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  • 7/30/2019 General Sep2320101200 PCBC-Gen-Y in the Marketplace - Underwood-6!17!09 [Compatibility Mode]

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    Generation Y in the Marketplace

    PCBC | June 17, 2009Terrye Underwood, Senior Principal

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    ABOUT OUR FIRM

    RCLCO is a leading real estateSERVICESCorporate Strategic

    intelligence, strategy, andMarket & EconomicResearchProject Segmentation,

    industry since 1967Positioning & Pricing

    Fiscal and Economic

    Impact Analysis

    Acquisi tion & Disposit ionStrategies

    Workouts & Restructuring

    Transaction, Structuring &Investment Analysis

    Asset Management

    11

    eve opmen erv ces

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    GEN Y HAS THE LARGEST SHARE OF THE U.S.POPULATION, FOLLOWED BY BABY BOOMERS

    How Many?Gen Y: 80 Million

    What are the doin in the REVast majority renting.

    market? homes in 2012+

    Where do they want to go?

    n own areas, c ose owork, mixed-use

    environments

    2

    SOURCE: RCLCO Consumer Research

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    GENERATION Y: AT A GLANCE

    Who: Ages 13- 30 in 2009 (born in 79 through 96)

    Likes: Free content, telecommuting, everything social," ",

    Dislikes: Anonymous mass-marketing, beaten paths,restricted access

    The most connected generation in our history Constant flows of information

    Highly productive, but place critical importance onbalancing work and life g va ue pace on s ayng connec e w ren s

    and family

    Hobbies: Googling, social networking, supporting acause, creating global change

    Hangouts: Facebook, Mom and Dad's place, dive bars,all-age shows

    Tap that wallet!: $200 billion in annual earning power

    3

    an growngSOURCE: Iconoculture, RCLCO

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    GEN Y IS OUTWARD LOOKING AND CIVIC-MINDED

    Gen Y is the most civic-minded generation

    61% of 13- to 25-year olds feelpersonally responsible for making adifference in the world;

    81% have volunteered in the past year

    Gen Y will want these values to extend into

    the corporate structure of their builder ordevelo e

    69% consider a company's social andenvironmental commitment whendeciding where to shop; and These numbers reflect the can-do spiri t

    w rus a company more ssocially/environmentally responsiblepopulation(theyre) volunteering at alevel and intensity we havent seen since

    the 1940s (Howe & Strauss, 2005)

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    SOURCE: USA Weekend, 2005 and Cone, Inc. 2006

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    GEN Y REPRESENTS EARNING POWER OF $200BILLION ANNUALLY AND GROWING

    Generation Y Baby Boom

    o ay s

    Population

    ~ on ~ m on

    % TodaysPo ulation

    30% 25%

    % earn above$75,000

    35% 40%

    Earning ~$200 Billion ~$2 Trillion

    Overall, it is estimated that Generation Y

    power

    in luences as much as hal o all spending inthe U.S. economy

    Gen X earning power, by comparison,

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    SOURCE: Harris Interactive and the U.S. Census

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    GRADUATES ELIGIBLE FOR THE RENTAL MARKETIN 2009; BUYING COULD ACCELERATE IN 2012

    4,100,000

    4,200,000WAVE OF GEN Y

    3,800,000

    3,900,000

    , ,

    3,500,000

    3,600,000

    , , should begin in

    2012

    3,400,000

    2000

    2001

    2002

    2003

    2004

    2005

    2006

    2007

    2008

    2009

    2010

    2011

    2012

    2013

    2014

    2015

    2016

    2017

    2018

    2019

    2020

    Number of 22-Year Olds

    41% of Generation Y plan to rent for at least threeyears

    6

    NOTE: Number of 22-year olds is based upon birth rate and does not factor in death rates and migration.SOURCE: U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention; RCLCO Consumer Research

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    RCLCO GEN Y CONSUMER RESEARCH

    ~80 Mil lion = Gen Y (and ~ 52 mill ion Gen X)

    Representative of census regions Received approximately 3,200 survey responses 50% of those surveyed were Gen Y and 50% were

    Studied Gen Y individuals who were 20-28 years oldat the time of the survey

    Survey was made up of: Renters Owners Future Shoppers

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    INTEREST IN CLOSE-IN NEIGHBORHOODS ISHIGHEST

    Location:

