greater manchester housing market monitor june 2019 gmca ...... · 0.00% 0.50% 1.00% 1.50% 2.00%...
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Greater Manchester Housing Market Monitor
June 2019
GMCA Research
Overview and contents
• This data pack provides an overview of the housing market in Greater Manchester. Thedata pack draws on published Government data and local data.
• The data pack covers the following areas:
1. GM Population
2. GM Housing Stock
3. Housing market – sales and private rents
4. Social Housing
5. Housing Benefit and Universal Credit
6. Homelessness
1. GM Population
1. Historic population trends
2. Spatial distribution of population
3. Population distribution
4. GM district population age profile
5. Population change 2016-2036
6. Household incomes
7. Spatial distribution of household incomes
1. Historic population trends
• There are 2.81 million people living in GM. This is higher than the 1971 previous peak of 2.71 million.
• From 1971 to 1991 there was an overall decline in the GM population.
• The population has been increasing since 2001.
• Between the 1991 and 2011 census there was an increase of 9% increase people living in GM
• The population projections suggest the GM population will continue to increase in the near future.
Source: Census 1951-2011ONS: England Population mid-year estimate (2018)https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/populationandmigration/populationestimates/timeseries/enpop/pop
2,200,000
2,300,000
2,400,000
2,500,000
2,600,000
2,700,000
2,800,000
2,900,000
1951 1961 1971 1981 1991 2001 2011 2016 2018
Greater Manchester Population 1951-1981
2. Spatial distribution of population
• The spatial distribution of population in the 2011 LSOAs indicates where there has been population change since the 2011 census.
• The average populating in an LSOA is 1,673 and the median is 1,594
• The LSOAs with the largest and smallest population are both in Manchester, ranging from 995 in Manchester 018E and 4,750 in Manchester 055C.
• Only 2/17 of the LSOAs with 3000+ population are outside Manchester, these are in Oldham and Rochdale
Source: ONS, 2017 MYPE https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/populationandmigration/populationestimates/datasets/lowersuperoutputareamidyearpopulationestimates
3. Population distribution• As of the 2018 Mid Year Population
Estimates there were 2.81 million people in GM
• The largest proportion of the GM population are 19 to 35, and there is another spike in the population aged 45-55.
• There are 18,000 more females in GM than male, however in the younger age brackets there are more males from 0-30 years old. There are particularly more females from 70 years old onwards, and considerably more who are aged 90+ .
25000 20000 15000 10000 5000 0 5000 10000 15000 20000 25000
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
55
60
65
70
75
80
85
90
Population by age for Greater Manchester, 2018
Female Male
Source: ONS 2018, Population Estimates for UK, England and Wales, Scotland and Northern Ireland: Mid-2018. Found online at:
0.00%
0.50%
1.00%
1.50%
2.00%
2.50%
3.00%
0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24 26 28 30 32 34 36 38 40 42 44 46 48 50 52 54 56 58 60 62 64 66 68 70 72 74 76 78 80 82 84 86 88 90
Population age profile, 2018
Bolton Bury Manchester OldhamRochdale Salford Stockport TamesideTrafford Wigan Greater Manchester North WestEngland
Source: ONS 2018, Population Estimates for UK, England and Wales, Scotland and Northern Ireland: Mid-2018. Found online at: https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/populationandmigration/populationestimates
4. GM district population age profile
• Generally the districts follow the same population profile as Greater Manchester, the North west and England and wales.
• Manchester and to some extent Salford have a distinctly young population.
5. Population change 2016-2036
-20%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
0-4
5-9
10
-14
15
-19
20
-24
25
-29
30
-34
35
-39
40
-44
45
-49
50
-54
55
-59
60
-64
65
-69
70
-74
75
-79
80
-84
85
-89
90
+
All
ages
2016 - 2036 Population Change by 5 year age bandGreater Manchester and England
Greater Manchester England
Source: ONS, 2016-based Sub National POpulation Projections (May 2018)
• The 2016 SNPP projects an overall 9% increase in the GM population from 2016 to 2036.
• The majority of the population change is driven by an ageing population.
• Around 170,000 of the additional population will be those over 65.
• GM has a slightly lower percentage increase of an ageing population in comparison to England as a whole.
