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ZEUS CONSULTING GROUP
Authored by: Youko Oka, z3098537. Qiong Guo z3312609,
Jianqing Lu- z3309921, Zen Low z3300863, Anmol Bhaumik - z3318071
Queensland Rail National (QRN)
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Queensland
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Executive Summary
QR National is the worlds largest transporter of coal from mine to ports for export markets
and is Australias largest rail freight operator .The growing demand for coal and iron ore from
Asian markets especially from India and China with a forecasted growth of 8.5% fromFY2009 TO FY 2015 has made the company bullish on its future . Prior to its planned initial
public offering the company completed the acquisition of $3 billion worth of loans from
various Banks .The company has also projected an increase in EBITA from $894 million in
FY2011 to $1101 million in FY2012.
An analysis is undertaken to provide key strategic initiatives for QR National to undertake in
order to meet its objectives.
Due to the capital intensive nature of QRNs business, it is paramount that its assets are
utilized efficiently to maximize returns. Moreover, with the recent privatization of QRN into
an ASX Listed company, it is important that shareholders expectations a more lean and
efficient workforce be realized. It is therefore reflected in three of our four recommendations
of strategic initiatives that QRN focuses on asset utilization and employee culture
improvement through the use of benchmarking, key performance indicators and incentives
with the inclusion of an ERP software integration initiative across all of QRNs business
divisions.
The fourth strategy will allow QRN to pursue a related diversification strategy into Western
Australia which will leverage on its core competencies and key strengths.
RecommendationsRecommendationsRecommendationsRecommendations
1. Formation of Performance Excellence department to establish and monitorindividual business unit benchmarks to control operating costs.
2. Implementation of a bonus share program and employee incentive scheme forachieving key performance indicator targets to encourage a performance based culture.
3. Execution of an enterprise wide IT integration using ERP SAP software to linkdivision wide business units for supply chain logistics for customer and suppliers.
4. Diversifying growth by aggressive expansion into iron ore markets through QRN railand network services products.
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1. IntroductionThis report is presented to the Board members and the Senior Management team of the QR
National to propose recommended key strategies based on the initiatives outlined in the 2010
QR National Prospectus which will be aligned with stakeholders interests and generate,
increase the shareholders value. Going through various strategic analyses including SWOT,
Stakeholders analysis, Strategy map and Balance Scorecard would support to identify the key
strategies.
2. Evaluation of external and internal environment
In order to assess QRNs external environment, it is necessary to look into three specific
areas; which are general, industry specific and competitive environment.
The general environment can be analyzed by using PEST DG model, which is shown in
Appendix 1. We have identified some major factors that work to QRNs advantage such as
having a 99 years term of lease with the QLD government, expectation of growth in
Australian GDP, high demand of coal supply from Asian market. There are some potential
issues ahead for QRNs future as well such as possible introduction of the carbon tax by the
Australian government that may cause to have higher operation cost domestically, increasing
of interest rates would impact on repayment of the debts which QRN taken out recently.
Industry and competitive environment can be analyzed by using Porters 5 forces model that
is shown in Appendix 2 and 3. Threat of new entrants seems to be quite low since QRN has
got a long history of being based in QLD and it is a mature industry. Power of buyers is
medium, since there is only limited number of customers available that would give more
buying power and backward integration is potentially an issue for QRN. Power of suppliers
overall within Queensland is low to medium. Intensity of rivalry is high since Pacific
Nationals is their main competitor, and they are looking into entering towards QLD coal
market. Threat of substitutes is low since there are little substitutes for bulk coal freight to
port. Road freights could be seen as a possible substitute, however operating long haul road
freight may be much more costly to run by them.
In its intangible assets department, QRN prides itself with the strong reputation of 145 years
of railway experience with established supplier and customer relationship with a skilled
workforce of more than 9000 employees. From the resources shown in Appendix 4, QRN has
a strong tangible asset backing of $7.24 billion and a $3billion loan facility for its capital
expenditure projects.
