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    GOSTIMIR T. POPOVI

    IS TOMORROW OVER?

    (studies and commentary)

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    LIBRARY

    ACTUALITY

    Editor

    Nenad NOVAKOVI

    Reviewer

    Slobodan BILIPejo URAINOVI, PhD

    Translation from Serbian Language

    Sneana LAZOVI

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    GOSTIMIR T. POPOVIC

    IS TOMORROW

    OVER?

    (studies and commentary)

    Banja Luka

    Belgrade2001

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    CONTENTS

    I. SOUTHEASTERN EUROPE INTEGRATION AND DISINTEGRATION

    REGION OF PERPETUAL CONFLICT .....................................................7

    Southeastern Europe ..........................................................................7

    Integration Processes in Southeastern Europe.................................11

    Integration Process Initiatives in Southeastern Europe ..................14

    Conference on the Balkans ..............................................................16

    Borders in Southeastern Europe ......................................................19

    New Crisis Flashpoints in Southeastern Europe..............................22

    Military Aspects of the War in Macedonia......................................25Initial Forms of Conflict in Macedonia ...........................................28

    Special Parallel Relations between Republika Srpska

    and the Federal Republic of Yugoslavia..........................................31

    International Organizations and Forces in the Balkans ..................35

    Conflicts and Contradictions in Southeastern Europe ....................40

    II. DAYTON PARIS PEACE ACCORDS .................................................43

    STABILIZATION OR WAY INTO NEW CONFLICTS ............................43War in the Region of Bosnia and Herzegovina ...............................43

    Dayton Paris Peace Accords............................................................48

    Framework of the Dayton Paris Peace Accords ..............................53

    Inconsistencies in Implementation of the Dayton Paris Peace

    Accords............................................................................................57

    Representatives of International Organizations in

    Bosnia and Herzegovina..................................................................60

    Unconstitutional Activities of Dayton-defined BH Council of

    Ministers ..........................................................................................66Republika Srpska Defense System in Light of Provisions of the

    Dayton Paris Peace Accords ............................................................69

    Demands for Greater Concentration of Power by

    the Representative of International Organizations in Bosnia and

    Herzegovina.....................................................................................72

    Activities of Representatives of International Organizations in

    Bosnia and Herzegovina..................................................................75

    Activities of the Representative of International Organizations in

    Bosnia and Herzegovina..................................................................78Partnership for Peace and the Dayton Paris Peace Accords ............82

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    III. INTERNATIONAL CRIMINAL TRIBUNAL

    FOR EX-YUGOSLAVIA ........................................................................87

    International Criminal Tribunal for ex-Yugoslavia in The Hague ..87Manipulation of International Judicial Institutions..........................90

    Increase in Pressure on Serb People................................................93

    Justice Action ..................................................................................96

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    7

    I. SOUTHEASTERN EUROPE

    INTEGRATION AND DISINTEGRATION

    REGION OF PERPETUAL CONFLICT

    Southeastern Europe

    Volcano of Insecurity

    The century that just came to a close, despite undeniabletechnological advances, was marked by permanent conflicts

    between peoples, states, blocs (alliances) of states, and social

    groups of all provenances, from those at a very low level of

    development to those at the pinnacle of technology. Consequently,

    the past century would be better termed a century of wars, crises,

    conflicts and all forms of interpersonal intolerance than a century

    of development, advancement and a period during which necessarypreconditions have been created for global tolerance, if not for

    global peace.

    In the past century, two world wars and a multitude of local and

    regional wars have been waged. The second half of the century

    was characterized by a Cold War, which through its influence on

    the course of global events, contributed to the creation of a

    pyramid-like structure among the international community inwhich power is concentrated in a very small segment of the global

    community. The result of this is the uncontrolled use of all forms

    of force, from economic and political pressure to armed

    intervention during the course of which all decisions are made in

    only one place. During the final years of the previous century, the

    biggest or strongest alliance (as representatives of that alliance like

    to emphasize) has undertaken a campaign of air aggression, ofcourse, without a declaration of war and formal pronouncement of

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    a state of war, against a sovereign country in Southeastern Europe

    during the course of which it failed to honor any of better

    conventions for waging war (if one can talk at all about better

    conventions for killing people).

    The region of Southeastern Europe, especially the Balkans, during

    the course of the past century has been a military testing ground

    where wars have been waged, states have disappeared, other states

    have been created and experiments have been conducted with

    various forms of organizing society. The end result of this has been

    a permanently unstable region which for quite some time has been

    infamously called, with reason, a "power keg" in which conflictsof interest as a rule are transformed into brutal armed conflicts in

    which hundreds of thousands of people lose everything from their

    very lives to everything that they have acquired during the course

    of their lives. After such wars, as a rule, periods of cease fire and a

    kind of peace ensued which characteristically served in order to

    prepare people for the next war and not for peace; this is the best

    proof that wars have not shown themselves to be effective meansof achieving permanent resolution of problems but only short-lived

    demonstrations of who commands the greater brute force at any

    given moment.

    As a result of wars and all other forms of conflict in Southeastern

    Europe, various integration and disintegration processes unfolded

    in the region during the course of which states (monarchies,

    federations, confederations, etc.) were created, states weredestroyed and others formed to replace them. However, the

    incontestable fact remains that no form of social, state or any other

    type of organization has emerged to date that provides for the

    realization of the interests of the social groups which live in this

    region. Not only were no one's interests satisfied but the

    underlying causes of tensions, conflicts and wars and the

    conceivable possibilities for overcoming them were never definedwith any degree of accuracy in order to enable the creation of basic

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    preconditions for the development of the region politically,

    economically, technologically and in every other sense

    correspondent to the times and the situation of humanity as a

    whole.

    After the most recent wars waged in the Balkans, representatives

    of many international organizations are now present in different

    capacities in the region ranging from representatives of the U.N. to

    military implementation forces (SFOR, KFOR) to various organs

    defined by the Dayton Paris Peace Accords and U.N. Security

    Council Resolution 1244 on Kosovo. These representatives should

    contribute to lasting peace in the region and, primarily, to thebuilding of trust among peoples which would be based, first and

    foremost, on an equal approach to all peoples who live in the

    region and the securing of a prosperous society which would not

    be founded on any form of domination but on cooperation and the

    meeting of complex needs of everyone from the individual to the

    national community as a whole.

    With hardly any exceptions, all institutions and organizations intheir work as a rule are concerned with the consequences which

    arose after armed conflicts in the region and their common

    characteristic is the imposition of solutions for the achievement of

    short-term policies and day to day interests while the least

    importance is attached to the category known as "the rule of law"

    while the category of justice is practically not even considered as

    something which could ultimately result in possibly eliminatingthe causes of conflict altogether.

    The question poses itself whether, under these circumstances, it is

    at all possible to secure lasting peace in a region that has so many

    times during only its most recent history been a battlefield where

    bloody wars have been waged. These wars, as a rule, appeared at

    fixed time intervals and involved the use of the most contemporary

    means of waging war and armed conflict available while the issue

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    of the causes of these wars, that is, the posing of a social analysis,

    has not in any instance been seriously proposed.

    A very superficial review of armed conflicts, from the Balkan wars

    to the First and Second World Wars to the aggression by NATO

    air forces against the Federal Republic of Yugoslavia, shows that

    in almost all cases wars served as a means of resolving the

    consequences of social conflicts. There was no political will to

    create the composition of the region of Southeastern Europe in

    such a manner that all the peoples who live in the region can

    achieve approximately the same degree of success in meeting their

    interests and in this manner cross over from permanent conflictand distrust toward peace, tolerance and trust. This would open the

    door to the construction of a conflict-free society of free

    individuals and states that would meet the needs of their

    constitutive elements instead of representing institutions whose

    basic characteristic is a monopoly on physical coercion.

