identification of the relationship between black spot road accidents and geometric design of roads...
TRANSCRIPT
IDENTIFICATION OF THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN BLACK SPOT ROAD ACCIDENTS AND
GEOMETRIC DESIGN OF ROADS IN KARACHI
Batch (2008-2009)
NED UNIVERSITY OF ENGINEERING AND TECHONOLOGY
CERTIFICATE
This is to certify that the following students of (Batch 2008-2009) have successfully completed the final year project in partial fulfillment of the requirements for a Bachelors degree in Civil Engineering from NED UNIVERSITY OF ENGINEEING & TECHONOLOGY KARACHI, PAKISTAN.
By
NAME SEAT NO.
SYEDA MARIUM FATIMA CE-017
AYISHA IRSHAD CE-032
MAHA HEYAT CE-040
SYEDA BATOOL CE-211
MADIHA ERUM CE-305
PROJECT SUPERVISOR
Prof. Dr. Mir Shabbar Ali Prof. Dr. Asad-Ur-Rehman
(Internal) Chairman
Department of Civil Engineering
NED University of Engineering
& Technology, Karachi.
CIVIL ENGINEEING DEPARTMENT
NED UNIVERSITY OF ENGINEERING AND TECHONOGOLY
TABLE OF CONTENT
List of tables
List of figures
List of graphs
List of notations
Acknowledgement
Abstract
Dedication
PAGE NO.
CHAPTER 1:- INTRODUCTION 1-3
General 1-1
Objective .1-2
Scope 2-2
Insight of the study area 2-2
Limitations 2-3
Organization of report 3-3
CHAPTER 2:- LITERATURE REVIEW 4-14
2.1 Previous studies relating geometric parameters and accidents 4-5
2.2 Basic terminologies 5-6
2.2.1 Geometric design 5-5
2.2.2 Black spot 5-5
2.2.3 Fatal accidents 6-6
2.2.4 Non fatal accidents 6-6
2.3 Accidents due to geometric parameters 6-7
2.3.1 Lane changing or overtaking 6-6
2.3.2 Roll over 6-6
2.3.3 Sight obstruction 6-6
2.3.4 Over speeding 7-7
2.3.5 Surface condition 7-7
2.3.6 Pedestrian accidents 7-7
2.4 Purpose of identifying black spot 7-7
2.5 Design parameter 7-9
2.5.1 General design consideration for local roads 7-8
2.5.2 General design consideration for collector roads 8-9
2.6 Geometric design v/s accidents 9-12
2.6.1 Roadway design 9-11
2.6.1.1 Hazard visibility 10-10
2.6.1.2 Roadway surfaces 10-10
2.6.1.3 Traffic control devices 10-10
2.6.1.4 Behavioral control devices 10-10
2.6.1.5 Traffic flow 10-10
2.6.1.6 Roadway identification signs 10-10
2.6.1.7 Weather 10-10
2.6.1.8 Poor maintenance 11-11
2.6.2 Causes of road accidents 11-12
2.6.2.1 Conditions of roads, road design and layout 11-11
2.6.2.2 Human factors (road users) 11-11
2.6.2.3 Vehicle defect 11-11
2.6.2.4 Weather conditions 11-11
2.6.2.5 Strong light reflections 12-12
2.6.2.6 Geometric design of roads 12-12
2.6.3 Road geometric parameters affecting traffic accidents 12-12
2.7 Accident reduction strategies 12-14
2.7.1 Crash types 13-14
2.7.1.1 Collision with trees in hazardous location 13-13
2.7.1.2 Right turn head on collision 13-14
CHAPTER 3:- METHODOLOGY AND DATA COLLECTION 15-18
3.1 General 15-15
3.2 Methodology 15-15
3.3 Data collection 16-16
3.4 Data analysis 16-16
3.5 Identifying black spot locations 16-17
3.6 Field survey of the location 17-18
3.6.1 Lane width and number of lanes 17-17
3.6.2 Number of turnings on road 17-18
3.6.3 Wrong way on roads 18-18
3.6.4 Speed 18-18
3.6.5 Median height 18-18
3.6.6 Conflicting points 18-18
3.7 Graphical and statistical analysis 18-18
CHAPTER 4:- SUMMERIES OF BLACK SPOT LOCATIONS 19-49
4.1 2 minute chowrangi 19-21
4.1.1 Road inventory 19-19
4.1.2 Traffic behavior 19-20
4.1.3 Possible causes of accidents 20-20
4.1.4 Vehicle taking wrong ways 20-21
4.1.5 Elevated U-turn 21-21
4.2 Chamra chowrangi 21-24
4.2.1 Road inventory 22-22
4.2.2 Traffic behavior 22-22
4.2.3 Possible causes of accidents 22-24
4.3 Jama cloth 24-26
4.3.1 Road inventory 24-25
4.3.2 Traffic behavior 25-25
4.3.3 Possible causes of accidents 25-26
4.4 Jinnah bridge 26-27
4.4.1 Road inventory 26-27
4.4.2 Traffic behavior 27-27
4.4.3 Possible causes of accidents 27-27
4.4.3.1 Upper ramp 27-27
4.4.3.2 Down ramp 27-27
4.5 Singer chowrangi 27-30
4.5.1 Road inventory 28-28
4.5.2 Traffic behavior 28-29
4.5.3 Possible causes of accidents 29-30
4.6 Under baloch colony flyover 30-32
4.6.1 Road inventory 30-31
4.6.2 Traffic behavior 31-31
4.6.2.1 Upper ramp 31-31
4.6.2.2 Down ramp 31-31
4.6.3 Possible causes of accidents 32-32
4.7 Akhter colony 32-34
4.7.1 Road inventory 33-33
4.7.2 Traffic behavior 33-34
4.7.3 Possible causes of accidents 34-34
4.8 Gurumandir 34-35
4.8.1 Road inventory 34-34
4.8.2 Traffic behavior 35-35
4.8.3 Possible causes of accidents 35-35
4.9 Nagan chowrangi 35-38
4.9.1 Road inventory 36-36
4.9.2 Traffic behavior 36-37
4.9.3 Possible causes of accidents 37-38
4.10 Nazimabad#7 38-40
4.10.1 Road inventory 38-38
4.10.2 Traffic behavior 38-39
4.10.3 Possible causes of accidents 39-40
4.11 Numaish 40-42
4.11.1 Road inventory 40-41
4.11.2 Traffic behavior 41-41
4.11.3 Possible causes of accidents 41-42
4.12 Simiens 42-45
4.12.1 Road inventory 43-43
4.12.2 Traffic behavior 43-44
4.12.3 Possible causes of accidents 44-45
4.13 Tibet center 45-47
4.13.1 Road inventory 45-46
4.13.2 Traffic behavior 46-46
4.13.3 Possible causes of accidents 46-47
4.14 Nursery 47-49
4.14.1 Road inventory 47-48
4.14.2 Traffic behavior 48-48
4.14.2.1 Upstream 48-48
4.14.2.2 Downstream 48-48
4.14.3 Possible causes of accidents 48-49
CHAPTER 5:- GRAPHICAL AND STATISTICAL ANALYSIS 50-80
5.1 Effect Of Number Of Lanes 50-59
5.1.1 Effect of number of lanes on average rate of accidents 50-51
5.1.1.1 Graphical analysis 50-51
5.1.1.2 Statistical analysis 51-51
5.1.1.3 Discussion 51-51
5.1.2 Effect of number of lanes on average rate of accidents at intersection 52-53
5.1.2.1 Graphical analysis 52-53
5.1.2.2 Statistical analysis 53-53
5.1.2.3 Discussion 53-53
5.1.3 Effect of number of lanes on average rate of accident due to time 53-55
5.1.3.1 Graphical analysis 53-54
5.1.3.2 Statistical analysis 55-55
5.1.3.3 Discussions 55-55
5.1.4 Effect of number of lanes on average accident rate due to victims and vehicle 55-58
5.1.4.1 Graphical analysis 55-58
5.1.4.2 Statistical analysis 58-58
5.1.4.3 Discussion 58-58
5.2 Effect of speed 58-65
5.2.1 Effect of speed on average rate of accidents due to victim and vehicle 58-62
5.2.1.1 Graphical analysis 58-62
5.2.1.2 Statistical analysis 62-62
5.2.1.3 Discussion 62-62
5.2.2 Effect of speed on accidents due to time 62-65
5.2.2.1 Graphical analysis 62-64
5.2.2.2 Statistical Analysis 64-64
5.2.2.3 Discussions 64-65
5.3 Effect of conflicting points 65-66
5.3.1 Effect of conflicting points on victim 65-66
5.3.1.1 Graphical analysis 65-66
5.3.1.2 Statistical analysis 66-66
5.3.1.3 Discussion 66-66
5.4 Effect of number of local streets 66-69
5.4.1 Effect of local streets on average rate of accidents of victim and vehicle 66-68
5.4.1.1 Graphical analysis 66-66
5.4.1.2 Statistical analysis 68-68
5.4.1.3 Discussion 68-68
5.4.2 Effect of local streets on average rate of accidents due to wrong way 68-69
5.4.2.1 Graphical analysis 69-69
5.4.2.2 Statistical analysis 69-69
5.4.2.3 Discussion 69-69
5.5 Effect of number of turnings 70-72
5.5.1 Effect of number of turnings on time of accidents 70-71
5.5.1.1 Graphical analysis 70-71
5.5.1.2 Statistical analysis 71-71
5.5.1.3 Discussion 71-71
5.5.2 Effect of number of turnings on time of accidents 71-72
5.5.2.1 Graphical analysis 72-72
5.5.2.2 Statistical analysis 72-72
5.5.2.3 Discussion 72-72
5.6 Effect of median height 72-79
5.6.1 Effect of median height on average rate of accidents 72-74
5.6.1.1 Graphical analysis 73-73
5.6.1.2 Statistical analysis 73-73
5.6.1.3 Discussion 73-74
5.6.2 Effect of median height on motorbike accidents 74-75
5.6.2.1 Graphical analysis 74-74
5.6.2.2 Statistical analysis 74-74
5.6.2.3 Discussion 74-75
5.6.3 Effect of median height on victims 75-76
5.6.3.1 Graphical analysis 75-75
5.6.3.2 Statistical analysis 75-75
5.6.3.3 Discussion 76-76
5.6.4 Effect of median height on accidents at mid block 76-77
5.6.4.1 Graphical analysis 76-76
