first quarter results 2011 - april 28, 2011
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Analyst webcast presentation slidesTRANSCRIPT
ROYAL DUTCH SHELL PLCFIRST QUARTER 2011 RESULTS
1 Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 28/4/2011
THE HAGUE
APRIL 28th, 2011
ROYAL DUTCH SHELL PLCFIRST QUARTER 2011 RESULTS
2 Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 28/4/2011
SIMON HENRY
CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER
DEFINITIONS AND CAUTIONARY NOTE
The companies in which Royal Dutch Shell plc directly and indirectly owns investments are separate entities. In this presentation “Shell”, “Shell group” and “Royal Dutch Shell” are sometimes used for convenience where references are made to Royal Dutch Shell plc and its subsidiaries in general. Likewise, the words “we”, “us” and “our” are also used to refer to subsidiaries in general or to those who work for them. These expressions are also used where no useful purpose is served by identifying the particular company or companies. ‘‘Subsidiaries’’, “Shell subsidiaries” and “Shell companies” as used in this presentation refer to companies in which Royal Dutch Shell either directly or indirectly has control, by having either a majority of the voting rights or the right to exercise a controlling influence. The companies in which Shell has significant influence but not control are referred to as “associated companies” or “associates” and companies in which Shell has joint control are referred to as “jointly controlled entities”. In this presentation, associates and jointly controlled entities are also referred to as “equity-accounted investments”. The term “Shell interest” is used for convenience to indicate the direct and/or indirect (for example, through our 24% shareholding in Woodside Petroleum Ltd.) ownership interest held by Shell in a venture, partnership or company, after exclusion of all third-party interest.
This presentation contains forward-looking statements concerning the financial condition, results of operations and businesses of Royal Dutch Shell. All statements other than statements of historical fact are, or may be deemed to be, forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements are statements of future expectations that are based on management’s current expectations and assumptions and involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results, performance or events to differ materially from those expressed or implied in these statements. Forward-looking statements include, among other things, statements concerning the potential exposure of Royal Dutch Shell to market risks and statements expressing management’s expectations, beliefs, estimates, forecasts, projections and assumptions. These forward-looking statements are identified by their use of terms and phrases such as ‘‘anticipate’’, ‘‘believe’’, ‘‘could’’, ‘‘estimate’’, ‘‘expect’’, ‘‘intend’’, ‘‘may’’, ‘‘plan’’, ‘‘objectives’’, ‘‘outlook’’, ‘‘probably’’, ‘‘project’’, ‘‘will’’, ‘‘seek’’, ‘‘target’’, ‘‘risks’’, ‘‘goals’’, ‘‘should’’ and similar terms and phrases. There are a number of factors that could affect the future
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‘‘probably’’, ‘‘project’’, ‘‘will’’, ‘‘seek’’, ‘‘target’’, ‘‘risks’’, ‘‘goals’’, ‘‘should’’ and similar terms and phrases. There are a number of factors that could affect the future operations of Royal Dutch Shell and could cause those results to differ materially from those expressed in the forward-looking statements included in this presentation, including (without limitation): (a) price fluctuations in crude oil and natural gas; (b) changes in demand for Shell’s products; (c) currency fluctuations; (d) drilling and production results; (e) reserves estimates; (f) loss of market share and industry competition; (g) environmental and physical risks; (h) risks associated with the identification of suitable potential acquisition properties and targets, and successful negotiation and completion of such transactions; (i) the risk of doing business in developing countries and countries subject to international sanctions; (j) legislative, fiscal and regulatory developments including potential litigation and regulatory measures as a result of climate changes; (k) economic and financial market conditions in various countries and regions; (l) political risks, including the risks of expropriation and renegotiation of the terms of contracts with governmental entities, delays or advancements in the approval of projects and delays in the reimbursement for shared costs; and (m) changes in trading conditions. All forward-looking statements contained in this presentation are expressly qualified in their entirety by the cautionary statements contained or referred to in this section. Readers should not place undue reliance on forward-looking statements. Additional factors that may affect future results are contained in Royal Dutch Shell’s 20-F for the year ended 31 December, 2010 (available at www.shell.com/investor and www.sec.gov ). These factors also should be considered by the reader. Each forward-looking statement speaks only as of the date of this presentation, 28 April 2011. Neither Royal Dutch Shell nor any of its subsidiaries undertake any obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statement as a result of new information, future events or other information. In light of these risks, results could differ materially from those stated, implied or inferred from the forward-looking statements contained in this presentation. There can be no assurance that dividend payments will match or exceed those set out in this presentation in the future, or that they will be made at all.
We use certain terms in this presentation, such as discovery potential, that the United States Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) guidelines strictly prohibit us from including in filings with the SEC. U.S. Investors are urged to consider closely the disclosure in our Form 20-F, File No 1-32575, available on the SEC website www.sec.gov. You can also obtain these forms from the SEC by calling 1-800-SEC-0330.
