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Study Guide: SLMUN 2013
FSC: Futuristic Security Council
FSC: Futuristic Security Council
The Futuristic Security council is quite easily the most unique committee at the Sri Lanka Model
United Nations 2013. Like the committee name states, FSC will be a simulation of a futuristic
Security Council of the United Nations. As a delegate of the Futuristic Security Council we
would expect you to remember the following:
You are in the simulation of a committee based in the future, so you will be expected to
think like a diplomat of the future and adapt accordingly.
Carry out thorough research on the current affairs of your country. After all your past
shapes your future.
Your foreign policy is your holy grail. Stick to it at all costs.
Your allies and foes may have changed in the future. So make sure you understand your
countries policy towards all other countries at the Futuristic Security Council.
Make sure you thoroughly understand the background story for the simulation. Your
understanding of the situation will be the key factor towards a good debate. If you have
any questions feel free to ask your chairs.
Delegates, we are expecting a lot from you. As delegates of FSC we expect you to be
diplomatic, we expect you to think on your feet and we expect you all to debate your hearts out.
This study guide contains all information pertaining to the background story of the futuristic
simulation and a timeline of events up to the date at which the FSC of SLMUN 2013 is been
simulated.
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Date of Simulation: 5th to 7th August 2049
Head Table
President: Sonal Sukhith Jayawickrama
Vice President: Rukshana Sundar
.
Time line of Events
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20th April 2010 – An explosion occurs on the
Deep-water Horizon Rig belonging to British
Petroleum, and it was considered as the
largest marine accidental oil spill at that
point of time. This oil spill claimed 11 lives
and the total discharge was estimated to be
4.9 million barrels (780,000 cm3 of oil).
15th July 2010 – A sea flow oil gusher
flowed for 87 days until it was capped
temporarily on this day. The President of the
USA at the time, Barack Obama,
immediately orders an investigation into all
29 oilrigs in the Gulf Sea, and suspends any
drilling licenses until the review is complete.
British Petroleum downplayed the incident
until reports revealed the massive extent to
which marine life would be affected, and the
estimate that it would take close to 8 years
for the oil to dissipate. In late May,
Greenpeace activists in London scaled BP's
company headquarters in St. James's
Square and unfurled mock BP logo banners
imprinted with oil stains reading "British
polluters”. British Petroleum are fined closed
to $42 billion for the whole incident by the
US federal government.
3rd April 2013 – Numerous studies conclude
that large areas of the Gulf Sea were
already oil free. The studies concluded that
the Gulf Sea had an abundance of oil eating
bacteria, which contained the 2010 Deep-
water Horizon disaster. These oil bacteria
were naturally present in the Gulf Sea.
15th June 2014 – The Republic of South
Africa set up a secret government facility,
which carries out research on the oil-eating
microbes. At the same point of time, North
Korea continues to threaten South Korea
and the United States of America.
6th November 2016 – Hilary Clinton wins the
US presidential campaign and takes up
office at the White House. She is faced with
a daunting task of fixing a failing economy
and tightening lax gun laws amid massive
pressure from groups around the country
after numerous shoot outs at public places
including schools and universities.
23rd of March 2019 – Twelve accidents on
numerous oilrigs around the world lead to
massive oil spills over the past 6 years. It is
estimated that these 12 accidents in total
released over 15 million barrels of crude oil
into the ocean. Greenpeace carry our large-
scale protests around the world demanding
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the immediate closure of all oilrigs around
the world. Large scale advertising on
international television networks and the
Internet cause massive damage to the
brands of all oil companies. Certain groups
raise questions as how to Greenpeace
could afford such a massive advertising
campaign, but these concerns die down as
oil companies give into the pressure. On the
23rd of March 2019, the top 15 oil producing
companies meet with the Greenpeace
representatives and agree to allow
Greenpeace to conduct yearly audits on oil
rigs around the world.
2nd August 2019 – The Republic of South
Africa discovers oil fields just off the coast of
Cape Town. However this information is not
released to the public..
6th November 2020 Mitt Romney is
appointed as President of the United States
of America amid massive allegations of
corruption during the election. The
unemployment rate was at 32%, with a
majority of the states reporting lawlessness
as armed gangs begin assuming control of
cities.