5.6.4.2 Statistical analysis 76-77
5.6.4.3 Discussion 77-77
5.6.5 Effect of median height on accidents of motorbike and bus 77-78
5.6.5.1 Graphical analysis 77-77
5.6.5.2 Statistical analysis 77-78
5.6.5.3 Discussion 78-78
5.6.6 Effect of median height on accidents of motorbike and bus 78-79
5.6.6.1 Graphical analysis 78-79
5.6.6.2 Statistical analysis 79-79
5.6.6.3 Discussion 79-79
CHAPTER 6:- CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS 80-81
6.1 General conclusions 80-81
6.1.1 Key findings 80-80
6.1.2 Major outcomes 80-81
6.2 Recommendations 81-81
LIST OF TABLES
Table 2.1 Strategies to reduce collisions with trees
Table 2.2 Strategies to reduce right turn head on collisions
Table 3.1 Total number of accidents on locations
Table 5.1shows average rate of accidents with respect to no. of lane
Table 5.2 showsthe average rate of accidents at intersection & no. of lanes
Table 5.3 shows the average rate of fatal accidents due to time & no. of lanes
Table 5.4 shows the average rate of non-fatal accidents due to time& no. of lanes
Table 5.4 shows the average rate of fatal accidents due to victims &no.of lanes
Table 5.6 shows the average rate of non-fatal accidents due to victims&no.of lanes
Table 5.7 shows the average rate of fatal accidents due to vehicle &no.of lanes
Table 5.8 shows the average rate of non- fatal accidents due to vehicle &no.of lanes
Table 5.9 shows the average rate of fatal accidents due to victim & speed
Table 5.10 shows the average rate of nonfatal accidents due to victim & speed
Table 5.11 shows the average rate of fatal accidents due to vehicle & speed
Table 5.12 shows the average rate of nonfatal accidents due to vehicle & speed
Table 5.13 shows the average rate of fatal accidents due to time & speed
Table 5.14 shows the average rate of nonfatal accidents due to time & speed
Table 5.9 showing the average rate of nonfatal accidents due to victims &no.of
conflicting points.
Table 5.10 shows the average rate of nonfatal accidents of victims & number of local
streets.
Table 5.11 shows the average rate of nonfatal accidents due to vehicle & number of local
streets.
Table 5.12 shows the average rate of accidents due to wrong way & number of local
streets.
Table 5.13shows the average rate of fatal accidents due time& number of tunings.
Table 5.14 shows the average rate of fatal accidents due time& number of tunings.
Table 5.15 shows the average rate of accidents at an intersection& number of tunings
Table 5.16 shows average no. of accidents with respect to median height
Table 5.17 shows accidents of motorbike with respect to median height
Table 5.18 shows victims accidents with respect to median height
Table 5.19 shows accidents at mid block with respect to median height
Table 5.20 shows accidents of motorbike and bus with respect to median height
Table 5.21 shows time of accident (non fatal) with respect to median height
LIST OF FIGURES
Fig. 4.1 showing google image of 2 minute chowrangi
Fig. 4.2 showing small radius of U-turn
Fig. 4.3 showing wrong way at U-turn
Fig. 4.4 showing elevated U-turn & wrong way
Fig. 4.5 showing google image of chamra chowrangi
Fig. 4.6 showings near misses accident
Fig. 4.7 showing wrong way
Fig. 4.8 showing heavy traffic movement
Fig. 4.9 and 4.10 showing no lane marking on road
Fig. 4.11 showing google image of jama cloth
Fig. 4.12 showing traffic mix
Fig. 4.13 showing animal cart crossing road
Fig. 4.14 showing rickshaw going the wrong way
Fig. 4.15 showings near miss conflict
Fig. 4.16 showing google image of Jinnah bridge
Fig. 4.17 showing google image of singer chowrangi
Fig. 4.18 & 4.19 showing heavy vehicle movement
Fig. 4.22 & 4.23 showing absence of street lights
Fig. 4.20 & 4.21 showing absence of lane marking
Fig. 4.24 Showing google image of under baloch colony fly over
Fig. 4.25 showing traffic mix
Fig. 4.26 showing wrong uses of fences
Fig. 4.27 showing people crossing the road
Fig. 4.28 showing google image of akhter colony
Fig. 4.29 showing google image of grumandir
Fig. 4.30 showing google image of nagan chowrangi
Fig. 4.31 Showing no lane marking on roads
Fig. 4.32 showing sight obstruction
Fig. 4.33 showing wrong way
Fig. 4.34 Showing google image of nazimabad#7
Fig. 4.35 showing traffic mix
Fig. 4.36 & 4.37 Showing traffic flow
Fig. 4.38 showing surface condition
Fig. 4.39 showing wrong way
Fig 4.40 showing google image of numaisha
Fig. 4.41 showing traffic mix
Fig. 4.42 showing improper working of signal
Fig. 4.43 showing traffic coming from service lane
Fig. 4.44 showing google image of simiens chowrangi
Fig. 4.45 showing heavy vehicle movement
Fig. 4.46 showing no footpaths
Fig. 4.47 showing wrong way
Fig. 4.48 showing unavailability of footpaths
Fig. 4.49 showing a google image of Tibet center
Fig. 4.50 showing absence of street light
Fig. 4.51 & 4.52 showing Traffic mix
Fig. 4.53 showing road surface
Fig. 4.54 Showing improper working of signal
Fig. 4.55 showing google image of nursery
Fig. 4.56 & 4.57 showing ditches found on the road
Fig. 4.58 & 4.59 showing sight obstruction
LIST OF GRAPH
Graph 5.1b/w no. lanes&average rate accidents
Graph 5.2 b/w no. of lanes & average rate of accidents at intersection
Graph 5.3 b/w no. of lanes & average rate of fatal accidents due to time
Graph 5.4 b/w no. of lanes & average rate of non-fatal accidents due to time
Graph 5.5 b/w no. of lanes & average rate of fatal accidents due to victims
Graph 5.6 b/w no. of lanes & average rate of non-fatal accidents due to victims
Graph 5.7 b/w no. of lanes & average rate of fatal accidents due to vehicle
Graph 5.8 b/w no. of lanes & average rate of non-fatal accidents due to vehicle
Graph 5.9 b/w speed & average rate of fatal accidents due to victim
Graph 5.10 b/w speed & average rate of nonfatal accidents due to the victim
Graph 5.11 b/w speed & average rate of fatal accidents due to the vehicle
Graph 5.12 b/w speed & average rate of nonfatal accidents due to the vehicle
Graph 5.13 b/w speed & average rate of fatal accidents due to time
Graph 5.14 b/w speed & average rate of nonfatal accidents due to time
Graph 5.9 b/w no. of conflicting points & average rate of nonfatal accidents of the victim
Graph 5.10 b/w no. of local streets & average rate of nonfatal accidents of the victim
Graph 5.11 b/w no. of local streets & average rate of accidents due to vehicle
Graph 5.12 b/w no. of local streets & average rate of accidents due to wrong way
Graph 5.13 b/w no. of turnings & average rate of fatal accidents due to
Graph 5.14 b/w no. of turnings & average rate of non fatal accidents due to time
Graph 5.15 b/w no. of turnings & average rate of accidents at intersection
Graph 5.16 showing relationship between median height and average number of accidents
Graph 5.17 showing relationship between median height and motorbike accidents
Graph 5.18 showing relationship between median height and victims accidents
Graph 5.19 showing relationship between median height and accidents at midblock
Graph 5.20 showing relationship between median height and accidents of motorbike and bus
Graph 5.21 showing relationship between median height and time of accident (non fatal)
NOTATIONS
RTI= Road Traffic Injury
MUTCD= Manual On Uniform Traffic Control Devices
JPMC= Jinnah Postgraduate Medical Centre
LNH=Liaquat National Hospital
AKH=Agha Khan Hospital
ASH= Abbasi Shaheed Hospital
RTA=Road Traffic Accidents
RTIRPC= Road Traffic Injury Research And Prevention Centre
ANAO=Australian National Audit Office
UN= United Nation
ECE= Economic Commission for Europe
WHO=World Health Organization
FA= Fatal accidents
NFA= Non-fatal accidents
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
In the name of Allah, most beneficent, merciful, the most compassionate. By his grace, we have successfully completed our final year project.