    If we assume that the securing of lasting peace on the planet is in

    the best interests of humanity, then it is certain that this goal canalso be achieved in Southeastern Europe as well but it is necessary,

    lest we should be forced to admit that we have no future, to seek

    new approaches to the resolution of social conflicts beginning

    from possible global conflicts to current local conflicts. In this

    process, the key activities need to be directed toward a definition

    of the causes of conflict and their elimination with approximately

    equal satisfaction of the interests of the conflicting social groups.Conflicts and problems in Southeastern Europe cannot be resolved

    without rapid development of integration processes throughout the

    European continent, including Russia, resulting in a Europe which

    will be a community of peoples who are meeting their political,

    economic, spiritual, cultural and other interests on an equal basis.

    This is the prerequisite for the current "powder keg" to develop

    into a peace zone and to secure the meeting of local needs throughglobal developments.

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    Integration Processes in Southeastern Europe

    Reality or Utopia?

    The area of Southeastern Europe is one of the regions in Europe,

    as well as the world, in which historical contradictions and all

    forms of conflict situations among countries and nations are still

    present and manifest themselves in all forms including armed

    conflicts. Just as the development of modern technology has

    enabled all events anywhere on the planet to be followed from any

    other place, so the influence of all countries and international

    organizations is being felt in all countries including the region,

    which comprises the geographical area of Southeastern Europe.

    If we look at the historical period of only the past one hundred

    years, in this area there have been two world wars and one regional

    war; despite this, basic social contradictions have not only

    remained unresolved but in some aspects have become more

    complex and thus remain as potential causes of all forms of

    conflict.

    All peace agreements and post-war accords (since the conclusion

    of the First World War to the Dayton Paris Peace Accords to U.N.

    Security Council Resolution 1244 and the Kumanovo Military-

    Technical Agreement) have been short-lived for the simple reason

    that none of these agreements removed the causes of conflict;

    contemporary peacemakers concerned themselves only with

    consequences.

    The activities of various international organizations have recently

    been focused on the realization of a program called the Stability

    Pact for Southeastern Europe which some see as a panacea for the

    region, others as yet another unsuccessful experiment on the part

    of international institutions, still others as a complete miss withoutany chance of success.

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    Even a superficial look at the contents of the document with the

    overly ambitious title of the Stability Pact for Southeastern Europe

    leads to the unequivocal conclusion that this is a very good idea

    but that certain crucial elements are missing for its realization, of

    which the most important are:

    Nowhere is there a precise definition of the geographical areato which the pact pertains

    Causes of tensions and conflicts are not even mentioned, letalone analyzed

    Not a single institution is defined which would satisfy any ofthe common interests of all peoples living in this region

    There is no vision of the future configuration of the region ineither the political or the organizational sense that would be

    founded on the articulated interests of all peoples in the region

    The basic activities which individual representatives of

    international institutions perform in terms of realizing the Pact

    consist in organizing various conferences; and even in this process,

    no clear and consensually agreed upon conclusions are reached

    and no mention is made of projects which might serve as

    embryonic models of integration.

    Activities conducted in this manner cannot even secure apparent

    peace in the region in the immediate future, let alone create

    conditions for integration and the securing of lasting peace.

    In practical terms, the approach of the representatives of the

    international institutions in areas where there were recent armed

    clashes (the areas of Bosnia and Herzegovina and Kosovo and

    Metohija) almost appears to have the goal of maintaining existing

    tensions instead of creating conditions for lasting peace and an

    organizational form which will meet at least the minimal interests

    of all peoples; this approach is expressed through favoritism

    towards the members of one nation and the complete ignoring of

    the minimal interests of the other nations.

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    In this historical milieu which is crowded with all forms of

    conflict, it is not easy to create integration processes; nevertheless,

    it is not impossible with a minimum of political goodwill both in

    the region itself as well as in Europe which should have an interest

    in seeing the transformation of a center of crisis into a stable and in

    all respects profitable region.

    In order to accomplish this, it is necessary to undertake a series of

    practical measures to be implemented by the European Union, the

    first among which should be:

    Definition of the geographical framework of the region Establishing, by objective methodology, the causes of conflict

    in the region based on truth and facts and not by emotions

    Securing of conditions for membership in the European Unionof the entire region with satisfaction of the interests of peoples

    that live in it

    Creation of organizational forms that will be common to theregion based on the common criterion that formation of these

    organizational forms should be in the interests of the peoples

    in Southeastern Europe

    This approach to integration processes in Southeastern Europe

    would finally enable the elimination of the causes of all forms of

    conflict in the entire region with the integration of the peoples of

    the region into the family of European peoples; it would contribute

    to stability in all of Europe and secure peace, which should be the

    ultimate goal.

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    peoples have gone through the Golgotha of the Balkan wars, the

    First and Second World War, and the war which started in 1991

    and whose conclusion is still nowhere on the horizon; instead, its

    conflicts are becoming increasingly intense.

    In the event that there should be a demonstration of goodwill and

    strength by European institutions (which, in all honesty, are still

    engaged in the process of forming and organizing themselves), it

    would be possible to call and organize a regional conference

    whose basic principles should be equity and respect for the

    interests of all peoples in the region.

    Even though this region has been (and still is) a permanent sourceof all forms of conflict, it would be possible to find a solution to

    bring an end to conflict and to institutionally secure the prosperity

    and peaceful development which are the key problem of everyone

    living in this region at the moment and, indirectly, of all the

    European countries as well.

    The initiator of all consultative and preparatory activities and the

    organizer of such a conference on resolving conflicts in theSoutheastern European region itself should be the European

    Union. The model defined at such a conference would be generator

    of further integration processes throughout Europe that is,

    objectively, the goal of all European peoples.

    In conclusion, if we begin from the sincere desire to see "an

    integrated Europe of European peoples" as the goal toward which

    all European peoples are striving in the interests of peace andprosperity, then the holding of a conference which would result in

    the structuring of the region to the mutual satisfaction of all is not

    only desirable but essential.

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    Conference on the Balkans

    Way out of Crisis for the Balkan Peoples andOpportunity for Long-Term Organization of States

    in the Balkans and Southeastern Europe

    The region of Southeastern Europe, especially its Balkan

    Peninsula, has historically been (and unfortunately, remains today)

    an area where interests of all pretenders to political influence atboth global and local levels have clashed. As a result of this clash

    of interests, the region has been permanently embroiled in various

    forms of conflict. Conflicts have so far appeared in every existing

    form ranging from political and economic conflicts to armed

    conflicts that have left lasting impressions on the consciousness of

    the peoples and individuals native to the region.

    During the 20th century, the region has been at the center of twoworld wars and a multitude of regional armed conflicts. The

    tremendous human losses which resulted from these conflicts

    apparently still are not enough to initiate a more serious approach

    to the search for long-term solutions which would provide for the

    elimination of the causes of conflict and create a viable framework

    for all peoples without representing a threat to any one people.

    At the beginning of the 21st century, the region remains at thecenter of armed and every other form of conflict and there is

    absolutely no serious attempt being made to achieve a satisfactory

    solution which would serve as the generator of long-term

    stabilization.

    The many international organizations and institutions present here

    with an overwhelming number of representatives, troops and other

    participants in various missions are basically wasting time and

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    doing almost nothing toward achieving stability and peaceful

    development.

    Occasionally we have heard from some representatives of

    international institutions and from a few political straight-shooters

    the idea of holding an international conference which would

    finally define objectively the causes of conflict in the region,

    determine the basis for integration processes, signify which

    functions are capable of expressing joint interests, and prepare a

    constitutional and legal framework for organizing the region as an

    association of peoples.

    Every initiative to hold such a conference on the Balkans so far hasbeen obstructed by the world centers of power that are now

    holding a monopoly on the use of force for the simple reason that a

    stable region would reduce the need for their engagement here and,

    therefore, the centers of power would lose their own reason for

    existence.