Q1 2011 RESULTS
PERFORMANCE FOCUS
GROWTH DELIVERY
SUMMARY
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GROWTH DELIVERY
$/BARREL $/MSCF
SHELL OIL & GAS REALIZATIONS INDUSTRY REFINING MARGINS
PRICES AND MARGINS
6
7
80
90
100
$/BARREL
INDUSTRY CHEMICALS MARGINS
$/TONNE
6
8
10
12
300
400
500
600
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4
5
50
60
70
•Q1 2011 CHEMICAL MARGINS: BASED ON AVAILABLE PRICES/MARGINS AT THE END OF THE QUARTER
5
-
2
4
6
0
100
200
300
US WEST COAST
US GULF COAST COKING
ROTTERDAM COMPLEX
SINGAPORE
US ETHANE
WESTERN EUROPE NAPHTHA
NE/SE ASIA NAPHTHA
GAS (RHS)OIL
4
5
6
7
Q1 2011 FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS
CCS EARNINGS ($ BILLION) Q1 2010 TO Q1 2011
Q1 11 Q1 10
UPSTREAM 4.6 4.3
DOWNSTREAM (CCS) 1.7 0.8
BUSINESS SEGMENTS TOTAL 6.3 5.1
CORPORATE & MINORITIES 0 (0.3)
CCS NET EARNINGS 6.3 4.8
CCS EARNINGS, $ PER SHARE 1.02 0.79
$ BILLION
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0
1
2
3
6
Earnings CCS basis, Earnings and EPS Excluding Identified Items
CCS EARNINGS, $ PER SHARE 1.02 0.79
CASH FROM OPERATIONS 8.6 4.8
DIVIDENDS 2.6 2.6
DIVIDEND, $ PER SHARE 0.42 0.42
3
4
3
4
3
4
5
UPSTREAM PERFORMANCE
EARNINGS OIL & GAS PRODUCTION
$ BILLION MILLION BOE/D MILLION TONNES
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0
1
2
0
1
2
Q110 Q210 Q310 Q410 Q111
0
1
2
3
Q110 Q210 Q310 Q410 Q111
7
Excluding Identified Items
OTHER UPSTREAM INTEGRATED GAS LNG SALES (MLN TONNES)GAS OIL
DOWNSTREAM PERFORMANCE
1
1.5
2
5
6
7
90
95
100
CCS EARNINGS AVAILABILITY AND SALES VOLUMES
$ BILLION % AVAILABILITY VOLUME
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-0.5
0
0.5
Q110 Q210 Q310 Q410 Q111
3
4
5
80
85
90
Q110 Q210 Q310 Q410 Q111
EXCLUDING IDENTIFIED ITEMS
OIL PRODUCTS
CHEMICALS
OIL PRODUCT SALES (MLN BBLS/D)
CHEMICALS AVAILABILITY
REFINERY AVAILABILITY
CHEMICALS SALES (MLN TONNES)
30
40
50
CASH PERFORMANCE 12 MONTHS
20
25
30
35
BUSINESSES GROUP
$ BILLION $ BILLION
UPSTREAM DOWNSTREAMSOURCES
USES
SOURCES USES
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0
10
20
0
5
10
15
CASH FLOW FROM OPERATIONS EXCL. NET MOVEMENTS IN WORKING CAPITAL
PAY-OUTASSET SALES
CAPEX (EXCL. ACQUISITIONS) + EQUITY ACC. INVESTMENTS
ACQUISITIONS
SOURCES
USES
CUMULATIVE DIVESTMENT PROCEEDS
20
30
2011 PROGRESS: $3.2 BILLION PROCEEDS Q1 2011
PERFORMANCE FOCUSDIVESTING NON-CORE POSITIONS
Stanlow
14 countriesAfrica
LPG business worldwide
GOM Assets
Cano Sur
Wilcat Hills/Woodenhouse
Pakistan U.S. Car Care
South Texas
$ BLN
DOWNSTREAM
UPSTREAM
CORPORATE
$5 BILLION 2011E
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0
10
20
06 07 08 09 10 11E
Divestment /Exit announced or proposed
Africa
Chile
STANLOW REFINERY (UK)• ~$1.3 Billion•1.7 mln b/d of worldwide refining capacity exited since 2002 (36%)
CHILE DOWNSTREAM• ~$0.6 Billion• Shell reducing its retail footprint• 43 markets switched to indirect or exited
DOWNSTREAM AFRICA MARKETING• 14 country JV with Vitol and Helios• Shell retains brand and minority share• ~$1 Billion
Clyde
UPSTREAM• South Texas gas, $1.8 Billion•Various assets in the UK, USA, Canada and Pakistan
• ~60 kboe/d production
GROWTH DELIVERY:PORTFOLIO PROGRESS Q1 2011
Inaugural cargo, QatarGas 4
UK North Sea
US MarcellusUS Rockies
PhilippinesColombia
11 Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 28/4/201111
UPSTREAM DOWNSTREAM NEW ACREAGEEXPLORATION:
WHEATSTONE LNG• Shell participation agreed • 6.4% of proposed 8.9 mtpa LNG• 8% of unitized offshore gas fields
GERONGGONG (BSP)• 2010 deepwater discovery• ~200 mln bbl potential• Shell 50%
QATARGAS 4 LNG• 7.8 mtpa LNG project onstream• At full capacity in < 2 months• Shell 30%
SCHOONEBEEK HEAVY OIL• 20 kboe/d start up Q1 2011• 25 years additional production• Shell 30%
Inaugural cargo, QatarGas 4
Schoonebeek, Netherlands
Start-up of 2 out of > 20 new projects 2011-2014; maturing new options
Q1 2011 RESULTS• Q1 earnings $6.3 bln; Q1-Q1 earnings per share growth of 29%• Increased energy prices + Shell actions
PEFORMANCE FOCUS• Continuous improvement
SUMMARY
12 Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 28/4/2011
• Continuous improvement• $3.2 billion divestments delivered in Q1 2011• $~1.9 billion additional divestments announced
GROWTH DELIVERY• >20 project start-ups 2011-14 underpin cashflow and production growth targets• 2 start-ups delivered in Q1 2011: Schoonebeek heavy oil, Qatargas 4 LNG• Maturing new growth options: confirming Geronggong discovery, Wheatstone LNG entry
Earnings CCS Basis Excluding Identified Items
ROYAL DUTCH SHELL PLCFIRST QUARTER 2011 RESULTS
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Q&A
ROYAL DUTCH SHELL PLCFIRST QUARTER 2011 RESULTS
14 Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 28/4/2011
THE HAGUE
APRIL 28th, 2011