hydrological summary for the ukhydrological summary for the united kingdom august saw the end of the...

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General August 2007 Hydrological Summary for the United Kingdom August saw the end of the exceptional cyclonicity which produced outstanding late spring and early summer rainfall across much of southern Britain. August rainfall totals, though spatially very variable, were generally within the normal range. Nonetheless, the UK registered its wettest summer (June-August) in a series from 1914. Correspondingly, runoff totals for the summer were outstanding across much of the country with river flow patterns more typical of the winter. Importantly, appreciable soil moisture deficits have developed over the last six weeks, moderating the flood risk which, remarkably, was high over wide areas at the beginning of August. Entering the autumn, overall reservoir stocks for England & Wales were the 2 nd highest in a 20-yr record; most reservoir levels being well above the monthly average. With exceptionally high August groundwater levels characterising many aquifer outcrop areas, the groundwater resources outlook is also very healthy. However, the normal (November-April) recharge season is very likely to begin with seasonally elevated groundwater levels in many areas. Correspondingly, an enhanced risk of groundwater flooding may be expected to persist through the late autumn and winter – much will depend on the spatial and temporal distribution of rainfall over the next six months. Rainfall The relentless passage of low pressure systems, across southern Britain especially, eased in August although the mid-month period was unsettled and a preponderance of northerly airflows often gave the weather an autumnal complexion. Vigorous frontal systems produced notable storm totals in western Scotland (Kinlochewe recorded 69mm on the 7 th and 56mm on the 13 th ) and a number of locally intense storms were reported (e.g. 40mm in 5hrs at Brixham on the 21 st ) but flash flooding incidents were much rarer than in June and July. A protracted dry spell developed in southern Britain as anticyclonic conditions became established. In parts of central southern England accumulated rainfall totals, from the 22 nd , remained below 5mm for 20 or more days. This dry spell contributed to August rainfall totals well below average in a broad zone from the North East to the Bristol Channel. By contrast, parts of the Scottish Highlands approached twice the 1961-90 average; some catchments reporting their wettest August for 15 years. Notwithstanding the limited August rainfall in many central areas, the summer rainfall for England & Wales was the highest since 1912 (notably wet summers were rather more common in the 19 th century). National and regional rainfall accumulations are exceptional across a range of durations. Remarkably, the September-August period is the wettest 12-month sequence (for any start month) on record for Scotland; in this timeframe very large positive anomalies characterise most regions of Great Britain. River flows August began with many catchments exceptionally vulnerable to further significant rainfall; a very rare circumstance given the number of major basins involved. Some notable summer spates were reported (e.g. on the Ewe, Taw, and Dorset Stour) and isolated intense storms overwhelmed local drainage capacities (e.g. in Torbay) but, generally, the month was characterised by steep and sustained recessions in responsive rivers (northern Scotland excepted). After the exceptional July flooding, flows in the Severn declined to below the early September average. By contrast, flows in spring-fed rivers benefiting from the lagged impact of the earlier summer rainfall followed shallow recessions and remained exceptionally high. Most index rivers registered well above average August runoff totals with new monthly maxima common in central southern England – including the Thames in a series from 1883. Runoff in much of Scotland has been abundant over the last year – for the Naver and Nevis the Sept-Aug runoff is the highest for any 12-month sequence on record – but the most outstanding runoff totals relate to the June-August timeframe. Summer runoff in 2007 exceeded previous maxima for a majority of UK index rivers, in many cases by wide margins. June-August runoff for the Lud was more than twice the previous maximum in a 40-yr series – an appropriate coda for a remarkable summer. Groundwater The development of soil moisture deficits through August served to terminate an extraordinary summer recharge episode. By month end, deficits remained 30-60 mm below average over wide areas (for E&W as a whole, soils were wetter only in 1966 and 2004) but deficits continued to increase in early September. The associated cessation of recharge is clearly evident in the groundwater level hydrographs for a number of responsive aquifers (including the Jurassic and Carboniferous Limestones). Elsewhere, groundwater levels increased in August as water in the unsaturated zone reached the water- tables. In the Chalk of the Yorkshire and Lincolnshire Wolds, new maximum August levels were reported for Aylesby, Wetwang and Dalton Holme, the latter in a series from 1889 (only 1912 shows a comparable response). Levels were also outstanding in the most south-westerly outcrops and at typical winter levels in parts of the Berkshire Downs. The full effect of the pulse of June/July recharge has yet to register on the hydrographs for many slower-responding units of the Chalk (see the hydrograph for Tilshead). However, the lower summer rainfall is also a factor in relation to the less seasonally extreme late-summer groundwater levels across much of the South East. Levels are now rising briskly in the slow-responding Permo- Triassic sandstones of the Midlands – after several years of depressed levels. In some parts of the Chalk, notably in the northern and western outcrops, there has been sufficient recharge to raise groundwater levels to a point where groundwater flooding is a possibility this winter. Whether flooding actually occurs will be influenced not only by rainfall patterns but also by local aquifer properties (there is, for example, little historical evidence of groundwater flooding in the Yorkshire Wolds).

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Page 1: Hydrological Summary for the UKHydrological Summary for the United Kingdom August saw the end of the exceptional cyclonicity which produced outstanding late spring and early summer

General

Au

gust

20

07

Hydrological Summaryfor the United Kingdom

August saw the end of the exceptional cyclonicity which produced outstanding late spring and early summer rainfall across muchof southern Britain. August rainfall totals, though spatially very variable, were generally within the normal range. Nonetheless,the UK registered its wettest summer (June-August) in a series from 1914. Correspondingly, runoff totals for the summer wereoutstanding across much of the country with river flow patterns more typical of the winter. Importantly, appreciable soil moisturedeficits have developed over the last six weeks, moderating the flood risk which, remarkably, was high over wide areas at thebeginning of August. Entering the autumn, overall reservoir stocks for England & Wales were the 2nd highest in a 20-yr record;most reservoir levels being well above the monthly average. With exceptionally high August groundwater levels characterisingmany aquifer outcrop areas, the groundwater resources outlook is also very healthy. However, the normal (November-April)recharge season is very likely to begin with seasonally elevated groundwater levels in many areas. Correspondingly, an enhancedrisk of groundwater flooding may be expected to persist through the late autumn and winter – much will depend on the spatial andtemporal distribution of rainfall over the next six months.

