future of hardwoods in oregon (and the pacific northwest) glenn ahrens oregon state university...

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Future of Hardwoods in Oregon Future of Hardwoods in Oregon (and the Pacific Northwest) (and the Pacific Northwest) Glenn Ahrens Oregon State University Extension Forestry Clatsop and Tillamook County

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Page 1: Future of Hardwoods in Oregon (and the Pacific Northwest) Glenn Ahrens Oregon State University Extension Forestry Clatsop and Tillamook County

Future of Hardwoods in Oregon Future of Hardwoods in Oregon (and the Pacific Northwest)(and the Pacific Northwest)

Glenn Ahrens

Oregon State University

Extension Forestry Clatsop and Tillamook County

Page 2: Future of Hardwoods in Oregon (and the Pacific Northwest) Glenn Ahrens Oregon State University Extension Forestry Clatsop and Tillamook County

Future of the Hardwood Industry = Hardwood Resource

• Available timber inventory

• Harvesting volume trends

• Long-term sustainable supply?– Incidental hardwoods in the forest– Managed hardwood forests

Page 3: Future of Hardwoods in Oregon (and the Pacific Northwest) Glenn Ahrens Oregon State University Extension Forestry Clatsop and Tillamook County

Red Alder Inventory Volumeinventory dates ~1995 to 2000

0500

1,0001,5002,0002,5003,0003,5004,000

N. Cali

forn

ia

Orego

n

Was

hingt

on

British

Colu

mbia

Alaska

Mill

ion

cu

.ft.

0

20

40

60

80

100

Mill

ion

cu

.me

ters

Source: USFS Forest Inventory and Analysis, BC Ministry of Forests

Page 4: Future of Hardwoods in Oregon (and the Pacific Northwest) Glenn Ahrens Oregon State University Extension Forestry Clatsop and Tillamook County

Annual Removals/Harvest of Red Alder~590 million bd. ft (4.9 million cu. m)

WA - Private65%

OR - Private23%

WA+OR State/OP5%

BC5%

CA2%

Source: USFS Forest Inventory and Analysis, BC Ministry of Forests ~1995-2000

Page 5: Future of Hardwoods in Oregon (and the Pacific Northwest) Glenn Ahrens Oregon State University Extension Forestry Clatsop and Tillamook County

•Abundant hardwoods are a legacy of past practices.

•Modern forest practices generally reduce the hardwood component in the PNW.

Page 6: Future of Hardwoods in Oregon (and the Pacific Northwest) Glenn Ahrens Oregon State University Extension Forestry Clatsop and Tillamook County

Area of Hardwood Forest TypesW. Oregon & W. Washington

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

1981 1991 2001

Year

Th

ou

san

d A

cre

s

Industrial PrivateNon-industrial PrivateState/Other public

Source: USFS Forest Inventory and Analysis

Page 7: Future of Hardwoods in Oregon (and the Pacific Northwest) Glenn Ahrens Oregon State University Extension Forestry Clatsop and Tillamook County

Changes in Hardwood Volume10-year change 1990's

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

3500

WA Growth WA Loss OR Growth OR Loss

Mill

ion

cu

.ft.

Land changeRemovalMortalityGrowth

Source: USFS Forest Inventory and Analysis

Page 8: Future of Hardwoods in Oregon (and the Pacific Northwest) Glenn Ahrens Oregon State University Extension Forestry Clatsop and Tillamook County

Availability of alder timber is reduced by policy and regulation

• Public timber policy – federal and state• Riparian management areas• Unstable slopes• Wildlife habitat

Page 9: Future of Hardwoods in Oregon (and the Pacific Northwest) Glenn Ahrens Oregon State University Extension Forestry Clatsop and Tillamook County

Timber Harvest Western Oregon and Washington

01,0002,0003,0004,0005,0006,0007,0008,0009,000

10,000

1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002

Tota

l - M

illio

n B

oard

Fee

t

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

Ald

er -

Mill

ion

Boa

rd F

eet

Page 10: Future of Hardwoods in Oregon (and the Pacific Northwest) Glenn Ahrens Oregon State University Extension Forestry Clatsop and Tillamook County

Uncertain balance - determines the future of the Hardwood Resource

Negative factors• Continued

management favoring conifers

• Reduction in forest land base due to policy, regulation, and non-forest land use

Positive factors• Continued

regeneration of incidental hardwoods.

• Increasing management for alder.

Page 11: Future of Hardwoods in Oregon (and the Pacific Northwest) Glenn Ahrens Oregon State University Extension Forestry Clatsop and Tillamook County

Increasing Hardwood Management in the Future

Depends on:

• high market values = log prices

• successful management techniques

• competitive timber yields and economic returns.

Page 12: Future of Hardwoods in Oregon (and the Pacific Northwest) Glenn Ahrens Oregon State University Extension Forestry Clatsop and Tillamook County

NW Oregon Log Price TrendsAdjusted for inflation to 2004 $

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

1975 1985 1995 2005

Year

U.S

. $ p

er m

bf

Douglas-fir 2S & 3SAlder 8-in+

Source: Oregon Department of Forestry quarterly log price reports 1977-2004

Page 13: Future of Hardwoods in Oregon (and the Pacific Northwest) Glenn Ahrens Oregon State University Extension Forestry Clatsop and Tillamook County

NW Oregon Log Price TrendsAdjusted for inflation to 2004 $

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

1975 1985 1995 2005

Year

U.S

. $ p

er m

bf

Alder 8-in+Alder Pulp/utility

Source: Oregon Department of Forestry quarterly log price reports 1977-2004

Page 14: Future of Hardwoods in Oregon (and the Pacific Northwest) Glenn Ahrens Oregon State University Extension Forestry Clatsop and Tillamook County

For a brighter future……Improve the capability of landowners to profitably produce and sell hardwoods.

• Improve market options - veneer logs, sawlogs, pulp logs.

• Demonstrate yield and economic returns from managed alder.

• Continue research and education on how to manage for higher value hardwood stands .

• Increase availability of seedlings.