formulation & ingredient trends - food processing
TRANSCRIPT
2021
eHANDBOOK
FORMULATION & INGREDIENT TRENDS
TABLE OF CONTENTS2021 Formulation Trends: Home Dining, Comfort and Health 3
The COVID-19 pandemic sparked sizeable shifts in what, where and how consumers eat,
and the changes are likely to linger in 2021.
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eHANDBOOK: 2021 Formulations & Ingredients Trends 2
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2021 Formulation Trends: Home Dining, Comfort, and HealthThe COVID-19 pandemic sparked sizeable shifts in what, where and how consumers eat and are likely to linger in 2021.
By Food Processing
Due to the COVID-19 pandemic,
Americans are cooking and eating
more meals at home, stocking up
their pantries with shelf-stable, center-of-
the-store products, embracing e-commerce
and seeking food and beverage products
with a mix of attributes — comfort, health,
indulgence, adventure, etc. — depending on
their moods and needs.
The big question is whether these behaviors
that dominated 2020 will become a regular
part of consumers’ routines or fade in 2021.
HOMEBOUND EATING Traditionally, Americans eat about three-
fourths of their meals and snacks in the
home, according to a Hartman Group
(www.hartman-group.com) report. When
the pandemic hit last spring, Americans
hunkered down in their dwellings and
many worked from their residences.
Eating and drinking occasions in the home
jumped to 88% while away-from-home con-
sumption dropped in half, notes Hartman.
About 46% of consumers say they are baking
more and 54% declare they are cooking
more, according to a Hunter (www.hunterpr.
com) April 2020 report. Half of these cooks
are more confident in the kitchen and have
discovered new brands or products, 44%
have found new ingredients to use and 28%
have rediscovered ingredients they have not
used in a long time.
More than half of Americans claim they will
continue cooking more in the future, reports
Hunter. Their top three reasons are cost sav-
ings, healthier eating and trying new recipes.
But consumers are split when it comes to
health and indulgence. About 39% of con-
sumers say they are eating healthier, reports
Hunter, while 40% declare that they are
eating more comfort and indulgent foods.
eHANDBOOK: 2021 Formulations & Ingredients Trends 3
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A July/August 2020 study from Acosta
(www.acosta.com) reports the shift to eating
more meals at home and fewer at restau-
rants may become a long-term trend. Post
pandemic, about 29% of consumers plan to
eat dinner out less often or not at all, 33%
plan to eat lunch out less often or not at all
and 47% plan to eat breakfast out less often
or not at all, according to the Acosta report.
With many Americans working at home,
the biggest increases in at-home eating
occurred in three dayparts — morning snack,
lunch and afternoon snack, says Hartman.
Lunch took on the characteristics of dinner,
with more fresh ingredients and scratch
cooking, more moderate preparation such
as using a recipe, and a greater emphasis on
health. Dinner involved more heavy prepara-
tion, such as cutting and chopping meat and
produce. And more dinners were sourced
from ingredients purchased for stocking
the pantry.
E-COMMERCE AND MEAL DELIVERY E-commerce emerged as a savior for
several food companies during the
pandemic – and most believe at least some
of the consumer activity is here to stay.
“The FMCG [fast-moving consumer goods]
market was pushed 3-4 years ahead in terms
of digitalization by the current COVID-
19 crisis,” says software firm Data Impact
(dataimpact.io). “Omnichannel is becoming
the new normal.”
NPD reports about 40% of shoppers pur-
chased edible groceries online in May 2020
versus 28% in May 2019. About 58% of shop-
pers say they are comfortable using digital/
online tools to assist with grocery shop-
ping, up from 35% in 2015 and 42% in 2017,
reports Acosta.
Last May, PepsiCo launched two direct-to-
consumer shopping websites: pantryshop.
com and snacks.com. With pantryshop.com,
consumers can purchase specialized bun-
dles of brands such as Quaker, Gatorade,
SunChips, and Tropicana. More than 100 Fri-
to-Lay products are available on snacks.com.
In November, PepsiCo opened a highly auto-
mated microfulfillment center in Joliet, Ill.,
to help the company meet growing demand
from consumers shopping online.
With glum prospects for trick-or-treating,
the usual Halloween sales bump looked
doubtful for Hershey Co. But ongoing invest-
ments in online sales capacity helped save
the candy holiday. Hershey’s e-commerce
sales grew 80% in the third quarter, and
helped the company to stronger-than-ex-
pected results.
For both large and small food manufactur-
ers, e-commerce offers greater opportunities
to connect and talk directly with their con-
sumers and gain insights on their wants and
needs. These learnings can be used to opti-
mize new product development as well as
packaging functionality and graphics.
www.FoodProcessing.com
eHANDBOOK: 2021 Formulations & Ingredients Trends 5
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Fig. 49
With meal preparation becoming a chore
for some Americans, frustrated cooks are
looking for quick and convenient mealtime
options. Consequently, some have turned to
meal delivery companies like Freshly, which
saw its orders jump 20% in March when the
pandemic prompted stay-at-home directives
and restaurant closures.