The final year project with a title of “IDENTIFICATION OF THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN BLACK SPOT ROAD ACCIDENTS AND GEOMETRIC DESIGN OF ROADS IN KARACHI” was supervisedby the knowledgeable teacher Prof. Dr. Mir Shabbar Ali. We are grateful to him for providing us opportunity to learn the sensible approach of the research. We are thankful to him for being able to direct us when we had problems. The work during this project has been inspiring for us and shown us that the hard work and planning is very important to succeed in completing task properly.
This report is the culmination of almost 8 months of intensive work. This initiative would not be possible without our own hard work and help from several individuals. Our bundle of thanks to those people who helped us during our project, especially to Prof. Dr. Muhammad Adnan his guidance and supporting hand made this project possible.
We would also like to thanks the NED SURVEYING LAB for providing us the instruments, NED TRANSPORT DEPATMENT for providing us the facility of transport for our survey and our families for their support in every step. Moreover, in end special appreciation for every individual member of our project group and every member has worked with full determination. We as a group member enjoyed working together and supported each other. We are thankful to each other for excellent group activities and appreciate the hard work of every individual of this group.
ABSTRACT
The students of Final Year developed this project “IDENTIFICATION OF THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN BLACK SPOT ROAD ACCIDENTS AND GEOMETRIC DESIGN OF ROADS IN KARACHI” to analyze the different geometric factors that cause accidents in Karachi.
Pakistan is among one of the most accident prone countries of the world, highly populated city Karachi has been selected as our area of study and have considered all the accidents which have been reported in the five major hospitals of Karachi. This report focus on some geometric factors and some suggestions are given for alleviating such conditions. The report includes the statistical analysis on the bases of the available and the prominent geometric parameters from the data. Moreover the definition, identification and the analysis of the black spot are the major part of this project
This project basic aim is to provide the black spot area in city Karachi so that the effective measures could be taken to reduce the fatalities and the number of accidents as well as to introduce possible action for traffic safety.
DEDICATION
OUR PROJECT IS DEDICATED TO OUR BELOVED
PARENTS WHO ALWAYS SUPPORTED US IN EVERY STEP
CHAPTER 1
INTRODUCTION
1.1 GENERAL
The purpose of this investigation is to find critical road geometric parameters, as safety is
the primary concern of everyone. This study is based on accident rates. More than 30000
accidents are reported every year in Karachi. Four years RTI data from 2008-2011 is
considered. This data consists of accidents occurring due to environmental factors,
vehicle factor and human factor, but in this project, only environmental factor is
considered.
In general, numbers of crashes are affected by three factors:
The road environment or condition of road
Vehicle factor or the condition of vehicle using the road system
Human factor or the skills, concentration and physical state of road users.
There is a statistical and graphical significant relationship between road geometric factor
and accident rate which has been studied extensively in this project with respect to
roadways and roadside features.
1.2 OBJECTIVE
The primary purpose of the study for identifying Black Spot Accidents in Karachi is to
evaluate the effectiveness of particular types of treatments at various types of locations,
with a range of accident types according to its geometry. The objective of this project is
to conduct analysis of accidents and investigate the relationship between road geometry
and black spots accidents:
To identify critical black spots location in Karachi
To identify geometric factors associated with accidents at the road
Detail black spot analysis
To build a relationship between road geometry and black spots
Developing the remedial measures aimed at reducing accident frequency
1.3 SCOPE
Road safety is a very important issue and the scope of this project is to design traffic
accidents resisting roads by identifying black spot areas in Karachi and recommending
safe geometric design of roads.
1. Scientific approach needed to resolve road safety problem affecting each and
every person on the road.
2. High impact of improvement of black spots on everyday life of common person.
1.4 INSIGHT OF STUDY AREA
Data is collected from five trauma receiving hospitals of Karachi namely JPMC, CIVIL,
ASH, LNH AND AKH. These five hospitals are selected because most of the accidents
are recorded in these five hospitals and only few accidents are reported in any other local
hospitals.
1.5 LIMITATIONS
The limitation of the dataset is to be considered before conducting an accident analysis.
Only the accidents of Karachi city are considered in the study.
High rate accident location considers as black spot
Considering only geometric factors which are causing road accidents
Only 0.5 km length of road is considered for the study area.
Only four years RTIRPC data is analyzed in the project.
Only those accidents are considered that are due to geometric design parameters.
Statistical testing based on chi square testing is used to identify the relationship.
1.6 ORGANIZATION OF THE REPORT
Introduction
Literature Review
Methodology and data collection
Analysis and results
CHAPTER 2
LITERATURE REVIEW
2.1 PREVIOUS STUDIES RELATING GEOMETRIC PARAMETERS AND
ACCIDENTS
A number of researchers have shown that the cause of a vehicle accident is a complex set of events involving the interactions of many factors. Safety has been of interest to highway and traffic engineers for many years, being stated long ago that among the considerations of mobility, convenience and economy of operations, safety is of primary concern. More recently, the recognition of the high cost to society of road has given a new impetus to the question of safer highway design [1].
In Ireland, A method of estimating geometric data from digital maps was implemented on some 70km of highways. 19 curves and 19 tangents were then selected to represent the overall geometric makeup of the highway. Numerous geometric indices were measured on site. A spot speed survey was conducted at the midpoint of each tangent and curve and operating speed was calculated for each site. The spot speed survey is used to estimate the operating speed on straights (tangents). The results showed that a relationship exists between geometric design consistency and safety. Of the 40 locations which had accidents over the 8 year period from 1999 – 2005, 13 of these locations were detected as needing realignment by the geometric design consistency evaluation [2].
Accidents on horizontal curves have been recognized as a considerable safety problem for many years. Accident studies indicate that curves experience a higher accident rate than tangents, with rates ranging from one-and-a-half, to three to four times higher than tangents (Glennon, Neuman, and Leisch, 1985; Zegeer, Stewart, Reinfurt, Council, Neuman, Hamilton, Miller, and Hunter, 1990; Neuman, 1992). Lerner and Sedney (1988) have reported anecdotal evidence that horizontal curves present problems for older drivers. Also, Lyles' (1993) analyses of accident data in Michigan have found that older drivers are much more likely to be involved in accident situations where the drivers were driving too fast for the curve or, more significantly, were surprised by the curved alignment. In a review of the literature aimed at modifying driver behavior on rural road curves, Johnston (1982) reported that horizontal curves that are below 600 m (1,968 ft) in a radius of two-lane rural roads, and those requiring a substantial reduction in speed from that prevailing on the preceding tangent section were disproportionately represented among accident sites.
Many studies report a relationship between horizontal curvature (and the degree of
curvature) and the total percentage of accidents by geometric design feature on the
highways. The reasons for these accidents are related to the following inadequate driving
behaviors:
Deficient skills in negotiating curves, especially those of more than 3 degrees
(Eckhardt and Flanagan, 1956).
Exceeding the design speed on the curve (Messer et al., 1981).
Exceeding the design of the vehicle path (Glennon and Weaver, 1971; Good,
1978).
Failure to maintain appropriate lateral position on the curve (McDonald and Ellis,
1975).
Incorrect anticipatory behavior of curve speed and alignment when approaching
the curve (Messer et al., 1981; Johnston, 1982).
Inadequate appreciation of the degree of hazard associated with a given curve
(Johnston, 1982). 2.2 Basic terminologies:
2.2.1 Geometric design
Geometric design is that dimension of the roadway which is intended to promote safe, efficient, convenient and economical for the movement of the traffic according to the highway safety design.
2.2.2 Black spots
According to the National Black Spot Program:
“Sites or sections of the road network that experience a high incidence of vehicle crashes and fatalities referred to as black spots”. (ANAO audit report)
2.2.3 Fatal Accidents
According to UN/ECE fatal accident definition is given as: “Any person who was killed outright or who died within 30 days as the result of an accident.”
2.2.4 Non Fatal Accidents
According to UN/ECE: “Any person, who was not killed, but sustained one or more serious or slight/minor injuries as a result of an accident.”
2.3TYPES OF ACCIDENTS DUE TO GEOMETRIC PARAMETER
2.3.1 Lane changing or overtaking
About 50.4% of accidents on interstate highways were caused by driver actions, out of which 27.6% occurred during lane changing or overtaking. Rear end, angle and sideswipe are possible collisions that may occur during lane changing or overtaking[3]
.
2.3.2 Roll over
A rollover accidents is where a car flips over onto either the side or the roof of the car. This can happen as a result of a head on collision, side impact or rear impact accidents, however the main cause is turning sharply while speeding. Tall vehicles such as trucks are more likely to tip over than smaller cars, because of this reason many four-wheel drive vehicle have put more safety precautions in effect, such as reduced steering wheel capability[3].
2.3.3 Sight obstruction
Loss of control is one of the major factors that can contribute to run-off accidents in rural areas. There are many causes for running off the roads, such as: a loss of driving vigilance i-e though a harmless action , poor tire contact ( friction coefficient) with the road; evasive maneuver to avoid collisions with animals, pedestrians and other vehicles; poor road legibility leading to drivers being “ surprised” by unexpected elements like sharp curves; and overtaking maneuvers. Many of these actions are often accompanied by inappropriate speed and more explicit road signs [4].
