forces of change 2017 - nalmco · babson school of business projects that 10 years from now 40% of...

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Forces of Change 2017

MARK L IEN LC, HBDP, CLEP, CLMC, LEED AP BD&CILLUMINATING ENGINEERING SOCIETY

[email protected]

https://www.wsj.com/articles/is‐your‐attention‐span‐shorter‐than‐a‐goldfishs‐1487340000

Four Concurrent Revolutions

• SOLID STATE LIGHTING

• Internet of Things

• Trust

• Lighting & Health

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Exponential IoT Growth

• In 2005, 500 million devices were connected to the internet

• In 2015 we had 8 billion devices connected

• In 2025 we are projected to have 50 billion devices connected

• In 2035 the projection is for 1 trillion devices to be connected

• We are 1% of the way into this transformation

The 6 D’s

Hallmarks of Exponential Growth

1. Digitalization

2. Deception

3. Disruption

4. Demonetization

5. Dematerialization

6. Democratization

Exponential Growth

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The 6 D’s


1. Digitalization

2. Deception

3. Disruption

4. Demonetization


6. Democratization

Deception

8

=

=

LED Lighting

9

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The 6 D’s


1. Digitalization

2. Deception

3. Disruption

4. Demonetization


6. Democratization

2013‐2016 IES Progress Report

No Progress on Traditional Fixtures and Sources

Lifespan of firms in the S&P 500

Hello…

e‐bayNETFLIXWhole FoodsAmazonGoogleComcastE*Tradeetc.

Goodbye…

Eastman KodakPalmNew York TimesSearsComp USACircuit CityRadio Shacketc.

Babson School of business projects that 10 years from now 40% of today’s S&P 500 will not exist. By 2020 more than 100 will be companies that we have not heard of yet.

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The 6 D’s


1. Digitalization

2. Deception

3. Disruption

4. Demonetization


6. Democratization

60W LED Replacement 80 cents2015

201689 cents

2017

Viribright® Lighting announces their New Technology, $.80 60 Watt A19 Dimmable LED Light Bulb at the 2017 True Value Spring Reunion in booth 4336 at the Anaheim Convention Center in Los Angeles, CA February 17th-19th

The 6 D’s


1. Digitalization

2. Deception

3. Disruption

4. Demonetization


6. Democratization

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Nanowire LED’s

Jan 31, 2017: With the aim to create ultra-bright LEDs, the Grenoble-based research institute CEA LETI (LETI), is now transforming nanowire technology, which was first designed for transistors. At present the market consists of three types of MOSFET designs which include nanowire technology, fin field effect transistor (FinFET), and a fully depleted-silicon on insulator (FD-SOI) MOSFET.The industry still mostly uses silicon-based technology, hence there is the need to justify and convince them to opt for new materials, according to a LETI spokesperson.

http://bizled.co.in/transforming‐nanowire‐technology‐to‐create‐ultra‐bright‐leds/

III-V group semiconductor materials like GaN offers better performance in optical applications and driver, the spokesperson added. Silicon-based nanowires were actually created for transistor applications. However, in 5-7 nanometer sized applications LETI is using 3D GaN nanowires for lighting applications.

http://www.engadget.com/2015/06/17/graphene-light-bulb/

Forget LED light bulbs... in the future, your lighting may be made from carbon. Columbia University researchers have built a light bulb chip that superheats graphene to produce illumination. While that's the same basic concept that you see in an incandescent bulb, the graphene filament measures just one atom thick -- this is the world's thinnest light bulb, and may be close to being the thinnest possible. It's transparent, too, which could suit it to see-through displays.

[Image credit: Myung-Ho Bae/KRISS]

https://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=player_embedded&v=DaxKbATmTCE

3D Printing Disrupts $10T Industry

18http://business.financialpost.com/news/transportation/how‐local‐motors‐hopes‐to‐disrupt‐the‐auto‐industry‐with‐a‐53000‐3d‐printed‐car

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19http://www.3ders.org/articles/20141201‐rohinni‐produces‐the‐world‐thinnest‐led‐lights‐3d‐printing.html

http://www.3dprinting.lighting/

3D Printing OLED’s , Optics, Luminaires…

http://3dprint.com/109090/graphene‐3d‐patent‐led‐light/

Their first product was a conductive filament created for desktop FDM 3D printers that allows simple, electricity conducting circuits to be printed without having to add any other components or wiring.Graphene 3D Lab has announced that they have filed a provisional patent application for a process using graphene materials to 3Dprint an organic LED light using their newly developed multi‐functional 3D printer. The patent application includes 3D printer technology that uses multiple material deposition techniques, robotic manipulation, and laser as well as UV curing capabilities.The application is specific to the process of using their new printer to fabricate a working LED light source that is entirely functional right off of the printing bed with no further augmentation required. The printed organic LED device is a graphene coated transparent window that will automatically conduct electricity.

