governance: challenging orthodoxies through the power of data

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1 Governance Matters – Democracia, Politicas Institucionales y Desarrollo: Nuevos Desafios de lecciones empiricas Daniel Kaufmann, The World Bank Apertura del Semestre Academico de la Universidad UOC Barcelona, 9 de Marzo

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Governance Matters – Democracia, Politicas Institucionales y Desarrollo: Nuevos Desafios de lecciones empiricas Daniel Kaufmann, The World Bank Apertura del Semestre Academico de la Universidad UOC Barcelona, 9 de Marzo. Governance: Challenging Orthodoxies through the Power of Data. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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  • Governance Matters Democracia, Politicas Institucionales y Desarrollo:Nuevos Desafios de lecciones empiricas Daniel Kaufmann, The World Bank Apertura del Semestre Academico de la Universidad UOC Barcelona, 9 de Marzo

  • Governance: Challenging Orthodoxies through the Power of Data

    Good Governance and Democracy a Luxury good?Improved Governance by Enforcement (vs. Incentives)?Improved Governance = Control of Corruption?Governance as a Public Sector Challenge?Administrative Bribery as key Corruption challenge?Unreliability & Unavailability of Data in governance?

    These orthodoxies will be answered in the negative

  • Una Encuesta Instantanea:

    El Sobre con dinero en el estacionamento...

    En el estacionamento, solo/a, encuentras un sobre con US$2,000

    Que haces con el sobre?

  • Test, parte 1:

    A. If no possibility that anyone could know

    Yellow lightGreen lightRed light [Si no hay supervision, o camara, nadie]

  • Test, parte 2: La misma pregunta anterior, parte B donde hay ahora un 30% de probabilidad de que hay una camara oculta en el estacionamiento que quizas es supervisada

  • Broadening Analytical Framework: Governance: A working definition Governance is the process and institutions by which authority in a country is exercised: (1) the process by which governments are selected, held accountable, monitored, and replaced; (2) the capacity of governments to manage resources efficiently, and to formulate, implement, and enforce sound policies and regulations; and, (3) the respect for the institutions that govern economic and social interactions among them

  • Operationalizing Governance: Unbundling its Definition into Components that can be measured, analyzed, and worked onEach of the 3 main components of Governance Definition is unbundled into 2 subcomponents:Voice and AccountabilityPolitical Stability and lack of Violence&TerrorQuality Regulatory FrameworkGovernment EffectivenessControl of CorruptionRule of Law

    We measure these six governance components

  • Control of Corruption: one Aggregate Indicator (selected countries from 155 worldwide, for illustration, based on 1998 research data*)Source: Governance Matters, PRWP 2196 by Kaufmann, Kraay and Zoido. http://www.worldbank.org/wbi/governance/POORGOODCorruption LevelMargin of ErrorGood Corruption Control

  • Rule of Law Index, 2001 (preliminary, selected countries): Failed States, in Crisis, Vulnerable, Out of DangerRankings were calculated on the basis of 2001 country estimates. Source: KKZ01. PreliminaryPoorGood

  • Governance Indicators for Angola, 1997/98-2000/01Note: the thin lines depict 90% confidence intervals. Source: KKZ Governance Research Indicators 2002. Chart and data downloaded from web-interactive program at : http://www.worldbank.org/wbi/governance/govdata2001.htm

  • Traffic Light World MapsRule of Law 2000/01Source for data: http://www.worldbank.org/wbi/governance/govdata2001.htm ; Map downloaded from : http://info.worldbank.org/governance/kkz/gov2001map.asp Colors are assigned according to the following criteria: Red, 25% or less rank worse; Orange, between 25% and 50%; Yellow, between 50% and 75%; Light Green between 75% and 90% ; Dark Green above 90%

  • Traffic Light World MapsRule of Law Adjusted Rankings, 2000/01Source for data: http://www.worldbank.org/wbi/governance/govdata2001.htm ; Map downloaded from : http://info.worldbank.org/governance/kkz/gov2001mapYadj.asp Colors are assigned according to the following criteria: Red, 25% or less rank worse; Orange, between 25% and 50%; Yellow, between 50% and 75%; Light green between 75% and 90% ; Dark green over 90%

  • Traffic Light World MapsVoice and Accountability 2000/01Source for data: http://www.worldbank.org/wbi/governance/govdata2001.htm ; Map downloaded from : http://info.worldbank.org/governance/kkz/gov2001map.asp Colors are assigned according to the following criteria: Red, 25% or less rank worse; Orange, between 25% and 50%; Yellow, between 50% and 75%; Light Green between 75% and 90% ; Dark Green above 90%

  • Traffic Light World MapsVoice and Accountability Adjusted Rankings, 2000/01Source for data: http://www.worldbank.org/wbi/governance/govdata2001.htm ; Map downloaded from : http://info.worldbank.org/governance/kkz/gov2001mapYadj.asp Colors are assigned according to the following criteria: Red, 25% or less rank worse; Orange, between 25% and 50%; Yellow, between 50% and 75%; Light green between 75% and 90% ; Dark green over 90%

  • Traffic Light World Maps Control of Corruption 2000/01Source for data: http://www.worldbank.org/wbi/governance/govdata2001.htm ; Map downloaded from : http://info.worldbank.org/governance/kkz/gov2001map.asp Colors are assigned according to the following criteria: Red, 25% or less rank worse; Orange, between 25% and 50%; Yellow, between 50% and 75%; Light Green between 75% and 90% ; Dark Green above 90%

  • Traffic Light World Maps Control of Corruption Adjusted Rankings, 2000/01Source for data: http://www.worldbank.org/wbi/governance/govdata2001.htm ; Map downloaded from : http://info.worldbank.org/governance/kkz/gov2001mapYadj.asp Colors are assigned according to the following criteria: Red, 25% or less rank worse; Orange, between 25% and 50%; Yellow, between 50% and 75%; Light green between 75% and 90% ; Dark green over 90%

  • Traffic Light Map Latin AmericaControl of Corruption 2000/01Source for data: http://www.worldbank.org/wbi/governance/govdata2001.htm ; Map downloaded from : http://info.worldbank.org/governance/kkz/gov2001map.asp Colors are assigned according to the following criteria: Red, 25% or less rank worse; Orange, between 25% and 50%; Yellow, between 50% and 75%; Light Green between 75% and 90% ; Dark Green above 90%

  • Mapa Luz de Semaforo America LatinaControl de la Corrupcin 2000/01, Ajustado por IngresoFuente de datos: http://www.worldbank.org/wbi/governance/govdata2001.htm ; Grafico bajado de : http://info.worldbank.org/governance/kkz/gov2001map.asp Los colores estan assignados de acuerdo a los siguientes criterios: Rojo, 25% o menos ; Naranja, entre 25% y 50%; Amarillo, entre 50% y 75%; Verte, mas de 75%

  • Traffic Light Map Latin AmericaVoice and Accountability 2000/01Source for data: http://www.worldbank.org/wbi/governance/govdata2001.htm ; Map downloaded from : http://info.worldbank.org/governance/kkz/gov2001map.asp Colors are assigned according to the following criteria: Red, 25% or less rank worse; Orange, between 25% and 50%; Yellow, between 50% and 75%; Light Green between 75% and 90% ; Dark Green above 90%

  • Mapa Luz de Semaforo America LatinaVoz y Rendicin de Cuentas 2000/01, Ajustado por ingresoFuente de datos: http://www.worldbank.org/wbi/governance/govdata2001.htm ; Grafico bajado de : http://info.worldbank.org/governance/kkz/gov2001map.asp Los colores estan assignados de acuerdo a los siguientes criterios: Rojo, 25% o menos ; Naranja, entre 25% y 50%; Amarillo, entre 50% y 75%; Verte, mas de 75%

  • Zimbabwe Over Time (vs. Botswana)6 Aggregate Governance Indicators (Percentile Rankings, 1997-98 / 2000-01)Rankings were calculated on the basis of 2001 and 1998 country estimates. Sources: KKZ98/KKZ01. Number of countries in worldwide sample, depending on component of governance ranges between 161 and 194.

