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How Will the Future Internet Impact Real Estate? Keynote Address National Association of Industrial and Office Properties San Diego, CA May 16, 2002 Dr. Larry Smarr Director, California Institute for Telecommunications and Information Technologies Professor, Dept. of Computer Science and Engineering Jacobs School of Engineering, UCSD

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Page 1: How Will the Future Internet Impact Real Estate? Keynote Address National Association of Industrial and Office Properties San Diego, CA May 16, 2002 Dr

How Will the Future Internet Impact Real Estate?

Keynote Address

National Association of

Industrial and Office Properties

San Diego, CA

May 16, 2002Dr. Larry Smarr

Director, California Institute for Telecommunications and Information Technologies

Professor, Dept. of Computer Science and Engineering

Jacobs School of Engineering, UCSD

Page 2: How Will the Future Internet Impact Real Estate? Keynote Address National Association of Industrial and Office Properties San Diego, CA May 16, 2002 Dr

Soon The Internet Will Be Available Throughout the Physical World

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

1,600

1,800

2,000

1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

Mobile Internet

Fixed Internet

Subscribers (millions)

Source: Ericsson

Page 3: How Will the Future Internet Impact Real Estate? Keynote Address National Association of Industrial and Office Properties San Diego, CA May 16, 2002 Dr

• Wireless Access--Anywhere, Anytime– Broadband Speeds– Cellular Interoperating with Wi-Fi

• Billions of New Wireless Internet End Points– Information Appliances (Including Cell Phones)– Sensors and Actuators– Embedded Processors

• Broadband Becomes a Mass Market– Homes and Business Buildings

• Enormous Bandwidth Optical Backbones

Enabling the Internet To Be “Always-On”

Page 4: How Will the Future Internet Impact Real Estate? Keynote Address National Association of Industrial and Office Properties San Diego, CA May 16, 2002 Dr

Convention Center

Horton Square

Santa Fe Depot Airport

I Zone

101 Plaza

Hot Spot Now! Hot Spot Now!

Hot Spot Coming Soon!!

Next??

Next??

Source:Matt Spathas, SENTRE Partners

San Diego Can Lead by Creating an Urban Free Access “Wireless Network”

Page 5: How Will the Future Internet Impact Real Estate? Keynote Address National Association of Industrial and Office Properties San Diego, CA May 16, 2002 Dr

Bandwidth Bay, MetroConnect, San Diego Telecom Council, AirShare.org, …

Hot Spot

Hot Zone

Source:Matt Spathas, SENTRE Partners

Initial Steps TowardProviding Public IP Tone

Page 6: How Will the Future Internet Impact Real Estate? Keynote Address National Association of Industrial and Office Properties San Diego, CA May 16, 2002 Dr

Essential Utilities

Water Gas Electricity Bandwidth

The 4th Utility

Source:Matt Spathas, SENTRE Partners

Should Bandwidth Be the 4th Utility?

Page 7: How Will the Future Internet Impact Real Estate? Keynote Address National Association of Industrial and Office Properties San Diego, CA May 16, 2002 Dr

Electrical Network (Wires and Transformer)• Owned by building owner• Buildings manage and maintain electrical wires• 3rd parties maintain equipment / manage network• No revenue sharing with owner

Data Network (Wires and Switch)• Owned by building owner• Buildings can manage and maintain data wires• 3rd party can maintain equipment / manage network• Network management costs are minimal• No revenue sharing with ownerh

Electrical / Data Networks

Source:Matt Spathas, SENTRE Partners

Can Internet Information Infrastrucutre Be Treated Like the Electrical Power Infrastructure?

Page 8: How Will the Future Internet Impact Real Estate? Keynote Address National Association of Industrial and Office Properties San Diego, CA May 16, 2002 Dr

Source:Matt Spathas, SENTRE Partners

The Wi-Fi Commercial Market Is Rapidly Developing

• Wi-Fi Operators– Want to Manage Networks, Charge for

Usage and Share Profits, If Any– Are Beginning a “Pay for Service”

Model at Airports, Hotels, Public Places– Are Unsure of Profitability– Charge the End User - $20 Per Month– Provide “Closed” Networks

Page 9: How Will the Future Internet Impact Real Estate? Keynote Address National Association of Industrial and Office Properties San Diego, CA May 16, 2002 Dr