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3D Printer Cost

https://www.amazon.com/Monoprice‐Select‐Printer‐Heated‐Filament/dp/B01FL49VZE/ref=sr_1_3?ie=UTF8&qid=1486087339&sr=8‐3&keywords=thingmaker+3d+printer

http://www.shapeways.com/

Note: Crowdsourcing ‐ Freelancer.com, Fiver.com, etc

Light Enables Adaptable 3D Printing

• Anne Trafton | MIT News OfficeJanuary 13, 2017

http://news.mit.edu/2017/technique‐enables‐adaptable‐3‐d‐printing‐0113

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Wireless Power

http://www.wirelesspowerconsortium.com/member‐list/?name_member_company=&category=‐1&membership_category=&submitbutton=Search

http://www.kurzweilai.net/powering‐brain‐implants‐without‐wires‐with‐thin‐film‐wireless‐power‐transmission‐system

The 6 D’s


1. Digitalization

2. Deception

3. Disruption

4. Demonetization


6. Democratization

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http://nextthing.co/

Democratization

29

In the year 2000 there were about 360 million internet users

Global internet users rise from 2B in 2010 to nearly 5B in 2020

3B more minds expanding, learning, connecting & creating

When remaining 2.5B on line expect convergent consequences

The 6 D’s


1. Digitalization

2. Deception

3. Disruption

4. Demonetization


6. Democratization

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http://luxreview.com/article/2016/01/sony‐s‐new‐smart‐light‐is‐the‐most‐versatile‐we‐ve‐seen

SSL to IoT

https://www.greentechmedia.com/articles/read/led‐startup‐soraa‐debuts‐its‐first‐consumer‐light

The company says it’s a healthier, smarter way to light a home.by Katie Fehrenbacher ‐ January 05, 2017

Soraa, which was co‐founded by Nobel laureate Shuji Nakamura and funded by Khosla Ventures and NEA, calls the lighting product “helia.” It’s a light bulb and smart controller set that dynamically adjusts lighting to help households sleep better, achieve a more convenient lifestyle, and light a house more efficiently.

33https://www.indiegogo.com/projects/fluxo‐the‐world‐s‐first‐truly‐smart‐lamp‐‐2#/story

300 LED’sSelf‐learningPresence turns on & offUser directs light with app

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Self‐assembling Particles Future of LED Lighting

• Now, Princeton engineering researchers have illuminated another path forward for LED technologies by refining the manufacturing of light sources made with crystalline substances known as perovskites, a more efficient and potentially lower‐cost alternative to materials used in LEDs found on store shelves.

• The researchers developed a technique in which nanoscale perovskite particles self‐assemble to produce more efficient, stable and durable perovskite‐based LEDs. The advance, reported Jan. 16 in Nature Photonics, could speed the use of perovskite technologies in commercial applications such as lighting, lasers and television and computer screens.

Posted January 19, 2017; 03:30 p.m.by Chris Emery for the Office of Engineering Communications

http://www.princeton.edu/main/news/archive/S48/46/70I84/index.xml?section=topstories


• Solid State Lighting

• INTERNET OF THINGS (Internet of Services?)

• Trust


Roundup Of Internet Of Things Forecasts And Market Estimates, 2016

http://www.forbes.com/sites/louiscolumbus/2016/11/27/roundup‐of‐internet‐of‐things‐forecasts‐and‐market‐estimates‐2016/#2f1192554ba5

NOV 27, 2016

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CABA Impact of IoT Report ‐ 2017

1.KEY TRENDS IN IOT AND COMMERCIAL BUILDING TEDCHNOLOGY MARKETS – SECTION 1 Internet of Things Overview 2.It is important to note that the IoT is not a specific device or technology – it is a conceptual framework, driven by the idea of embedding connectivity and intelligence in a wide range of devices. IHS defines an IoT device as one with some form of embedded connectivity that allows it to be directly connected to the Internet (that is, it is IP-addressable) or allows it to connect (be tethered) to an IP-addressable device. This connection can be wired or wireless. These devices can include a range of sensors as well as some type of user interface (UI); but neither a sensor nor a user interface is required under this definition.

Theme 1 - Realizing the value of IoT Summary of key message: As technology developments throughout the IoT Ecosystem have come to fruition and continual innovation drives solutions, adoption of IoT solutions in intelligent buildings remains dependent on proving the value of IoT. Although the ecosystem interviews gave perspective on what the suppliers to the industry believed would be of value, the decision-maker survey illustrated this was not always in line with what the customer was actually looking for.

”Most attractive advantages that IoT in building automation can bring” ‐ #1 Reduce Energy Consumption

http://www.caba.org/documents/reports/CABA%20Intelligent%20Buildings%20%20Impact%20of%20IoT%20Executive%20Summary%20‐%20FINAL.pdf

“History has proven that new technological advancements never have any unintended

consequences”

http://www.homelandsecuritynewswire.com/dr20160210‐intelligence‐agencies‐could‐use‐internetofthings‐to‐spy‐on‐people

What Could Go Wrong?

