ichep – moscow – july 06 gregorio bernardi, lpnhe-paris vi & vii

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Gregorio Bernardi / LPNHE- Paris ICHEP – Moscow – July 06 Gregorio Bernardi, LPNHE-Paris VI & VII for the CDF and DØ Collaboration Results on SM Higgs Searches @ the Tevatron Luminosity Introduction to Higgs SM Higgs Searches at High mass Combined CDF, D0 and CDF+D0 results. Sensitivity Prospects

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Results on SM Higgs Searches @ the Tevatron. Luminosity Introduction to Higgs SM Higgs Searches at High mass Combined CDF, D0 and CDF+D0 results. Sensitivity Prospects. ICHEP – Moscow – July 06 Gregorio Bernardi, LPNHE-Paris VI & VII for the CDF and D Ø Collaboration. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: ICHEP – Moscow – July 06   Gregorio Bernardi, LPNHE-Paris VI & VII

Gregorio Bernardi / LPNHE-Paris

ICHEP – Moscow – July 06 Gregorio Bernardi, LPNHE-Paris VI & VII

for the CDF and DØ Collaboration

Results on SM Higgs Searches

@ the Tevatron

Luminosity

Introduction to Higgs

SM Higgs Searches at High mass

Combined CDF, D0 and CDF+D0 results.

Sensitivity Prospects

Page 2: ICHEP – Moscow – July 06   Gregorio Bernardi, LPNHE-Paris VI & VII

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Gregorio Bernardi / LPNHE-Paris

Tevatron Luminosity

85% Average Efficiency

Currently in shutdown:Silicon and Trigger upgrades

Run I Lumi

4-8 fb-1 expected by end of 2009

This talk:260- 1000 pb-1

Shutdown

Run

IIb

4-8 fb-1

Page 3: ICHEP – Moscow – July 06   Gregorio Bernardi, LPNHE-Paris VI & VII

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Gregorio Bernardi / LPNHE-Paris

Layer 0 inserted and fully readout

Run IIb upgrade relevant for Higgs - Layer Ø for DØ SMT

(already there for CDF)

Excellent noise performance

S/N=18!!

Shutdown Activities

Page 4: ICHEP – Moscow – July 06   Gregorio Bernardi, LPNHE-Paris VI & VII

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Gregorio Bernardi / LPNHE-Paris

SM Higgs Production and Decays

Dominant Decays bb for MH < 135 GeV WW* for MH > 135 GeV

Search strategy: MH <135 GeV: associated production WH and ZH with Hbb decay Backgrounds: Wbb, Zbb, top, WZ,QCD complement with WWW* & WW*

MH >135 GeV: gg H production with decay to WW*

Backgrounds: WW, DY, W/ZZ, tt, tW, complement with WWW*

Decays

mH (GeV/c2)

Exclu

de

d

Production

Production cross section (mH 115-180) in the 0.8-0.2 pb range for gg H in the 0.2-0.03 pb range for WH associated vector boson production

Page 5: ICHEP – Moscow – July 06   Gregorio Bernardi, LPNHE-Paris VI & VII

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Gregorio Bernardi / LPNHE-Paris

SM “Heavy” Higgs: H WW* ll

Search strategy: 2 high Pt leptons and missing Et

WW comes from spin 0 Higgs:leptons prefer to point in the same

direction.

But Higgs mass peak cannot be reconstructed due to the presence of 2

look for an excessCDF and DØ already published on 0.3-0.4

fb-1

H

4th generation?