Cal-(IT)2 -- An Integrated Approach to Research on the Future of the Internet

www.calit2.net

220 UCSD & UCI FacultyWorking in Multidisciplinary Teams

With Students, Industry, and the Community

State Provides $100 Million for New Laboratories

Page 10: How Will the Future Internet Impact Real Estate? Keynote Address National Association of Industrial and Office Properties San Diego, CA May 16, 2002 Dr

Designing Cal-(IT)2 Buildings With Advanced Telecommunications

• Will Create New Laboratory Facilities– Live Internet Display Walls– Computer Arts Virtual Reality– Wireless and Optical Networking– Interdisciplinary Teams

Bioengineering

UC San Diego

UC Irvine

Page 11: How Will the Future Internet Impact Real Estate? Keynote Address National Association of Industrial and Office Properties San Diego, CA May 16, 2002 Dr

Over Fifty Industrial Sponsors From a Broad Range of Industries

Akamai Technologies Inc.AMCCAmpersand VenturesArch VenturesThe Boeing CompanyBroadcom CorporationCAIMIS, Inc.Conexant Systems, Inc.Connexion by BoeingCox CommunicationsDiamondhead VenturesDupontEmulex Corporation

Network SystemsEnosys MarketsEnterprise PartnersEntropia, Inc.Ericsson ESRIExtreme NetworksGlobal Photon SystemsGravitonIBM

ComputersCommunications

SoftwareSensors

BiomedicalStartups

Venture Capital

Newport CorporationOracleOrincon IndustriesPanoram TechnologiesPrintronixQUALCOMMQuantumThe R.W. Johnson Pharmaceutical Research InstituteSAICSamueli, Henry (Broadcom)SciFrame, Inc.Seagate Storage ProductsSGISilicon WaveSonySTMicroelectronics, Inc.Sun MicrosystemsTeraBurst NetworksTexas InstrumentsTime DomainUCSD HealthcareThe Unwired FundWebEx

IdeaEdge VenturesThe Irvine CompanyIntersil CorporationIrvine Sensors CorporationJMI, Inc.Leap Wireless InternationalLink, William J. (Versant Ventures)Litton Industries, Inc.MedExpert InternationalMerckMicrosoft CorporationMission VenturesNCR

Page 12: How Will the Future Internet Impact Real Estate? Keynote Address National Association of Industrial and Office Properties San Diego, CA May 16, 2002 Dr

UCSD is Combining Local “Hot Spots” with Wide Area Cellular Internet Access

Available Now

6 months

12 months

Wireless WAN

Page 13: How Will the Future Internet Impact Real Estate? Keynote Address National Association of Industrial and Office Properties San Diego, CA May 16, 2002 Dr

Using Students to Invent the Futureof Wide Use of Broadband Wireless PDAs

• Year- Long “Living Laboratory” Experiment 2001-02– Computer Science & Engineering Undergraduates

– 500+ Wireless-Enabled HP Pocket PCs at UC San Diego – 50 Compaq Pocket PCs at UC Irvine

• Currently Using 802.11b Over Much of Campus• Experiments with Geo-location and Interactive Maps

Cal-(IT)2 Team: Bill Griswold, Gabriele Wienhausen, UCSD; Rajesh Gupta, UCI

UC San Diego

UC Irvine

Page 14: How Will the Future Internet Impact Real Estate? Keynote Address National Association of Industrial and Office Properties San Diego, CA May 16, 2002 Dr

Geolocation Is Likely to Be an Early New Wireless Internet Application

• Methods of Geolocation– GPS chips– GPS signal– Triangulation– Bluetooth

Beacons– Gyro chips

Source: Bill Griswold, UCSD

UCSD ActiveCampus – Outdoor Map

Page 15: How Will the Future Internet Impact Real Estate? Keynote Address National Association of Industrial and Office Properties San Diego, CA May 16, 2002 Dr

Cellular Internet Can Link with Wi-Fi

• First US Taste of 3G Cellular Internet– UCSD Jacobs School Antenna

– First Beta Test Site

• Backhaul for 802.11 Mobile “Bubble”– Tested on CyberShuttle

– Joint Project with Campus– From Railway to Campus at 65 mph!