RainfallThe relentless passage of low pressure systems, across southernBritain especially, eased in August although the mid-monthperiod was unsettled and a preponderance of northerly airflowsoften gave the weather an autumnal complexion. Vigorousfrontal systems produced notable storm totals in westernScotland (Kinlochewe recorded 69mm on the 7th and 56mm onthe 13th) and a number of locally intense storms were reported(e.g. 40mm in 5hrs at Brixham on the 21st) but flash floodingincidents were much rarer than in June and July. A protracteddry spell developed in southern Britain as anticyclonic conditionsbecame established. In parts of central southern Englandaccumulated rainfall totals, from the 22nd, remained below 5mmfor 20 or more days. This dry spell contributed to August rainfalltotals well below average in a broad zone from the North Eastto the Bristol Channel. By contrast, parts of the ScottishHighlands approached twice the 1961-90 average; somecatchments reporting their wettest August for 15 years.Notwithstanding the limited August rainfall in many centralareas, the summer rainfall for England & Wales was the highestsince 1912 (notably wet summers were rather more common inthe 19th century). National and regional rainfall accumulationsare exceptional across a range of durations. Remarkably, theSeptember-August period is the wettest 12-month sequence (forany start month) on record for Scotland; in this timeframe verylarge positive anomalies characterise most regions of GreatBritain.

River flowsAugust began with many catchments exceptionally vulnerableto further significant rainfall; a very rare circumstance giventhe number of major basins involved. Some notable summerspates were reported (e.g. on the Ewe, Taw, and Dorset Stour)and isolated intense storms overwhelmed local drainagecapacities (e.g. in Torbay) but, generally, the month wascharacterised by steep and sustained recessions in responsiverivers (northern Scotland excepted). After the exceptional Julyflooding, flows in the Severn declined to below the earlySeptember average. By contrast, flows in spring-fed rivers –benefiting from the lagged impact of the earlier summer rainfall– followed shallow recessions and remained exceptionally high.Most index rivers registered well above average August runofftotals with new monthly maxima common in central southern

England – including the Thames in a series from 1883. Runoffin much of Scotland has been abundant over the last year – forthe Naver and Nevis the Sept-Aug runoff is the highest for any12-month sequence on record – but the most outstanding runofftotals relate to the June-August timeframe. Summer runoff in2007 exceeded previous maxima for a majority of UK indexrivers, in many cases by wide margins. June-August runofffor the Lud was more than twice the previous maximum in a40-yr series – an appropriate coda for a remarkable summer.

GroundwaterThe development of soil moisture deficits through Augustserved to terminate an extraordinary summer recharge episode.By month end, deficits remained 30-60 mm below average overwide areas (for E&W as a whole, soils were wetter only in1966 and 2004) but deficits continued to increase in earlySeptember. The associated cessation of recharge is clearlyevident in the groundwater level hydrographs for a number ofresponsive aquifers (including the Jurassic and CarboniferousLimestones). Elsewhere, groundwater levels increased inAugust as water in the unsaturated zone reached the water-tables. In the Chalk of the Yorkshire and Lincolnshire Wolds,new maximum August levels were reported for Aylesby,Wetwang and Dalton Holme, the latter in a series from 1889(only 1912 shows a comparable response). Levels were alsooutstanding in the most south-westerly outcrops and at typicalwinter levels in parts of the Berkshire Downs. The full effectof the pulse of June/July recharge has yet to register on thehydrographs for many slower-responding units of the Chalk(see the hydrograph for Tilshead). However, the lower summerrainfall is also a factor in relation to the less seasonally extremelate-summer groundwater levels across much of the South East.Levels are now rising briskly in the slow-responding Permo-Triassic sandstones of the Midlands – after several years ofdepressed levels. In some parts of the Chalk, notably in thenorthern and western outcrops, there has been sufficientrecharge to raise groundwater levels to a point wheregroundwater flooding is a possibility this winter. Whetherflooding actually occurs will be influenced not only by rainfallpatterns but also by local aquifer properties (there is, forexample, little historical evidence of groundwater flooding inthe Yorkshire Wolds).

Page 2: Hydrological Summary for the UKHydrological Summary for the United Kingdom August saw the end of the exceptional cyclonicity which produced outstanding late spring and early summer

2

Area Rainfall Aug 2007 Jun 07-Aug 07 May 07-Aug 07 Jan 07-Aug 07 Oct 06-Aug 07RP RP RP RP

England mm 59 345 456 742 1100& Wales % 78 170 >100 171 >100 134 35-50 133 70-100