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Statements on Smart, IoT & Connected Lighting

• Smart products and sensors slowly penetrating market (period of ”deception” prior to accelerating to exponential growth).

• Exterior lighting precedes interior due to ROI, product availability and potential benefits to municipalities, the public and manufacturers

• Smart cities are driving connectivity (using lighting as the lynchpin to connect the various elements of a complicated structure together)

• Standards are under development

ANSI C137 Reveals Fundamental Need for New Definitions

Coexistence – the ability of systems or system components to operate together without having harmful or undesirable effects on each other Compatibility— the ability of a system or system components to have coexistence, interoperability, and/or interchangeability with other systems or systems components, depending on the context Note: Because the terms “compatible” and “compatibility” are ambiguous, their use is not recommended when other terms are more specific. See definitions of coexistence, interoperability, and interchangeability to determine which are most appropriate. Functional Interchangeability—the ability of a system component to perform in an equivalent manner as another system component Note: The system component may not be physically interchangeable. System Input Power— total electrical power consumed by the system, including the operation of all electrical components necessary for its intended functioning Interchangeability—the ability of system component to replace the form and fit of another system component and perform in an equivalent way Note: See definitions of functional interchangeability and physical interchangeability. Interoperability—the ability of systems or systems components to transmit, receive, interpret, and/or react to data and/or power and function in a defined manner

Lighting System—a collection of functionally related components that can include, but is not limited to, luminaires, sensors, controllers, software, firmware, windows or skylights, installed in an application to provide illumination Notes: 1. lighting systems may be networked to provide central or remote control and monitoring functions. 2. lighting systems may be connected to or integrated with other systems or devices. 3. energy use, light quality, light level, human comfort, visibility, safety and security, the physical environment, system operation and maintenance, and daylight integration are considerations addressed by lighting systems.

Physical Interchangeability—the ability of a system component to replace the form and fit of another system component Note: The system component may not perform in an equivalent way.

ANSI C137 Reveals Fundamental Need for New Definitions

Note: This is a draft version and likely will be out for public comment 1Q 2017

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IoT Universal Language

Most IoT devices don’t speak the same language even if they use the same wireless technology. The result is an Internet of Things that is often a patchwork of translations, adding complexity for developers and limiting users to single‐vendor systems. The solution lies in a common language between all IoT devices on any network.

The ZigbeeAlliance will be showcasing the path to a unified Internet of Things (IoT) from CES 2017 this week. Highlights will focus on the growing momentum behind Zigbee (3.0)products and development solutions, and the alliance’s newly announced dotdot— the universal language for the IoT, making it possible for smart objects to work together on any network. Members of the ZigbeeAlliance and Thread Group will also showcase the first demonstrations of dotdot devices running over Thread’s IP‐based networks.

“Dotdot represents the next chapter in the ZigbeeAlliance’s continued commitment to create and evolve open standards for the smart networks in our homes, businesses and neighborhoods,” said Tobin Richardson, ZigbeeAlliance president and CEO.

http://ecmweb.com/design/zigbee‐alliance‐unveil‐universal‐language‐iot

January 4, 2017

“With Verizon, we look forward to delivering IoT connected systems on a massive scale to change how cities and communities operate around the world,” Sensity CEO Hugh Martin said in a statement.

http://fortune.com/2016/09/12/verizon‐sensity‐internet‐of‐things/

100 Mbps Internet + Custom TV + Home Phone + Lighting

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Five Phases of Smart Lighting

Gartner defines smart lighting as a lighting system that is connected to a network and can be both monitored and controlled from a centralized system or via the cloud.

Dean Freeman, research vice president at Gartner offers five key strategic phases of smart lighting:

• 1 LED lighting

• 2 Sensors and controls

• 3 Connectivity

• 4 Analytics

• 5 Intelligence

Gartner expects that as smart lighting continues to emerge, LaaS providers will begin to emerge.

http://go.sensus.com/rs/306‐CJR‐109/images/Sensus_Smart_Lighting_Strategies_eBook.pdf

Local City Information from LED’s

GERMAN TOWN TAPS BLUETOOTH-ENABLED OUTDOOR LUMINAIRES TO TRANSMIT INFORMATION ABOUT WHAT’S HAPPENINGPosted on January 27, 2017 by BillAttardi — No Comments ↓The German town of Wipperfürth is using outdoor LED luminaires to transmit wireless information to residents and visitors about things happening in the city, marking the first known public deployment of Osram’s Bluetooth-based Einstone location-based service technology. Wipperfürth has installed about 20 of Osram’s Siteco-branded City Light columns in pedestrian areas and parks, each equipped with Bluetooth transmitters mounted within the luminaire at the top of the columns, which also include Osram’s new 540 Plus LED Module for illumination. Smartphone users who download the town’s free WippApp receive information about events, shops, promotions, restaurants, churches, and more in Wipperfürth The town controls the lights centrally with Osram’s Street Light Control (SLC) software, which can change light colors to provide different scenes, and which also provides remote monitoring of operations.