2.3.4 Over speeding
High speed collisions are a very simple word to understand by everyone. In Karachi alone in every minute one person is killed due to high speed. About 30-40% of the fatal accidents are because of over speeding [4].
2.3.5 Surface condition
Poor contact with the interface between the vehicle and the road can result in skidding or overturning . This defect can have many consequences, in terms of accident severity, where speeds are high. This is especially the case for run-off and the intersection accidents. The problem of poor contact stems from the skid resistance and/or the evenness of the road surface i-e the surface characteristics[4].
2.3.6 Pedestrian accidents
For pedestrians and bicyclists, road safety is often considered as a purely urban problem. However, we cannot ignore these road users and neglect their safety because, although these types of accidents are less frequent due to lower traffic levels, they are particularly severe. More than 14% of all non-fatal pedestrian accidents occur in rural areas, but 25% of fatal pedestrian accidents occur in rural areas[4].
2.4 PURPOSE OF IDENTIFYING BLACK SPOTS
The locations with higher accident frequency are classified as black spot. Identification is the first step in improving road safety. Black spot is defined as “where the number of accidents is greater, those roads are critical due to high rate of fatalities and injuries”.
2.5 DESIGN PARAMETERS [5]
2.5.1 General design consideration for local roads
Design speed: 1 Design speed ranging from 30-50 km/h may be used, depending
on available right-of-way, terrain, likely pedestrian presence, adjacent
development, and other area control.
Sight distance:Minimum stopping sight distance should range from 30-60m
depending on design speed.
Median: The shape and length of median openings depend on the width of the
median and the vehicle types to be accommodated. The minimum length of
median openings should be that of the width of the projected roadways of the
intersecting cross street or driveway.
Number of lanes: In many residential areas an 8m [26 ft.] Widen roadway is
typical. This curb-face-to-curb-face width provides for a 3.6m [12 ft.] Center
travel lane and to 2.2m [7 ft.] Parking lanes.
Width of travelled way: Street lane for moving traffic should be at least 3.0m
[10 ft.] wide. Where practical, they should be 3.3m [11 ft.] wide, and in industrial
areas they should be 3.6m [12 ft.] wide.
Grades: The gradient for local streets should be less than 15 percent and for
commercial and industrial areas should be less than 5 percent.
Alignment: Street curve should be designed with as large a radius curve as
practical, with a minimum radius of 30m. Where curves are super elevated the
radius should not less than 25m for design speed 30km/hr.
Horizontal clearance to obstruction: On all streets minimum clearance of 0.5m
[1.5 ft.] should be provided between curb face and obstruction such as utility
poles, lighting poles. Trees are acceptable along local streets where speed is low
60km/hr or below.
Street and roadway lighting: Good visibility under day or night condition is one
of the fundamental needs for motorists to travel on roadways in a safe and
coordinated manner.
Traffic control devices: Geometric design of streets should include full
consideration of the types of traffic control to be used, especially at intersections.
2.5.2 General design consideration for collector roads
Design speed: Design speed of 50 km/hr. or higher should be used
Sight distance: Stopping sight distance varies with design speed.
Median: The following median width may be considered: (1) For paint-stripped
separation, 0.6-1.2m [2 ft-4 ft.] wide. (2) For narrow raised-curbed sections, 0.6-
1.8m wide. (3) For raised curbed sections, 3.0-4.8m [10-16 ft.] wide.
Number of lanes: Two moving traffic lanes plus the additional width of the
shoulders and parking are sufficient for most urban collector roads.
Width of travelled way: Lane within the travelled way should range in width
from 3-3.6m [10-12 ft]
Grades: A minimum grade of 0.3 percent is acceptable to facilitate drainage.
However, it is recommended that a grade of 0.5 percent or more to be used.
Alignment: Alignment should fit closely the existing topography to minimize the
need for cuts or fills without sacrificing safety.
Horizontal clearance to obstruction: Collector streets that have curbs but no
shoulders, a clearance of 0.5m or more should be provided to roadside
obstructions.
Street and roadway lighting: Good visibility under day or night condition is
fundamental to enabling motorists, pedestrian and bicycle travel on roadways in a
safe and coordinated manner.
Traffic control devices: Geometric design of streets should include full
consideration of the types of traffic control to be used, especially at intersections.
2.6 GEOMETRIC DESIGN V/S ACCIDENTS
The research can be enhanced further by determining the relationship between the accidents and road geometry, observed travel speed and crashes by investigating the relationship between the curve radii, preceding speed environment and the drivers’ observed curve negotiation speeds. Then the observed free speeds can be compared to the safe speed, measured as the function of the design speed at each curve. The relation between speed and crash occurrence is examined by relating the crashes to the difference between observed and safe speed [6].
2.6.1 Roadway design
Motorists may blame roadway design for accidents, but it's rarely the cause. Civil engineers, local governments, and law enforcement agencies all contribute to the design of safe road layouts and traffic management systems. State and federal governments provide guidelines for their construction, with design flexibility to suit local conditions. Roadways are designed by engineers with special consideration given to the following:
2.6.1.1 Hazard visibility
Permanent roadway hazards consist of intersections, merging lanes, bends, crests, school zones, and livestock or pedestrian crossings. Temporary hazards include road construction, parked or disabled vehicles, accidents, traffic jams, and animals.
2.6.1.2 Roadway surfaces
Engineers can use different surfaces (for example, grooved pavement) depending on the environment, traffic speed, traffic volume, and location of the roadway (noise barriers). Roadway markings let drivers know about their ability to pass safely (dotted & double lines), the location of the roadway in inclement weather (reflective cats-eyes & stakes), and where road surface ends and the shoulder begins.
2.6.1.3 Traffic control devices
Traffic light signals, speed limit signs, yield and stop signs, school & pedestrian crossings, turning lanes, police surveillance cameras, and traffic circles or roundabouts.
2.6.1.4 Behavioral control devices
Built-in obstacles that limit the ability of a vehicle to travel, including crash barrels, speed bumps, pedestrian islands, raised medians, high curbing, guard rails, and concrete barriers.
2.6.1.5 Traffic flow
Interstate highways remain the safest roads because their flow of traffic is in one direction. One-way streets ease traffic congestion in city centers as well. Rural two-lane roadways are statistically the most dangerous because of a high incidence of deadly head-on collisions and the difficulty impatient drivers’ face while overtaking slower vehicles.
2.6.1.6 Roadway identification signs
Enable someone without a detailed map to travel from one place to another. They give advance notice of intersections, destinations, hazards, route numbers, mileage estimates, street names, and points of interest.
2.6.1.7 Weather
Inclement conditions can aggravate existing hazards and sometimes create new road surfaces (rain, ice & snow).
2.6.1.8 Poor maintenance
Roadway maintenance also contributes to vehicle accidents, but not to the extent that drivers use it as an excuse. Some potential roadway maintenance that you should be aware of are outlined below:
Debris on the roadway can be a problem, and is the responsibility of local highway departments. Potholes cause a small number of accidents (primarily tire & suspension failures), but the accidents usually occur at low speeds and don't cause many injuries.
2.6.2 Causes of road accidents
Road traffic accidents are the huge strain on national health system. We need to know the basic causes of road accidents in which some causes are as follows
2.6.2.1 Conditions of the roads, road design and layout
Road conditions contribute a great deal towards causing accidents, how fast we drive should commensurate with road conditions. Some roads are notorious for being an accident black spot for a whole variety of reasons. These include alignment, visibility, camber, surface conditions and road markings.
2.6.2.2 Human factors (road users)
The statistics show that 92% of road accidents has been caused by road user WHO infringed the traffic law, for instance driving faster than limited speed, driving carelessly, getting drunk during driving, talking on the phone, texting while driving, violation of traffic rules, reckless driving, overtaking, over speeding, falling asleep, playing music etc.
2.6.2.3 Vehicle defects
Vehicles have caused a road accident because their owner did not properly maintain and regularly inspect the vehicle during the operation. So the road accident occurred when brake failure, tire blowout, power steering failure, headlight failure.
2.6.2.4 Weather conditions
Rain and sometimes heavy fog and dew, especially during early morning and late evening have been reported as being causes of many accidents.
2.6.2.5 Strong light reflections
Reflections of the sun and headlights from oncoming cars have been reported as being the cause of many accidents. The latest white and blinding head lights now currently being used by many vehicles, is yet another source of accidents.
2.6.2.6 Geometric design of roads
Geometric design consistency studies can be used to identify inconsistent sections on highways, which can then be targeted for improvement. Consequently local authorities can make optimal use of available resources and can considerably improve the safety performance of the highway
[2]. The geometric design of the roads is one of the main causes of the road accidents. Accidents do occur, all people point out human, vehicle and traffic as a causal factor of accidents. Those factors are disaggregated in several categories we all need to play a part in designing ways of reducing motor accidents that may be by putting legislations which will bind the drivers and state of vehicles. Inadequate geometric design can lead to severe accidents.
