flsmidth annual report 2013
TRANSCRIPT
13 February 2014 Annual Report 2013 1
Presentation of Annual Report 2013
Key highlights
2013 executed as planned and communicated Focus on managing the cyclical downturn and preparing for the upturn Eyes set on sustainable profitable growth
ROCE > 20%
13 February 2014 Annual Report 2013 2
Safety ambition: No injuries
2015 LTIFR target: < 3
Safety above all Lost Time Injury Frequency Rate (LTIFR) 3.9 in 2013
3
Safety
13 February 2014 Annual Report 2013
4.2 4.7
3.9
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
4.0
4.5
5.0
2011 2012 2013
LTIFR (annually)
-17% vs. 2012
Number of lost time injuries per million working hours
Mining capex
Downturn to continue throughout 2014 Flattish or slight decline in 2015 Slow growth in 2016
Cement capex
At a low level since 2009 Similar or slightly higher level of activity in 2014 Recovery to commence in 2015
Customer Services resilient and growing
Overall market trends unchanged
Guidance
13 February 2014 Annual Report 2013 4
Order intake reflecting business environment
Three large capital orders received in Material Handling and Cement
Large 5-year O&M contract received in Customer Services
Revenue as expected
Currency headwind -7% on order intake and revenue
Positive cash flow from operating activities, but not enough
EBITA impacted by planned costs and Buxton arbitration award
Efficiency Programme on track
Key financial highlights Q4 2013
5
Key highlights Q4 2013
13 February 2014 Annual Report 2013
Efficiency Programme update DKK 750m efficiency improvement by 2015
Efficiency Programme
13 February 2014 Annual Report 2013 6
DKK +498m EBITA improvement run-rate:
33% (SG&A* costs)
23% (SG&A costs and Gross profit)
37% (COGS**)
6% (COGS and SG&A costs)
No EBITA effect
Started
1% (product pruning)
*) SG&A: Sales, ceneral and administration costs
**) COGS: Costs of goods sold
Efficiency Programme on track
Efficiency Programme
13 February 2014 Annual Report 2013 7
Targeted full-year effect in 2015
2013 effect Estimated full-year effect (run-rate)
Headcount reductions -1,100 -898 -1,102
Location reductions >20 25 41
One-off costs DKK -500m (2013-2014 effect)
DKK -428m (+78m vs. Q3’13E)
DKK -428m (2013 full year effect)
EBITA improvement DKK+750m p.a. DKK ~0m DKK +498m
Order intake record high had Nigerian O&M contract been fully included
Revenue decreased 5% (adjusted for currency) comparing to a record high Q4’12
EBITA margin 8.7%, adjusted for special items
Financial performance in Q4 2013
Results Q4 2013
13 February 2014 8 Annual Report 2013
FLSmidth & Co. A/S (DKKm)
Q4 2013
Q4 2012
Change Change
FX adjusted
Order intake 5,616 6,104 -8% -1%
Revenue 7,420 8,395 -12% -5%
Gross margin 18.6% 23.5%
EBITA 222 893 -75%
EBITA margin 3.0% 10.6%
Net results -179 462
CFFO 77 1,532
Financial performance in 2013
Annual Report 2013
13 February 2014 9
FLSmidth & Co. A/S (DKKm)
Q2 2013 Q2 2012 Change
Order intake 5,626 7,246 -22%
Revenue 6,456 5,653 +14%
EBITA 287 576 -50%
EBITA margin 4.4% 10.2%
EBIT 195 323 -39%
EBIT margin 3.0% 5.7%
CFFO -51 333
Employees2) 14,817 12,717 +17%
Annual Report 2013
FLSmidth & Co. A/S (DKKm)
2013 2012 Change Guidance
2013
Order intake 20,911 27,727 -25%
Order backlog 22,312 29,451 -24%
Revenue 26,923 26,284 2% 26-28bn
Gross margin 19.3% 24.8%
EBITA 977 2,559 -62%
EBITA margin 3.6% 9.7% 3.5-4.5%
Net results -784 1,303
CFFO -157 1,720
CFFI -567 -3,398 -83% -0.8bn