6. Greater Manchester Household incomes• The median GM household
income is £27,865.
• GM mean and median incomes are similar to those in the North West but lower than the England incomes.
• Trafford, Stockport and Bury have median household incomes higher than the GM median income.
• Manchester and Oldham, Rochdale have median household incomes of just under £25,000
£0
£5,000
£10,000
£15,000
£20,000
£25,000
£30,000
£35,000
£40,000
£45,000
£50,000
Resident mean and median household incomes, 2018
Mean Income Median Income
Greater Manchester Mean Greater Manchester Median
Source: CACI Paycheck 2018
7. Spatial distribution of household incomesGreater Manchester Median Household Income, 2018
• All areas have a mixture of higher and lower income areas. Largely, the highest income areas are in LSOAs on the edge of outskirts of GM.
• LSOAs in and around the town centres are largely lower income areas. However the exception is Manchester City Centre and Trafford where a high density of the highest earning band are located.
• Trafford and Stockport have the most LSOAs with the highest median incomes.
• Rochdale, Tameside and Wigan have the fewest LSOAs in the highest median income band.
Source: CACI Paycheck 2018
2. GM Housing stock and supply
1. Tenure mix
2. Tenure change
3. Spatial distribution of tenure
4. Dwelling type
5. Council tax bands
6. Empty homes
7. Net additional dwellings
8. Completions
1. Tenure Mix 2011
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%Greater Manchester Tenure Mix 2011
Owned outright Owned with mortgage Social housing Private rented or living rent free
Source: ONS, Census 2011, Table KS402EW
• As of 2011 60% of households in Greater Manchester were owner occupiers.
• 22% of households lived in social housing and 17% in the private rented sector.
• Manchester has the lowest portion of owner occupiers and largest proportion of private renters.
• Owner occupation has been themajority tenure type since 1981.
• Social housing is the second tenuretype but in each census the numberof social housing households hasreduced.
• Private rent has been becoming morecommon since 1991. There was a130% increase in private rentedhouseholds between 2001 and 2011.
• Shared ownership was not recordedon the 1981 or 1991 census so ismarked as 0 for those years. Sharedownership represents a very smallproportion of tenure in GreaterManchester, numbering 5,730 in2011.
Source: Census 1981-2011
0
100,000
200,000
300,000
400,000
500,000
600,000
700,000
800,000
1981 1991 2001 2011
Ho
use
ho
lds
Greater Manchester Tenure 1981 - 2011
Owner occupation Social Rented Private Rented
Source: Census 1981, 1991, 2001, 2011. Nomisweb
2. Tenure change
3. Spatial Distribution of tenure: Owner Occupation
Source: Census 2011
Source: Census 2011
3. Spatial Distribution of tenure: Private Rent
Source: Census 2011
3. Spatial Distribution of tenure: Social housing
4. Total dwellings by type 2017
• There are 1.2 million dwellings in GM, 30% are semi-detached housing and 33% detached housing
• 37% of dwellings in Manchester are flats and 35% terraced housing
• Manchester, Oldham, Salford and Tameside have lower detached dwellings than the GM average where the other districts have more, and these districts have higher levels of terraced housing than GM average
• Trafford Stockport and Wigan have considerably more semi-detached housing than the GM average
• The most common council taxband in Greater Manchester isband A, representing thelowest valued properties.Almost all of GreaterManchester’s properties areBand D or below.
• Trafford and Stockport have amore similar distribution ofcouncil tax properties toEngland.
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%Proportion of housing stock in each Council tax band, 2018
Band A Band B Band C Band D Band E Band F Band G Band H
Source: Valuation Office Agency, Table CTSOP3.0: Number of properties by Council tax band, property type and region, county and local authority district, 2018. URL: https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/council-tax-stock-of-properties-
5. Council tax
5. Council Tax
• The majority of flats/maisonettes and terraced housing is in Band A in GM, both around 70% of properties.
