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Page 1: HARRT and TW Ian Larkin and John Breman€¦ · Business case for investment and high-level transformation plan HR Strategy Defines what HR must deliver Defines who HR needs to be

April 29, 2015

Page 2: HARRT and TW Ian Larkin and John Breman€¦ · Business case for investment and high-level transformation plan HR Strategy Defines what HR must deliver Defines who HR needs to be

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Leveraging HR Strategy For Competitive AdvantageAre you Ready for What’s Next?

Page 3: HARRT and TW Ian Larkin and John Breman€¦ · Business case for investment and high-level transformation plan HR Strategy Defines what HR must deliver Defines who HR needs to be

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“The best way to predict your future is to create it.”

- Peter Drucker

Page 4: HARRT and TW Ian Larkin and John Breman€¦ · Business case for investment and high-level transformation plan HR Strategy Defines what HR must deliver Defines who HR needs to be

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Strategy models articulate competitive advantage for business

FIVE FORCE MODEL

PORTER

Page 5: HARRT and TW Ian Larkin and John Breman€¦ · Business case for investment and high-level transformation plan HR Strategy Defines what HR must deliver Defines who HR needs to be

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…and drive HR strategy

Strategic partneringBusiness acumenWorkforce, OD, Change support

HR Capability Process redesign Links among processes,

technology and roles

HR Processes ERP systems Web and best-of-breed

solutions

HR Technology

Governance: Decision making

Measurement: Metrics, benchmarks and scorecards

Project Management: Managing implementation and transformation

Change Management and Communications: Ensuring alignment, engagement and effective implementation

Design of COEs, BPs and Shared Services

Detailed roles

HR Structure

Growth plans Competitive strategy External environment

Business Strategy

Future demand for staff numbers, skills, locations Current supply Gaps and how to close them

Workforce Planning

Overall direction, vision for HR Business support requirements translated to action Service delivery model (where HR work is carried out) Business case for investment and high-level transformation plan

HR Strategy

Defines whatHR must deliver

Defines who HR needs to be

Outlines how HR delivers

Page 6: HARRT and TW Ian Larkin and John Breman€¦ · Business case for investment and high-level transformation plan HR Strategy Defines what HR must deliver Defines who HR needs to be

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…HR strategy then drives operating models

Page 7: HARRT and TW Ian Larkin and John Breman€¦ · Business case for investment and high-level transformation plan HR Strategy Defines what HR must deliver Defines who HR needs to be

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…but how can HR strategy drive competitive advantage?

Page 8: HARRT and TW Ian Larkin and John Breman€¦ · Business case for investment and high-level transformation plan HR Strategy Defines what HR must deliver Defines who HR needs to be

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First some context: What are CEOs worried about globally?

Talent Strategies

Innovation Strategies

Customer relationship strategies

Operational excellence strategies

Sustainability strategies

Do we believe HR can bring us competitive advantage in these?

What is stopping us from executing?

Source: Conference Board Research - 2015

Page 9: HARRT and TW Ian Larkin and John Breman€¦ · Business case for investment and high-level transformation plan HR Strategy Defines what HR must deliver Defines who HR needs to be

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Strategic outlook:Three megatrends impacting HR strategy

1Pace of Change Talent globalizationTalent scarcity

2 3

Page 10: HARRT and TW Ian Larkin and John Breman€¦ · Business case for investment and high-level transformation plan HR Strategy Defines what HR must deliver Defines who HR needs to be

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Pace of ChangeFortune 20 (1964)…are any still on the list?