Working capital 2,382 1,950 +22%
ROCE 6% 18% 7-8%
Employees 15,317 15,900 -4%
Order intake impacted by mining capex downturn
Revenue increased 2% organically
Gross margin impacted by special items
EBITA margin 8.2%, adjusted for special items
CFFO negatively impacted by one-off costs
CFFI strictly managed
ROCE 14% adjusted for special items
Service activities accounted for 49% of 2013 orders
Annual Report 2013
Annual Report 2013 10
Revenue 2013
13 February 2014
Order intake 2013
36%
64%
Capital business
49% 51%
Service business Capital business
Service business
2012: 37% 2012: 41%
39%
14% 5% 6%
2% 0%
34%
Order intake decreased 8% in Q4
Annual Report 2013
13 February 2014 Annual Report 2013 11
Q4 order intake by industry (quarterly)
Cement
Coal
Iron ore
Fertilizers
Other
Copper Gold
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
Q4
2011
Q1
2012
Q2
2012
Q3
2012
Q4
2012
Q1
2013
Q2
2013
Q3
2013
Q4
2013
Order intake (quarterly)
-8% vs. Q4 2012 DKKm
Announced O&M orders Announced capital orders Unannounced orders
Order intake increased 5% adjusted for O&M contracts
Order intake would have been record high in Q4 had the principle for recognition of O&M order intake not been changed
Revenue increased sequentially in Q4
Annual Report 2013
13 February 2014 Annual Report 2013 12
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
8,000
9,000
Q4
2011
Q1
2012
Q2
2012
Q3
2012
Q4
2012
Q1
2013
Q2
2013
Q3
2013
Q4
2013
Revenue (quarterly)
-12% vs. Q4 2012 DKKm
Organic Revenue growth -5% in Q4’13
Service activities accounted for 34% of Q4’13 revenue
Pattern of seasonally increasing revenue over the calendar year broken in Q3’13 but reestablished in Q4’13
Revenue in Q4’12 (the comparison quarter) was record high
Gross margin impacted by special items
Annual Report 2013
13 February 2014 Annual Report 2013 13
Gross margin
26.3%
23.5%
18.6%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
Q4
2011
Q1
2012
Q2
2012
Q3
2012
Q4
2012
Q1
2013
Q2
2013
Q3
2013
Q4
2013
Gross profit (quarterly)
-30% vs. Q4 2013 DKKm
Decline in gross margin due to one-off costs related to the Efficiency Programme, the Buxton arbitration award and execution of lower margin order backlog in Cement
Gross margin Q4’13 vs. Q4’12 - by division
28.8%
2.2%
24.7% 27.3%
24.0%
14.7%
21.6%
6.8%
Customer Services
Material Handling
Mineral Processing
Cement
Q4’13 Q4’12 Q4’13 Q4’12 Q4’13 Q4’12 Q4’13 Q4’12
SG&A ratio impacted by Efficiency Programme in Q4
Annual Report 2013
13 February 2014 Annual Report 2013 14
SG&A ratio up 2.8%-points vs. Q4’12
SG&A ratio impacted by efficiency programme one-off costs in Q4’13
‘Underlying’ SG&A ratio (adjusted for EP) 12.9% in Q4’13
SG&A ratio*
12.6%
11.9% 14.7%
0%
3%
6%
9%
12%
15%
18%
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
Q4
2011
Q1
2012
Q2
2012
Q3
2012
Q4
2012
Q1
2013
Q2
2013
Q3
2013
Q4
2013
SG&A costs* (quarterly)
9% vs. Q4 2012 DKKm
*) SG&A ratio: SG&A costs divided by revenue
222
643 160
261
0
200
400
600
800
EBITA Q4'13 Buxton Efficiency
programme one-off costs
EBITA Q4'13
adjusted
EBITA margin down to 3.0% primarily due Efficiency programme one-off costs. EBITA-margin 8.7% adjusted for special items
EBITA margin 3.0% in Q4
Annual Report 2013
13 February 2014 Annual Report 2013 15
EBITA margin
12.9% 10.6%
3.0%
0%
3%
6%
9%
12%
15%
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
Q4
2011
Q1
2012
Q2
2012
Q3
2012
Q4
2012
Q1
2013
Q2
2013
Q3
2013
Q4
2013
EBITA (quarterly)