• Only detached housing has a significant proportion of housing above Band D
• Flats/maisonnettes and terraced housing have under 10% in band D or above
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Bungalow Flat/Maisonette Terraced Semi-detached Detached
Housing type by Council tax band in Greater Manchester, 2018
Band A Band B Band C Band D Band E Band F Band G Band H
Source: Valuation Office Agency, Table CTSOP3.0: Number of properties by Council tax band, property type and region, county and local authority district, 2018. URL: https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/council-tax-stock-of-properties-2018
• Most properties constructed inGreater Manchester are band Aproperties.
• There has been a sharp decreasein the construction of lower valueband A properties since the 1983-1992 period and an increase in theconstruction of more valuableband B, C and D properties.
• The number of propertiesconstructed in the highest counciltax bands has remained relativelystable but at a low level, with aslight decrease in the periodfollowing the 2008 financial crisis.
Source: Council Tax Stock of Properties 2017https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/council-tax-stock-of-properties-2017
0
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
100,000
120,000
140,000
160,000
180,0001
90
0 t
o 1
91
8
19
19
to
19
29
19
30
to
19
39
19
45
to
19
54
19
55
to
19
64
19
65
to
19
72
19
73
to
19
82
19
83
to
19
92
19
93
to
19
99
20
00
to
20
09
20
10
to
20
17
A B C D E F G H
Council tax band by age of property
5. Council Tax
6. Empty Homes
0.00%
1.00%
2.00%
3.00%
4.00%
5.00%
6.00%
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Vacant dwellings 2004-2018
England all vacants England all long-term vacants
Greater Manchester all vacant Greater Manchester all long-term vacant
• England as a whole hasobserved a reasonablysignificant reduction invacant dwellings since2008, from 3.5% to2.5% in 2016.
• Reductions in GreaterManchester were morepronounced and nowmatch the nationalaverage of 2.5%.
• Over the ten yearperiod (2006 to 2016)the total number ofvacant properties fell by43% in GreaterManchester from justover 53,000 to 30,423homes.
7. Housing Starts
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
7000
8000
9000
10000
19
80
-81
19
81
-82
19
82
-83
19
83
-84
19
84
-85
19
85
-86
19
86
-87
19
87
-88
19
88
-89
19
89
-90
19
90
-91
19
91
-92
19
92
-93
19
93
-94
19
94
-95
19
95
-96
19
96
-97
19
97
-98
19
98
-99
19
99
-00
20
00
-01
20
01
-02
20
02
-03
20
03
-04
20
04
-05
20
05
-06
20
06
-07
20
07
-08
20
08
-09
20
09
-10
20
10
-11
20
11
-12
20
12
-13
20
13
-14
20
14
-15
20
15
-16
20
16
-17
20
17
-18
20
18
-19
Housing Starts 1980-2018
Dwellings started PrivateEnterprise
Dwellings started Housing Associations Dwellings started LocalAuthority
Source: MHCLG Live Table 253
• The number of residential starts on site have been steadily increasing since 2014-15.
• Housing starts peaked in 2007-08 at nearly 9000 units.
• The number of social housing starts reduced from the mid 1990s.
8. Net additional dwellings• There were 8,961 net
additional dwellings completed in Greater Manchester in 2017/18, representing a 13.5% increase on the previous year.
• This figure sets out the number of net completions for Greater Manchester since 2001/02. As with trends seen nationally, Greater Manchester experienced a peak in completions around 2007/08 after which there was a significant decline in net completions to 2011, since when there has been a steady recovery.
0
2000
4000
6000
8000
10000
12000
14000
16000Net Additional Dwellings: Greater Manchester 2001 - 2018
Bolton Bury Manchester Oldham RochdaleSalford Stockport Tameside Trafford Wigan
Source: MHCLG Live Table 122 Net additional dwellings by local authority district, England. Found at: https://www.gov.uk/government/statistical-data-sets/live-tables-on-net-supply-of-housing
• Glenigans completion datashows a broad (yet cyclical)upward trend in housingdevelopment between 2015and 2019
• The 12 month averages permonth were highest betweenMay and August last year withcompletions over 1,000 permonth.