2.6.3Road geometric parameters affecting traffic accidents
No. of Lanes and lane width
Surface condition of road
Marking
Lighting
Guide signs
Median width
Median height
Shoulder width
Horizontal alignment
Vertical alignment
2.7 Accident reduction strategies
We must need to have a knowledge and experience about the accidents reduction strategies. Various road safety strategies are used at different stages of network development. To prevent road accidents mainly involves planning, designing and operation of the road. The most important function is to identify and treatment of hazardous location. Identify the accident prone location using network classifier approaches, highway geometries, traffic characterization and accident frequency.
2.7.1 Crash types [7]
2.7.1.1 Collisions with trees in hazardous location
Probable cause Strategies
Prevent trees from growing in hazardous
location
Develop, revise and implement guidelines to
prevent placing trees in hazardous location.
Eliminate hazardous condition or severity of
the crash
Shield motorists from striking trees.
Modify roadside clear zone in the vicinity of
trees.
Delineate trees in hazardous locations.
Improve or re-design the geometry/layout of
road
Relocation of shoulder.
Installing rumble strips.
Restore super elevation.
Enhance delineation along the curve
Table 2.1Strategies to reduce collisions with trees
2.7.1.2 Right turn head on collision
Probable cause Strategies
Large volume of right turns Create one way street.
Widen road.
Provide right turn signal phases.
Prohibit right turns.
Reroute right turn traffic.
Channelize intersection.
Install stop signs.
Revise signal sequence.
Provide turning guidelines (if there is a
dual right turn lane).
Provide traffic signal (if warranted by
MUTCD).
Restricted sight distance Retime signals and obstacles.
Provide adequate channelization.
Provide a right turn slots.
Install warning signs.
Driver not aware of intersection Install/improve warning signs.
Slippery surface Overlay pavement.
Provide adequate drainage.
Glove pavement.
Provide “slippery when wet” signs.
Inadequate roadway lightening Improve roadway lightening.
Crossing pedestrians Install/improve signing or marking of
pedestrians cross walks.
Poor visibility signals Install warning devices.
Remove obstacles.
Install 12-in signal lenses.
Table 2.2 Strategies to reduce right turn head on collisions
CHAPTER 3
METHODOLOGY
3.1 GENERAL
In order to study the relationship between personal injury accident rates and geometric
design of the road, data had been collected. The primary factor of this investigation was
to correlate the number of accidents per road length with the design characteristics of the
road in order to obtain the information that which geometric parameters are critical.
3.2 METHODOLOGY
The investigation and analysis were carried out in five phases
3.3 DATA COLLECTION
DATA COLLECTION
DATA ANALYSIS
IDENTIFICATION OF BLACK SPOT LOCATIONS
FIELD SURVEY OF THE LOCATIONS
GRAPHICAL & STATISTICAL ANALYSIS
In this project 4 years RTI data was used which was collected from five major hospitals of Karachi. This data was collected by different research assistants present in the emergency department of the hospitals and data was collected to eliminate and reduce accidents and minimize human sufferings due to RTA on the roads of Karachi. An average of almost 30,000 accidents occurred every year.
3.4 DATA ANALYSIS
Data analysis was the process in which data were inspected through different parameters. In this project data was analyzed using pivot tables to identify the rate or number of accidents occurred due to different geometric parameters.
3.5 IDENTIFYING BLACK SPOTS LOCATIONS
When data analysis was completed after that the black spot locations were identified, from the analyzed data location which were having the greatest number of accidents were selected as the black spot location in this way 14 black spot locations were identified, different factors of these roads were identified using Google earth. At each location 0.5 km of the stretch was selected for investigation and field survey. Those black spot locations were:
S.NO LOCATIONS TOTAL NUMBER OF ACCIDENTS
2008 2009 2010 2011 TOTAL
1 Jinnah Bridge 23 44 57 45 169
2 Nursery 0 0 144 0 144
3 2minute Chowrangi 18 0 2 0 20
4 Nagan chowrangi 55 0 0 0 55
5 Tibet Centre 0 48 0 0 48
6 Numaish Chowrangi 0 148 135 183 466
7 Grumandir 0 0 0 128 128
8 Akhter Colony 0 0 19 89 108
9 Singer Chowrangi 0 0 0 29 29
10 Chamra Chowrangi 0 0 0 51 51
11 Siemens Chowrangi 40 0 7 0 47
12 Nazimabad no. 7 54 0 76 0 130
13 Jama Cloth 98 0 0 0 98
14 Under Baloch colony fly over 0 0 0 96 96
Table 3.1 Total number of accidents on locations
3.6 FIELD SURVEY OF THE LOCATION
A field survey of the location was carried out to identify the various geometric parameters of the identified black spot locations. From field survey various factors which were identified:-
Lane width and number of lanes
Number of turnings on road
Wrong way on roads
Speed
Median height
Number of local streets on each road
Conflicting points
3.6.1 Lane width and number of lanes
Lane width and number of lanes were identified by field survey of the location. Lane width was measured during the field survey by theodolite. Lane width was a very important factor in determining the rate of accidents due to geometric parameter.
3.6.2 Number of turnings on road
Number of turnings can be defined as the number of approaches on the roads, which means vehicle coming from one stream of road can turn into how many directions or vehicle can be, merged and diverged in how many directions. Number of turnings can be very critical therefore a number of turnings on 0.5 km of stretch were also observed during the field survey of the locations.
3.6.3 Wrong way on roads
Vehicle movements were also observed during the field survey of the black spot locations, it was observed that almost on every location there was wrong way traffic movement such as taking wrong way movement from U-turns, service roads, main roads and etc.
3.6.4 Speed
Speed can be a very important factor that can cause accidents. Speed was also measured during the field survey with a speed gun, speed of every vehicle such as truck, car, bus, motor bike, truck, auto and its were noted and after that average speed of every vehicle for every location was calculated.
3.6.5 Median height
The median was measured to find the glare effect of vehicle during night time. Median height was measured with the help of measuring tape during the field survey of the locations.
3.6.6 Number of local streets on each road
Numbers of local streets were also observed in the field survey of the location, because the number of local streets approaching main roads can cause accidents such as there can be sight obstruction, illegal movements, wrong way movements etc.
3.6.7 Conflicting points
Conflicting points of the roads were also observed during the field survey of the black spot locations, single stream of road can have one or more than one conflicting points and that can be a cause of accidents.
3.7 GRAPHICAL AND STATISTICAL ANALYSIS
In graphically and statistically, the relationship between geometric factors and the number of accidents was studied to find out which geometric factors have high impact on the number of accidents. For evaluation of the graphical technique simple method was used in a number of accidents were dependent variables while geometric factors were independent variables and for statistical evaluation chi square method was used.
CHAPTER 4
SUMMERIES OF BLACK SPOT LOCATIONS
4.1 2 MINUTE CHOWRANGI
Fig. 4.1 showing google image of 2 minute chowrangi
4.1.1 Road inventory
Road type: two way road
Road width: 12’-2”
Median width: 17’-1”
Median height: 9”
No. of lanes: 4
No. of turnings: 0
4.1.2 Traffic behavior
Traffic contains car, rickshaw, buses, bikes and heavy vehicles were also observed in the
location. It was an upstream road with the average speed of car of 39 km/hr. Speed of
vehicles was estimated by speed gun and these were the following maximum speed of
each vehicle observed in the location.
Speed of car: 35 km/hr
Speed of truck: 47 km/hr
Speed of bus: 40 km/hr
Speed of rickshaw: 33 km/hr
Speed of bike: 42 km/hr
4.1.3 Possible causes of accidents
Due to small radius of U-turn, heavy vehicles such as bikes, suzuki or buses were having
problem in turning due to which the traffic flow was disturbed. There was a grade
separation at the U-turn. There was a critical wrong way on the U-turn and one of its legs
was elevated. It was also observed by the surveying team that some trees on the median
of the U-turn, which played a major role in sight obstruction. The surface conditions
were also not good due to the presence of ditches on the surface.
Fig. 4.2 showing small radius of U-turn
4.1.4 Vehicles taking Wrong ways
The above figure shows that Wrong way of vehicles and trees which were causing sight
obstruction leads to severe accidents.
Fig. 4.3 showing wrong way at U-turn
4.1.5 Elevated U-turn
During surveying this elevated and sharp U- turn was probably observed the main cause
of accidents. This turn possesses the sloppiness as with the sharp turn, which leads the
most of the bike riders to get a slip and caused severe accidents.
Fig. 4.4 showing elevated U-turn & wrong way
4.2 CHAMRA CHOWRANGI
Fig. 4.5 showing google image of chamra chowrangi
4.2.1 Road inventory
Road type: two way road
Road Width: 43’
Median width: 38’-3”
Median Height: 9”
Number of lanes: 4
Number of turnings: 12
4.2.2 Traffic behavior
At chamra chowrangi it was captured that traffic flow rate was high and heavy vehicles
like trucks, trawlers were mostly observed, as well buses, bikes cars were also involved
in the traffic flow. During road surveying it was captured on video that there was no lane
discipline due to the absence of markings. The average speed at the location was
estimated to be 34 km/hr. These were the following maximum speed of each vehicle
observed in the location.