-63% vs. Q3 2012 DKKm DKKm
EBITA bridge reported vs. adjusted
8.7%
3.0%
EBITA margin
ROCE decreased 11%-points vs. Q4’ 12 due to declining EBITA margin and increased average capital employed as a result of acquisitions made in 2012 and higher average working capital
ROCE 14% adjusted for special items (EBITA impact)
Return on Capital Employed decreased to 6%
Annual Report 2013
13 February 2014 Annual Report 2013 16
ROCE* (quarterly) Average capital employed
DKKm
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
0
3,000
6,000
9,000
12,000
15,000
18,000
Q4
2011
Q1
2012
Q2
2012
Q3
2012
Q4
2012
Q1
2013
Q2
2013
Q3
2013
Q4
2013
ROCE
6% in Q4 2013
*) ROCE: Return on capital employed calculated on a before tax basis, including goodwill and based on last 12 months’ EBITA and average capital employed
ROCE target
Capital employed
(end of quarter)
capital employed
DKKm
0
3,000
6,000
9,000
12,000
15,000
18,000
Q4
2011
Q1
2012
Q2
2012
Q3
2012
Q4
2012
Q1
2013
Q2
2013
Q3
2013
Q4
2013
2,285 2,382
691 242 353
122 361
-
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
Decline in advanced payments*) in 2013 DKK -2.2bn absorbed in net working capital in 2013
Annual Report 2013
13 February 2014 Annual Report 2013 17
Net working capital
DKKm End Q4 2013 vs. End Q3 2013
Change in net working capital in Q4
DKKm
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
Q4 2011
Q1 2012
Q2 2012
Q3 2012
Q4 2012
Q1 2013
Q2 2013
Q3 2013
Q4 2013
*) Advance payments: Work-in-progress net + prepayments net
EBITA (DKK) EBIT (DKK) Cash-effect
Material Handling one-off costs Q2 -323m -323m Yes
Expected costs related to Efficiency Programme Q3-Q4
-428m -428m Yes
Inventory write-down Q3 -203m -203m No
Ludowici impairment loss Q3 -901m No
Buxton arbitration award Q4 -160m -160m Yes
Sale of assets Q3 +37m +37m Yes
Other costs of non-recurring nature Q1-Q2 -163m -163m Yes
Total full-year impact -1,240m -2,141m DKK -673m
Special items eroded earnings and cash flow in 2013
Special items
13 February 2014 Annual Report 2013 18
Capital structure affected by special items
Annual Report 2013
13 February 2014 Annual Report 2013 19
NIBD (quarterly) DKKm
-
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
Q4
2011
Q1
2012
Q2
2012
Q3
2012
Q4
2012
Q1
2013
Q2
2013
Q3
2013
Q4
2013
Gearing 3.6x EBITDA Gearing target (self-imposed)
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
Q4
2011
Q1
2012
Q2
2012
Q3
2012
Q4
2012
Q1
2013
Q2
2013
Q3
2013
Q4
2013
Equity (quarterly)
DKKm Equity ratio Equity ratio 25%
Equity ratio target (self-imposed)
Gearing temporarily impacted by one-off costs booked in 2013 and currently outside target of maximum 2 times EBITDA
Gearing expected to be back on target by the end of 2014
NIBD / EBITDA
More stringent approach to capitalisation of internal costs related to R&D development projects, including the ERP/business system
More stringent assessment of ageing inventory items
Cash flow from investments to develop more in line with depreciation and amortisation (excl. effect of purchase price allocations)
New O&M contracts included in order intake and order backlog with 12 months rolling revenue only
More prudent business practices
20
Business practice
13 February 2014 Annual Report 2013
Proposed dividend of DKK 2 per share
Dividend
13 February 2014 Annual Report 2013 21
Dividend policy implies no dividend for 2013
Capital structure outside targeted range implies no dividend for 2013
However...
