financing high performance "green" cre- nyc, ny 09 10 2008 jfinlay

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Wells Fargo & Co. Wells Fargo & Co. Real Estate Technical Services Real Estate Technical Services James Finlay James Finlay Green Building Finance & Investment Forum Green Building Finance & Investment Forum The Coleman Center, New York, NY The Coleman Center, New York, NY September 9, September 9, 2008 2008 Valuation Valuation Issues of High Performance Issues of High Performance Commercial Commercial Real Real Estate Estate

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Page 1: Financing High Performance "Green" CRE- NYC, NY 09 10 2008 JFinlay

Wells Fargo & Co.Wells Fargo & Co.

Real Estate Technical ServicesReal Estate Technical Services

James FinlayJames Finlay

Green Building Finance & Investment ForumGreen Building Finance & Investment Forum

The Coleman Center, New York, NYThe Coleman Center, New York, NY

September 9, September 9, 20082008

Valuation Valuation Issues of High Performance Issues of High Performance

Commercial Commercial Real Real Estate Estate

Page 2: Financing High Performance "Green" CRE- NYC, NY 09 10 2008 JFinlay

Discussion PointsDiscussion Points

�� Background to Wells Fargo Bank’s Background to Wells Fargo Bank’s environmental commitmentenvironmental commitment

�� High Performance / “green” High Performance / “green” Property Valuation Case Studies Property Valuation Case Studies

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Property Valuation Case Studies Property Valuation Case Studies

�� Effective Management of the Effective Management of the Appraisal ProcessAppraisal Process

Page 3: Financing High Performance "Green" CRE- NYC, NY 09 10 2008 JFinlay

Wells Fargo Environmental Wells Fargo Environmental

Commitment Commitment �� July 2005 adapts 10July 2005 adapts 10--point Environmental point Environmental

Commitment including:Commitment including:

– Finance $1 Billion environmentally sensitive projects

over next 5 years

– Equator Principles (World Bank/international

financial corporations.) environmental & social risk

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financial corporations.) environmental & social risk

management : transparency = tracking & reporting

– Recycling, energy efficient operations

– Energy, greenhouse gas tracking, reporting

– Create Environmental Affairs Advisory Council

�� 2007 EPA Green Power Partner 2007 2007 EPA Green Power Partner 2007

�� Renewable energy Renewable energy [Nevada Solar One 64 MW], RECs [Nevada Solar One 64 MW], RECs

Page 4: Financing High Performance "Green" CRE- NYC, NY 09 10 2008 JFinlay

Financing High Performance, Environmental Financing High Performance, Environmental

Commitment ProjectsCommitment Projects

�� Prior to July 2005 Prior to July 2005 –– 11 projects, total: $590 11 projects, total: $590

millionmillion

– LEED: 5 projects, Loans - $250 million

– Brownfield, transit, other: 9 projects - $340 mil.

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�� Since to July 2005 Since to July 2005

-- 31 LEED projects, total loans $1.5 billion31 LEED projects, total loans $1.5 billion

-- Wide range of projectsWide range of projects

office, multi-family, SFR subdivisions, land,

mixed-use (off/resid), retail, hotel

Page 5: Financing High Performance "Green" CRE- NYC, NY 09 10 2008 JFinlay

��Wells lends money to people, not projectsWells lends money to people, not projects

�� LEED funding mostly to large LEED funding mostly to large commercial developer/users with commercial developer/users with relationships to Wells Fargo Bankrelationships to Wells Fargo Bank

�� LEED Homes partner, bank branch LEED Homes partner, bank branch design pilot with USGBCdesign pilot with USGBC

Relationship Lending StyleRelationship Lending Style

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design pilot with USGBCdesign pilot with USGBC

Preferential financing for LEED?Preferential financing for LEED?