GERMAN TOWN TAPS BLUETOOTH-ENABLED OUTDOOR LUMINAIRES TO TRANSMIT INFORMATION ABOUT WHAT’S HAPPENINGPosted on January 27, 2017 by BillAttardi — No Comments ↓The German town of Wipperfürth is using outdoor LED luminaires to transmit wireless information to residents and visitors about things happening in the city, marking the first known public deployment of Osram’s Bluetooth-based Einstone location-based service technology. Wipperfürth has installed about 20 of Osram’sSiteco-branded City Light columns in pedestrian areas and parks, each equipped with Bluetooth transmitters mounted within the luminaire at the top of the columns, which also include Osram’s new 540 Plus LED Module for illumination. Smartphone users who download the town’s free WippApp receive information about events, shops, promotions, restaurants, churches, and more in Wipperfürth The town controls the lights centrally with Osram’s Street Light Control (SLC) software, which can change light colors to provide different scenes, and which also provides remote monitoring of operations.

http://energywatchnews.com/german‐town‐taps‐bluetooth‐enabled‐outdoor‐luminaires‐transmit‐information‐whats‐happening/

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LED & Smart Streetlights to Offer $69.5B Market Opportunity by 2026

http://bizled.co.in/led‐smart‐streetlights‐to‐offer‐69‐5‐bn‐market‐opportunity‐by‐2026/

Jan 31, 2017: Currently, there are 315 million streetlights in the world, which will grow to 359 million by 2026. The public outdoor lighting market is currently undergoing a period of change where legacy streetlights are being replaced with new and more efficient LED, or solid-state lighting, technology.

Taking this new technology a step further, these LED streetlights are also being networked together with communications to become “smart” streetlights.

Business opportunityLED and smart streetlights are projected to reach 89% and 42% of the total streetlight market, respectively, by 2026. This will total a $69.5 billion market opportunity over the next decade. From 2016 to 2026, global investment in LED street lighting is expected to be $57 billion.

http://www.ledsmagazine.com/articles/2016/05/networking‐giant‐huawei‐teams‐with‐china‐s‐leading‐led‐lighting‐company‐opple.html

“Cisco Systems isn’t the only large networking company trying to move in on the lighting industry. China’s $61 billion behemoth Huawei Technologies has struck a deal with Opple, the global Chinese LED lighting company, to offer smart lighting systems for the home.”

http://www.huawei.com/en/news/2016/9/Huawei‐Philips‐Lighting‐Partner

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http://luxreview.com/article/2016/10/massive‐hack‐exposes‐dangerous‐weaknesses‐of‐iot‐?cmpid=enl_Pennwell_Newsletter_2016‐10‐06&[email protected]

Smart Home Progress Slower Than Projected

• In past two years, Google acquired Nest (connected thermostats & smoke alarms) for 3.2B, Samsung bought Smart Things (connected light switches, doorknobs and water sensors) for 200M and investors spent 800M to acquire or fund companies targeting smart or automated homes. “Then the revolution stalled”.

• Consumers had installation problems or with devices talking to each other. Growth has flattened, Quirky filed for bankruptcy and Nest has stalled.

• Overpromised and “the biggest failure has been to conceive reasons why a user would want their home to be smart”

• There is a chasm between what early adopters will endure and mainstream customers will put up with. The smart home lacks a brain or central nervous system to bring together a cacophony of disparate devices

Time Magazine‐October 3, 2016

https://www.technologyreview.com/s/602532/why‐insurance‐companies‐want‐to‐subsidize‐your‐smart‐home/

• Insurers such USAA and American Family have lately begun offering to strike a high‐tech bargain: wire your home with Internet‐connected devices such as a new thermostat, and get a discount on your home insurance policy in return.

• Insurers across the U.S. are offering incentives to install one of half a dozen connected devices, ranging frommoisture sensors to video doorbells.

• State Farm offers a discount on your home policy for installing aCanary home security monitor, for example. Liberty Mutual will send you a Nest Protect smoke detector, worth $99, free of charge and cut the cost of fire coverage.