Capital structure and profits expected to normalise in 2014
Proposed dividend DKK 2 per share equivalent to DKK 106m
Long term financial targets unchanged
Targets
13 February 2014 Annual Report 2013 22
Financial targets
Annual revenue growth Above market average
EBITA margin 10-13%
ROCE* > 20%
Tax rate 32-34%
Equity ratio >30%
Financial gearing** <2
Pay-out ratio 30-50%
*) ROCE: Return on capital employed calculated on a before tax basis as EBITA divided by average Capital Employed including goodwill **) Financial gearing: NIBD / EBITDA
Group Guidance 2014 2013
Revenue DKK 21-24bn DKK 26.9bn
EBITA margin 7-9% 3.6%
CFFI* ~DKK -0.4bn DKK -0.6bn
ROCE 11-13% 6%
Group guidance 2014
Guidance
13 February 2014 Annual Report 2013 23
Divisional guidance 2014
Guidance
13 February 2014 Annual Report 2013 24
Segments Guidance 2014
Revenue (DKK) (2013) EBITA margin (2013)
Customer Services 7.5-8.5bn (7.6bn) 13-15% (9.1%)
Material Handling 3.5-4.5bn (4.6bn) 0-2% (-11.2%)
Mineral Processing 5.5-6.5bn (9.3bn) 6-8% (8.2%)
Cement 3.5-4.5bn (5.2bn) 5-7% (2.4%)
Cembrit 1.4bn (1.4bn) 0-2% (-4.4%)
Key take-aways
2013 executed as planned and communicated Focus on managing the cyclical downturn and preparing for the upturn Eyes set on sustainable profitable growth
ROCE > 20%
13 February 2014 Annual Report 2013 25
Forward-looking statements
Annual Report 2013
13 February 2014 Annual Report 2013 26
FLSmidth & Co. A/S’ financial reports, whether in the form of annual reports or interim reports, filed with the Danish Business Authority and/or announced via the company’s website and/or NASDAQ OMX Copenhagen, as well as any presentations based on such financial reports, and any other written information released, or oral statements made, to the public based on this interim report or in the future on behalf of FLSmidth & Co. A/S, may contain forward-looking statements. Words such as ‘believe’, ‘expect’, ‘may’, ‘will’, ‘plan’, ‘strategy’, ‘prospect’, ‘foresee’, ‘estimate’, ‘project’, ‘anticipate’, ‘can’, ‘intend’, ‘target’ and other words and terms of similar meaning in connection with any discussion of future operating or financial performance identify forward-looking statements. Examples of such forward-looking statements include, but are not limited to: • statements of plans, objectives or goals for future operations, including those related to FLSmidth & Co. A/S markets, products, product research and product
development • statements containing projections of or targets for revenues, profit (or loss), capital expenditures, dividends, capital structure or other net financial items • statements regarding future economic performance, future actions and outcome of contingencies such as legal proceedings and statements regarding the underlying
assumptions or relating to such statements • statements regarding potential merger & acquisition activities. These forward-looking statements are based on current plans, estimates and projections. By their very
nature, forward-looking statements involve inherent risks and uncertainties, both general and specific, which may be outside FLSmidth & Co. A/S’s influence, and which could materially affect such forward-looking statements.