North West mm 82 432 521 879 1405% 75 155 30-45 147 30-40 122 5-15 128 30-40

Northumbrian mm 52 340 412 659 954% 62 161 30-50 150 30-50 121 5-15 120 10-20

Severn Trent mm 40 352 461 707 984% 58 191 >>100 189 >>100 145 >100 140 >100

Yorkshire mm 44 372 449 694 976% 58 186 50-100 172 >100 132 20-35 128 20-35

Anglian mm 53 264 378 545 731% 96 168 50-80 183 >>100 140 50-80 132 30-50

Thames mm 51 269 390 612 894% 86 164 30-45 177 >100 139 30-45 139 70-100

Southern mm 52 266 365 608 933% 90 165 30-50 169 >100 130 10-20 130 20-35

Wessex mm 52 299 424 704 1070% 76 167 30-50 176 >100 135 20-30 137 50-80

South West mm 88 365 523 969 1450% 101 160 30-45 174 >100 136 30-40 132 30-50

Welsh mm 82 463 592 1043 1655% 77 173 >100 168 >100 132 20-35 135 70-100

Scotland mm 146 392 528 1090 1789% 125 132 5-15 137 30-50 128 30-50 135 >>100

Highland mm 184 403 587 1321 2199% 142 120 5-10 137 20-35 134 70-100 140 >>100

North East mm 107 364 481 801 1201% 118 154 40-60 155 50-100 127 20-30 128 40-60

Tay mm 118 421 530 1027 1664% 118 163 50-80 154 50-80 133 30-45 143 >>100

Forth mm 120 372 464 899 1465% 123 151 30-50 144 30-45 132 30-50 142 >>100

Tweed mm 82 356 450 1761 1167% 92 153 30-45 147 30-50 123 10-20 128 30-50

Solway mm 124 435 542 1014 1684% 102 145 20-30 140 20-35 121 5-15 130 50-80

Clyde mm 154 400 532 1205 2063% 108 114 2-5 119 5-10 120 10-20 132 >100

Northern mm 98 377 451 776 1170Ireland % 103 157 30-50 144 20-35 116 5-10 117 5-10

Rainfall accumulations and return period estimates

% = percentage of 1961-90 average RP = Return period

Important note:Figures in the above table may be quoted provided that their source is acknowledged. See page 12. Where appropriate, specific reference must be made to the

uncertainties associated with the return period estimates. Generally, the return period estimates are based on tables provided by the Met Office* but those for Northern Ireland

are based on the estimates for north-west England. The estimates relate to the specified region and span of months only (RPs may be an order of magnitude less if n-month

periods beginning in any month are considered), they reflect rainfall variability over the period 1911-70 only, and assume a stable climate. (For further details see Tabony, R. C.,

1977, The variability of long duration rainfall over Great Britain, Scientific Paper No. 37). The timespans featured do not purport to represent the critical periods for any

particular water resource management zone and, normally, for hydrological or water resources assessments of drought severity, river flows and groundwater levels provide a

better guide than return periods based on rainfall totals. *In some cases ranking positions of accumulated rainfalls are also considered.

All monthly rainfall totals since March 2007 are provisional.

Rainfall . . . Rainfall . . .

Page 3: Hydrological Summary for the UKHydrological Summary for the United Kingdom August saw the end of the exceptional cyclonicity which produced outstanding late spring and early summer

3

20 - 40

Rainfall . . . Rainfall . . .Rainfall anomalyAugust 2007

Rainfall anomalyJune - August 2007

© Crown Copyright © Crown Copyright

> 250

175 - 200

130 - 150 110 - 130

90 - 110

70 - 90 < 70

The rainfall maps are provisional and based on a limited number of raingauges (the August map in particular). The soil moisturedeficit map is based on MORECS (see page 12) and assumes a grass cover. End-of-August deficits were 40-80mm below averageacross large parts of England

0 - 10

60 - 80

80 - 100 100 - 120

120 +

> 200

150 - 175 175 - 200

125 - 150

75 - 125

20 - 33 < 20

Anomaly (% of 1971 - 2000)

This forecast for Autumn 2007 has been derived using globalforecasting models and statistical methods. Autumn in this contextis defined as the months of September, October and November.

Forecast for Autumn 2007 issued on 23 August 2007

Our forecasting methods indicate that high pressure systems tothe west of the British Isles may be more frequent than is usuallythe case in autumn. This suggests the following outlook for theUK for Autumn 2007.

Most likely to be warmer than the 1971-2000 average,though cooler than last autumn

Average or below-average rainfall is more likely ratherthan above-average rainfall

Less frequent periods of very windy weather for autumnas a whole

Greater risk of fog, compared to normal, during the latterpart of autumn

The autumn forecast will next be updated at 10 a.m. on 25September 2007.For further details please visit:http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/seasonal/autumn2007/index.html

200 - 250

150 - 175

50 - 75 33 - 50

Met Office Autumn2007 forecast

Anomaly (% of 1971 - 2000)

Soil Moisture Deficit (mm)August 2007

40 - 60

10 - 20

Page 4: Hydrological Summary for the UKHydrological Summary for the United Kingdom August saw the end of the exceptional cyclonicity which produced outstanding late spring and early summer

4

Key

% of long-term average(record figure when circled)

!( Exceptionally low flow

!( Notably low flow

!( Exceptionally high flow

!( Below normal

!( Normal range

!( Notably high flow

!( Above normal

J25

Based on ranking of the monthly flow*

River flow . . . River flow . . .

River flows*Comparisons based on percentage flows alone can be misleading. A given percentage flow can represent extreme droughtconditions in permeable catchments where flow patterns are relatively stable but be well within the normal range in imper-meable catchments where the natural variation in flows is much greater. Note: the period of record on which these percent-ages are based varies from station to station. Percentages may be omitted where flows are under review.