15th April 2023 – The General Assembly
adopts resolution 2345, which declares
Tibet as a neutral zone amid increasing
tension between India and China, with each
country threatening to go to war over the
small mountainous region. The resolution
passes with overwhelming majority. The
UNPKF is deployed to Tibet to ensure that
the conditions of the resolution are met.
4th June 2023 – The Fula oil field in South
Sudan which had a total of 550 000 million
barrels of proven oil reserves report that it is
cutting this estimate down to 200 000 oil
barrels amid a situation where daily oil
production had dropped by 45%.
6th November 2023 – The Fula Oil field in
South Sudan dries out. The government of
South Sudan does not respond to the
situation and it is believed that the
government is not aware of the cause of the
crisis.
25th November 2023 – Nation wide riots
take place across the United States of
America as rising unemployment and
poverty grip the nation. President Romney
accepts that the government is beginning to
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loose control. Large organized gangs begin
gaining control of cities as widespread
bribery cripples the US police. These gangs
begin stock piling large quantities of
weapons.
28th November 2023 – Minor clashes occur
within the now neutral zone of Tibet, as
India and China both publicly admit a
neutral zone wasn’t the best way forward.
3rd March 2026 – Top officials of the
government of the Republic of South Africa
secretly meet with Sharp End International,
a Private Military company based in New
Zealand. Sharp End International was hired
by Greenpeace to provide its auditors with
security. The outcome of the meeting had
Sharp End International helping the
government of South Africa to release the
canisters containing the oil-eating virus
during the Greenpeace audits, in return for
an undisclosed sum of money.
February – June 2027 – The security
contingent belonging to Greenpeace
release the canisters, which contain the oil-
eating virus on all oil fields around the world
during the annual audits carried out by
Greenpeace.
5th August 2027 – All oil fields and rigs
around the world report an immediate drop
in daily oil production rates. Reports are
also released of how oil reserves in the oil
fields seem to be depleting at alarming
rates. OPEC decides to take immediate
action by carrying out tests on some of their
oil fields.
5th November 2027 – The tests, which were
carried out by OPEC, reveal a highly
mutated oil-eating virus had affected the oil
fields. However the scientists in charge had
never seen such a virus that multiplied at
such alarming rates and was doing so by
only feeding of the oil.
3rd March 2028 – Oil producing countries
around the world panic as they do not have
a response to the oil-eating virus. Water
sources, food sources and all imports are
thoroughly checked for contamination by the
virus. Airports around the world set up tight
screening processes to ensure the virus is
not transmitted through humans.
31st December 2028 – New Year’s Eve. Oil
prices have sky rocketed and most
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households are without power as electricity
costs have increased by over 400%. The
OPEC announces it is close to developing a
counter pathogen to the oil-eating virus,
which is almost impossible to contain.
However, at this stage reports surface that
over 55% of earth’s previously reported oil
reserves have now gone. A Tibetan scientist
working in South Africa returns to Tibet for
his annual vacation. On arrival in Tibet, the
screening process set up flags the scientist.
He is taken away for further investigation.
1st January 2029 – North Korea, which had
been one of the least dependent countries
on oil, show strong resiliency to the sudden
oil crisis. Over the past 15 years it had been
continuously threatening the United States
of America and South Korea with nuclear
war. However on this day, North Korea
finally successfully test a 10-kiloton nuclear
warhead on a remote island off the Korean
Peninsula. South Korea immediately
requests the UN to intervene. The United
States of America, which is almost
completely lawless with gangs taking control
of the country, barely responds.
2nd January 2029 – The Republic of South
Africa begin preparations to set up oilrigs on
the oil fields just off its coast. Only top
government officials are aware of the
project and tight security and secrecy is
maintained around the whole project.
2nd February 2029 – After numerous tests
carried out by labs in Tibet, officials claim to
have found a string of the oil-eating virus,
which had never been seen before. Some
scientists predict that it may be a counter-
pathogen to the virus and this information
leaks to the media.
4th March 2029 – All oil producing countries
release a statement that all oil supplies
would dry out by the end of 2029.
13th March 2029 – India demands from the
United Nations, that the Tibetan scientist
with the claimed “counter-pathogen” to be
immediately sent to India for further testing.