FLSmidth & Co. A/S cautions that a number of important factors, including those described in this presentation, could cause actual results to differ materially from those contemplated in any forward-looking statements. Factors that may affect future results include, but are not limited to, global as well as local political and economic conditions, including interest rate and exchange rate fluctuations, delays or faults in project execution, fluctuations in raw material prices, delays in research and/or development of new products or service concepts, interruptions of supplies and production, unexpected breach or termination of contracts, market-driven price reductions for FLSmidth & Co. A/S’ products and/or services, introduction of competing products, reliance on information technology, FLSmidth & Co. A/S’ ability to successfully market current and new products, exposure to product liability and legal proceedings and investigations, changes in legislation or regulation and interpretation thereof, intellectual property protection, perceived or actual failure to adhere to ethical marketing practices, investments in and divestitures of domestic and foreign enterprises, unexpected growth in costs and expenses, failure to recruit and retain the right employees and failure to maintain a culture of compliance. Unless required by law FLSmidth & Co. A/S is under no duty and undertakes no obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statement after the distribution of this presentation.
Questions & Answers Next update: Annual General Meeting on 27 March 2014 Follow us on Twitter and LinkedIn
13 February 2014 Annual Report 2013 27
Appendices - backup slides
13 February 2014 Annual Report 2013 28
Customer Services –unannounced orders increased order intake -17%, revenue -6%, EBITA -34%
Material Handling – positive EBITA margin adjusted for special items order intake 146%, revenue 11%, EBITA DKK -29m
Mineral Processing – impacted by mining capex downturn order intake -58%, revenue -29%, EBITA -67%
Cement – EBITA impacted by Buxton arbitration award order intake 87%, revenue 0%, EBITA -44m
Divisional developments in Q4’13 vs. Q4’12
Annual Report 2013
13 February 2014 Annual Report 2013 29
Customer Services
13 February 2014 Annual Report 2013 30
Order intake increased adjusting for changed principle for recognition of O&M contracts
Revenue growth of 2% adjusted for currency
Order intake increased excluding O&M
Customer Services
13 February 2014 Annual Report 2013 31
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
Q4
2011
Q1
2012
Q2
2012
Q3
2012
Q4
2012
Q1
2013
Q2
2013
Q3
2013
Q4
2013
Order intake (quarterly)
-17% vs. Q4 2012 DKKm
Announced O&M orders Announced capital orders Unannounced orders
Revenue (quarterly)
DKKm EBITA margin -6% vs. Q4 2012
0%
4%
8%
12%
16%
20%
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
Q4
2011
Q1
2012
Q2
2012
Q3
2012
Q4
2012
Q1
2013
Q2
2013
Q3
2013
Q4
2013
Customer Services
Customer Services
13 February 2014 Annual Report 2013 32
(DKKm) Q4
2013 Q4
2012 Change
2013
2012
Change
Expected 2014
Order intake 2,032 2,442 -17% 8,005 9,202 -13%
Order backlog 8,046 8,159 -1% 8,046 8,159 -1%
Revenue 2,000 2,129 -6% 7,565 7,073 7% DKK 7.5-8.5bn
EBITDA 200 317 -37% 768 1,012 -24%
EBITA 195 293 -34% 691 930 -26%
EBITA margin 9.8% 13.8% 9.1% 13.1% 13-15%
EBIT 151 259 -42% 411) 7872)
EBIT margin 7.6% 12.2% 0.5%1) 11.1%2)
1) Including Ludowici impairment loss of DKK -539 2) Including one-off write-down of capitalized R&D costs in Q2’12 of approximately DKK 60m
