from building to district retrofit:contrasting the optimal...
TRANSCRIPT
From building to district retrofit: contrasting the optimal strategies through a multi-objective approachAlessandro Prada, University of Trento, Trento, ItalyFrancesca Cappelletti, University IUAV of Venice, Venice, ItalyAndrea Gasparella, Free University of Bozen-Bolzano, Bolzano, Italy
Outline
1. Introduction
2. Methodsa. Building Archetypes and Stocks
b. Energy Efficiency Measures
c. Optimization Algorithm
3. Results
4. Conclusions
50. Međunarodni kongres i izložba o KGH, Beograd, 4–6.12.201950th International HVAC&R Congress and Exhibition, Belgrade, 4–6 Dec. 2019
1. Introduction
Cost optimization
• EPBD reference approach to
– define minimum energy performance requirements
– major renovation of existing buildings
– replacement or retrofit of building elements
• Reference target: individual buildings or dwellings
• Minimize the Net Present Value (NPV) for any given Energy Performance (EPh) and choose the solution with the minimum overall NPV
73.0 kWh/m2
20.6 k€
222.0 kWh/m2
61.1 k€
50. Međunarodni kongres i izložba o KGH, Beograd, 4–6.12.201950th International HVAC&R Congress and Exhibition, Belgrade, 4–6 Dec. 2019
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1. Introduction
Possible limitations:
• The owner may want to minimize the Investment Cost (IC) instead of NPV
• Public authority needs to achieve a specific EP reduction target
• PA sometimes invests directly with limitedresources (subsidies or public buildings)
Research question:
• Assume a given savings target for the stock (ex. 50 %)
• Objective: optimizing each individual building (NPV) or miminize the IC at a stock level?
73.0 kWh/m2
20.6 k€
222.0 kWh/m2
61.1 k€
26.5 kWh/m2
111.0 kWh/m264.5 kWh/m2
73.0 kWh/m2
50. Međunarodni kongres i izložba o KGH, Beograd, 4–6.12.201950th International HVAC&R Congress and Exhibition, Belgrade, 4–6 Dec. 2019
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1. Introduction
Aims• Quantifying the advantages of optimizing the retrofit of the existing stock instead
of each single building.Contents• Three reference building archetypes • Different mixes to represent existing building stocks• Four groups of Energy Efficiency Measures (EEMs):
(i) opaque envelope, (ii) windows, (iii) heat generation system, and (iv) mechanical ventilation
• IC saving optimizing (i) the stock vs (ii) each single building• EEMs in the optimal solutions• Additional EPh savings when reinvesting IC savings
50. Međunarodni kongres i izložba o KGH, Beograd, 4–6.12.201950th International HVAC&R Congress and Exhibition, Belgrade, 4–6 Dec. 2019
2. Methods: building archetypes and stocksOpaque envelope
• Non-insulated
• Reference resistance
R = 0.97 m2 kW-1
HVAC System
Generator: Standard
Emission: Radiators
Control system: On-Off
Distribution: Moderate insulation
Ventilation: Natural
Milan Transparent Envelope
• Single glass pane
Ugl=5.7 W m-2 K-1
• Timber frame
Ufr=3.2 W m-2 K-1
• South oriented
3 Saving targets
• 50 %• (60 %)• (70 %)EPh Primary energyfor heating0
% 10
0%
0.6
66 Stock mixes
0.3 1.0
Compactness Ratio S/V Archetypes
0.6 (0.63)
1.0 (0.97)
0.3 (0.30)1
2
3
50. Međunarodni kongres i izložba o KGH, Beograd, 4–6.12.201950th International HVAC&R Congress and Exhibition, Belgrade, 4–6 Dec. 2019
2. Methods: energy efficiency measures
External insulationUp to 20 cm (step 1cm)• Wall• Roof• Floor
Windows replacement
Improved Frame• DH – Double, High SHGC• DL – Double, Low SHGC• TH – Triple, High SHGC• TL – Triple, Low SHGC
Heating system
Efficiency on LHV• Modulating Boiler, η=96%• Condensing Boiler, η=101%
Ventilation system
Introduction of mechanicalventilation with heat recovery
50. Međunarodni kongres i izložba o KGH, Beograd, 4–6.12.201950th International HVAC&R Congress and Exhibition, Belgrade, 4–6 Dec. 2019
2. Methods: algorithmsAlgorithm: multi-objective optimization through NSGA-II with customizations:• Initial Sampling• Data-set recordings • Convergence criterionEnergy Simulation:• TRNSYS hourly simulation• Energy Performance index for heating (EPh)Economic evaluation:• Cost-optimal approach according to EU 244/2012 and EN 15459• NPV summing the discounted cash flows related to each intervention• Including: initial investment, annual energy cost, maintenance cost, replacement cost, and residual value• Lifespan of 30 years
50. Međunarodni kongres i izložba o KGH, Beograd, 4–6.12.201950th International HVAC&R Congress and Exhibition, Belgrade, 4–6 Dec. 2019
3. Results: IC savings (all mixes) - target 50 %
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6070
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3040
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1020
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40506070
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3040
5060
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1020304050
010
2030
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1020
30
0
1020
0
10
0 Perc. of S/V=0.63 0
5
10
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20