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Smart Homes

It’s not just about monitoring or managing electrons.by Katie Fehrenbacher / January 09, 2017

1) Solar and smart energy2) Electricity draw equals family awareness3) Smart lights need to be simple4) Tech for better air and water5) Batteries, the quiet workhorses of CES

https://www.greentechmedia.com/articles/read/5‐trends‐for‐the‐smart‐energy‐home‐of‐the‐future

http://www.greentechmedia.com/articles/read/Intel‐Wants‐to‐Make‐Smart‐Buildings‐as‐Easy‐as‐Setting‐Up‐a‐Wireless‐Router

Over the past 18 months or so, Intel has been working with a set of software and hardware partners to put together a low‐cost, simple‐to‐use IOT server of sorts. The BMP is meant to be as easy to set up as a wireless router, but equipped with all the legacy protocols required to tap into the world of energy‐using “things” in buildings.Intel debuted the BMP at its IBCon 2016 show in June, in the form of a certified gateway from hardware partner Advantech, using Intel‐owned Wind River embedded software and McAfee cybersecurity, and running middleware from Candi Controls and software and applications from Lucid Design Group.

Universal Broadband

http://arstechnica.com/information‐technology/2016/12/canada‐sets‐universal‐broadband‐goal‐of‐50mbps‐and‐unlimited‐data‐for‐all/

Canada's telecom regulator yesterday declared that broadband Internet must be considered "a basic telecommunications service for all Canadians"

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https://www.bluetooth.com/spec

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spec

ification/bluetooth5?mkw

id=s6

wD0v

KmH&pcrid=17656

379682

6&pkw=%2B

bluetooth&pmt=b&pdv=

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L0ZO99NECFUwHhgodHXAPLw

New High‐Performance Wi‐Fi/IoT Innovation

Las Vegas, NV, January 4, 2017 – With more than three billion Wi-Fi device shipments expected in 2017 and more than eight billion devices currently in use around the world, Wi-Fi continues to have a major impact on the Internet of Things (IoT).

1. Wi-Fi simplifies wireless networking.2. High-performance Wi-Fi products with new features and technologies will hit the shelves.Wi-Fi CERTIFIED™ ac products are hitting the shelves and users will see benefits from new Wave 2 features, including MU-MIMO, that enable more devices to operate simultaneously on the same network without sacrificing performance. 3. Wi-Fi Location will gain momentum. New Wi-Fi Location technology that enables accuracy to one meter will become broadly available in Wi-Fi chipsets in 2017. 4. Wi-Fi is a platform for IoT innovation. Wi-Fi is the Internet platform of choice, making it an ideal connectivity platform for the Internet of Things. According to WSJ, the killer app for IoT is services rather than “things,” and the most successful IoT products will be accompanied by some related service. 5. Wi-Fi improves the AR/VR experience for the masses. The Augmented Reality/Virtual Reality (AR/VR) markets are forecast to reach $120 billion by 2020 With Wi-Fi CERTIFIED WiGig™ now commercially available, device vendors will take advantage of multi-gigabit speeds, low latency, and extremely high throughput. 6. Wi-Fi cements its place as a critical component in communications infrastructure.Forthcoming Wi-Fi technologies will be even more critical to enable 5G scenarios, which require high capacity and/or very low latency. More than half of all data traffic already flows over Wi-Fi, and convergence between Wi-Fi and other licensed technologies will be discussed in more detail as it relates to the impact 5G and the overall future of wireless communication.7. Cities and stadiums get major Wi-Fi upgrades. In 2017, we will see expanded rollouts of LinkNYC to new boroughs and cities, as well as new initiatives to bring high-speed Wi-Fi to and schools and municipalities to help bridge the digital divide.

LI‐FI

http://energywatchnews.com/key‐opportunities‐brewing‐global‐li‐fi‐market‐grow/

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Connecting Us All

In 2010, 1.8 billion people were connected. Today, that number is about 3 billion, and by 2022 – 2025, that number will expand to include every human on the planet, approaching 8 billion humans.

http://www.diamandis.com/blog/top‐10‐tech‐trends‐transforming‐humanity

http://electronicdesign.com/wireless/major‐wireless‐developments‐driving‐2017‐agendas

Emergence

• “As things become more interconnected it is difficult to know whether a cursory or a incomplete understanding is sufficient.”

• “This web of interactions produces what's known in complexity science as emergence, where the interactions at one level end up creating unanticipated phenomena at another.”

• ”It’s one thing to not understand how your new gadget works, it’s another thing entirely when no one truly understands that gadget.”

• The past taught us that experts can save us from complexity but that moment has passed.

Book/Overcomplicated: Technology at the limits of comprehension by Samuel Arbesman

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“An expert might be reasonably good at predicting the growth of a single exponential technology (e.g. the Internet of Things), but try to predict the future when the following eight technologies are all doubling, morphing and recombining… You have a very exciting (read: unpredictable) future”

1. Emergence of Continuous Low‐Power Always‐On SensorsOne of the major advances from the past three years has been the proliferation of "always on" sensors.

2. Smartphones Drives Sensor Volume at Low CostThe number of sensors in your smartphone today have exploded. Raj continues, "We are now seeing 10, 20 and even 30 sensors embedded in our smartphones. A billion phones means 20 billion+ sensors – and we are headed towards a trillion sensor economy.

