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Global sensitivity analysis of multiscale properties of porous materials Kimoon Um, 1 Xuan Zhang, 2 Markos Katsoulakis, 3 Petr Plechac, 4 and Daniel M. Tartakovsky 5,a) 1 Materials and Engineering Program, University of California, San Diego, 9500 Gilman Drive, La Jolla, California 92093, USA 2 Department of Mechanical and Aerospace Engineering, University of California, San Diego, 9500 Gilman Drive, La Jolla, California 92093, USA 3 Department of Mathematics and Statistics, University of Massachusetts, Amherst, Massachusetts 01003, USA 4 Department of Mathematical Sciences, University of Delaware, Newark, Delaware 19702, USA 5 Department of Energy Resources Engineering, Stanford University, 367 Panama Street, Stanford, California 94305, USA (Received 19 October 2017; accepted 3 February 2018; published online 21 February 2018) Ubiquitous uncertainty about pore geometry inevitably undermines the veracity of pore- and multi- scale simulations of transport phenomena in porous media. It raises two fundamental issues: sensi- tivity of effective material properties to pore-scale parameters and statistical parameterization of Darcy-scale models that accounts for pore-scale uncertainty. Homogenization-based maps of pore- scale parameters onto their Darcy-scale counterparts facilitate both sensitivity analysis (SA) and uncertainty quantification. We treat uncertain geometric characteristics of a hierarchical porous medium as random variables to conduct global SA and to derive probabilistic descriptors of effec- tive diffusion coefficients and effective sorption rate. Our analysis is formulated in terms of solute transport diffusing through a fluid-filled pore space, while sorbing to the solid matrix. Yet it is suffi- ciently general to be applied to other multiscale porous media phenomena that are amenable to homogenization. Published by AIP Publishing. https://doi.org/10.1063/1.5009691 I. INTRODUCTION Pore- and Darcy-scale models provide two distinct descriptors of flow and transport in porous media. The for- mer approach relies on relatively few modeling assumptions, but requires the detailed knowledge of a material’s pore structure and is computationally prohibitive unless the num- ber of pores being simulated is small. The latter approach invokes the concept of a representative elementary volume, treating a porous medium as an effective continuum without distinguishing the pore space and the surrounding solid matrix. While they are orders of magnitude faster to solve than their pore-scale counterparts, Darcy-scale models are grounded in a number of simplifying assumptions whose validity is often questionable. 1,2 Upscaling techniques, such as homogenization via multiple-scale expansions 3 or the method of volume averag- ing, 4 allow one to ascertain the applicability of Darcy-scale models both by identifying the necessary and sufficient con- ditions under which their foundational assumptions hold and by relating parameters in these models to pore geometry and operating regime. While many of these approaches formally place restrictions on the regularity of a pore structure (e.g., by requiring it to be periodic), they often yield remarkably robust predictions of macroscopic properties of materials with irregular pore structures with equivalent microscopic characteristics (e.g., porosity, pore-size distribution, and con- nectivity). 3 Recent examples of such studies include Refs. 58 among many others. By mapping microscopic material properties onto their macroscopic counterparts, upscaling approaches of this kind instill confidence in predictions of transport processes in natural (e.g., geologic) porous media 9,10 and facilitate design of new metamaterials. 11,12 For example, since porous electrodes with high surface area have high energy density and, hence, high electrical double- layer capacitance (EDLC), 13 much of recent effort focused on synthesis of nanostructured electrodes with high surface area. 14 However, as specific surface area of nanoporous materials continues to increase, their EDLC cannot be gener- ated at high power density if ions in the electrolyte cannot diffuse fast enough. Attempts to increase ion diffusion by altering electrolyte molecules or salts were shown to adversely change the intrinsic chemical stability. 15 Instead, an observation that ordered nanopores increase ion diffu- sion 16 suggests a multi-objective optimization problem, in which specific surface area and diffusion coefficients are two quantities of interest. One of the least studied aspects of multiscale simula- tions of transport phenomena in porous media is sensitivity of their results to changes in pore geometry. Yet, high sensi- tivity would undermine the generality of a detailed pore- scale investigation based on either computer-generated or imaged pore spaces of a porous material. Likewise, a meta- material’s design that is excessively sensitive to parameters controlling its pore structure is unlikely to be of much practi- cal use. Homogenization-based relationships between pore- scale parameters and their Darcy-scale counterparts facilitate both sensitivity analysis (SA) and uncertainty quantification (UQ) in this multiscale setting. A prevalent UQ framework treats uncertain input parameters as random variables. Within this paradigm, the sensitivity of a model’s prediction to input parameters can be a) Electronic mail: [email protected] 0021-8979/2018/123(7)/075103/8/$30.00 Published by AIP Publishing. 123, 075103-1 JOURNAL OF APPLIED PHYSICS 123, 075103 (2018)

