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    ZEUS CONSULTING GROUP

    Authored by: Youko Oka, z3098537. Qiong Guo z3312609,

    Jianqing Lu- z3309921, Zen Low z3300863, Anmol Bhaumik - z3318071

    Queensland Rail National (QRN)

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    Queensland

    RailNational(QRN)|

    Executive Summary

    QR National is the worlds largest transporter of coal from mine to ports for export markets

    and is Australias largest rail freight operator .The growing demand for coal and iron ore from

    Asian markets especially from India and China with a forecasted growth of 8.5% fromFY2009 TO FY 2015 has made the company bullish on its future . Prior to its planned initial

    public offering the company completed the acquisition of $3 billion worth of loans from

    various Banks .The company has also projected an increase in EBITA from $894 million in

    FY2011 to $1101 million in FY2012.

    An analysis is undertaken to provide key strategic initiatives for QR National to undertake in

    order to meet its objectives.

    Due to the capital intensive nature of QRNs business, it is paramount that its assets are

    utilized efficiently to maximize returns. Moreover, with the recent privatization of QRN into

    an ASX Listed company, it is important that shareholders expectations a more lean and

    efficient workforce be realized. It is therefore reflected in three of our four recommendations

    of strategic initiatives that QRN focuses on asset utilization and employee culture

    improvement through the use of benchmarking, key performance indicators and incentives

    with the inclusion of an ERP software integration initiative across all of QRNs business

    divisions.

    The fourth strategy will allow QRN to pursue a related diversification strategy into Western

    Australia which will leverage on its core competencies and key strengths.

    RecommendationsRecommendationsRecommendationsRecommendations

    1. Formation of Performance Excellence department to establish and monitorindividual business unit benchmarks to control operating costs.

    2. Implementation of a bonus share program and employee incentive scheme forachieving key performance indicator targets to encourage a performance based culture.

    3. Execution of an enterprise wide IT integration using ERP SAP software to linkdivision wide business units for supply chain logistics for customer and suppliers.

    4. Diversifying growth by aggressive expansion into iron ore markets through QRN railand network services products.

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    1. IntroductionThis report is presented to the Board members and the Senior Management team of the QR

    National to propose recommended key strategies based on the initiatives outlined in the 2010

    QR National Prospectus which will be aligned with stakeholders interests and generate,

    increase the shareholders value. Going through various strategic analyses including SWOT,

    Stakeholders analysis, Strategy map and Balance Scorecard would support to identify the key

    strategies.

    2. Evaluation of external and internal environment

    In order to assess QRNs external environment, it is necessary to look into three specific

    areas; which are general, industry specific and competitive environment.

    The general environment can be analyzed by using PEST DG model, which is shown in

    Appendix 1. We have identified some major factors that work to QRNs advantage such as

    having a 99 years term of lease with the QLD government, expectation of growth in

    Australian GDP, high demand of coal supply from Asian market. There are some potential

    issues ahead for QRNs future as well such as possible introduction of the carbon tax by the

    Australian government that may cause to have higher operation cost domestically, increasing

    of interest rates would impact on repayment of the debts which QRN taken out recently.

    Industry and competitive environment can be analyzed by using Porters 5 forces model that

    is shown in Appendix 2 and 3. Threat of new entrants seems to be quite low since QRN has

    got a long history of being based in QLD and it is a mature industry. Power of buyers is

    medium, since there is only limited number of customers available that would give more

    buying power and backward integration is potentially an issue for QRN. Power of suppliers

    overall within Queensland is low to medium. Intensity of rivalry is high since Pacific

    Nationals is their main competitor, and they are looking into entering towards QLD coal

    market. Threat of substitutes is low since there are little substitutes for bulk coal freight to

    port. Road freights could be seen as a possible substitute, however operating long haul road

    freight may be much more costly to run by them.

    In its intangible assets department, QRN prides itself with the strong reputation of 145 years

    of railway experience with established supplier and customer relationship with a skilled

    workforce of more than 9000 employees. From the resources shown in Appendix 4, QRN has

    a strong tangible asset backing of $7.24 billion and a $3billion loan facility for its capital

    expenditure projects.