  • The Dividend of Good Governance:

  • Probabilidad de Perder su Inversion Extranjera por Corrupcion(Dentro de 5 anhos. SP/DRI, 2000, Algunos paises selectos; sujeto a margen de error, ilustrativo)

    Probability of Losing FDI due to CorruptionCon CertezaNo pierde [%]

  • Lower Income Households Pay DisproportionallyBribe/Total Income ratio % ( A Latin American Country )

  • Romania: Disproportionally Negative Impact on the Poor

  • Citizen Voice Improves Accessibility of Public Services to the PoorBased on Public Officials Survey. The sample of institutions includes 44 national, departmental, and municipal agencies which are a prior anticipated to be accessible to the poor

  • Citizen Voice Helps Control Bribery in country in LatAm Based on 90 national, departmental, and municipal agencies covered in the Bolivia Public Officials Survey.

    Chart4

    46.2943.45-5-5Low

    39.0236.84Moderate_Low

    28.5831.16Moderate_High

    21.424.8266High

    Simple Average Association

    Control Causal Link

    Margin of Error

    Voice / External Accountability

    Bribery

    all3

    all3

    45.4946.21-11.288

    32.9132.80

    23.1620.6811.288

    Simple Average Association Between Transparency and Corruption

    Controlled Causal Link of Transparency on Corruption

    Internal Transparency

    Frequency of Bribery

    construct3

    6.3324.95

    35.3633.88

    Simple Average Association Between Autonomy and Corruption

    Controlled Causal Link of Autonomy on Corruption

    Frequency of Bribery

    all4

    38.4736.399

    35.533.8357

    27.7230.6239

    Simple Average Association Between Wages and Corruption

    Controlled Causal Link of Wages on Corruption

    Wage Satisfaction

    Frequency of Bribery

    construct4

    22.3437.1118

    43.733.9769

    36.3730.4671

    Simple Average Association Between Voice and Corruption

    Controlled Causal Link of Voice on Corruption

    Voice

    Frequency of Bribery

    effect

    51.8255.0519

    59.6560.1275

    70.5365.279

    Simple Average Association Between Resources and Service Delivery

    Controlled Causal Link of Resources on Service Delivery

    Resources

    Service Delivery Performance

    Sheet2

    29.6126.97

    36.4931.09

    34.9536.33

    Simple Average Association Between Politicization and Corruption

    Controlled Causal Link of Policitization on Corruption

    Politicization

    Frequency of Bribery

    Sheet1

    45.4946.21-11.288

    32.9132.80

    23.1620.6811.288

    Simple Average Association Between Transparency and Corruption

    Controlled Causal Link of Transparency on Corruption

    Internal Transparency

    Frequency of Bribery

    Sheet6

    6.3324.952.4402

    35.3633.88-12.9646

    Simple Average Association Between Autonomy and Corruption

    Controlled Causal Link of Autonomy on Corruption

    Frequency of Bribery

    38.4736.399-4.2432422

    35.533.83570

    27.7230.62394.2717278

    Simple Average Association Between Wages and Corruption

    Controlled Causal Link of Wages on Corruption

    Wage Satisfaction

    Frequency of Bribery

    5454.572.3904

    59.1959.860.1730737705

    6865.8-2.3572

    Simple Average Association Between Voice and Service Delivery

    Controlled Causal Link of Voice on Service Delivery

    Voice

    Quality of Services

    51.8255.05192.18705

    59.6560.12750

    70.5365.279-2.2975064

    Simple Average Association Between Resources and Service Delivery

    Controlled Causal Link of Resources on Service Delivery

    Resources

    Service Delivery Performance

    29.6126.973.0212

    36.4931.090

    34.9536.33-2.2908

    Simple Average Association Between Politicization and Corruption

    Controlled Causal Link of Policitization on Corruption

    Politicization

    Frequency of Bribery

    TransparencyTransparencyControlled Causal Link of Transparency on CorruptionupperlowerSimple Average Association Between Transparency and CorruptiondifferenceMeritocracyControlled Causal Link of Meritocracy on CorruptionupperlowerSimple Average Association Between Meritocracy and Corruptiondifference

    Low52.7346.2142.860223487552.617376512545.49-11.2886.8Low53.4138.646636.458637914740.834562085345.49-4.3759241706

    Medium64.6432.833.731060142333.400739857732.9102.26Medium63.934.345734.196079146934.495320853132.91-0.2992417062

    High75.420.6825.48338612116.03961387923.1611.2886.8High76.7129.093631.433126066426.754073933621.344.6790521327

    64.2534.0364.6734.03

    -1.190.4234875445-0.410.1943127962

    AutonomyAutonomyControlled Causal Link of Autonomy on CorruptionupperlowerSimple Average Association Between Autonomy and Corruptiondifference

    Autonomous Agencies124.95216.332.44021.47

    Non-autonomous Agencies033.883635.36-12.9646-7.81

    62.4633.74

    -4.243.1879699248

    WageControlled Causal Link of Wages on CorruptionSimple Average Association Between Wages and Corruption

    Low21.0136.39939.133748837234.423051162838.47-4.24324222.55617

    Medium36.2733.835734.257646511633.805553488435.50

    High54.7730.623928.346251162833.056948837227.724.27172782.57333

    37.8933.74

    -0.18-0.1395348837

    VoiceControlled Causal Link of Voice on CorruptionSimple Average Association Between Voice and CorruptionVoiceControlled Causal Link of Voice on Service DeliverySimple Average Association Between Voice and Service Delivery

    Low38.5137.111835.599782062838.623817937222.34-3.0240358744Low38.5154.5756.011080327953.5477196721542.39041.44

    Medium52.1433.976933.870666816134.083133183943.7-0.2124663677Medium52.1459.8660.454236885260.281163114859.190.1730737705

    High67.430.467131.934768161428.999431838636.372.9353363229High67.465.865.428746721367.819853278768-2.3572-1.42

    33.7460.79

    53.1753.17

    -0.23-0.10313901350.410.0840163934

    ValuesControlled Causal Link of Values on CorruptionSimple Average Association Between Values and Corruption

    Low33.8435.968236.1922228740.1795771336.37-3.9873542601

    Medium50.8133.762134.039391928334.526208071734.52-0.4868161435

    High67.7331.562531.892904035928.889495964130.283.0034080717

    33.74

    50.98ResourcesControlled Causal Link of Resources on Service DeliverySimple Average Association Between Resources and Service Delivery

    -0.13-0.1048387097Low38.3355.051955.952403278753.458796721351.822.187051.3175

    Medium51.0660.127560.102174590259.747625409859.650

    High63.9965.27964.31714262366.13525737770.53-2.2975064-1.38404

    60.79

    51.27

    0.40.0785854617

    PoliticizationControlled Causal Link of Policitization on CorruptionSimple Average Association Between Politicization and Corruption

    Low21.9826.9737.696794170444.130605829629.613.02121.82

    Medium41.5731.0935.211587443937.604412556136.4900

    High57.9236.3333.137410313932.157589686134.95-2.2908-1.38

    33.74

    40.7

    0.340.1176470588

    RulesControlled Causal Link of Ill-Specified Rules on CorruptionSimple Average Association Between Ill-Specified Rules and Corruption