Speed of car: 35 km/hr
Speed of truck: 42 km/hr
Speed of bus: 29 km/hr
Speed of rickshaw: 32 km/hr
Speed of bike: 35 km/hr
4.2.3 Possible causes of accidents
During surveying it was observed that vehicles were coming frequently from wrong way
which may create chances of fatal accidents and as well as serious accidents due to heavy
vehicles. as shown in the given below figures
Fig. 4.6 showings near misses accident
Fig. 4.7 showing wrong way Fig. 4.8 showing heavy traffic movement
And the possible point of collision was the wrong way by vehicles and also the absence
of traffic signal and police at the intersection, also it is clearly seen that due to the
absence of lane markings no traffic discipline was observed and the absence of footpaths
and pedestrian encroachment increases and pedestrian movement is severely affected.
Fig. 4.9 and 4.10 showing no lane marking on road
4.3 JAMA CLOTH
Fig. 4.11 showing google image of jama cloth
4.3.1 Road inventory
Road type: two way road
Road Width: 3’
Median width: 3’
Median Height: 1’
Number of lanes: 3
Number of turnings: 10
4.3.2 Traffic behavior
It was observed that there was a continuous flow of traffic from all the three legs. There
was a lot of confusion in the traffic at the intersection point. Also the traffic mix included
buses, auto rickshaws, cars, and bikes, trucks and even a camel cart containing barrels
was also observed. There was also no lane discipline. As the speed was observed with the
aid of speed of the gun, the average speed was estimated to be 24 km/hr. These were the
following maximum speed of each vehicle observed in the location.
Speed of car: 30km/hr
Speed of bus: 20 km/hr
Speed of rickshaw: 20 km/hr
Speed of bike: 31 km/hr
Fig. 4.12 showing traffic mix Fig. 4.13 showing animal cart crossing road
4.3.3 Possible causes of accidents
There was confliction point between the traffic coming from Numaish and traffic coming
from tower due to wrong way as shown in given below figures .The possible point of
collision was captured that the point where traffic from all sides were meeting and
colliding at the same time closer view of the area was taken there was no noticeable
channelization present due to which wrong way was frequently observed on the location
there was no traffic signal or lane markings were seen and these factors were highly
affecting on the flow of traffic and probably became the cause of accidents
Fig. 4.14 showing rickshaw going the wrong way Fig. 4.15 showings near miss conflict
4.4 JINNAH BRIDGE
Fig. 4.16 showing google image of Jinnah bridge
4.4.1 Road inventory
Road type:
Upper ramp: two way
Down ramp: two way
Road width: 12ft
Median height: 1ft.
Median width: 6inches
No. of lane: 2
No.of turning: 0
4.4.2 Traffic behaviour
It was observed by the project team that traffic movement consists of all types of vehicle
car, buses, rickshaw, and truck but the heavy vehicle movement was founded more as
compared to other vehicle movement. There was no lane marking at downramp and upper
ramp of the Jinnah Bridge due to which lane discipline was poor observed.
4.4.3 Possible causes of accidents
4.4.3.1 Upper ramp
As the project team carried out the survey of Jinnah to find out what is the main cause of
the traffic accidents, the upper ramp of the Jinnah bridge was very higher in slope and no
surface friction that caused the greater number of the accidents, also the humidity in the
atmosphere of the Jinnah bridge was affecting the surface conditions.
4.4.3.2 Down ramp
At the down ramp of Jinnah bridge many geometric parameters were observed which
were directly affected on the traffic flow. as the down ramp was greater in slope with
unsuitable median width i.e. 6 inches also the skid resistance , speed breaker and surface
condition (ditches) were highly affecting on traffic flow and might lead to the traffic
accidents.
4.5 SINGER CHOWRANGI
Fig. 4.17 showing google image of singer chowrangi
4.5.1 Road inventory
Road type: two way road
Road width: 40’
Median width: 47’
Median height : 1’
No. of lane: 3’
No. of turnings: 9
4.5.2 Traffic behavior
While surveying it was observed by the project team that heavy vehicle movement was
higher in rate as compared to the presence of other vehicles (cars, buses, rickshaws,
bikes). There was no lane discipline due to the absence of lane markings. No wrong way
or pedestrian movement was observed. Through the speed gun these were the following
maximum speeds of each vehicle estimated on the location.
Speed of car: 35 km/hr
Speed of truck: 47 km/hr
Speed of bus: 40 km/hr
Speed of rickshaw: 33 km/hr
Speed of bike: 42 km/hr
Fig. 4.18 & 4.19 showing heavy vehicle movement
4.5.3 Possible causes of accidents
By road surveying it was captured that the possible point of collision of vehicles was an
absence of street lights, traffic signs, lane markings which were affecting on lane
discipline as the road comprised of heavy traffic movement and might lead to the severe
accidents. As from the below captured figure it can be clearly seen that road consists of
heavy traffic vehicle movement and the absence of lane marking affecting on lane
discipline.
Fig. 4.20 & 4.21 showing absence of lane marking
Fig. 4.22 & 4.23 showing absence of street lights
As the road of chamra chowrangi is located in industrial area due to which the traffic
flow of heavy vehicle movement is used to seem at every time (dawn, day, dusk and
dark) hence the absence of street lights might directly affect on the driver while driving in
the dark.
4.6 Under Baloch Colony Fly Over
Fig. 4.24 Showing google image of under baloch colony fly over
4.6.1 Road inventory
Road type:
Upstream: one way road
Downstream: one way road
Road width: 12’
Median width: 1’
Median height: 9”
No. of lanes: 4
No. of turnings: 0
4.6.2 Traffic behavior
4.6.2.1 Upstream
At the upstream, the road was one way road .There was a heavy mix of traffic which
included car, bus, truck, bike, rickshaw .The road was well lane marked and well lane
disciplined was observed of the traffic flow, as far apart of speed estimation over
speeding was mostly seemed by vehicles. The maximum speed of vehicles was 51 km per
hour.
4.6.2.1 Downstream
At the downstream of the Baloch colony fly over, the road was coming from the nursery.
It is a one way road. Traffic mix included car, buses, truck, bike rickshaw, well lane
marking was observed on the downstream road due to which lane discipline was well
maintained. However vehicle over speeding was not found in downstream of under
Baloch colony flyover. The maximum speed was 48 km per hour.
Fig. 4.25 showing traffic mix
4.6.3 Possible causes of accidents
By looking at the traffic condition and the available geometric design, it was observed
that high speed was the main cause of accidents, which might affect the peoples who
were crossing roads becauseOver speeding forced the people to run, and cross the road
which may lead to accidents. It was also observed while surveying that people were
facing problems in crossing the road due to the fancies present on the median as the
pedestrian bridge .As shown in the figures below
Fig. 4.26 showing wrong uses of fences
Fig. 4.27 showing people crossing the road
4.7 AKHTER COLONY
Fig. 4.28 showing google image of akhter colony
4.7.1 Road inventory
Road type: Two way road
Road width:36’
Median Width:3’9”
Median Height:6”
No. of lane:3
No. of turnings:11
4.7.2 Traffic behavior
Traffic contains car, rickshaw, buses, bikes and heavy vehicles were also observed at the
location. Road of Akhtar colony was poor in lane discipline because of the absence of the
lane marking. As with the regard of speed, road traffic flow rate average speed was 32
km/hr. Speed of vehicles was estimated by speed gun and these were the following
maximum speed of each vehicle observed in the location.
Speed of car: 35 km/hr
Speed of truck: 28 km/hr
Speed of bus: 36 km/hr
Speed of rickshaw: 29 km/hr
Speed of bike:34 km/hr
4.7.3 Possible causes of accidents
The main causes of accidents found during surveying was over speeding of vehicles and
the wrong ways taking of the vehicles. On the road no traffic signal was properly
allocated and due to the absence of lane markings most of the vehicles found overtaking
with the high speeds which might lead to accidents.
4.8 GURUMANDIR
Fig. 4.29 showing google image of grumandir
4.8.1 Road inventory
Road type: two way road
Road Width: 48’
Median width:4’
Median Height: 1”
Number of lanes:4
Number of turnings: 11
4.8.2 Traffic behavior
It was observed that there was a continuous flow of traffic from all the four legs,. Also
the traffic mix included buses, auto rickshaws, cars, and bikes, trucks and even a camel
cart .There was also no lane discipline. As the speed was observed with the aid of speed
of the gun, the average speed was estimated to be 33 km/hr. These were the following
maximum speed of each vehicle observed in the location.
Speed of car: 52km/hr
Speed of bus:43 km/hr
Speed of rickshaw: 35 km/hr
Speed of bike:25km/h
4.8.3 Possible causes of accidents
After the surveying it was estimated that Gurumandir was having high over speeding,
many ditches were found on the road surface which mostly affect on bike riders and
cause fatalities, with this it is also observed that absence of not properly working traffic
signal on the road leads to the wrong way as there was lot of vehicles movement
confusion as shown in given below figure
4.9 NAGAN CHORANGI
Fig. 4.30 showing google image of nagan chowrangi
4.9.1 Road inventory
Road type: Two way road
Road width:
o Upstream:60’
o Downstream:70’ (this road also contain 2 lane of nagan chorangi flyover)
Median Width:39’
Median Height:10”
No. of lanes:5
No. of turnings
o At upstream:- Left turning:5 Right turning:1
o At downstream:- Left turning:3
o U-Turn=1
Pedestrian Bridge: 2 (one bridge at nagan chorangi ,another pedestrian bridge is
0.32 km away, near Bi Amman park)
4.9.2 Traffic behavior
As the nagan chorangi surveyed the traffic mix contains all types of vehicles, car, buses,
truck, and bikes. The location was poor in lane discipline because of the absence of lane
markings, and with the regard of speed observed, over speeding was found in traffic flow.