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Page 1: Global sensitivity analysis of multiscale properties of ...maeresearch.ucsd.edu/tartakovsky/Papers/um-2018-global.pdf · Global sensitivity analysis of multiscale properties of porous

Global sensitivity analysis of multiscale properties of porous materials

Kimoon Um,1 Xuan Zhang,2 Markos Katsoulakis,3 Petr Plechac,4

and Daniel M. Tartakovsky5,a)

1Materials and Engineering Program, University of California, San Diego, 9500 Gilman Drive, La Jolla,California 92093, USA2Department of Mechanical and Aerospace Engineering, University of California, San Diego,9500 Gilman Drive, La Jolla, California 92093, USA3Department of Mathematics and Statistics, University of Massachusetts, Amherst, Massachusetts 01003, USA4Department of Mathematical Sciences, University of Delaware, Newark, Delaware 19702, USA5Department of Energy Resources Engineering, Stanford University, 367 Panama Street, Stanford,California 94305, USA

(Received 19 October 2017; accepted 3 February 2018; published online 21 February 2018)

Ubiquitous uncertainty about pore geometry inevitably undermines the veracity of pore- and multi-scale simulations of transport phenomena in porous media. It raises two fundamental issues: sensi-tivity of effective material properties to pore-scale parameters and statistical parameterization ofDarcy-scale models that accounts for pore-scale uncertainty. Homogenization-based maps of pore-scale parameters onto their Darcy-scale counterparts facilitate both sensitivity analysis (SA) anduncertainty quantification. We treat uncertain geometric characteristics of a hierarchical porousmedium as random variables to conduct global SA and to derive probabilistic descriptors of effec-tive diffusion coefficients and effective sorption rate. Our analysis is formulated in terms of solutetransport diffusing through a fluid-filled pore space, while sorbing to the solid matrix. Yet it is suffi-ciently general to be applied to other multiscale porous media phenomena that are amenable tohomogenization. Published by AIP Publishing. https://doi.org/10.1063/1.5009691

I. INTRODUCTION

Pore- and Darcy-scale models provide two distinctdescriptors of flow and transport in porous media. The for-mer approach relies on relatively few modeling assumptions,but requires the detailed knowledge of a material’s porestructure and is computationally prohibitive unless the num-ber of pores being simulated is small. The latter approachinvokes the concept of a representative elementary volume,treating a porous medium as an effective continuum withoutdistinguishing the pore space and the surrounding solidmatrix. While they are orders of magnitude faster to solvethan their pore-scale counterparts, Darcy-scale models aregrounded in a number of simplifying assumptions whosevalidity is often questionable.1,2

Upscaling techniques, such as homogenization viamultiple-scale expansions3 or the method of volume averag-ing,4 allow one to ascertain the applicability of Darcy-scalemodels both by identifying the necessary and sufficient con-ditions under which their foundational assumptions hold andby relating parameters in these models to pore geometry andoperating regime. While many of these approaches formallyplace restrictions on the regularity of a pore structure (e.g.,by requiring it to be periodic), they often yield remarkablyrobust predictions of macroscopic properties of materialswith irregular pore structures with equivalent microscopiccharacteristics (e.g., porosity, pore-size distribution, and con-nectivity).3 Recent examples of such studies include Refs.5–8 among many others. By mapping microscopic materialproperties onto their macroscopic counterparts, upscaling

approaches of this kind instill confidence in predictions oftransport processes in natural (e.g., geologic) porousmedia9,10 and facilitate design of new metamaterials.11,12

For example, since porous electrodes with high surface areahave high energy density and, hence, high electrical double-layer capacitance (EDLC),13 much of recent effort focusedon synthesis of nanostructured electrodes with high surfacearea.14 However, as specific surface area of nanoporousmaterials continues to increase, their EDLC cannot be gener-ated at high power density if ions in the electrolyte cannotdiffuse fast enough. Attempts to increase ion diffusion byaltering electrolyte molecules or salts were shown toadversely change the intrinsic chemical stability.15 Instead,an observation that ordered nanopores increase ion diffu-sion16 suggests a multi-objective optimization problem, inwhich specific surface area and diffusion coefficients are twoquantities of interest.