However, China enters the fray stating that
since Tibet is a neutral zone, China had as
much ownership of the Tibetan scientist as
India. Both India and China immediately
begin to threaten each other till the use of
force seems a distinct possibility. However
the UNPKF in Tibet, refuse claims from both
sides.
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1st May 2029 – Almost every country save a
few descend into total chaos as oil and
petrol supplies come to a standstill.
Transportation systems are disrupted or
completely shut down. Food and water
shortages arise in almost every city and
town. The Middle East economy, which
depended so highly on its oil reserves, is
the first to suffer badly. The economy is
crippled immediately. Transportation
systems, military installations, all which
depended purely on fossil fuels, come to a
stand still. As riots and anarchy sets in,
government begins to loose control of their
countries.
3rd May 2029 – All found and proven oil
reserves on Earth are totally depleted.
5th May 2029 – Russia begins selling
uranium and nuclear technology as means
of protecting its economy and financial
system. Its biggest buyers include North
Korea, Iran and India.
15th May 2029 – Economists predict
irreparable damage to economies around
the world. Chaos ensues as not a single
country was prepared for a crisis of this
proportion. It was only a matter of time
before anarchy set in around the world.
Electricity and power to 98% of the world
was lost.
20th May 2029 – North Korean forces invade
a crippled South Korea and claim
ownership. The New Republic of Korea is
born.
4th June 2029 – The birth power of a super-
power. After almost a decade of secrecy,
the republic of South Africa finally release
reports that it has proven oil reserves of 267
billion barrels. The rest of the world accepts
this news with immediate appreciation.
15th June 2029 – All 97 oilrigs in the republic
of South Africa go online and daily
production is estimated to be between
13,000 and 18,000 barrels. An oil barrel is
sold at $6713.45, a 325% increase from the
price of the last barrel of oil sold. The rest of
the world having no other option,
immediately adjust all their budgets to
accommodate the oil. Demand for oil had
never been higher. The rest of the world
falls back into a sense of false security.
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1st July 2029 – Iran now makes a very
unexpected move. It carries out a full-scale
invasion of Israel and the Middle East. The
people of Palestine are restored back into
Israel, while Iran takes control of the Middle
East using its strong military backed by its
nuclear force.
28th July 2029 - The people of Palestine
settle in Israel. The Jewish people of former
Israel are pushed into the Gaza Strip.
5th August 2029 – As USA falls into more
chaos, it is clear that the Presidency has
lost total control of the country. As border
control breaks down, Mexican gangs flood
into the United States. Almost every major
city and town is now under the control of
gangs.
3rd September 2029 – South Africa’s
economy grows by an unbelievable 42%
within just 6 months of beginning oil
production. The South African Rand soon
becomes one of the most highly demanded
currencies in the world.
18th September 2029 – The UNGA meets.
As the General Assembly is bombarded
with issues ranging from the Middle East
invasion to the Korean crisis, the Republic
of South Africa raises a much larger issue. It
questions the security of the nuclear
warheads in the United States of America,
as the government no longer has control of
the country. It leads the creation of a
resolution, which stated, that since South
Africa was one of the most stable countries
in the world, it would secure all the nuclear
warheads within South Africa itself. There is
a massive uproar from the delegation of
USA and its allies. However through popular
consensus and using its bargaining chip of
oil, the republic of South Africa secure 145
votes to pass the resolution. The resolution
orders the USA to immediately hand over all
of its nuclear warheads to the Republic of
South Africa. On the same day a landmark
resolution on Security Council reform
passes through the General Assembly. It
removes the veto power from all nations of
the Security Council, and states that all
members will be elected on a temporary
basis.
25th October 2029 – Iran has gained total
control of the Middle East. Iran also claims
responsibility for the oil-eating virus, which
affected oil, fields around the world.
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31st April 2030 – The South African
economy continues to grow at an
exponential rate. By April 2030, it becomes
the largest economy in the world surpassing
China and Germany. The South African
Rand becomes the most powerful currency
in the world, and becomes as influential as
the US dollar was in the early 1990’s.
31st December 2032 – New Year’s Eve.
South Africa is now the most influential and
powerful economy in the world. It also
establishes as the richest country in the
world. To further enhance its status, the
Republic of South begins to expand its
military capabilities. Due to its money
power, it spends large sums of money
developing the latest in military technology.
Poorer African countries, unable to afford
the oil slip into deeper crisis, with
widespread poverty and malnourishment.