• The latest 12 month average forhousing completions in July2019 is 867 an increase from851 in June and 793 in May
Source: Glenigans August 2019
Housing Completions January 2015 to July 2019 (Rolling average)
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
20
15
01
20
15
03
20
15
05
20
15
07
20
15
09
20
15
11
20
16
01
20
16
03
20
16
05
20
16
07
20
16
09
20
16
11
20
17
01
20
17
03
20
17
05
20
17
07
20
17
09
20
17
11
20
18
01
20
18
03
20
18
05
20
18
07
20
18
09
20
18
11
20
19
01
20
19
03
20
19
05
20
19
07
Nu
mb
er o
f u
nit
s (1
2 m
on
th a
vera
ge)
9. Completions
3. Housing market: Sales and Private Rents
1. Residential prices
2. Residential sales
3. Private rent
Mean residential prices paid, 2018 • The highest mean residential prices paid were in the south of GM. Bowden, Hale Central and Hale Barns were the only wards with medians above £450,000 within GM.
• Median prices paid ranging from £300,000 to £450,000 only appeared in the south in Trafford, Manchester and Stockport, and Worsely in Salford
• 12 wards (6%) had mean house prices under £100,000 and these were all located in or near the town centres of Wigan, Bolton, Rochdale and Oldham
• 65% of wards had mean prices in the £100,000-£200,000 region and 20% of wards were in the category above.
1. Residential Prices
1. Residential prices
0
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
300,000
350,000
19
95
19
96
19
97
19
98
19
99
20
00
20
01
20
02
20
03
20
04
20
05
20
06
20
07
20
08
20
09
20
10
20
11
20
12
20
13
20
14
20
15
20
16
20
17
20
18
Average house prices in Greater Manchester, year ending December 1995 to year ending December 2018
Greater Manchester Lower Quartile Greater Manchester Median
Greater Manchester Mean England Lower Quartile
• Since 1995 the Greater Manchester mean residential sale price is similar to the England Lower Quartile price.
• In 2018 the median GM residential price paid was just under £165,000. While the lower quartile price was £118,000.
£100,000
£120,000
£140,000
£160,000
£180,000
£200,000
£220,000
£240,000
£260,000
20
07
-01
20
07
-11
20
08
-09
20
09
-07
20
10
-05
20
11
-03
20
12
-01
20
12
-11
20
13
-09
20
14
-07
20
15
-05
20
16
-03
20
17
-01
20
17
-11
20
18
-09
Change in mean residential house prices paid, January 2007-December 2018
Greater Manchester North West England and Wales
• Over this period GM prices have largely mirrored national trends but have recovered more slowly from the 2008 crash
• Sustained growth in GM prices started at the beginning of 2013, and prices recovered to pre-crash (end of 2007) levels in mid-2016
• Since August 2016, GM mean prices have experienced more growth than regional prices
• In the last four months of 2018 whilst national prices declined, GM prices still had a steady increase
Source: HM Land Registry Data 2018 URL: http://landregistry.data.gov.uk/app/ukhpi/browse?from=2018-02-01&location=http%3A%2F%2Flandregistry.data.gov.uk%2Fid%2Fregion%2Funited-kingdom&to=2019-02-01
1. Residential prices
0%
50%
100%
150%
200%
250%
300%
350%
400%
450%
£-
£50,000
£100,000
£150,000
£200,000
£250,000
£300,000
Mean house prices in 1996 and 2018 and percentage increase in the period
March 1996 March 2018 % Change
Source: HM Land Registry Data 2018 URL: http://landregistry.data.gov.uk/app/ukhpi/browse?from=2018-02-
• In 1996 mean prices were lowest in Manchester and highest in Trafford, in 2018 it is still highest in Trafford – down to the 400% increase in mean prices
• Manchester has had an even greater increase with a 424% increase since 1996 and now has the third most expensive house prices
• Wigan and Rochdale saw the smallest percentage increase in mean house prices, however still experienced an increase three times of the worth in 1996
1. Residential prices
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
50%
Change in residential prices, 2008-2018 (average of 12 months)
Source: HM Land Registry Data 2018. Found at: http://landregistry.data.gov.uk/app/ukhpi/browse?from=2018-02-01&location=http%3A%2F%2Flandregistry.data.gov.uk%2Fid%2Fregion%2Funited-kingdom&to=2019-02-01
• All districts saw an increase in the time period shown. This contrasts with the period 2007-2017 where Bolton, Rochdale and Wigan all saw percentage reductions in residential prices.