No ; but we seek quality, reduced riskNo ; but we seek quality, reduced risk

Depends on the deal, relationship: expedited Depends on the deal, relationship: expedited

processing, fees, terms, underwritingprocessing, fees, terms, underwriting

Page 6: Financing High Performance "Green" CRE- NYC, NY 09 10 2008 JFinlay

Signature Centre, Golden, CO Signature Centre, Golden, CO Aardex LLC developerAardex LLC developer

LEED Core & Shell PlatinumLEED Core & Shell Platinum

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Page 7: Financing High Performance "Green" CRE- NYC, NY 09 10 2008 JFinlay

Signature CentreSignature Centre

�� 186,000 SF spec office, 186,000 SF spec office, 5 5 floor, floor, 45K 45K SF SF floor platesfloor plates, under, under--floor, chilled beams floor, chilled beams

�� LEED cost premium approx +1.8% of LEED cost premium approx +1.8% of first costsfirst costs

�� No rent premium. No rent premium. NNN NNN lease basis, lease basis,

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�� No rent premium. No rent premium. NNN NNN lease basis, lease basis, expenses $2/SF less than alternativesexpenses $2/SF less than alternatives

�� 100% pre100% pre--leased, 83% to Swedish leased, 83% to Swedish medical technology giant Gambromedical technology giant Gambro

�� Sold 1/2008 to IVG Institutional Sold 1/2008 to IVG Institutional Funds Funds GmbH, German investors; GmbH, German investors; ground lease ground lease in place at time of salein place at time of sale

Page 8: Financing High Performance "Green" CRE- NYC, NY 09 10 2008 JFinlay

Signature Centre, Aardex LLCSignature Centre, Aardex LLC

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Page 9: Financing High Performance "Green" CRE- NYC, NY 09 10 2008 JFinlay

Signature Centre, Aardex LLCSignature Centre, Aardex LLC

�� Emphasis on worker productivityEmphasis on worker productivity

Sustainability brandingSustainability branding

High quality workplace High quality workplace

design, Interior EQdesign, Interior EQ

Individual controlsIndividual controls

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State of art mechanicalsState of art mechanicals

raised floor, chill beamsraised floor, chill beams

ReRe--useable demising wallsuseable demising walls

Integrated design teamIntegrated design team

Reduced operating costs Reduced operating costs

(waterless urinals)(waterless urinals)

Page 10: Financing High Performance "Green" CRE- NYC, NY 09 10 2008 JFinlay

Hunter Industries, Distribution Hunter Industries, Distribution

Center, San Marcos, CACenter, San Marcos, CALEED NC (New Construction) LEED NC (New Construction)

Silver/Gold (pending)Silver/Gold (pending)

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Page 11: Financing High Performance "Green" CRE- NYC, NY 09 10 2008 JFinlay

Hunter Industries, San Marcos, CAHunter Industries, San Marcos, CA

�� 130K SF, 27% headquarter office, balance 130K SF, 27% headquarter office, balance

warehouse/distribution center warehouse/distribution center

�� 100% owner user facility100% owner user facility

�� Owner does advanced water conserving Owner does advanced water conserving

irrigation equipment & controlsirrigation equipment & controls

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�� Daylight harvesting light wellsDaylight harvesting light wells

�� Conventional skylights required by fire/safetyConventional skylights required by fire/safety

�� 100 kilowatt (kW) photovoltaic integrated into 100 kilowatt (kW) photovoltaic integrated into

daylight harvesting for warehousedaylight harvesting for warehouse

�� Motion and lumen sensors to control lightsMotion and lumen sensors to control lights

Page 12: Financing High Performance "Green" CRE- NYC, NY 09 10 2008 JFinlay

Hunter Industries, San Marcos, CAHunter Industries, San Marcos, CA

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Page 13: Financing High Performance "Green" CRE- NYC, NY 09 10 2008 JFinlay

Hunter Industries, San Marcos, CAHunter Industries, San Marcos, CA

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Page 14: Financing High Performance "Green" CRE- NYC, NY 09 10 2008 JFinlay

Hunter Industries, San Marcos, CAHunter Industries, San Marcos, CA

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Page 15: Financing High Performance "Green" CRE- NYC, NY 09 10 2008 JFinlay

Hunter Industries, San Marcos, CAHunter Industries, San Marcos, CA

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Page 16: Financing High Performance "Green" CRE- NYC, NY 09 10 2008 JFinlay

Design is site specificDesign is site specific

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Natural resources for power generation/saving Natural resources for power generation/saving ––wind, sun, water, tides, geothermalwind, sun, water, tides, geothermal

Plus human Plus human –– Utility districts, transit, densityUtility districts, transit, density