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SWOT Analysis
SWOT Analysis
INTERNAL EXTERNAL
Strength Opportunity
Experienced and seniormanagement to lead strategy andchange initiatives in QRN
Reputation as a market leader incoal haulage
Synergy of above rail (QR Coal &Freight) and below rail operations(QR Network)
A large tangible asset base of 7.2bwith extensive capital investments
Skilled operational workforce iswell experienced
2 principal drivers of demand forAustralia rail freight service globally iscoal and iron ore, for local driver is theeconomic activities in construction andmanufacturing sectors. Both have
positive outlook.
Benefit of geographic location of QRNin Queensland being the largest coalmining system in Australia which is inclose proximity to Asian regions
Proposed port and mine capacityexpansion increases throughput for QRN
Opening of iron ore mines in Mid-western Australia represents growth forQR
Weakness Threats
Inefficient and redundantadministrative staff
Lack of performance culture frombeing a former public governmentorganization
Nonperforming freight terminals(Note: Freight division is making loss)
Inefficient use of capital assets 3b loan facility could restrict further
expansion
Customers could backward integrate andfreight coal and iron ore themselves
Competition from Pacific National whichhas 35% of rail freight business overall andlook to expand coal business in Blackwaterand Goonyella regions
Natural disasters in Queensland dramaticallyaffects mine and rail operations
Mineral resources and carbon tax threatensprofitability of coal mines and increasesoperating costs for QRN
High operating costs which are exposed tointerest rate fluctuations
In summary (from Appendix 5) it is reasonable to say that QRN has a sustainable competitive
advantage from its core competencies of being able to leverage on its cross business synergies
between QR Coal and QR Network Divisions. This synergy fulfils all the criteria for a
sustainable competitive advantages of being valuable, rare, non substitutable and costly to
imitate. Moreover, historical conditions with the Queensland Government as a shareholder,
regulator, and customer and the social complexity of the relationships between suppliers (e.g.
Network access), customers (in the form of longer term contracts), and creditors (3b loan
facility) also adds to our view that QRN has a sustainable competitive advantage.
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Stakeholder Analysis
Stakeholders Specific Interest Shareholders Value
1) Customers Cost saving for freight and coaldelivery
Good logistics and supply chainsystemExtensive and efficient rail
network coverage for delivery
Safety and reliability
Aligned:
Increased customers loyaltyincreases QRN revenue.
Opposed:
Higher operating capitalexpenditures to satisfycustomers.
2) Suppliers Shorter repayment periodKeep long-term relationship, as
QRN is an important customerfor them
Aligned:
Intimate relationship withsuppliers on the long termdecreases transaction costs.
Opposed:
Less available cash to invest ifQRN repaid on shorter time
period.
3) Employees Enhanced employee benefitsStable financial performance topay salary
Good development trainingprogram
Safe and healthy workingenvironment
Aligned:
Retain skilled employeesand improve workingefficiency
Opposed:
Higher expenditure inlabour costs
4) Government As a regulator, enforces QRNfollow state and rail, andworkplace legislation
As a facilitator of industry,facilitates the provision ofsupporting rail and port
infrastructure to stimulatedomestic economy
As a lessor, benefits QR byproviding favourable lease terms
Aligned:
Stable and long-termrelationship with government
Opportunity to facilitatebusiness and expand
Opposed:
Increased compliance costs5) Creditors Positive cash flow
Capability to repay debts in time Aligned:Maintain operating ratiosOpposed:
QRN assets seized ifcovenants are broken
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Strategic Initiative 1: Commercial Excellence
This initiative is to increase returns and profitability through establishing of performance
benchmarks of operating metrics. Efficient utilization of assets also increases returns on invested
capital and profitability.
Strategy Assessment :
Suitability: Given the threat of competition from Pacific National to initiate aggressive expansion
into Queensland, QRN needs to focus on its competitiveness and costs due to shareholders
expectations. Given the preliminary performance analysis, QRN has a weakness of inefficiency and
productivity compared to competitors.
