futures & bonds week of february 11, 2019 b19 … · 2019. 2. 8. · 77 a- 90.0 rymanhspprp rhp...

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Copyright 2019 Investor's Business Daily Inc. 95 B 38.2 NexPointRes NXRT 37.76 0.59 -44 2.9 93 B- 16.9 NStarRlty NRE 16.66 -0.03 -54 3.6 81 C- 6.5 NYMrtg NYMT 6.34 0.02 -63 12.6 7B 65.9 OfficePropsIn OPI 30.35 -0.77 -63 22.7 96 B- 40.3 OmegaHlthcre OHI 39.18 -0.16 -40 6.7 85 C 29.4 OneLiberty OLP 27.79 0.01 -56 6.5 58 B 8.3 Orchid Island ORC 6.94 -0.02 -59 13.8 78 D 22.4 Outfrnt Media OUT 20.89 -0.07 -50 6.9 67 C- 16.1 Paramount G PGRE 14.80 -0.10 -63 2.7 54 C 34.3 Park HotlsRes PK 29.48 -0.38 -34 7.8 25 D- 41.6 Pebblebrook PEB 31.55 -0.25 -64 1.6 10 B- 12.4 PennREIT PEI 6.94 0.08 27 12.1 89 B 21.4 Pennymac PMT 21.32 1.10 82 8.8 90 B+ 18.7 PhysicinsRlty DOC 18.39 -0.16 -41 5.0 88 A 20.7 PiedmontOff PDM 20.58 -0.01 -50 4.1 84 C+ 18.3 PlymthIndReit PLYM 16.00 0.09 -84 9.4 26 D+ 50.6 Potlatchdeltic PCH 35.82 -0.63 -5 4.5 55 B+ 6.9 PowerReit PW 5.89 0.04 61 .. 78 B- 18.6 PrefdAptCmn APTS 15.90 -0.06 -35 6.5 86 A- 70.6 Prologis PLD 70.83 0.40 -17 2.7 92 B 146.8 PSBusParks PSB 146.35 0.16 -28 2.9 73 B 234.9 PublicStor PSA 210.57 0.73 3 3.8 81 B+ 47.7 QTS Realty QTS 43.10 0.73 2 3.8 23 D 39.7 Rayonier RYN 28.55 -0.43 14 3.8 81 B+ 17.3 ReadyCapital RC 15.86 0.17 24 10.1 95 A+ 70.2 RealtyIncome O 70.08 -0.02 -32 3.9 60 D 17.5 Redwood RWT 15.99 -0.02 -9 7.5 82 C+ 66.9 RegencyCntrA REG 65.72 -0.01 -39 3.4 4 C+ 10.6 RegionalHlth RHE 1.19 0.01 -80 .. 82 A- 36.3 Retail Value RVI 30.96 -0.18 -30 15.1 66 D+ 19.8 RetailOpp ROIC 17.93 0.16 -40 4.4 88 A 13.4 RetailPrpsAm RPAI 13.17 0.05 -9 5.0 40 C- 4.9 RevenHousReitRVEN 3.60 0.00 -100 1.1 89 A- 35.3 Rexford Indus REXR 34.76 -0.46 -53 1.8 25 D 24.0 RLJLodging RLJ 18.48 -0.13 -30 7.1 82 E 14.4 RPT Realty RPT 13.39 0.06 -60 6.6 77 A- 90.0 RymanHspPrp RHP 79.26 -0.81 -48 4.3 75 B+ 23.8 SabraHlthcr SBRA 20.56 -0.16 -51 8.8 90 B 4.4 SachemCap SACH 4.29 0.01 -23 15.9 75 D 20.2 SafetyIncGrow SAFE 18.09 0.01 -76 3.3 88 A- 60.6 SaulCenters BFS 57.26 0.16 -47 3.7 20 B- 19.2 SeniorHouse SNH 14.07 -0.17 -30 11.1 78 B 51.9 SeritageGrw A SRG 41.27 0.01 -63 2.4 82 B 191.5 SimonPrpty SPG 184.10 -1.75 -16 4.3 83 C 15.2 Site Centers SITC 13.28 0.01 -43 6.0 44 B+ 106.5 SLGreenRlty SLG 92.23 -1.22 -28 3.7 79 C+ 7.6 SothrlyHotls SOHO 6.96 -0.03 -42 7.2 47 A- 9.8 SpiritMtaReit SMTA 8.08 -0.11 -76 16.3 74 B+ 42.6 SpiritRealty SRC 39.94 0.30 -68 6.3 85 C 29.1 StagIndust STAG 28.20 0.09 -53 5.1 78 C 23.0 Starwd STWD 22.13 -0.06 -60 8.7 93 B 32.5 Store Capital STOR 32.42 0.12 -52 4.1 21 C 15.6 SummitHotl INN 11.07 -0.32 -50 6.5 93 A- 113.5 SunCommty SUI 113.53 0.28 -44 2.5 45 B 16.9 SunstoneHotl SHO 14.33 -0.21 -32 4.8 51 C 24.9 TangerFact SKT 22.37 -0.08 -51 6.3 23 B+ 65.5 TaubmanCtr TCO 49.22 -0.44 -48 5.3 89 B+ 42.7 TerrenoRlty TRNO 41.59 -0.95 39 2.3 90 A- 25.0 TierReit TIER 24.02 0.02 -1 3.0 10 D+ 15.1 TremontMtg TRMT 8.87 -0.13 -46 5.0 42 D- 16.3 TwoHarbors TWO 14.14 -0.01 -21 13.3 92 B- 44.6 UDR INC UDR 44.59 0.12 -6 2.9 76 A- 16.7 UMHPrptys UMH 14.20 0.16 -55 5.1 84 D+ 23.4 Uniti Grp UNIT 19.69 -0.03 -59 12.2 89 B 77.0 UnivrslHR UHT 73.42 -0.17 -45 3.7 54 A- 23.4 Urban Edge UE 20.64 -0.09 -23 4.3 86 B+ 23.2 UrstadBddleA UBA 22.01 0.15 -42 5.0 64 B+ 18.5 UrstadtBiddle UBP 17.00 0.01 84 5.8 91 B+ 65.7 Ventas VTR 64.27 -0.18 5 4.9 89 B+ 8.2 Vereit VER 8.19 0.00 4 6.7 83 B 22.4 Vici Props VICI 21.69 0.23 44 4.6 60 B 77.6 VornadoRlty VNO 69.90 0.05 30 3.8 18 D- 8.4 WashingtnPrm WPG 5.50 0.14 -42 18.2 30 B+ 31.9 Washington WRE 25.74 -0.46 -35 4.7 86 B 30.3 Weingarten WRI 29.61 0.10 -52 5.3 95 A 77.9 Welltower WELL 77.21 0.16 -26 4.5 18 C+ 38.4 Weyerhaus WY 25.65 -0.26 -25 5.3 2 C+ 6.3 WheelerReit WHLR 1.64 0.02 -90 .. 