CDF

W+ e+

W- e-

Page 6: ICHEP – Moscow – July 06   Gregorio Bernardi, LPNHE-Paris VI & VII

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Gregorio Bernardi / LPNHE-Paris

WW production W + jet/ production:

H WW* ll

Major backgrounds

Updated DØ analysis: L ~ 950 pb-1 in H WW* ee and e L ~ 930 pb-1 in H WW*

Selection Strategy:• Presection: lepton ID, trigger, opposite charge leptons• Remove QCD and Zl+l-: ET > 20 GeV

• Higgs Mass Dependent Cuts: Invariant Mass (Ml+l-); Min. Transverse Mass Sum of lepton pT

l and ET (pT

l + ET)

• Anti tt(bar) cut: HT = PTjet < 100 GeV

• Spin correlation in WW pair: (l,l) < 2.0

Now measured at the Tevatron by both expts. in agreement with NLO calculation: ~13.5 pb

Page 7: ICHEP – Moscow – July 06   Gregorio Bernardi, LPNHE-Paris VI & VII

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Gregorio Bernardi / LPNHE-Paris

Preselection: Trigger, ID, leptons of opposite charge: pTl1 = 15 GeV; pT

l2 = 10 GeV

e e e ee e

Missing Transverse Energy > 20 GeV Cut (to suppress Z/Missing Transverse Energy > 20 GeV Cut (to suppress Z/* * l l++ll-- background) background)

e ee e e e

H WW* ee / e/ (950-930 pb-1)

Page 8: ICHEP – Moscow – July 06   Gregorio Bernardi, LPNHE-Paris VI & VII

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Gregorio Bernardi / LPNHE-Paris

HWW* : final selection

MH=160GeV (x10)

selections

e ee

Page 9: ICHEP – Moscow – July 06   Gregorio Bernardi, LPNHE-Paris VI & VII

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Gregorio Bernardi / LPNHE-Paris

SM only a factor 4 away

We exclude 4th generation models, for which

mH=150-185 GeV

Results for HWW*

Expected/Observed # of events for mH = 160 GeV (L ~ 950 pb-1):

If mH= 160 GeV, ~ 2 higgs in our sample!

Page 10: ICHEP – Moscow – July 06   Gregorio Bernardi, LPNHE-Paris VI & VII

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Gregorio Bernardi / LPNHE-Paris

Low BR, but channel important in the “intermediate region” 125-145 GeV

Search for WHWWW* (2 like-sign leptons)

Event preselection: Same charge di-lepton from W’s (one from HWW, the other from prompt W)

Suppress SM backgrounds pT (lepton)> 15 GeV, || < 1.1/2.0

Page 11: ICHEP – Moscow – July 06   Gregorio Bernardi, LPNHE-Paris VI & VII

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Gregorio Bernardi / LPNHE-Paris

WHWWW* (360-380 pb-1)

Events after preselection

Page 12: ICHEP – Moscow – July 06   Gregorio Bernardi, LPNHE-Paris VI & VII

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Gregorio Bernardi / LPNHE-Paris

Final Selection for WWW*Topological Likelihood discriminant, built on 3 variables per channel

Page 13: ICHEP – Moscow – July 06   Gregorio Bernardi, LPNHE-Paris VI & VII

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Gregorio Bernardi / LPNHE-Paris

Exclusion limit for WWW*

Events after Topological Likelihood discriminant

Effect on global combination significant in the intermediate region (125-145 GeV)

Page 14: ICHEP – Moscow – July 06   Gregorio Bernardi, LPNHE-Paris VI & VII

Gregorio Bernardi / LPNHE-Paris

Combination Procedure

Combining Higgs boson Searches

DØ uses the CLs (LEP) Method the CLS confidence interval is a normalization of CLS+B

CLS+B = signal + bkgd hypothesis, CLB = bkgd only hypothesis

CLS = CLS+B/CLB : CLS+B & CLB are defined using a “test statistic”

Test statistic used is the Log-Likelihood Ratio (LLR=-2 ln Q)

generated via Poisson statistics (Q=e-(s+b)(s+b)d/e-bbd) s,b,d=sig.,bkd,data)

Tevatron Higgs combination is done with both methods they give results compatible within 10%.