June 2007- August 2007

August 2007

J JJJ

JJJ

J

J

J

!(

!(

!(!(

!(

!(

!(

!(!(

!(!(

!(

!(

!(!(

!(!(!(

!(

!( !(!( !(

!(

!(

!(!(!(

!(

!(

!( !(

!(

!(

!(

!(

!(

!(

!(

!(!(

!(

!(

!(!(

!(!( !(

!(!(

!(!(

!(

!(

!(

!(

!(

!(

81

85

91

97

98

64

96

120

121

113

115

111

104

119

104

109

201

153

186

172

144

153

131

164

122

152

132

107

135

172

186

131

137

190

127

158

174

174

138

223

230

206

190

165

288

312

409

285

257

146

200

171

243

211

483

210 291237

Naver

NessSpey

Ewe

Dee

TayNevis

Tweed

Luss

Carron

Earn

Whiteadder

Clyde

Cree

South Tyne

Derwent

Wharfe

LevenEden

Lune

Dee DoveTrent

Lud

Soar

Witham

GreatOuse

Little Ouse

GreatStour

Stour

Itchen

Lambourn

TeifiYscir

Cynon

Teme

Severn

Coln

Tone

Taw Exe

Avon

Ouse

Thames

Mimram

Colne

Warleggan

Kenwyn

Bush

Annacloy

Camowen

Lee

Kennet

Medway

Wye

Ribble

Nith

Avon

JJ

J

JJ

JJ

J JJ J

J

J

JJ

J

J

JJ

JJJ

J

JJ

J

J

!(

!(

!(!(

!(

!(

!(

!(!(

!(!(

!(

!(

!(!(

!(!(!(

!(

!( !(!( !(

!(

!(

!(!(!(

!(

!(

!( !(

!(

!(

!(

!(

!(

!(

!( !(

!(

!(

!(!(

!(!( !(

!(!(

!(!(

!(

!(

!(!(

!(

!(

107

102

103

124

155

143

140

122

127

146

151

141

178

177

182

209

225

158

157

189

127

138133

189

200

187

399

424

500

345

277

284222

306

325

617

282

337

249265

202

226

214

229286

223344

291

176 274

249

223

250470

228

173

346

Naver

NessSpey

Ewe

Dee

TayNevis

Tweed

Luss

Earn

Whiteadder

Clyde

Cree

South Tyne

Derwent

Wharfe

LevenEden

Lune

Dee DoveTrent

Lud

Soar

Witham

GreatOuse

Little Ouse

GreatStour

Stour

Itchen

Lambourn

Teifi

Yscir

Cynon

Teme

Severn

Coln

Tone

Taw Exe

Avon

Ouse

Thames

Mimram

Colne

Warleggan

Kenwyn

Bush

Annacloy

Camowen

Lee

Kennet

Medway

Wye

Ribble

Nith

Avon

Page 5: Hydrological Summary for the UKHydrological Summary for the United Kingdom August saw the end of the exceptional cyclonicity which produced outstanding late spring and early summer

5

500

1000

2000

5000

10000

20000

50000

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul AugSep Oct Nov Dec

m3 s-1

Gau

ged

Dis

char

ge

Great Britain 2006/2007

Station No: 600021 Daily mean flows+ extreme daily flows (1961 to 2007)

200

500

1000

2000

5000

10000

20000

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul AugSep Oct Nov Dec

m3 s-1

Gau

ged

Dis

char

ge

England and Wales 2006/2007

Station No: 600041 Daily mean flows+ extreme daily flows (1961 to 2007)

200

500

1000

2000

5000

10000

20000

50000

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul AugSep Oct Nov Dec

m3 s-1

Gau

ged

Dis

char

ge

Scotland 2006/2007

Station No: 600061 Daily mean flows+ extreme daily flows (1961 to 2007)

20

50

100

200

500

1000

2000

5000

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul AugSep Oct Nov Dec

m3 s-1

Gau

ged

Dis

char

ge

Northern Ireland 2006/2007

Station No: 600081 Daily mean flows+ extreme daily flows (1980 to 2007)

1

2

5

10

20

50

100

200

500

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul AugSep Oct Nov Dec

m3 s-1

Gau

ged

Dis

char

ge

Ewe at Poolewe 2006/2007

Station No: 094001 Daily mean flows+ extreme daily flows (1970 to 2007)

10

20

50

100

200

500

1000

2000

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul AugSep Oct Nov Dec

m3 s-1

Gau

ged

Dis

char

ge

Tay at Ballathie 2006/2007

Station No: 015006 Daily mean flows+ extreme daily flows (1952 to 2007)

5

10

20

50

100

200

500

1000

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul AugSep Oct Nov Dec

m3 s-1

Gau

ged

Dis

char

ge

Clyde at Daldowie 2006/2007

Station No: 084013 Daily mean flows+ extreme daily flows (1963 to 2007)

2

5

10

20

50

100

200

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul AugSep Oct Nov Dec

m3 s-1

Gau

ged

Dis

char

ge

Derwent at Buttercrambe 2006/2007

Station No: 027041 Daily mean flows+ extreme daily flows (1973 to 2007)

0.2

0.5

1

2

5

10

20

50

100

200

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul AugSep Oct Nov Dec

m3 s-1

Gau

ged

Dis

char

ge

Camowen at Camowen Terrace 2006/2007

Station No: 201005 Daily mean flows+ extreme daily flows (1972 to 2007)

0.2

0.5

1

2

5

10

20

50

100

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul AugSep Oct Nov Dec

m3 s-1

Gau

ged

Dis

char

ge

Bush at Seneirl Bridge 2006/2007

Station No: 204001 Daily mean flows+ extreme daily flows (1972 to 2007)

The river flow hydrographs show the daily mean flows together with the maximum and minimum daily flows prior toSeptember 2006 (shown by the shaded areas). Daily flows falling outside the maximum/minimum range are indicatedwhere the bold trace enters the shaded areas.

RivRivRivRivRiver floer floer floer floer flow hw hw hw hw hydrydrydrydrydrooooogrgrgrgrgraphsaphsaphsaphsaphs

River flow . . . River flow . . .

Page 6: Hydrological Summary for the UKHydrological Summary for the United Kingdom August saw the end of the exceptional cyclonicity which produced outstanding late spring and early summer

6

River %lta RankSevern 325 87/87Avon (Evesham) 470 71/71Teme 617 38/38Wye 346 71/71Ribble 228 48/48Lagan 330 35/35Annacloy 399 28/28

River %lta Rankb) Tay 145 55/55

Forth 123 26/26Tweed (Boleside) 130 46/46Cynon 152 49/49Nith 137 50/50Ewe 131 36/36Camowen 134 34/34

River %lta Ranka) Whitadder 277 38/38

Tyne (Bywell) 280 49/49Wharfe 265 52/52Trent 284 49/49Witham 500 49/49Ouse (Bedford) 424 75/75Thames 274 125/125Blackwater 197 55/55Lymington 345 45/45Exe 286 52/52

River flow . . . River flow . . .

lta = long term averageRank 1 = lowest on record

5

10

20

50

100

200

500

1000

2000

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul AugSep Oct Nov Dec

m3 s-1

Gau

ged

Dis

char

ge

Eden at Sheepmount 2006/2007

Station No: 076007 Daily mean flows+ extreme daily flows (1967 to 2007)

