growth target & local market study guidance · 2020. 3. 31. · o growth target guidance o...

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Growth Target & Local Market Study Guidance March 31, 2020 Land Use Technical Advisory Committee

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Page 1: Growth Target & Local Market Study Guidance · 2020. 3. 31. · o Growth Target Guidance o Market Study Guidance o Next Steps 2. VISION 2050 3 • Growth Management Policy Board recommendation

Growth Target & Local Market Study Guidance

March 31, 2020Land Use Technical Advisory Committee

Page 2: Growth Target & Local Market Study Guidance · 2020. 3. 31. · o Growth Target Guidance o Market Study Guidance o Next Steps 2. VISION 2050 3 • Growth Management Policy Board recommendation

Overview

o VISION 2050 Status Update

o Growth Target Guidance

o Market Study Guidance

o Next Steps

2

Page 3: Growth Target & Local Market Study Guidance · 2020. 3. 31. · o Growth Target Guidance o Market Study Guidance o Next Steps 2. VISION 2050 3 • Growth Management Policy Board recommendation

VISION 2050

3

• Growth Management Policy Board recommendation in December 2019

• Executive Board reviewing draft, considering amendments

• FSEIS Released on March 18, 2020

• Revisiting adoption schedule

• Early implementation of VISION actions

Page 4: Growth Target & Local Market Study Guidance · 2020. 3. 31. · o Growth Target Guidance o Market Study Guidance o Next Steps 2. VISION 2050 3 • Growth Management Policy Board recommendation

Growth Target Guidance

4

[refer to draft annotated outline in agenda packet for committee discussion]

Page 5: Growth Target & Local Market Study Guidance · 2020. 3. 31. · o Growth Target Guidance o Market Study Guidance o Next Steps 2. VISION 2050 3 • Growth Management Policy Board recommendation

Market Study Expectations

5

Purpose

Demonstrate the desire, capacity, and development potential for a

center to play a regional role in attracting and accommodating a

significant share of the region’s population and employment growth

o New regional centers: market study at point of application

o Existing centers: if they do not meet the current density

thresholds, required to complete a market analysis by 2025

Regional Centers Framework includes an implementation item for PSRC to develop more specific guidance for centers market studies.

Page 6: Growth Target & Local Market Study Guidance · 2020. 3. 31. · o Growth Target Guidance o Market Study Guidance o Next Steps 2. VISION 2050 3 • Growth Management Policy Board recommendation

Market Study Guidance – Draft Outline

6

• Purpose/Background

• Key Questions

• Differences for RGCs & MICs

• RGCs: emphasis on residential, TOD potential

• MIC: emphasis on industry sectors, attraction and retention strategies

• Data Needs and Sources

• Best Practices and Examples

Are there other items that should be included? Are the key questions [next slide] the right ones to ask?

Page 7: Growth Target & Local Market Study Guidance · 2020. 3. 31. · o Growth Target Guidance o Market Study Guidance o Next Steps 2. VISION 2050 3 • Growth Management Policy Board recommendation

Market Study – Key Questions

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What are the current demographic, economic, and development characteristics and trends in the study area?

What are the competitive advantages for this study area, and, as a result, what uses are likely to be the major drivers of demand in the future?

Given current conditions and existing development capacity, what are reasonable expectations for growth in the future?

Are there any proposed policy or infrastructure changes that would alter the expected economic trajectory of this study area?

How does this center relate to development in nearby regional centers?

Page 8: Growth Target & Local Market Study Guidance · 2020. 3. 31. · o Growth Target Guidance o Market Study Guidance o Next Steps 2. VISION 2050 3 • Growth Management Policy Board recommendation

Upcoming Technical Work

• Continue discussion on growth targets/market study guidance

• Discuss forecast products approach

• Regional Housing Strategy – Housing Needs Assessment

• Review: 2018 Residential Permits & 2019 Covered Employment

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Page 9: Growth Target & Local Market Study Guidance · 2020. 3. 31. · o Growth Target Guidance o Market Study Guidance o Next Steps 2. VISION 2050 3 • Growth Management Policy Board recommendation

Thank you.

Liz Underwood-Bultmann, AICPPrincipal [email protected]

Carol NaitoProgram [email protected]