fluid milk revitalization at retail · drive traffic to retail and increase volume of milk for...
TRANSCRIPT
Fluid Milk RevitalizationAt Retail
April 10, 2019Paul Ziemnisky
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Agenda
• Milk Revitalization Alliance
• Key Milk Facts to Leverage
• Opportunity Areas and Industry Resources
DMI: Global Innovation Partnerships Team
Who we are:Dairy industry consultants that provide expertise in:
Product Science + Marketing + Insights + Innovation
Core capabilities and resources:
Consumer Insights & Innovation
Objectives: Drive incremental sales and build trust in dairy
ProductDevelopment
NutritionConsulting
SocialResponsibility
Exports &Supply Chain
Marketing
3
Milk Revitalization Alliance Vision
4
Leverage the power of the dairy value chain to:
Increase milk’s impact
WIN at retail
5
Take back the dairy aisle
Fix the fundamentals
Reignite category growth
Better serve retail customers
We have a tremendous opportunity to:
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MRA Aligned to Provide “Smelling Salts” to Retailers
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Optimized Shelf &
Assortment
Category & Consumer Insights
Packaging Messaging
Product Innovation
Shopper Marketing
2019 Retail Approach
7
Milk Brands
Milk Revitalization
Alliance (MRA)
Retailer/Etailers
Direction of Communication
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1. Milk is a powerhouse category• Offers unmatched foot traffic, bigger basket rings and higher
profit potential than other categories
• Drives key growth opportunities
MRA Unified Story
2. Milk delivers on consumer needs• On trend with what shoppers are looking for
3. Milk needs to be prioritized• From shelf space to marketing to packaging to product; the
MRA can help with both short and long-term action steps
4. Milk presents an opportunity to create new products and engage the consumer to build relevance
Milk Facts
Fluid milk declines have been driven by 4 major dynamics
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Societal Changes:Changing American
Demographics & Household Composition
Changing Breakfast Behaviors
Growth of Out-of-Home Channels
Significant Beverage Innovation Outside of Fluid
Milk
• Milk
• Soft Drinks
• Coffee
• Juice
• Bottled Water
• RTD Juice
• Teas
• Wellness
• Sports Drinks
• Flavored Teas
• Functional Bevs
• Energy Drinks
• Enhanced Water
• RTD Coffee
• Almond Drink
• Coconut Bevs
• RTD Smoothies
• K-Cups
The beverage landscape has grown exponentially
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1970s 1980s 1990s 2000s Today
• Vegetable/Fruit Blend
• Sparkling Juice
• Fusion Drinks
• Coconut Water
• Drinkable Yogurt
• Pea Protein Drinks
• Kombucha
• Other Fermented
• Cold Brew Coffee
• Cold Pressed Juices
• Alkaline Water
• Maple Water
• And many more…
• Milk
• Soft Drinks
• Coffee
• Juice
• Milk
• Soft Drinks
• Coffee
• Juice
• Bottled Water
• RTD Juice
• Teas
• Milk
• Soft Drinks
• Coffee
• Juice
• Bottled Water
• RTD Juice
• Teas
• Wellness
• Sports Drinks
• Flavored Teas
• Milk
• Soft Drinks
• Coffee
• Juice
• Bottled Water
• RTD Juice
• Teas
• Wellness
• Sports Drinks
• Flavored Teas
• Functional Bevs
• Energy Drinks
• Enhanced Water
• RTD Coffee
• Almond Drink
• Coconut Bevs
• RTD Smoothies
• K-Cups
With these new beverage options, milk has loss to multiple choices
35.5
7.4 5.6
4.5 4.5 3.8 2.3 2.3
0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0
BottledWater
Coffee Tea Juice PlantBeverages
SportsDrinks
EnergyDrinks
Flav/OtherMilk
YogurtDrinks
ClubSoda/Tonic
Other SSBeverage
Smoothies
White Milk Volume Loss to Competitive Switching (Gallons)
Source: NCP; Total US - All Outlets; 52 Weeks Ending 11/12/2017 vs YAG
53.0% 11.1% 8.4% 6.7% 6.6% 5.6% 3.5% 3.4% 0.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.03%Share of
Switching
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Impact of plant-based beverages are not as
big of a driver of declines as other factors
As choice expanded, Milk’s share of stomach declined
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Milk’s Share of Beverage Occasions% Occasions
Source: Kantar Worldpanel
18.9
1987
18.5
1997
10.3
2007
8.3
2017
% Occasions
Consumers Age +1
12me December 1987 - 2017
Source: National Consumer Panel Total US – All Outlets; 52 we 11/12/2017 vs. YAG
We are losing share of stomach primarily with our retained buyers, who account for 90% of White Milk declines
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Lost Buyers(4% of all buyers)
New Buyers(3% of all buyers)
Lost buyers
contributed 10% of
White Milk’s decline,
or -19.6 million gallons
Retained buyers
account for 90% of
White Milk volume
decline -70.5 million
gallons
Retained Buyers Current(97% of all buyers)
New buyers
contributed gain of
+12.0 million gallons
Equates to -.6 gallons per
household annually =
~1.5oz per week
• We are losing 1.5oz per week on average..
