global broadband futures: chorus
TRANSCRIPT
Global Broadband Futures 13 November 2017
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Premises to be passed by Chorus by Dec 2022
~1,054,000*
Customers able to connect by rollout end
~1.36 million
-
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
100,000
120,000
140,000
FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23
Chorus rollout schedule – indicative only*
UFB1 UFB2 & UFB2+
* UFB1 build ends Dec 2019 and UFB2 build ends Dec 2022. Detailed scheduling for UFB2 & UFB2+ to be completed by end 2017.
FIBRE EXTENDED TO 87% OF POPULATION
> The Government announced extensions to the UFB1 rollout in January and September 2017
▪ fibre to reach another ~12% of population across ~370 towns and rural communities
▪ Chorus has increased its share of these additional UFB phases
Premises passed
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NEW ZEALAND IS TAKING FIBRE FURTHER…
> From Auckland, New Zealand’s largest city
▪ population: 1.495m (2016)
> To Ahaura, in the South Island’s West Coast
▪ population: 370 (2013)
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60Mbps avg. connection
speed, doubled in 18
months
Data on the network has
doubled in 18 months
Fibre to the home
connections doubled in 18
months
Growth
7
145Mbps top speed on FTTn, double VDSL2 launch speed
50% more data on FTTn than
fibre network at peak hour
60,000 VDSL migrations in last 3 months
Growth
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MIGRATION CAPACITY
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MIGRATION
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VDSL
Fibre
TODAY
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2012
2017
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
0
200,000
400,000
600,000
800,000
1,000,000
1,200,000
1,400,000
May-11 Nov-11 May-12 Nov-12 May-13 Nov-13 May-14 Nov-14 May-15 Nov-15 May-16 Nov-16 May-17
Ave
rage
Co
nn
ecti
on
Sp
eed
(M
bp
s)
Act
ive
Co
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ecti
on
s
ADSL ADSL2+ VDSL2 GPON Average Connection Speed 12
CONNECTION SPEED
> With 53% of broadband connections now on VDSL or fibre, average broadband speed has increased from 33Mbps in Sept 16 to 60Mbps in Oct 17.
Q1 FY18 CONNECTIONS UPDATE
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CAPACITY
Chorus network traffic by time of day
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Screenshots from Ubiquiti Unifi Application
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Connection Speed vs. Data Usage
50Mbps25Mbps
100Mbps
1Gbps
ADSL2 VDSL2 FIBRE
200Mbps
Vodafone TVDisk-less Set Top Box and IR Remote
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Connection Speed vs. Data Usage – 90th percentile
50Mbps25Mbps
100Mbps
1Gbps
ADSL2 VDSL2 FIBRE
200Mbps
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PEAK HOUR – WHEN CONGESTION FREE REALLY COUNTS
> Peak hour data traffic is growing rapidly
▪ 51% increase in Chorus network traffic at ~9pm between June 2016 and June 2017
▪ TrueNet data shows fixed line broadband (fibre/VDSL/ADSL) delivers consistent performance at peak times
▪ wireless (mobile) networks share capacity, as evidenced by significant video buffering
Rural fixed wireless achieving <60% of median best speed at peak time
Chorus network traffic by time of day
Broadband technology comparison by time of day
Source: TrueNet Urban Broadband Report July 2017
Source: TrueNet Urban and Rural Broadband Reports June 2017
Total Links
May-17 Jun-17 Jul-17 Aug-17 Sep-17 Oct-17
0 - 10% 5,550 4,831 4,448 4,579 4,424 4,454
10 -20% 2,814 2,852 3,012 3,099 3,546 3,538
20 - 30% 1,260 1,243 1,425 1,396 1,655 1,703
30 - 40% 616 653 676 710 898 892
40 - 50% 378 394 420 381 471 490
50 - 60% 187 185 201 161 205 203
60 - 70% 87 73 87 55 73 73
70 - 80% 26 26 33 13 20 21
80 - 90% 6 4 9 4 5 5
90 - 100% 6 7 5 2 4 2
Congestion Free Modern Network
27Screenshots from askforbetter.co.nz and WiFi Sweetspotsapplication
RSP
Our Vision for Broadband
9FY17 RESULT PRESENTATION