The average maximum speed estimated with the help of speed gun of vehicles was
27km/hr and these are the following speeds of each vehicle estimated while surveying.
Speed of car: 34 km/hr
Speed of truck: 30 km/hr
Speed of bus: 17 km/hr
Speed of rickshaw: 30 km/hr
Speed of bike:36 km/hr
Fig. 4.31 Showing no lane marking on roads
4.9.3 Possible causes of accidents
The possible causes of accidents were observed on road
Encroachment
Parking of vehicle on road
As the U-turn provided on the location it was observed sharp and sloped with the sight
obstruction i.e. trees on u turn which might causing accidents, also many vehicles
observed taking wrong at the downstream which might lead to the severe accidents.
Fig. 4.32 showing sight obstruction Fig. 4.33 showing wrong way
As from the above figures it is clearly seen that trees were the cause of sight obstruction
at u-turn and in fig vehicles taking wrong ways might lead to clash.
4.10 NAZIMABAD #7
Fig. 4.34 Showing google image of nazimabad#7
4.10.1 Road inventory
Road type: one way road
Road width: 40’
Median width: -
Median height :-
No. of lane: 3’
No. of turnings:16
4.10.2 Traffic behavior
While surveying it was observed by the project team that heavy vehicle movement was
higher in rate as with the presence of other vehicles (cars, buses, rickshaws, bikes).There
was no lane discipline due to the absence of lane markings, as regard to the speed the
maximum speed observed on the road was 33km/hr. These were the following speed of
each vehicle.
Speed of car: 28 km/hr
Speed of truck: 34 km/hr
Speed of bus: 40 km/hr
Speed of rickshaw: 33 km/hr
Speed of bike:40 km/hr
Fig. 4.35 showing traffic mix
4.10.3 Possible causes of accidents
The main cause of accidents was found under the bridge due to rounding and the absence
of traffic signal as seen in the figure given below
Fig. 4.36 & 4.37 Showing traffic flow
Also with this wrong way was also found on the roundabout and the surface condition of
the road was poor as the ditches found on the road surface which leads the bike riders to
meet with the accidents
Fig. 4.38 showing surface condition Fig. 4.40 showing wrong way
4.11 NUMAISH
Fig 4.41 showing google image of numaisha
4.11.1 Road inventory
Road type: two way road
Road Width: 48’
Median width:3”
Median Height: 10”
Number of lanes:4
Number of turnings: 8
4.11.2 Traffic behavior
It was observed that there was a continuous flow of traffic from all the four legs,. Also
the traffic mix included buses, auto rickshaws, cars, and bikes, trucks and even a camel
cart .There was also no lane discipline. As the speed was observed with the aid of speed
of gun, the average speed was estimated to be 28 km/hr. These were the following
maximum speed of each vehicle observed on the location.
Speed of car: 34km/hr
Speed of bus: 23km/hr
Speed of rickshaw: 24km/hr
Speed of bike:30km/hr
Fig. 4.42 showing traffic mix
4.11.2 Possible causes of accidents
After the surveying it was estimated that road traffic flow was confused due to not
properly working traffic signal also the wrong way was also observed from service lane
present on the upstream of the road which might lead the vehicle to clash with the traffic
coming from numaish road.
Fig. 4.43 showing improper working of signal
Fig. 4.44 showing traffic coming from service lane
4.12 SIMIENS CHORANGI
Fig. 4.45 showing google image of simiens chowrangi
4.12.1 Road inventory
Road type: two way road
Road width: 12’-2”
Median width: 17’-1”
Median height: 9”
No. of lanes: 3
No. of turnings:9
4.12.2 Traffic behavior
While surveying it was observed by the project team that heavy vehicle movement was
higher in rate as the Siemens chowrangi is located in industrial area, other vehicle
movement (cars, buses, rickshaws, bikes) was also observed. There was no lane
discipline due to the absence of lane markings. No pedestrian footpaths were found on
the road. As regards to speed the maximum speed found to be 23km/hr through the speed
gun these were the following maximum speeds of each vehicle estimated on the location.
Speed of car: 20 km/hr
Speed of truck: 22 km/hr
Speed of bus: 25 km/hr
Speed of rickshaw: 24 km/hr
Speed of bike:24 km/hr
Fig. 4.46 showing heavy vehicle movement Fig. 4.47 showing no footpaths
4.12.3 Possible causes of accidents
During surveying road found to be unchannelized road which might lead to the wrong
way accidents, on the other hand unavailability of pedestrian footpath causes severe
accidents as the road is comprised of heavy traffic might hit to the pedestrians and can
cause minor fatalities.
Fig. 4.48 showing wrong way Fig. 4.49 showing unavailability of footpaths
In the given below figure other cause of the accident is also indicated that is absence of
street lights which most probably causes accidents in the dark.
Fig. 4.50 showing absence of street light
4.13 TIBET CENTER
Fig. 4.51 showing a google image of Tibet center
4.13.1 Road inventory
Road type: two way road
Road Width: 48’
Median width:2’
Median Height: 6”
Number of lanes:3
Number of turnings: 10
4.13.2 Traffic behavior
It was observed that there was a continuous flow of traffic from all the four legs,. Also
the traffic mix included buses, auto rickshaws, cars, and bikes, trucks and even a camel
cart .There was also no lane discipline. As the speed was observed with the aid of speed
of the gun, the average speed was estimated to be 23 km/hr. These were the following
maximum speed of each vehicle observed in the location.
Speed of car: 20km/hr.
Speed of bus:18 km/hr.
Speed of rickshaw: 21 km/hr.
Speed of bike:25km/hr.
Fig. 4.52 & 4.53 showing Traffic mix
4.13.3 Possible causes of accidents
After the surveying it was estimated that Tibet Centre road surface was poor in condition,
many ditches were found on the road surface which mostly affect on bike riders and
cause fatalities, with this it is also observed that absence of not properly working traffic
signal on the road leads to the wrong way as there was lot of vehicles movement
confusion as shown in given below figure
Fig. 4.54 showing road surface Fig. 4.55 Showing improper working of signal
4.14 NURSERY
Fig. 4.56 showing google image of nursery
4.14.1 Road inventory
Road type: Two way road
Road width
Upstream=35’
Downstream=43’
Median Width=22’
Median Height=1’
No. of lane=4
No of turnings:0
Pedestrian Bridge:- 2
4.14.2 Traffic behavior
4.14.2.1 Upstream
At the upstream, the road was one way road .There was a heavy mix of traffic which
included car, bus, truck, bike, rickshaw .The road was well lane marked and well lane
disciplined was observed of the traffic flow, as far apart of speed estimation over
speeding was mostly seemed by vehicles. The maximum speed of vehicles was 42 km per
hr.
Speed of car: 52 km/hr
Speed of truck: 40 km/hr
Speed of bus: 42 km/hr
Speed of rickshaw: 33 km/hr
Speed of bike:48 km/hr
4.14.2.2 Downstream:
At the downstream. It is a two way road. Traffic mix included car, buses, bike,
well lane marking was observed on the downstream road due to which lane
discipline was well maintained. However vehicle over speeding was not found on
downstream .The maximum speed was 32 km per hr.
Speed of bus: 22 km/hr
Speed of car: 38 km/hr
Speed of bike:39 km/hr
4.2 Possible causes of accidents
By looking at the traffic condition and the available geometric design, it was observed
that high speed was the main cause of accidents with this the condition of the road
was also poor ditches were found which mostly affect on bike riders.
Fig. 4.57& 4.58 showing ditches found on the road
With this the other causes found no lights under the flyover which might lead to the
fatalities in dark,also the surveying team observed the sight obstruction on rood that is
tree as the road was quite elevated and the trees in the coming upstream were acting
as sight obstruction.
Fig. 4.59 & 4.60 showing sight obstruction
CHAPTER 5
GRAPHICAL AND STATISTICAL ANALYSIS
5.1 EFFECT OF NUMBER OF LANES
5.1.1 Effect of number of lanes on average rate of accidents
5.1.1.1 Graphical analysis
LANE 2 LANE 3 LANE4 0
20
40
60
80
100
120
AVERAGE ACCIDENTS RATE
NON-FATALFATAL
lane
accid
ents
Graph 5.1b/w no. lanes&average rate accidents
Table 5.1shows average rate of accidents with respect to no. of lane
The graph above shows that the average rate of accidents is dependent on the number of
lanes. The rate of accidents is increasing with the increasing number of lanes, the
accident rate was higher in lane 4 but fatality seems to be decreasing, the proportion of
fatal accidents was lower in lane 4 as compared to lane 2. If the vehicle is moving with
No. of Lanes
AverageFatal
AverageNon-Fatal
Total
Lane 2 2.25 29.25 31.5
Lane 3 1.5 41.9 43.4
Lane 4 2.0325 109.89 111.9225
the same speed on lane 2, lane 3 and lane 4 the accident rate will be higher on lane 4 as
compared to lane 2 and lane 3 but on the contrary rate of fatal accidents will be lower in
lane 4 and this estimate will be based on the traffic flow and volume.