1 ‐ 5 6 ‐ 10 11 ‐ 15 16 ‐ 20

Page 11: HARRT and TW Ian Larkin and John Breman€¦ · Business case for investment and high-level transformation plan HR Strategy Defines what HR must deliver Defines who HR needs to be

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Pace of ChangeFortune 20 (1964 – 2014)

Page 12: HARRT and TW Ian Larkin and John Breman€¦ · Business case for investment and high-level transformation plan HR Strategy Defines what HR must deliver Defines who HR needs to be

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Fortune 20 Global (2014)…30% are from the U.S. 12 are new since 2002

1 - 5 6 - 10 11 - 15 16 - 20

Page 13: HARRT and TW Ian Larkin and John Breman€¦ · Business case for investment and high-level transformation plan HR Strategy Defines what HR must deliver Defines who HR needs to be

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Talent aspirations have changed

Then

Now

Page 14: HARRT and TW Ian Larkin and John Breman€¦ · Business case for investment and high-level transformation plan HR Strategy Defines what HR must deliver Defines who HR needs to be

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Talent scarcity: What’s going on?

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

Critical-skill Employees All Employees

Percentage of companies that are having difficulty attracting talent

Source: Towers Watson Talent Management and Rewards Study, 2005 - 2014

Page 15: HARRT and TW Ian Larkin and John Breman€¦ · Business case for investment and high-level transformation plan HR Strategy Defines what HR must deliver Defines who HR needs to be

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GlobalizationTalent in 2021: Not pretty for mature markets

Source: Oxford Economics

Global talent heat mapThe gap between the growth in demand and the growth in supply of talent, 2011 to 2021

Page 16: HARRT and TW Ian Larkin and John Breman€¦ · Business case for investment and high-level transformation plan HR Strategy Defines what HR must deliver Defines who HR needs to be

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Growth in the college-educated talent pool

Tertiary educated (talent): E7 and G7 countries

–1% 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8%% growth, 2010 – 2021

IndiaBrazil

IndonesiaTurkeyChina

MexicoU.S.

CanadaFrance

U.K.Italy

JapanRussia

Germany

Source: Oxford Economics

Page 17: HARRT and TW Ian Larkin and John Breman€¦ · Business case for investment and high-level transformation plan HR Strategy Defines what HR must deliver Defines who HR needs to be

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Generational demographics drive shifts

New demographics:Gen Y has arrived — Gen X are emerging leaders -– Gen Z is on the cusp

Baby Boomers Generation X Generation Y Generation Z

Age in 201552 - 69Estimated population size (U.S.)76 million –79 millionIndividualisticLoyalCareer-focused

Age in 201536 - 51Estimated population size (U.S.)34 million –40 millionEntrepreneurialSelf-reliantGlobally minded

Age in 201520 - 35Estimated population size (U.S.)80 million –90 millionGroup-orientedIdealisticSocially conscious

Age in 20155 - 19Estimated population size (U.S.)~25 million (and growing?) RealisticAwareTechnology native

1946 - 1963 1964 - 1979 1980 - 1995 1996 - 2010

ZZ

ZYYYX

XX

Page 18: HARRT and TW Ian Larkin and John Breman€¦ · Business case for investment and high-level transformation plan HR Strategy Defines what HR must deliver Defines who HR needs to be

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For decades, the Fortune 1000 had little trouble filling jobs with plentiful Baby Boomers

Baby Boomers(75 million –79 million)

Page 19: HARRT and TW Ian Larkin and John Breman€¦ · Business case for investment and high-level transformation plan HR Strategy Defines what HR must deliver Defines who HR needs to be

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Key skill groups began to show shortages with Generation X, but longer-career Baby Boomers filled the gap

Baby Boomers(75 million –79 million)

Generation X(34 million –40 million)Baby boomers are

retiring at a rate of one every nine seconds through 2029 – USA Today Money 8.27.14

Page 20: HARRT and TW Ian Larkin and John Breman€¦ · Business case for investment and high-level transformation plan HR Strategy Defines what HR must deliver Defines who HR needs to be

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Generation Y to the rescue

Generation Y(80 million –90 million)

Page 21: HARRT and TW Ian Larkin and John Breman€¦ · Business case for investment and high-level transformation plan HR Strategy Defines what HR must deliver Defines who HR needs to be

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Generation Y to the rescue, but not really

Generation Y(80 million –90 million)

The % of Generation Y who are interested in working for a company like yours (42 million – 45 million)

The gap

Page 22: HARRT and TW Ian Larkin and John Breman€¦ · Business case for investment and high-level transformation plan HR Strategy Defines what HR must deliver Defines who HR needs to be

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What will 2018 look like for your organization?Illustrative company demographic shift

Global company population — By age

Page 23: HARRT and TW Ian Larkin and John Breman€¦ · Business case for investment and high-level transformation plan HR Strategy Defines what HR must deliver Defines who HR needs to be

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Strategic vision:How do others characterize the Current State of HR?