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    Queensland

    RailNational(QRN)|

    SWOT Analysis

    SWOT Analysis

    INTERNAL EXTERNAL

    Strength Opportunity

    Experienced and seniormanagement to lead strategy andchange initiatives in QRN

    Reputation as a market leader incoal haulage

    Synergy of above rail (QR Coal &Freight) and below rail operations(QR Network)

    A large tangible asset base of 7.2bwith extensive capital investments

    Skilled operational workforce iswell experienced

    2 principal drivers of demand forAustralia rail freight service globally iscoal and iron ore, for local driver is theeconomic activities in construction andmanufacturing sectors. Both have

    positive outlook.

    Benefit of geographic location of QRNin Queensland being the largest coalmining system in Australia which is inclose proximity to Asian regions

    Proposed port and mine capacityexpansion increases throughput for QRN

    Opening of iron ore mines in Mid-western Australia represents growth forQR

    Weakness Threats

    Inefficient and redundantadministrative staff

    Lack of performance culture frombeing a former public governmentorganization

    Nonperforming freight terminals(Note: Freight division is making loss)

    Inefficient use of capital assets 3b loan facility could restrict further

    expansion

    Customers could backward integrate andfreight coal and iron ore themselves

    Competition from Pacific National whichhas 35% of rail freight business overall andlook to expand coal business in Blackwaterand Goonyella regions

    Natural disasters in Queensland dramaticallyaffects mine and rail operations

    Mineral resources and carbon tax threatensprofitability of coal mines and increasesoperating costs for QRN

    High operating costs which are exposed tointerest rate fluctuations

    In summary (from Appendix 5) it is reasonable to say that QRN has a sustainable competitive

    advantage from its core competencies of being able to leverage on its cross business synergies

    between QR Coal and QR Network Divisions. This synergy fulfils all the criteria for a

    sustainable competitive advantages of being valuable, rare, non substitutable and costly to

    imitate. Moreover, historical conditions with the Queensland Government as a shareholder,

    regulator, and customer and the social complexity of the relationships between suppliers (e.g.

    Network access), customers (in the form of longer term contracts), and creditors (3b loan

    facility) also adds to our view that QRN has a sustainable competitive advantage.

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    Stakeholder Analysis

    Stakeholders Specific Interest Shareholders Value

    1) Customers Cost saving for freight and coaldelivery

    Good logistics and supply chainsystemExtensive and efficient rail

    network coverage for delivery

    Safety and reliability

    Aligned:

    Increased customers loyaltyincreases QRN revenue.

    Opposed:

    Higher operating capitalexpenditures to satisfycustomers.

    2) Suppliers Shorter repayment periodKeep long-term relationship, as

    QRN is an important customerfor them

    Aligned:

    Intimate relationship withsuppliers on the long termdecreases transaction costs.

    Opposed:

    Less available cash to invest ifQRN repaid on shorter time

    period.

    3) Employees Enhanced employee benefitsStable financial performance topay salary

    Good development trainingprogram

    Safe and healthy workingenvironment

    Aligned:

    Retain skilled employeesand improve workingefficiency

    Opposed:

    Higher expenditure inlabour costs

    4) Government As a regulator, enforces QRNfollow state and rail, andworkplace legislation

    As a facilitator of industry,facilitates the provision ofsupporting rail and port

    infrastructure to stimulatedomestic economy

    As a lessor, benefits QR byproviding favourable lease terms

    Aligned:

    Stable and long-termrelationship with government

    Opportunity to facilitatebusiness and expand

    Opposed:

    Increased compliance costs5) Creditors Positive cash flow

    Capability to repay debts in time Aligned:Maintain operating ratiosOpposed:

    QRN assets seized ifcovenants are broken

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    Strategic Initiative 1: Commercial Excellence

    This initiative is to increase returns and profitability through establishing of performance

    benchmarks of operating metrics. Efficient utilization of assets also increases returns on invested

    capital and profitability.

    Strategy Assessment :

    Suitability: Given the threat of competition from Pacific National to initiate aggressive expansion

    into Queensland, QRN needs to focus on its competitiveness and costs due to shareholders

    expectations. Given the preliminary performance analysis, QRN has a weakness of inefficiency and

    productivity compared to competitors.