• With existing users..
• Just one more serving per household per week could drive significant growth for the category
15
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Milk is still a powerhouse category
Source: IRI/DMI Custom Unify Milk Database, Total US Multi Outlet + Convenience, YTD Ending 6/19/2018
30 Annual Trips
$106 / buyer
$2,100 annual basket value
95%HH Penetration
$14.3BCategory Size
>$150MMAnnual Spending
$1.6B Flavored Milk
$1.5B Organic Milk
$1.1B Lactose Free
Support from industry
and brands
Dairy Case Studys
Consumer Segmentation
Pre-Competitive Category Tool Kits
Beverage Innovation
Milk Messaging/Claims Test
2019 Calendar of Events
17
Available Resourcesfor Brands
Deep Dive:
Dairy Case Study Results in Action
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Dairy Performance: 3 – 10 – 20
Dairy represents
20% OF GROSS
PROFITREGISTERS
FLORISTP
RO
DU
CE
BU
LK
GR
OC
ERY B
AK
ERY
WIN
E & SP
IRITS
DELI &
PR
EPA
RED
FOO
DS
DAIRY, EGGS & COFFEEMEATSEAFOOD
3%OF SPACE
10%OF SALES
21
Milk & eggs have the lowest DOS & deliver highest GMROIIDOS = Days of Supply
Dairy Department Days-of-Supply (Avg DOS)
Category Definitions:• Fluid Milk: Buttermilk, Conventional White, Eggnog, Flavored Milk, Organic White
• Alterative Beverages: Almond, Soy, Rice, Coconut & A/O
• Refrigerated Beverages: Juice, Drinks, Tea & Iced Coffee Beverages
Source: Inmar/Willard Bishop Grocery SuperStudyTM
2.3
2.6
4.9
5.8
6.0
6.1
7.3
10.1
10.4
Eggs
Fluid Milk
Rfg Bevs
Yogurt
Cultured
Cream/Creamer
Dairy Alt Bevs
Cheese
Margarine/Butter
Dairy Case Avg AGMROII $25.86(Total Stores is $8-10)
Avg AGMROII
Eggs $82.94
Fluid Milk $55.35
Cream/Creamer $34.38
Rfg Bevs $29.37
Cultured $28.64
Yogurt $24.86
Dairy Alt Bevs $24.25
Cheese $17.71
Margarine/Butter $16.66
Average GMROII*
GMROII is Average Gross MarginReturn on Inventory Investment
NATIONAL
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There are key growth segments within dairy milk. Historical growth in plant based has been entirely driven by almond.