Material Handling
13 February 2014 Annual Report 2013 33
Strong order intake due to large order in Qatar
EBITA margin adjusted for special items +2.9% in Q4
Strong order intake in challenging market
Material Handling
13 February 2014 Annual Report 2013 34
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
Q4
2011
Q1
2012
Q2
2012
Q3
2012
Q4
2012
Q1
2013
Q2
2013
Q3
2013
Q4
2013
Order intake (quarterly)
146% vs. Q4 2012 DKKm
111111
Announced orders Unannounced orders
Revenue (quarterly)
DKKm EBITA margin 11% vs. Q4 2012
-40% -30% -20% -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40%
-2,400 -1,800 -1,200
-600 0
600 1,200 1,800 2,400
Q4
2011
Q1
2012
Q2
2012
Q3
2012
Q4
2012
Q1
2013
Q2
2013
Q3
2013
Q4
2013
Material Handling
Material Handling
13 February 2014 Annual Report 2013 35
(DKKm) Q4
2013 Q4
2012 Change
2013
2012
Change
Expected 2014
Order intake 1,655 675 146% 4,937 4,565 8%
Order backlog 4,465 4,773 -6% 4,465 4,773 -6%
Revenue 1,472 1,326 11% 4,552 4,997 -9% DKK 3.5-4.5bn
EBITDA -15 -167 -455 -140
EBITA -29 -177 -511 -186
EBITA margin -2.0% -13.3% -11.2% -3.7% 0 -2%
EBIT -67 -203 -598 -247
EBIT margin -4.6% -15.3% -13.1% -4.9%
No new problematic projects identified
14 projects out of a total portfolio of 182 projects
in the Material Handling Business Unit are
currently regarded as risky (end of Q3 2013: 15 projects)
These projects accounted for DKK 481m or 11%
of the backlog at the end of Q4
The one-off costs of DKK 323m realised in Q2 cover future losses related to the legacy projects
Status on legacy projects in Material Handling
Interim report Q3 2013
13 February 2014 Annual Report 2013 36
Mineral Processing
13 February 2014 Annual Report 2013 37
Drop in unannounced orders vs. Q1-Q3’13 expected to be temporary
Revenue declined due to decreasing contribution from orders received in 2011-2012
EBITA margin impacted by special items
Declining order intake due to mining capex downturn
Mineral Processing
13 February 2014 Annual Report 2013 38
Revenue (quarterly)
DKKm EBITA margin -29% vs. Q4 2012
0%
3%
6%
9%
12%
15%
18%
21%
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
Q4
2011
Q1
2012
Q2
2012
Q3
2012
Q4
2012
Q1
2013
Q2
2013
Q3
2013
Q4
2013
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
Q4
2011
Q1
2012
Q2
2012
Q3
2012
Q4
2012
Q1
2013
Q2
2013
Q3
2013
Q4
2013
Order intake (quarterly)
-58% vs. Q4 2012 DKKm
Announced orders Unannounced orders
Mineral Processing
Mineral Processing
13 February 2014 Annual Report 2013 39
(DKKm) Q4
2013 Q4
2012 Change
2013
2012
Change
Expected 2014
Order intake 1,025 2,467 -58% 5,559 10,318 -46%
Order backlog 4,993 9,589 -48% 4,993 9,589 -48%
Revenue 2,376 3,358 -29% 9,256 9,512 -3% DKK 5.5-6.5bn
EBITDA 174 483 -64% 850 1,079 -21%
EBITA 153 457 -67% 757 1,000 -24%
EBITA margin 6.4% 13.6% 8.2% 10.5% 6-8%
EBIT 88 426 -79% 2111) 7732) -73%
EBIT margin 3.7% 12.7% 2.3%1) 8.1%2)
1) Including Ludowici impairment loss of DKK -362 2) Including one-off write-down of capitalized R&D costs in Q2’12 of approximately DKK 60m
Cement
13 February 2014 Annual Report 2013 40
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
Q4
2011
Q1
2012
Q2
2012
Q3
2012
Q4
2012
Q1
2013
Q2
2013
Q3
2013
Q4
2013
Increased order intake due to large orders
EBITA impacted by efficiency programme one-off costs and Buxton arbitration award
EBITA margin adjusted for special items 10.2% in Q4
Strong order intake due to large orders
Cement