Page 17: Financing High Performance "Green" CRE- NYC, NY 09 10 2008 JFinlay

High Performance High Performance

Value Elements / IssuesValue Elements / Issues

�� Superior design process Superior design process –– replace replace

DesignDesign--BidBid--BuildBuild with with Integrated DesignIntegrated Design

1. Lower energy 1. Lower energy (conservation), (conservation), maintenance maintenance

–– exploits natural systems, sensors, state exploits natural systems, sensors, state –– exploits natural systems, sensors, state exploits natural systems, sensors, state

of the art materials, monitoringof the art materials, monitoring

2. On2. On--site distributed power systems site distributed power systems ––

solar PV, solar thermal, heat pumpsolar PV, solar thermal, heat pump

3. Operations: fast, low cost re3. Operations: fast, low cost re--tenanting, tenanting,

plug & play, replug & play, re--useable demising wallsuseable demising walls

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Page 18: Financing High Performance "Green" CRE- NYC, NY 09 10 2008 JFinlay

Plug & play, under floor HVAC& Plug & play, under floor HVAC&

rere--useable demising wallsuseable demising walls

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from:from:

DIRTT Envir.DIRTT Envir.

HaworthHaworth

Page 19: Financing High Performance "Green" CRE- NYC, NY 09 10 2008 JFinlay

Distributed Distributed Power, Energy SystemsPower, Energy Systems

�� A A new valuation issue for most RE new valuation issue for most RE

appraisers, Machinery & Equip analysisappraisers, Machinery & Equip analysis

�� High High efficiency efficiency HVAC, lighting, waterHVAC, lighting, water

�� BIM (Building Information Modeling) BIM (Building Information Modeling)

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�� BIM (Building Information Modeling) BIM (Building Information Modeling)

sensors, sensors, remote remote facility managementfacility management

�� Power Grid: TimePower Grid: Time--ofof--Use metering, Use metering,

power power Give Give Backs, peakBacks, peak--use use tier tier pricingpricing

�� NonNon--realty realty –– tax credits, PPA, rebatestax credits, PPA, rebates

Page 20: Financing High Performance "Green" CRE- NYC, NY 09 10 2008 JFinlay

Ground & water source heat Ground & water source heat

pumps pumps “Geoexchange” ; Geothermal“Geoexchange” ; Geothermal

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Page 21: Financing High Performance "Green" CRE- NYC, NY 09 10 2008 JFinlay

Same Appraisal Process for High Same Appraisal Process for High

Performance/LEED Performance/LEED BuildingsBuildings

�� Investments Investments -- Income Approach PrimaryIncome Approach Primary

�� Use regulatory “market value” definition Use regulatory “market value” definition

�� Some Intangibles OK (trophy value, Some Intangibles OK (trophy value,

branding) branding) if valued by the next buyerif valued by the next buyer

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branding) branding) if valued by the next buyerif valued by the next buyer

�� Usually ignores tax events, credits, Usually ignores tax events, credits,

accelerated depreciationaccelerated depreciation

�� Ignores effects external to the property Ignores effects external to the property

(like greenhouse gases, transit load)(like greenhouse gases, transit load)

Page 22: Financing High Performance "Green" CRE- NYC, NY 09 10 2008 JFinlay

Managing the Appraisal ProcessManaging the Appraisal Process

�� I hire an interested, local appraiser ; I hire an interested, local appraiser ; LEED experience is rareLEED experience is rare

�� Define scope of work, supply expertise, Define scope of work, supply expertise, documents, interview the “champion”documents, interview the “champion”

�� Discuss issues with appraiser, but do not Discuss issues with appraiser, but do not

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�� Discuss issues with appraiser, but do not Discuss issues with appraiser, but do not direct valuedirect value

�� Maybe my own DCF per energy, rebatesMaybe my own DCF per energy, rebates

�� Write review, add supplemental Write review, add supplemental information (risk, noninformation (risk, non--realty, tax breaks)realty, tax breaks)

�� Generally works well, but often low valueGenerally works well, but often low value

Page 23: Financing High Performance "Green" CRE- NYC, NY 09 10 2008 JFinlay

Cost ApproachCost Approach

��First costs: Little extra for LEED to Silver First costs: Little extra for LEED to Silver level; 0%level; 0%-- 2% (Davis Langdon)2% (Davis Langdon)

��Perception that “green is too expensive” Perception that “green is too expensive” still widespread, but now generally untruestill widespread, but now generally untrue

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still widespread, but now generally untruestill widespread, but now generally untrue

��First Cost are still generally more than First Cost are still generally more than appraised market value appraised market value –– When are costs When are costs really investments?really investments?