Page 24: HARRT and TW Ian Larkin and John Breman€¦ · Business case for investment and high-level transformation plan HR Strategy Defines what HR must deliver Defines who HR needs to be

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Strategic vision:What words characterize the Future State of HR for your company?

Page 25: HARRT and TW Ian Larkin and John Breman€¦ · Business case for investment and high-level transformation plan HR Strategy Defines what HR must deliver Defines who HR needs to be

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A strategic framework for HR?

Product Leadership

Customer Intimacy

Operational Excellence

Treacy and Weirsema: The Discipline of Market Leaders

Page 26: HARRT and TW Ian Larkin and John Breman€¦ · Business case for investment and high-level transformation plan HR Strategy Defines what HR must deliver Defines who HR needs to be

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Application of strategy model to HR

The Discipline of Market Leaders

Product Leadership

Customer Intimacy

Operational Excellence

Program Design• Compensation

• Benefits• Learning and Development

• Work environment

Advice and Partnership• Strategy• Counsel• Support

• Change/Implementation

Operations• Administration

• Processing• Compliance

• Data management

Page 27: HARRT and TW Ian Larkin and John Breman€¦ · Business case for investment and high-level transformation plan HR Strategy Defines what HR must deliver Defines who HR needs to be

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Future drivers of HR competitive advantage…

Product Leadership

Program Design• Compensation

• Benefits• Learning and

Development• Talent Management• Work environment

Integrated (Total Rewards)

Buy vs. make

Private label

Technology-enabled

Customized

Page 28: HARRT and TW Ian Larkin and John Breman€¦ · Business case for investment and high-level transformation plan HR Strategy Defines what HR must deliver Defines who HR needs to be

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Future drivers of HR competitive advantage…

Operational Excellence

Highly efficient/leveraged

Agile

Technology integrated

Globally deployed

Analytically-driven

Operations• Administration

• Processing• Compliance

• Data management

Page 29: HARRT and TW Ian Larkin and John Breman€¦ · Business case for investment and high-level transformation plan HR Strategy Defines what HR must deliver Defines who HR needs to be

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Future drivers of HR competitive advantage…

New Definition of Customer Intimacy for HR

Not new (but still critical): Internal consulting (insights and wisdom)

• Strategy• Counsel• Support• Change/Implementation

Advice and Partnership• Strategy• Counsel• Support• Change/

Implementation New: Focus on differentiated experience for employees (consumer-driven)

• Segmentation• Analytics and Insights• Branding• Employee Experience

Page 30: HARRT and TW Ian Larkin and John Breman€¦ · Business case for investment and high-level transformation plan HR Strategy Defines what HR must deliver Defines who HR needs to be

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The new definition of customer intimacy for HRTreating employees like consumers

Percent of employees believing that their organization shouldunderstand them to the same degree that employees are expected to understand external customers

Percent of employees reporting having an employer that understands them in this way

Percent of employees reporting having an employer that understands them in this way

Source: 2014 Global Workforce Study, Towers Watson

Page 31: HARRT and TW Ian Larkin and John Breman€¦ · Business case for investment and high-level transformation plan HR Strategy Defines what HR must deliver Defines who HR needs to be

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The new definition of customer intimacy for HRTreating employees like consumers

Page 32: HARRT and TW Ian Larkin and John Breman€¦ · Business case for investment and high-level transformation plan HR Strategy Defines what HR must deliver Defines who HR needs to be

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The new definition of customer intimacy for HRTreating employees like consumers means…

1Savvy segmentation Consumer-grade

experienceMeaningful analytics

2 3

Page 33: HARRT and TW Ian Larkin and John Breman€¦ · Business case for investment and high-level transformation plan HR Strategy Defines what HR must deliver Defines who HR needs to be