One of the least studied aspects of multiscale simula-tions of transport phenomena in porous media is sensitivityof their results to changes in pore geometry. Yet, high sensi-tivity would undermine the generality of a detailed pore-scale investigation based on either computer-generated orimaged pore spaces of a porous material. Likewise, a meta-material’s design that is excessively sensitive to parameterscontrolling its pore structure is unlikely to be of much practi-cal use. Homogenization-based relationships between pore-scale parameters and their Darcy-scale counterparts facilitateboth sensitivity analysis (SA) and uncertainty quantification(UQ) in this multiscale setting.

A prevalent UQ framework treats uncertain inputparameters as random variables. Within this paradigm, thesensitivity of a model’s prediction to input parameters can bea)Electronic mail: [email protected]

0021-8979/2018/123(7)/075103/8/$30.00 Published by AIP Publishing.123, 075103-1

JOURNAL OF APPLIED PHYSICS 123, 075103 (2018)

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quantified in terms of relative contributions of variances ofthe input parameters to the prediction’s variance. Such anapproach to SA is often referred as analysis of variance orANOVA; it is global in the sense that, unlike its local coun-terparts, it does not require identification of a base set ofparameter values which is then sequentially perturbed one ata time. ANOVA is well suited for homogenization-basedmultiscale modeling since a base set of parameter valueseither is unknown/unknowable due to pore-scale heterogene-ity of natural (e.g., geologic) materials or has to be identifiedby solving a shape optimization problem (in the case ofmaterial design).

We develop these ideas in the context of multiscalemodeling of reactive solutes diffusing through a (nano)po-rous material, while sorbing to its solid matrix. Pore- andDarcy-scale formulations of this problem are provided inSec. II. A global SA (GSA) of two macroscopic materialproperties, effective diffusion coefficient and effective sorp-tion rate, to microscopic pore-geometric parameters isdescribed in Sec. III. In Sec. IV, we provide simulationresults and discuss their implications for material design.Main conclusions derived from our study are summarized inSec. V.

II. PROBLEM FORMULATION

Consider a volume V ¼ P [ S of a porous material,which comprises the fluid-filled pore space P and the solidmatrix S; the (multi-connected) fluid-solid interface isdenoted by C ¼ P \ S. Following the standard practice inhomogenization theory, we assume that the volume V con-sists of a periodic arrangement of unit cells U ¼ PU [ SUwith the pore space PU , solid matrix SU , and the interfaceCU . Figure 1 provides a typical example of hierarchicalnanoporous materials that exhibit such a structure.

A. Pore-scale model

Let cðx; tÞ ðmol=l3Þ denote solute concentration at apoint x 2 P and time t. Its evolution within the pore space Pis governed by a diffusion equation

@c

@t¼ r $ ðDrcÞ; x 2 P; t > 0; (1)

where spatial variability of the diffusion coefficient D(x)(L2/T) accounts for the possibility of having Fickian diffu-sion in mesopores and Knudsen diffusion in nanotubes (seeFig. 1). Equation (1) is subject to a uniform initial condition

cðx; 0Þ ¼ cin; x 2 P: (2)

A boundary condition at the fluid-solid interface C with unitnormal vector n(x) is constructed from mass conservation,such that the normal component of the solute mass flux,%Dn $rc, is balanced by the rate change of absorbed solute

%Dn $rc ¼ q m@s

@t; x 2 C; t > 0; (3a)

where q ðx; tÞ ¼ q msðx; tÞ is the adsorption amount per unitarea of the C (mol/l2), q m (mol/l2) is the maximal adsorptionamount, and s(x, t) is the fractional coverage of C. The latteris assumed to follow Lagergren’s pseudo-first-order rateequation:17,18

ds

dt¼ cðseq % sÞ; (3b)

where c (1/T) is the adsorption rate constant and the equilib-rium adsorption coverage fraction seq satisfies Langmuir’sadsorption isotherm

seq ¼Kc

1þ Kc; (3c)

with the adsorption equilibrium constant K (l3/mol).