    Bad53.9840.902533.637242600933.470157399145.330.1670852018

    Medium63.233.987532.467584304930.398615695132.942.0689686099

    Good73.0726.58531.215466367727.110533632322.594.1049327354

    33.74

    63.53

    -0.75-0.1536885246

    00

    00

    00

    Simple Average Association Between Transparency and Corruption

    Controlled Causal Link of Transparency on Corruption

    Internal Transparency

    Frequency of Bribery

    00

    00

    Simple Average Association Between Autonomy and Corruption

    Controlled Causal Link of Autonomy on Corruption

    Frequency of Bribery

    00

    00

    00

    Simple Average Association Between Wages and Corruption

    Controlled Causal Link of Wages on Corruption

    Wage Satisfaction

    Frequency of Bribery

    00

    00

    00

    Simple Average Association Between Voice and Corruption

    Controlled Causal Link of Voice on Corruption

    Voice

    Frequency of Bribery

    00

    00

    00

    Simple Average Association Between Values and Corruption

    Controlled Causal Link of Values on Corruption

    Voice

    Service Delivery

    00

    00

    00

    Simple Average Association Between Politicization and Corruption

    Controlled Causal Link of Policitization on Corruption

    Politicization

    Frequency of Bribery

    00

    00

    00

    Simple Average Association Between Ill-Specified Rules and Corruption

    Controlled Causal Link of Ill-Specified Rules on Corruption

    Rules

    Frequency of Bribery

    00

    00

    00

    Simple Average Association Between Voice and Service Delivery

    Controlled Causal Link of Voice on Service Delivery

    Voice

    Service Delivery Performance

    00

    00

    00

    Simple Average Association Between Resources and Service Delivery

    Controlled Causal Link of Resources on Service Delivery

    Resources

    Service Delivery Performance

    00

    00

    00

    Simple Average Association Between Meritocracy and Corruption

    Controlled Causal Link of Meritocracy on Corruption

    Meritocracy

    Frequency of Bribery

    41.5436.7-4.482

    36.434.57

    31.832.91

    23.530.14.6646

    Simple Average Association Between Wages and Corruption

    Controlled Causal Link of Wages on Corruption

    Wage Satisfaction

    Frequency of Bribery

    50.6851.292.72242.7224

    56.3258.04

    60.9962.7

    73.669.85-2.6726-2.6726

    Simple Average Association Between Voice and Service Delivery

    Controlled Causal Link of Voice on Service Delivery

    Voice

    Quality of Services

    29.0327.484.4824.482

    3332.46

    3635.44

    3538.72-3.486-3.486

    Simple Average Association Between Politicization and Corruption

    Controlled Causal Link of Policitization on Corruption

    Politicization

    Frequency of Bribery

    6.3324.952.4402

    35.3633.88-12.9646

    Simple Average Association Between Autonomy and Corruption

    Controlled Causal Link of Autonomy on Corruption

    Frequency of Bribery

    29.0327.4830.95

    3332.4632.94

    3635.4434.26

    3538.7235.78

    Simple Average Association Between Politicization and Corruption

    Controlled Causal Link of Policitization on Corruption

    Politicization

    Frequency of Bribery

    6.3324.9521

    35.3633.8836

    Simple Average Association Between Autonomy and Corruption

    Controlled Causal Link of Autonomy on Corruption

    Frequency of Bribery

    TransparencyControlled Causal Link of Transparency on CorruptionSimple Average Association Between Transparency and Corruptiondifference

    Low49.8348.81-12.05167.26

    Moderately Low37.2935.743.13

    Moderately High28.9132.672.92

    High16.6417.9312.25087.38

    WageControlled Causal Link of Wages on CorruptionSimple Average Association Between Wages and CorruptionHigh36.739.54-4.4822.7

    Low36.741.54-4.4822.7Moderate_High34.5736.41.6

    Moderately Low34.5736.41.6Moderate_Low32.9135.81.54

    Moderately High32.9131.81.54Low30.123.54.66462.81

    High30.123.54.66462.81

    VoiceControlled Causal Link of Voice on Service DeliverySimple Average Association Between Voice and Service Delivery

    Low51.2950.682.72241.64

    Moderately Low58.0456.320.83

    Moderately High62.760.990.82

    High69.8573.6-2.67261.61

    PoliticizationControlled Causal Link of Policitization on CorruptionSimple Average Association Between Politicization and Corruption

    Low27.4829.034.4822.730.95

    Moderately Low32.46331.7132.94

    Moderately High35.44361.6434.26

    High38.7235-3.4862.135.78

    ResourcesControlled Causal Link of Resources on Service DeliverySimple Average Association Between Resources and Service Delivery

    Low5452.433.35322.02

    Moderately Low58.9354.441.35

    Moderately High62.2462.131.48

    High67.5974.04-3.4032.05

    RulesControlled Causal Link of Ill-Specified Rules on CorruptionSimple Average Association Between Ill-Specified Rules and Corruption

    Bad045.330

    Medium032.940

    Good022.590

    33.74

    0

    DIRECT

    QualityBribeTransparencyMeritocracyService QualityCorruption

    Corruption-0.110.00-0.13-0.11

    Meritocracy0.00-0.42-0.010.00-0.41

    Transparency0.00-1.140.000.12-1.19

    Resources0.400.000.000.000.400.00

    Voice0.380.010.140.170.41-0.23

    Politicization0.000.12-0.13-0.17-0.040.34

    Autonomy0.00-11.33-4.46-4.780.47-4.24

    Wage0.00-0.180.000.000.02-0.18

    Enforcement0.00-0.010.000.000.00-0.01

    Values0.00-0.130.000.000.01-0.13

    Rules0.000.00-0.660.00-0.080.75

    PerRules0.000.000.000.380.02-0.16

    PerRuleControlled Causal Link of Resources on Service DeliverySimple Average Association Between Resources and Service DeliveryVoiceControlled Causal Link of Resources on Service DeliverySimple Average Association Between Resources and Service DeliveryVoiceControlled Causal Link of Resources on Service DeliverySimple Average Association Between Resources and Service DeliveryAutonomyAutonomyControlled Causal Link of Autonomy on CorruptionupperlowerSimple Average Association Between Autonomy and CorruptiondifferenceBudget DiversionControlled Causal Link of Resources on Service DeliverySimple Average Association Between Resources and Service Delivery

    Low59.8956.572.87181.7359.86Low37.3138.895.0132-3.02Low43.0442.684.482-2.7Autonomous Agencies15.32216.9111.52046.94Low57.556.79-4.8142.9

    Moderate_Low62.4359.721.3562.42Moderate_Low47.7249.211.35Moderate_Low50.853.771.35Non-autonomous Agencies011.13611.186.32463.81Moderate_Low54.855.211.48

    Moderate_High65.0366.441.4865.03Moderate_High54.7453.561.48Moderate_High57.1258.791.4862.4633.74Moderate_High50.951.181.35

    High68.7875.39-3.03781.8368.8High63.962.86-4.8142.9High64.53262.66-4.4822.7High45.2144.825.0132-3.02

    Budget DiversionControlled Causal Link of Resources on Service DeliverySimple Average Association Between Resources and Service Delivery

    Low6162.015.0132-3.02

    Rule4Controlled Causal Link of Resources on Service DeliverySimple Average Association Between Resources and Service DeliveryTransparencyControlled Causal Link of Resources on Service DeliverySimple Average Association Between Resources and Service DeliveryModerate_Low5656.141.35

    Low8.8812.39-1.992-1.2Low45.7340.633.5856-2.16Rule4Controlled Causal Link of Resources on Service DeliverySimple Average Association Between Resources and Service DeliveryModerate_High5251.11.48

    Moderate_Low8.2710.981.35Moderate_Low49.547.291.35Low43.4546.29-54.32High4450-4.8142.9

    Moderate_High7.846.251.48Moderate_High52.97581.48Moderate_Low36.8439.021.35Simple Average AssociationControlled Causal Link

    High7.344.652.2411.35High57.557.7-3.35322.02Moderate_High31.1628.581.48Low13.2814.511.8

    High24.8221.464.91Moderately Low12.5111.55

    Moderately High9.59.5

    High8.96.941.87129.5250.6599526913

    7108.51

    484144.535

    5974

    26282742

    24182130

    111814.56

    71410.517

    242926.521

    7129.54

    101311.56Party finance (% of firms)Corruption

    1278222013.8251821.527258.44

    10714568.414020.535120.13

    PoliticiControlled Causal Link of Resources on Service DeliverySimple Average Association Between Resources and Service DeliveryControlled Causal Link of Resources on Service DeliverySimple Average Association Between Resources and Service Delivery414839444042.435152513357.14