2018 Sales ($MM)5 Year Growth
($MM)5 Year $ CAGR
Whole White Milk $4,779 $280 1.2%
Lactose Free Milk $1,279 $604 13.6%
Flavored Milk $1,573 $160 2.2%
Refrigerated Plant Based $1,620 $499 7.6%
Refrigerated Almond Beverage $1,188 $578 14.3%
Refrigerated Plant ex Almond $431 -$79 -3.3%
Source: IRI/DMI Custom Unify Milk Database, Total US Multi Outlet + Convenience, YTD Ending 12/2018
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Sales Rate, Milk Segments$382
Whole White Milk
Source: IRI/DMI Custom Unify Milk Database, Total US Multi Outlet + Convenience, YTD Ending 12/2018;
*Sales Rate measured in Dollars per $MM / item
$368
2% White Milk
$220
1% White Milk
$113
Skim White Milk
$47
Flavored Milk
$51
Lactose Free Milk
$56
Organic Milk
$39
Refrigerated Plant Based Alternative
Milk and its segments are the volume powerhouses of the category
Conventional White Milk(excludes Organic and Lactose Free)
Value-Added Products
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Milk subcategories are more productive than those of plant-based
Source: IRI/DMI Custom Unify Milk Database, Total US Multi Outlet + Convenience, YTD Ending 12/2018;
*Sales Rate measured in Dollars per $MM / item
Sales Rate, Value-Added Products
$58
Ch
oco
late
Stra
wb
erry
Van
illa
Wh
ite
Milk
Flav
ore
d
Wh
ite
Milk
Flav
ore
d
Bu
tter
milk
Egg
No
g
Tota
l Pla
nt-
Bas
ed
Tota
l Alm
on
d
Soy
Cas
hew Flax
Pea Oat
$23 $22
$72
$30
$74
$22
$45
$20
$39$48
$31$19
$9 $8 $5
Flavored Milk($1.6B)
Lactose Free($1.3B)
Organic($1.5B)
Other Milk Refrigerated Plant Based($1.6B)
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Shopper Segmentation:
Milk Mavens
Morning Quenchers
Perfect Pairers
Entrée EnhancersMilk
MagiciansMixologists Diluted Drinkers
Whyconsume
milk
Love the taste and texture
Versatile
Health benefits
Quench thirst
Nourish and satisfy
Health and calcium
Inexpensive
Completes food
‘Washes down'
Added nutrition
Delicious
Goes with food
Nourish and satisfy
Calcium
Transform ingredients
Create deliciousness
Nourish and satisfy
A great base for a treat OR
Control heath
Natural and nutritious
Simple way to get a caffeine boost
Whenconsume
milk
Across all occasions
In a glass or with breakfast
In a glass or with snacks
In a glass or with dinner or lunch
In cereal / oatmeal and recipe
Base for lattes, smoothies,
milkshakes, etc.
In drip coffee or tea
Size and Volume
7% of People
24% of Volume
18% of Trips
10% of People
13% of Volume
16% of Trips
16% of People
21% of Volume
24% of Trips
6% of People
9% of Volume
8% of Trips
5% of People
6% of Volume
7% of Trips
2% of People
3% of Volume
3% of Trips
6% of People
7% of Volume
8% of Trips
Shopper segmentation research reveals consumers are using milk in many different ways
Source: Arc Brandpoint Segmentation Research 2018
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MilkPEP 2019 Calendar
Timing Jan + Feb March + AprilMarch +
AprilJulyJune July August October Nov + Dec
Always On e-comm
Objective/Goal
Build trust and salience in real milk
Drive traffic to retail and increase volume of milk for morning breakfast routines
Drive traffic to retail with fitness-focused shoppers to buy chocolate milk gallons as their workout recovery beverage of choice
Drive traffic to FeedingAmerica.com to drive donations to Great American Milk Drive
Drive awareness and purchase of fresh milk delivery thru eCommerce channel
Get Mom to buy more milk during the back to school stock up and fill-in trips
Drive foot traffic to retailers to buy more chocolate milk during the Halloween season
Get families to buy more milk during the holiday season during stock up and fill in trips
Drive incremental sales
Position milk front and center on the digital shelf
Strategy
Inspire Milk Mavens and Perfect Pairers and families to feel happy and proud about choosing real milk
Remind Mom to start the day with simple, nutritious solutions so that her kids can take on whatever life puts on their plate
Irresistibly link chocolate milk with real recovery
Remind shoppers that milk helps fuel children and their community has a need
Use the modern milkman (eCommerce) to help mom savor more of summer with cold milk delivery
Milk is the school supply that solves a real, everyday problem: the afterschool “hangries”
Make chocolate milk the Official Drink of Halloween(to be trademarked)
Remind mom that milk is integral to the holiday fabric and inspires holiday memories
Leverage program activations at the digital shelf
Creative Reference
HolidayHalloweenBack to SchoolChocolate Milk Recovery
(Launch) Milk.Love What’s Real.