    Feasibility: Available data from Class 1 US Railways and Pacific National for comparison, they

    have the raw data and available IT systems to create commercial benchmarks as goals for

    commercial returns. However, reduction of overhead administrative staff might provoke strike

    action and crucial skilled staff needs to be maintained.

    Stakeholder Interest

    Customers (Medium): Positive impact - Increased cost savings, reliability, efficiency, and

    productivity means that a better offering can be made to QRNs customers.

    Suppliers (Low): Improved productivity may or may not affect suppliers.

    Creditors (Medium): Positive impact - If QRN was to operate more efficiently with increased

    profits and reduced operating costs, the creditors will benefit because QRN will be more liquid to

    repay and stay within limits of debt covenants.

    Employees (High): Both negative and positive impact- QRN being more efficient might mean

    that the workforce number will be decreased leading to redundancies. This will be a concern for

    QRNs highly unionized workforce. However, employees will also benefit by training.

    Government (Low): Might benefit from the increased taxes being paid.

    Shareholders Value

    This strategy is a long term investment in QRNs business, at the best QRN can achieve 4-8%

    improvement in EBITDA margins from benchmarking comparisons in the 5 to 10 years time frame.

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    Strategic Initiative 2: Performance based culture

    Improvement in organizational beliefs and values to be aligned with a performance culture

    across all levels of management and operational staff through the use of achievable KPIs and

    incentives. QRN needs to recruit experienced middle and senior management to manage this

    initiative.

    Strategy Assessment

    Suitability: Given the change from the Government run company to an ASX listed corporation,

    it is important that QRN has the right culture to implement change and carry out its strategies.

    Incentives are needed because the high level competition for labour in the mining and rail

    industry, QRN needs to keep its best people. Incentives also encourage a performance based

    culture in line with contemporary industry standards.

    Feasibility: It is feasible because current board headed by Lance Hockridge has sufficient

    commercial experience to implement such a change. Key performance indicators (KPI) can be

    set using industry wide metrics and QRNs internal processes. It is possible to have incentives

    and share programs to motivate current employees but on the short term QRN will face

    increased operating employee costs before returns can be seen.

    Stakeholder Interest

    Customers (Medium): Positive - Will benefit through increased efficiency of QRNs service.

    Suppliers (Low):Positive May experience an increase in purchases

    Creditors (Low): Positive Increased efficiency and productivity improves cash flows

    Employees (High): Positive Bonuses and share schemes for achievable KPIs will improve

    performance.

    Government (Low): Minimal impact.

    Shareholders Value

    Shareholders will benefit from the right culture and work ethic from QRNs workforce. A

    reputation for competent staff will increase financial performance adding to shareholders value.

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    Strategic Initiative 3: Diversify Growth

    Implement strategy to pursue related diversification into iron ore and intermodal freight

    markets.

    Strategy Assessment

    Suitability: Suitable strategy given the trends in projected iron ore demand of 8.5% per annum

    on average and increase in contestable contracts in the Mid-Western Australia. There is also

    increased demand for intermodal freight due to local GDP growth of 3%.

    Feasibility: It is a feasible strategy because of the existence of ARG which is a QR subsidiary

    already based in Perth, which is positioned for expansion into Western Australia. Additional

    locomotives have already been purchased. For the intermodal freight expansion, recent rollingstock investments in the Cairns-Melbourne and Sydney-Perth corridors positions QRN for

    growth in this segment. The acquisition of CRT group in Melbourne which provides specialist

    logistics through use of trucks is also favourable for QRN.

    Stakeholder Interest

    Customers (High): Positive-because of the increase in range of services and also the spread of

    geographical outreach in all the major states of Australia is now offered by QRN.

    Suppliers (High): Positive - Increase in the volume of purchases of fuel, electricity and

    locomotives and wagons.

    Creditors (Medium): Negative or Positive contingent on the profitability of these ventures.

    Creditor will scrutinize QRN to make sure that certain ratios and debt covenant is met.

    Employees (Medium): Positive- Will lead to increase in number of employees.

    Government (Low): Will follow QRN to make sure all regulations are met.