• Greater Manchester had a 21% increase on average which is more than the regional growth of 13% however less than the national rates at 33%
• However, clearly the GM average growth varies between the districts. 45% increase in Trafford contrasts to the lowest increase in Bolton of 4%.
1. Residential prices
Residential Sales, Greater Manchester and neighbouring wards 2018
• Residential sales over the year were highest in the regional centre, with Manchester and Salford centre
• The north west and south east had significant sale activity in 2018. All but two Stockport wards have 200-400 residential sales a year. Bolton and Wigan also had the majority of sales in this band – however largely the sales were in the lower quartile of this band.
• 9 wards have under 100 sales and these mirror some of the wards with lowest mean prices
• 63% of wards had 100-200 residential sales in 2018.
2. Residential sales
Source: Valuation Office Agency Private Rental Market Statistics
https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/private-rental-market-summary-statistics-april-2018-to-march-2019
• Monthly rent prices in GreaterManchester are higher than in theNorth West, but lower thanEngland as a whole.
• The mean monthly rent withinGreater Manchester is £681,compared to £610 in the NorthWest and £858 in England as awhole.
• The lower quartile rent in GreaterManchester is £495, which isslightly higher than that of theNorth West, and is only marginallylower than in England as a whole(£525).
4. Private Rents
£-
£100
£200
£300
£400
£500
£600
£700
£800
£900
£1,000
England North West Greater Manchester
Monthly rents recorded between 1 April 2018 and 31 March 2019
Mean Lower quartile
Median Upper quartile
£- £200 £400 £600 £800 £1,000 £1,200 £1,400 £1,600
Room
Studio
1 Bed
2 Bed
3 Bed
4+ Bed
Monthly rents by property size recorded between 1 April 2018 and 31 March 2019
Upper quartile Mean Lower quartile
Source: Valuation Office Agency Private Rental Market Statistics, Private rental market summary statistics: April 2018 to March 2019. URL: https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/private-rental-market-summary-statistics-april-2018-to-march-2019
• The mean room rent is £416 per calendar month, an £18 increase from the previous year
• Monthly rental costs for most homes range from £450 for a one bed property at lower quartile prices to £845 for three bed properties at the upper quartile
• Mean rental costs for a three and two bedroom property in GM are £740 and £639 respectively
• The largest range in each property type appears in the 4+ bedroom properties.
4. Private Rents
£-
£100
£200
£300
£400
£500
£600
£700
£800
£900
£1,000Monthly rents recorded between 1 April 2018 and 31 March 2019
Mean Lower quartile Median Upper quartile
Source: Valuation Office Agency Private Rental Market Statistics, Private rental market summary statistics: April 2018 to March 2019. URL: https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/private-rental-market-summary-statistics-april-2018-to-march-2019
• The highest mean monthly rents are in Trafford (£862) and the lowest in Wigan (£509)
• All districts but Trafford have lower monthly mean rent than the England mean, Manchester also comes closes to the England mean
• Manchester, Salford, Stockport and Trafford have monthly mean rents greater than the GM mean
• The difference between the upper and lower quartile is lowest in Rochdale (£115) and highest in Manchester (£311)
4. Private Rents
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
£400
£450
£500
£550
£600
£650
£700
£750
£800
£850
£900
£950
Mean monthly rents recorded between May 31 and 1 June 2011 and 1April 2018 and 31 March 2019 and percentage change between the periods
2011 2019 % Increase 2011-2019
Source: Valuation Office Agency Private Rental Market Statistics, Private rental market summary statistics: June 2011 and April 2018 to March 2019. URLs: https://webarchive.nationalarchives.gov.uk/20141002132856/http://www.voa.gov.uk/corporate/statisticalReleases/PrivateRentalMarketStatistics.html & https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/private-rental-market-summary-statistics-april-2018-to-march-2019
• Rental growth in GM has been larger over this period than the North West and England
• Within GM, Manchester has had the largest increase, with growth being double the national average
• Rochdale, Tameside and Wigan have seen under 10% increase in average rental prices in the period
• Bolton, Manchester and Salford have experienced a larger percentage increase in average rental prices than both regional and national figures over the period
4. Private Rents
5. Social housing
1. Social housing stock
2. GM Housing Provider Stock
3. Social housing rents
4. Social housing stock movement
5. Right to Buy trends
6. Affordable housing completions
7. Affordable housing starts on site
8. Social Housing Registers
• There are just over 263,000 units of social housing stock in Greater Manchester.