Freshly is currently selling more than one
million meals per week, compared to about
600,000 per week in 2019, reports Emily
Buckley, vice president of Freshly’s meals
portfolio. Sales in 2020 were forecasted to
reach $430 million.
Nestle, which secured a 16% stake in Freshly
in 2017, fully acquired the prepared meal
service last October. At the time, Nestle
USA CEO Steve Presley said, “Consumers
are embracing e-commerce and eating at
home like never before. It’s an evolution
brought on by the pandemic but taking
hold for the long term.”
HEALTH AND IMMUNITY About one-third of all eating and drink-
ing occasions are about basic health and
well-being, reports Hartman. Consumers
have placed an increased emphasis on food
as medicine and upped their demand for
functional foods and beverages that sup-
port immunity.
When the pandemic began disrupting
Americans’ lives last March, about 36% of
“clean label enthusiasts” (CLE consum-
ers) began making changes to their diets
to boost their immune systems and keep
themselves healthy, according to research
from InsightsNow. Nearly two-thirds of these
consumers increased their consumption
of vitamins or supplements, 34% ate more
fruits (specifically citrus) and vegetables and
9% increased their use of spices. Top sup-
plements include vitamin C, vitamin D, zinc,
probiotics and elderberry.
“Immunity-boosting ingredients will play
a significant role in the new year, while
research and interest in the role of the
microbiome and personalized nutrition as
ways to strengthen immunity will acceler-
ate,” declares Innova.
Several food companies have jumped on
the immunity bandwagon with new product
launches. In September, Bolthouse Farms
rolled out Superfood Immunity Boost, a fruit
juice blend with elderberries, cranberries,
echinacea, zinc and vitamins C and D. In
October, PepsiCo debuted Propel Immune
Support, an electrolyte water with added vita-
min C and zinc.
That same month, Uncle Matt’s Organic
launched Ultimate Immune Orange Juice Bev-
erage with elderberry, vitamins C and D and
zinc. In November, Ocean Spray introduced
B1U functional infused waters, including I
need immunity variety with 22mg of zinc and
128mg of vitamin C.
www.FoodProcessing.com
eHANDBOOK: 2021 Formulations & Ingredients Trends 7
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TRADING UP Although the pandemic resulted in a deep
recession with staggering unemployment
levels, consumers did not exhibit the
usual price sensitivity toward food
purchases that typically happens during
an economic downturn. Instead, many
consumers are trading up to more premium
and indulgent foods and beverages.
Grocery shoppers — with both high and
low incomes — are buying premium/super-
premium food & beverage products at the
expense of value lines and private label,
according to an IRI report “Discovering Pock-
ets of Demand: The Premium Opportunity.”
Recessions typically see increased consumer
spending on private label and value brands
as well as shopper shifts to value merchan-
disers. This behavior has not occurred, says
IRI. In fact, the market shares of premium and
superpremium brands are up while main-
stream, value and private label are down.
Consumers are buying more premium wine/
beer/liquor and premium/specialty coffee to
re-create their favorite experiences at home,
more meal kits to cook predefined recipes at
home and more premium or specialty food
items to prepare restaurant-style meals at
home, says IRI.
In the pasta sauce category, premium and
superpremium products increased their
market share from 21.3% pre-pandemic to
26.1% during the pandemic, benefiting such
brands as Rao’s Homemade, Michaels of
Brooklyn and Primal Kitchen, reports IRI. In the
frozen dinners category, indulgent, convenient
and better-for-you products grew, boost-
ing sales of brands such as Amy’s, Smucker
Uncrustables and Saffron Road, says IRI.
NO MEAT? EAT PLANTS The combination of consumer panic buying
and COVID-19 outbreaks at several meat
processing facilities put strains on meat
and poultry supply chains, resulting in meat
shortages on the grocery shelf last spring.
This prompted some consumers to try meat
alternatives, such as plant-based meats. ADM
reports 18% of alternative protein buyers pur-
chased their first plant-based protein during
COVID-19, and 92% of those first-time con-
sumers say they are likely to continue buying
meat alternatives.
Based on Nielsen data, the Good Food Insti-
tute reports plant-based “meat” dollar sales
jumped 265% over the eight-week period
ending April 18, 2020, outpacing conven-
tional meat sales growth by six times during
this period. Meat alternative sales (including
fresh and frozen) advanced 50-60% for the
months of April, May and June compared to a
year earlier, 40-50% in July and August, and
30-40% in September and October, accord-
ing to IRI and The Shelby Report.
Read the complete story on FoodProcessing.com.
www.FoodProcessing.com
eHANDBOOK: 2021 Formulations & Ingredients Trends 9
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