    Despite the great resistance to this manner of resolving existing

    problems in the region, the idea of such a conference has thepotential for success if the general concept and actual organization

    are delegated to European institutions with maximum participation

    by representatives of peoples from the region who are most

    knowledgeable regarding the causes of conflict and would be most

    effective in seeking, defining and deciding upon solutions for their

    future together with their immediate neighbors.

    Steps in the preparation, organization and work of the conferenceand later implementation of its document could be organized in

    such a manner as to result in optimal solutions for a stable peace in

    the region within a short period of time.

    Basic goals could be achieved through several steps:

    Review of basic causes of conflict between peoples Definition of integration factors for all peoples in the region Creation of constitutional and legal basis for organizing the

    region as a unified whole

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    Organization of the implementation process Guarantees and assistance in implementation by neighboring

    countries, member countries of the European Union and

    Russia

    The Balkans and the whole of Southeastern Europe should not

    continue to be treated as a terminal "powder keg"; instead, the

    imperative should be to transform the region into an area of real

    peace and prosperity.

    The strength and determination exist to conceptualize, organize

    and realize the idea of a conference on the Balkans and to thus

    institutionalize common interests of different peoples and to

    transcend disintegration processes by means of integration

    processes.

    The primary champions of such activities can only be

    representatives of European institutions, Russia and

    representatives of peoples from the region itself while the key

    factor that would guarantee such activity should be a united

    Europe with all of her democratic institutions.

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    Borders in Southeastern Europe

    Still a Cause of Instability and Conflict

    The state and legal framework or organizational structure of

    countries in the region of Southeastern Europe, especially in the

    area called the Balkan Peninsula, is very complicated, non-

    functional and, in the 20th century alone, has been the stage for

    two world wars and a series of regional armed conflicts which

    continued into the 21st century with the tendency for the region to

    remain a long-term crisis area.

    Not only armed conflicts but also all other types of conflict are

    present in the region each and every day and there is no indication

    that decisive and effective measures will be undertaken anytime

    soon to transcend even some of the potential causes for conflict

    and to allow the peoples living here to sail into calmer, if not

    completely still, waters of peaceful development.

    One of the problems which is evident and which is discussed every

    day under various circumstances and contexts without, however,

    any indication that any sort of solution is imminent, is the issue of

    borders. This is one of the key issues in the region and its even

    approximately just solution could serve as a foundation for further

    regional integration into one of the already well-known forms of

    integration.

    With regard to this issue, there exist at least two diametrically

    opposed views, one of which advocates a global redrawing of

    borders in both the Balkan peninsula and in Southeastern Europe,

    while the other holds that regional borders are unchangeable and

    that they should be cemented just as they are.

    Supporters of both views also offer their justifications for

    individual political moves on the part of both local authorities, as

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    well as of representatives of international organizations present in

    such great number, the most characteristic of which are:

    Factors advocating a change in borders in the Balkansemphasize as their fundamental argument in favor of change

    that so far the interests of all peoples living in this area have

    not been resolved. They highlight the fact that so far the

    peoples in this area have always had someone else drawing the

    borders for them. In doing so, that someone indirectly

    determined not only the fates but also the physical existence of

    hundreds of thousands and millions of people.

    Supporters of the unchangeability of borders in the region startfrom the view that, once established, state borders are

    unchangeable and that such borders (even in cases where they

    are imposed) are a guarantee of peace among peoples.

    If we objectively examine both views, we come to the clear

    conclusion that the second view, advocating the unchangeability of

    borders, is quite contestable and the thesis that recognition of a

    state's sovereignty ensures the unchangeability of its borders leads

    to some sort of imposed protectorate that is very, very distant from

    a democratic solution to social problems.

    In order to approach a long-term solution which would eliminate

    the causes of conflicts in the Balkans, it is necessary, among other

    things, to seek solutions which would contribute to a new and

    qualitatively different conceptualization of borders with the

    fundamental goal of having borders satisfying the peoples'historical, economic and cultural interests.

    This kind of approach would definitely transcend existing taboos

    regarding the unchangeability of anything. Border changes would

    be realized through international conferences in a civilized manner

    rather than through bloody armed conflicts, as in the past.

    Only in the past century, the borders in the region have been

    changed no less than five times and each time the price was paid inhuman lives, in horrific numbers of casualties ranging from several

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    hundred thousand to several million per conflict. Therefore, it is

    difficult to deny the attempt to do things differently in a manner

    that would preclude massive bloodshed.

    A well-prepared, well-organized international conference which

    would recognize existing facts and define borders in the region

    based on truth and reality and, in conjunction with this, determine

    and organizationally shape several joint institutions may be the

    first step which would lead the region down the path of stability to

    social and economic prosperity.

    Borders in the Balkans and throughout Southeastern Europe are, to

    a large extent, determined by foreign pressures and imposedsolutions. They remain one of the key causes of armed conflicts

    during the 20th and at the beginning of the 21st century.

    A qualitatively enhanced approach to border changes that would

    serve to satisfy the interests of all peoples in the region would

    create initial positive conditions for integration processes as well

    as positive conditions for lasting peace.

    A conference on borders in the Balkans is not only desirable but itis high time for the Balkans, with the assistance and guarantees of

    the European countries, to shed its negative historical legacy and

    to create the basis for a stable region which will serve as a factor of

    stability in an integrated Europe.

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    New Crisis Flashpoints in Southeastern Europe

    Crisis as a Control Mechanism

    In the area of Southeastern Europe, instead of reducing tensions

    and seeking a way to transform a region of crisis into a region of

    stability, old flashpoints are still smoldering even as new ones are

    being created.

    The already existing crisis flashpoints (the areas of Bosnia and

    Herzegovina, Kosovo and Metohija and the Presevo Valley) are

    being maintained at levels from political instability to armed

    conflict which is for now of limited intensity; however, instability

    is spreading toward the south to the border of Macedonia and the

    Federal Republic of Yugoslavia (the Federal Republic of

    Yugoslavia) with a tendency to also engulf the western part of

    Macedonia. This may well be an introduction to widespread

    clashes in the region.

    The basic forms of the crisis in the region are:

    Political instability Ethnic cleansing of the Serb population from Kosovo and

    Metohija under the benevolent gaze of various international

    organizations and their respective forces represented in the

    units of KFOR

    Armed attacks by Albanian terrorist formations on officialorgans of the Federal Republic of Yugoslavia

    Arrogant attitude of representatives of key internationalinstitutions at the very thought that official organs of the

    Federal Republic of Yugoslavia participate in the creation of a

    safe environment for Serbs in Kosovo and Metohija, despite

    the existence of a legal basis for this in U.N. Security Council

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    Resolution 1244 and the Kumanovo Military-Technical

    Agreement

    Provocation of the population and border patrol organs ofMacedonia by Albanian terrorist formations along its border

    with the Federal Republic of Yugoslavia

    Even a quick glance at the approach of international factors toward

    the situation in Southeastern Europe leads us to the inescapable

    conclusion that so far the Serbs have been the only party

    considered guilty and punished for everything that has gone wrong

    in the region. In fact, every serious analysis demonstrates that the

    Serbs have not created a single crisis flashpoint nor have they been

    the initiators of any form of instability.

    The maintenance and intensification of crisis flashpoints in

    Southeastern Europe is threatening to develop into a widespread

    armed conflict in the next several months. Such a conflict, which is

    being persistently sought by Albanian terrorist formations, may

    result in the failure to realize the final transformation from a region

    of crisis into a region of stability within the foreseeable future.The activities being undertaken by individual international

    organizations and the forces that are currently deployed in the

    region are most concerned with seeking a way to satisfy the

    aspirations of the Albanians. Not one of those organizations or

    forces has taken energetic steps towards a long-term solution.

