icelandair group€¦ · presentation of q4 and 12m 2015 results | 9 february 2016. highlights full...
TRANSCRIPT
ICELANDAIR GROUPPRESENTATION OF Q4 AND 12M 2015 RESULTS | 9 FEBRUARY 2016
Highlights
Full year
profit
increased
by 67%
1
Net profit
in Q4
for the
first time
2
EBITDA
guidance for
2016
245-250
USD million
3
2
FINANCIAL RESULTS BOGI NILS BOGASON ǀ CFO
USD million Q4 2015 Q4 2014 % Chg.
Operating Income 230.0 205.5 12%
Salaries and related expenses 77.2 65.1 19%
Aircraft fuel 41.7 53.5 -22%
Aircraft and aircrew lease 4.9 7.9 -38%
Aircraft handling, landing and comm. 17.2 16.9 2%
Aircraft maintenance expenses 17.2 16.4 5%
Other expenses 51.6 47.1 9%
EBITDA 20.1 -1.5 -
EBIT -1.0 -18.8 -
EBT -0.2 -17.7 -
Profit / loss for the period 0.3 -15.0 -
EBITDA ratio 8.7% -0.7% 9.5 ppt
EBITDAR 28.8 7.1 -
EBITDAR ratio 12.5% 3.4% 9.1 ppt
EBITDA ratio up by 9.5 percentage points in Q4
EBITDA and net profitUSD million
20
-1
76
-1
0
-15
-9-8
-2
Q4 15Q4 14Q4 11 Q4 12 Q4 13
Net Profit
EBITDA
4
Growth in all our businesses in Q4 2015
5
2
8
66
11
15
9
3
-2
21
16
18
Sold HRN
Hotels
Utilisation
(ppt) HRN
Hotels
Available
HRN Hotels
FTK
Cargo
ATK
Cargo
Sold BH
Charter
flights
Fleet
utilisation
Charter
flights
SLF (ppt)
Regional
and
Greenland
flights
ASK
Regional
and
Greenland
flights
Passengers
Regional
and
Greenland
flights
SLF (ppt)
Route
Network
ASK
Route
Network
Passengers
Route
Network
Year-on-year change in %
USD million 2015 2014 % Chg.
Operating Income 1,139.7 1,113.3 2%
Salaries and related expenses 280.2 273.2 3%
Aircraft fuel 229.3 271.9 -16%
Aircraft lease 22.9 26.7 -14%
Aircraft handling, landing and comm. 85.8 82.9 3%
Aircraft maintenance 68.8 75.9 -9%
Other expenses 233.8 228.5 2%
EBITDA 219.0 154.3 -
EBIT 135.2 79.0 -
EBT 140.2 79.9 -
Net Profit 111.2 66.5 -
EBITDA ratio 19.2% 13.9% 5.4 ppt
EBITDAR 254.0 193.4 -
EBITDAR ratio 22.3% 17.4% 4.9 ppt
Full year profit increased by 67%
EBITDA and net profitUSD million
219
154
144
110
85
111
6656
4436
2013 2014 20152011 2012
+158%
Net ProfitEBITDA
6
7
24%
25%
37%
32%
9%
11%
7%
6% 16%
18%
5%
6%
2%
2%
Increasing revenues originating in N-America
2015
2014
USD revenues increases
CAD
5%4%
USD
41%
43%
ISK
24%23%
Other*
8%7%
GBP
4%6%
EUR
17%17%
20142015
Operating income Operating expenses
30%30%
2%
Other*
2%
GBP
3%2%
EUR
11%
13%
CAD
1%1%
USD
53%52%
ISK
2015 2014
Other* mainly the Scandinavian currencies8
The growth is driven by the VIA market
1,744
38%
2011
2,020
42%
20%
37%
24%
15%
2015
36%
2014
2,603
16%
17%
45%
36%
2012
38%
48%
3,073
2013
2,257
49%
39%
+77%
FromTo Via
Absolute figures in thousands. 9
A record load factor was reach in all months 2015
1010
86
84
78
75
74
72
79
77
81
73
0
76
88
71
82
89
90
85
83
87
80
Mar Apr May Jul Aug Sep
2014
NovOct Dec
2015
Jan Feb Jun
The highest LF until now
reached in August:
89.2%
Effective fuel price paid in 2015 was 29% higher than the
average world fuel price
50
350
0
650
850
800
750
950
900
1,000
600
550
450
700
500
400
08.15 10.15 11.15 12.1507.15 09.1512.1411.1408.1403.14 03.1507.1406.1405.1402.14 05.15 06.1510.14 01.1504.14 04.1502.1509.1401.14
Effective Price
Average World Market Price
Figures: USD/ton.