    Low57583.43622.073.7167.97711.6229525058.844323.542425.97

    Moderate_Low59591.357.1664.9165282628281925.8421327.5104230.52

    Moderate_High62621.489.4462.963182430292926302226273036.35

    High6564-3.2038-1.9312.0760.57591.3821811129911.863520.524670.78

    1478889172018.5201777.27

    292432182024.621814.5112124.68

    1278557.44442429477.92

    131019141414655.54614.29

    181659263029.8272724.03

    40498212628.8353549.35

    1579111411.2131363.64

    433040333436424240.26

    13106121811.8101072.73

    222026141719.8272737.66

    353247242733242427.27

    201237292524.6202062.99

    854665.8111183.77

    443737212633292912.34

    548596.2449.09

    PerRuleControlled Causal Link of Resources on Service DeliverySimple Average Association Between Resources and Service DeliveryPerRuleControlled Causal Link of Resources on Service DeliverySimple Average Association Between Resources and Service DeliveryPerRuleControlled Causal Link of Resources on Service DeliverySimple Average Association Between Resources and Service Delivery

    Low59.8956.572.87181.7359.86Low59.8956.572.87181.7359.86Low59.8956.572.87181.7359.86

    Moderate_Low62.4359.721.3562.42Moderate_Low62.4359.721.3562.42Moderate_Low62.4359.721.3562.42

    Moderate_High65.0366.441.4865.03Moderate_High65.0366.441.4865.03Moderate_High65.0366.441.4865.03

    High68.7875.39-3.03781.8368.8High68.7875.39-3.03781.8368.8High68.7875.39-3.03781.8368.8

    ValueControlled Causal Link of Resources on Service DeliverySimple Average Association Between Resources and Service Delivery

    Low36.4741.43-4.4156-2.6659.86

    Moderate_Low34.38391.3562.42

    Moderate_High33.234311.4865.03

    High31.1219.624.2164-2.5468.8

    00-1.992

    00

    00

    002.241

    Simple Average Association Between Resources and Service Delivery

    Controlled Causal Link of Resources on Service Delivery

    Quality of Rules

    Budget Diversion

    003.58563.5856

    00

    00

    00-3.3532-3.3532

    Simple Average Association Between Resources and Service Delivery

    Politicization

    Quality of Services

    005.01325.0132

    00

    00

    00-4.814-4.814

    Simple Average Association Between Resources and Service Delivery

    Controlled Causal Link of Resources on Service Delivery

    Voice

    Accessibility to the Poor

    00

    00

    00

    00

    Simple Average Association Between Resources and Service Delivery

    Controlled Causal Link of Resources on Service Delivery

    Voice

    Poverty Reduction Impact

    00

    00

    00

    00

    Simple Average Association Between Resources and Service Delivery

    Controlled Causal Link of Resources on Service Delivery

    Internal Transparency

    Poverty Reduction Impact

    000

    000

    000

    000

    Simple Average Association Between Resources and Service Delivery

    Controlled Causal Link of Resources on Service Delivery

    Rules in Personnel Management

    Meritocracy

    002.87182.8718

    00

    00

    00-3.0378-3.0378

    &A

    Page &P

    Simple Average Association Between Resources and Service Delivery

    Controlled Causal Link of Resources on Service Delivery

    Rules in Personnel Management

    Meritocracy

    002.87182.8718

    00

    00

    00-3.0378-3.0378

    Simple Average Association Between Resources and Service Delivery

    Controlled Causal Link of Resources on Service Delivery

    Rules in Personnel Management

    Meritocracy

    00-5-5

    00

    00

    0066

    Simple Average Association Between Resources and Service Delivery

    Controlled Causal Link of Resources on Service Delivery

    Voice

    Frequency of Bribery

    002.4402

    00-12.9646

    Simple Average Association Between Autonomy and Corruption

    Controlled Causal Link of Autonomy on Corruption

    Job Purchases

    002.87182.8718

    00

    00

    00-3.0378-3.0378

    Simple Average Association Between Resources and Service Delivery

    Controlled Causal Link of Resources on Service Delivery

    Rules in Personnel Management

    Bribery

    00-4.4156

    00

    00

    004.2164

    Simple Average Association Between Resources and Service Delivery

    Controlled Causal Link of Resources on Service Delivery

    Voice

    Bribery

    001.6221.622

    00

    00

    001.3821.382

    Simple Average Association Between Resources and Service Delivery

    Politicization

    Meritocracy

    00-5

    00

    00

    006

    Simple Average Association Between Resources and Service Delivery

    Controlled Causal Link of Resources on Service Delivery

    Quality of Rules

    Frequency of Bribery

    00

    00

    00

    00

    Simple Average Association Between Resources and Service Delivery

    Controlled Causal Link of Resources on Service Delivery

    Voice

    Accessibility to the Poor

    00

    00

    00

    00

    Simple Average Association Between Resources and Service Delivery

    Controlled Causal Link of Resources on Service Delivery

    Budget Diversion

    Poverty Reduction Impact

    00

    00

    00

    00

    Simple Average Association Between Resources and Service Delivery

    Controlled Causal Link of Resources on Service Delivery

    Budget Diversion

    Accessibility to the Poor

    001.81.8

    00

    00

    001.81.8

    Simple Average Association

    Controlled Causal Link

    Transparency

    Job Purchase

    Simple Average AssociationControlled Causal Linkdifference

    Simple Average AssociationControlled Causal LinkdifferenceLow40.6345.73-5

    Low48.8149.83-12.0516Moderately Low47.2949.5

    Moderately Low35.7437.29Moderately High5652.97

    Moderately High32.6728.91High57.757.55

    High17.9316.6412.2508

    Rule4Controlled Causal Link of Resources on Service DeliverySimple Average Association Between Resources and Service Delivery

    Low43.4546.29-5

    Moderate_Low36.8439.02

    Moderate_High31.1628.58

    High24.8221.46

    00-12.0516-12.05160

    000

    000

    0012.250812.25080

    Simple Average Association

    Control Causal Link

    Margin of Error

    Internal Transparency

    Bribery

    00-5-50

    000

    000

    00550

    Simple Average Association

    Control Causal Link

    Margin of Error

    Internal Transparency

    Poverty Reduction Impact

    00-5-50

    000

    000

    00660

    Simple Average Association

    Control Causal Link

    Margin of Error

    Voice / External Acountability

    Bribery

    DIRECTThru CorruptionThru TransparencyThru Meritocracy

    QualityBribeTransparencyMeritocracyQualityBribeTransparencyMeritocracyQualityBribeTransparencyMeritocracyQualityBribeTransparencyMeritocracy

    Corruption-0.110.00-0.14-0.110.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00

    Meritocracy0.000.40-0.010.00-0.040.00-0.060.000.000.010.00-0.000.000.000.000.00

    Transparency0.00-1.170.000.110.130.000.000.130.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00

    Resources0.400.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00

    Voice0.380.040.150.18-0.000.00-0.01-0.000.00-0.180.000.000.000.00-0.000.00

    Politicization0.000.09-0.14-0.18-0.010.00-0.01-0.010.000.160.000.000.000.000.000.00

    Autonomy0.00-12.47-4.80-5.161.370.001.751.370.005.620.000.000.000.000.050.00

    Wage0.00-0.170.000.000.020.000.020.020.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00

    Enforcement0.00-0.100.000.000.010.000.010.010.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00

    Values0.00-0.130.000.000.010.000.020.010.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00

    Rules0.000.00-0.650.000.000.000.000.000.000.760.000.000.000.000.000.00

    PerRules0.000.000.000.380.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00-0.000.00

    DIRECTINDIRECTNET

    QualityBribeTransparencyMeritocracyQualityBribeTransparencyMeritocracyQualityBribeTransparencyMeritocracy

    Corruption-0.110.00-0.14-0.11Corruption0.000.000.000.00Corruption-0.110.00-0.14-0.11

    Meritocracy0.000.40-0.010.00Meritocracy-0.040.01-0.06-0.00Meritocracy-0.040.41-0.07-0.00

    Transparency0.00-1.170.000.11Transparency0.130.000.000.13Transparency0.13-1.170.000.24

    Resources0.400.000.000.00Resources0.000.000.000.00Resources0.400.000.000.00

    Voice0.380.040.150.18Voice-0.00-0.18-0.01-0.00Voice0.38-0.140.140.18

    Politicization0.000.09-0.14-0.18Politicization-0.010.16-0.01-0.01Politicization-0.010.25-0.15-0.19

    Autonomy0.00-12.47-4.80-5.16Autonomy1.375.621.801.37Autonomy1.37-6.85-3.00-3.79

    Wage0.00-0.170.000.00Wage0.020.000.020.02Wage0.02-0.170.020.02

    Enforcement0.00-0.100.000.00Enforcement0.010.000.010.01Enforcement0.01-0.100.010.01

    Values0.00-0.130.000.00Values0.010.000.020.01Values0.01-0.130.020.01

    Rules0.000.00-0.650.00Rules0.000.760.000.00Rules0.000.76-0.650.00

    PerRules0.000.000.000.38PerRules0.000.00-0.000.00PerRules0.000.00-0.000.38

    Corruption0%-1%0%

    Meritocracy100%3%85%100%

    Transparency100%0%54%

    Resources0%

    Voice-1%130%-5%-3%

    Politicization100%65%7%5%

    Autonomy100%-82%-60%-36%

    Wage100%0%100%100%

    Enforcement100%0%100%100%

    Values100%0%100%100%

    Rules100%0%

    PerRules100%0%

    0

  • Transparency within Government Agencies Prevents Purchase of Public PositionsBased on 90 national, departmental, and municipal agencies covered in the Public Officials Survey.