    Despite the fact that they are present in the region in considerable

    numbers and have at their disposal the most modern equipment foruse in low-intensity armed conflict conditions, KFOR forces under

    the leadership of the North Atlantic alliance are acting like

    observers and, in many cases, even as supporters of the Albanian

    side. At the same time, not one of KFOR's tasks outlined in U.N.

    Security Council Resolution 1244 has been realized.

    Possible courses of action to resolve existing and possible future

    crises and clashes in the region should be take the followingcourse:

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    The authority of international institutions, primarily the European

    Union, should be used to bring an end to all armed actions and to

    provide the Federal Republic of Yugoslavia with the possibility of

    realizing its inalienable right to control its entire territory in

    accordance with the standards of European nations and states.

    The practical realization of the Stability Pact for Southeastern

    Europe should finally begin by defining the causes of all forms of

    conflict and then offering ways to satisfy basic criteria for the

    realization of the interests of the peoples living in this region.

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    Military Aspects of the War in Macedonia

    Another in a Series of Armed Conflicts inSoutheastern Europe

    For several months there have been intense armed conflicts in

    Macedonia between legal Macedonian security forces and terrorist

    formations organized by Albanians residing primarily in the

    western parts of that country where the armed conflicts, for themost part, are occurring.

    Despite the persistent efforts of representatives of the biggest (and

    most powerful) international organizations to hide the true nature

    and actual scope of the war that is going on at full strength and in

    every form in Macedonia, war is nevertheless the reality with

    which this region is confronted. With each passing day, its armed

    and media components are escalating.War is manifesting itself in all forms from political pressure to

    psychological propaganda campaigns and media speculation to

    armed combat in all dimensions available to the Macedonian

    battlefront.

    Armed conflicts are occurring in parts of Macedonia that have

    either an absolute or a sizeable majority of the Albanian

    population. Characteristic in the conflicts are already familiarmethods of manipulating the media and the civilian population in

    such a way that truth and the true causes of the war are either

    marginalized or completely ignored. This has been a fundamental

    characteristic of all armed conflicts in this region in the past ten

    years.

    The Macedonian people is exposed to enormous pressure (another

    already familiar method in this region) to respond to a classic

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    armed revolt with all elements of future secession of a large part of

    Macedonian territory using selective use of force.

    In addition to requests (and ultimatums) that limited force be

    applied against the terrorists, there is also the persistent refusal to

    allow legal organs to declare a state of war and thus harness,

    theoretically and practically, all national resources to defend

    themselves from terrorism. This critically reduces the effectiveness

    of actions by the Macedonian forces while allowing the terrorists

    to "buy time" and build their positions for the presentation and

    realization of their goals.

    Simultaneous activities at multiple locations in Macedonia arespreading the legal security forces thin while enabling the terrorists

    to maneuver rapidly and inflict sudden and powerful attacks, thus

    achieving not only military but also media effects leading to the

    creation of conditions in which they will be an active party setting

    conditions and demands at some future negotiations.

    Official representatives of the NATO alliance, despite the

    responsibility they have taken on to guarantee the security andintegrity of Macedonia during the period of the re-organization of

    the Macedonian Army, are now waiting on the sidelines for the

    right conditions to be created so they can enter this area in

    Southeastern Europe, too, as a peacekeeping force.

    Representatives of European institutions have invested more effort

    in preventing the declaration of a state of war in Macedonia than

    they have influenced the crushing of the armed rebellion and thecreation of prospects for peaceful and prosperous development for

    Macedonia. By their statements that "Macedonia needs to hold

    negotiations" they are opening the door to Albanian secessionism

    and, by doing this, they are making peace impossible not only in

    Macedonia but in the entire region.

    In Macedonia a war is being waged in all forms between legal

    Macedonian forces and terrorists from among a part of the

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    Albanian ethnic community in Macedonia that threatens to

    escalate into a long-term armed conflict.

    Using all available means, especially military, the terrorists are

    seeking to realize their political goals starting with broad

    autonomy and working their way up to the demand for

    independence at some point in the future.

    Representatives of international organizations engaged in the

    region appear unable to see how to achieve a peaceful solution; at

    the same time, by disallowing energetic action against the

    terrorists, while at the same time insisting that negotiations be

    held, they are opening the door to the legitimization of theterrorists.

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    Initial Forms of Conflict in Macedonia

    Manifold War in the Balkans Is Not Over

    The armed conflicts in Macedonia are escalating in intensity and,

    in addition to combat operations, members of the rebellious

    Albanian formations are increasing their propaganda activities.

    Already we have seen the appearance of their representatives who

    insist on negotiating with the Macedonian authorities as an equal

    party, a prelude to gaining status as "one of the parties in the

    conflict".

    The combat operations at this time are most fierce in the general

    area of Kumanovo, while powerful rebel formations control

    several villages populated by ethnic Albanian majorities on the

    approaches to Skopje, as well as controlling several important

    means of communications which, in addition to their operations

    against Macedonian army and police forces, enable them to win

    and remain in the focus of the world's attention.

    In western Macedonia (in the general region of Tetovo), Albanian

    rebels are tying up significant military resources of the

    Macedonian army and police through continuous combat

    operations of low intensity, thus reducing the strike capability of

    the legitimate forces.

    The propaganda activities of the Albanian forces in Macedonia

    have reached a very high level. The basic goal of this activity is to

    bring the representatives of the so-called National Liberation Army

    (ONA) to the negotiating table with the possible mediation of

    international organizations among whom they have already

    secured a certain degree of support.

    The support that has already been secured is reflected in the

    pressure being applied by international factors to change theMacedonian Constitution thus creating conditions for the creation

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    of a new organizational structure in Macedonia that would be

    dominated by Albanians.

    Within the framework of propaganda activities, the most obvious

    is the so-called ultimatum issued by the commander of the

    Albanian formations in northern Macedonia to the Macedonian

    Prime Minister in which he threatened to carry out attacks on vital

    objects in the capital city of Skopje. The Macedonian authorities

    initially responded to this with a harsh denunciation instead of

    effective action preventing the realization of such a threat.

    Representatives of European countries who, besides Macedonia

    itself, should be most interested in the rapid and effective end ofthe present state of war, are still engaged in issuing empty

    statements instead of announcing any form of concrete activities

    which would at least serve as an introduction to resolving the

    armed conflicts which are already in an advanced phase.

    They continue to insist on military and police operations on the

    part of the legitimate authorities which would be of "a limited

    scope" while continuing to talk about smaller groups of rebels whoshould be "isolated" from the Albanian population in the areas

    where the rebellion is occurring. That is, they insist on remaining

    blind to the fact that the number of rebels exceeded 20,000 men a

    long time ago and that they are armed (for now only with light

    infantry weapons with a small number of lighter means of support)

    impressively for waging just this sort of armed conflict.

    The foreign affairs ministers of the European Union have assessedthat an urgent "package of fundamental reforms which would

    ensure the rights of all peoples in Macedonia, regardless of their

    ethnicity" is critically needed.

    This assessment would be a very sound basis for talks if the senior

    officials of the countries of the European Unions had not missed

    just one small detail: the goal of the Albanian leaders in

    Macedonia is to change the Constitution and practically create anew state within a state over which the Skopje authorities would

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    have no influence, thus significantly reducing the territory under

    the control of the Macedonian government.

    Exceptional attention was devoted to the recent proposal of a

    group of academicians of the Macedonian Academy of Sciences

    and Arts (MANU) that the problems between Albanians and

    Macedonians should be resolved by a so-called "humanitarian

    exchange" of territory between the Macedonian and Albanian

    states. Even though this initiative met with fierce opposition as a

    result of which the president of MANU submitted his resignation,

    the question must be asked whether it is better to have a

    "humanitarian exchange" or a splitting of the Macedonian stateinto Macedonian and Albanian parts which will probably be a

    prelude to permanent division.

    Operations by Albanian rebel forces in Macedonia are continuing

    and escalating along with direct threats of limited scope operations

    against facilities within the capital city of Skopje itself.