+29%
11
PeriodEstimated
usage (tons)
Swap
volume
%
hedged
Average swap
price USD
January 2016 19.571 10.660 54% 606
February 2016 17.805 10.610 60% 639
March 2016 20.997 12.590 60% 588
April 2016 21.928 12.630 58% 616
May 2016 32.333 19.720 61% 643
June 2016 39.299 23.700 60% 637
July 2016 41.444 23.800 57% 591
August 2016 41.443 24.700 60% 536
September 16 35.951 20.600 57% 531
October 2016 28.352 16.500 58% 524
November 2016 22.443 10.500 47% 517
December 2016 21.630 9.500 44% 498
Total 343.196 195.510 57% 579
57% of estimated fuel usage in 2016 has been hedged
12
Q1
2016
58%
Q2
2016
60%
Q3
2016
58%
Q4
2016
50%
12M
2016
57%
13
Strong underlying cash flow
Changes in Cash in 2015USD million
Net cash from operations and as % of incomeUSD million
245
215
231
167
117
2014 20152011 2012 2013
Net cash from op. activities
194.6
245.1
184.8 -1.1
Net cash
used in
financing
activities
Cash
31.12.2015
Net cash
used in
investing
activities
Net cash
from
operating
activities
Currency
effect
-219.9
Cash
01.01.2015
-14.3
15% 19% 23% 19% 22%% of
income
Total investment amounted to USD 210 million in 2015
14
31
29
27 21
28
183
87
67
94 88
114
96
125
2011 2012 2013 2015
210
109
2014
Investment in operating assetsOther investment
All figures in USD million.
Investment in
aircraft and aircraft
components
totalled
USD 115 million
in 2015
USD million 31.12 2015 31.12 2014
Equity and liabilities
Stockholders equity 456.5 365.1
Loans and borrowings non-current 55.4 49.7
Other non-current liabilities 44.1 33.0
Total non-current liabilites 99.5 82.6
Loans and borrowings current 10.1 12.3
Trade and other payables 219.7 214.3
Deferred income 186.1 174.9
Total current liabilites 415.9 401.5
Total equity and liabilities 972.0 849.2
Equity ratio 47% 43%
Current ratio 0.80 0.83
Net interest bearing debt -148.6 -153.7
Interest bearing debt 65.5 61.9
Equity ratio 47%
15
USD million 31.12 2015 31.12 2014
Assets
Operating Assets 419.1 319.3
Intangible assets 172.7 176.0
Other non-current assets 45.8 18.9
Total non-current assets 637.6 514.2
Other current-assets 120.3 119.4
Marketable securities 19.5 30.9
Cash and cash equivalents 194.6 184.8
Total current assets 334.4 335.0
Total assets 972.0 849.2
OUTLOOK BJÖRGÓLFUR JÓHANNSSON ǀ PRESIDENT AND CEO
24%of net income
3,500ISK million
26.9USD million
Dividend proposal in the amount of ISK 3,500 million to
shareholders
17
Our Dividend Policy:
The goal is to pay 20-40% of each year’s net profit as dividend. Final annual dividend payments
will be based on the financial position of the Company, operating capital requirements and
market conditions.