Rooftop Qualcomm 1xEV Access Point

www.calit2.net/news/2002/4-2-bbus.html

Page 16: How Will the Future Internet Impact Real Estate? Keynote Address National Association of Industrial and Office Properties San Diego, CA May 16, 2002 Dr

Experimenting with the Future -- Wireless Internet Video Cams & Robots

Computer Vision and Robotics Research LabMohan Trivedi, UCSD, Cal-(IT)2

Mobile Interactivity Avatar

Linked by Qualcomm 1xEV Cellular Internet

Useful for Highway Accidents

or Disasters

Page 17: How Will the Future Internet Impact Real Estate? Keynote Address National Association of Industrial and Office Properties San Diego, CA May 16, 2002 Dr

Source: Maria Feng UCI Civil & Environmental Engineering

Wireless Internet SensorNets Enable Real-Time Monitoring of Bridges and Buildings

Data-Loggers

Se

nso

r

LocalData Hub

ControlCenter

PC104

WirelessInternet

Se

nso

r

UC

I

UsersU

CS

D

Cal

tra

ns

Data Mining

Page 18: How Will the Future Internet Impact Real Estate? Keynote Address National Association of Industrial and Office Properties San Diego, CA May 16, 2002 Dr

Attacking Traffic Congestion with Industry and State Government

• Campus Partnering for Implementation– UC Irvine’s Institution of Transportation Studies – UCSD Computer Vision and Robotics Research

• Caltrans ATMS Testbed + Cal-(IT)2 = ZEVNET – 50 Toyota Zero Emission Vehicles (ZEV)– Add GPS Tracking, Wireless Communications

Source: Will Recker, UCI

“Living Laboratory”

Page 19: How Will the Future Internet Impact Real Estate? Keynote Address National Association of Industrial and Office Properties San Diego, CA May 16, 2002 Dr

Commuting Can Be Radically Improved

• Autonet Concept– Make Cars Mobile, Ad Hoc, Wireless, Peer-to-Peer Platforms– Distributed Sensing, Computation, and Control– Autonomous Distributed Traffic Control– Mobile Autonomous Software Agents– Decentralized Databases

Congestion-free flowCongestion-free flowUrbanUrbanMobilityMobility

UrbanUrbanMobilityMobility

Rigid Line-Haul PerformanceRigid Line-Haul PerformanceClean Limited-Clean Limited-Range MobilityRange Mobility

Clean Limited-Clean Limited-Range MobilityRange Mobility

Will Recker, UCI and Mohan Trivedi, UCSD, Cal-(IT)2

Page 20: How Will the Future Internet Impact Real Estate? Keynote Address National Association of Industrial and Office Properties San Diego, CA May 16, 2002 Dr

However, Broad Debate Is Needed to Avoid Citizen Revolt Against Privacy Violations

Page 21: How Will the Future Internet Impact Real Estate? Keynote Address National Association of Industrial and Office Properties San Diego, CA May 16, 2002 Dr

Integrating Wireless, Sensor and Data-Management Technologies

Source: Graviton, a Cal-(IT)2 Partner

Page 22: How Will the Future Internet Impact Real Estate? Keynote Address National Association of Industrial and Office Properties San Diego, CA May 16, 2002 Dr

SensorNets Will Enable Real Time Business Decision Making

• Integrate SensorNets with Legacy Data – Situational Awareness– Common Operational Picture– Local Data Warehouse with Remote Data Access– AI Data Mining of Distributed Databases– Spatial Data Analysis – Consequences Assessment Tool Set

Source: Panoram Technologies

Page 23: How Will the Future Internet Impact Real Estate? Keynote Address National Association of Industrial and Office Properties San Diego, CA May 16, 2002 Dr

Developing Optically Linked Distributed Analysis, Command, & Control Centers

• Driven by SensorNets Data– Emergency Response– Civil Infrastructure– Environmental Monitoring – Smart Buildings?

• Linked UCSD and SDSU– Dedication March 4, 2002

Linking Control Rooms

Cox, Panoram,SAIC, SGI, IBM,

TeraBurst NetworksSD Telecom Council

UCSD SDSU44 Miles of Cox Fiber

Page 24: How Will the Future Internet Impact Real Estate? Keynote Address National Association of Industrial and Office Properties San Diego, CA May 16, 2002 Dr

From Telephone Conference Calls to International Video Meetings

Access Grid Lead-ArgonneNSF STARTAP Lead-UIC’s Elec. Vis. Lab