85 B 14.5 Whitestone WSR 14.09 -0.01 -37 8.1 92 B+ 75.3 WPCarey WPC 75.49 0.34 -56 5.5 62 E 11.4 WstrnAsset WMC 9.93 0.07 -44 12.5 24 C 25.9 XeniaHotel XHR 18.60 -0.35 -49 5.9 Key Financial And Commodity Futures BY BLOOMBERG NEWS Fear is turning into exuberance in credit markets. Demand for U.S. corporate bonds has surged after the Federal Reserve signaled that it’s done raising inter- est rates for now and eased investor concerns that rate hikes will choke off economic growth and crimp prof- its. High-yield bonds gained 4.9% this year through Thursday, the best start to a year since 2009, and saw the biggest fund inflows last week since July 2016. High-grade bonds on Thursday reached their highest levels since late 2017, according to Bloomberg Barclays index data. For new offer- ings, investors this week put in six or eight times as many orders as there are securities for sale, about two or three times the usual levels of oversubscription. Strategists at JP- Morgan Chase JPM and Bank of America BAC think there’s a lower chance of a recession now, and have been growing more bullish on corpo- rate debt, at least for the near term. “There was a dovish surprise,” said Gene Tannuzzo, deputy global head of fixed income for Columbia Threadneedle Investments, which manages $485 billion. There are still risks for credit, including slow- ing global growth. But the Fed’s shift “should be positive for credit, and that’s what we’ve seen: de- mand is coming back into high yield and investment grade.” The riskiest of assets have been ral- lying the most. Bonds rated in the CCC tier, at least seven levels below investment-grade, have gained 5.7% so far this year through Thurs- day, according to Bloomberg Bar- clays index data. Clear Channel Outdoor Holdings CCO , a billboard company, sold $2.24 billion of notes rated CCC+ as it gets ready to sepa- rate from iHeartMedia, the bank- rupt radio broadcaster that owns it, which was the largest offering at this rating level since September. It’s not clear how long the party will last. The easy money has al- ready been made in the securities, wrote Morgan Stanley strategists led by Adam Richmond in a note dated Jan. 25. Risk premiums, or spreads, often start widening to- ward the end of the rate hike cycle as economic growth slows. They continue deteriorating as the Fed switches over to cutting rates, the strategists said. “For the long-term investor, you still have to think about what your bonds are worth in different envi- ronments like a weaker economy or a much more hawkish Fed,” said Bill Zox, chief investment officer of fixed income at Diamond Hill Capi- tal Management, which oversees about $21 billion. Leveraged lending is the most hazardous part of banks’ syndicat- ed loan portfolios, because so much debt has been piled on weaker com- panies, banking regulators cau- tioned last month. Lending agree- ments are giving less protections to investors, which means that when loans go bad investors might end up recovering just 50 cents on the dollar, down from historical levels closer to 80 cents, UBS credit strate- gist Matthew Mish said at the end of January. And there are early signs that eco- nomic growth may be deteriorat- ing. Global exports shrank in Janu- ary for the second consecutive month, and countries from China to Germany are reporting weak- ness in manufacturing activity. S&P COMP. INDEX Mar 19 PRICE MO %F=83.3 %S=88.6 CLOSE 2706.30 OPEN INTEREST 62002 CME MINI DOW JONES Mar 19 PRICE MO %F=83.7 %S=88.1 CLOSE 250.81 OPEN INTEREST 80615 CBOT 10 YEAR TREASURY Mar 19 PRICE MO %F=64.3 %S=47.6 CLOSE 122-12 OPEN INTEREST 3975421 CBOT BRITISH POUND Mar 19 PRICE MO %F=35.3 %S=49.6 CLOSE 1.2956 OPEN INTEREST 190663 IMM JAPANESE YEN Mar 19 PRICE MO %F=17.2 %S=19.3 CLOSE 0.9134 OPEN INTEREST 187216 in 100th IMM EURO Mar 19 PRICE MO %F=29.6 %S=42.5 CLOSE 1.1356 OPEN INTEREST 513795 CME MINI NASDAQ 100 Mar 19 PRICE MO %F=79.1 %S=82 CLOSE 6916.00 OPEN INTEREST 209675 CME US TREASURY BONDS Mar 19 PRICE MO %F=58.8 %S=50.3 CLOSE 146-28 OPEN INTEREST 948191 CBOT US DOLLAR INDEX Mar 19 PRICE MO %F=77.8 %S=63 CLOSE 96.41 OPEN INTEREST 55278 ICE MEXICAN PESO Mar 19 PRICE MO %F=52.8 %S=53.1 CLOSE 0.5218 OPEN INTEREST 223810 in 10th IMM SWISS FRANC Mar 19 PRICE MO %F=13.3 %S=12.7 CLOSE 1.0034 OPEN INTEREST 70153 IMM EURODOLLARS Dec 19 PRICE MO %F=69.3 %S=61.1 CLOSE 97.38 OPEN INTEREST 1707255 IMM COCOA May 19 PRICE MO %F=27.8 %S=23.4 CLOSE 2235.0 OPEN INTEREST 76020 ICE GAS BLEND Mar 19 PRICE MO %F=65.4 %S=58.9 CLOSE 1.4464 OPEN INTEREST 116600 NYM WHEAT Mar 19 PRICE MO %F=45.2 %S=54.3 CLOSE 5.17¼ OPEN INTEREST 172918 CBOT SOYBEAN OIL May 19 PRICE MO %F=92.2 %S=90.6 CLOSE 31.19 OPEN INTEREST 156795 CBOT LUMBER Mar 19 PRICE MO %F=83.4 %S=89.2 CLOSE 419.10 OPEN INTEREST 1828 CME CANADIAN DOLLAR Mar 19 PRICE MO %F=47.9 %S=61.6 CLOSE 0.7542 OPEN INTEREST 134136 IMM R Acc 52-Wk Closing Vol% % S Dis High Stock Symbol Price Chg Chg Yld R Acc 52-Wk Closing Vol% % S Dis High Stock Symbol Price Chg Chg Yld ORANGE JUICE Mar 19 PRICE MO %F=63.4 %S=54.6 CLOSE 120.95 OPEN INTEREST 13865 ICE COTTON 2 Mar 19 PRICE MO %F=25.7 %S=41.9 CLOSE 72.55 OPEN INTEREST 85844 ICE SOYBEAN MEAL Mar 19 PRICE MO %F=9.8 %S=14.2 CLOSE 306.10 OPEN INTEREST 146492 CBOT PLATINUM Apr 19 PRICE MO %F=43.6 %S=55.4 CLOSE 802.50 OPEN INTEREST 75468 NYM NIKKEI 225 AVGS. Mar 19 PRICE MO %F=49.6 %S=68.3 CLOSE 20305 OPEN INTEREST 8 CME 5 YEAR TREASURY Mar 19 PRICE MO %F=84.4 %S=83.8 CLOSE 114-26 OPEN INTEREST 4317852 CBOT Corporate Bonds On Fire: Dovish Fed Soothes Nerves REITS continued from B10 Money Rates Prime Rate: . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5.50 Base interest rate charged by major U.S. commercial banks on loans to corpora- tions. Discount Rate: Primary . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3.00 Secondary . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3.25 Rate charged by Federal Reserve System on loans to depository institutions Broker Call Loan Rate: . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3.50 Rate charged on short-term loans to brokerage dealers backed by securities. Federal Funds Effective Rate: . . . . . . . 2.40 Rates on overnight loans among financial institutions. Certificates of Deposit: 3 months . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.50 6 months . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.73 1 year . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1.45 Interest rate paid by dealers for certifi- cates of deposit based on the duration of the security. Jumbo CDs: 1 month . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.32 3 months . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.55 6 months . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.76 1 year . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1.33 London Interbank Offered Rate: 3 months . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2.73 6 months . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2.79 1 year . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2.96 The average of rates paid on dollar deposits. Treasury Bill Auction Results: 3-months (as of Feb. 4) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2.385 6-months (as of Feb. 4) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2.44 Average discount rate for Treasury bills in minimum units on $10,000. Treasury Bill: 1-year, (as of Feb. 4) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2.55 Annualized rate on weekly average basis, yield adjusted for constant maturity. REITs INVESTOR'S BUSINESS DAILY FUTURES & BONDS WEEK OF FEBRUARY 11, 2019 B19