The Board of Directors proposes to pay as a dividend in 2016:
24% capacity increase in the Route Network in 2016
Total
capacity
increase
New
destinations
24.0%
4.5%
Increased
capacity NA
9.3%
10.2%
Increased
capacity
EUR
Change in capacity* 2016 vs 2015
* Capacity = Available Seat Kilometers (ASK)18
One extra
B-757 aircraft
added
to the fleet
and Orly added
as new airport
in France
Additional capacity since September 2015
Announced YoY increase in flight schedule for 2016 in September 2015
15% increase in passenger numbers in the Route Network in
January 2016
19
-6
-4
6
11
15
29
13
31
4
-2
19
15
Sold HRN
Hotels
Utilisation
(ppt) HRN
Hotels
Available
HRN Hotels
FTK
Cargo
ATK
Cargo
Sold BH
Charter
flights
Fleet
utilisation
Charter
flights
SLF (ppt)
Regional
and
Greenland
flights
ASK
Regional
and
Greenland
flights
Passengers
Regional
and
Greenland
flights
SLF (ppt)
Route
Network
ASK
Route
Network
Passengers
Route
Network
Year-on-year change in %
Continued focus on utilising the belly space
20
34-38tons capacity
per trip
4-14tons capacity
per trip
1-3.5tons capacity
per trip
Icelandair Passenger Aircraft
25 B 757 aircraft
2 B 767 aircraft – opening new opportunities
Freighter Aircraft2 B757 aircraft
Air Iceland Passenger Aircraft2 Bombardier Q200
3 Bombardier Q400
Three Bombardier
Q400 aircraft
to replace
five Fokker-50
aircraft
Kangerlussuaq
in Greenland
a new destination
summer
2016
Bombardier Q400
aircraft used
in the international
Route Network to
serve Aberdeen
Our regional operation developing further in 2016
Good prospects in our aircraft leasing business in 2016
22
2B 757-200
2B 737-800
1B 737-700
2B 767-300
+Leasing of excess
capacity in the
Route Network
in off-season
Good opportunities in tourist related services in Iceland
23
0
100,000
200,000
300,000
400,000
500,000
600,000
700,000
800,000
900,000
1,000,000
1,100,000
1,200,000
1,300,000
1,400,000
1,500,000
1999
1995
1996
1990
1992
1998
1997
2001
1994
1993
1991
2000
2009
2008
2007
2004
2003
2002
2005
F2
016
F2
015
2013
2012
2014
2006
2011
2010
Double digit
growth
in number of
tourists
visiting Iceland
expected
in 2016
* Source = Icelandic Travel Buro
Number of tourists
visting Iceland
Continued growth in our hotel operation
2015-2017Build-up of a
Hotel at
Mývatn
in the North
of Iceland
2016
Opening in
cooperation with
Hilton Worldwide
115 rooms
2017Opening of a
luxury hotel
downtown
Reykjavik
50 rooms
2017Opening of a
luxury hotel
downtown
Reykjavik
160 rooms
24
Main assumptions:
Ι Continued focus on profitable organic growth
Ι Capacity increase in the Route Network 24% and
booking situation is favourable
Ι Good outlook for cargo and charter operations
Ι Favourable prospects in the tourist services in
Iceland
Ι Expansion in the hotel operation with the opening
of a new Canopy hotel (115 rooms) downtown
Reykjavik in summer 2016 in co-operation with
Hilton Worldwide
Ι EUR/USD rate assumed 1.08
Ι Average fuel price (excluding hedging) 385
USD/ton in January, 314 USD/ton in February and
350 USD/ton in March - December
EBITDA development2011-2016 in USD million
EBITDA guidance for 2016 USD 245-250 million
25
219
154
144
110
2014 Guidance
2016
245-250
20122011 2015
ICELANDAIR GROUP
Reykjavík Airport
101 Reykjavík Iceland
Tel: +354 50 50 300
Fax: +354 50 50 389
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