    Macedonian forces are attempting to stabilize and regain control

    over territory in the general region of Kumanovo in order to isolaterebel forces; however, their own resources and pressures by

    international factors demanding the use of "limited force" reduce

    their ability to do this.

    International organizations, especially the European Union, appear

    to be still lacking a clear vision with respect to the resolution of the

    war conflict in Macedonia because they continue to base their

    positions on dealing with consequences while avoiding definitionof the causes of conflict. Generally, this is another instance of the

    same approach we have seen during the past decade since the very

    beginning of armed conflicts in the region of the former

    Yugoslavia.

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    Special Parallel Relations between Republika

    Srpska and the Federal Republic of Yugoslavia- From Right to Obstruction

    With the democratic changes in the Federal Republic of

    Yugoslavia and the implementation of election results at all levels

    in Republika Srpska, all necessary conditions have been created

    for the realization, finally, of Republika Srpska's right to establishspecial parallel relations with the Federal Republic of Yugoslavia

    as defined in Article 3, Section 2(a) of the Bosnia and Herzegovina

    Constitution.

    The cited constitutional provision states the following: "The

    entities will have the right to establish special parallel relations

    with neighboring countries in harmony with the sovereignty and

    territorial integrity of Bosnia and Herzegovina." Since the Bosniaand Herzegovina Federation has already established special

    parallel relations with the Republic of Croatia, not a single

    obstacle should exist to establishing and implementing such

    relations between Republika Srpska and the Federal Republic of

    Yugoslavia.

    Since the initial establishment of Republika Srpska institutions as

    well as joint Bosnia and Herzegovina institutions, activities havebeen initiated several times toward the realization of this clear and

    unambiguous right defined by the current Constitution; however,

    to this very day, more than five full years after the signing of the

    Dayton Paris Peace Accords, not only has this right remained

    unrealized but various obstructions to its realization are being

    carried out, primarily by certain representatives of the Bosniac

    people but also by certain representatives of international

    institutions.

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    All activities which Republika Srpska has undertaken and is

    undertaking are based on rights defined by the Constitution and the

    clear desire of the Serb people that special parallel relations be

    defined, formulated in a legal document, signed and implemented

    for the well-being of the Serb people; these relations, at the same

    time, bear no trace of a threat to any interests of other peoples who

    live in the region.

    After the democratic changes in the Federal Republic of

    Yugoslavia, one of the signatories and guarantors of the Dayton

    Paris Peace Accords, activities were intensified toward the

    establishment of special parallel relations with Republika Srpskawith the identical goal of realizing the constitutional rights of the

    Serb people and also realizing the desire of the Serb people to have

    as few divisions in the region as possible and as many integration

    factors as possible to develop into lasting stabilizing factors.

    During the month of February, contacts among official, legal and

    legitimate representatives of Republika Srpska and the Federal

    Republic of Yugoslavia were intensified and basic documents werepractically completed which regulate these special parallel

    relations. This has met with an extremely positive response among

    the entire Serb national body since it sees a guarantee for a more

    secure and promising future in the realization of such relations.

    And everything should be fine: provisions defined by the Bosnia

    and Herzegovina Constitution are implemented; it becomes

    possible for citizens to realize a wide spectrum of rights; a farsimpler flow of people, goods and ideas is achieved; the hard

    borders between members of the same people are taken down; in a

    word, the integration and well-being of the people is sought, while

    at the same time posing no threat to any interests of other peoples

    who live in the region

    Just before the end of activities on the definition of documents on

    special parallel relations, representatives of the Bosniac peoplespoke up with the absurd claim of a threat to the interests of their

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    people, though not one word is said regarding which specific

    provisions endanger their interests and how. To make matters even

    more absurd, one of the signers of the document in which they

    oppose the establishment of special parallel relations is the Deputy

    Speaker of the Republika Srpska National Parliament, who is from

    among the ranks of the Bosniac people.

    The opposition to the realization of this constitutional right by a

    representative of the Bosniac people is all the more illogical if one

    takes into consideration the fact that the agreement on special

    parallel relations between the Bosnia and Herzegovina Federation

    and the Republic of Croatia has already been in effect for severalyears and that the primary mediator in the adoption of that

    agreement was the head of the U.N. mission in Bosnia and

    Herzegovina.

    Representatives of international institutions (whom some also call

    by the simplified name of the international community) whose

    job descriptions must include commitment to the rule of law as

    well as an absolute impartiality toward all individuals and peoples,have not only failed to express their support for the establishment

    of special parallel relations in their individual and sporadic

    statements but have announced special kinds of arbitration and

    supervision of certain provisions which is, most euphemistically

    said, behavior not in keeping with the Constitution on the part of

    institutions which should set be setting an example in

    conscientious implementation of the highest judicial acts .Special parallel relations between the Federal Republic of

    Yugoslavia and Republika Srpska represent a people's basic right,

    the legality and legitimacy of which is founded on constitutional

    provisions. Every delay, not only of the signing of documentation,

    but of the full implementation of that right is a direct threat both to

    the interests of the Serb people and to the constitutional and legal

    order in both countries.

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    Special parallel relations will be a powerful contribution to

    integration processes in Southeastern Europe and, what is more

    important, will contribute to the development of a process of

    establishing truth and true causes of all forms of conflict among

    peoples in the region which may be one of the first steps toward

    the creation of lasting peace in the region.

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    International Organizations and Forces

    in the Balkans Nominal Set of Interest Groups without Concrete

    Responsibility or Clear Solutions

    Since the signing of the Dayton Paris Peace Accords to the

    adoption of resolutions and documents that define the presence of

    members of international organizations and forces in Kosovo andMetohija, there have been representatives of many organizations

    and military forces primarily under the control of NATO in the

    region of Southeastern Europe.

    The key organizations that have their missions and forces here are:

    United Nations Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe NATO Office of the High Representative in Bosnia and HerzegovinaAll these organizations have the defined goals of peacekeeping and

    creation of conditions for a lasting peace in the region within the

    scope of their mandates. Since not even a temporary, let alone a

    lasting peace is on the horizon anywhere in the region, it is

    necessary to briefly analyze the achievements of all these missions

    since their goals in general have not been achieved in one singlerespect.

    The United Nations is present with two key missions: the U.N.

    Mission in Bosnia and Herzegovina and the U.N. Mission in

    Kosovo and Metohija (UNMIK). The U.N. Mission in Bosnia and

    Herzegovina, whose responsibilities include the implementation of

    Annex 11 of the General Framework Agreement (the Agreement

    on International Police Task Force), exhausts itself, as a rule,through applying pressure on the Serb side with the goal of

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    creating joint organs and institutions which are not in accordance

    with the Bosnia and Herzegovina Constitution, while its

    fundamental task as defined by Article 1, Sections 1 and 2 (relating

    to Civilian Law Enforcement) is implemented sporadically or not

    at all.

    During 1999 and 2000, the Mission focused all its energies on the

    formation of an institution called the "state border patrol of Bosnia

    and Herzegovina" which is not foreseen by the Bosnia and

    Herzegovina Constitution at all. It is, in fact, an imposed

    institution that practically represents a source of discord among the

    entities and peoples instead of a confidence-building measure.The most well known organization under the U.N. Mission is the

    IPTF (International Police Task Force) whose engagement even

    laymen recognize as being unprofessional. The IPTF's greatest

    success so far has been an operation during which approximately

    150 prostitutes in the district of Brcko were arrested. Also worthy

    of mention is the nightclub scandal in Prijedor where individual

    members of the IPTF ran a classic extortion racket, demandingpayoffs from club owners. Once exposed, this resulted in a huge

    media scandal that was promptly hushed up.

