gender effects of the crisis on labor market in six...
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Gender effects of the crisis on labor market in six European countries
OECD meeting, 06-20-2011
Hélène Périvier Marion Cochard et Gérard Cornilleau
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I. Introduction
II. Trends on labor markets
III. Analysis of the crisis by industry and occupational sex segregation
IV. Concluding Remarks
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I. Introduction
• Starting point : Men were particularly affected by unemployment during the crisis in most developed economies
an opportunity for gender equality and for strengthen women economic empowerment?
1. Gender effects of the crisis on employment? 2. Explanation of this gender effect…
• Researches on gender analysis of crisis are scarce • Data :
Data are available until 2009 for the main indicators, until 2010Q3 for some indicators (sources : OECD, Eurostat, Insee EE, ILO)
No gendered statistics concerning wages and income by now.
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I. Introduction
II. Trends on labor markets
III. Analysis of the crisis by industry and occupational sex segregation
IV. Concluding Remarks
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Source : OCDE -8
-4
0
4
8
12
16
1976 1978 1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010
Unemployment rate : difference between women and men
France Germany
Italy Spain
Sweden United Kingdom
5
Trends on labor market (1/4)
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Gender gap in the labor force participation rate
0.00
5.00
10.00
15.00
20.00
25.00
30.00
35.00
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Germany Spain France Italy Sweden United Kingdom
Trends on labor market (2/4)
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-30
-25
-20
-15
-10
-5
0
5
10
Men Women Men Women Men Women Men Women Men Women Men Women
Germany Spain France Italy Sweden United Kingdom
Employment growth between 2008 Q1 and 2010 Q1 : contributions of the different levels of education
Tertiary education
Upper secondary and post-secondary non tertiary education
Pre-primary , primary and lower secondary education
Source : Eurostat
Trends on labor market (3/4)
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→ male employment has been much more affected by the
recession than female employment
decrease of the gender gap unemployment rate
increase in female graduate employment
stability of the gender gaps in part time work
increase in older workers labor force participation
young workers were the most affected by the crisis (Employment outlook, 2010, OECD).
8
II. Trends on labor market (4/4)
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I. Introduction
II. Trends on labor markets
III. Analysis of the crisis by industry and occupational sex segregation
IV. Concluding Remarks
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Why a gendered impact of the crisis? Women as flexible reserve of labor force
Substitution hypothesis : during crisis « cheap labor force » is
searched
Occupational sex segregation hypothesis
The secondary worker effect : during crisis if one partners lost his job, it is an incentive for the second one to increase her participation to the labor market (extensive or intensive labor supply)
10
III. Crisis and occupational sex segregation (1/2)
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All labor markets in developed economies are characterized by a occupational sex segregation :
• Women are over represented in social, education, care industries
• Men are over represented in manufacturing and construction industries
11
III. Crisis and occupational sex segregation (1/10)
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Source : ILO
0
20
40
60
80
100
Percentage of women in employment in different sectors, in 2008
France
Germany
Italy
Spain
Sweden
United Kingdom
Industry Private services Public services
12
III. Crisis and occupational sex segregation (2/10)
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→ All labor market in developed economies are characterized by a occupational sex segregation :
• Women are over represented in social, education, care industries
• Men are over represented in manufacturing and construction industries
→ The labor force participation of women is positively linked to the occupational sex segregation of labor market
13
III. Crisis and occupational sex segregation (3/10)
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Sex segregation indicator and female labour force participation rate
in 2007
Australia
AustriaBelgium
Bulgaria
Canada
Croatia
Cyprus
Czech Republic
Denmark
Estonia
Finland
France
Georgia
Germany
Greece
Hungary
Iceland
Ireland
Israel
Italy
Japan
Latvia
Lithuania
Luxembourg
Malta
Netherlands
New Zealand