Feasibility: Available data from Class 1 US Railways and Pacific National for comparison, they
have the raw data and available IT systems to create commercial benchmarks as goals for
commercial returns. However, reduction of overhead administrative staff might provoke strike
action and crucial skilled staff needs to be maintained.
Stakeholder Interest
Customers (Medium): Positive impact - Increased cost savings, reliability, efficiency, and
productivity means that a better offering can be made to QRNs customers.
Suppliers (Low): Improved productivity may or may not affect suppliers.
Creditors (Medium): Positive impact - If QRN was to operate more efficiently with increased
profits and reduced operating costs, the creditors will benefit because QRN will be more liquid to
repay and stay within limits of debt covenants.
Employees (High): Both negative and positive impact- QRN being more efficient might mean
that the workforce number will be decreased leading to redundancies. This will be a concern for
QRNs highly unionized workforce. However, employees will also benefit by training.
Government (Low): Might benefit from the increased taxes being paid.
Shareholders Value
This strategy is a long term investment in QRNs business, at the best QRN can achieve 4-8%
improvement in EBITDA margins from benchmarking comparisons in the 5 to 10 years time frame.
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Strategic Initiative 2: Performance based culture
Improvement in organizational beliefs and values to be aligned with a performance culture
across all levels of management and operational staff through the use of achievable KPIs and
incentives. QRN needs to recruit experienced middle and senior management to manage this
initiative.
Strategy Assessment
Suitability: Given the change from the Government run company to an ASX listed corporation,
it is important that QRN has the right culture to implement change and carry out its strategies.
Incentives are needed because the high level competition for labour in the mining and rail
industry, QRN needs to keep its best people. Incentives also encourage a performance based
culture in line with contemporary industry standards.
Feasibility: It is feasible because current board headed by Lance Hockridge has sufficient
commercial experience to implement such a change. Key performance indicators (KPI) can be
set using industry wide metrics and QRNs internal processes. It is possible to have incentives
and share programs to motivate current employees but on the short term QRN will face
increased operating employee costs before returns can be seen.
Stakeholder Interest
Customers (Medium): Positive - Will benefit through increased efficiency of QRNs service.
Suppliers (Low):Positive May experience an increase in purchases
Creditors (Low): Positive Increased efficiency and productivity improves cash flows
Employees (High): Positive Bonuses and share schemes for achievable KPIs will improve
performance.
Government (Low): Minimal impact.
Shareholders Value
Shareholders will benefit from the right culture and work ethic from QRNs workforce. A
reputation for competent staff will increase financial performance adding to shareholders value.
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Strategic Initiative 3: Diversify Growth
Implement strategy to pursue related diversification into iron ore and intermodal freight
markets.
Strategy Assessment
Suitability: Suitable strategy given the trends in projected iron ore demand of 8.5% per annum
on average and increase in contestable contracts in the Mid-Western Australia. There is also
increased demand for intermodal freight due to local GDP growth of 3%.
Feasibility: It is a feasible strategy because of the existence of ARG which is a QR subsidiary
already based in Perth, which is positioned for expansion into Western Australia. Additional
locomotives have already been purchased. For the intermodal freight expansion, recent rollingstock investments in the Cairns-Melbourne and Sydney-Perth corridors positions QRN for
growth in this segment. The acquisition of CRT group in Melbourne which provides specialist
logistics through use of trucks is also favourable for QRN.
Stakeholder Interest
Customers (High): Positive-because of the increase in range of services and also the spread of
geographical outreach in all the major states of Australia is now offered by QRN.
Suppliers (High): Positive - Increase in the volume of purchases of fuel, electricity and
locomotives and wagons.
Creditors (Medium): Negative or Positive contingent on the profitability of these ventures.
Creditor will scrutinize QRN to make sure that certain ratios and debt covenant is met.
Employees (Medium): Positive- Will lead to increase in number of employees.
