hank courtright, epri: realizing the potential for energy efficiency and carbon reductions
DESCRIPTION
Hank Courtright, Sr. Vice President of Member Services for the Electric Power Research Institute (EPRI)TRANSCRIPT
Realizing the Potential for Energy Efficiency and Carbon Reductions
Alliance to Save Energy International Policy Leaders DialogueSeptember 25, 2008
Hank CourtrightSenior Vice President
2© 2008 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
Electric Power Research Institute
• Founded in 1973
• Independent, non-profit
organization for public-interest
energy and environmental
research
• Collaborative approach involves
~450 participants in over 40
countries
3© 2008 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030
7,000
6,500
6,000
5,500
5,000
4,500
4,000
3,500
3,000
2,500
2,000
En
erg
y (B
illio
n k
Wh
)The Potential for Electricity Savings
Codes and Standards
1 Includes embedded impact of EE programs implicit in AEO 20082 Utility Programs Encourage Increased Adoption
Market-driven Efficiency 1
+
AEO 2008 Reference Case
Avoided Electricity Consumption in 2030…
+
Maximum Achievable Potential 2
4© 2008 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
Action Framework… Four Evolving Infrastructures
5© 2008 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
Action Framework…Four Evolving Infrastructures
6© 2008 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
Transitioning to Low-Carbon Generation
• Large-Scale Wind, Solar and Biomass
• Nuclear – Advanced Light Water Reactors
• Advanced Coal with Carbon Capture and Storage
• Distributed Rooftop Solar
There is no “silver bullet”
…we need them all!
7© 2008 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030
U.S
. Ele
ctri
c S
ecto
rC
O2 E
mis
sio
ns
(mill
ion
met
ric
ton
s)
*Energy Information Administration (EIA) Annual Energy Outlook (AEO)
EPRI Prism Transitioning to Low-Carbon Generation
Technology
Efficiency / ’07 Energy Act
Renewable Generation
Nuclear Generation
Advanced Coal Generation
Carbon Capture & Storage
Plug-in Hybrid Elec. Vehicles
DER (incl. Rooftop Solar)
On a path to de-On a path to de-carbonize the carbonize the
Electricity Electricity SectorSector
8© 2008 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
Action Framework…Four Evolving Infrastructures
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Smart Grid Demonstration Project
Distribution ConsumerTransmission Substation Markets
Interactive . . . Two-Way Communications
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U.S. Peak Demand Reduction
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030
U.S
. S
um
mer
Pea
k D
eman
d*
(GW
)
Reduced Peak Demand in 2030…
• Energy Efficiency
• Demand Response
Achievable Potential
* Aggregation of regional summer peak demands; non-coincident
• Realistic Achievable Potential ~ 15%
• Maximum Achievable Potential ~ 21%
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Action Framework…Four Evolving Infrastructures
12© 2008 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
Local Energy Networks… an Example
Grid-ConnectedConsumer Portal
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Becoming More Energy Efficient
Utility ProgramsEncourage
Increased Adoption
AchievablePotential
Consumers Respond to Technology Improvements
and Market Effects
Market – Driven Efficiency
Consumers Complywith Efficiency Mandates
Codes and Standards
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EPRI’s Living Laboratory
Evaluating and testing energy efficiency technology
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Energy Efficiency Demonstration Project
Heat PumpWater Heaters
Variable Refrigerant FlowAir Conditioning
Ductless Residential Heat Pumps and Air Conditioners
Hyper-EfficientResidential Appliances
LED Street andArea LightingEfficient Data Centers
High-profile field demonstrations of six “hyper-efficient” technologies with significant energy savings potential
CO
MM
ER
CIA
LR
ES
IDE
NT
IAL
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Action Framework…Four Evolving Infrastructures
17© 2008 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
Auto Industry Interest in PHEVs (and EVs)
PHEV or EREV EV
Production
Demo
Saturn VUE2-Mode BlendedIntro: 2011 CY
Chevrolet VoltExtended Range EV
40-mile EV range16kWh Li-Ion
Intro: 2010 CY
Ford Escape PHEV2008 CY, 21 car fleetwith SCE/EPRI/Utilities
VW Golf TwinDrive30 mile EV range20-car fleet, 2009
Nissan2010 CY Daimler Smart ForTwo
2010 CY
Mitsubishi iMIEV2010 CY, 100 mile range, PG&E, SCE demo
Dodge ZEO150-200 mile range
Subaru R1e50 Mile AER
10-car fleet 2008 CY
Ford/Eaton Trouble Truck10 truck fleet w/ utilities
Toyota Prius PHEV500-car fleet
2009 CY
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Annual Energy Consumption and Carbon Footprint Impact
Benefits of 20 Mile Range PHEV
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PHEV – Electric Infrastructure Demos
•Understand the integration of electric grid and communications infrastructures
•Validate prior analytical work on environmental and societal benefits
•Understand consumer behavior and acceptance of this new technology
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Action Framework… Four Evolving Infrastructures
Creating the Electricity Network of the Future