how to play the almighty breakout - oliver l. velez · page 8 breakout question 1 question 1: so...
TRANSCRIPT
How to Play The Almighty Breakout
with uncanny accuracy
Copyright © 2010 * iFundTraders, LLC. * 2576 Broadway, #158, NY, NY, 10025
Copyright © 2010 * iFundTraders, LLC. * 2576 Broadway, #158, NY, NY, 10025
Oliver Velez Titles
Copyright © 2010 * iFundTraders, LLC. * 2576 Broadway, #158, NY, NY, 10025
5 Int’l Best-Selling Books
written by Oliver Velez,
including Tools and Tactics
of the Master Day Trader,
one of the best selling
trading books of all-time.
Accomplishments
Copyright © 2010 * iFundTraders, LLC. * 2576 Broadway, #158, NY, NY, 10025
© 2010 版板所有 * iFundTraders.com * (866) 877- 6124 * [email protected]
Copy of Presentation
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Let’s Look at one tactic that helps my traders generate wealth like this.
We call it:
The Almighty Breakout
Page 7
Two Main Breakout Facts
Fact 1: Breakouts are amongst some of
the most powerful, profitable
plays in existence
Fact 2: 72% of all Breakouts Fail
Page 8
Breakout Question 1
Question 1: So how can breakouts be so
powerful and profitable if most
don’t work?
Answer: The 28% that do work do so in a
major way. Big Profits!
Page 9
Breakout Question 2
Question 2: So how can one distinguish between those
breakouts that are likely to fail, versus those
which will likely soar?
Answer: By the end of this educational session, you’ll
know which breakouts to buy and which to by-
pass.
Page 10
The Traditional Breakout
iFund Traders Tip:
You need a minimum of three relatively equal highs
and lows to have a true consolidating base.
Traders are
waiting to Buy
Here
Page 11
Stop Here
The Traditional Breakout Our Traders Buy Here
Page 12
Stopped
Out Here
What’s the culprit? What went wrong?
The Traditional Breakout
Our Traders Buy Here
Page 13
The iFund Traders Breakout
Our Traders Buy Here
Our Traders Place a
Stop Here
Page 14
The iFund Traders Breakout
Page 15
iFund Traders Breakout Play (BOP)
PATTERN SETUP 1. The sideways base can occur in an established uptrend or after a downtrend
2. The base should be narrow and thin, not wide and whippy
3. The bars in the base should be small and narrow, no wide range
4. The volume during the base should be light, not heavy
5. The 8ma and/or the 20ma should ideally be rising during the base’s formation
BUY ACTION 1. Buy the bar that breaks above the last 2/3s of the base
2. Place a stop .01 below the breakout bar (the entry bar’s low).
3. Project the length of the base upward for target, if there is no prior reference point.
IMPORTANT POINTS 1. The best breakouts occur at or near the point of contact with the rising 20ma/8ma
2. A iFund Traders buy Set-up at the bottom of a base can be an early buy opportunity
for the watchful trader, if the VBS is occurring at or the rising moving average.
3. We play BOPs more on 2- and 5-minute charts when scalping
4. A Pause (Base) VS a Top – When a Base Is a Top and not a Pause:
a. Pauses (bases) are narrow; Tops are wide and whippy
b. Pauses (bases) have small bars; Tops have big wide range bars
c. Pauses (bases) have light volume; Tops have big volume
d. Pauses “usually” don’t cross the 20ma by much; Tops cross below it.
Page 16
iFund Traders Breakout Play (BOP)
iFund Traders Breakout Play – This buy tactic will be the iFund Traders second most frequently
traded event. On many days, it will be the only pattern traded, as stocks tend to spend the majority
of their intra-day time drifting sideways in bases. Therefore, this is a tactic that must be mastered..
Pattern Set-up
Buy Action
Tip Top
Alert
Volume Decline
Higher lows
Buy
a
Buy
b
Trading Note: Bases that are tight and narrow with declining volume, rising lows and a rising 8ma and/or
20ma produce the highest odds of exploding to the upside, once they clear the over head resistance. Keep in
mind that these “pauses” are not negative, despite the apparent loss of momentum. They simply serve as pit
stops on the way to higher ground. In essence, they give the stock the ability to rest and rejuvenate before
another big advance begins. The iFund Traders Breakout Play is a staple amongst our traders.
iFund Traders Tip
The second move, after a normal
dip, will often be the biggest one.
Page 17
Chart Courtesy of iFund Traders Pro™
iFund Traders Main Breakout Rule
“Buy the bar the clears the last 2/3s of the base.”
Buying the break to a new high is often too late.
Last 2/3s
Don’t’ buy above this
high
Breakout Play (BOP)
Buy Here
Page 18
20ma
200ma
What should you be getting ready to do right now?