B. Darcy-scale model

Darcy-scale models treat a porous material as a contin-uum, without separating fluid and solid phases. Thus, avolume-averaged concentration,

Cðx; tÞ ' 1

kUk

ð

UðxÞ

cðn; tÞdn ¼ 1

kUk

ð

PU ðxÞ

cðn; tÞdn

¼ /jjPUjj

ð

PU ðxÞ

cðn; tÞdn; x 2 V; (4)

is defined at every “point” x of the material V. Here, jj $ jjindicates the volume of the corresponding domain, and /

FIG. 1. Schematic representation of ahierarchical nanoporous material (left)and its unit cell (right).

075103-2 Um et al. J. Appl. Phys. 123, 075103 (2018)

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' jjPVjj=jjVjj ¼ jjPUjj=jjUjj is the porosity. Generalizingthe homogenization via multiple-scale expansions in Ref. 11to account for spatial variability of D, it is easy to show thatthe Darcy-scale solute concentration C(x,t) satisfies areaction-diffusion equation

/@C

@t¼ r $ ðDeffrCÞ % /q mceff

KC

1þ KC; (5)

where “the effective rate constant” ceff (1/L) is defined inpurely geometric terms

ceff ¼jjCUjjjjPUjj

; (6)

while the effective diffusion coefficient Deff, a second-ranktensor, depends on both pore geometry and pore-scale pro-cesses. Specifically, it is computed as

Deff ¼1

jjUjj

ð

PU

ðIþrnv> Þdn; (7a)

where I is the identity matrix and the closure variable vðnÞ, aU-periodic vector defined on PU , satisfies a Laplace equation

rn $ ðDrnvÞ ¼ 0; n 2 PU ; (7b)

and the normalizing condition

hvi ' 1

jjUjj

ð

PU

vðnÞdn ¼ 0: (7c)

Equation (7b) is subject to the boundary condition along thefluid-solid segments CU ,

n $rnv ¼ %n $ I; n 2 CU ; (7d)

and the U-periodic boundary conditions along the remaining(“fluid”) segments Cf of the boundary of PU . In the case ofthe hierarchical nanoporous material shown in Fig. 1, thesetake the form

v1ð%a; n2Þ ¼ v1ða; n2Þ ¼ 0;

@v1

@n2

ðn1; 0Þ ¼@v1

@n2

ðn1; bÞ ¼ 0; (7e)

and

v2ðn1; 0Þ ¼ v2ðy1; bÞ ¼ 0;

@v2

@n1

ð%a; n2Þ ¼@v2

@n1

ða; n2Þ ¼ 0; (7f)

where a ¼ R cos h and b¼ 2 Rþ l. Here, R is the mesoporeradius; h is the angle of overlap between any two adjacentmesopores in a nano-tunnel, and d and l are, respectively, thediameter and length of nanotubes which serve as nano-bridges between adjacent nano-tunnels.

III. GLOBAL SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS (GSA) ANDUNCERTAINTY QUANTIFICATION

Equations (6) and (7) map the pore-structure parametersp ¼ fR; h; d; lg ' fp1;…; p4g onto the macroscopic materialproperties

Deff ¼ DeffðpÞ; ceff ¼ ceffðpÞ: (8)

These maps allow us both to investigate sensitivity of themacroscopic parameters to variations in the pore geometryand to relate uncertainty in the latter to uncertainty in the for-mer. We treat the uncertain parameters pi ði ¼ 1;…; 4Þ asstatistically independent random variables with probabilitydensity functions (PDFs) fpi , so that the joint PDF of p isfp ¼

Qfpi . This simplifying assumption is made to facilitate

the subsequent variance-based sensitivity analysis eventhough the geometrical properties characterizing a porestructure are generally interdependent.

We present our global sensitivity analysis (GSA) anduncertainty quantification (UQ) for the longitudinal diffusioncoefficient D11

eff ' DLðpÞ. All the other functions of p in (8)are treated identically.