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  • Copyright 2019 Investor's Business Daily Inc.

    95 B 38.2 NexPointRes NXRT 37.76 0.59 -44 2.993 B- 16.9 NStarRlty NRE 16.66 -0.03 -54 3.681 C- 6.5 NYMrtg NYMT 6.34 0.02 -63 12.67 B 65.9 OfficePropsIn OPI 30.35 -0.77 -63 22.7

    96 B- 40.3 OmegaHlthcre OHI 39.18 -0.16 -40 6.785 C 29.4 OneLiberty OLP 27.79 0.01 -56 6.558 B 8.3 Orchid Island ORC 6.94 -0.02 -59 13.878 D 22.4 Outfrnt Media OUT 20.89 -0.07 -50 6.967 C- 16.1 Paramount G PGRE 14.80 -0.10 -63 2.754 C 34.3 Park HotlsRes PK 29.48 -0.38 -34 7.825 D- 41.6 Pebblebrook PEB 31.55 -0.25 -64 1.610 B- 12.4 PennREIT PEI 6.94 0.08 27 12.189 B 21.4 Pennymac PMT 21.32 1.10 82 8.890 B+ 18.7 PhysicinsRlty DOC 18.39 -0.16 -41 5.088 A 20.7 PiedmontOff PDM 20.58 -0.01 -50 4.184 C+ 18.3 PlymthIndReit PLYM 16.00 0.09 -84 9.426 D+ 50.6 Potlatchdeltic PCH 35.82 -0.63 -5 4.555 B+ 6.9 PowerReit PW 5.89 0.04 61 ..78 B- 18.6 PrefdAptCmn APTS 15.90 -0.06 -35 6.586 A- 70.6 Prologis PLD 70.83 0.40 -17 2.792 B 146.8 PSBusParks PSB 146.35 0.16 -28 2.973 B 234.9 PublicStor PSA 210.57 0.73 3 3.881 B+ 47.7 QTS Realty QTS 43.10 0.73 2 3.823 D 39.7 Rayonier RYN 28.55 -0.43 14 3.881 B+ 17.3 ReadyCapital RC 15.86 0.17 24 10.195 A+ 70.2 RealtyIncome O 70.08 -0.02 -32 3.960 D 17.5 Redwood RWT 15.99 -0.02 -9 7.582 C+ 66.9 RegencyCntrA REG 65.72 -0.01 -39 3.44 C+ 10.6 RegionalHlth RHE 1.19 0.01 -80 ..