    The U.N. Mission in Kosovo and Metohija has also failed to

    achieve even the barest minimum of the tasks assigned to it by

    U.N. Security Council Resolution 1244. The end result of the

    work, or lack thereof, of the Mission in practical terms is the

    disappearance of virtually the entire non-Albanian population fromthe territory of Kosovo and Metohija.

    The Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe is very

    active within the scope of its Mission in Bosnia and Herzegovina,

    especially with regard to the organization and implementation of

    elections, as well as the preparation of election regulations;

    however, none of the results achieved by the Mission can be

    described as confidence-building.

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    The bias of the OSCE Mission in its work is especially apparent

    during the process and procedure of enacting the permanent

    election law where they have practically taken sides with the

    Bosniacs and completely articulated their interests while simply

    ignoring the interests of the other two peoples in Bosnia and

    Herzegovina.

    One of the most significant aspects of the OSCE Mission is the

    Department for Regional Stabilization which was formed with the

    goal of assisting in the implementation of Articles 2, 4 and 5 of

    Annex 1B of the General Framework Agreement. Annex 1B is the

    Agreement on Regional Stabilization. Article 2 relates toConfidence- and Security-Building Measures, Article 4 defines

    Measures for Sub-Regional Arms Control and Article 5 is the

    Regional Arms Control Agreement.

    If we take into consideration only the fact that nothing at all has

    been done to date on the implementation of Article 5, while the

    implementation of Articles 2 and 4 have been permanently marked

    by the decided presence of a tendency toward compromising ofone of the basic rights of the entities (the right to a system of

    defense), in this respect, too, the OSCE mission is not acting like a

    factor for building confidence.

    NATO forces in the region are deployed in two key formations:

    SFOR (stabilization forces in Bosnia and Herzegovina) and KFOR

    (forces in Kosovo and Metohija).

    The stabilization forces in Bosnia and Herzegovina have evolvedfrom forces for keeping and stabilizing the peace into forces which

    practically have no controls and have taken upon themselves even

    the right to influence the appointment of senior military officials in

    the entities. Completely overstepping their mandate, they have

    formed a phantom body called the General Inspectorate" which

    has no basis in any document of the General Framework

    Agreement.

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    Especially characteristic is the behavior of these forces in the field

    where they assume the right of being able "to do anything they

    want" without being accountable to anyone. The treatment of the

    local population can be most closely described as that of an

    occupying force.

    KFOR (NATO forces deployed in Kosovo and Metohija) have

    achieved even less than this, resulting in the granting of

    permission, although reluctantly, by all significant factors for

    forces of the Federal Republic of Yugoslavia to enter the Ground

    Safety Zone.

    These forces under the direct command of NATO (with theexception of the Russian contingent) have neither the will nor the

    capability to fulfill their mandate and in the future will continue to

    be only a generator of conflict instead of a peacekeeping force.

    The Office of the High Representative (OHR) in Bosnia and

    Herzegovina was established in accordance with Annex 10 of the

    General Framework Agreement with the goal of implementing the

    civil part of the agreement.Over time, the OHR has become an institution that concerns itself

    with everything except what is defined as its task by Annex 10,

    Article 2 of the General Framework Agreement. The High

    Representative has directed his activities toward the imposing of

    signatures, laws and solutions; his area of expertise is the removal

    from office of legally elected officials in direct violation of

    Paragraph 7.9 of the Document of the Second Meeting of theConference on the Human Dimension of the Conference on

    Security and Cooperation in Europe held in Copenhagen in 1990

    which is an integral part of Annex 3 of the General Framework

    Agreement and which states: "To ensure that the will of the people

    serves as the basis of the authority of government, the participating

    States will ensure that candidates who obtain the necessary number

    of votes required by law are duly installed in office and arepermitted to remain in office until their term expires or is

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    otherwise brought to an end in a manner that is regulated by law in

    conformity with democratic parliamentary and constitutional

    procedures."

    A large number of international organizations and forces are

    present in the region of Southeastern Europe; however, their

    accomplishments are very small or nonexistent and consequently,

    their presence in the region cannot be justified. They do not

    represent a factor of stability but a nominal set of interest groups

    without concrete responsibility.

    A detailed analysis of defined goals and results of all organizations

    and forces should be conducted in order to redefine goals andcreate forces and organizations which can serve as factors of

    stability and which will contribute to the stabilization of the region

    and its development in the future.

    An analysis and redefinition of goals should be conducted with full

    participation of representatives of all peoples living in the region,

    taking into account the individual arguments of every people.

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    Conflicts and Contradictions in

    Southeastern Europe Need for Objective Determination of Causes of

    Conflict in the Region as a Prerequisite on Path to

    Truth and/or Reconciliation

    The region of Southeastern Europe, especially that part of the

    region that includes the territory of the former Yugoslavia, hasbeen caught up in many social processes of both integration and

    disintegration. The basic characteristic of every change thus far has

    been bloody armed conflict that appears to have become the only

    means of resolving conflicts and as yet unsolved problems ranging

    from territorial to national to religious issues.

    The most recent conflict which began at the end of the 20th

    century and is continuing at the same level of intensity at thebeginning of the 21st century has obviously demonstrated that

    many lessons from history have not been mastered and, what is

    more, that they have been poorly copied from history texts and that

    they will therefore remain a continuous source of all forms of

    conflict in the region for a long time to come.

    In order to finally begin defining the causes of conflict in the

    region, it is necessary to comprehensively review all factors whichcaused tensions, clashes and conflicts both generally with respect

    to the whole region and individually for each people living in the

    region as a national community and involved in previous clashes in

    any way.

    Such a huge undertaking aiming to provide the necessary

    conditions for peaceful development of all nations in the region

    can be realized if it is approached with several basic principles,which should be unconditionally accepted by all nations. The basic

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    principles on which the definition of causes of conflict can be

    based are:

    Truthful approach to all events and processes that caused theclashes

    Transparency in research and free access to archives Both individual and institutional accountability Consensus in definition of individual and group causes of

    clashes

    Objectivity and an unbiased approached in research andpresentation of the results of the investigationIf one were to approach a project as enormous as the definition of

    truth in the clashes in the region, such a project needs to enjoy full

    legality and legitimacy among all peoples and it needs to mark a

    clearly defined road that leads to lasting peace and prosperous

    development.

    The imposition of solutions and a priori judgments and divisions

    of peoples into "good guys and bad guys" are condemned in

    advance not only to fail but possibly to serve as initiators of new

    clashes themselves.

    At a time when the situation in the region still cannot be described

    as post-war since there is an ongoing armed conflict in Macedonia,

    Kosovo and Metohija is under the rule of an undefined protectorate

    of international forces, and the territory of the entities of Republika

    Srpska and the Bosnia and Herzegovina Federation (the state of

    Bosnia and Herzegovina per the Dayton Paris Peace Accords) is

    under unprecedented pressure to reduce the constitutional rights of

    the Serb people, there is still not one single institution on the

    horizon which could approach these complex issues in a competent

    manner.

    The definition of causes of conflict and the providing of an

    objective and truthful judgment regarding conflicts in Southeastern

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    Europe is essential. It is necessary to begin planning, organizing

    and realizing a project with this defined goal as soon as possible.

    The key word in this entire activity should be "truth" because this

    will ensure objectivity and the results would then serve the

    function of establishing lasting peace in the region.

    The truth which will serve as the basis of reconciliation and, later,

    of further positive development of events and the basis for

    peaceful development of all nations can only be provided by legal

    and legitimate representatives of all peoples in the region with

    consistent respect for the principles of objective historical truth

    and the adoption of conclusions by consensus.

