focusing on our strengths - nielsen€¦ · in 2014, over 52 million religious book titles were...
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1CHRISTIAN BOOK MARKET REPORT Copyright © 2015 The Nielsen Company
F O C U S I N G O N O U R S T R E N G T H SKEY INSIGHTS INTO THE CHRISTIAN MARKET FROM NIELSEN BOOK
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2 CHRISTIAN BOOK MARKET REPORT
Dear Christian Market Watcher,
In 2014, over 52 million religious book titles were sold in the U.S,
representing an increase of over 10.5% versus the prior year. Comparing
this to the 2.4% increase for the overall book market, Religion is
outperforming the market as a whole.
And yet, 2015 has seen tremendous upheaval in the form of the Family
Christian bankruptcy news, rapidly shifting purchasing behaviors, and a
complicated media environment. Some areas that were growing through FY 2014 have seen a decline when comparing their YTD 2014 with 2015.
Other areas, like Christian Fiction, were declining but are now growing.
Clearly this is a robust market that is in flux. We believe the best way to
deal with a market in flux is to get under the hood and understand the
detail – starting with the consumer. Who is the Christian Book buyer?
This mini-report represents a quick snapshot of the market, the different
subgenres in the Christian book market, and how they are changing. Here
at Nielsen Book we are continually looking to understand the Christian Book buyer through our state of the art business intelligence (including
BookScan, PubTrack Christian, Books & Consumers and PubTrack
Digital) and to share these insights through our deep dive studies and
annual Book Summits.
Our 2015 Nielsen Christian Book Summit, scheduled for October 23, 2015 in
Nashville, will bring together decision makers and leaders from across the
industry. We’ll reveal the latest insights and discuss how data can help inform business decisions and boost growth. We hope you will join us there.
In the meantime, enjoy these insights on the Christian Book consumer.
We look forward to continuing to grow our knowledge in the Christian
market and help our clients grow their business.
Sincerely,
Jonathan Stolper
SVP, Global MD
Nielsen Book
FRIDAY, OCT. 23, 2015
SHERATON NASHVILLE DOWNTOWN HOTEL 623 UNION STREET, NASHVILLE, TN 37219
Register Today: www.nielsen.com/christianbooks
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3CHRISTIAN BOOK MARKET REPORT Copyright © 2015 The Nielsen Company
WHO IS THE TYPICAL CHRISTIAN FICTION BUYER?
OF CHRISTIAN FICTION BOOK BUYERS AREFEMALE
WHO IS THE TYPICAL CHRISTIAN BUYER?BOOKS & CONSUMERS
72%
56%
OVER 45 YEARSOF AGE
ARE
51%
UNDER $50,000
HAVE AN ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME
Source: Nielsen Books & Consumers – Data Aggregate: December 2013-November 2014
FACEBOOK PINTERESTUSE USE81% 30%
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4 CHRISTIAN BOOK MARKET REPORT
OF CHRISTIAN NON-FICTION BOOK BUYERS ARE
WHO IS THE TYPICAL CHRISTIAN NON-FICTION BUYER?
FEMALE59%
52%UNDER $50,000
HAVE AN ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME
UNDER 45 YEARSOF AGE
ARE
51%
49%
Source: Nielsen Books & Consumers – Data Aggregate: December 2013-November 2014
READ/PARTICIPATE IN BLOGS/FORUMS - AT LEAST MODERATELY
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5CHRISTIAN BOOK MARKET REPORT Copyright © 2015 The Nielsen Company
WHO IS THE TYPICAL CHRISTIAN BIBLE BUYER?