Government (Low): Will follow QRN to make sure all regulations are met.
Shareholders Value
Diversification of operations reduces business risk so if the strategy is successful will increase
profits and shareholders value.
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Strategic Initiative 4: Customer Focus
This strategy focuses on customer satisfaction and fleet availability/reliability. So while QRN
needs to maintain its safety, due to the nature of the industry, throughput and efficiency are the
key factors. Competitive pricing and flexible contracts are also important and if successful
increases switching costs and customer loyalty.
Strategy Assessment
Suitability: Suitable, given the threat of competition from Pacific Nationals in Queensland
and the threat of backward integration by coal mines( for eg.: Xrail formed by Xstrata mining).
Moreover, over 60% of the contracts are held by the biggest 5 clients of QRN. There is also animpending renewal for the contract in regards to BHP Mitsubishi Alliance.
Feasibility: There are substantial capital projects underway eg. Blackwater and GAPEX50,
CQCN expansion with a total of 1.5b spent in QLD on above rail capacity. Investment in
hunter valley totals 266m. Larger wagons (106 tonnes) can be made with newer and more
powerful locomotives. More favourable contract agreements on renewal are possible and
necessary for competitive pricing but QRNs margin and profitability needs to be maintained.
Stakeholder Interest
Customers (High): Positive meeting anticipated customer demand and expectation of
increased capacity means that QRN will be perceived as a more reliable and efficient option.
Suppliers (Medium to High): Increase in purchases from suppliers.
Creditors (Medium): Positive if successful leads to higher revenue which allows more
operating cash flows to pay back loan.
Employees(Medium): Positive - Employees values and beliefs will need to be aligned with
this customer focus.
Government(Low):Not much impact.
Shareholders Value
If successful will lead to shareholders value from the increase in customer loyalty retention
and profits.
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Strategic Initiative proposals for QRN
1) In our analysis of QRN, there appears to be a lack of specificbusiness unit specific metricswithin each division. So while division wide metrics are useful, it is not appropriate to
apply this as a measure of each business unit. For example, ARG Mineral freight
which is based in Perth will face different operating costs from that of the Intermodal
livestock freight division in Queensland. Therefore, our proposal is that a
Performance Excellence department be formed which will help so that each business
unit develop individual benchmarks and continually monitor each business unit for
variances. Any deviations from established benchmarks need to reported and
substantial differences investigated.
2)
We propose that QRN implement firstly a bonus share program for skilled operational,middle and senior management so that their interests are aligned with that of the
shareholders. As a result, they are able to feel that they own part of QRN. Secondly,
there should be key performance indicators that are set for each division (QR Coal,
QR Freight, and QR Network) along different levels of the organization (operational,
supervisor, lower and middle management) so that a performance based work ethic is
encouraged. Incentives and bonuses should be awarded for achieving targets.
3) The third proposal is to implement a comprehensive enterprise wide IT integrationusing Enterprise Resource Planning (ERP) software like SAP which will allow supply
chain integration across all major business divisions. The ERP software will allow real
time data for demand scheduling and also assist in the procurement of major supplies
like diesel fuel. Real time data will allow mines to estimate coal or mineral production
and have estimates for delivery time and possible network congestions. ERP data will
also facilitate the calculation of division and business unit specific metrics which
improves asset utilization and logistics planning.
4) The fourth strategic initiative to diversify growth given that the iron ore market isforecasted to grow by 8.5% per annum from FY2009 to FY 2015. We propose that
QRN concentrate on expanding its business in Western Australia outside the Pilbara
region by winning additional contracts from its existing customers such Cliff natural
resources and Mount Gibson mining. Investment by the QRN for six new locomotives
for $35 million and 227 wagons for $30 million with united group (UGL) would help
make it a strong contender in the Western Australia market with regards to meeting
customer growth.