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    II. DAYTON PARIS PEACE ACCORDS

    STABILIZATION OR WAY INTO NEW

    CONFLICTS

    War in the Region of Bosnia and Herzegovina

    Causes Have Not Been Resolved

    War and armed conflicts in the region of the former Yugoslavia,

    including Bosnia and Herzegovina, have deep historical, political

    and social roots and represent the consequence of unresolved

    conflicts within society between people who live in this region but

    also, to a large extent, the consequence which is expressed through

    the promotion of the interests of the great and regional powers in

    this area.A short walk through history shows us that time in this region,

    unfortunately, can be measured only by short intervals of peace

    between wars, none of which have served to resolve the

    contradictions which brought them about and all of which have

    sown the seed for some future war and armed conflict.

    The most recent war (and it is our wish and hope that it was truly

    the last war) waged in this region was the consequence of manythings left unmentioned in the social order of both Yugoslavias as

    well as of the negative influence of certain circles of power in

    certain international organizations and institutions (the working

    principles of the Badenter Commission*) which saw in the

    destruction of the Yugoslav state the opportunity for the realization

    of monopolistic goals in Southeastern Europe and thus left no

    opportunity whatsoever for the survival of Yugoslavia as a state.

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    The basic problem in the implementation of the civil portion of the

    DPA is that the joint institutions at the Bosnia and Herzegovina

    level (according to Article 3, Section 1 of the Constitution) truly

    need to represent the interests of both Republika Srpska and the

    Bosnia and Herzegovina Federation, while everything else should

    be left to the discretion of the entities. What we see instead is a

    neglect of the entity institutions and the creation by force of joint

    or unitary institutions for matters which are within the jurisdiction

    of the entities, such as education, culture, sports, defense,

    judiciary, etc.

    Of exceptional detriment to the implementation of the DPA inaccordance with the letter of the agreement and in the spirit of

    tolerance is the practice of imposing legislative solutions (laws) as

    well as the threats which are regularly issued by representatives of

    certain institutions (e.g., you cannot join Europe with two armies)

    because every imposed solution and deprivation of rights creates

    lack of confidence and makes progress all the more difficult.

    The future of Bosnia and Herzegovina will develop in one of twodirections:

    1. In the development of a complex, decentralized society of thebasis of understanding, tolerance, the realization of the

    interests of all people, the rule of law and the creation of the

    sense of freedom starting from the individual and including all

    three peoples as wholes which are organized into two self-

    sufficient entities which will join, by virtue of joint policiesboth at the level of Bosnia and Herzegovina and at the level of

    the entities, the integration processes in Southeastern Europe

    and serve as a model of confidence-building; or

    2. In the imposition of a centralized system in which the keymethod of work will be the marginalization and the imposition

    of the will of the Muslim majority on the other peoples,

    causing a decrease in the level of confidence and serving as a

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    constant generator of all kinds and forms of social conflict,

    including the most serious form, armed conflict.

    The fundamental cause of the most recent armed conflict in the

    region of Bosnia and Herzegovina was the real danger of the

    physical destruction of the Serb people while the Dayton Paris

    Peace Accords has created realistic preconditions, through its

    implementation, for the creation of necessary prerequisites for the

    elimination of the causes of armed and all other forms of conflict.

    * On 4 July 1992 the Arbitrary Commission of the EC (the so-

    called Badenter Commission) published three opinions on the

    questions put in the letter of 18 May 1992 forwarded by LordCarrington, Chairman of the Conference on Yugoslavia. In the

    Opinion No. 8 the Commission considered "that the process of

    dissolution of Socialist Federal Republic of Yugoslavia has come

    to the end and it should be recognized that Socialist Federal

    Republic of Yugoslavia does not exist any longer". In the Opinion

    No. 9 the Commission considered "that states successors of

    Socialist Federal Republic of Yugoslavia should come to termsand by making agreement settle all issues related to succession". In

    the opinion No. 10 it was said that "the Federal Republic of

    Yugoslavia (Serbia and Montenegro) appears as a new state which

    could not be considered the exclusive successor of Socialist

    Federal Republic of Yugoslavia" and that "its possible recognition

    on the part of member countries would depend on fulfillment of

    terms provided by general international law as well by thedeclaration and directives of 16 December 1991".

    (Serbian Unity Congress, Yugoslav Crisis 1992,

    http://suc.suc.org/politics/chronology/chron92.html)

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    Dayton Paris Peace Accords

    Joint and Separate Present Situation andFuture Prospects

    The Dayton Paris Peace Accords (also known as the General

    Framework Agreement for Peace in Bosnia and Herzegovina)

    ended an extended conflict in the former Yugoslav republic and

    defined preconditions for the organization of a system that wouldreduce the possibility of renewed conflicts in the region.

    Annexes to the General Framework Agreement (GFA) created a

    legal framework for peaceful development, the key concept

    enabling this being the development of Bosnia and Herzegovina

    with two completely equal entities: Republika Srpska and the

    Bosnia and Herzegovina Federation.

    Article V of the GFA states that "The Parties welcome and endorsethe arrangements that have been made concerning the Constitution

    of Bosnia and Herzegovina, as set forth in Annex 4. The Parties

    shall fully respect and promote fulfillment of the commitments

    made therein."

    Article III of the Bosnia and Herzegovina Constitution, in which

    the responsibilities and relationships between Bosnia and

    Herzegovina institutions are defined, explicitly lists in its firstparagraph the responsibilities of the Bosnia and Herzegovina

    government as follows:

    Foreign policy Foreign trade policy Customs policy Monetary policy Finances of the institutions and for the internationalobligations of Bosnia and Herzegovina

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    Immigration, refugee, and asylum policy and regulation International and inter-Entity criminal law enforcement,

    including relations with Interpol

    Establishment and operation of common and internationalcommunications facilities

    Regulation of inter-entity transportation Air traffic controlArticle 3, Paragraph 3(a) of the Constitution states that "All

    governmental functions and powers not expressly assigned in this

    Constitution to the institutions of Bosnia and Herzegovina shall bethose of the Entities."

    Despite the fact that almost six years have passed since the signing

    of the Dayton Paris Peace Accords and that, in addition to local

    organs, a large number of highly ranked international

    organizations are also working on its implementation, a qualitative

    shift in the organization of the joint institutions as defined by

    Article III, Paragraph 1 of the Constitution still has not occurred.

    It is especially characteristic that in the creation of foreign policy,

    a function which rests primarily with the joint institutions, a

    solution which will satisfy the interests of the peoples and entities

    is not even on the horizon nor do the will or desire exist to

    organize this highly significant segment as an expression of the

    will and interests of the peoples and entities.

    Instead of focusing on the joint institutions which are either not

    developing or are developing slowly, almost all international

    factors are applying tremendous pressure to minimize the functions

    of the entities and, in some cases, to do away with them altogether

    which is in direct contradiction with the provisions of the

    Constitution.

    Almost all functions and powers of the entities are being attacked

    by politicians from the Bosnia and Herzegovina Federation and

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    representatives of international organizations, the most

    characteristic being as follows:

    Existence of Republika Srpska Defense system Organized sports School systemThe orchestrated campaign for the so-called cantonization of

    Bosnia and Herzegovina, which was initiated from one of the

    world centers for the purpose of creating of crisis flashpoints and

    whose most vocal spokesmen are representatives of the current

    government of the Republic of Croatia, with the full assistance of

    politicians and political parties whose membership is one hundred

    percent Bosniac, has only one goal - the abrogation and complete

    erasure of Republika Srpska from the political map and, with it, of

    the Serb national presence west of the Drina River.

    Despite the indisputable fact that Republika Srpska is one of the

    most stable systems in the region, with fully implemented election

    results, with all functions which belong to it in accordance with the

    Bosnia and Herzegovina Constitution and its own Constitution,

    and ensuring of high standards of a democratic society, it is being

    exposed to very powerful and unjustified attacks which encroach

    on its very being and bring its survival into question.

    The defense system of Republika Srpska is under permanent

    pressure, from daily demands to reduce numbers of personnel and

    equipment to reducing its budget, although the Republic of Srpska

    Army (VRS) has fully met its obligations which were signed in

    documents implementing Articles II (Confidence- and Security-

    Building Measures) and IV (Measures for Sub-Regional Arms

    Control) of Annex 1B (Agreement on Regional Stabilization) of

    the General Framework Agreement.