Page 24: Financing High Performance "Green" CRE- NYC, NY 09 10 2008 JFinlay

Sales Comparison ApproachSales Comparison Approach

�� Most difficult to apply to LEED Most difficult to apply to LEED

high performance buildingshigh performance buildings

�� Mostly establishes the market Mostly establishes the market

range of “Super Class A”range of “Super Class A”

�� Set top of the marketSet top of the market

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Page 25: Financing High Performance "Green" CRE- NYC, NY 09 10 2008 JFinlay

Income Income Approach is Primary Approach is Primary

��Most important for commercial REMost important for commercial RE

��Audits, real time commissioning : Audits, real time commissioning :

BIM, frequency & accuracy of monitor + BIM, frequency & accuracy of monitor + manage = accurate value conclusionmanage = accurate value conclusion

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��Feedback loop = behavioral modification Feedback loop = behavioral modification

Lucid Design Group, Precourt Inst. StanfordLucid Design Group, Precourt Inst. Stanford

��Argus/DCF software inputs provide most Argus/DCF software inputs provide most appropriate LEED appraisal modelappropriate LEED appraisal model

Page 26: Financing High Performance "Green" CRE- NYC, NY 09 10 2008 JFinlay

Argus/DCF Inputs Show BenefitsArgus/DCF Inputs Show Benefits

~ ~ IncomeIncome –– Market rent, growth rate. Currently Market rent, growth rate. Currently

little premium in market; lease basis (“green”)little premium in market; lease basis (“green”)

~ ~ VacancyVacancy –– Initial leaseInitial lease--up, stabilized vacancy, up, stabilized vacancy,

tenant retention %, rolltenant retention %, roll--over lag vacancy over lag vacancy

~ ~ ExpensesExpenses –– Reduced energy, insurance, Reduced energy, insurance,

maintenance. But higher monitor/control $ maintenance. But higher monitor/control $

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maintenance. But higher monitor/control $ maintenance. But higher monitor/control $

Who benefits? Leases NNN or expense stopsWho benefits? Leases NNN or expense stops

~ ~ RiskRisk –– Discount rate, terminal cap rate, OAR Discount rate, terminal cap rate, OAR

with direct cap, energy hedge, economic life, with direct cap, energy hedge, economic life,

building recycle costs. Mold, occupant healthbuilding recycle costs. Mold, occupant health

~ ~ Intangibles, nonIntangibles, non--realty line itemsrealty line items –– tax credits, tax credits,

depreciation, branding, depreciation, branding, (carbon, water coming)(carbon, water coming)

Page 27: Financing High Performance "Green" CRE- NYC, NY 09 10 2008 JFinlay

Looking AheadLooking Ahead

�� Creative public sector, utility financing:Creative public sector, utility financing:

CA CA AB 811AB 811 –– “Energy Assessment District” “Energy Assessment District”

financing energy conservation/efficiency and financing energy conservation/efficiency and

distributed power upgrades to existing buildingsdistributed power upgrades to existing buildings

�� ReRe--commissioning, remote monitoringcommissioning, remote monitoring

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�� ReRe--commissioning, remote monitoringcommissioning, remote monitoring

�� Carbon offCarbon off--sets sets –– the end of cheap coal the end of cheap coal

power. Disproportionate impact on REpower. Disproportionate impact on RE

�� Watch the UK Watch the UK -- Energy audits for all Energy audits for all

commercial buildings by end 2008commercial buildings by end 2008

Page 28: Financing High Performance "Green" CRE- NYC, NY 09 10 2008 JFinlay

U.S. is World’s Largest GHG Emitter

Red border = China.

(now approx = to USA)

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World Resources Institute

Page 29: Financing High Performance "Green" CRE- NYC, NY 09 10 2008 JFinlay

Thank You !Thank You !