CDF uses a Bayesian approach

Page 15: ICHEP – Moscow – July 06   Gregorio Bernardi, LPNHE-Paris VI & VII

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Gregorio Bernardi / LPNHE-Paris

Systematic Uncertainties @ CDF

Extracted from cdf-d0 combined Higgs search preprint:

Page 16: ICHEP – Moscow – July 06   Gregorio Bernardi, LPNHE-Paris VI & VII

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Gregorio Bernardi / LPNHE-Paris

Combined Higgs boson Search @ CDF

All low mass channels analyses use 1 fb-1 of data !

WH (lbb)

ZH (bb)

ZH (l+l- bb)

HWW >~ 120 GeV

For mH = 115 GeV, the 95%CL Limit/SM is 9 (expected) . 13 (observed)

Page 17: ICHEP – Moscow – July 06   Gregorio Bernardi, LPNHE-Paris VI & VII

Gregorio Bernardi / LPNHE-Paris

Combination Procedure 16 independent channels have been combined, taking into account correlated & uncorr. systematics✗ WH (e) ST, DT✗ WH () ST,DT✗ WH ( l ) ST DT✗ ZH () ST,DT✗ ZH (l+l-) DT✗ WWW (ee,e)✗ WW (ee,e) 1 fb-1, others 260-390 pb-1)

WH ebb

Combined Higgs boson Search @ DØ

Dijet mass

Page 18: ICHEP – Moscow – July 06   Gregorio Bernardi, LPNHE-Paris VI & VII

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Gregorio Bernardi / LPNHE-Paris

With low statistics (0.3 fb-1), the cross-section factorsData/SM = ~ 15 at 115 GeV ~ 9 at 160 GeVWith higs statistics (1 fb-1)Data/SM = ~ 5 at 160 GeV

Based on our first experiences with Data, can cdf+dØ reach exclusion for a 115 GeV Higgs with 2 fb-1 of data, as early simulation studies were expecting ?

Combined Higgs boson Search @ DØ

Page 19: ICHEP – Moscow – July 06   Gregorio Bernardi, LPNHE-Paris VI & VII

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Gregorio Bernardi / LPNHE-Paris

Expected Improvements @ DØ

New b-tagging tool at DØ (bh)– Combines various variables

from the track based b-tagging tools in a Neural Network, trained on Monte Carlo

– Performance measured on data

– Substantial improvement in performance over constituent input b-taggers

– Increase of 33% in efficiency for a fixed fake rate of 0.5 %

• Jet energy resolution (recalibration + track-jet algorithm)

Subtract expected energy deposition in cal

Add the track momentumAdd the energy of out-of-cone tracks

Improve the jet energy resolution by ~20%

• Use improved calorimeter calibration Z bb to calibrate b-jet response

• L1-cal Trigger (DØ Upgrade)– Important for difficult channels

efficiency improvement (ZHbb, hbb)

• Addition of SMT Layer 0 (DØ Upgrade)– r@L1 = 2.7 cm r@L0 = 1.6 cm

better impact parameter resolution

- redundancy in pattern recongnition for higher luminosity reduce fake track

– Keep performance if degradation of Layer 1 due to radiation damage

further b-tag improvement (~15%) improvement on Higgs sensitivity

Page 20: ICHEP – Moscow – July 06   Gregorio Bernardi, LPNHE-Paris VI & VII

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Gregorio Bernardi / LPNHE-Paris

CDF: Expected Improvements

Increase acceptanceinclusion of forward muonsimproved tracking and b-tagging in

the forward regionAdd additional channels:

in the WH and WW analyses tau-leptons have not been used.

Improve jet resolution

Improve analysis techniques Neural Networks, better

optimisation

Recent experience: in Bs mixing analysis a factor 4 in

sensitivity was achieved just by improving analysis techniques

How does these CDF and DØ improvements translate in sensitivity?