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Segmentation: Looking past the obvious

GenerationsBaby Boomers | Gen X | Gen Y

Stage ProfilesHoneymooners | Seasoned Skeptics | Believers | Future Leaders

Life StagesEarly Career | Family-Focused | Mid-Career | Late Career

Preference ProfilesShow me the work | Show me the flexibility | Show me the security | Show me the money

BoxologyDepartments | Locations | Functions

Pivotal RolesPillars and Pipeline | Innovators | Market Makers

Business Stage

Emerging | Fast Growth | Mature | Turnaround

Behavior Profiles

Quiet Champions | Loud Champions | Outsiders | Transactionalists

Page 34: HARRT and TW Ian Larkin and John Breman€¦ · Business case for investment and high-level transformation plan HR Strategy Defines what HR must deliver Defines who HR needs to be

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Unearthing “hidden gems” of opportunity

STI—2X $67.5M

Merit Increase —+50% $6.5M

401(k) Match—$1-for-$1 to 6% $9.0M

Merit Weighting—Greater performance differentiation $0

STI Weighting—Greater performance differentiation $0

401(k) Company Contribution—6% $4.5M

Medical—Premium -20% $2.4M

Vacation—+2 days $3.1M

STI—Half ($34.7M)

Merit Increase—Half ($5.5M)

Merit Weighting—COLA $0.0

401(k) Match—$1-for-$1 to 3% ($4.5M)

Medical—OOP +20% ($1.1M)

Medical—Premium +20% ($2.4M)

STI Weighting—Based on company performance $0.0

401(k) Company Contribution—4% ($3.2M)

Vacation— -2 days ($1.9M)

Note: Modeled impacts of various reward changes on value in Total Rewards are not additive due to the “portfolio effect.” Modeled impact assumes all other programs stay the same. Changes in value of Total Rewards are point increments or decrements to current value of Total Rewards of 79.5 (from valid conjoint data only).

Changes in Value of Total Rewards Change in Reward Cost

Page 35: HARRT and TW Ian Larkin and John Breman€¦ · Business case for investment and high-level transformation plan HR Strategy Defines what HR must deliver Defines who HR needs to be

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Using “big data” and workforce analytics strategically

Causal Analysis/

Controlled Evaluation

Projections/ Future-State

Modeling

Trending

Bench-marking

External Reference

Point

Directional Insight

Future Risk Management

Outcome Optimization

Return on Investment

How are we performing relative to benchmarks?

Foundational

Complex

Analytical Sophistication

How are we performing over time?

How do we predict performance?

How do we drive performance?

How are we performing today?

Internal Tracking

Dashboard/ Metrics

Reporting

Global Data

WarehouseHow do we access data

to monitor performance?

Data Management

Page 36: HARRT and TW Ian Larkin and John Breman€¦ · Business case for investment and high-level transformation plan HR Strategy Defines what HR must deliver Defines who HR needs to be

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Using “big data” and workforce analytics strategically

People productivity1. People investment2.

Labor Cost Breakdown by Type

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

500

Q1‐12 Q2‐12 Q3‐12 Q4‐12

Employees ('000s)

Value ($M)

Profit Revenue Labor Employees

Workforce ROI Trend

Total Cost,

$5,000

Total Human Capital Cost, 1,500

Labor Cost as a percentage of Total Cost

Other People Investment charts for consideration:

1. FTE vs. PTE cost by grade2. Fixed vs. variable cost by 

grade

Engagement by ROIP Type

Page 37: HARRT and TW Ian Larkin and John Breman€¦ · Business case for investment and high-level transformation plan HR Strategy Defines what HR must deliver Defines who HR needs to be

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Using “big data” and workforce analytics strategically

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

ABCDEFGHI 5+

4

3

2

1

0

3. People risk4.

Workforce Proficiency by Years

People capability

Turnover by Level

Labor Projection—Pivotal RolesWorkforce Mobility

Overall Talent Flows

0% 5% 10% 15% 20%

ABCDEFGHI

Page 38: HARRT and TW Ian Larkin and John Breman€¦ · Business case for investment and high-level transformation plan HR Strategy Defines what HR must deliver Defines who HR needs to be