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STRATEGY MAP BALANCED SCO
Strategic ObjectivesPerformance
measuresT
Increase profitability
Increase revenue
Lower OPEX &
CAPEX
% EBITDA
Margin
Revenue/ntk
OPEX/ntk
4%
ma
13
Increase customer
satisfaction
Enhance customer
retention and
acquisition
Minutes per
100 train KMs
(average
above rail
delays)
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Appendix 1 PEST+2 Analysis
PEST DG Factors Notes
Political 1. QR Networks revenue (whichaccounts for 1/3 of QRN) is
governed by the QCA
2. Queensland Competition AuthorityAct 1997 which governs the
National Access Regime
Opportunity but could turn apotential threat if the ministerconcerned declares the NationalAccess Regime applies
3. Because of scale of QRNsoperations and expansion is alsogoverned by the ACCC(AustralianCompetition and Consumer
Commission)
It is a threat
4. Workplace relations Threat as this increases cost5. Mineral resources tax Threatens profitability of mining
industry.
6. Carbon tax Domestically it will increase theoperating costs
Internationally it will affectdemand as coal which will
reduce the transportationvolumes
7. Leasing with Queensland stategovernment with CQCN
Opportunity because the term ofthe lease is 99 years
8. Aboriginal challenge to some landtittles in Queensland
Not a big threat
9. Expansion of land conservationareas is subject to Ministersdiscretion
Tonis notes on miners beingfined, etc. , related to QRN
10.Subsidies/rebates/favourableconcessions by the State or Federalgovernment
Economic 1. Interest rates/Inflation Forecasted increase by 100points by the treasurer within thenext 12 months will be a threat
2. foreign exchange rates Opportunity because theappreciation of the Australiandollar towards $1.10 USD makesthe purchases of fuel,locomotives and other operatingsupplies cheaper
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PEST DG Factors Notes
Economic 3. Access to capital markets Repayment of foreign purchases4. Tight labour market Increases operating cost5. Supply chain constraints Cant get the best people to do it6. General fuel price Threat because the increase fuel
price will mean a higheroperating cost
Libya, interest rates, inflation,foreign currency, globalfluctuations in fuel price
7. Australian GDP growth of 3.3% for2010, 3.5% for 2011, 3.75 for 2012
Opportunity because theintermodal and bulk freight
business is dependent onAustralian growth.
Social factors 1. Growing support for green energy Threat, but this could mitigatedby the fact that compared tonuclear energy it is safer, andalso it is lowest cost formanufacturers. There is anattitude conservative
protectionism in the Australiangeneral public opinion.
Technology 1. Nuclear energy2. Solar power and other green energy Restrict ability of mining in
Australia
Demographic 1. Aging workforce Small threat because it will havea small impact on the demand forcoal.
2. However, there is a general trend ofincreased migration from NSW toQueensland
Minimal impact.
Global 1. Growth in Asian economies (Chinaand India) will result an increase inthe demand of coal by 8.6% p.a.
Opportunity
2. Australia is well positionedgeographically to provide costefficient coal to supply this demand
Opportunity
3. General recovery the worldeconomy means that the demandfor commodities means that the
demand for coal will stabilize asbefore.
Opportunity because of QRNsexposure to the coal market
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PEST DG
Environment 1. Natural dcyclonesmining pr
Geography 1. Queenslaresource i34 billionto 61% oexports in
Appendix 2 Value Ch
Cop
P
Net
Deman
fleet netwplanning
Capital
allocatio
Planni
Factors
isasters like floods,influences QLDs coaloduction
Threat as raimines get fl
d has the largest coaln Australia of more thantonnes which contributesAustralias total coal2009
This historiopportunity
based in Qu
in Analysis
Finance
HR
Shared services
orate Services
Asset engineering
Safety and environme
Planning
perationalxcellence
Fuel, electricity
Networks
Locomotives and wag
rocurement
CQCN access Rolling stock manufa
and repairork Services
Train
operations
Control
management
&
ork
g
Train, path
scheduling
Rostering
OperationsDeployment
otes
lway lines and coaloded.
