The German Energy Transition

How Does It Work and What Does It Mean for Jordan?

25 September 2012

Days Inn Hotel Amman

Status Quo and Potential

Raouf Dabbas

Electrical Energy Consumption

Water

Pumping

15%Street lighting

2%

Industrial

27%Commercial

17%

Household

39%

2008

Industrial

Street lighting

Transport

Houshold

Commercial

Water pumping

`30%

20%30%

20%20%

Energy saving per sector:

66%

1%

32%

1%

Oil & Oil Products Renewable Energy

Natural Gas Imported Electricity

Primary Energy

0100020003000400050006000700080009000

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

Domestic Commercial IndustrialService Water pumping Street lighting

Sectorial Electricity Consumption Forecast (GWh)

12079

16773

13252

0

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

12000

14000

16000

18000

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

years

Pri

ma

ry E

ne

rgy

Fo

rec

as

t (1

00

0 t

oe

)

Total Primary Energy

Primary Energy with Energy Efficiency measures

Primary Energy with Energy Efficiency & Renewable Energy

Hypothetical Energy Use

Primary Energy Demand Forecast & the Contribution of EE and RE in Energy Mix

Where do we go from here?

Transport Industry Household Commercial Waterpumping

Streetlighting

1,037

829

642

450

593

474

391

313

86 60 14 10

Savings of 20 - 30% of final energy consumption per sector represents a reduction in

annual energy cost of Jordan of about 620 million JOD*ca. -200

Co

st o

f en

ergy

co

nsu

med

20

08

in m

illio

n J

OD

Cost of energy consumed inmillion JOD 2008

Cost of energy consumed in millionJOD incl. energy-efficiency measuresto save x% of 2008 consumptionca. -190

ca. -120

ca. -80

ca. -25 ca. -5

-x m.JOD

Cost savings in million JOD dueto sector-specific (NERC)energy savings**

* Internal estimations (Ministry of Environment/ CIM)** Calculated by applying the sectors’ share in final energy consumption to the total cost of consumed energy (2008=2,763 Million JOD; MEMR-Facts & Figures)

-20%energy savings

-30%energy savings

-20%energy savings

-20%energy savings

-30%energy savings

Direct Solar Irradiance in EUMENA in kWh/m²/y

1 km² is enough to desalinate 165,000 m³/day.50 km x 50 km are needed to avoid the MENA water deficit in 2050.

Solar irradiance 2400 kWh/m²/year x 10 % CSP efficiency / 4 kWh/m³ RO power consumption / 365 days/year = 0.165 m³/m²/day

powerwaterDesert area required for:

Annual average windspeed :

The Green Economy Sectors in Jordan

A system of economic activities related to the production, distribution and consumption of goods and services that result in improved human well-being over the long term, while not exposing future generations to environmental risks and ecological scarcities.

Agriculture Building Cities

Energy Finance Forest

Manufacturing

Tourism Transport Waste Water Modeling

Enabling Conditions

Policy recommended incentives

Thank you