However South Africa makes a very bold
move on this day, it releases a general
statement to the Africa continent. “We are
Africans, we have always stood by each
other through thick and thin. We have seen
the world discriminate us, not care about us.
However, South Africa has been able to rise
from all this and turn the tables around on
our enemies. But we understand, that not all
our African brothers and sisters have been
successful like us. So we offer you a unique
opportunity. South Africa is rich, powerful
and has the strongest military in the world.
We realize there are so many nations within
Africa finding it difficult to make ends meet,
so join us. Join the Greater South Africa.
Under our leadership you will prosper, you
will be able to feed yourselves and your
families, live like kings and queens. Join us,
we can help you, together we can make
Africa the most powerful continent in the
world”.
1st January 2030 – The Greater South Africa
(GSA) is born. A majority of the African
countries immediately see South Africa’s
offer as the way out. 42 out of the 60
remaining African countries agree to South
Africa’s proposal. This newly formed bloc of
countries is renamed as the Greater South
Africa. The Greater South Africa would
retain the current South African president as
its leader, however a member of each
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country was allowed a seat in the new
centralized government.
5th January 2030 – In order to immediately
establish dominance, the Greater South
Africa files a strong case for the relocation
of the United Nations headquarters. With
the USA been in a state of lawlessness, and
with the GSA establishing itself as a
superpower, the United Nations has no valid
reason to object. However, China and the
new Republic of Korea raise objections.
25th January 2030 –The military of the
Republic of Korea carries out a full-scale
invasion of the United States of America
backed by China. With the current states of
the USA, ROK forces wipe out any threats
they face and take control of the country.
1st March 2030 – The United Nations
headquarters is relocated to Cape Town in
the Greater South Africa.
30th March 2030 – The GSA announces the
creation of a free trade zone and offers
invitations to any country around the world
to join the free trade agreement.
Immediately the European Union is thrown
into chaos, as there is a division between
the nations as what needs to be done.
However a group of countries including
France, Poland, Turkey, Belgium, Bulgaria
and Ukraine do join the GSA in their new
venture for the sake of saving their
economies. However nations such as the
United Kingdom, Netherlands and Germany
stick to the European Union.
2nd August 2030 – The Republic of Korea
announces it now has full control of the
United States of America and deems the
USA as a colony of the Republic of Korea.
4th March 2032 – Clashes continue to occur
between forces Indian and Chinese forces
in Tibet as both countries strive to establish
dominance. India which had purchased
large quantities of uranium from Russia,
now claim to have an arsenal of nuclear
weapons.
2033 – The GSA continues to grow while
providing support to its African counterparts
to develop at the same time. The GSA
garners worldwide support thanks to its
sympathy towards Africa and also due to
the free trade zone it created which helped
a number of countries gain some sort of
stability.
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2036 – The GSA recognizing the fact that its
oil reserves were dwindling, immediately
focus its resources on the development of a
form of renewable energy source.
2037 – Brazil releases an official statement
that it has developed a cost effective
hydrogen fuel cell. Brazil had been working
on this technology for the past 12 years,
and after numerous tests and failures it
successfully showcases the Hydrogen Fuel
Cell to the general public. The Hydrogen
Fuel Cell is immediately placed as the future
for future energy as it is clear, that the oil
from the GSA is about to dry out.
2nd June 2038 – The Greater South Africa
releases a statement that it officially is
stopping oil supplies to the rest of the world
as it wishes to leave an oil reserve for 3
years to support its own nation.
4th July 2038 – Brazil begins commercial
production of its Hydrogen Fuel cell. Stock
markets in Brazil immediately hit a positive
note, as investors believe Brazil is now on
the path to becoming a very strong
economy.
2043 – Brazil’s economy continues to grow
exponentially thanks to its development of
the Hydrogen Fuel Cell.
2045 – Brazil successfully tests and sends
to orbit a weaponized satellite capable of
striking any given point on Earth in less than
a minute. The GSA raises great concerns,
saying such a move is a violation of the
sovereignty of other nations and a violation
of
4th August 2049 – Brazil releases a
statement that it is about to send 250 of the
previously developed weaponized satellites
into space.