OF BIBLEBUYERS AREMALE
58%
52%OVER $50,000
HAVE AN ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME
UNDER 45 YEARSOF AGE
ARE
80%
45%
Source: Nielsen Books & Consumers – Data Aggregate: December 2013-November 2014
ACCESS A SOCIAL NETWORK SITE (E.G. FACEBOOK, TWITTER, ETC.) DAILY
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6 CHRISTIAN BOOK MARKET REPORT
THERE ARE PLENTY OF OPPORTUNITIES - IF YOU KNOW WHERE TO LOOK NIELSEN BOOKSCAN & PUBTRACK CHRISTIAN
BOOKSCAN SALES DATA
RELIGION HAS PERFORMED WELL AHEAD OF OVERALL MARKET IN LAST FEW YEARS
SUBJECT = ALL SUBJECT = ALL RELIGION
THERE ARE PLENTY OF OPPORTUNITIES - IF YOU KNOW WHERE TO LOOK NIELSEN BOOKSCAN & PUBTRACK CHRISTIAN
800
700
600
500
400
300
200
100
02009
753
2010
718
2011
651
2012
MIL
LIO
NS
591
2013
620
2014
635
CAGR-3.34%
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
39.1 39.8 39.6 39.4
4752
MIL
LIO
NS
201420132012201120102009
CAGR6.09%
CAGR = Compounded Annual Growth Rate
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7CHRISTIAN BOOK MARKET REPORT Copyright © 2015 The Nielsen Company
YTD SALES AS A PERCENTAGE OF 2014 TOTALS
EVEN WITH MARKET STRESSES OF 2015, RELIGION IS STILL PERFORMING BETTER YTD
46% ALL BOOKS
ALL RELIGION53%
BookScan: Week 26 2015: YTD print units in each category as a percentage of 2014 totals
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8 CHRISTIAN BOOK MARKET REPORT
ADULT NONFICTION HAS OUTPACED ADULT FICTION BY DOUBLE DIGIT GROWTH
CAGR-11.80%
CAGR-7.56%
LONG-TERM RELIGION TRENDS - ADULT
0 0
0 0
10 10
1 1
20 20
2 2
30 30
3 3
40 40
4
5
6
7
4
5
6
7
23.3 24.428.1 28.4
3235.8
MIL
LIO
NS
MIL
LIO
NS
MIL
LIO
NS
MIL
LIO
NS
2014
2014
CAGR8.89%
CAGR11.27%
2014
2014
2013
2013
2013
2013
2012
2012
2012
2012
2011
2011
2011
2011
2010
2010
2010
2010
2009
2009
2009
2009
RELIGION: ADULT NONFICTION
RELIGION: ADULT FICTION
RELIGION: ADULT NONFICTION CHRISTIAN
RELIGION: ADULT FICTION CHRISTIAN
18 18.9
24.1 22.6
2830.7
6
43.2
4.9
3.53
6.2
4 4.1
4.9
3.53
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9CHRISTIAN BOOK MARKET REPORT Copyright © 2015 The Nielsen Company
CAGR4.82%
CAGR6.13%
CAGR7.68%
CAGR17.98%
0 0
21
42
6
3
8
4
10
5
6
7
JUVENILE AS A CATEGORY IS VERY STRONG, PARTICULARLY IN NONFICTION
LONG-TERM RELIGION TRENDS - JUVENILE
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
1
2
3
4
5
3.9
8.6
7.46.8
5.65.75.8
3.5
2.7
1.91.7
1.5 1.5
4.44.9
5.9
4.1 3.93.7
3.1
2.32.32.5
2.7
MIL
LIO
NS
MIL
LIO
NS
MIL
LIO
NS
MIL
LIO
NS
2014
2014
2014
2014
2013
2013
2013
2013
2012
2012
2012
2012
2011
2011
2011
2011
2010
2010
2010
2010
2009
2009
2009
2009
RELIGION: JUVENILE NONFICTION
RELIGION: JUVENILE FICTION
RELIGION: JUVENILE NONFICTION CHRISTIAN
RELIGION: JUVENILE FICTION CHRISTIAN
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10 CHRISTIAN BOOK MARKET REPORT
DECLINE-1.09%
DECLINE-3.72%
GROWTH6.40%
GROWTH12.35%
SHORT-TERM RELIGION TRENDS - ADULT
YTD PHYSICAL UNIT SALES THRU WEEK 25
0
0
0
0
5
.5
1
.5
10
1.0
1.5
1.0
15
1.5
2
1.5
20
2.0
2.5
2.0
2.5
MIL
LIO
NS
MIL
LIO
NS
MIL
LIO
NS
MIL
LIO
NS
17
1.78
16.3
1.76
RELIGION: ADULT NONFICTION
HOLIDAYS/FESTIVALS/RELIGION: ADULT NONFICTION
HOLIDAYS/FESTIVALS/RELIGION: JUVENILE FICTION
RELIGION: ADULT FICTION
1.9 2
2014 YTD
2014 YTD
2015 YTD
2015 YTD
2014 YTD
2014 YTD
2015 YTD
2015 YTD
2.1
2.4
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11CHRISTIAN BOOK MARKET REPORT Copyright © 2015 The Nielsen Company
GROWTH10.66%
GROWTH12.35%
DECLINE-1.09%
DECLINE-1.07%
SHORT-TERM RELIGION TRENDS - JUVENILE
