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Page 1: Hermann M. Fritz978-3-319-55480...Along the Yucatán Shelf/Campeche Escarpment, Southern Gulf of Mexico J.D. Chaytor · E.L. Geist · C.K. Paull · D.W. Caress · R. Gwiazda · J.U
Page 2: Hermann M. Fritz978-3-319-55480...Along the Yucatán Shelf/Campeche Escarpment, Southern Gulf of Mexico J.D. Chaytor · E.L. Geist · C.K. Paull · D.W. Caress · R. Gwiazda · J.U

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Page 3: Hermann M. Fritz978-3-319-55480...Along the Yucatán Shelf/Campeche Escarpment, Southern Gulf of Mexico J.D. Chaytor · E.L. Geist · C.K. Paull · D.W. Caress · R. Gwiazda · J.U

Previously published in Pure and Applied Geophysics

(PAGEOPH), Volume 173, No. 12, 2016

Edited by

Eric L. Geist

Hermann M. Fritz

Alexander B. Rabinovich

Yuichiro Tanioka

Global Tsunami Science: Past and Future, Volume I

Page 4: Hermann M. Fritz978-3-319-55480...Along the Yucatán Shelf/Campeche Escarpment, Southern Gulf of Mexico J.D. Chaytor · E.L. Geist · C.K. Paull · D.W. Caress · R. Gwiazda · J.U

ISBN 978-3-319-55479-2 ISBN 978-3-319-55480-8 (eBook)DOI 10.1007/978-3-319-55480-8

Library of Congress Control Number: 2017934654

Mathematics Subject Classifi cation (2010): 86-XX, 60-XX, 62-XX, 65-XX, 76-XX

© Springer International Publishing Switzerland 2017

This work is subject to copyright. All rights are reserved by the Publisher, whether the whole or part of the material is concerned, specifi cally the rights of translation, reprinting, reuse of illustrations, recitation, broadcasting, reproduction on microfi lms or in any other physical way, and transmission or information storage and retrieval, electronic adaptation, computer software, or by similar or dissimilar methodology now known or hereafter developed.The use of general descriptive names, registered names, trademarks, service marks, etc. in this publication does not imply, even in the absence of a specifi c statement, that such names are exempt from the relevant protective laws and regulations and therefore free for general use.The publisher, the authors and the editors are safe to assume that the advice and information in this book are believed to be true and accurate at the date of publication. Neither the publisher nor the authors or the editors give a warranty, express or implied, with respect to the material contained herein or for any errors or omissions that may have been made.

Cover illustration: Fishing trawler Polux stranded on top of the wharf at Coquimbo after the September 15, 2015 Chile tsunami (photo: September 21, 2015, © Hermann M. Fritz)

Cover design: deblik, Berlin

Printed on acid-free paper

This book is published under the trade name Birkhäuser (www.birkhauser-science.com)

The registered company is Springer International Publishing AG

The registered company address is: Gewerbestrasse 11, 6330 Cham, Switzerland

EditorsEric L. GeistU.S. Geological SurveyMS 999Middlefi eld Rd 34594025 Menlo ParkCA, USA

Alexander B. RabinovichRussian Academy of SciencesP.P. Shirshov Institute of OceanologyNakhimovski Prospect 36117997 MoscowRussia

Hermann M. FritzGeorgia Institute of TechnologySchool of Civil and Environmental Engineering790 Atlantic Drive, Atlanta30332 GeorgiaUSA

Yuichiro TaniokaHokkado UniversityN10W8, Kita-ku060-0810 SapporoJapan

Page 5: Hermann M. Fritz978-3-319-55480...Along the Yucatán Shelf/Campeche Escarpment, Southern Gulf of Mexico J.D. Chaytor · E.L. Geist · C.K. Paull · D.W. Caress · R. Gwiazda · J.U

1 Introduction to “Global Tsunami Science: Past and Future, Volume I”E.L. Geist · H.M. Fritz · A.B. Rabinovich · Y. Tanioka

TSUNAMI PROBABILITY AND UNCERTAINTY ANALYSIS

9 Generating Random Earthquake Events for Probabilistic Tsunami Hazard AssessmentR.J. LeVeque · K. Waagan · F.I. González · D. Rim · G. Lin

31 The Effects on Tsunami Hazard Assessment in Chile of Assuming Earthquake Scenarios with Spatially Uniform SlipM. Carvajal · A. Gubler

41 Reconstruction of Far-Field Tsunami Amplitude Distributions from Earthquake SourcesE.L. Geist · T. Parsons

57 Probabilistic Tsunami Hazard Assessment for a Site in Eastern CanadaV. Kulkarni · M.E.M. Arcos · T. Alcinov · A. Lavine · R. Youngs · P. Roussel · D. Mullin