A tight sideways pause (time consolidation) into a rising 20ma will tend to blast off right at or near the point of the
contact with the r20ma. If the price were to go beyond the 20ma, and the 20ma were to go flat, the odds increase that
the base is a stage 3, not a pause.
Chart Courtesy of Realtick®
5-min Breakout Play (BOP)
A Testimonial
Page 20
Breakout Play (BOP)
Buy
Stop
Page 21
Chart Courtesy of Realtick®
Daily Breakout Play
Buy Here
Page 22
Breakout Play (BOP)
Chart Courtesy of iFund Traders Pro™
Tip: The best breakouts (BOPs) occur at or near the
point of contact with the rising 20ma. See circle
Buy
Stop
Page 23
Breakout Play (BOP)
iFund Traders BOP Criteria
Page 24
Breakout @ 8ma
Charts Courtesy of iFund Traders Pro®
Buy Break Here
Page 25
Breakout Play (BOP)
Charts Courtesy of iFund Traders Pro®
Buy BOP Here
Buy BOP Here
Buy BOP Here
Stop Here
A Testimonial
Page 27
Breakout Play (BOP)
Sell at the start of the next bar
Buy Here
Page 28
Breakout Play (BOP)
Charts Courtesy of iFund Traders Pro®
Buy Here Buy Here
Stop Here
Page 29
Breakout Play (BOP)
Charts Courtesy of iFund Traders Pro®
True Breakouts usually offer the iFund Trader two buy
opportunities:
1- The Initial Break away move
2 – The first pullback (VBS)
Page 30
Tight sideways patterns above the 20ma during midday doldrums often
lead to breakouts that run to overhead resistance points, such as the
200ma.
20ma
200ma Target Area
Buy here
S
Chart Courtesy of Realtick®
5-min Breakout Play (BOP)
Buy Here
Page 31
Breakout Play (BOP)
Charts Courtesy of iFund Traders Pro®
iFund Traders Tip:
Buy VBS Buy
Breakout
A Testimonial
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Profit Statements Graduated Traders
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A Testimonial
Copyright © 2010 * iFundTraders, LLC. * 2576 Broadway, #158, NY, NY, 10025
Here Is A Simple Question
A Simple Question
If I gave you:
A Simple Question
If I gave you:
1) $75,000 to trade (to start);
A Simple Question
If I gave you:
1) $75,000 to trade (to start);
2) A list of only 100 key stocks to focus on;
A Simple Question
If I gave you:
1) $75,000 to trade (to start);
2) A list of only 100 key stocks to focus on;
3) A commission rate of 6 cents per 100 shares;
A Simple Question
If I gave you:
1) $75,000 to trade (to start);
2) A list of only 100 key stocks to focus on;
3) A commission rate of 6 cents per 100 shares;
And told you to:
A Simple Question
If I gave you:
1) $75,000 to trade (to start);
2) A list of only 50 key stocks to focus on;
3) A commission rate of 6 cents per 100 shares;
And told you to:
1) Buy every BEAKOUT that occurs;
A Simple Question
If I gave you:
1) $75,000 to trade (to start);
2) A list of only 50 key stocks to focus on;
3) A commission rate of 6 cents per 100 shares;
And told you to:
1) Buy every Bull Elephant Bar that occurs;
2) Place a stop under the breakout bar’s low;
A Simple Question
If I gave you:
1) $75,000 to trade (to start);
2) A list of only 50 key stocks to focus on;
3) A commission rate of 6 cents per 100 shares;
And told you to:
1) Buy every Bull Elephant Bar that occurs;
2) Place a stop under the breakout bar’s low;
3) Keep 80% of the gains on all winning plays;
A Simple Question
If I gave you:
1) $75,000 to trade (to start);
2) A list of only 50 key stocks to focus on;
3) A commission rate of 6 cents per 100 shares;
And told you to:
1) Buy every BREAKOUT that occurs;
2) Place a stop under the breakout bar’s low;
3) Keep 80% of the gains;
4) I will eat the losses (until you’re profitable);
A Simple Question
If I gave you:
1) $75,000 to trade (to start);
2) A list of only 50 key stocks to focus on;
3) A commission rate of 6 cents per 100 shares;
And told you to:
1) Buy every Bull Elephant Bar that occurs;
2) Place a stop under the breakout bar’s low;
3) Keep 80% of the gains;
4) I will eat the losses (until you’re profitable)
Do you think you could do it?
Then Why Don’t You?
Another Question
Meet My Global Trading Army
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Goal 1:
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A Testimonial
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A Testimonial
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Copy of Presentation
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http://www.ifundtraders.com/portugal_breakout.php