    82 A- 36.3 Retail Value RVI 30.96 -0.18 -30 15.166 D+ 19.8 RetailOpp ROIC 17.93 0.16 -40 4.488 A 13.4 RetailPrpsAm RPAI 13.17 0.05 -9 5.040 C- 4.9 RevenHousReitRVEN 3.60 0.00 -100 1.189 A- 35.3 Rexford Indus REXR 34.76 -0.46 -53 1.825 D 24.0 RLJLodging RLJ 18.48 -0.13 -30 7.182 E 14.4 RPT Realty RPT 13.39 0.06 -60 6.677 A- 90.0 RymanHspPrp RHP 79.26 -0.81 -48 4.375 B+ 23.8 SabraHlthcr SBRA 20.56 -0.16 -51 8.8

    90 B 4.4 SachemCap SACH 4.29 0.01 -23 15.975 D 20.2 SafetyIncGrow SAFE 18.09 0.01 -76 3.388 A- 60.6 SaulCenters BFS 57.26 0.16 -47 3.720 B- 19.2 SeniorHouse SNH 14.07 -0.17 -30 11.178 B 51.9 SeritageGrw A SRG 41.27 0.01 -63 2.482 B 191.5 SimonPrpty SPG 184.10 -1.75 -16 4.383 C 15.2 Site Centers SITC 13.28 0.01 -43 6.044 B+ 106.5 SLGreenRlty SLG 92.23 -1.22 -28 3.779 C+ 7.6 SothrlyHotls SOHO 6.96 -0.03 -42 7.247 A- 9.8 SpiritMtaReit SMTA 8.08 -0.11 -76 16.374 B+ 42.6 SpiritRealty SRC 39.94 0.30 -68 6.385 C 29.1 StagIndust STAG 28.20 0.09 -53 5.178 C 23.0 Starwd STWD 22.13 -0.06 -60 8.793 B 32.5 Store Capital STOR 32.42 0.12 -52 4.121 C 15.6 SummitHotl INN 11.07 -0.32 -50 6.593 A- 113.5 SunCommty SUI 113.53 0.28 -44 2.545 B 16.9 SunstoneHotl SHO 14.33 -0.21 -32 4.851 C 24.9 TangerFact SKT 22.37 -0.08 -51 6.323 B+ 65.5 TaubmanCtr TCO 49.22 -0.44 -48 5.389 B+ 42.7 TerrenoRlty TRNO 41.59 -0.95 39 2.390 A- 25.0 TierReit TIER 24.02 0.02 -1 3.010 D+ 15.1 TremontMtg TRMT 8.87 -0.13 -46 5.042 D- 16.3 TwoHarbors TWO 14.14 -0.01 -21 13.392 B- 44.6 UDR INC UDR 44.59 0.12 -6 2.976 A- 16.7 UMHPrptys UMH 14.20 0.16 -55 5.184 D+ 23.4 Uniti Grp UNIT 19.69 -0.03 -59 12.289 B 77.0 UnivrslHR UHT 73.42 -0.17 -45 3.754 A- 23.4 Urban Edge UE 20.64 -0.09 -23 4.386 B+ 23.2 UrstadBddleA UBA 22.01 0.15 -42 5.064 B+ 18.5 UrstadtBiddle UBP 17.00 0.01 84 5.891 B+ 65.7 Ventas VTR 64.27 -0.18 5 4.989 B+ 8.2 Vereit VER 8.19 0.00 4 6.783 B 22.4 Vici Props VICI 21.69 0.23 44 4.660 B 77.6 VornadoRlty VNO 69.90 0.05 30 3.818 D- 8.4 WashingtnPrm WPG 5.50 0.14 -42 18.230 B+ 31.9 Washington WRE 25.74 -0.46 -35 4.786 B 30.3 Weingarten WRI 29.61 0.10 -52 5.395 A 77.9 Welltower WELL 77.21 0.16 -26 4.518 C+ 38.4 Weyerhaus WY 25.65 -0.26 -25 5.32 C+ 6.3 WheelerReit WHLR 1.64 0.02 -90 ..