Norway
Poland Portugal
Romania
Russian Federation
Serbia
Slovakia
Slovenia
Spain
Sweden
Switzerland
United Kingdom
United States
R2 = 0,3088
9
11
13
15
17
19
21
35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85
Sex segregation
Labour force
participatio
Source : ILO; calculation by authors
III. Crisis and occupational sex segregation (4/10)
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→ the current crisis has affected manufacturing and construction industries where :
• Men are overrepresented
• Temporary employment is widespread (flexible labor force)
• Within services industries, the crisis has affected the sub-industries where men are over-represented
15
III. Crisis and occupational sex segregation (5/10)
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Variation of employment during the crisis by industry et according to the share of women in each industryin France
Water, gas, energy, waste collection
Manufacture of food and tabacco products and beverages
coke and refined petroleom product
Manufacture of machinery and equipement, electrical equipement,
computer
Manufacture of motos vehicules, trailers, and semi trailers
Manufacture of others products
Construction Wholesale and retail trade; repair of motor vehicles and motorcycles
Transporting and storage
Accomodation and food service activities
Information and communication
Financial and insurance activities
Real estate activities
Professional, scientific and technical activities
Administrative and support service activities, education, human health social
work activities (except civil services)Others service activities (except
extraterritotial activities)
200,0
150,0
100,0
-50,0
0,0
50,0
100,0
0,0% 10,0% 20,0% 30,0% 40,0% 50,0% 60,0% 70,0% 80,0%
Share of women in the private employment for each industry
Variation of employment between Q1- 2008 and Q2-2010 (in thousand)
source : Insee
III. Crisis and occupational sex segregation (6/10)
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Variation of employment during the crisis in the services industry according to the share of women in each industryin France
Activities of households as em
Arts, entertainement and recreation
Residential nursing care activities
human health social work activities
Education
Public administration
Administrative and support service activities
Other professional, scientific and technical activities
Scientific research adn development
Legal and accounting activities ; architectural and engineering activities
Financial and insurance activities
Information service activities
Telecommunications
Publishing,, video, radio programming
Accomodation and food service activities
Transports et entreposage
Wholesale and retail trade; repair of motor vehicles and motorcycles
-140,0
-120,0
-100,0
-80,0
-60,0
-40,0
-20,0
0,0
20,0
40,0
60,0
20,0% 30,0% 40,0% 50,0% 60,0% 70,0% 80,0% 90,0% 100Share of women in the private employment for each in
Variation of employment between Q1- 2008 and Q2-2010 (in thousand)
Source: Insee
III. Crisis and occupational sex segregation (7/10)
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→ shift and share analysis of the variation of employment in order to distinguish inside the evolution of women's employment :
1. what is due to the change in employment inside each industries,
2. of what is due to the evolution of the share of women in each industries
18
III. Crisis and occupational sex segregation (8/10)
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III. Crisis and occupational sex segregation (9/10)
-0.58%
-9.05%
-1.03%
-2.00%
-2.43%
0.73%
-3.44%
-0.13%
-1.09% -1.37%
0.25%
-3.60%
-0.23%
-0.98%
-1.32%
0.53% 0.23% 0.12%
-0.14% -0.05%
-10.00%
-8.00%
-6.00%
-4.00%
-2.00%
0.00%
2.00%
Germany Spain France Italy Sweden
Shift and share analysis of the evolution of employment during the crisis in six European countries (2008-2009)
Men
Women
Effect of employment variation
Effect of the variation of the share of women
source : Eurostat
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Conclusions of the shift and share analysis: the effect of the change in the distribution of women
by industries is low
the variation of employment by industries explains much of the variation in female employment
→ the occupational sex segregation of the labor market explains most of the gender impact of the current crisis on
employment
20
III. Crisis and occupational sex segregation (10/10)
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I. Introduction
II. Trends on labor markets
III. Analysis of the crisis by industry and occupational sex segregation
IV. Concluding Remarks
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IV. Concluding remarks
Male employment is more sensitive to economic shocks than women’s one Women are stuck in a second labor market
→ 2nd round of the crisis with the
austerity plan
22