al condition is anfor QRN as it isensland.
nt
ons
ture
Maintenance
Scheduling
Maintenance
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Appendix 3 Porters Five Forces
Threat of New Entrants
(Low)
Capital intensive natureof rail freight industry(locomotives, wagons,railways)
Rail network needs longtime to establish
Mining companies havelong term contract withexisting freightcom anies
Threat of Substitute Products
(Low)
Very little substitute forbulk freight from mines toport as it has cost advantage
For intermodal freight,there are substitutes fromroad freight companies.However, the cost on the
long haul is high
Rivalry amongst Competing Firms (High)
The stable growth rate of freight industry leads to quite highcompetition.
There is no leader company in freight industry. Eachcompany has advantages in its region.
The nature of high capital expenditure in freight assetprovides high exit barrier.
The services in freight industry is lack of differentiation
Power of Customers (Medium to High)
Quite high concentration ofcustomers relative to suppliers. Forexample, 66% of the total coalvolume hauled is held by 5
customers for QRN Coal. Mining companies purpose to build
rail line and freight coal bythemselves, for example, HancockCoal. It is a threat of backwardintegration
But, switching costs are high due tothe long term nature of contractsand mining freight is critical tomining companies
Except in West Australia, thebargaining of buyers are quitestrong because they integrate thewhole mining and caring process
Power of Suppliers (Medium)
Products of suppliers are criticalto freight operators(locomotives, wagons, fuel andelectricity and network access)
Network access is governed bystates and regulated by stringentgoverning policies and rules.
But, freight can manufactureproducts for themselves, forexample, QRN has QRN freightto manufacture wagons for itsneed. It is a threat of forwardintegration
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Appendix 4 Resource Based Analysis
Resources
Tangible Assets Intangible Assets
Financial Resources:
Physical Resources:
Book value of tangible fixed assets of$7.4 billion at 30 June 2010
99 year CQCN lease contract at $1 peryear
Organizational Resources :
Formalized reporting structure as ASXlisted company
Employee training and developmentprograms
Technological Resources
Developed IT system Logistic and supply chain system
FY2010
EBIDTA Margin 21.6%
Current Ratio 21.76%
Quick Ratio 18.4%
Debt/Equity Ratio 1.59
ROA(using EBITDA) 7.32%
ROE(using EBITDA) 23.4%
Human Resources
Senior and experienced managementteam
9000+ experienced employees Skilled industrial experience
Reputational Resources
145 years of railway industryexperience
Strong customer and supplierrelationships
Strong relationship with theQueensland State Government dueto previous relationship as a publicgovernment organization
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Appendix 5 Sustainable Competition Advantage Analysis
Capabilities V R NS CI Competiveness
Largest and experienced
transporter of coal Temporary competitive advantage
Integrated supply chain from
mine to port with efficient
logistics, scheduling and
planning
Temporary competitive advantage
Long term lessor relationship Sustainable competitive advantage
IT capabilities and support Competitive parity
Experienced management
leadership and team
Temporary competitive advantage
Cross business synergy Sustainable competitive advantage
Core competencies:
1. Reliable and trusted long established reputation and brand
Australian largest rail freight operator with 145 years of experience
2. Long term lessor relationship
A 99-year lease contract at $1 per year with the State (QTH) of rail track-relatedinfrastructure, comprising the existing CQCN
3. Cross-business synergy
Business synergy between QR Network Services and QR Coal to deliver integrated valueproposition to customer
Appendix 6Appendix 6Appendix 6Appendix 6 Key performance indicators sampleKey performance indicators sampleKey performance indicators sampleKey performance indicators sample
Capital investments $ million
Efficiency
Tonnages Coal mt
Tonnages Iron ore mt
Net ton/kilometres Coal mil Ton Km
Net ton/kilometres Iron ore mil Ton Km
Human Capital
Training spend/personal cost %
Risk, safety and compliance LTIFR per million hours worked
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