    Shareholders Value

    Diversification of operations reduces business risk so if the strategy is successful will increase

    profits and shareholders value.

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    Strategic Initiative 4: Customer Focus

    This strategy focuses on customer satisfaction and fleet availability/reliability. So while QRN

    needs to maintain its safety, due to the nature of the industry, throughput and efficiency are the

    key factors. Competitive pricing and flexible contracts are also important and if successful

    increases switching costs and customer loyalty.

    Strategy Assessment

    Suitability: Suitable, given the threat of competition from Pacific Nationals in Queensland

    and the threat of backward integration by coal mines( for eg.: Xrail formed by Xstrata mining).

    Moreover, over 60% of the contracts are held by the biggest 5 clients of QRN. There is also animpending renewal for the contract in regards to BHP Mitsubishi Alliance.

    Feasibility: There are substantial capital projects underway eg. Blackwater and GAPEX50,

    CQCN expansion with a total of 1.5b spent in QLD on above rail capacity. Investment in

    hunter valley totals 266m. Larger wagons (106 tonnes) can be made with newer and more

    powerful locomotives. More favourable contract agreements on renewal are possible and

    necessary for competitive pricing but QRNs margin and profitability needs to be maintained.

    Stakeholder Interest

    Customers (High): Positive meeting anticipated customer demand and expectation of

    increased capacity means that QRN will be perceived as a more reliable and efficient option.

    Suppliers (Medium to High): Increase in purchases from suppliers.

    Creditors (Medium): Positive if successful leads to higher revenue which allows more

    operating cash flows to pay back loan.

    Employees(Medium): Positive - Employees values and beliefs will need to be aligned with

    this customer focus.

    Government(Low):Not much impact.

    Shareholders Value

    If successful will lead to shareholders value from the increase in customer loyalty retention

    and profits.

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    RailNational(QRN)|

    Strategic Initiative proposals for QRN

    1) In our analysis of QRN, there appears to be a lack of specificbusiness unit specific metricswithin each division. So while division wide metrics are useful, it is not appropriate to

    apply this as a measure of each business unit. For example, ARG Mineral freight

    which is based in Perth will face different operating costs from that of the Intermodal

    livestock freight division in Queensland. Therefore, our proposal is that a

    Performance Excellence department be formed which will help so that each business

    unit develop individual benchmarks and continually monitor each business unit for

    variances. Any deviations from established benchmarks need to reported and

    substantial differences investigated.

    2)

    We propose that QRN implement firstly a bonus share program for skilled operational,middle and senior management so that their interests are aligned with that of the

    shareholders. As a result, they are able to feel that they own part of QRN. Secondly,

    there should be key performance indicators that are set for each division (QR Coal,

    QR Freight, and QR Network) along different levels of the organization (operational,

    supervisor, lower and middle management) so that a performance based work ethic is

    encouraged. Incentives and bonuses should be awarded for achieving targets.

    3) The third proposal is to implement a comprehensive enterprise wide IT integrationusing Enterprise Resource Planning (ERP) software like SAP which will allow supply

    chain integration across all major business divisions. The ERP software will allow real

    time data for demand scheduling and also assist in the procurement of major supplies

    like diesel fuel. Real time data will allow mines to estimate coal or mineral production

    and have estimates for delivery time and possible network congestions. ERP data will

    also facilitate the calculation of division and business unit specific metrics which

    improves asset utilization and logistics planning.

    4) The fourth strategic initiative to diversify growth given that the iron ore market isforecasted to grow by 8.5% per annum from FY2009 to FY 2015. We propose that

    QRN concentrate on expanding its business in Western Australia outside the Pilbara

    region by winning additional contracts from its existing customers such Cliff natural

    resources and Mount Gibson mining. Investment by the QRN for six new locomotives

    for $35 million and 227 wagons for $30 million with united group (UGL) would help

    make it a strong contender in the Western Australia market with regards to meeting

    customer growth.