3. "Systems" Fuse Continuous Sensor Data & Cloud ProcessingSeamless integration of processing is happening in the cloud and on your device. Raj explains, "When you say, 'Okay, Google,' a part of what happens next is on the phone and a part is on the cloud. You don't really know where the processing is being done, on your device or on the cloud, the handoff is seamless."

http://www.kurzweilai.net




• TRUST


The Trust Revolution

• Our ability to trust products and services affects their growth and impact

• Technology, individuals and companies are developing new ways to trust

• We have stopped trusting institutions and started trusting strangers

• Trust enables change and innovation

• Trust underlies our disruption

• Rachel Botsman defines trust as “a confident relationship with the unknown”

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Trust & Data

• There is a gathering body of evidence that strongly suggests the way organizations use data is affecting consumer trust, and that trust plays a major role in brand reputation and business performance. As a result, chief executives who wish to sustain the trust of their customers and constituents must take a hard look at how their organizations collect and use customer data, and the effect of those practices on customer relationships, reputation, risk and revenue.

• And, while ethical data use is a fraught issue today, it will be even more so in the near future. As predictive analytics, virtual reality and artificial intelligence move into the mainstream, the implications (and capabilities) of data use will become even more urgent and complex. We no longer live in a world where privacy is binary; it’s as contextual and fluid as the networks, services and devices we use, and the ways in which we use them.

http://www.altimetergroup.com/pdf/reports/The‐Trust‐Imperative‐Altimeter‐Group.pdf

Cybersecurity

Five cyber priorities for Congress that aren't Russia

January 05, 2017Politico ProMartin Matishak

House and Senate lawmakers in 2017 will face a host of cybersecurity issues that go beyond the immediate, hyper‐charged debate over what to about Russia's alleged interference in last year's election.

Further clouding the horizon is the fact that the Senate will have to confirm dozens of executive branch nominations from President‐elect Donald Trump and that the GOP — flush from their victory in November and in control of the the House, Senate and White House for at least the next two years —could focus its attention on other national issues like tax and entitlement reform.But the Trump transition team and congressional leaders have repeatedly vowed to make cybersecurity a priority in 2017. Here are a few digital issues to look out for that don't involve the apparent Russian scheme to interfere in the recent U.S. election.

• ENCRYPTION• SURVEILLANCE• INTERNET OF THINGS• DATA BREACH LEGISLATION• FEDERAL CYBER REORGANIZATION

Cybersecurity

http://bizled.co.in/lighting‐product‐vendors‐need‐to‐improve‐iot‐security/

Jan 12, 2017: Internet of Things (IoT) security experts warn that LED lighting industry needs to be careful, as smart LED lighting systems could easily open up gates for hackers.According to IoT security expert Ken Munro, lighting manufacturers as well as users are not doing enough to improve IoT security. Munro is UK’s leading ‘ethical hacker’.A survey carried out by Accenture, a services firm, found that 13% of consumers currently own an IoT device, and by 2019, this will rise to 70%.

Speaking at LuxLive, Munro warned that the lighting industry should wake up to this security issue, otherwise the technology will turn into a Trojan Horse for hackers.As revenues from LED luminaires start to decline, many companies are turning to IoT for better margins. But in their rush to make IoT products available in the market, vendors are ignoring the cyber security issue.

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Cybersecurity concerns for smart cities/scale

• An increased number of devices and connections makes scale one of the biggest differences between securing smart cities and IoT. Political activists or foreign governments could cripple municipal infrastructures.

• Governments and companies can gather data on citizens that can then be stolen by hackers. Centralized systems increase the vulnerability to attacks.

• Anywhere there is a weakness there is likely to be an attack. If a hacker finds a vulnerability in the street lighting luminaire, smart pole or software that is where they will focus. Are we the weakest link?

• Regulations will need to set minimum standards. Security is not static.

June 2016‐www.cybertrend.com

http://www.homelandsecuritynewswire.com/dr20160920‐the‐smart‐grid‐makes‐it‐easier‐for‐hackers‐to‐turn‐out‐the‐lights

SMART?

Wi‐Fi Smart Hair “Coach”

Wi‐Fi Smart Shower Head

Wi‐Fi Smart Trash Can

Wi‐Fi Smart Patio Umbrella

Wi‐Fi Smart Window

https://www.wired.com/2017/01/dumb‐smart‐gear‐thatll‐get‐hacked‐2017/?mbid=nl_11117_p2&CNDID=21990297

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• Trust

• LIGHTING & HEALTH

74

75

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76

The D

ark Side of LED’s?

http://www.collective‐evolution.com/2017/01/06/the‐dark‐side‐of‐blue‐led‐lighting‐how‐it‐compromises‐your‐health/

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http://www.lrc.rpi.edu/programs/lightHealth/

Horticulture Lighting ‐ Plants for People

Horticulture‐Plants for People

http://bizled.co.in/horticulture‐led‐market‐to‐grow‐at‐22‐55‐cagr‐by‐2020/

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Light or Lighting

“Then it was rearing up over Bill, burying Bill in Its shadow, Its legs pawing the air. Ben heard Its mewling, looked into Its timeless, evil red eyes…and for an instant did see the shape behind the shape: saw lights, saw an endless crawling hairy thing which was made of light and nothing else, orange light, dead light that mocked life”

Neural Networks Use Light for Superfast Computing

Neural networks are taking the world of computing by storm. Researchers have used them to create machines that are learning a huge range of skills that had previously been the unique preserve of humans—object recognition, face recognition, natural language processing, machine translation. All these skills, and more, are now becoming routine for machines.