13 February 2014 Annual Report 2013 41
Revenue (quarterly)
DKKm EBITA margin 0% vs. Q4 2012
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
-500
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
Q4
2011
Q1
2012
Q2
2012
Q3
2012
Q4
2012
Q1
2013
Q2
2013
Q3
2013
Q4
2013
Order intake (quarterly)
87% vs. Q4 2012 DKKm
Announced orders Unannounced orders
Cement
Cement
13 February 2014 Annual Report 2013 42
(DKKm) Q4
2013 Q4
2012 Change
2013
2012
Change Expected
2014
Order intake 1,150 615 87% 3,417 4,599 -26%
Order backlog 5,389 7,585 -29% 5,389 7,585 -29%
Revenue 1,496 1,498 0% 5,201 4,214 23% DKK 3.5-4.5bn
EBITDA -35 317 161 788 -80%
EBITA -44 307 124 752 -84%
EBITA margin -2.9% 20.5% 2.4% 17.8% 5-7%
EBIT -58 304 95 6691) -86%
EBIT margin -3.9% 20.3% 1.8% 15.9%1)
1) Including one-off write-down of capitalized R&D costs in Q2’12 of approximately DKK 60m
Organic order intake growth of -1% in Q4 2013
Service activities accounted for 45% of Q4 orders
‘Dangote’ – the largest order ever - was received in Q4 2013
Order intake growth by segment
Annual Report 2013
13 February 2014 Annual Report 2013 43
*) Operation & Maintenance
Growth Customer Services
Material Handling
Mineral Processing
Cement Group
Organic -10% 157% -52% 92% -1%
Acquisitions 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Currency -7% -11% -6% -5% -7%
Total -17% 146% -58% 87% -8%
Order intake growth Q4’13 vs. Q4’12
Industry Country/ Region
Value DKK
Booked by (Division)
Cement (O&M) Nigeria Undisclosed Customer Services
Building materials Qatar 1,000 Material Handling
Cement Qatar 515 Cement
Cement Indonesia 300 Cement
Total 1,815
Announced orders in Q4’13
Organic revenue growth of -5% in Q4 2013
Service activities accounted for 34% of Q4 revenue
Expected backlog conversion to revenue: 65% in 2014, 20% in 2015 and 15% in 2016 and beyond. O&M* contracts accounted for DKK 5.1bn (23%) of the order backlog at the end of Q4
Revenue growth by segment
Annual Report 2013
13 February 2014 Annual Report 2013 44
Growth Customer Services
Material Handling
Mineral Processing
Cement Group
Organic 2% 22% -22% 3% -5%
Acquisitions 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Currency -8% -11% -7% -3% -7%
Total -6% 11% -29% 0% -12%
Revenue growth Q4’13 vs. Q4’12
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
1.2
1.4
1.6
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
Q4
2011
Q1
2012
Q2
2012
Q3
2012
Q4
2012
Q1
2013
Q2
2013
Q3
2013
Q4
2013
Order backlog (quarterly)
-24% vs. Q4 2012 DKKm Book-to-bill ratio*
*) Order backlog divided by last-twelve-months revenue
EBITA margins adjusted for special items
Special items
13 February 2014 Annual Report 2013 45
Growth Customer Services
Material Handling
Mineral Processing
Cement Cembrit Group
Reported EBITA% 9.8% -2.0% 6.4% -2.9% -7.0% 3.0%
Total EBITA impact -97m -72m -15m -196m -41m -421m
Underlying EBITA% 14.6% 2.9% 7.1% 10.2% 4.0% 8.7%
Special items Q4’13
Growth Customer Services
Material Handling
Mineral Processing
Cement Cembrit Group
Reported EBITA % 9.1% -11.2% 8.2% 2.4% -4.4% 3.6%
Total EBITA impact -316m -512m -88m -265m -59m -1,240m
Underlying EBITA % 13.3% 0.0% 9.1% 7.5% -0.3% 8.2%
Special items 2013
Emerging markets 66% of revenue in 2013
16%
18%
20% 14%
7%
25%
Asia
Africa
Australia
Annual Report 2013
13 February 2014 Annual Report 2013 46
Revenue 2013 – classified by geography
20%
46%
34%
BRIC countries (Brazil, Russia, India, China)
Revenue 2013 – classified by country category