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    STRATEGY MAP BALANCED SCO

    Strategic ObjectivesPerformance

    measuresT

    Increase profitability

    Increase revenue

    Lower OPEX &

    CAPEX

    % EBITDA

    Margin

    Revenue/ntk

    OPEX/ntk

    4%

    ma

    13

    Increase customer

    satisfaction

    Enhance customer

    retention and

    acquisition

    Minutes per

    100 train KMs

    (average

    above rail

    delays)

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    Appendix 1 PEST+2 Analysis

    PEST DG Factors Notes

    Political 1. QR Networks revenue (whichaccounts for 1/3 of QRN) is

    governed by the QCA

    2. Queensland Competition AuthorityAct 1997 which governs the

    National Access Regime

    Opportunity but could turn apotential threat if the ministerconcerned declares the NationalAccess Regime applies

    3. Because of scale of QRNsoperations and expansion is alsogoverned by the ACCC(AustralianCompetition and Consumer

    Commission)

    It is a threat

    4. Workplace relations Threat as this increases cost5. Mineral resources tax Threatens profitability of mining

    industry.

    6. Carbon tax Domestically it will increase theoperating costs

    Internationally it will affectdemand as coal which will

    reduce the transportationvolumes

    7. Leasing with Queensland stategovernment with CQCN

    Opportunity because the term ofthe lease is 99 years

    8. Aboriginal challenge to some landtittles in Queensland

    Not a big threat

    9. Expansion of land conservationareas is subject to Ministersdiscretion

    Tonis notes on miners beingfined, etc. , related to QRN

    10.Subsidies/rebates/favourableconcessions by the State or Federalgovernment

    Economic 1. Interest rates/Inflation Forecasted increase by 100points by the treasurer within thenext 12 months will be a threat

    2. foreign exchange rates Opportunity because theappreciation of the Australiandollar towards $1.10 USD makesthe purchases of fuel,locomotives and other operatingsupplies cheaper

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    PEST DG Factors Notes

    Economic 3. Access to capital markets Repayment of foreign purchases4. Tight labour market Increases operating cost5. Supply chain constraints Cant get the best people to do it6. General fuel price Threat because the increase fuel

    price will mean a higheroperating cost

    Libya, interest rates, inflation,foreign currency, globalfluctuations in fuel price

    7. Australian GDP growth of 3.3% for2010, 3.5% for 2011, 3.75 for 2012

    Opportunity because theintermodal and bulk freight

    business is dependent onAustralian growth.

    Social factors 1. Growing support for green energy Threat, but this could mitigatedby the fact that compared tonuclear energy it is safer, andalso it is lowest cost formanufacturers. There is anattitude conservative

    protectionism in the Australiangeneral public opinion.

    Technology 1. Nuclear energy2. Solar power and other green energy Restrict ability of mining in

    Australia

    Demographic 1. Aging workforce Small threat because it will havea small impact on the demand forcoal.

    2. However, there is a general trend ofincreased migration from NSW toQueensland

    Minimal impact.

    Global 1. Growth in Asian economies (Chinaand India) will result an increase inthe demand of coal by 8.6% p.a.

    Opportunity

    2. Australia is well positionedgeographically to provide costefficient coal to supply this demand

    Opportunity

    3. General recovery the worldeconomy means that the demandfor commodities means that the

    demand for coal will stabilize asbefore.

    Opportunity because of QRNsexposure to the coal market

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    PEST DG

    Environment 1. Natural dcyclonesmining pr

    Geography 1. Queenslaresource i34 billionto 61% oexports in

    Appendix 2 Value Ch

    Cop

    P

    Net

    Deman

    fleet netwplanning

    Capital

    allocatio

    Planni

    Factors

    isasters like floods,influences QLDs coaloduction

    Threat as raimines get fl

    d has the largest coaln Australia of more thantonnes which contributesAustralias total coal2009

    This historiopportunity

    based in Qu

    in Analysis

    Finance

    HR

    Shared services

    orate Services

    Asset engineering

    Safety and environme

    Planning

    perationalxcellence

    Fuel, electricity

    Networks

    Locomotives and wag

    rocurement

    CQCN access Rolling stock manufa

    and repairork Services

    Train

    operations

    Control

    management

    &

    ork

    g

    Train, path

    scheduling

    Rostering

    OperationsDeployment

    otes

    lway lines and coaloded.