Security Council as at 5th August 2049
Temporary Member Nations elected for a three term (The veto power has been removed):
Brazil
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China
Cuba
Egypt
France
Germany
India
Indonesia
Iran
Mexico
Mongolia
New Zealand
Republic of Korea
Russia
Turkey
United Kingdom
Greater South Africa (Location of the UN Headquarters)
How it all started
The outlook of the whole world has changed in 2049. Former super powers now lay in a state of
chaos, while some countries have ascended into states of unbelievable power. All these events
can be traced back to one event in 2010, the Deep Water Horizon oil crisis. Hailed as the worst
oil spill of its time, experts predicted that it would take more than 10 years for the oil that leaked
to eventually dissipate. However in 2013, scientists found out that most of the oil had
disappeared, and it was concluded that the Gulf Sea had an abundance of an oil-eating
microbe, which helped clear up the oil spill. The rest of the world do not take any sort of interest
in this microbe, however the Republic of South Africa sets up a secret government research
facility to carry out further research on this microbe. This is the starting point of a series of
events, which would see the whole landscape of world dominance and diplomacy turning on its
head. However these series of events can be broken down into 4 main different sub-categories,
which lead to the day of the simulation of FSC at SLMUN 2013.
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The Ascendency of the Republic of South Africa to a Super Power
The Republic of South Africa in 2014 set up a secret research government facility to carry out
research on the oil-eating microbe, this is an event which redefines the country’s future. Then, in
2019 the government discovers it has oil reserves just off its coast. It does not reveal this
information to the public. It is at that point that it sees that it can use the oil-eating microbe and
its untapped oil reserves to its advantage. The government orders the development of an oil-
eating bacteria. Its initial plan is to spread this oil-eating virus amongst oil fields around the
world and to then to sell its own oil when the rest of the world needed it the most. However,
confident that it would not fail in this venture, the South African government immediately begins
devising a mechanism to spread the virus. It decides to use the international environment
awareness promoting organization, Greenpeace for this purpose. The South African
government funds a multi billion dollar marketing campaign for Greenpeace against all top oil
producing companies. The campaign hits these companies hard, as numerous oil accidents in
the past had already affected their reputation. Fearing a slump in business, the oil companies
give in and agree to host talks with Greenpeace. In 2019, after numerous conferences between
Greenpeace and the top oil producing companies, both parties agree for Greenpeace to carry
out audits on every single oilrig around the world to ensure it is not affecting the environment.
This is one of the biggest successes Greenpeace achieves since its inception. In 2023, scientist
at the secret research facility finally develops an oil-eating virus, and the government wished to
test it immediately. Since it did not want to test it on a nation, which had the capabilities to carry
out a proper investigation on the virus, it decided to try the virus on the Fula oil field, in South
Sudan. The test is a success as the oil field eventually dries up after a time period of around
three months. Like South Africa predicted, the government of South Sudan doesn’t not have the
resources or the capabilities to understand the situation, thus the event is passed off as a freak
event. The government of South Africa then contacts the Private military company providing
security to Greenpeace auditors who carry out the yearly audits on oilrigs. It strikes a deal with
the PMC in return for the distribution of the oil-eating virus around all the oilrigs. The plan is an
overwhelming success, as the virus spreads across oil fields around the world. Every country is
taken with surprise, and even by the time tests begin to start on the virus, almost half the oil
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reserves around the world are depleted. Eventually, within 3 months all oil fields around the
world dry out. Chaos as never seen before grips the whole world. Everyone knew oil would one
day run out, but no one was prepared for a crisis of this proportion. As the world descends into
more chaos, South Africa taps into its oil reserves at this opportune moment and sell the oil at
high prices. The rest of the world has no option but to buy it. South Africa soon becomes the
richest country in the world, and its economy grows exponentially. It eventually becomes the
most powerful country in the world. During this period of time, while a majority of the African
countries were facing an economic crisis, South Africa offers a way out. It offers nations an
opportunity to join forces with South Africa, and to work under its leadership. Using this guise,
South Africa is able to convince 42 out of the 60 African countries to join it, and “The Greater
South Africa” is born. Its first act as a super-power, fuelled by the vast amounts of mineral
wealth in the region, is to attempt to relocate the United Nations headquarters to the GSA in
order to garner more influence within the United Nations. With the whole African continent
backing this move, it succeeds; the United Nations headquarters is relocated to the GSA.