10

20

50

100

200

500

1000

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul AugSep Oct Nov Dec

m3 s-1

Gau

ged

Dis

char

ge

Trent at Colwick 2006/2007

Station No: 028009 Daily mean flows+ extreme daily flows (1958 to 2007)

5

10

20

50

100

200

500

1000

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul AugSep Oct Nov Dec

m3 s-1

Gau

ged

Dis

char

ge

Severn at Bewdley 2006/2007

Station No: 054001 Daily mean flows+ extreme daily flows (1921 to 2007)

0.05

0.1

0.2

0.5

1

2

5

10

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul AugSep Oct Nov Dec

m3 s-1

Gau

ged

Dis

char

ge

Lud at Louth 2006/2007

Station No: 029003 Daily mean flows+ extreme daily flows (1968 to 2007)

0.5

1

2

5

10

20

50

100

200

500

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul AugSep Oct Nov Dec

m3 s-1

Gau

ged

Dis

char

ge

Teifi at Glan Teifi 2006/2007

Station No: 062001 Daily mean flows+ extreme daily flows (1959 to 2007)

0.02

0.05

0.1

0.2

0.5

1

2

5

10

20

50

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul AugSep Oct Nov Dec

m3 s-1

Gau

ged

Dis

char

ge

Colne at Lexden 2006/2007

Station No: 037005 Daily mean flows+ extreme daily flows (1959 to 2007)

0.2

0.5

1

2

5

10

20

50

100

200

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul AugSep Oct Nov Dec

m3 s-1

Gau

ged

Dis

char

ge

Cynon at Abercynon 2006/2007

Station No: 057004 Daily mean flows+ extreme daily flows (1957 to 2007)

5

10

20

50

100

200

500

1000

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul AugSep Oct Nov Dec

m3 s-1

Nat

ural

ised

Dis

char

ge

Thames at Kingston 2006/2007

Station No: 039001 Daily mean flows+ extreme daily flows (1883 to 2007)

1

2

5

10

20

50

100

200

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul AugSep Oct Nov Dec

m3 s-1

Gau

ged

Dis

char

ge

Stour at Throop 2006/2007

Station No: 043007 Daily mean flows+ extreme daily flows (1973 to 2007)

2

5

10

20

50

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul AugSep Oct Nov Dec

m3 s-1

Gau

ged

Dis

char

ge

Itchen at Highbridge+Allbrook 2006/2007

Station No: 042010 Daily mean flows+ extreme daily flows (1958 to 2007)

NotabNotabNotabNotabNotable rle rle rle rle runoff accumulaunoff accumulaunoff accumulaunoff accumulaunoff accumulations (a) June - tions (a) June - tions (a) June - tions (a) June - tions (a) June - August 2007,August 2007,August 2007,August 2007,August 2007, (b) October 2006 - (b) October 2006 - (b) October 2006 - (b) October 2006 - (b) October 2006 - August 2007August 2007August 2007August 2007August 2007

Page 7: Hydrological Summary for the UKHydrological Summary for the United Kingdom August saw the end of the exceptional cyclonicity which produced outstanding late spring and early summer

7

Dalton Holme

Well No: SE94/5 Aquifer: Chalk+ extremes & mean monthly levels (1889-2003)

2004 2005 2006 2007

10.0

15.0

20.0

Wat

er L

evel

( m

OD

)

10.0

15.0

20.0

Mea

surin

g le

vel :

34

.50

Washpit Farm

Well No: TF81/2A Aquifer: Chalk+ extremes & mean monthly levels (1950-2003)

2004 2005 2006 200740.0

45.0

50.0

Wat

er L

evel

( m

OD

)

40.0

45.0

50.0

Mea

surin

g le

vel :

80

.19

Stonor Park

Well No: SU78/45A Aquifer: Chalk+ extremes & mean monthly levels (1961-2003)

2004 2005 2006 200760.0

70.0

80.0

90.0

Wat

er L

evel

( m

OD

)

60.0

70.0

80.0

90.0

Mea

surin

g le

vel :

121

.29

Dial Farm

Well No: TM15/112 Aquifer: Chalk+ extremes & mean monthly levels (1968-2003)

2004 2005 2006 2007

25.0

26.0

Wat

er L

evel

( m

OD

)

25.0

26.0

Mea

surin

g le

vel :

64

.60

Rockley

Well No: SU17/57 Aquifer: Chalk+ extremes & mean monthly levels (1933-2003)

2004 2005 2006 2007

130.0

135.0

140.0

145.0

Wat

er L

evel

( m

OD

)

130.0

135.0

140.0

145.0

Mea

surin

g le

vel :

146

.57

Well House Inn

Well No: TQ25/13 Aquifer: Chalk+ extremes & mean monthly levels (1942-2003)

2004 2005 2006 2007

90.0

100.0

Wat

er L

evel

( m

OD

)

90.0

100.0

Mea

surin

g le

vel :

132

.27

West Woodyates Manor

Well No: SU01/5B Aquifer: Chalk+ extremes & mean monthly levels (1942-2003)

2004 2005 2006 2007

80.0

100.0

Wat

er L

evel

( m

OD

)

80.0

100.0

Mea

surin

g le

vel :

110

.88

Chilgrove House

Well No: SU81/1 Aquifer: Chalk+ extremes & mean monthly levels (1836-2003)

2004 2005 2006 2007

40.0

60.0

Wat

er L

evel

( m

OD

)

40.0

60.0

Mea

surin

g le

vel :

77

.18

Killyglen

Well No: ID30/1 Aquifer: Chalk+ extremes & mean monthly levels (1985-2003)

2004 2005 2006 2007

115.0

120.0

Wat

er L

evel

( m

OD

)

115.0

120.0

Mea

surin

g le

vel :

139

.23

New Red Lion

Well No: TF03/37 Aquifer: Lincolnshire Limestone+ extremes & mean monthly levels (1964-2003)

2004 2005 2006 2007

10.0

20.0

Wat

er L

evel

( m

OD

)

10.0

20.0

Mea

surin

g le

vel :

33

.45

Groundwater levels normally rise and fall with the seasons, reaching a peak in the spring following replenishment through thewinter (when evaporation losses are low and soil moist). They decline through the summer and early autumn. This seasonalvariation is much reduced when the aquifer is confined below overlying impermeable strata. The monthly mean and thehighest and lowest levels recorded for each month are displayed in a similar style to the river flow hydrographs. Note thatmost groundwater levels are not measured continuously – the latest recorded levels are listed overleaf.