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0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
ΔIC
(%
)
Percentage of S/V=0.97
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Perc. S/V=0.3
0
10
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4050
6070
80
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1000
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3040
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0
1020
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40506070
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5060
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0
1020
3040
5060
0
1020304050
010
2030
40
0
1020
30
0
1020
0
10
0 Perc. of S/V=0.63 0
5
10
15
20
25
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
ΔIC
(%
)
Percentage of S/V=0.97
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
3
2
1
3
2
1
50. Međunarodni kongres i izložba o KGH, Beograd, 4–6.12.201950th International HVAC&R Congress and Exhibition, Belgrade, 4–6 Dec. 2019
3. Results: IC savings (all mixes) - target 50 %
0
10
2030
4050
6070
80
90
1000
10
20
3040
50
60
70
80
90
0
1020
30
40506070
80
0
10
20
3040
5060
70
0
1020
3040
5060
0
1020304050
010
2030
40
0
1020
30
0
1020
0
10
0 Perc. of S/V=0.63 0
5
10
15
20
25
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
ΔIC
(%
)
Percentage of S/V=0.97
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Perc. S/V=0.3
0
10
2030
4050
6070
80
90
1000
10
20
3040
50
60
70
80
90
0
1020
30
40506070
80
0
10
20
3040
5060
70
0
1020
3040
5060
0
1020304050
010
2030
40
0
1020
30
0
1020
0
10
0 Perc. of S/V=0.63 0
5
10
15
20
25
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
ΔIC
(%
)
Percentage of S/V=0.97
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
3
2
1
3
2
1
0
10
2030
4050
6070
80
90
100
0
5
10
15
20
25
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
ΔIC
(%
)
Percentage of S/V=0.97
50. Međunarodni kongres i izložba o KGH, Beograd, 4–6.12.201950th International HVAC&R Congress and Exhibition, Belgrade, 4–6 Dec. 2019
3. Results: type 2-3 mixes - target 50 %
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
7000
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9000
10000
0 0,2 0,4 0,6 0,8 1
0.97
6115,3
7458,7
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
7000
8000
9000
10000
0 0,2 0,4 0,6 0,8 1
IC vs ΔEP
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7000
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9000
10000
0 0,2 0,4 0,6 0,8 1
IC [EUR] vs ΔEP%
W R F WIN HSYS VMC W R F WIN HSYS VMC
Chart Title20 cm
10 cm
TL
TH
DL
DH
COND
MOD
STD
MEC
NAT
20 cm
10 cm
TL
TH
DL
DH
COND
STD
MEC
NAT
MOD
3 2 % of type 2 in red
0 % 2100 % 3
100 % 20 % 3
32
EEM mixes
50. Međunarodni kongres i izložba o KGH, Beograd, 4–6.12.201950th International HVAC&R Congress and Exhibition, Belgrade, 4–6 Dec. 2019
3. Results: type 2-3 mixes – same IC (50 %)
0
1000
2000
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4000
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6000
7000
8000
9000
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0 0,2 0,4 0,6 0,8 1
0.97
3 2 % of type 2 in red
0 % 2100 % 3
100 % 20 % 3
32
EEM mixes
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6000
7000
8000
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0 0,2 0,4 0,6 0,8 1
IC vs ΔEP%
0
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7000
8000
9000
10000
0 0,2 0,4 0,6 0,8 1
IC [EUR] vs ΔEP%
W R F WIN HSYS VMC W R F WIN HSYS VMC
20 cm
10 cm
TL
TH
DL
DH
COND
MOD
STD
MEC
NAT
20 cm
10 cm
TL
TH
DL
DH
COND
STD
MEC
NAT
MOD
50. Međunarodni kongres i izložba o KGH, Beograd, 4–6.12.201950th International HVAC&R Congress and Exhibition, Belgrade, 4–6 Dec. 2019
3. Results: extra EP savings (2 and 3) - target 50 %
3
2
1
3
50. Međunarodni kongres i izložba o KGH, Beograd, 4–6.12.201950th International HVAC&R Congress and Exhibition, Belgrade, 4–6 Dec. 2019
0
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0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
ΔIC
(%
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Percentage of S/V=0.97
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6070
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0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
ΔEP
Sav
ings
(%)
Percentage of S/V=0.97
3
2
Conclusions
• Significant savings in terms of IC or EP can be obtained whenoptimizing the stock instead of each single building
• Preliminary study:– Results change for higher savings targets – less compensation possible
between different buildings
– Do not account for minimum requisites
– Higher targets: can be achieved through a multi-step approach (long term) which minimizes the initial IC and reinvests the savings in a period in further EEMs in a following period
50. Međunarodni kongres i izložba o KGH, Beograd, 4–6.12.201950th International HVAC&R Congress and Exhibition, Belgrade, 4–6 Dec. 2019
Thank you
Alessandro Prada, University of Trento, Trento, ItalyFrancesca Cappelletti, University IUAV of Venice, Venice, ItalyAndrea Gasparella, Free University of Bozen-Bolzano, Bolzano, Italy