    -followed by urban locations

    Those in the Northeast have the leastinterest in moving to urban locations and

    -

    Most interest in cities is in the Southregion

    Of those movin to cities, most arechoosing to do it in the South

    Much of this is likely due to affordabilityissues

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    SOURCE: RCLCO Consumer Research

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    GEN Y WILL PAY FOR WALKABLE, MIXED-USE

    Walkability:

    Driven by convenience, connectivity, and ahealthy work-life balance to maintainrelationships

    1/3 wil l pay more to walk to shops, work,and entertainment

    is important

    More than 1/2 of Gen Y would trade lotsize for proximity to shopping or to work

    Even among families with children, 1/3 ormore are willing to trade lot size and idealhomes for walkable, diverse communities

    prefer characteristics of urban places,particularly walkable environments

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    SOURCE: RCLCO Consumer Research

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    FAMILY CHANGES AND NEEDS

    Family Changes:

    once they have kids

    Only half are confident they will need a single-familyhome once they have kids

    Improving schools is the highest community priority formore than half of Gen Y

    Diversity is key. Gen Y wants diversity in housingtypes, styles, groups of people, and householdcomposition.

    Over half report that having a community and homedesigned to meet certain "green" objectives plays animportant role in their purchase or renting decision.

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    SOURCE: RCLCO Consumer Research

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    GREATEST PREFERENCE FOR SINGLE-FAMILYHOMES ON SMALL LOTS

    Product Types:

    35% prefer a SFD on a small lot

    - However, given the choice between thistype of home and the ability to walk butwith a smaller lot, 71% choose the

    - Families will sacrifice yard, but nothome quality/space

    11% want a condominium

    10% prefer townhomes

    While Gen Y prefers SFD, the majority donot yet have the resources to afford this

    housing to remain popular with this group

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    SOURCE: RCLCO Consumer Research

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    CHANGING CONSUMER PREFERENCESINCREASING PREFERENCE FOR DENSE PRODUCTS

    Housing Preferences

    United States

    Preferred Housing Type ExistingPreference Share of FutureDemand GEN Y DEMAND**

    Attached Housing 25.4% 38% 34%

    Apartments 14% 13%

    Condominiums 9% 11%

    Townhomes 15% 10%Small-Lot DetachedHousing (< 1.6 Acre)

    20.5% 37% 35%

    Large-Lot DetachedHousing

    54.2% 25% 31%

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    SOURCE: Arthur C. Nelson et. Al, Leadership in a New Era, 2006** RCLCO Consumer Research 2008

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    LIFESTYLE AND LOCATION IS REQUIRED FORWORK-LIFE BALANCE

    Gen Y:

    ees wor - e a ance or wor - e en as

    important. Theyll work from home, enrolltheir kids in their companys in-house daycare, and enjoy portable careers

    Are multitaskers - theyll get the job done,and theyll probably do it in less time, butnot at the expense of balance

    50% will choose a less-than-ideal home ifthey can walk to work allows for shortercommutes and more me time

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    SOURCE: Franciscan Skemp Health Care and Gundersen Lutheran Medical Center

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    AMENITIES REDEFINED; MORE FOCUS ONWORK/LIFE BALANCE

    Amenities:

    Given the interest in community involvement andwork/life balance, the amenities Gen Y values

    most are in contrast to much of what is beingdeveloped today:

    - Librar ;

    - Restaurant or caf;

    - Main street village;

    -

    - Fitness center.

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    SOURCE: RCLCO Consumer Research

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    IMPLICATIONS

    Intown areas and inner suburbs will remain on an

    Diversity, walkablity, and proximity to jobs will bekeys to site selection and premiums

    Renters will represent a steady stream of demand

    Gen Y will shift toward homeownership in 2012

    Product types will remain smaller and affordable

    and should have focus on design over size

    The suburbs will need to evolve to remainattractive to Gen Y

    More walkable areas, including new andexistin town centers

    Master-planned communities with greatervariety of product types and higher connectivity

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    SOURCE: RCLCO Consumer Research

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    IMPLICATIONS

    What locations can you leverage or purchase forfuture development?

    How does this chan e our marketin messa e?

    What modifications can be made to current orplanned communities to make this more

    appealing to Gen Y?ow oes s a ec your curren s ra egy

    Are you prepared for the wave?

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    SOURCE: RCLCO Consumer Research

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    Generation Y in the Marketplace

    PCBC | June 17, 2009Terrye Underwood, Senior Principal