A. Global sensitivity analysis

Thorough expositions of the GSA can be found in severalmonographs,19,20 here we briefly describe it in terms relevantto our study. The (explicitly unknown) function DL (p) has aunique expansion into summands of p ¼ fp1;…; p4g, e.g.,21

DLðpÞ ¼ D0 þX4

i¼1

DiðpiÞ þX4

i¼1

X

j<i

Dijðpi; pjÞ þ $ $ $

þ D1234ðp1;…; p4Þ; (9a)

where

D0 ¼ð

R4

DLdp; Di ¼ð

R3

DL

Y

k 6¼i

dpk%D0; i( 1; (9b)

Dij ¼ð

R2

DL

Y

k 6¼i;j

dpk % D0 % Di % Dj; (9c)

etc. By construction, for all summands

ð

R

Di1$$$is dpik ¼ 0 and

ð

R4

Di1$$$is Dj1$$$jr dp ¼ 0: (10)

The ensemble mean and variances of DL (p) are defined as

hDLi ¼ð

R4

DLðp0Þfpðp0Þdp0 and

r2DL¼ð

R4

D2Lðp

0Þfpðp0Þdp0 % hDLi2; (11)

respectively. Substituting (9) into (11), while accounting forthe orthogonality condition (10), yields the so-called analysisof variance (ANOVA) decomposition

r2DL¼XNpar

i¼1

r2i þ

XNpar

i¼1

X

j<i

r2ij þ $ $ $ þ r2

1234; (12)

where the partial variances r2i1$$$is are computed as

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r2i1$$$is ¼

ð

R4

D2i1$$$isðp

0i1$ $ $ p0isÞfpðp0Þdp0: (13)

The Sobol’ sensitivity indices22 are defined by dividing bothsides of (12) with r2

DL, such that the first- and second-order

Sobol’ indices are defined as

Si ¼r2

i

r2DL

and Sij ¼r2

ij

r2DL

; (14)

respectively. The total Sobol’ sensitivity index, which quan-tifies the total effect of uncertainty in the ith parameter pi onthe overall uncertainty in the macroscopic parameter DL, is

Ti ¼1

r2DL

X

a2Ii

r2a; (15)

where Ii is the set of all subset of fp1;…; p4g containing theith parameter.

The statistical moments in (11)–(15) can be estimatedwith, e.g., Monte Carlo simulations (MCS) consisting ofNMCS deterministic solves of (7) in which realizations~pi ði ¼ 1;…;NMCSÞ of the pore-scale parameters p are drawnfrom the distribution fp, such that

~r2DL¼ 1

NMCS % 1

XNMCS

i¼1

D2Lð~piÞ % h ~DLi;

h ~DLi ¼1

NMCS

XNMCS

i¼1

DLð~piÞ: (16)

This MCS procedure has a slow convergence rate of)1=

ffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiNMCS

p. One alternative, which we pursue in this study,

is to use a polynomial chaos expansion.23 This approach toGSA is nonintrusive in that it can be seamlessly combinedwith any solver used to solve deterministic realizations of(7), e.g., the finite element method in COMSOL used in oursimulations. We deployed the GSA implementation in thesoftware DAKOTA.24

B. Uncertainty quantification

Uncertainty in the pore-scale parameters p gives rise touncertainty in the macroscopic parameters, e.g., DL. The lat-ter is expressed in terms of its PDF fDL

ðgÞ, which is com-puted as follows. First, we deploy DAKOTA24 to construct a

surrogate model of DL(p) by using a (generalized) polyno-mial chaos expansion (PCE),25–27 truncated after NPCE terms

DLðpÞ ¼X1

i¼0

DiWiðpÞ *XNPCE%1

i¼0

DiWiðpÞ;

NPCE % 1 ¼ðnþ NparÞ!

n!Npar!; (17)

where n is the polynomial degree, Wi(p) are the orthogonalmultivariate polynomials, and Di are the expansion coeffi-cients. The set of Wi(p) is derived from the Askey scheme ofhypergeometric orthogonal polynomials26 to match continu-ous PDFs of Npar ¼ 4 parameters p. Specifically, since in thesimulations reported below each pk ðk ¼ 1;…; 4Þ follows auniform distribution, Wi(p) are multivariate Legendre polyno-mials. Convergence properties of (17) have been the subjectof many studies.26 Figure 2 demonstrates the convergence ofestimates of the ensemble means hDLi; hDTi, and hceffi interms of both the polynomial degree n and the number of sam-ples used to compute the means from (17). Based on theseresults, we use n¼ 4 (NPCE ¼ 626) and NDL