    al condition is anfor QRN as it isensland.

    nt

    ons

    ture

    Maintenance

    Scheduling

    Maintenance

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    Appendix 3 Porters Five Forces

    Threat of New Entrants

    (Low)

    Capital intensive natureof rail freight industry(locomotives, wagons,railways)

    Rail network needs longtime to establish

    Mining companies havelong term contract withexisting freightcom anies

    Threat of Substitute Products

    (Low)

    Very little substitute forbulk freight from mines toport as it has cost advantage

    For intermodal freight,there are substitutes fromroad freight companies.However, the cost on the

    long haul is high

    Rivalry amongst Competing Firms (High)

    The stable growth rate of freight industry leads to quite highcompetition.

    There is no leader company in freight industry. Eachcompany has advantages in its region.

    The nature of high capital expenditure in freight assetprovides high exit barrier.

    The services in freight industry is lack of differentiation

    Power of Customers (Medium to High)

    Quite high concentration ofcustomers relative to suppliers. Forexample, 66% of the total coalvolume hauled is held by 5

    customers for QRN Coal. Mining companies purpose to build

    rail line and freight coal bythemselves, for example, HancockCoal. It is a threat of backwardintegration

    But, switching costs are high due tothe long term nature of contractsand mining freight is critical tomining companies

    Except in West Australia, thebargaining of buyers are quitestrong because they integrate thewhole mining and caring process

    Power of Suppliers (Medium)

    Products of suppliers are criticalto freight operators(locomotives, wagons, fuel andelectricity and network access)

    Network access is governed bystates and regulated by stringentgoverning policies and rules.

    But, freight can manufactureproducts for themselves, forexample, QRN has QRN freightto manufacture wagons for itsneed. It is a threat of forwardintegration

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    Appendix 4 Resource Based Analysis

    Resources

    Tangible Assets Intangible Assets

    Financial Resources:

    Physical Resources:

    Book value of tangible fixed assets of$7.4 billion at 30 June 2010

    99 year CQCN lease contract at $1 peryear

    Organizational Resources :

    Formalized reporting structure as ASXlisted company

    Employee training and developmentprograms

    Technological Resources

    Developed IT system Logistic and supply chain system

    FY2010

    EBIDTA Margin 21.6%

    Current Ratio 21.76%

    Quick Ratio 18.4%

    Debt/Equity Ratio 1.59

    ROA(using EBITDA) 7.32%

    ROE(using EBITDA) 23.4%

    Human Resources

    Senior and experienced managementteam

    9000+ experienced employees Skilled industrial experience

    Reputational Resources

    145 years of railway industryexperience

    Strong customer and supplierrelationships

    Strong relationship with theQueensland State Government dueto previous relationship as a publicgovernment organization

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    Appendix 5 Sustainable Competition Advantage Analysis

    Capabilities V R NS CI Competiveness

    Largest and experienced

    transporter of coal Temporary competitive advantage

    Integrated supply chain from

    mine to port with efficient

    logistics, scheduling and

    planning

    Temporary competitive advantage

    Long term lessor relationship Sustainable competitive advantage

    IT capabilities and support Competitive parity

    Experienced management

    leadership and team

    Temporary competitive advantage

    Cross business synergy Sustainable competitive advantage

    Core competencies:

    1. Reliable and trusted long established reputation and brand

    Australian largest rail freight operator with 145 years of experience

    2. Long term lessor relationship

    A 99-year lease contract at $1 per year with the State (QTH) of rail track-relatedinfrastructure, comprising the existing CQCN

    3. Cross-business synergy

    Business synergy between QR Network Services and QR Coal to deliver integrated valueproposition to customer

    Appendix 6Appendix 6Appendix 6Appendix 6 Key performance indicators sampleKey performance indicators sampleKey performance indicators sampleKey performance indicators sample

    Capital investments $ million

    Efficiency

    Tonnages Coal mt

    Tonnages Iron ore mt

    Net ton/kilometres Coal mil Ton Km

    Net ton/kilometres Iron ore mil Ton Km

    Human Capital

    Training spend/personal cost %

    Risk, safety and compliance LTIFR per million hours worked

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