    85 B 14.5 Whitestone WSR 14.09 -0.01 -37 8.192 B+ 75.3 WPCarey WPC 75.49 0.34 -56 5.562 E 11.4 WstrnAsset WMC 9.93 0.07 -44 12.524 C 25.9 XeniaHotel XHR 18.60 -0.35 -49 5.9

    Key Financial And Commodity Futures

    BY BLOOMBERG NEWS

    Fear is turning into exuberance incredit markets.

    Demand for U.S. corporate bondshassurgedaftertheFederalReservesignaled that it’s done raising inter-est rates for now and eased investorconcerns that rate hikes will chokeoffeconomicgrowthandcrimpprof-its. High-yield bonds gained 4.9%thisyear through Thursday, the beststart to a year since 2009, and sawthe biggest fund inflows last weeksinceJuly2016.

    High-grade bonds on Thursdayreached their highest levels sincelate 2017, according to BloombergBarclays index data. For new offer-ings, investors this week put in sixor eight times as many orders asthere are securities for sale, abouttwoorthreetimes theusual levelsofoversubscription. Strategists at JP-Morgan ChaseJPM and Bank ofAmericaBAC think there’s a lowerchance of a recession now, and havebeengrowingmorebullishoncorpo-ratedebt,at least for thenearterm.

    “There was a dovish surprise,”said Gene Tannuzzo, deputy globalhead of fixed income for ColumbiaThreadneedle Investments, whichmanages $485 billion. There arestill risks for credit, including slow-ing global growth. But the Fed’sshift “should be positive for credit,and that’s what we’ve seen: de-mand is coming back into highyield and investment grade.”

    Theriskiestofassetshavebeenral-lying the most. Bonds rated in theCCC tier, at least seven levels belowinvestment-grade, have gained5.7% so far this year through Thurs-day, according to Bloomberg Bar-clays index data. Clear ChannelOutdoor HoldingsCCO, a billboard

    company, sold $2.24 billion of notesrated CCC+ as it gets ready to sepa-rate from iHeartMedia, the bank-rupt radio broadcaster that owns it,which was the largest offering atthis rating level since September.

    It’s not clear how long the partywill last. The easy money has al-ready been made in the securities,wrote Morgan Stanley strategistsled by Adam Richmond in a notedated Jan. 25. Risk premiums, orspreads, often start widening to-ward the end of the rate hike cycleas economic growth slows. Theycontinue deteriorating as the Fedswitches over to cutting rates, thestrategists said.

    “For the long-term investor, youstill have to think about what yourbonds are worth in different envi-ronments like a weaker economyor a much more hawkish Fed,” saidBill Zox, chief investment officer offixed income at Diamond Hill Capi-tal Management, which overseesabout $21 billion.

    Leveraged lending is the mosthazardous part of banks’ syndicat-ed loan portfolios, because so muchdebt has been piled on weaker com-panies, banking regulators cau-tioned last month. Lending agree-ments are giving less protections toinvestors, which means that whenloans go bad investors might endup recovering just 50 cents on thedollar, down from historical levelscloserto 80 cents, UBS credit strate-gist Matthew Mish said at the endof January.

    And there are early signs that eco-nomic growth may be deteriorat-ing. Global exports shrank in Janu-ary for the second consecutivemonth, and countries from Chinato Germany are reporting weak-ness in manufacturing activity.