¼ NDT¼ Nceff

¼ 108 samples in the simulation results presented below.Second, we use (17) to compute NDL

samples ofDLi ¼ DLð~piÞ, with i ¼ 1;…;NDL

, corresponding to NDL

realizations of the random parameter vector p. Then, fDLðgÞ

is computed with a kernel density estimator (KDE)

fDLðgÞ ¼ 1

NDL

ffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffi2ph2p

XNDL

i¼1

exp %ðg % DLiÞ2

2h2

# $; (18)

where h is the kernel bandwidth. Since uncertainty in themacroscopic parameters in (8) stems from their dependenceon the same set of uncertain pore-scale parameters p, theyare expected to be correlated. Joint PDFs of the macroscopicparameters, e.g., the longitudinal (DL) and transverse(D22

eff ' DT) components of the effective diffusion coefficienttensor Deff, are estimated with a KDE as

fDLDTðgL; gTÞ ¼

1

NDL2phLhT

+XNDL

i¼1

exp %ðgL % DLiÞ2

2h2L

% ðgT % DTiÞ2

2h2T

" #

:

(19)

FIG. 2. Ensemble means of the normalized longitudinal diffusion coefficient, hDLi=D, normalized transverse diffusion coefficient, hDTi=D, and rate constant,hceffi. The means are computed from (17) with the second (n¼ 2), third (n¼ 3), and fourth (n¼ 4) degree polynomials, using, respectively, NDL

; NDT, or Nceff

realizations of the mutually independent and uniformly distributed microscopic parameters p¼ {R, h, d, l}.

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Kernel bandwidths—h in (18), and hL and hT in (19)—arecomputed with the modified Sheather-Jones method.28

Once computed, the (joint) PDFs of the macroscopicparameters Deff and ceff complete a probabilistic formulationof the Darcy-scale problem (5). This problem can be solvedwith any standard uncertainty quantification method, includ-ing the MCS and PCE described above.

IV. SIMULATION RESULTS

We consider the hierarchical nanoporous material,whose assembly template is shown in Fig. 1. In the absenceof information about the statistical properties of the pore-scale parameters p, we take each pi (i¼ 1,…, 4) to have auniform distribution on the respective interval ½pmin

i ; pmaxi -.

(The methods described above can also accommodate moreinformative priors.) The values of pmin

i and pmaxi , for

(i¼ 1,…, 4), are reported in Table I; the large intervals overwhich these parameters are allowed to vary are representa-tive of typical variability of natural (e.g., geologic) materialsor initial uncertainty about optimal values of pore-scaleparameters used in material design. We used a constant valueof molecular diffusion D throughout the pore space PU .

For given values of the parameter set p, i.e., for a givencomputational domain PU in Fig. 1, first, the closure vectorvariable vðnÞ is computed by solving (7b)–(7f) withCOMSOL. Second, the normalized components of the

effective diffusion tensor, DL/D and DT/D, are computed bynumerically evaluating the quadrature in (7a). The corre-sponding values of the effective rate constant ceff are com-puted with (6). The results of these calculations are exhibitedin Figs. 3 and 4. They demonstrate the complex interplay ofthe pore-scale parameters p and their opposing effects on themacroscopic material properties. While the effective diffu-sion coefficients DL/D and DT/D increase with the mesoporeradius R and overlap angle h, the effective rate constant ceff

decreases as these parameters increase.

A. Global sensitivity analysis

Since the parameters p are uniformly distributed, wetake Wi(p) in the PCE (17) to be Legendre polynomials; theseries is truncated after NPCE – 1¼ 625 terms, i.e., using then¼ 4 degree polynomials in the pore-scale parameters pi

(i¼ 1,…, 4), each of which is defined on its respective inter-val in Table I. The longitudinal (DL) and transverse (DT)components of the effective diffusion coefficient Deff and theeffective reaction rate constant ceff are calculated for NDL

¼ NDT¼ Nceff

¼ 108 realizations of the microscopic parame-ters {R, h, d, l}. These realizations are then used in (17) tocompute the variances of the macroscopic parameters, and in(9)–(15) to compute the corresponding first-order and totalSobol’ sensitivity indices. Table II summarizes the results ofthese calculations, and Figs. 5 and 6 provide their visualrepresentation.