    Chart9

    13.2814.511.81.8Low

    12.5111.55Moderately Low

    9.59.5Moderately High

    8.96.941.81.8High

    Simple Average Association

    Control Causal Link

    Margin of Error

    Internal Transparency

    Job Purchase

    all3

    all3

    45.4946.21-11.288

    32.9132.80

    23.1620.6811.288

    Simple Average Association Between Transparency and Corruption

    Controlled Causal Link of Transparency on Corruption

    Internal Transparency

    Frequency of Bribery

    construct3

    6.3324.95

    35.3633.88

    Simple Average Association Between Autonomy and Corruption

    Controlled Causal Link of Autonomy on Corruption

    Frequency of Bribery

    all4

    38.4736.399

    35.533.8357

    27.7230.6239

    Simple Average Association Between Wages and Corruption

    Controlled Causal Link of Wages on Corruption

    Wage Satisfaction

    Frequency of Bribery

    construct4

    22.3437.1118

    43.733.9769

    36.3730.4671

    Simple Average Association Between Voice and Corruption

    Controlled Causal Link of Voice on Corruption

    Voice

    Frequency of Bribery

    effect

    51.8255.0519

    59.6560.1275

    70.5365.279

    Simple Average Association Between Resources and Service Delivery

    Controlled Causal Link of Resources on Service Delivery

    Resources

    Service Delivery Performance

    Sheet2

    29.6126.97

    36.4931.09

    34.9536.33

    Simple Average Association Between Politicization and Corruption

    Controlled Causal Link of Policitization on Corruption

    Politicization

    Frequency of Bribery

    Sheet1

    45.4946.21-11.288

    32.9132.80

    23.1620.6811.288

    Simple Average Association Between Transparency and Corruption

    Controlled Causal Link of Transparency on Corruption

    Internal Transparency

    Frequency of Bribery

    Sheet6

    6.3324.952.4402

    35.3633.88-12.9646

    Simple Average Association Between Autonomy and Corruption

    Controlled Causal Link of Autonomy on Corruption

    Frequency of Bribery

    38.4736.399-4.2432422

    35.533.83570

    27.7230.62394.2717278

    Simple Average Association Between Wages and Corruption

    Controlled Causal Link of Wages on Corruption

    Wage Satisfaction

    Frequency of Bribery

    5454.572.3904

    59.1959.860.1730737705

    6865.8-2.3572

    Simple Average Association Between Voice and Service Delivery

    Controlled Causal Link of Voice on Service Delivery

    Voice

    Quality of Services

    51.8255.05192.18705

    59.6560.12750

    70.5365.279-2.2975064

    Simple Average Association Between Resources and Service Delivery

    Controlled Causal Link of Resources on Service Delivery

    Resources

    Service Delivery Performance

    29.6126.973.0212

    36.4931.090

    34.9536.33-2.2908

    Simple Average Association Between Politicization and Corruption

    Controlled Causal Link of Policitization on Corruption

    Politicization

    Frequency of Bribery

    TransparencyTransparencyControlled Causal Link of Transparency on CorruptionupperlowerSimple Average Association Between Transparency and CorruptiondifferenceMeritocracyControlled Causal Link of Meritocracy on CorruptionupperlowerSimple Average Association Between Meritocracy and Corruptiondifference

    Low52.7346.2142.860223487552.617376512545.49-11.2886.8Low53.4138.646636.458637914740.834562085345.49-4.3759241706

    Medium64.6432.833.731060142333.400739857732.9102.26Medium63.934.345734.196079146934.495320853132.91-0.2992417062

    High75.420.6825.48338612116.03961387923.1611.2886.8High76.7129.093631.433126066426.754073933621.344.6790521327

    64.2534.0364.6734.03

    -1.190.4234875445-0.410.1943127962

    AutonomyAutonomyControlled Causal Link of Autonomy on CorruptionupperlowerSimple Average Association Between Autonomy and Corruptiondifference

    Autonomous Agencies124.95216.332.44021.47

    Non-autonomous Agencies033.883635.36-12.9646-7.81

    62.4633.74

    -4.243.1879699248

    WageControlled Causal Link of Wages on CorruptionSimple Average Association Between Wages and Corruption

    Low21.0136.39939.133748837234.423051162838.47-4.24324222.55617

    Medium36.2733.835734.257646511633.805553488435.50

    High54.7730.623928.346251162833.056948837227.724.27172782.57333

    37.8933.74

    -0.18-0.1395348837

    VoiceControlled Causal Link of Voice on CorruptionSimple Average Association Between Voice and CorruptionVoiceControlled Causal Link of Voice on Service DeliverySimple Average Association Between Voice and Service Delivery

    Low38.5137.111835.599782062838.623817937222.34-3.0240358744Low38.5154.5756.011080327953.5477196721542.39041.44

    Medium52.1433.976933.870666816134.083133183943.7-0.2124663677Medium52.1459.8660.454236885260.281163114859.190.1730737705

    High67.430.467131.934768161428.999431838636.372.9353363229High67.465.865.428746721367.819853278768-2.3572-1.42

    33.7460.79

    53.1753.17

    -0.23-0.10313901350.410.0840163934

    ValuesControlled Causal Link of Values on CorruptionSimple Average Association Between Values and Corruption

    Low33.8435.968236.1922228740.1795771336.37-3.9873542601

    Medium50.8133.762134.039391928334.526208071734.52-0.4868161435

    High67.7331.562531.892904035928.889495964130.283.0034080717

    33.74

    50.98ResourcesControlled Causal Link of Resources on Service DeliverySimple Average Association Between Resources and Service Delivery

    -0.13-0.1048387097Low38.3355.051955.952403278753.458796721351.822.187051.3175

    Medium51.0660.127560.102174590259.747625409859.650

    High63.9965.27964.31714262366.13525737770.53-2.2975064-1.38404

    60.79

    51.27

    0.40.0785854617

    PoliticizationControlled Causal Link of Policitization on CorruptionSimple Average Association Between Politicization and Corruption

    Low21.9826.9737.696794170444.130605829629.613.02121.82

    Medium41.5731.0935.211587443937.604412556136.4900

    High57.9236.3333.137410313932.157589686134.95-2.2908-1.38

    33.74

    40.7

    0.340.1176470588

    RulesControlled Causal Link of Ill-Specified Rules on CorruptionSimple Average Association Between Ill-Specified Rules and Corruption