    S&P COMP. INDEX Mar 19 PRICE MO %F=83.3 %S=88.6 CLOSE 2706.30OPEN INTEREST 62002CME

    MINI DOW JONES Mar 19 PRICE MO %F=83.7 %S=88.1 CLOSE 250.81OPEN INTEREST 80615CBOT

    10 YEAR TREASURY Mar 19 PRICE MO %F=64.3 %S=47.6 CLOSE 122-12OPEN INTEREST 3975421CBOT

    BRITISH POUND Mar 19 PRICE MO %F=35.3 %S=49.6 CLOSE 1.2956OPEN INTEREST 190663IMM

    JAPANESE YEN Mar 19 PRICE MO %F=17.2 %S=19.3 CLOSE 0.9134OPEN INTEREST 187216 in 100thIMM

    EURO Mar 19 PRICE MO %F=29.6 %S=42.5 CLOSE 1.1356OPEN INTEREST 513795CME

    MINI NASDAQ 100 Mar 19 PRICE MO %F=79.1 %S=82 CLOSE 6916.00OPEN INTEREST 209675CME

    US TREASURY BONDS Mar 19 PRICE MO %F=58.8 %S=50.3 CLOSE 146-28OPEN INTEREST 948191CBOT

    US DOLLAR INDEX Mar 19 PRICE MO %F=77.8 %S=63 CLOSE 96.41OPEN INTEREST 55278ICE

    MEXICAN PESO Mar 19 PRICE MO %F=52.8 %S=53.1 CLOSE 0.5218OPEN INTEREST 223810 in 10thIMM

    SWISS FRANC Mar 19 PRICE MO %F=13.3 %S=12.7 CLOSE 1.0034OPEN INTEREST 70153IMM

    EURODOLLARS Dec 19 PRICE MO %F=69.3 %S=61.1 CLOSE 97.38OPEN INTEREST 1707255IMM

    COCOA May 19 PRICE MO %F=27.8 %S=23.4 CLOSE 2235.0OPEN INTEREST 76020ICE

    GAS BLEND Mar 19 PRICE MO %F=65.4 %S=58.9 CLOSE 1.4464OPEN INTEREST 116600NYM

    WHEAT Mar 19 PRICE MO %F=45.2 %S=54.3 CLOSE 5.17¼OPEN INTEREST 172918CBOT

    SOYBEAN OIL May 19 PRICE MO %F=92.2 %S=90.6 CLOSE 31.19OPEN INTEREST 156795CBOT

    LUMBER Mar 19 PRICE MO %F=83.4 %S=89.2 CLOSE 419.10OPEN INTEREST 1828CME

    CANADIAN DOLLAR Mar 19 PRICE MO %F=47.9 %S=61.6 CLOSE 0.7542OPEN INTEREST 134136IMM

    R Acc 52-Wk Closing Vol% %S Dis High Stock Symbol Price Chg Chg Yld

    R Acc 52-Wk Closing Vol% %S Dis High Stock Symbol Price Chg Chg Yld

    ORANGE JUICE Mar 19 PRICE MO %F=63.4 %S=54.6 CLOSE 120.95OPEN INTEREST 13865ICE

    COTTON 2 Mar 19 PRICE MO %F=25.7 %S=41.9 CLOSE 72.55OPEN INTEREST 85844ICE

    SOYBEAN MEAL Mar 19 PRICE MO %F=9.8 %S=14.2 CLOSE 306.10OPEN INTEREST 146492CBOT

    PLATINUM Apr 19 PRICE MO %F=43.6 %S=55.4 CLOSE 802.50OPEN INTEREST 75468NYM

    NIKKEI 225 AVGS. Mar 19 PRICE MO %F=49.6 %S=68.3 CLOSE 20305OPEN INTEREST 8CME

    5 YEAR TREASURY Mar 19 PRICE MO %F=84.4 %S=83.8 CLOSE 114-26OPEN INTEREST 4317852CBOT

    Corporate Bonds On Fire:Dovish Fed Soothes Nerves

    REITS continued from B10

    Money RatesPrime Rate: .................................. 5.50Base interest rate charged by major U.S.commercial banks on loans to corpora-tions.

    Discount Rate:Primary ................................................... 3.00

    Secondary ............................................. 3.25

    Rate charged by Federal Reserve Systemon loans to depository institutions

    Broker Call Loan Rate: ................ 3.50Rate charged on short-term loans tobrokerage dealers backed by securities.

    Federal Funds Effective Rate: ....... 2.40Rates on overnight loans amongfinancial institutions.

    Certificates of Deposit:3 months ........................................... 0.506 months ........................................... 0.731 year ................................................. 1.45

    Interest rate paid by dealers for certifi-cates of deposit based on the duration ofthe security.

    Jumbo CDs:1 month ............................................. 0.323 months ........................................... 0.55

    6 months ........................................... 0.761 year ................................................. 1.33

    London Interbank Offered Rate:3 months ............................................ 2.736 months ............................................ 2.79

    1 year ................................................. 2.96The average of rates paid on dollardeposits.

    Treasury Bill Auction Results:3-months (as of Feb. 4) .................. 2.3856-months (as of Feb. 4) ................... 2.44

    Average discount rate for Treasury billsin minimum units on $10,000.

    Treasury Bill:1-year, (as of Feb. 4) ........................ 2.55

    Annualized rate on weekly average basis,yield adjusted for constant maturity.

    REITs

    INVESTOR'S BUSINESS DAILY FUTURES & BONDS WEEK OF FEBRUARY 11, 2019 B19