So there is great interest in creating more capable neural networks that can push the boundaries of artificial intelligence even further. The focus of this work is in creating circuits that operate more like neurons, so-called neuromorphic chips. But how to make these circuits significantly faster?

https://www.technologyreview.com/s/602938/silicon‐photonic‐neural‐network‐unveiled/

Light Controls Life at Cellular Level

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Technology & Trends

What is the NCQLP?The NCQLP is a non‐profit organization founded in 1991 to serve andprotect the well‐being of the public through effective and efficient lightingpractice. Through a peer‐review process, the NCQLP establishes theeducation, experience and examination requirements for baselinecertification across the lighting professions.

What does LCmean?LC means Lighting Certified. The NCQLP has established a certificationprocess by which practitioners in lighting and related fields, through testing,demonstrate their knowledge and experience across the lighting professions.

What is the value of the LC to me?The LC credential demonstrates to clients/customers and your peers that youhave acquired the necessary knowledge, understanding, and ability to applylighting principles and techniques successfully.The LC indicates your commitment to career development and professionalpractice.The LC acknowledges your broad knowledge base in an increasinglyspecialized practice making you a valuable asset to not only your company,but also the industry as well.

Solar Was Lowest Cost Fuel in 2016

• What it is: The World Economic Forum recently reported that 2016 was the year solar panels officially became cheaper than fossil fuels in more than 30 countries ‐‐meaning that it's less expensive to install new solar panels in these areas than to make a comparable investment in coal or natural gas. This past year, utilities added 9.5 gigawatts (GW) of photovoltaic capacity to the U.S. grid, which made solar the top national fuel source for the first time ever. Another fun fact from 2016, courtesy of the Solar Energy Industry Association: the U.S. added about 125 solar panels every minute ‐‐double the pace of 2015.

• Why it's important:One of the top advantages of solar energy that Peter noted in his blog on the subject was the cost efficiency of solar panels. Estimates suggest that perovskite solar panels could cost just 10 to 20 cents per watt, compared to 75 cents per watt for traditional silicon‐based panels ‐‐ a cost savings ranging from 3X to 8X ‐‐making solar panels much more affordable for the average consumer. The world has long had high hopes for solar, and it seems that potential has finally arrived.

http://www.diamandis.com/blog/top‐10‐tech‐trends‐transforming‐humanity

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DOE General S

ervice Lamp Rule

DOE GSL Rulemaking

DOE GSL Status

3. With respect to regulations that have been published in the OFR but have not taken effect, as permitted by applicable law, temporarily postpone their effective date for 60 days from the date of this memorandum, subject to the exceptions described in paragraph 1, for the purpose of reviewing questions of fact, law, and policy they raise. Where appropriate and as permitted by applicable law, you should consider proposing for notice and comment a rule to delay the effective date for regulations beyond that 60-day period. In cases where the effective date has been delayed in order to review questions of fact, law, or policy, you should consider potentially proposing further notice-and-comment rulemaking.

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ANSI/ASHRAE/IES

Standard 90.1‐2016

ANSI/ASHRAE/IES Standard 90.1‐2016

Amazon granted patent to develop drone docking stations that sit on street lights

Robotic Pigeons?

http://www.zdnet.com/article/amazon‐plans‐to‐recharge‐drones‐on‐street‐lights/

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More Drones on the Way

https://www.technologyreview.com/s/603337/a‐100‐drone‐swarm‐dropped‐from‐jets‐plans‐its‐own‐moves/

U.S. military officials have announced that they’ve carried out their largest ever test of a drone swarm released from fighter jets in flight. In the trials, three F/A-18 Super Hornets released 103 Perdix drones, which then communicated with each other and went about performing a series of formation flying exercises that mimic a surveillance mission.

Perdix are not pre-programmed synchronized individuals, they are a collective organism, sharing one distributed brain for decision-making and adapting to each other like swarms in nature. Because every Perdixcommunicates and collaborates with every other Perdix, the swarm has no leader and can gracefully adapt to drones entering or exiting the team.

http://www.gizmodo.in/indiamodo/An‐army‐of‐drones‐could‐soon‐repair‐potholes‐and‐busted‐street‐lamps/articleshow/49540059.cms

Next: Streetlights that kill mosquitos?