    Bad53.9840.902533.637242600933.470157399145.330.1670852018

    Medium63.233.987532.467584304930.398615695132.942.0689686099

    Good73.0726.58531.215466367727.110533632322.594.1049327354

    33.74

    63.53

    -0.75-0.1536885246

    00

    00

    00

    Simple Average Association Between Transparency and Corruption

    Controlled Causal Link of Transparency on Corruption

    Internal Transparency

    Frequency of Bribery

    00

    00

    Simple Average Association Between Autonomy and Corruption

    Controlled Causal Link of Autonomy on Corruption

    Frequency of Bribery

    00

    00

    00

    Simple Average Association Between Wages and Corruption

    Controlled Causal Link of Wages on Corruption

    Wage Satisfaction

    Frequency of Bribery

    00

    00

    00

    Simple Average Association Between Voice and Corruption

    Controlled Causal Link of Voice on Corruption

    Voice

    Frequency of Bribery

    00

    00

    00

    Simple Average Association Between Values and Corruption

    Controlled Causal Link of Values on Corruption

    Voice

    Service Delivery

    00

    00

    00

    Simple Average Association Between Politicization and Corruption

    Controlled Causal Link of Policitization on Corruption

    Politicization

    Frequency of Bribery

    00

    00

    00

    Simple Average Association Between Ill-Specified Rules and Corruption

    Controlled Causal Link of Ill-Specified Rules on Corruption

    Rules

    Frequency of Bribery

    00

    00

    00

    Simple Average Association Between Voice and Service Delivery

    Controlled Causal Link of Voice on Service Delivery

    Voice

    Service Delivery Performance

    00

    00

    00

    Simple Average Association Between Resources and Service Delivery

    Controlled Causal Link of Resources on Service Delivery

    Resources

    Service Delivery Performance

    00

    00

    00

    Simple Average Association Between Meritocracy and Corruption

    Controlled Causal Link of Meritocracy on Corruption

    Meritocracy

    Frequency of Bribery

    41.5436.7-4.482

    36.434.57

    31.832.91

    23.530.14.6646

    Simple Average Association Between Wages and Corruption

    Controlled Causal Link of Wages on Corruption

    Wage Satisfaction

    Frequency of Bribery

    50.6851.292.72242.7224

    56.3258.04

    60.9962.7

    73.669.85-2.6726-2.6726

    Simple Average Association Between Voice and Service Delivery

    Controlled Causal Link of Voice on Service Delivery

    Voice

    Quality of Services

    29.0327.484.4824.482

    3332.46

    3635.44

    3538.72-3.486-3.486

    Simple Average Association Between Politicization and Corruption

    Controlled Causal Link of Policitization on Corruption

    Politicization

    Frequency of Bribery

    6.3324.952.4402

    35.3633.88-12.9646

    Simple Average Association Between Autonomy and Corruption

    Controlled Causal Link of Autonomy on Corruption

    Frequency of Bribery

    29.0327.4830.95

    3332.4632.94

    3635.4434.26

    3538.7235.78

    Simple Average Association Between Politicization and Corruption

    Controlled Causal Link of Policitization on Corruption

    Politicization

    Frequency of Bribery

    6.3324.9521

    35.3633.8836

    Simple Average Association Between Autonomy and Corruption

    Controlled Causal Link of Autonomy on Corruption

    Frequency of Bribery

    TransparencyControlled Causal Link of Transparency on CorruptionSimple Average Association Between Transparency and Corruptiondifference

    Low49.8348.81-12.05167.26

    Moderately Low37.2935.743.13

    Moderately High28.9132.672.92

    High16.6417.9312.25087.38

    WageControlled Causal Link of Wages on CorruptionSimple Average Association Between Wages and CorruptionHigh36.739.54-4.4822.7

    Low36.741.54-4.4822.7Moderate_High34.5736.41.6

    Moderately Low34.5736.41.6Moderate_Low32.9135.81.54

    Moderately High32.9131.81.54Low30.123.54.66462.81

    High30.123.54.66462.81

    VoiceControlled Causal Link of Voice on Service DeliverySimple Average Association Between Voice and Service Delivery

    Low51.2950.682.72241.64

    Moderately Low58.0456.320.83

    Moderately High62.760.990.82

    High69.8573.6-2.67261.61

    PoliticizationControlled Causal Link of Policitization on CorruptionSimple Average Association Between Politicization and Corruption

    Low27.4829.034.4822.730.95

    Moderately Low32.46331.7132.94

    Moderately High35.44361.6434.26

    High38.7235-3.4862.135.78

    ResourcesControlled Causal Link of Resources on Service DeliverySimple Average Association Between Resources and Service Delivery

    Low5452.433.35322.02

    Moderately Low58.9354.441.35

    Moderately High62.2462.131.48

    High67.5974.04-3.4032.05

    RulesControlled Causal Link of Ill-Specified Rules on CorruptionSimple Average Association Between Ill-Specified Rules and Corruption

    Bad045.330

    Medium032.940

    Good022.590

    33.74

    0

    DIRECT

    QualityBribeTransparencyMeritocracyService QualityCorruption

    Corruption-0.110.00-0.13-0.11

    Meritocracy0.00-0.42-0.010.00-0.41

    Transparency0.00-1.140.000.12-1.19

    Resources0.400.000.000.000.400.00

    Voice0.380.010.140.170.41-0.23

    Politicization0.000.12-0.13-0.17-0.040.34

    Autonomy0.00-11.33-4.46-4.780.47-4.24

    Wage0.00-0.180.000.000.02-0.18

    Enforcement0.00-0.010.000.000.00-0.01

    Values0.00-0.130.000.000.01-0.13

    Rules0.000.00-0.660.00-0.080.75

    PerRules0.000.000.000.380.02-0.16

    PerRuleControlled Causal Link of Resources on Service DeliverySimple Average Association Between Resources and Service DeliveryVoiceControlled Causal Link of Resources on Service DeliverySimple Average Association Between Resources and Service DeliveryVoiceControlled Causal Link of Resources on Service DeliverySimple Average Association Between Resources and Service DeliveryAutonomyAutonomyControlled Causal Link of Autonomy on CorruptionupperlowerSimple Average Association Between Autonomy and CorruptiondifferenceBudget DiversionControlled Causal Link of Resources on Service DeliverySimple Average Association Between Resources and Service Delivery

    Low59.8956.572.87181.7359.86Low37.3138.895.0132-3.02Low43.0442.684.482-2.7Autonomous Agencies15.32216.9111.52046.94Low57.556.79-4.8142.9

    Moderate_Low62.4359.721.3562.42Moderate_Low47.7249.211.35Moderate_Low50.853.771.35Non-autonomous Agencies011.13611.186.32463.81Moderate_Low54.855.211.48

    Moderate_High65.0366.441.4865.03Moderate_High54.7453.561.48Moderate_High57.1258.791.4862.4633.74Moderate_High50.951.181.35

    High68.7875.39-3.03781.8368.8High63.962.86-4.8142.9High64.53262.66-4.4822.7High45.2144.825.0132-3.02

    Budget DiversionControlled Causal Link of Resources on Service DeliverySimple Average Association Between Resources and Service Delivery

    Low6162.015.0132-3.02

    Rule4Controlled Causal Link of Resources on Service DeliverySimple Average Association Between Resources and Service DeliveryTransparencyControlled Causal Link of Resources on Service DeliverySimple Average Association Between Resources and Service DeliveryModerate_Low5656.141.35

    Low8.8812.39-1.992-1.2Low45.7340.633.5856-2.16Rule4Controlled Causal Link of Resources on Service DeliverySimple Average Association Between Resources and Service DeliveryModerate_High5251.11.48

    Moderate_Low8.2710.981.35Moderate_Low49.547.291.35Low43.4546.29-54.32High4450-4.8142.9

    Moderate_High7.846.251.48Moderate_High52.97581.48Moderate_Low36.8439.021.35Simple Average AssociationControlled Causal Link

    High7.344.652.2411.35High57.557.7-3.35322.02Moderate_High31.1628.581.48Low13.2814.511.8

    High24.8221.464.91Moderately Low12.5111.55

    Moderately High9.59.5

    High8.96.941.87129.5250.6599526913

    7108.51

    484144.535

    5974

    26282742

    24182130

    111814.56

    71410.517

    242926.521

    7129.54

    101311.56Party finance (% of firms)Corruption

    1278222013.8251821.527258.44

    10714568.414020.535120.13

    PoliticiControlled Causal Link of Resources on Service DeliverySimple Average Association Between Resources and Service DeliveryControlled Causal Link of Resources on Service DeliverySimple Average Association Between Resources and Service Delivery414839444042.435152513357.14