Groundwater . . . Groundwater

Page 8: Hydrological Summary for the UKHydrological Summary for the United Kingdom August saw the end of the exceptional cyclonicity which produced outstanding late spring and early summer

8

Groundwater . . . Groundwater

Borehole Level Date Aug. av.Dalton Holme 21.14 07/09 16.24Washpit Farm 46.38 04/09 44.46Stonor Park 77.59 03/09 75.76Dial Farm 25.54 17/08 25.58Rockley 136.84 03/09 132.01Well House Inn 94.61 03/09 94.89West Woodyates 85.20 31/08 73.88

Borehole Level Date Aug. av.Chilgrove House 44.96 28/08 41.70Killyglen 115.50 31/08 113.79New Red Lion 15.99 31/08 12.32Ampney Crucis 101.62 03/09 100.16Newbridge 9.60 31/08 9.64Skirwith 130.57 20/08 130.15Swan House 84.21 16/08 83.01

GrGrGrGrGroundwoundwoundwoundwoundwaaaaater leter leter leter leter levvvvvels els els els els August / September 2007August / September 2007August / September 2007August / September 2007August / September 2007

Levels in metres above Ordnance Datum

Borehole Level Date Aug. av.Brick House Farm 13.64 28/08 12.46Llanfair DC 80.17 15/08 79.63Heathlanes 62.10 31/08 62.10Weeford Flats 89.55 01/08 89.82Bussels No.7a 23.88 08/08 23.58Alstonfield 184.92 03/09 177.41

Ampney Crucis

Well No: SP00/62 Aquifer: Middle Jurassic+ extremes & mean monthly levels (1958-2003)

2004 2005 2006 2007

98.0

100.0

102.0

Wat

er L

evel

( m

OD

)

98.0

100.0

102.0

Mea

surin

g le

vel :

109

.54

Newbridge

Well No: NX97/2 Aquifer: Permo-Triassic sandstone+ extremes & mean monthly levels (1993-2003)

2004 2005 2006 2007

9.0

10.0

11.0

12.0

Wat

er L

evel

( m

OD

)

9.0

10.0

11.0

12.0

Mea

surin

g le

vel :

-99

9.00

Skirwith

Well No: NY63/2 Aquifer: Permo-Triassic sandstone+ extremes & mean monthly levels (1978-2003)

2004 2005 2006 2007

130.0

131.0

Wat

er L

evel

( m

OD

)

130.0

131.0

Mea

surin

g le

vel :

133

.25

Swan House

Well No: NZ21/29 Aquifer: Magnesian Limestone+ extremes & mean monthly levels (1969-2003)

2004 2005 2006 2007

80.0

85.0

90.0

Wat

er L

evel

( m

OD

)

80.0

85.0

90.0

Mea

surin

g le

vel :

94

.90

Brick House Farm

Well No: SE44/80 Aquifer: Magnesian Limestone+ extremes & mean monthly levels (1979-2003)

2004 2005 2006 200710.0

12.0

14.0

16.0

Wat

er L

evel

( m

OD

)

10.0

12.0

14.0

16.0

Mea

surin

g le

vel :

53

.34

Llanfair DC

Well No: SJ15/13 Aquifer: Permo-Triassic sandstone+ extremes & mean monthly levels (1972-2003)

2004 2005 2006 2007

79.0

80.0

81.0

Wat

er L

evel

( m

OD

)

79.0

80.0

81.0

Mea

surin

g le

vel :

83

.08

Heathlanes

Well No: SJ62/112 Aquifer: Permo-Triassic sandstone+ extremes & mean monthly levels (1971-2003)

2004 2005 2006 2007

62.0

64.0

Wat

er L

evel

( m

OD

)

62.0

64.0

Mea

surin

g le

vel :

68

.61

Weeford Flats

Well No: SK10/9 Aquifer: Permo-Triassic sandstone+ extremes & mean monthly levels (1966-2003)

2004 2005 2006 2007

89.0

90.0

91.0

Wat

er L

evel

( m

OD

)

89.0

90.0

91.0

Mea

surin

g le

vel :

96

.21

Bussels No.7a

Well No: SX99/37B Aquifer: Permo-Triassic sandstone+ extremes & mean monthly levels (1971-2003)

2004 2005 2006 2007

23.0

24.0

25.0

Wat

er L

evel

( m

OD

)

23.0

24.0

25.0

Mea

surin

g le

vel :

26

.97

Alstonfield

Well No: SK15/16 Aquifer: Carboniferous Limestone+ extremes & mean monthly levels (1974-2003)

2004 2005 2006 2007

180.0

200.0

Wat

er L

evel

( m

OD

)

180.0

200.0

Mea

surin

g le

vel :

280

.25

Page 9: Hydrological Summary for the UKHydrological Summary for the United Kingdom August saw the end of the exceptional cyclonicity which produced outstanding late spring and early summer

9

Groundwater levels - August 2007The rankings are based on a comparison between the average level in the featured month (but often only single readings areavailable) and the average level in each corresponding month on record. They need to be interpreted with caution especiallywhen groundwater levels are changing rapidly or when comparing wells with very different periods of record. Rankingsmay be omitted where they are considered misleading.Notes: i. The outcrop areas are coloured according to British Geological Survey conventions.

ii. Yew Tree Farm levels are now received quarterly.