Or: Streetlights that zap away weeds and foliage ?

NatureZap DE•Kill Weeds in Pavers, Sidewalks, Gardens and Yards •Grab, Point, Done Convenience•Blended Spectrum Kills Roots, Root Crowns, and Leaves

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97

Controls ‐ Hi Alexa…

http://www.ledsmagazine.com/articles/2017/01/lighting‐in‐new‐dc‐area‐homes‐will‐feature‐amazon‐voice‐controls.html

Controls –Hi Alexa…

https://www.cnet.com/uk/products/c‐by‐ge‐lamp‐with‐alexa/preview/

In 2015, Amazon made the world of manufacturing an offer. Make a device with a microphone, a speaker, and an internet connection, they said, and we'll let you add in our virtual assistant Alexa, free of charge.

The device in question looks a lot like something that came out of Dyson's R&D department, but it's really just an internet-connected desk lamp. Plug it in and pair it with your phone via Wi-Fi, and you'll be able to control it alongside the C by GE smart bulbs in GE's smart lighting app. And, thanks to the addition of a microphone and speaker in the base, you'll be able to use it to talk to Alexa, too.

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Oh Yeah, it’s a Light Too

• Parking can be monitored by the streetlights to detect whether spaces are occupied, relay that information to drivers and charge based on real‐time demand to increase revenue for cities.

• Video surveillance and microphone integrated into streetlight or pole to aid police for real time faster response and investigations

• Cameras and sensors can help emergency vehicles with best routing by relaying traffic volume/delays and with the severity of the problem

• Sensors for gunshots, pole tilt, gps & asset management, seismic activity, pollution, temperature, humidity, radiation, pollen and other allergens,

• Public address systems, speakers and sirens

http://luxreview.com/article/2015/07/led-lighting-a-wi-fi-hotspot-and-gadget-charger-all-rolled-into-one-big-outdoor-palm-tree

IS THIS LIGHTING OR A DIGITAL PLATFORM FOR CONNECTIVITY?

REINVENTING THE LIGHTING COMMUNITY

Perpetual Newbies

• Most of the technology we will be using over the next 30 years are not available yet so we will be a newbie using them

• Because new technology requires endless upgrades we will remain in the newbie state

• The cycle of obsolescence is accelerating (the lifespan of a phone app is just 30 days) so we won’t have time to master anything before it is displaced so we will be in the newbie state forever

From “The Inevitable: Understanding the 12 Technological Forces That Will Shape Our Future” by Kevin Kelly

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Nanobots will connect your neocortex to the cloud

"We are on our way to manufacturing 54 billion sensors every year by 2020. Spread around the globe, embedded in our cars, draped over our bodies, and watching us at home and on public streets, this web of sensors will generate another 300 zillionbytes of data in the next decade. Tracked, parsed, and cognified by utilitarian AIs, this vast ocean of informational atoms can be molded into hundreds of new forms, novel products, and innovative services. We will be astounded at what is possible by a new level of tracking ourselves."

From "The Inevitable: Understanding the 12 Technological Forces That Will Shape Our Future" by Kevin Kelly

Personal Control Dematerialized

104

Consider:• IT and Telecoms consider lighting as “easy” compared to what they do. How will this affect the quality of the lighted environment?

• As energy efficiency gains evaporate what value does the lighting industry bring to product development and sales?

• Once “dumb” LED’s are installed the business case for upgrades to increased controls and connectivity is minimized or vanishes. Precedent demonstrates that once installed, “dumb” LED products will remain untouched for decades except for maintenance.

• The Sustainability/Green movement elevated our industry into a noble cause with altruistic goals creating awareness and opportunities for lighting. It enticed emerging professionals and provided a higher purpose for those involved.

• Quantifying the effects of light on people (and plants and animals) can provide a stimulus similar to the Sustainability or Green movement. As an industry initiative it could bring Lighting 2.0 instead of Illumigeddon.

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100 Years of Progress (since 1917) ‐• World literacy was 23% in 1917, now 86.1%

• It took 5 days to get from London to New York, now just over 8 hours

• The first Boeing aircraft flew in June of 2017 now about 24,000 jets

• Average U.S. wage was 22 cents an hour (4.90 adjusted) now $26.00

• Only 8% of homes had a landline telephone, now about 80% have cell

• World population was 1.9B, now 7.5B

• Major tech invention was toggle light switch, now gene splicing, AI..

• Only 6% of Americans finished high school, now over 80%

• Maximum speed limit was 10mph, now 70mph

• Just Wait Until 2117 (and that includes lighting)

Source: Peter Diamandis email 2‐12‐17

Forces of Change 2017

MARK L IEN LC, HBDP, CLEP, CLMC, LEED AP BD&CILLUMINATING ENGINEERING SOCIETY

[email protected]

forces of change 2017 - nalmco · babson school of business projects that 10 years from now 40% of...

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