Both the longitudinal (DL) and transverse (DT) compo-nents of the effective diffusion coefficient tensor D are mostsensitive to the overlap angle h, which determines the pore-throat size. While longitudinal diffusion coefficient DL is vir-tually insensitive to the variability in the nanotube size (dand l), it has a major impact on transverse diffusion coeffi-cient DT. Both DL and DT exhibit an intermediate sensitivity

TABLE I. Intervals of determination, ½pmini ; pmax

i -, of the four pore-scaleparameters describing the pore structure in Fig. 1.

p1¼R, (nm) p2¼ h, (rad) p3¼ d, (nm) p4¼ l, (nm)

pmini 10.00 0.07 4.0 8.00

pmaxi 60.00 0.70 8.0 18.00

FIG. 3. Dependence of the normalizedlongitudinal, DL/D, (left column) andtransverse, DT/D, (right column) diffu-sion coefficients on R and h for eitherfixed l¼ 13.0 nm and d¼ 6.0 nm(upper row) or d and l for fixedR¼ 35.0 nm and h¼ 0.38 (bottomrow).

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to pore radius R. This is in contrast to the effective rate con-stant, ceff, whose variance is dominated by variability in Rand, to a significantly smaller extent, by l. Its values are vir-tually insensitive to h and d.

B. Statistical parametrization of the macroscopicmodel

Uncertainty in values of the pore-scale parameters givesrise to that in values of their macroscopic counterparts.Nonlinearity of the mappings, (6) and (7), between these twosets of parameters suggests that PDFs of the macroscopic

material properties can be nontrivial even when PDFs of themicroscopic parameters are. Moreover, the mappings (6) and(7) imply that even if the pore-scale variables are mutuallyindependent, the macroscopic parameters might be stronglycorrelated.

We use the kernel density estimators in (18) and (19) topost-process the NDL

¼ NDT¼ Nceff

¼ 105 realizations of thethree macroscopic parameters, DL, DT, and ceff. Estimation ofthe kernel bandwidth with the modified Sheather-Jonesmethod28 leads to hL ¼ 0.0077, hT ¼ 0.0057, and hc¼ 0.0058for the KDE in (18), and (hL, hT)¼ (0.0083, 0.0061), (hc,hL)¼ (0.0088, 0.0093), and (hc, hT)¼ (0.0085, 0.0107) for the

FIG. 4. Dependence of the effectiverate constant ceff (nm%1) on R and h foreither fixed l¼ 13.0 nm and d¼ 6.0 nm(left) or d and l for fixed R¼ 35.0 nmand h¼ 0.38 (right).

TABLE II. The first-order (S) and total (T) Sobol’ indices of effective longitudinal (DL) and transverse (DT) diffusion coefficients and effective rate constant

(ceff) for the four pore-scale parameters p¼ {R, h, d, l}.

SDLTDL

SDTTDT

SceffTceff

R 1.95+ 10%1 4.90+ 10%2 7.70+ 10%2 1.92+ 10%1 8.72+ 10%1 9.09+ 10%1

h 7.73+ 10%1 9.54+ 10%1 4.61+ 10%1 4.95+ 10%1 9.29+ 10%3 1.24+ 10%2

d 7.50+ 10%4 1.08+ 10%3 3.87+ 10%1 4.14+ 10%1 6.64+ 10%4 1.50+ 10%3

l 1.64+ 10%3 1.60+ 10%3 2.69+ 10%1 5.61+ 10%1 8.01+ 10%2 9.96+ 10%2

FIG. 5. Relative contribution of thefirst-order (upper row) and total (bot-tom row) Sobol’ sensitivity indices tothe total variance of the longitudinal,DL (left column), and transverse, DT

(right column), components of theeffective diffusion tensor.

