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    given what arx called the poverty and restricted consump tion of the masses

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    344

    From Prophecy to Prediction

    ruptcy

    of less efficient capitalists;

    increased exploitation and increased

    mechanisation thus engendered a solid

    and violently resentful working class,

    ultimately capable of taking its destiny

    into its own hands: What the bour-

    geoisie produces above all, are its

    own grave-diggers.

    Proletarian bitterness reached a peak

    with an economic crisis when an un-

    usually large number of workers would

    be unemployed and the lot of those

    remaining in work was scarcely more

    enviable than that of those without.

    Moreover, it was in an economic crisis

    that the restrictive character of the

    capitalist relations ofproduction became

    most apparent, for when the capitalist

    saw no prospect of profit, the logic of

    the system obliged him to shut down

    his works and to lay off his men. Marx

    further insisted that it was only the

    restricting rationale of capitalist produc-

    tion which wastefully allowed un-

    employment to be the consequence of

    technological innovation. But just as

    bourgeois) man had broken through

    the restrictions imposed upon human

    creative potential by feudal society,

    so proletarian) man would break

    through those imposed by bourgeois

    society.

    Although exploited and oppressed,

    the workers are brought by the impera-

    tives of capitalist production into close

    contact with each other. This fact,

    coupled with the relative ease of the

    communication of ideas in modern

    society, facilitates the formation of a

    united proletariat as a history-making

    force, conscious of its degraded position

    within the system, knowing who its

    class enemies are, and realising that it

    can liberate itself by revolution. Indeed,

    Marx writes in the Communist Mani-

    festo of the organisation of the pro-

    letarians

    into a political party,

    arguing at the same time that non-

    proletarian men of ideas such as himself

    and Engels could hasten this process

    by revealing to the proletarians the

    nature of the system whose victims

    they were: Just as, therefore, at an

    earlier period, a section of the nobility

    went over to the bourgeoisie, so now a

    portion of the bourgeoisie goes over to

    the proletariat, and in particular, a

    portion of the bourgeois ideologists,

    who have raised themselves to the level

    of comprehending theoretically the

    historical movement as a whole.

    Marxs own theoretical comprehen-

    sion of history indicated that there

    could be no flinching from the emerg-

    ing struggle between capital and

    labour, and he urged other intellec-

    tuals who sympathised with the prole-

    tarian cause to recognise that this

    struggle was inescapable. In reality,

    he wrote in

    The German Ideology,

    the

    actual property owners stand on one

    side and the propertyless communist

    proletarians on the other. This opposi-

    tion becomes keener day by day and is

    rapidly driving to a crisis. If the

    theoretical representatives of the prole-

    tariat wish their literary activity to

    have any practical effect, they must

    first and foremost insist that all phrases

    be swept aside which tend to dim the

    realisation of the sharpness of this

    opposition,

    all phrases tending to

    conceal this opposition and giving the

    bourgeois a chance to approach the

    communists for safetys sake on the

    strength of their philanthropic enthusi-

    asms. The Communists therefore

    aimed not at any kind of accommoda-

    tion with the bourgeoisie, but at the

    dictatorship of the proletariat.

    Now the dictatorship of the prole-

    tariat was the outcome of the seizure

    of power by the proletariat. This

    hitherto oppressed mass would use

    political power as it had been used in

    previous eras: to coerce the enemies

    of the ruling class. But the dictatorship

    of the proletariat, unlike any previous

    regime, would oppress only a small and

    diminishing minority in society and

    would gradually disappear as the

    remaining enemies of the proletariat

    disappeared. Thus Marx was able to

    envisage a society in which as he

    FUTURES August 1974

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    From Propheg to Prediction/Conferences

    345

    puts it in the Manifesto the public

    power will lose its political character;

    he believed that a society unbedevilled

    by class-divisions would be able to

    dispense with politics, and would evolve

    non-coercive ways of arriving at, and

    of implementing, the public decisions

    about priorities, allocation of resources,

    etc, which any modern society had to

    make. As well as the elimination of

    politics as thus understood), post-

    revolution society would also see the

    control of all production concen-

    trated in the hands of a vast association

    of the whole nation, an arrangement

    which would make possible a more

    rational exploitation of Natures re-

    sources, together with an equitable

    distribution of the proceeds. From the

    standpoint of a higher form of

    society, Marx declared in Capital III,

    private ownership of the globe by

    single individuals will appear quite as

    absurd as private ownership of one

    man by another. Production would

    be expanded and would be free from

    the insane fluctuations characteristic

    of capitalist society. And the impact of

    the division of labour would be sub-

    stantially mitigated by encouraging

    the worker to undertake a plurality of

    functions, involving both manual and

    intellectual skills, in a single day, thus

    producing what Marx called in Capital

    I

    the greatest possible development

    of his varied aptitudes.

    It has become a notorious paradox

    that the areas where men claiming

    intellectual descent from Marx have

    come to power are not the economic-

    ally-advanced areas indicated by his

    own analysis. This analysis suggests

    that in general the proletarian revolu-

    tion can succeed only where the capita-

    list mode of production has run its

    course

    and exhausted its creative

    potential. Thus in what is often regarded

    as his definitive theoretical statement,

    The Preface to the Critique of Political

    Economy 1859), Marx wrote that no

    social order ever perishes before all

    the productive forces for which there

    is room in it have developed; and new,

    higher relations of production never

    appear before the material conditions

    of their existence have matured in the

    womb of the old society itself. There-

    fore mankind always sets itself only such

    tasks as it can solve . . . Now it can

    scarcely be argued that capitalism had

    run its course in Russia in 1917, or in

    China in 1949; but in these instances

    history would not wait, even for the

    Red Terrorist Doctor himself.

    ONFEREN ES

    Second European meeting on cybernetics and

    systems research

    de Cybernetique. These occasions are

    proving a useful clearing house for

    trends within the systems movement as

    they attract up to 200 delegates from

    Europe and the Americas and cover

    most aspects of systems research. Re-

    porting on such a meeting is difficult

    as the four parallel sessions encom-

    passed nine sections ranging through

    Systems Theory General 10, Techno-

    logical 13),* Biocybernetics 19), Cog-

    *

    Numbers refer to the number of papers in each

    section.

    A

    list of authors and papers mentioned

    in the report appears on p. 348.

    VIENNA 16-19 April 1974

    Organised by the Austrian Society

    for Cybernetic Studies

    With commendable enthusiasm the

    Vienna

    Systems Circle held its

    second biennial European meeting

    under the benign patronage of the

    Federal Minister of Science and Re-

    search, and in association with the

    Society for General Systems Research

    as well as the Association Internationale

    FUTURES August I@74

    E