    This fundamental right of the Serb people (the right to defense) is

    thus brought into question; at the same time, the attempt is being

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    made to take advantage of the weaknesses which are occurring in

    the Bosnia and Herzegovina Federation to impose a solution on

    some kind of joint defense system which would be nothing more

    than but a practical generator of some new kind of armed conflict

    in the near future.

    Even though nowhere is it stated nor in any document defined that

    organized sports fall under the jurisdiction of joint organs,

    representatives of individual sports associations are insisting on

    joint organs, competitions and leagues, at the same time cruelly

    blackmailing athletes from Republika Srpska by placing conditions

    on their participation in international competitions.Athletes and sports organizations from Republika Srpska ask for

    nothing more than what already exists in international sports and

    that is the principle of organization as agreed upon, for example, in

    Denmark between Denmark and the Faeroe Islands, a model which

    is also applicable to Republika Srpska and the Bosnia and

    Herzegovina Federation.

    All peoples, including the Serbs, are sensitive to the organizationof their school system; despite the fact that organization of the

    school system in its entirety falls under the jurisdiction of

    Republika Srpska, there is at present continuous pressure to create

    so-called joint plans and programs of instruction even though the

    existing plans and programs of instruction which are presently in

    effect in Republika Srpska were created in accordance with the

    highest pedagogical standards.In this case as well, the attempt is being made to transfer

    weaknesses that are occurring in the Bosnia and Herzegovina

    Federation (due to the failure to achieve cooperation between the

    Croats and the Bosniacs) to Republika Srpska. The most powerful

    attacks are on the ties nurtured by the Serb people with their

    compatriots in central Serbia with attempts being made by

    representatives of international organizations and the Bosnia andHerzegovina Federation to sever every tie between the Serb people

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    in Republika Srpska and the Serb people in the Federal Republic

    of Yugoslavia at any price.

    These are just brief statements by way of comment on some

    elements that fall under the jurisdiction of Republika Srpska but

    are under constant pressure to merge into some kind of "joint

    institutions" with the goal of taking away or stealing from the Serb

    people its basic right to existence, defense and education.

    There are may other areas in the Republika Srpska social system

    which are under similar constant pressure including the media, the

    judicial system, internal affairs, etc., each of which deserves a

    separate analysis, commentary and approach.The Dayton Paris Peace Accords ended an armed conflict in the

    region of the former Yugoslav republic of Bosnia and Herzegovina

    and created preconditions for all three peoples and two entities to

    organize a system in which they will be able to live without

    marginalization of any people by any other people or either entity

    by the other entity.

    Initiatives for the revision of the Dayton Paris Peace Accords or,even worse, for solutions that are not in accordance with the letter

    and the spirit of that agreement, represent a direct threat to

    confidence and peace between the entities as well as throughout

    the region.

    By developing joint institutions while at the same time enabling

    and demonstrating respect for the development of entity functions

    and institutions, healthy preconditions would be created forpeaceful development in a democratic environment and ambience

    which will radiate confidence among all factors comprising

    Republika Srpska, the Bosnia and Herzegovina Federation and

    Bosnia and Herzegovina as defined by constitutional solutions, and

    the will of both entities and all three peoples.

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    Framework of the Dayton Paris Peace Accords

    Experiment by Representatives ofInternational Organizations and

    Local Political Hacks

    The General Framework Agreement for Peace in Bosnia and

    Herzegovina (the Dayton Paris Peace Accords) was created duringthe period between November 1 and November 21, 1995 at

    Wright-Patterson Air Force Base in Dayton, Ohio and signed in

    Paris on December 1995. Its legal character classifies it as a peace

    agreement between warring sides, namely, the peoples living in the

    region of the former Socialist Republic of Bosnia and

    Herzegovina. The agreement has 11 annexes, which, together with

    the General Framework Agreement, became the basis for furtheractivities by both the local government as well as numerous

    (military and civilian) representatives of international

    organizations.

    These documents define Bosnia and Herzegovina comprised of

    two equal entities and three equal peoples with joint functions

    defined with crystal-like clarity in Article III, Section 1 of Annex 4

    (the Constitution of Bosnia and Herzegovina). Also explicitlystated is that "All governmental functions and powers not

    expressly assigned in this Constitution to the institutions of Bosnia

    and Herzegovina shall be those of the Entities (Article III, Section

    3(1) of the Constitution).

    Present in the realization (or as it more frequently termed -

    implementation) of this agreement five years after its signing is

    the activity of representatives of international organizationsfavoring one people (the Bosniacs) and the striving to transform

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    the institutions of the entities into very firm centralized

    institutions. There have even been open calls for the

    "discontinuation" of the entities altogether on the part of certain

    local politicians and official representatives of the Republic of

    Croatia.

    Although the constitutional and legal framework is clear and

    unambiguous, certain local politicians from the ranks of the

    Bosniac people are taking advantage of the situation to demand

    that international mediators centralize all forms of social life that

    fall under the jurisdiction of Republika Srpska. Representatives of

    international organizations either tacitly support them or actuallyincite them to such actions. To date, there has not been a single

    instance of even an attempt to sanction the unconstitutional

    activities of representatives of the Bosniac and Croatian peoples.

    Especially curious are the frequent statements by senior officials of

    the Republic of Croatia (the President, the Prime Minister and the

    Deputy Speaker of the Parliament) who on several occasions

    already have made public statements calling for the abolishment ofRepublika Srpska. The most blunt was certainly the statement of

    the Croatian prime minister in the Croatian weekly "Globus" of

    May 18, 2001 that "Republika Srpska most certainly should be

    abolished. The abolishment of Republika Srpska in the prerequisite

    for the stability of Bosnia and Herzegovina."

    Such a statement, which represents flagrant interference in the

    affairs of others and a call for the abolishment of the rights of onepeople, was not met with any sort of condemnation by any of the

    numerous representatives of organizations whose mandates specify

    protection or rights and creation of a framework for a stable peace

    in Republika Srpska and the Federation of Bosnia and

    Herzegovina as well as throughout the Southeastern European

    region which can only lead us to conclude that they support such

    tendencies.

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    A second example is even more scandalous in the diplomatic

    sense. The Bosniac member of the Bosnia and Herzegovina

    Presidency, following a meeting of the three members of the

    Bosnia and Herzegovina Presidency with the President of the

    Federal Republic of Yugoslavia, was asked at a press conference

    whether Republika Srpska should be abolished to which he replied,

    succinctly and clearly, "Yes, of course."

    Of course, this statement also did not meet with any kind of

    reaction on the part of international mediators, despite the fact that

    it is obviously unconstitutional and that it represents a direct attack

    on the fundamental rights of one people - the Serbs.If we analyze just these examples of selective and biased behavior

    on the part of representatives of international organizations and the

    offensive tactics of politicians from the ranks of the Bosniac and

    Croatian people toward the Serbian people and Republika Srpska,

    we must conclude that this approach is completely outside the

    constitutional and legal framework and represents a bad

    experiment which strives to enable outvoting by one or twopeoples constituting a majority of the third people. That is the very

    thing the creation of the General Framework Agreement sought to

    prevent.

    The Dayton Paris Peace Accords provided an institutional basis for

    the securing of peace and development in Republika Srpska and

    the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina. Only through its

    implementation in every instance can tensions be reduced and thepossibility of conflict in all its forms be avoided in the near future.

    Tolerance of unconstitutional statements by certain representatives

    of the Bosniac and Croatian peoples by representatives of

    international institutions not only fails to contribute to the building

    of stability and confidence but also represents a direct threat to the

    peaceful development of both entities and the three peoples living

    in them.

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    Only the consistent and complete implementation of the Dayton