• 77% of the stock is owned and managed by the 107 Registered Providers who operate in Greater Manchester. These providers range from small specialist supported housing providers with a handful of units to large regional and national providers who operate in group structures.
• The ten largest registered providers own over 50% of the Registered Provider Stock. They are generally large stock transfer organisations.
• Four local authorities (Bury, Manchester, Stockport and Wigan) have retained their council housing stock.
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Social Housing Stock 2017-18 Greater Manchester
Registered Provider: General needs Registered Provider: Supported housing
Registered Provider: Housing for older people Registered Provider: Low cost home ownership
Local Authority Stock
Source: MHCLG Statistical Data Return 2017-18 and Local Authority Housing Statistics 2017-18Published November 2018. Next update due November 2019
1.Greater Manchester Social Housing Stock
2. GM Housing Provider Stock
0
2000
4000
6000
8000
10000
12000
14000
16000
18000
20000
Housing Providers with more than 1000 units in Greater Manchester, 2017-18
General Needs Supported Housing Older People Shared ownership
• There are 31 registered providers with over 1000 units of social housing in Greater Manchester. Additionally there are four local authorities who have retained their social housing stock.
• The largest registered providers are generally stock transfer organisations.
• The majority of stock owned by the large organisations are general needs stock. There however are some significant portfolios of older peoples housing.
3. Social Housing Rents• There are two main rent types in
social housing. Affordable Rent and Social Rent.
• In 2017-18 the average weekly affordable rent was around £100 per week. The variation on affordable rents across GM reflects the differences in the markets and the application of the affordable rent policy.
• Social rent was less at £83 per week for Registered Provider tenants and £75 per week for council tenants. There is not much variation in social rents across GM.
• In some areas, the lower quartile private rents are lower than affordable rent.
£-
£20.00
£40.00
£60.00
£80.00
£100.00
£120.00
£140.00
Social Housing Weekly Rents 2017-18
PRP - Affordable Rent PRP - Social Rent LA - Social Rent LA - Affordable Rent
Source: MHCLG Statistical Data Return 2017-18 and Local Authority Housing Statistics 2017-18Published November 2018. Next update due November 2019
4. Social Housing Stock Movement
• In 2017-18 there were 1600 social housing homes sold to tenants in Greater Manchester. Sales to tenants were a combination of Right to Buy sales, retained Right to Buy, Social Homebuy and other sales to sitting tenants.
• There were just over 300 sales of sales of homes to other registered providers and 89 demolitions.
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
Total sales toregisteredproviders
Total sales totenants
Total sales toother
Totaldemolitions
Other Losses Local AuthorityRight to Buy
Social housing stock movement 2017-18
Bolton Bury Manchester Oldham Rochdale
Salford Stockport Tameside Trafford Wigan
Source: MHCLG Statistical Data Return 2017-18 and Local Authority Housing Statistics 2017-18Published November 2018. Next update due November 2019
5. Right to Buy Trends• In 2017-18 there were
629 Right to Buy Sales of local authority owned stock an increase of 28% on the previous year. The District with the most sales was Wigan with 232 sales followed by Manchester with 222 sales.
• Provisional data from MHCLG suggests that in 2018-19 there were 474 Right to Buy Sales.
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
Greater Manchester Right to Buy Sales 1998 - 2018
Bolton
Bury
Manchester
Oldham
Rochdale
Salford
Stockport
Tameside
Trafford
Wigan
Greater Manchester
Source: MHCLG Tables 685 and 691Published November 2018. Next update due November 2019
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
4000
4500
19
91
-92
19
92
-93
19
93
-94
19
94
-95
19
95
-96
19
96
-97
19
97
-98
19
98
-99
19
99
-00
20
00
-01
20
01
-02
20
02
-03
20
03
-04
20
04
-05
20
05
-06
20
06
-07
20
07
-08
20
08
-09
20
09
-10
20
10
-11
20
11
-12
20
12
-13
20
13
-14
20
14
-15
20
15
-16
20
16
-17
20
17
-18
Affordable Housing Completions 1991 - 2017
Social Rent Affordable Rent Intermediate affordable housing
Source: MHCLG Live Tables 1006-1009.Published 18 June 2019. Next update due November 2019
• In 2017-18 there were 1715 affordable homes developed. Of these 1586 were new builds and the remaining 129 were rehabs or acquisition.