However the GSA does not stop there, it then plans to create the world’s largest free trade zone
with the European Union. This once again, is a decisive move. The European Union was
already in trouble with a very weakened economy and high rates of unemployment. Therefore it
was a question of loyalty towards the European Union, or the question of taking the easy way
out by joining the GSA. The GSA continues to grow while showing great support for its African
counterparts
The Decline of the United States of America
Ever since the recession in the late 2000’s, the economy of the USA never recovered. Although
there was optimism of the economy recovering, unemployment continued to rise and the
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economic situation continued to worsen. However, the persisting issue of lax gun laws was
never resolved either. Riots and demonstrations become a common occurrence across the
country. Slowly but surely the government knew a revolution was coming, however it lacked the
power to do anything. When the oil crisis hit, USA was a country that suffered greatly. Its
economy almost came to a standstill. Civilians began wide spread protests and riots. Mexican
gangs flooded into the country amid weak border control. As the situation got worse, cities
slowly began to fall to organized gangs. These gangs began to stockpile weapons and take
control of the food supplies. The USA eventually descended into a state of lawlessness and the
White House had totally lost control of the country besides a few high priority cities and the
many military bases housing nuclear warheads, which too were under constant attack by the
many gangs running rampage across the country vying for supremacy among each other as
well. Identifying the issue of the nuclear weapons of USA falling into wrong hands, the GSA
sponsors and passes a resolution allowing it to secure all of USA’s nuclear warheads. The
newly formed republic of Korea eventually invades the USA.
The New Republic of Korea
North Korea was always deemed as a failed state, however no one was really 100% sure as to
what was happening within the country. North Korea’s economy was never too dependent on
fossil fuels. When the oil crisis hit, North Korea began to switch to its highly developed nuclear
technology. It was supplied uranium by the Russian federation. Thus the oil crisis did not
majorly affect its economy. Using the uranium it had now received, North Korea developed and
successfully tasted a range of nuclear warheads. As a result of the failure of the USA, South
Korea was very vulnerable. Its economy suffered drastically due to the oil crisis, and
unemployment and poverty was widespread. Identifying the opportunity, North Korea carried out
a full-scale invasion of South Korea backed by the Chinese military. The Republic of Korea is
born. Given the anarchy and lawlessness set on by the oil crisis, the people of ROK almost
welcome the North Koreans. It then turns its attention towards it long time adversary the United
States of America. Identifying the fact that USA was in a state of lawlessness, and also seeing
that it was now weakened as the GSA had secured it nuclear weapons, the Republic of Korea
carry out a successful full scale of invasion of the USA, again militarily backed by China. The
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invasion goes as planned, and the USA become the property of the Republic of Korea. The
Republic of Korea is currently a stable regime, backed heavily by China in terms of its economy
and military.
The Middle East
Ever since the Arab Spring, the Middle East had never been that stable. However thanks to the
GCC (Gulf Cooperation Countries) and the OPEC, the Middle East had some flourishing
economies such as that of Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates. However, the Middle
Eastern economy was heavily dependent on oil. Therefore, it was the worst hit when the oil
crisis hit. Most economies immediately failed, as these countries had no back-up plan in case
their oil supplies dried out. On the other hand, USA’s biggest ally in the Middle East, Israel, was
facing bigger problems. Ever since USA fell, it had lost its sense of security. It didn’t have its
“big brother” to protect it anymore. Russia had sold its uranium and nuclear technology to Iran
as well. This meant that using its current technology; Iran was able to rapidly develop as nuclear
superpower. It had a very powerful military. Iran then carries out a full-scale invasion of Israel
and re-instates the Palestinian people to their original land. A mass exodus similar to Biblical
times ensue as the Israeli people are forced from their homes It then mobilizes its forces to
carry out an invasion of the Middle East. Using its military and nuclear power it successfully
takes control of the whole Middle East. Iran then releases a statement to the world saying, “It
did not invade the Middle East, it merely wanted to cleanse the Middle East of extremist and
terrorist groups”. Iran then immediately accepts responsibility for the oil-eating virus that was
spread.
Date of Simulation: 5th to 7th August 2049
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We sincerely hope that you will expand your horizons, make unforgettable memories, meet new friends and enjoy every second of SLMUN 2013. All the
very best!