    Low57583.43622.073.7167.97711.6229525058.844323.542425.97

    Moderate_Low59591.357.1664.9165282628281925.8421327.5104230.52

    Moderate_High62621.489.4462.963182430292926302226273036.35

    High6564-3.2038-1.9312.0760.57591.3821811129911.863520.524670.78

    1478889172018.5201777.27

    292432182024.621814.5112124.68

    1278557.44442429477.92

    131019141414655.54614.29

    181659263029.8272724.03

    40498212628.8353549.35

    1579111411.2131363.64

    433040333436424240.26

    13106121811.8101072.73

    222026141719.8272737.66

    353247242733242427.27

    201237292524.6202062.99

    854665.8111183.77

    443737212633292912.34

    548596.2449.09

    PerRuleControlled Causal Link of Resources on Service DeliverySimple Average Association Between Resources and Service DeliveryPerRuleControlled Causal Link of Resources on Service DeliverySimple Average Association Between Resources and Service DeliveryPerRuleControlled Causal Link of Resources on Service DeliverySimple Average Association Between Resources and Service Delivery

    Low59.8956.572.87181.7359.86Low59.8956.572.87181.7359.86Low59.8956.572.87181.7359.86

    Moderate_Low62.4359.721.3562.42Moderate_Low62.4359.721.3562.42Moderate_Low62.4359.721.3562.42

    Moderate_High65.0366.441.4865.03Moderate_High65.0366.441.4865.03Moderate_High65.0366.441.4865.03

    High68.7875.39-3.03781.8368.8High68.7875.39-3.03781.8368.8High68.7875.39-3.03781.8368.8

    ValueControlled Causal Link of Resources on Service DeliverySimple Average Association Between Resources and Service Delivery

    Low36.4741.43-4.4156-2.6659.86

    Moderate_Low34.38391.3562.42

    Moderate_High33.234311.4865.03

    High31.1219.624.2164-2.5468.8

    00-1.992

    00

    00

    002.241

    Simple Average Association Between Resources and Service Delivery

    Controlled Causal Link of Resources on Service Delivery

    Quality of Rules

    Budget Diversion

    003.58563.5856

    00

    00

    00-3.3532-3.3532

    Simple Average Association Between Resources and Service Delivery

    Politicization

    Quality of Services

    005.01325.0132

    00

    00

    00-4.814-4.814

    Simple Average Association Between Resources and Service Delivery

    Controlled Causal Link of Resources on Service Delivery

    Voice

    Accessibility to the Poor

    00

    00

    00

    00

    Simple Average Association Between Resources and Service Delivery

    Controlled Causal Link of Resources on Service Delivery

    Voice

    Poverty Reduction Impact

    00

    00

    00

    00

    Simple Average Association Between Resources and Service Delivery

    Controlled Causal Link of Resources on Service Delivery

    Internal Transparency

    Poverty Reduction Impact

    000

    000

    000

    000

    Simple Average Association Between Resources and Service Delivery

    Controlled Causal Link of Resources on Service Delivery

    Rules in Personnel Management

    Meritocracy

    002.87182.8718

    00

    00

    00-3.0378-3.0378

    &A

    Page &P

    Simple Average Association Between Resources and Service Delivery

    Controlled Causal Link of Resources on Service Delivery

    Rules in Personnel Management

    Meritocracy

    002.87182.8718

    00

    00

    00-3.0378-3.0378

    Simple Average Association Between Resources and Service Delivery

    Controlled Causal Link of Resources on Service Delivery

    Rules in Personnel Management

    Meritocracy

    00-5-5

    00

    00

    0066

    Simple Average Association Between Resources and Service Delivery

    Controlled Causal Link of Resources on Service Delivery

    Voice

    Frequency of Bribery

    002.4402

    00-12.9646

    Simple Average Association Between Autonomy and Corruption

    Controlled Causal Link of Autonomy on Corruption

    Job Purchases

    002.87182.8718

    00

    00

    00-3.0378-3.0378

    Simple Average Association Between Resources and Service Delivery

    Controlled Causal Link of Resources on Service Delivery

    Rules in Personnel Management

    Bribery

    00-4.4156

    00

    00

    004.2164

    Simple Average Association Between Resources and Service Delivery

    Controlled Causal Link of Resources on Service Delivery

    Voice

    Bribery

    001.6221.622

    00

    00

    001.3821.382

    Simple Average Association Between Resources and Service Delivery

    Politicization

    Meritocracy

    00-5

    00

    00

    006

    Simple Average Association Between Resources and Service Delivery

    Controlled Causal Link of Resources on Service Delivery

    Quality of Rules

    Frequency of Bribery

    00

    00

    00

    00

    Simple Average Association Between Resources and Service Delivery

    Controlled Causal Link of Resources on Service Delivery

    Voice

    Accessibility to the Poor

    00

    00

    00

    00

    Simple Average Association Between Resources and Service Delivery

    Controlled Causal Link of Resources on Service Delivery

    Budget Diversion

    Poverty Reduction Impact

    00

    00

    00

    00

    Simple Average Association Between Resources and Service Delivery

    Controlled Causal Link of Resources on Service Delivery

    Budget Diversion

    Accessibility to the Poor

    001.81.8

    00

    00

    001.81.8

    Simple Average Association

    Controlled Causal Link

    Transparency

    Job Purchase

    Simple Average AssociationControlled Causal LinkdifferenceBudget DiversionControlled Causal Link of Resources on Service DeliverySimple Average Association Between Resources and Service Delivery

    Simple Average AssociationControlled Causal LinkdifferenceLow40.6345.73-5Low57.556.79-4.814Simple Average AssociationControlled Causal Link

    Low48.8149.83-12.0516Moderately Low47.2949.5Moderate_Low54.855.21Low13.2814.511.8

    Moderately Low35.7437.29Moderately High5652.97Moderate_High50.951.18Moderately Low12.5111.55

    Moderately High32.6728.91High57.757.55High45.2144.825.0132Moderately High9.59.5

    High17.9316.6412.2508High8.96.941.8

    Rule4Controlled Causal Link of Resources on Service DeliverySimple Average Association Between Resources and Service DeliveryVoiceControlled Causal Link of Resources on Service DeliverySimple Average Association Between Resources and Service Delivery

    Low43.4546.29-5VoiceControlled Causal Link of Resources on Service DeliverySimple Average Association Between Resources and Service DeliveryLow43.0442.684.482Budget DiversionControlled Causal Link of Resources on Service DeliverySimple Average Association Between Resources and Service Delivery

    Moderate_Low36.8439.02Low37.3138.895.0132Moderate_Low50.853.77Low6162.015.0132-3.02

    Moderate_High31.1628.58Moderate_Low47.7249.21Moderate_High57.1258.79Moderate_Low5656.141.35

    High24.8221.46Moderate_High54.7453.56High64.53262.66-4.482Moderate_High5251.11.48

    High63.962.86-4.814High4450-4.8142.9

    00-12.0516-12.05160

    000

    000

    0012.250812.25080

    Simple Average Association

    Control Causal Link

    Margin of Error

    Internal Transparency

    Bribery

    00-5-50

    000

    000

    00550

    Simple Average Association

    Control Causal Link

    Margin of Error

    Internal Transparency

    Poverty Reduction Impact

    00-5-50

    000

    000

    00660

    Simple Average Association

    Control Causal Link

    Margin of Error

    Voice / External Acountability

    Bribery

    005.01325.01320

    000

    000

    00-4.814-4.8140

    Simple Average Association

    Control Causal Link

    Margin of Error

    Voice / External Acountability

    Accessibility to the Poor

    004.4824.4820

    000

    000

    00-4.482-4.4820

    Simple Average Association

    Control Causal Link

    Margin of Error

    Voice / External Acountability

    Poverty Reduction Impact

    00-4.814-4.8140

    000

    000

    005.01325.01320

    Simple Average Association

    Control Causal Link

    Margin of Error

    Budget Diversion

    Poverty Reduction Impact

    005.01325.01320

    000

    000

    00-4.814-4.8140

    Simple Average Association

    Control Causal Link

    Margin of Error

    Budget Diversion

    Accessibility to the Poor

    001.81.80

    000

    000

    001.81.80

    Simple Average Association

    Control Causal Link

    Margin of Error

    Internal Transparency

    Job Purchase

    DIRECTThru CorruptionThru TransparencyThru Meritocracy

    QualityBribeTransparencyMeritocracyQualityBribeTransparencyMeritocracyQualityBribeTransparencyMeritocracyQualityBribeTransparencyMeritocracy