Page 21: ICHEP – Moscow – July 06   Gregorio Bernardi, LPNHE-Paris VI & VII

Gregorio Bernardi / LPNHE-Paris

On the Horizon✗ Will 6 times more lumi take our x-section factors at 115/160 GeV of ~15/9 down to 1?? Maybe.. with analyses improvements under work in CDF and DØ Close !

Ingredients (DØ)Equiv Lumigain (@115)

Today with ~330 pb-1 - 15 96.0 6.1 3.7

Combine DØ and CDF 2.0

NN b-Tagger/L0 3.0 3.5NN analysis selections 1.7 2.7 2.8

Dijet-mass resolution 1.5 2.2Increased Acceptance 1.2 2.0 2.5New channels 1.2 1.9 2.1

1.7Reduced Systematics 1.21.2 1.5

At 160 GeV needs ~5 fb-

1

At 115 GeV needs ~3 fb-1

Xsec Factor Xsec FactormH=115 GeV mH= 160 GeV

Sensitivity Prospects extrapolated from 0.3 fb-1 results

Lumi = 2.0 fb-1

95% CL exclusion for mH= 115-185 GeV with 8 fb-1

(assuming similar improvements at DØ and CDF)

Page 22: ICHEP – Moscow – July 06   Gregorio Bernardi, LPNHE-Paris VI & VII

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Gregorio Bernardi / LPNHE-Paris

Tevatron SM Higgs Combination

mH Limit/SM

(GeV) Exp. Obs.

115 7.6 10.4

130 10.1 10.6

160 5.0 3.9

180 7.5 5.8

Note: the combined result is essentially equivalent to one experiment with 1.3 fb-1, since both experiments have “complementary” statistics at low and high mass

we are indeed already close to the sensitivity required to exclude or “evidence” the higgs at the Tevatron

All CDF and DØ results now combined for the first time

Page 23: ICHEP – Moscow – July 06   Gregorio Bernardi, LPNHE-Paris VI & VII

Gregorio Bernardi / LPNHE-Paris

Conclusions✗ First time with essentially complete result All channels have been analyzed with ~1 fb-1 of

data✗ Full impact of systematics uncertainties is

included✗ Analyses are steadily improving due to

optimization, already close to the Prospective reports

Combined limit looks very promising✗ High mass region benefits a lot from HWW* type

analyses (H and WH production), but low mass as well, as low as 120 GeV enhanced sensitivity at low mass.

Our outlook for the future looks very interesting✗ LHC experiments will have to work hard to get the

signal before Tevatron, if the Higgs is light (<130 GeV)

✗ But the Tevatron has insight also if it is close to 160 GeV and can exclude at 95%CL from 115 to 185 GeV.

✗ Barring accidents, the Tevatron could have evidence by 2009-2010, if it’s there…

If the Higgs is light we might end-up combining with LHC!

SM Higgs Summary

Page 24: ICHEP – Moscow – July 06   Gregorio Bernardi, LPNHE-Paris VI & VII

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Gregorio Bernardi / LPNHE-Paris

Conclusion

Will we soon understand better

what’s going on in the Universe?

as soon as we get around here the answer is YES! So we’ll try hard !!!

Page 25: ICHEP – Moscow – July 06   Gregorio Bernardi, LPNHE-Paris VI & VII

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Gregorio Bernardi / LPNHE-Paris

Backup Slides

Page 26: ICHEP – Moscow – July 06   Gregorio Bernardi, LPNHE-Paris VI & VII

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Gregorio Bernardi / LPNHE-Paris

Tevatron SM Higgs Search: Outlook

Prospects updated in 2003 in the low Higgs

mass region

W(Z) H l(,ll) bb

better detector understanding

optimization of analysis

Sensitivity in the mass region above LEP limit (114 GeV ) starts at ~2 fb-1

With 8 fb-1: exclusion 115-135 GeV & 145-180 GeV, 5 - 3 sigma discovery/evidence @ 115 – 130 GeV

Tevatron8 fb-1

Ldt (fb-

1)

LEP

Exclu

ded