6
Sep
-16
Returning New
72% of total
Source: Letgo DB
Jan
-16
Feb
-16
Mar
-16
Ap
r-1
6
May
-16
Jun
-16
Jul-
16
Au
g-1
6
Sep
-16
letgo OfferUp 5Miles Close5
+15%
20
,49
6
30
,41
1
41
,76
4
19
,71
5
28
,17
1
2013 2014 2015 1H FY15 1H FY16
Listed internet: Tencent continues to perform
30
Tencent operating profit (RMBm)*
CAGR +43%
Revenue mix 1H FY16
Value-added services (75%)
Online advertising (17%)
Other (8%)
Monthly active user accounts (m): Weixin & WeChat
651846
3Q 15 3Q 16
30%
*Reflects 100% of Jan-Jun 2016 (1H FY16) results on a non-GAAP basis; detailed results available at www.tencent.com. Fx rate: 1H FY17 US$/RMB6.616 (6.361)
43%
Note: Monthly active users reflect the most current update from Tencent
15
,08
7
16
,85
0
18
,12
3
8,4
21
8,6
91
2013 2014 2015 1H FY15 1H FY16
Listed internet: Mail.ru delivers strong VK performance but slower games
31
Mail.ru EBITDA (RUBm)
CAGR +10%
Revenue mix 1H FY16*
Online advertising (43%)
Community IVAS (32%)
MMO Games (22%)
Other (3%)
*Reflects 100% of 1H FY16 aggregate segment performance as reported. For IFRS results with full disclosure refer to www.corp.mail.ru. Fx rate: 1H FY17 US$/RUR64.939 (58.367)
3%
VIDEO ENTERTAINMENT
4,168 4,699 5,174 5,563 6,048
1,686
2,019
2,355 2,243
2,401
151
541
873
2,428
2,553
1H FY13 1H FY14 1H FY15 1H FY16 1H FY17
SA DTH SSA DTH SSA DTT
VE: solid subscriber growth, changing mix
33
Video entertainment subscriber homes (‘000)8%
Change in subscriber mix
52% 52%
26% 30%
22% 18%
1H FY16 1H FY17
Premium Compact Lower-end
+5%
+7%
+9%
6,005 7,259 8,402 10,234 11,002
5,368 5,730
2,626 3,266
2,240 2,005
1H FY16 1H FY17
Total
VE: financials hit by local currency pricing vs. USD input costs
34
Video entertainment (VE) financials (US$m)
Development spend (US$m)
166
206
85
47 40
FY14 FY15 FY16 1H16 1H17
Capital expenditure (US$m)
462
203 127 79 43
FY14 FY15 FY16 1H16 1H17
36%
15%
Programming and production costs (US$m)
977 1,133
1,046
461 534
31
FY14 FY15 FY16 1H16 1H17
One-off
23%
3,582 3,830
3,413
1,790 1,645
841 732 610 399 226
FY14 FY15 FY16 1H FY16 1H FY17
Revenue Trading profit
8%
43%
78
225 108
215 121
208
(321)
33 126
1H13 2H13 1H14 2H14 1H15 2H15 1H16 2H16 1H17
6 month average
VE: SSA operational progress negated by Naira devaluation
SSA net additions (‘000)
YoY currency declines…
-59%
-11%
0% 3%Nigeria Zambia Kenya Angola
Weighted average -23%
*Based on monthly Naspers average closing rates
…significantly impacting trading profit (US$m)
35
(103)
(42)
(58)
1,1
00
1,2
72
1,1
35
59
7
49
4
72
(56) (38)
6
(103)FY14 FY15 FY16 1H FY16 1H FY17
Revenue Trading profit
VE: solid results by DTH South Africa
36
187
283248
309
166
232
156 169
316
1H13 2H13 1H14 2H14 1H15 2H15 1H16 2H16 1H17
SA DTH net additions (‘000) mainly middle and lower tiers
6 month average
-9%
-18%-14%
1H FY15 1H FY16 1H FY17
SA currency declined materially, but… … cost controls muted margin pressure
2,7
02
2,8
55
2,6
04
1,3
58
1,3
41
771 805 701 410 368
FY14 FY15 FY16 1H FY16 1H FY17
Revenue Trading profit
VE: DTT moving toward profitability
37
DTT trading margin (%)
Subscribers (m)
23
151
377
541
817
873
2,256
2,428
2,404
2,553
Mar 12
Sep 12
Mar 13
Sep 13
Mar 14
Sep 14
Mar 15
Sep 15
Mar 16
Sep 16
(140%)
(83%)
(115%)
(27%) (23%) (16%)
FY14 1H FY15 FY15 1H FY16 FY16 1H FY17
OUTLOOK
FY17 Outlook: continue building our platforms
39
LEAD IN ECOMMERCE
TARGET HIGH-GROWTH
BUSINESS MODELSPURSUE SCALE
TRANSFORM FURTHER INTO
MOBILE
OPTIMISE RETURNS
Mobile first or only across the business
Reduce development spend in existing footprint. Deploy capital to highest
return opportunities
Pursue further scale through organic
growth
Classifieds, Fintech,O2O and
Connected video
Build strong global or regional leaders
APPENDIX
Glossary of terms
41
— ARPU: Average Revenue Per User
— B2C: Business to Consumer
— C2C: Consumer to Consumer
— CAGR: Cumulative Annual Growth Rate
— DPS: Dividend per Share
— DTH: Direct-to-Home
— DTT: Digital Terrestrial Television
— EPS: Earnings per Share
— FCF: Free Cash Flow
— GMV: Gross Merchandise Value
— HEPS: Headline Earnings per Share
— IVAS: Internet Value-Added Service
— LC: Local currency
— M&A: Mergers and Acquisitions
— O2O: Online to Offline
— OTA: Online Travel Agent
— PVR: Personal Video Recorder
— ROI: Return on Investment
— SSA: Sub-Saharan Africa
— SVOD: Subscription Video-On-Demand
— TPV: Total Payment Value
— VE: Video Entertainment