Groundwater . . .Groundwater

JJ

J

J

J

J

J

!(

!(!(

!(

!(

!(!(

!(!(

!(!( !(!(!(

!(

!(

!(

!(

!(

!(

!(

!(

!(!(

!(

!(

!(!(

!(

!(!(

!(9/34

7/15

26/63

18/30

16/39

17/33

17/35

14/41

16/35 35/65

22/37

15/42

25/47

47/119

23/27

26/34

34/36

34/36

42/44

30/33

50/56

156/171104/111

29/29

34/34

23/23

48/48

60/60

74/74

35/35

119/119

Key

Newbridge

SwanHouse

Skirwith

Killyglen

DaltonHolme

Wetwang

Yew TreeFarm

LlanfairD.C.

NuttallsFarm

Weeford Flats New Red Lion

WashpitFarm

Alstonfield

Heathlanes

AmpneyCrucis

StonorPark

TherfieldRectory

RedlandsHall

Dial Farm

LittleBucketFarmChilgrove

House

Westdean No 3

ComptonHouse

AshtonFarm

WestWoodyatesManor

BusselsNo 7A

Rockley

LimeKilnWay

Aylesby

Monthly rank/Period of record(record figure when circled)J1/25

!( Exceptionally low levels

!( Notably low levels

!( Exceptionally high levels

!( Significantly below average

!( Normal range

!( Notably high levels

!( Significantly above average

Brick HouseFarm

Aquifer

Chalk

Jurassic limestones

Magnesian Limestone

Permo-Triassic sandstones

Houndean

WellHouse

InnTilshead

1

Page 10: Hydrological Summary for the UKHydrological Summary for the United Kingdom August saw the end of the exceptional cyclonicity which produced outstanding late spring and early summer

10

These plots are based on the England and Wales figures listed below.Percentage live capacity of selected reservoirs at start of month

Area Reservoir Capacity (Ml) 2007 2007 2007 2007 2007 Sep Min. Sep Min. Sep Min. Sep Min. Sep Min. YYYYYear* 2006ear* 2006ear* 2006ear* 2006ear* 2006 DiffDiffDiffDiffDiffJul Jul Jul Jul Jul Aug Sep Aug Sep Aug Sep Aug Sep Aug Sep Anom.Anom.Anom.Anom.Anom. Sep of min. Sep of min. Sep of min. Sep of min. Sep of min. Sep Sep Sep Sep Sep 07-06

North West N Command Zone ••••• 124929 82 85 77 23 24 1995 57 23Vyrnwy 55146 94 96 95 26 36 1995 64 26

Northumbrian Teesdale • 87936 98 98 87 24 38 1995 65 24Kielder (199175) (96) (94) (87) 1 (66) 1989 (82) 1

Severn Trent Clywedog 44922 100 100 93 19 38 1989 62 19Derwent Valley • 39525 100 100 90 25 34 1995 66 25

Yorkshire Washburn • 22035 99 95 87 21 34 1995 77 21Bradford supply • 41407 96 97 92 29 21 1995 69 29

Anglian Grafham (55490) (97) (94) (95) 11 (59) 1997 (83) 11Rutland (116580) (97) (94) (89) 8 (66) 1995 (76) 8

Thames London • 202406 89 82 77 -1 62 1995 77 -1Farmoor • 13822 97 94 100 8 64 1995 99 8

Southern Bewl 28170 85 83 79 11 38 1990 68 11Ardingly 4685 100 100 93 22 47 1996 76 22

Wessex Clatworthy 5364 78 100 100 40 31 1995 62 40Bristol WW • (38666) (98) (96) (95) 30 (43) 1990 (76) 30

South West Colliford 28540 79 82 83 14 43 1997 46 14Roadford 34500 96 99 95 25 40 1995 55 25Wimbleball 21320 96 100 98 31 40 1995 71 31Stithians 5205 87 90 83 25 30 1990 47 25

Welsh Celyn and Brenig • 131155 99 100 97 18 49 1989 75 18Brianne 62140 97 100 98 14 55 1995 78 14Big Five • 69762 96 98 90 24 29 1995 52 24Elan Valley • 99106 100 99 93 19 46 1995 65 19

Scotland(E) Edinburgh/Mid Lothian • 97639 86 91 88 13 45 1998 77 13East Lothian • 10206 100 100 100 19 63 1989 69 19

Scotland(W) Loch Katrine • 111363 72 70 67 -1 50 2000 63 -1Daer 22412 88 100 96 27 41 1995 63 27Loch Thom • 11840 72 71 72 -6 58 1997 79 -6

Northern Total+ • 67270 83 86 89 18 40 1995 68 18Ireland Silent Valley • 20634 92 92 97 35 33 2000 66 35() figures in parentheses relate to gross storage • • • • • denotes reservoir groups +excludes Lough Neagh *last occurrence

Reservoirs . . . Reservoirs . . .

Details of the individual reservoirs in each of the groupings listed above are available on request. The percentages given in the Average and Minimumstorage columns relate to the 1988-2006 period except for West of Scotland and Northern Ireland where data commence in the mid-1990’s. In some

gravity-fed reservoirs (e.g. Clywedog) stocks are kept below capacity during the winter to provide scope for flood attenuation purposes.

Guide to the variation in overallreservoir stocks for England andWales

Comparison between overallreservoir stocks for England andWales in recent years

1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007−25

−20

−15

−10

−5

0

5

10

15

20

25

% d

evn.

from

198

8−20

06 m

onth

ly m

ean

g

Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug40

50

60

70

80

90

100

Per

cent

age

live

capa

city

1988−2006 mean1995−19962003−20042005−20062006−2007

g y

Page 11: Hydrological Summary for the UKHydrological Summary for the United Kingdom August saw the end of the exceptional cyclonicity which produced outstanding late spring and early summer

11

gauging station

groundwater index well

reservoir - individual

reservoir - group (general location only)

Chalk

Jurassic limestones

Permo-Triassic sandstones

Magnesian Limestone

Minor aquifers (including the Carboniferous

Limestone) have been omitted.