YTD PHYSICAL UNIT SALES THRU WEEK 25
0
0 0
.5
.5 .5
1.0
1.0 1.0
1.5
1.5 1.5
2.0
2.0 2.0
2.5 2.5
MIL
LIO
NS
MIL
LIO
NS
MIL
LIO
NS
MIL
LIO
NS
RELIGION: JUVENILE NONFICTION
RELIGION: JUVENILE FICTION
RELIGION: JUVENILE NONFICTION CHRISTIAN
RELIGION: JUVENILE FICTION CHRISTIAN
2014 YTD
2014 YTD
2015 YTD
2015 YTD
0
.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2014 YTD
2014 YTD
2015 YTD
2015 YTD
1.78
2.1 2.2
1.781.76
2.4 2.4
1.76
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12 CHRISTIAN BOOK MARKET REPORT
CHRISTIAN RETAIL & WHOLESALERS GROWTH IN 2014
HOW IS THIS SHIFTING IN 2015? JOIN US AT THE NIELSEN CHRISTIAN BOOK SUMMIT TO FIND OUT!
FY 2013-2014 - VOLUME SOLD
0
10
20
30
50
40
Q12013
Q12014
Q22013
Q22014
Q32013
Q32014
Q42013
Q42014
0
5
10
15
25
20
Q12013
Q12014
Q22013
Q22014
Q32013
Q32014
Q42013
Q42014
CHRISTIAN RETAIL
WHOLESALERS
PubTrack Christain – 2013-2014 Quarterly by Volume
37
17.6
32.7
17.4
38
16.2
39.5
18.3
42.6
24
36.6
20.5
37.2
18.6
40.5
21
MIL
LIO
NS
MIL
LIO
NS
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13CHRISTIAN BOOK MARKET REPORT Copyright © 2015 The Nielsen Company
UNMATCHED INSIGHTS FOR THE CHRISTIAN MARKETBOOKSCAN• Point-of-Sales data acquired from 16,000 retail locations a week (and
growing)
• Track 500,000 ISBNs/14 million units per week
• Data covers roughly 85% of the U.S trade physical book market.
PUBTRACK CHRISTIAN• Hybrid Product looking at market through POS and Publisher Provided
data
• POS data provides full title detail and historical weekly sales data
collected from Christian stores since January 2008
• Publisher data sharing channels reported include:
o Christian bookstores | General bookstores
o International | Internet/book clubs/catalog
o Mass market retail | Publisher/distributor direct
o Wholesalers | All other
PUBTRACK DIGITAL• The industry’s only aggregated eBook analysis system - using invoice
sales data to monitor global eBook sales from 2010 forward
BOOKS & CONSUMERS• 72,000 Unique U.S book consumers drawn from a nationally
representative sample
• Selected according to Age, Gender, Income, Household size, and
location balanced to U.S Census
• Representing an annual view of 200,000 book purchases and 140,000
shopping occasions
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14 CHRISTIAN BOOK MARKET REPORT
ABOUT NIELSEN Nielsen N.V. (NYSE: NLSN) is a global performance management
company that provides a comprehensive understanding of what
consumers Watch and Buy. Nielsen’s Watch segment provides media and
advertising clients with Total Audience measurement services across all
devices where content — video, audio and text — is consumed. The Buy
segment offers consumer packaged goods manufacturers and retailers
the industry’s only global view of retail performance measurement. By
integrating information from its Watch and Buy segments and other data
sources, Nielsen provides its clients with both world-class measurement
as well as analytics that help improve performance. Nielsen, an S&P 500
company, has operations in over 100 countries that cover more than 90
percent of the world’s population.
For more information, visit www.nielsen.com.
Copyright © 2015 The Nielsen Company. All rights reserved. Nielsen and
the Nielsen logo are trademarks or registered trademarks of CZT/ACN
Trademarks, L.L.C. Other product and service names are trademarks or
registered trademarks of their respective companies.15/9035
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CHRISTIAN BOOK MARKET REPORT