florida 2060 a research project of 1000 friends of florida

FLORIDA 2060A Research Project of 1000 Friends of Florida

Thank you to the sponsors:

The St. Joe Company,A. Duda & Sons,

The Nature Conservancy,and

Robert L. Parks, WilsonMiller, Fishkind & Associates, & Glatting Jackson.

Florida 2060: A Research Project of 1000 Friends of Florida

Florida 2060

Trend analysis of urban development

Results of incremental decisions

Question of legacy leadership

Prepared by

GeoPlan Center of UFand

CQG&RD at Georgia Tech


Assumptions

1. Moderate Population Growth (BEBR trend line)

2. New population consumes land at same density as existing development, by County

3. New population distributed geographically based on land suitability (existing urban, roadways, water, coastline, wetlands)


20602005

17.9 Million

35.8 Million

Population Forecast


Existing Developed Lands and Permanent Conservation Lands

Developed Land

Conservation LandsPermanently Protected


2060 Developed Lands and Permanent Conservation Lands

Developed Land



2060

2005

Agriculture, Other Undeveloped Lands

19.5

Urban Development

6.0

Urban Development

13.0

Water

2.0Water

2.0

PermanentlyProtected

Conservation

10.8

PermanentlyProtected

Conservation

10.8Agriculture, Other

Undeveloped Lands

12.5

Statewide Land Use Allocation (millions of acres)

Total: 38.3 Million Acres


Native Habitat

2.7 Million

Agriculture

2.7 Million

Other

1.5 Million

Additional Land Converted to Urban Development 2005-2060

Total: 7 Million Acres


New Conservation Lands Targeted For Purchase Statewide

Developed Land


Lands Targeted for Purchase


Developed Land and Permanent Conservation Lands

Developed Land


Existing

Existing

2060


Developed Land and Permanent Conservation Lands

Developed Land


2005 2060


Time for Leadership

• Expand Florida Forever

• Adopt New Policy on Converting Rural Land to Urban Use

• Create 100 Year Legacy Plan

Statewide Policy Implications



Expand Florida Forever

• Reauthorize• Higher Funding Level• Expand to Open Space, Agricultural

Lands• Create Permanent Edges to Urban

Communities


Adopt New Policy on Converting Rural to Urban


• Not Just Discourage Urban Sprawl• Add Density in Fair Trade for

Significant Open Space, Natural and Agricultural Lands.

• Regional Vision PlansLand Use, Environment, and Transportation

• Master Plan “Communities of Place”



100 Year Legacy Plan

• Protect Existing Property Rights• Preserve Community Character• Target Lands for Permanent Protection• Create “Livable Communities”

Within Urban Areas - RedevelopmentAt Urban EdgesIn Potential New Towns

• Guide State Budget, Investments

FLORIDA 2060A Research Project of 1000 Friends of Florida


Existing Developed Land and Permanent Conservation Lands

Developed Land




Developed Land



Reserve Network for Florida

Core Preserves

Buffer Zones and Corridors

Source: Noss & Cooperrider 1994

florida 2060 a research project of 1000 friends of florida

Documents