95 Probabilistic Hazard of Tsunamis Generated by Submarine Landslides in the Cook Strait Canyon (New Zealand)E.M. Lane · J.J. Mountjoy · W.L. Power · C. Mueller

113 Developing an Event-Tree Probabilistic Tsunami Inundation Model for NE Atlantic Coasts: Application to a Case StudyR. Omira · L. Matias · M.A. Baptista

DETERMINISTIC HAZARD AND RISK ASSESSMENT

133 Application and Comparison of Tsunami Vulnerability and Damage Models for the Town of Siracusa, Sicily, ItalyG. Pagnoni · S. Tinti

161 Possible Worst-Case Tsunami Scenarios Around the Marmara Sea from Combined Earthquake and Landslide SourcesP. Latcharote · A. Suppasri · F. Imamura · B. Aytore · A.C. Yalciner

185 Impact of Hellenic Arc Tsunamis on Corsica (France)A. Gailler · F. Schindelé · H. Hébert

TSUNAMI WARNING AND DETECTION

201 Consistent Estimates of Tsunami Energy Show Promise for Improved Early WarningV. Titov · Y.T. Song · L. Tang · E.N. Bernard · Y. Bar-Sever · Y. Wei

219 Very Fast Characterization of Focal Mechanism Parameters Through W-Phase Centroid Inversion in the Context of Tsunami WarningJ. Roch · P. Duperray · F. Schindelé

Contents

Page 6: Hermann M. Fritz978-3-319-55480...Along the Yucatán Shelf/Campeche Escarpment, Southern Gulf of Mexico J.D. Chaytor · E.L. Geist · C.K. Paull · D.W. Caress · R. Gwiazda · J.U

233 Tsunami Detection by High-Frequency Radar Beyond the Continental Shelf · I: Algorithms and Validation on Idealized Case StudiesS.T. Grilli · S. Grosdidier · C.-A. Guérin

273 Time–Frequency Characteristics of Tsunami Magnetic Signals from Four Pacifi c Ocean EventsN.R. Schnepf · C. Manoj · C. An · H. Sugioka · H. Toh

293 A Pilot Tsunami Inundation Forecast System for AustraliaS.C.R. Allen · D.J.M. Greenslade

TSUNAMI HYDRODYNAMICS AND MODELING

311 Comparison and Computational Performance of Tsunami-HySEA and MOST Models for LANTEX 2013 Scenario: Impact Assessment on Puerto Rico CoastsJ. Macías · A. Mercado · J.M. González-Vida · S. Ortega · M.J. Castro

337 Tsunami Hazard Assessment in the Hudson River Estuary Based on Dynamic Tsunami–Tide SimulationsM. Shelby · S.T. Grilli · A.R. Grilli

377 Tsunami Bores in Kitakami RiverE. Tolkova · H. Tanaka

393 Adjoint Methods for Guiding Adaptive Mesh Refi nement in Tsunami ModelingB.N. Davis · R.J. LeVeque

413 Benchmarking an Unstructured-Grid Model for Tsunami Current ModelingY.J. Zhang · G. Priest · J. Allan · L. Stimely

427 The New Method of Tsunami Source Reconstruction With r-Solution Inversion MethodT.A. Voronina · A.A. Romanenko

LANDSLIDE AND METEOROLOGICAL TSUNAMIS

439 Source Characterization and Tsunami Modeling of Submarine Landslides Along the Yucatán Shelf/Campeche Escarpment, Southern Gulf of MexicoJ.D. Chaytor · E.L. Geist · C.K. Paull · D.W. Caress · R. Gwiazda · J.U. Fucugauchi · M.R. Vieyra

455 Multi-Meteotsunami Event in the Adriatic Sea Generated by Atmospheric Disturbances of 25–26 June 2014J. Šepic · I. Med-ugorac · I. Janekovic · N. Dunic · I. Vilibic

CASE STUDIES

477 A Comparative Analysis of Coastal and Open-Ocean Records of the Great Chilean Tsunamis of 2010, 2014 and 2015 off the Coast of MexicoO. Zaytsev · A.B. Rabinovich · R.E. Thomson

517 Rupture Process of the 1969 and 1975 Kurile Earthquakes Estimated from Tsunami Waveform AnalysesK. Ioki · Y. Tanioka

527 A Possible Source Mechanism of the 1946 Unimak Alaska Far-Field Tsunami: Uplift of the Mid-Slope Terrace Above a Splay Fault ZoneR. von Huene · J.J. Miller · D. Klaeschen · P. Dartnell