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Consumer-driven HR:The good news — Companies already have been doing this

Corporate social

responsibility

Flexible benefit programs

401(k) plans (defined

contribution) Paid time off

Flexible work arrangements

Virtual workplace

Voluntary benefits Wellnessprograms

Private health care exchanges

1980s 1990s 2000s 2010s

Cafeteria style

Page 39: HARRT and TW Ian Larkin and John Breman€¦ · Business case for investment and high-level transformation plan HR Strategy Defines what HR must deliver Defines who HR needs to be

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Examples of strong internal brands from global peers

“Where you work touches lives.”

— Disney

“Do cool things that matter.”

— Google

“Grow with us.”— Kellogg

“Help us build a smarter planet.”

— IBM

“Inspired by purpose. Have your career validated 4 billion times a day.”

— P&G

“Rock Solid® Total Rewards.”— Prudential

“Great people make great beer.”

— Miller Coors

“Share your passion.”— BMW

Source: Company websites

Page 40: HARRT and TW Ian Larkin and John Breman€¦ · Business case for investment and high-level transformation plan HR Strategy Defines what HR must deliver Defines who HR needs to be

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Goal is a consumer-grade experience…

Page 41: HARRT and TW Ian Larkin and John Breman€¦ · Business case for investment and high-level transformation plan HR Strategy Defines what HR must deliver Defines who HR needs to be

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It gets personal…and social…

What’s in it for me and others? Which outcomes are the best for

me? The team? How does it impact positive outcomes?

How do my benefits work? How can I save money?

Page 42: HARRT and TW Ian Larkin and John Breman€¦ · Business case for investment and high-level transformation plan HR Strategy Defines what HR must deliver Defines who HR needs to be

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What does this mean for your HR strategy? How will you seek competitive advantage?

Pick your focus…

Product Leadership

Customer Intimacy

Operational Excellence

Program Design• Compensation

• Benefits• Learning and Development

• Work environment

Consumer Focus• Segmentation

• Analytics and Insights• Branding

• Employee Experience

Operations• Administration

• Processing• Compliance

• Data management

Page 43: HARRT and TW Ian Larkin and John Breman€¦ · Business case for investment and high-level transformation plan HR Strategy Defines what HR must deliver Defines who HR needs to be

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The HR time spend continues to morph…

Percent of Time

0%

25%

50%

75%

100%

1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040

Operations Program Design Customer Intimacy

Page 44: HARRT and TW Ian Larkin and John Breman€¦ · Business case for investment and high-level transformation plan HR Strategy Defines what HR must deliver Defines who HR needs to be

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The HR time spend continues to morph…

Percent of Time

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040

Program Design Customer Intimacy Operations

Page 45: HARRT and TW Ian Larkin and John Breman€¦ · Business case for investment and high-level transformation plan HR Strategy Defines what HR must deliver Defines who HR needs to be

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Chief Employee experience officer

Personnel director Tactical Operationally focused Employee as cost Implement programs Local Manager/Director

level

Vice president, HR Broader Organization-focused Employee as resource Design programs National Vice president level

CHRO Strategic Business-focused Employee as asset Direct programs Global C-suite level

Chief employee experience officer Futurist/Strategist Differentiation-

focused Employee as value Transcend programs Borderless Board advisor

Page 46: HARRT and TW Ian Larkin and John Breman€¦ · Business case for investment and high-level transformation plan HR Strategy Defines what HR must deliver Defines who HR needs to be

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Chief employee experience officer

CHRO

“I direct programs to balance the needs of employees, the company and shareholders.”

Chief employeeexperience officer

“I create an employee experience that unleashes the potential of our talent to create incremental value for our customers and shareholders.”

Page 47: HARRT and TW Ian Larkin and John Breman€¦ · Business case for investment and high-level transformation plan HR Strategy Defines what HR must deliver Defines who HR needs to be

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