halftime highlights minnesota at mid-decade. minnesota ranks 1 st in home ownership 2 nd in labor...
TRANSCRIPT
Halftime HighlightsMinnesota at Mid-
Decade
Minnesota Ranks
•1st in home ownership•2nd in labor force participation•3rd highest in high school completion
•5th lowest poverty rate•9th highest per capita income
Trends in the ’00s
•Population growth comparable to 1990s
•Income growth slow•Job growth slow•Poverty rate higher•Regional disparities widen
Growth Rate of the 1990s Continues in this Decade
1.4%
1.1%
0.7% 0.7%
1.2%1.1%
0.0%
0.2%
0.4%
0.6%
0.8%
1.0%
1.2%
1.4%
1.6%
1950s 1960s 1970s 1980s 1990s 2000s
Source: U.S. Census Bureau and the Minnesota State Demographic Center
Average Annual Rates of Growth
Minnesota Average: 5.8% -9.4% to -5.0% -5.0% to .0% .0% to 5.8% 5.8% to 10.0% 10.0% to 29.6%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, State Demographic Center and Metropolitan Council
Rapid Growth in Suburban Counties
Percent change, 2000 to 2005
Peak Population Year
Source: U.S. Census
1920 to 1940 1950 to 1960 1970 to 1980 2000
Deaths Outnumber Births in 30 Counties
-687 to 0 0 to 1,000 1,000 to 10,000 10,000 to 42,967
Net Migration Rate 2000 to 2005
Per 100 Population in 2000
-6.8 to -2.6 -2.6 to -.1 .0 to 7.4 7.4 to 21.5
Median Age Is on the Rise in Minnesota
35.4
34.4
36.336.6
35.6
37.7
Total Males Females
Median age20002005
Source: 2000 Decennial Census; 2005 Census Bureau age estimates
0.7
6.8
-1.2
16.7
4.9
5.0
-4.9
7.9
-2.2
18.6
4.7
4.0
0 to 14
15 to 24
25 to 44
45 to 64
65+
Total
Age group
% change 2000 to 2005
U.S. MinnesotaSource: U.S. Census Bureau estimates
Age Group Trends Are Similar in Minnesota and
U.S.
Latinos are Fastest Growing Population
Source: Census 2000, ACS 2005
7.0
28.9
20.5
24.4
20.4
21.0
2.0
4.0
0 20 40
Total
White
Afr. American
Native Am.
Asian
2 or more races
Latino
Total Minority
PercentData is for race alone.
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85
Age
Source: U.S. Census Bureau estimates
Children and Young Adults Are More Diverse than Older
PeoplePercent non-white or Latino in Minnesota, 2005
U.S.: $34,856
$ 24,820 to $ 30,267
$ 30,267 to $ 32,836
$ 32,836 to $ 36,778
$ 36,778 to $ 54,985
Minnesota’s Income Ranks 9th
Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis
Minnesota $37,373
State: 13.4% .1 to 11.5% 11.5 to 16.0% 16.0 to 19.1% 19.1 to 29.9%
Income Growth Lags in Twin Cities
Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis
State 2004 Income: $36,184
$21,318 to $26,528 $26,528 to $28,413 $28,413 to $31,999 $32,000 to $48,045
Incomes Highest in MetroSource: Bureau of Economic Analysis
Job Growth Is in ServicesSource: MN Department of Employment and Economic Development
13,7524,530
-12,524
-36820,057
-10,458-19,688
68,832 73,317
Goods Production Loses Jobs
Source: MN Department of Employment and Economic Development
9,712 1,989
-48,344-38,727
All Goods Prod.
Construction
Manufacturing
Ag, For., Fish.
Wage Gains Barely Ahead of Inflation
Source: MN Department of Employment and Economic Development
$651
$770 $736
$898
$785 $755
$912
$795$681
2000 2000 infl. adj. 2005
Minnesota’s Unemployment Rate Lower than Nation’s
4.0%
4.8%
5.8% 6.0%5.5%
5.1%
4.0%4.6%4.8%
4.5%
3.1%
3.8%
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
U.S. Minnesota
Unemployment Highest in NorthSource: MN Department of Employment and Economic Development
Minnesota Unemployment Rate 4.0%
3.0% to 4.0%
4.0% to 6.0%
6.0% to 9.9%
Labor Force Growth Slower in the 2000s
Average annual growth in labor force
1.3
1.6
1.0
1.6
1.3
0.9
1980-1990 1990-2000 2000-2005
Minnesota U.S.
Source: Minnesota Department of Employment and Economic Development
Commute Times Highest in Metro But Little Change Since
2000Source: Congressional Districts, Census 2000, ACS 2005
21.119.2
21.9
17.7
24.320.8
23.321.323.925.3
23.12118.8
22.2
18.5
26.821.323.1
05
1015202530
Dist.1
Dist.
2
Dist.
3
Dist.
4
Dist.
5
Dist.
6
Dist.
7
Dist.
8
Min
neso
ta
Min
ute
s
2000 2005
Minnesota Average Commute Time was 22.2 (+/– 0.2 minutes) in 2005, 21.9 in 2000.
Enrollments are Lower in Elementary Grades
Public School Enrollment by Grade
40,000
45,000
50,000
55,000
60,000
65,000
70,000
KG 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Source: Minnesota Department of Education
Minnesota High School Graduation Rates Rise
SlightlyRatio of graduates to 10th graders 3 years before
0.827
0.832
0.836
0.8470.852
2000-2001 2001-2002 2002-2003 2003-2004 2004-2005
Source: Minnesota Department of Education
Degrees Awarded by Minnesota Post-Secondary
Institutions
11,020
25,402
8,106
975 1,568
14,320
29,986
11,444
1,032 1,659
Associate Bachelor's Master's Doctorate FirstProfessional
2000-2001 2003-2004
Source: Minnesota Office of Higher Education
Legislative Districts No Longer Equal
Source: Census 2000, 2005 State Demographic Center and Metropolitan Council Estimates
Suburban Districts Biggest
6
7
1
8
2
3 45
2005 Population
618,399 to 622,424 632,365 to 647,064 703,577 to 714,396
Suburban Districts Biggest
Variation from 2005 Average (650,636)
-32,237 to -18,271 -4,592 to -3,572 52,941 to 63,760
What Challenges Lie Ahead?
• Can Minnesota ensure that all residents achieve at the highest levels?
• Population growth relies on increases in minority populations
• Minority populations have less education, lower incomes, higher labor force participation, more single parent families
Halftime Highlights on the Web
•http://www.demography.state.mn.us/
•Full report in .pdf format•Supplementary tables in .csv format
•Slide presentation in .ppt format