Dalton Holme

Wetwang

Washpit Farm

Therfield Rectory

Redlands Hall

Rockley

Little Bucket FarmComptonHouse

ChilgroveHouse

Westdean No.3Lime Kiln Way

Ashton Farm

WestWoodyatesManor

New Red Lion

AmpneyCrucis

Yew Tree Farm

Llanfair D.CMorris Dancers

WeefordFlats

Skirwith

Newbridge

Bussels No.7A

SwanHouse

BrickHouseFarm

Alstonfield

Heathlanes

NuttallsFarm

DialFarm

StonorPark

Aylesby

WellHouseInn

Tilshead

Houndean Bottom

Vyrnwy

Kielder

Clywedog

Grafham Water

Rutland Water

Bewl WaterArdinglyClatworthy

Colliford

Roadford

Wimbleball

Stithians

LlynCelyn

Llyn Brenig

LlynBrianne

Farmoor

DaerLochBradan

Teesdale

Derwent Valley

East Lothian

Edin/Mid Lothian

NorthernCommand Zone

Bradford

Washburn

Elan Valley

BigFive

London

BristolWater

Loch Katrine

LochThom

Dee

Tay

Luss

Clyde Whiteadder

Tweed

Eden

South Tyne

Leven

Lune

Wharfe

Der

wen

t

Trent

Lud

Dee Dov

e

Witham

Soar

Severn

Teme

Yscir

Cynon

Coln

Great Ouse

Stri

ngsi

de

Little Ouse

Colne

Mimram

Lee

Thames

Mole

BlackwaterKennet

Brue

Medway

Great

Stou

r

OuseItch

en

StourPiddle

ToneExe

Taw

Kenwyn

Dart

Carron

Ewe

War

legg

an

Avon

Cree

Spey

Earn

Teifi

Naver

Dever

on

Lambourn

Nith

Ness

Wye

Otter

Tawe

Wallington

Lymington

Test

Tyne

Torne

Avon

Leven

DoverBeck

Nevis

Ribbl

e

Forth

Killyglen

Silent Valley

Annacloy

Camowen

BushLowerBannFaughan

Mourne

Lagan

Location map . . . Location map

Page 12: Hydrological Summary for the UKHydrological Summary for the United Kingdom August saw the end of the exceptional cyclonicity which produced outstanding late spring and early summer

12

National HydrologicalMonitoringProgramme

The National Hydrological Monitoring Programme(NHMP) was instigated in 1988 and is undertaken jointlyby the Centre for Ecology and Hydrology Wallingford(formerly the Institute of Hydrology - IH) and the BritishGeological Survey (BGS). Financial support for theproduction of the monthly Hydrological Summaries isprovided by the Department for Environment, Food andRural Affairs (Defra), the Environment Agency (EA), theScottish Environment Protection Agency (SEPA), theRivers Agency (RA) in Northern Ireland, and the Officeof Water Services (OFWAT).

Data SourcesRiver flow and groundwater level data are provided bythe Environment Agency, the Environment Agency Wales,the Scottish Environment Protection Agency and, forNorthern Ireland, the Rivers Agency and the Departmentof the Environment (NI). In all cases the data are subjectto revision following validation (flood and drought datain particular may be subject to significant revision).Reservoir level information is provided by the WaterService Companies, the EA, Scottish Water and theNorthern Ireland Water Service.

The National River Flow Archive (maintained by CEHWallingford) and the National Groundwater Level Archive(maintained by BGS) provide the historical perspectivewithin which to examine contemporary hydrologicalconditions.

RainfallMost rainfall data are provided by the Met Office (seeopposite). To allow better spatial differentiation therainfall data for Britain are presented for the regionaldivisions of the precursor organisations of the EA andSEPA. Following the discontinuation of the Met Office’sCARP system in July 1998, the areal rainfall figures havebeen derived using several procedures, including initialestimates based on MORECS*. Recent figures have beenproduced by the Met Office, National Climate InformationCentre (NCIC), using a technique similar to CARP. Asignificant number of additional monthly raingauge totalsare provided by the EA and SEPA to help derive thecontemporary regional rainfalls. Revised monthly nationaland regional rainfall totals for the post-1960 period(together with revised 1961-90 averages) were madeavailable by the Met Office in 2004; these have beenadopted by the NHMP. As with all regional figures basedon limited raingauge networks the monthly tables andaccumulations (and the return periods associated withthem) should be regarded as a guide only.

The monthly rainfall figures are provided by the Met Office(National Climate Information Centre) and are CrownCopyright and may not be passed on to, or published by,any unauthorised person or organisation.

*MORECS is the generic name for the Met Office servicesinvolving the routine calculation of evaporation and soilmoisture throughout Great Britain.The Met OfficeFitzRoy RoadExeterDevonEX1 3PB

Tel.: 0870 900 0100 Fax: 0870 900 5050E-mail: [email protected]

The National Hydrological Monitoring Programmedepends on the active cooperation of many data suppliers.This cooperation is gratefully acknowledged.

SubscriptionSubscription to the Hydrological Summaries costs £48 peryear. Orders should be addressed to:

Hydrological SummariesNational Water ArchiveCEH WallingfordMaclean BuildingCrowmarsh GiffordWallingfordOxfordshireOX10 8BB

Tel.: 01491 838800Fax: 01491 692424E-mail: [email protected]

Selected text and maps are available on the WWW athttp://www.nerc-wallingford.ac.uk/ih/nrfa/index.htmNavigate via Water Watch

Some of the features displayed in the maps contained inthis report are based on the Ordnance Survey BaseDataGB and 1:50,000 digital data (Licence no. GD03012G/01/97) and are included with the permission of HerMajesty’s Stationery Office. © Crown Copyright.

Rainfall data supplied by the Met Office are also CrownCopyright. Unauthorised reproduction infringes CrownCopyright and may lead to prosecution.

© This document is copyright and may not be reproducedwithout the prior permission of the Natural EnvironmentResearch Council. 09/07