    Corruption-0.110.00-0.14-0.110.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00

    Meritocracy0.000.40-0.010.00-0.040.00-0.060.000.000.010.00-0.000.000.000.000.00

    Transparency0.00-1.170.000.110.130.000.000.130.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00

    Resources0.400.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00

    Voice0.380.040.150.18-0.000.00-0.01-0.000.00-0.180.000.000.000.00-0.000.00

    Politicization0.000.09-0.14-0.18-0.010.00-0.01-0.010.000.160.000.000.000.000.000.00

    Autonomy0.00-12.47-4.80-5.161.370.001.751.370.005.620.000.000.000.000.050.00

    Wage0.00-0.170.000.000.020.000.020.020.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00

    Enforcement0.00-0.100.000.000.010.000.010.010.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00

    Values0.00-0.130.000.000.010.000.020.010.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00

    Rules0.000.00-0.650.000.000.000.000.000.000.760.000.000.000.000.000.00

    PerRules0.000.000.000.380.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00-0.000.00

    DIRECTINDIRECTNET

    QualityBribeTransparencyMeritocracyQualityBribeTransparencyMeritocracyQualityBribeTransparencyMeritocracy

    Corruption-0.110.00-0.14-0.11Corruption0.000.000.000.00Corruption-0.110.00-0.14-0.11

    Meritocracy0.000.40-0.010.00Meritocracy-0.040.01-0.06-0.00Meritocracy-0.040.41-0.07-0.00

    Transparency0.00-1.170.000.11Transparency0.130.000.000.13Transparency0.13-1.170.000.24

    Resources0.400.000.000.00Resources0.000.000.000.00Resources0.400.000.000.00

    Voice0.380.040.150.18Voice-0.00-0.18-0.01-0.00Voice0.38-0.140.140.18

    Politicization0.000.09-0.14-0.18Politicization-0.010.16-0.01-0.01Politicization-0.010.25-0.15-0.19

    Autonomy0.00-12.47-4.80-5.16Autonomy1.375.621.801.37Autonomy1.37-6.85-3.00-3.79

    Wage0.00-0.170.000.00Wage0.020.000.020.02Wage0.02-0.170.020.02

    Enforcement0.00-0.100.000.00Enforcement0.010.000.010.01Enforcement0.01-0.100.010.01

    Values0.00-0.130.000.00Values0.010.000.020.01Values0.01-0.130.020.01

    Rules0.000.00-0.650.00Rules0.000.760.000.00Rules0.000.76-0.650.00

    PerRules0.000.000.000.38PerRules0.000.00-0.000.00PerRules0.000.00-0.000.38

    Corruption0%-1%0%

    Meritocracy100%3%85%100%

    Transparency100%0%54%

    Resources0%

    Voice-1%130%-5%-3%

    Politicization100%65%7%5%

    Autonomy100%-82%-60%-36%

    Wage100%0%100%100%

    Enforcement100%0%100%100%

    Values100%0%100%100%

    Rules100%0%

    PerRules100%0%

    0

  • Very Corrupt

    Not Corrupt

    The ratio at the top of each column is the corruption ranking of Parliament among all surveyed institutions. Thus, for instance, in Cambodia, relative to other surveyed public institutions, Parliament rated best among 10, while in Ecuador it rated worst among 35. Research sources: Governance Anti-Corruption Index Country Diagnostic Surveys, Bolivia, Cambodia, Ecuador, Georgia, Latvia, Paraguay, Romania, Slovakia, WBI /WB http://www.worldbank.org/wbi/governance/

    Parliaments Misgoverned or Honest Institutions?: Enormous Variation on Corruption Relative Standing

    Relative to All other institutions surveyed

  • Defining and Measuring State Capture Elite firms illicitly shape rules of the game to their advantage, particularly through: private purchase of legislative votesprivate purchase of executive decreesprivate purchase of court decisionsIllicit influence of Central Bank regulations/policiesillicit political party financing

  • An Index of State Capture

  • Measuring State Capture

  • at an enormous Socio-Economic Cost

  • Do Foreign Firms bring Good Governance?

  • Towards a Solution:More Political CompetitionPace of Econ ReformPolitical Reforms

  • Towards a Solution: Collective Action by Firms

  • Main Sources of Undue Influence- Elite Capture/Grand Corruption? (responses from public officials and enterprise sector)

    % public officials/firms responding affirmatively

    Chart4

    2224

    2632

    5575

    6779

    7183

    7495

    Public Officials

    Firms

    Sheet4

    Alcance de la corrupcin para favorecer intereses particulares

    Alcande de la corrupcin en el Estado765Sum

    Soborno a funcionarios de BCR para asegurar que se favorezcan intereses particulares en decisiones del Banco18101442

    Soborno a funcionarios de Organismos Reguladores or de las Superintendencias para favorecer intereses particulares27191460

    Soborno a las autoridades municipales y miembros del Concejo, para favorecer intereses particulares31201566

    Percepcin de las principales fuentes de corrupcin

    765Public OfficialsFirms765

    Trade Unions56112224546

    Professional Associations681226325612

    Organized Crime (excl. drug)3113115575371910

    Multinationals2920186779312613

    Large 'Grupos Econmicos'3718167183392114

    Drug Cartels50159749558199

    Sheet4

  • Corruption

    Public Oversight and Civil Society:Ombudsman in Albania and Bolivia Private Sector Coalition in Bolivia Diagnostic Surveys and NGO monitoring in Ecuador and others

    Governance Improvement in Practice (eg. 5 countries):Prioritized and Differentiated Comprehensiveness

    Financial Controls: Procurement Reform in Bolivia, Ecuador and Georgia

    Institutional and Civil ServiceReform: Transparent Privatization in Ecuador Salary Reform in Bolivia Disclosure of Assets in Bolivia and Georgia

    Legal-Judicial: Revamp of Supreme Court in Bolivia Competency test and firing of judges in Georgia, Albania and Latvia Mediation in Albania

    Economic Policy: Deregulation and Delicensing in Bolivia Revamping Customs in Ecuador and Latvia Tax Administration in Latvia and Ecuador Tax/Customs Code Reform in Albania

    Open Law Making / Public Meetings on Procurement

    Public Procurement Unit Cost Comparison Initiative

    Anti-Corruption Compact: Firms, Leaders, NGOs

    D. Modesty: The Infancy of Serious Anti-Corruption

  • Una formula simple en el proceso anti-corrupcin:

    AC = D + L + A

    Anti-corrupcin = Datos.Informacion + ...+ Liderazgo + ...

    ... + Accion Colectiva

  • Strategic Implications for Debate Prioritized, Differentiated ComprehensivenessGovernance Indicators as strategic input, for Monitoring, for lessons from failures and successesNeed to complement with in-depth country DiagnosticEmphasize role of IncentivesAddressing challenge of State Capture (not just govt)Upgrade role of private/business sector / associationsCitizen Voice and Transparency as key developmental variables -- Collective Action & Power of Data Webtool access to data, charts, analysis and methods: http://www.worldbank.org/wbi/governance/

  • Datos Presentados por el Analisis e informacin de Consejos Politicos, no para Precisar RankingsLos datos contenidos en esta presentacin se originan de encuestas de muchas fuentes (y agencias de rating) y estn sujetas a un margen de error. El propsito es de ilustrar caractersticas de gobernabilidad para analizar y discutir implicaciones. No se intenta en esto jerarquizar/ranking de pases con estas fuentes externas, sino estudiar los retos al niver micro dentro de cada pais. Estos datos y resultados no necesariamente refleja opiniones algunas del Banco Mundial o su Junta Directiva.

    Para mas informacion y datos, visitar: http://www.worldbank.org/wbi/governance

    Key point: the surveys not only reveal the incidence and extent of corruption, but allow us to examine the direct costs to different groups in society. This research demonstrates the highly unequal impact of so-called "gratuity payments" in Romania. Though they are often seen as a quasi-market pricing mechanism, they have an impact on the poor's access to health services.333