Comments, questions :Comments, questions :

213213--614614--48504850

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213213--614614--48504850

[email protected]@WellsFargo.com

Linked InLinked In

Page 30: Financing High Performance "Green" CRE- NYC, NY 09 10 2008 JFinlay

ExtrasExtras

�� Two appraisal case studiesTwo appraisal case studies

�� Sources of further informationSources of further information

�� Websites, organizationsWebsites, organizations

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Page 31: Financing High Performance "Green" CRE- NYC, NY 09 10 2008 JFinlay

Energy value analysis sampleEnergy value analysis sample

�� Solar Case #1, appraiser “A” Solar Case #1, appraiser “A” ––

System Cost System Cost -- $1.3MM; 100kW PV; Other items$1.3MM; 100kW PV; Other items

Net cost after rebates & credits: $571KNet cost after rebates & credits: $571K

Year One est. energy savings: $117K/yrYear One est. energy savings: $117K/yr

Simple payback 4.88 years x 1Simple payback 4.88 years x 1stst year savingsyear savings

Appraisal value: $470K Appraisal value: $470K –– 4.0 x 14.0 x 1stst yr savingyr saving

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Appraisal value: $470K Appraisal value: $470K –– 4.0 x 14.0 x 1stst yr savingyr saving

applied in cashflow as a $0.025/SF NNN adjustmentapplied in cashflow as a $0.025/SF NNN adjustment

BUT, my calcs show 20 yr NPV energy saved BUT, my calcs show 20 yr NPV energy saved $1.46MM using:$1.46MM using:

+5%/yr (+5%/yr (--0.5%/yr) energy escalation, 9% 0.5%/yr) energy escalation, 9% discountdiscount

No accelerated depreciation, unleveraged, no No accelerated depreciation, unleveraged, no RECs, no forgiven property taxes RECs, no forgiven property taxes (on $1.3MM)(on $1.3MM)

Page 32: Financing High Performance "Green" CRE- NYC, NY 09 10 2008 JFinlay

Energy value analysis sampleEnergy value analysis sample

�� Solar Case #2 , appraiser “B” Solar Case #2 , appraiser “B” ––

Solar System Cost Solar System Cost -- $3.4MM; 503 kW PV, other items$3.4MM; 503 kW PV, other items

Less NPV 5 yr CA Solar Initiative rebates: $2.2MMLess NPV 5 yr CA Solar Initiative rebates: $2.2MM

Yr One energy projected savings: $134K/yrYr One energy projected savings: $134K/yr

Simple payback 16.4 years (yr 1 savings)Simple payback 16.4 years (yr 1 savings)

Solar system appraised value: $580K or 4.3 x 1Solar system appraised value: $580K or 4.3 x 1stst yr savingsyr savings

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Solar system appraised value: $580K or 4.3 x 1Solar system appraised value: $580K or 4.3 x 1stst yr savingsyr savings

applied as reduced NNN line itemapplied as reduced NNN line item

BUT my calcs show 30 yr NPV energy saved = $2.45MMBUT my calcs show 30 yr NPV energy saved = $2.45MM

+6%/yr (+6%/yr (--0.5%) energy escalation, 8% discount rate0.5%) energy escalation, 8% discount rate

Appraisal excluded $950K Fed Solar Inv. Tax Credit, Appraisal excluded $950K Fed Solar Inv. Tax Credit,

accelerated 5accelerated 5--yr depreciation. No RECs, no forgiven yr depreciation. No RECs, no forgiven

property taxes (on $3.4MM)property taxes (on $3.4MM)

Page 33: Financing High Performance "Green" CRE- NYC, NY 09 10 2008 JFinlay

Information Information -- WebsiteWebsite

US Green Building Council, US Green Building Council, ResourcesResources

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Page 34: Financing High Performance "Green" CRE- NYC, NY 09 10 2008 JFinlay

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Page 35: Financing High Performance "Green" CRE- NYC, NY 09 10 2008 JFinlay

Information Information -- NewslettersNewsletters

�� EERE Network NewsEERE Network News, www.eere.energy.gov, www.eere.energy.gov

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Page 36: Financing High Performance "Green" CRE- NYC, NY 09 10 2008 JFinlay

Information Information -- NewsletterNewsletter

�� GreenBiz.com GreenBiz.com ClimateBiz News ClimateBiz News

www.greenbiz.comwww.greenbiz.com

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Page 37: Financing High Performance "Green" CRE- NYC, NY 09 10 2008 JFinlay

Information Information -- ReportsReports

CoStar CoStar

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RREEFRREEF

Nov 2007Nov 2007