• Of the 1715 affordable homes over half were for affordable rent. 76 of the homes were for social rent.
• In 2012-13 there was shift from development of social rent to affordable rent.
• The peak in affordable housing completions was 1995-96 with nearly 4000 homes built.
6. Affordable housing completions
6. Affordable housing completions
• MHCLG provide data from 2015-16 to 2017-18 setting out the funding for affordable housing.
• In 2017-18 1440 units completed were partially funded by Homes England and 253 were delivered via section 106 agreements.
• Completions are a combination of new build, refurbishments and acquisitions.
• S106 affordable housing mainly delivered shared ownership properties.
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
Social Rent Affordable Rent Shared Ownership Affordable homeownership
2017-18 Greater Manchester Affordable Housing Completions funding sources
Homes England Funding Section 106 (Nil Grant) Section 106 (partial grant) Other
Source: MHCLG Live Tables 1011.Published 18 June 2019. Next update due November 2019
7. Affordable housing starts on site
• In 2018-19 853 homes started on site funded by Homes England.
• The majority of the units are for shared ownership or affordable home ownership.
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
Affordable Housing Starts 2018-19Homes England Funded
Affordable Rent Social Rent Affordable Home Ownership
Source: MHCLG Live Tables 1011.Published 18 June 2019. Next update due November 2019
8. Social Housing Registers
• In 2017/18 there were just over 97,000 households on the Greater Manchester housing registers.
• Of the 97,000 on the registers 26,469 were in reasonable preference.
• Variation between the registers is due to differences in local policies.
0
5000
10000
15000
20000
25000
30000
35000Social Housing Registers in Greater Manchester, 2017/18
Reasonable Preference No Reasonable Preference
6. Housing Benefit
1. Total HB and UC claimants
2. Spatial distribution of HB and UC claimants
1. Total HB and UC claimants
• In May 2019 there were 243,000 households in Greater Manchester in receipt of Housing Benefit or the housing element of Universal Credit.
• The majority of the households are social housing tenants.
• 30% of the recipients live in the private rented sector and are younger and more economically active than those in social housing in receipt of housing benefits.0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Households in receipt of Housing Benefit or the housing element of Universal Credit, May 2019
HB Social Rent UC Social Rented HB Private Rent UC Private Rented
Source: DWP. Stat-Xplore
2. Spatial distribution of HB and UC claimants
HB claimants May 2019
May 2018 to May 2019.
2. Spatial distribution of HB and UC claimants
7. Homelessness
1. Rough sleepers
2. Homeless decisions in Greater Manchester
1. Rough sleeping
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Rough sleeping in Greater Manchester, districts 2010-2018
Bolton Bury Manchester*Oldham Rochdale Salford*Stockport Tameside* Trafford
Wigan* Greater Manchester
• The annual count or estimateof rough sleepers provides anindication of the trends inrough sleeping.
• The 2018 annual count saw areduction in rough sleepers inGM from 268 in 2017 to 241in 2018.
• Manchester has the highestnumber of rough sleepersand has seen a rise since2019. While Salford,Tameside and Wigan haveseen a small reduction in thenumber of rough sleepers
2. Homelessness decisions
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Homelessness decisions in Greater Manchester districts, 2017/18
Eligible, homeless and priority need Eligible, homeless but not in priority need
Eligible, homeless and in priority need but intentionally Eligible but not homeless
• 44% (3,428) of decisions in GM were households who were eligible, homeless and priority need.
• 29% were eligible but not homeless.
• 22% were eligible, homeless but not in priority need.
• 6% were eligible, homeless and in priority need but deemed to be intentionally homeless .
• 37% of decisions were made in Manchester