Developing countries (Exclusive of BRIC)
High-income countries (Cf. World Bank’s definition)
South America
North America
Europe
27%
16% 33%
19%
5%
Material Handling
Mineral Processing
Segment developments in 2013
Annual Report 2013
13 February 2014 Annual Report 2013 47
EBITA 2013 – classified by segment
Revenue 2013 – classified by segment
Customer Services Cement
71%
-52%
77%
13%
-7%
Customer Services
Material Handling
Mineral Processing
Cement
Cembrit
Cembrit
Highest revenue but lowest order intake in Mineral Processing in 2013
35%
28%
17%
20%
Annual Report 2013
13 February 2014 Annual Report 2013 48
Order intake Q4 2013 – classified by segment
Customer Services
Material Handling
Cement
26%
19% 31%
19%
5%
Material Handling
Mineral Processing
Revenue Q4 2013 – classified by segment
Customer Services Cement
Mineral Processing
Cembrit
Service activities accounted for 45% of Q4 orders
Annual Report 2013
Annual Report 2013 49
Revenue Q4 2013
13 February 2014
Order intake Q4 2013
34%
66%
Capital business
45%
55%
Service business Capital business
Service business
EBITA by segment
Annual Report 2013
13 February 2014 Annual Report 2013 50
EBITA Q4 2013 – classified by segment
195
-29
153
-44
Customer Services
Material Handling
Mineral Processing
Cement
EBITA margin Q4 2013 – classified by segment
9.8%
-2.0%
6.4%
-2.9%
Customer Services
Material Handling
Mineral Processing
Cement
Cash flow from operating activities (CFFO) impacted by Efficiency Programme one-off costs and Buxton in Q4’13
Cash flow from investments (CFFI) reflects that acquisitions are temporarily on hold and that other investments are managed closely
Free cash flow of DKK -24m in Q4 2013
Annual Report 2013
13 February 2014 Annual Report 2013 51
CFFO (quarterly) DKKm
-800
-400
0
400
800
1200
1600
Q4
2011
Q1
2012
Q2
2012
Q3
2012
Q4
2012
Q1
2013
Q2
2013
Q3
2013
Q4
2013
CFFI (quarterly)
DKK -101m in Q4 2013 DKKm
-3,000
-2,400
-1,800
-1,200
-600
0
600
Q4
2011
Q1
2012
Q2
2012
Q3
2012
Q4
2012
Q1
2013
Q2
2013
Q3
2013
Q4
2013
DKK 77m in Q4 2013
Number of employees decreasing
Annual Report 2013
13 February 2014 Annual Report 2013 52
Number of employees Q4’13 vs. Q4’12 - by segment
6,003
3,435 2,833 2,554
5,847
3,306 2,840
2,251
Customer Services
Material Handling
Mineral Processing
Cement
Q4’13 Q4’12
Number of employees decreased by 583 in 2013 (from 15,900 to 15,317)
Decline explained by Efficiency Programme and business right-sizing
Increase of several hundred staff related to O&M contracts
Q4’13 Q4312 Q4313 Q4’12 Q4’13 Q4’12
Guidance developments in 2013
Guidance
13 February 2014 Annual Report 2013 53
February 2013 May 2013 August 2013 December 2013
Revenue DKK 27-30bn Low end of range DKK 26-28bn
EBITA margin 8-10% Low end of range 4-5% 3.5-4.5%
ROCE 15% 7-8%
CFFI DKK -1bn DKK -0.8bn
Market developments
Market developments, special items and Cembrit
Buxton arbitration
award
Reasons for changed guidance:
Divisional guidance developments in 2013
Guidance
13 February 2014 Annual Report 2013 54
Guidance 12 February 2013 Guidance 7 November 2013
Revenue EBITA margin Revenue EBITA margin
Customer Services DKK 8-10bn 13-15% DKK 7-8bn 10-11%
Material Handling DKK 4-6bn > 0% DKK 4-5bn -11% to -12%
Mineral Processing DKK 10-12bn 8-10% DKK 9-10bn 8-9%
Cement DKK 5-7bn 6-8% DKK 5-6bn 5-6%1)
Cembrit Discontinued DKK 1.4bn -4%
1) EBITA margin not adjusted for Buxton DKK 160m arbitration award
Guidance changed to reflect market developments and allocation of special items to divisions