075103-6 Um et al. J. Appl. Phys. 123, 075103 (2018)

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KDE in (19). The resulting (marginal) PDFs, fDLðgÞ; fDT

ðgÞand fceff

ðgÞ, are shown in Fig. 7. All three PDFs are highlyasymmetric and exhibit long tails. The non-Gaussianity is, ofcourse, to be expected since these parameters are positivequantities. This finding undermines the long-standing practiceof assigning standard (e.g., Gaussian or log-normal) distribu-tions to macroscopic properties of porous media.29–33

Joint PDFs, fDL;DTðgL; gTÞ; fceff ;DT

ðgc; gTÞ, and fceff ;DL

ðgc; gLÞ, are shown in Fig. 8. The three macroscopic parame-ters, DL, DT, and ceff, are neither statistically independentnor multivariate Gaussian. Like their marginal counterpartsin Fig. 7, they exhibit multimodality. The longitudinal (DL)and transverse (DT) components of the effective diffusion

tensor are positively correlated (the correlation coefficientqDL;DT

¼ 0:44), and both are negatively correlated withthe effective sorption rate ceff (qceff ;DL

¼ %0:50 andqceff ;DT

¼ %0:18).

V. CONCLUSIONS

Ubiquitous uncertainty about pore geometry inevitablyundermines the veracity of pore- and multi-scale simulationsof transport phenomena in porous media. It raises two funda-mental issues: sensitivity of effective material properties topore-scale parameters and statistical parameterization ofDarcy-scale models that accounts for pore-scale uncertainty.We treated uncertain geometric characteristics of a hierarchi-cal nanoporous material as random variables to conductGSA and to derive probabilistic descriptors of effective dif-fusion coefficients and effective sorption rate.

Our analysis leads to the following major conclusions.

1. When combined with a probabilistic framework,homogenization-based maps between pore-scale parame-ters and their Darcy-scale counterparts allow one to esti-mate global sensitivity of Darcy-scale material propertiesto geometric characteristics of a material’s pore structureand to relate PDFs of pore- and Darcy-scale parameters.

2. For the hierarchical porous medium considered, the effec-tive longitudinal diffusion coefficient (DL) is insensitive tothe size of nanotube bridges, while the effective transversediffusion coefficient (DT) exhibits high sensitivity to thisgeometric parameter. The longitudinal and transverse com-ponents of the effective diffusion tensor are positively cor-related (the correlation coefficient qDL;DT

¼ 0:44) and both

FIG. 6. Relative contribution of thefirst-order (left) and total (right) Sobol’sensitivity indices to the total varianceof ceff.

FIG. 7. Probability density functions fDLðgÞ; fDT

ðgÞ, and fceffðgÞ of the mac-

roscopic material properties, DL, DT, and ceff, respectively. The microscopicparameters p¼ {R, h, d, l} are mutually independent and uniformlydistributed.

FIG. 8. From left to right: joint probability density functions fDL ;DTðgL; gTÞ; fceff ;DT

ðgc; gTÞ, and fceff ;DLðgc; gLÞ of the macroscopic material properties, DL, DT,

and ceff. The microscopic parameters p¼ {R, h, d, l} are mutually independent and uniformly distributed.

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are negatively correlated with the effective sorption rateceff (qceff ;DL

¼ %0:50 and qceff ;DT¼ %0:18).

3. Multiscale solutions typically depend on the volume frac-tion. Since derivatives of this macroscopic quantity withrespect to the pore space parameters can be evaluated ana-lytically, it may provide a valuable a posteriori interpreta-tion of the GSA results.

4. The proposed approach provides a simple tool that enablesa quantitative ranking of the microstructural parameters.

The simulations reported in this study rely on the simpli-fying assumption of statistical independence of the uncertain(random) geometric characteristics of hierarchical nanopo-rous media. In a follow-up study, we will obviate the needfor this assumption by replacing the variance-based GSAwith, e.g., its distribution-based counterpart.

Our analysis is formulated for a solute diffusing througha fluid-filled pore space, while sorbing to the solidmatrix. Yet it is sufficiently general to be applied to othermultiscale porous media phenomena that are amenable tohomogenization.

ACKNOWLEDGMENTS

This research was supported in part by the DefenseAdvanced Research Projects Agency under the EQUiPSprogram and by the National Science Foundation underGrant No. CBET-1563614.

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