Great American Milk Drive
Summer e-cmmMake Mornings Matter White Milk
Chocolate Milk
27
2019 Brand/Retail Communication Calendar
In progress, subject to change
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
EBLASTS
MILKPEP.ORG
WEBINARS
TRADE MEDIA
Dairy Foods Print Ad, Native, e-
newsletterDairy Foods Print Ad, Native
VIA MRA
1:1 OUTREACH
RETAIL CONFERENCES
Digital Food & Beverage
NFRA Food Convention
P2PX
NACS Show
Retail Trade SupportProgressive Grocer webinar, print
P2P Summit
Groceryshop
Cold Vault Summit
Continued Retailer MeetingsTargeting retailers in social/programmatic
Continued retail follow-up and outreach for pilotsPilots in Market
Shopper, MRA
Shopper, MRA
3Shopper Webinars (Mar, Jun, July)
Ongoing Earned Media
3 Shopper Webinars (BTS, Oct, Holiday) 2020 Shopper
Category Innovation
Fluid Milk Revitalization Vision
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Be Milk:Moderate the decline of base fluid milk (milk as milk)
Be the Competition:Develop and grow fluid milk-based beverages (fluid milk as ingredient)
30
2019 Partner Plans
2019
Partner
Plans
Launch New
Packaging,
Advertising and
Fit Milk
Expand LRF Wholesome
Smoothies, Launch New
Milk Products
Launch Flavored Whole
Milk, Test New Milk
Platform
Launch New Single-Serve
Products, New Channel
Products
1st Quarter 2019 Category Innovation
31
32
Global Trend Study Beverage Growth Pockets Beverage Occasion Landscape
Gen Z Insights & Innovation Milk Messaging Test
DMI is investing in research to help drive the fluid milk vision
33
Consumers are focusing on living a
Holistic LifestyleA movement that considers the whole person and how they interact with their environment. It emphasizes the connection of body, mind, and spirit.
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Will I enjoy it?Is it good for my body? Does it fit my needs?Do I feel good
about buying it?
Peak PerformanceTotal body and mind
optimization
Sensorial
ExperiencesExperiences that make me
feel good
FunctionalityThe right size for the right
occasion
Responsible
ConsumptionGood for the planet and
community
With a holistic lifestyle, consumers’ perceptions and questions around food and
beverages are changing more rapidly than ever before. They’re asking questions like:
30+ Consumer-Centric
Concepts Developed
36
Strong, near-in pre-competitive concepts
37
Future emerging areas
38
Milk MessagingTest
39
Milk message test objective
Determine the optimal use of valuable real estate on milk packaging by identifying the most motivating claims / messages to drive consumers to purchase milk.
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Claims were tested across a wide range of territories
Clean Label
Processing
Local
Nutrition
Sustainability
Taste/Texture
Natural
Fresh
Organic
Chocolate Specific
Lactose Free Specific
Calories, Fat, Sugar Grass-Fed
Protein/Energy
Recommendation
41
FROM:Inconsistent,
confusing, less-impactful messages
• rBST-Free
• Non-GMO
• Vitamin D Milk (for whole milk)
TO: Relevant, impactful messages
across industry (combined with brand-
specific messages)
• 100% Real Milk
• All Milk is Antibiotic Free & Has No Artificial Hormones
• Powerful Nutrition
• Farm/Local
• Responsible Consumption
43
Bringing it all together - what to do next
MRA to hold industry webinar in Q2 with new DCD insights to proactively manage space story with retailers. Leverage to prove value of dairy segments relative to limited reach of new alternative flavors to optimize category sales and profits.
Assortment & Space
MRA to hold webinar in Q2 on optimal messaging bundles and language angles. Leverage to inform retailers and brand messaging for category lifting language.
Packaging:Messaging & Structure
MRA to hold webinar in Q2 on milk concept testing insights to prove to retailers on the opportunity to growth with milk and milk-based innovation.
InnovationConcepts
MilkPEP has a detailed marketing event calendar that highlights activation opportunities.MarketingCalendar
Leverage the insights provided to bring the voice of dairy back to category leadership.Activate
Thank You
44
Milk Revitalization Alliance Vision
45
Leverage the power of the dairy value chain to increase
milk’s impact and WIN at retail.