There can be a numerous potential moderator variable that can affect the relationship
between the number of lane and accident rate such as:-
Roads with narrow lanes will have often lower speed limit and lower speed is
mostly associated with the lower accident rate.
A decrease in lane width in combination with an increase in the number of lanes
is mostly associated with an increase in accident rate, especially at junctions.
Effect of lane widening may differ on curved and straight roads. Lane widening is
found to reduce accident rates at curved roads, but to increase accidents on
straight sections.
When the lanes are wider they allow overtaking, hence increase in accident rate
5.1.1.2 Statistical analysis
Chi square test was performed for statistical analysis and it was found from the analysis
that the average rate of accidents is dependent on the number of lanes.
5.1.1.3 Discussion
From both graphical analysis and statistical analysis it can be concluded that there is a
significant relationship between the average rate of accidents and number of lanes. In
order to control these accidents wider lanes should be provided for large vehicles, there
should be no sight obstruction or danger on the road and road surface should be in good
condition.
5.1.2 Effect of number of lanes on average rate of accidents at intersection
5.1.2.1 Graphical analysis
LANE 2 LANE 3 LANE4 0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
AVERAGE RATE OF ACCIDENTS AT INTERSECTION
INTERSECTION(NON-FATAL)INTERSECTION(FATAL)
lane
acci
dnet
s
Graph 5.2 b/w no. of lanes &average rate of accidents at intersection
Table 5.2 shows the average rate of accidents at intersection & no. of lanes
The graph above shows that the average rate of non-fatal accidents at intersections is
dependent on the number of lanes. Intersection is the most complex section of the road.
The complexity arises as the entire vehicle must share the right of way through the
intersection, and as a result the conflict occurs among the user. Poor visibility is an
important factor contributing in accidents at intersection. Obstruction on the road can also
cause drivers to see each other very late, sharp turns, lower and higher points in the
roadway also decrease the line of sight. In addition many geometric design features and
traffic control features may be implemented at an intersection, adding complexity. Safety
problem at the intersection can be left-turn lanes, right-turn lanes, channelization,
intersection skew angle, sight distance, approach width, number of approach lanes,
median type and width, pedestrian facilities and bicycle facilities.
No. of Lanes
Intersection(Fatal) Intersection(Non-Fatal)
Lane 2 0.5 6Lane 3 2.3 42.6Lane 4 0.91 69.08
5.1.2.2 Statistical analysis
Chi square test was performed for statistical analysis and it was found from the analysis
that the average rate of non-fatal accidents at an intersection are dependent on the number
of lanes.(hypothesis 5)
5.1.2.3 Discussion
From both graphical analysis and statistical analysis it can be concluded that there is a
significant relationship between the average rate of accidents at an intersection and the
number of lanes. In order to control such accidents signals should be installed at
intersections, properly channelized and sight triangle should be there so that the driver
can witness the traffic or vehicle coming from other directions.
5.1.3 Effect of number of lanes on average rate of accident due to time
5.1.3.1 Graphical analysis
LANE 2 LANE 3 LANE4 0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
1.2
1.4
1.6
AVERAGE RATE OF ACCIDENT DUE TO TIME (FATAL)
DawnDay LightDuskDark
lane
acci
dent
s
Graph 5.3 b/w no. of lanes & average rate of fatal accidents due to time
Table 5.3 shows the average rate of fatal accidents due to time & no. of lanes
No. of Lanes Dawn Day Light
Dusk Dark
Lane 2 0.75 1.5 0.75 1Lane 3 0 1 0.4 1.1Lane4 0.625 0.645 0.4375 0.208
LANE 2 LANE 3 LANE4 0
10
20
30
40
50
60
AVERAGE RATE OF ACCIDENT DUE TO TIME (NON-FATAL)
DawnDay LightDuskDark
lane
acci
dent
s
Graph 5.4 b/w no. of lanes & average rate of non-fatal accidents due to time
Table 5.4 shows the average rate of non-fatal accidents due to time& no. of lanes
The graph above shows that the average rate of both fatal and non-fatal accidents due to
time is dependent on the number of lanes. The rate of accidents will be higher at day
light, then dart, then dusk and will have the least number of accidents at dawn time for
both fatal and non-fatal accidents. The rates of accidents are higher at day time because
the volume of the traffic flowing at this time will be higher and the higher number
flowing traffic volume will cause overtaking, over speeding and the wrong ways
movement of traffic thus this will increase the rate of the accidents. At dark besides the
problem of overtaking, over speeding and wrong way the major problem of sight
obstruction will also occur, at night due to sight obstruction some time the approaching
road or traffic approaching on that particular road are not clearly visible. At dusk and
dawn the rate of accidents is lower because at that time the volume of the traffic flowing
was very less, but due to less volume of the traffic on the road drivers will do the
overtaking and wrong way this can cause the accidents.
No. Of Lanes Dawn Day Light
Dusk Dark
Lane 2 1.25 19.75 5.5 11.25Lane 3 2 24.1 9.3 12.9Lane4 7.6 54.833 17.18 29.667
5.1.3.2 Statistical analysis
Chi square test was performed for statistical analysis and for this factor two analysis were
performed and the result of both analyses are as follows
1. No. of lanes are dependent on total no. of accidents but the combination of time of accidents and the number of lanes is significantly independent. (hypothesis 1)
2. No. of lanes are independent of non fatal daylight accidents.(hypothesis 2)
5.1.3.3 Discussions
From the statistical analysis is concluded that there is no significant relationship between
the average rate of both fatal and non-fatal accidents due to time and the number of lanes.
Therefore, in this case accident are not directly affected by the number of lanes
5.1.4 Effect of number of lanes on average accident rate due to victims and vehicle
5.1.4.1 Graphical analysis
LANE 2 LANE 3 LANE4 0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
3.5
4
4.5
AVERAGE ACCIDENT RATE OF VICTIMS (FATAL)
Driver of 2wheelersPillion PassengerDriver of 4WheelersPassengerPedestrian
lane
acci
dent
s
Graph 5.5 b/w no. of lanes & average rate of fatal accidents due to victims
No. of Lanes
Driver Of 2wheelers
Pillion Passenger
Driver Of 4wheelers
Passenger Pedestrian
Lane 2 2.5 4 0 0 0.75
Lane 3 0.6 0 0.2 0.2 0.9
Lane4 0.5833 0.208 0 0 1.29
Table 5.4 shows the average rate of fatal accidents due to victims &no.of lanes
LANE 2 LANE 3 LANE4 0
10
20
30
40
50
60
AVERAGE RATE OF ACCIDENT OF VICTIM (NON-FATAL)
Driver of 2wheelersPillion PassengerDriver of 4WheelersPassengerPedestrian
lane
acci
de
nts
Graph 5.6 b/w no. of lanes & average rate of non-fatal accidents due to victims
Table 5.6 shows the average rate of non-fatal accidents due to victims&no.of lanes
LANE 2 LANE 3 LANE4 0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
3.5
4
4.5
AVERAGE RATE OF ACCIDENT DUE TO VEHICLE (FATAL)
MotorbikeMini VanBusTruckBicycleCarTaxiRickshawOther
lane
acci
dent
s
Graph 5.7 b/w no. of lanes & average rate of fatal accidents due to vehicle
No. of Lanes
Driver Of 2wheelers
Pillion Passenger
Driver Of 4wheelers
Passenger Pedestrian
Lane 2 21.75 8.5 0.75 3.75 2.5Lane 3 26.8 9.6 0.9 4.4 7.7Lane4 53.01 18.04 1.22 8.43 26.6
Table
5.7 shows the average rate of fatal accidents due to vehicle &no.of lanes
LANE 2 LANE 3 LANE4 0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
AVERAGE RATE OF ACCIDENT DUE TO VEHICLE (NON-FATAL)
MotorbikeMini VanBusTruckBicycleCarTaxiRickshawOther
lane
acci
den
ts
Graph 5.8 b/w no. of lanes & average rate of non-fatal accidents due to vehicle
No. of Lanes
Motorbike Mini Van
Bus Truck Bicycle Car Taxi Rickshaw Other
Lane 2 32.75 0.75 0.25 0.75 0 1 1 0 4.25Lane 3 39.5 0.6 4.4 0 0.3 0 1 0 3.6Lane4 82.22 1.14 3.854 0.833 0.541 0.4166 7.79 0 5.52
Table 5.8 shows the average rate of non- fatal accidents due to vehicle &no.of lanes
The graph above shows that the average rate of both fatal and non-fatal accidents due to
the victim and vehicle are dependent on the number of lanes. As bar chart shows that the
rate of pillion passenger on lane 2 is higher as compared to other lanes because of the
narrow width of a road or can be slope and skid resistance which causes the fatal
accidents. After the pillion passenger it can be seen from the graph that 2 wheelers are
also facing accidents on 2 lane roads. Hence it is clear from here that road width should
No. of Lanes
Motorbike
Mini Van
Bus Truck Bicycle Car Taxi Rickshaw Other
Lane 2 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.5Lane 3 0.8 0 0.8 0 0 0 0.2 0.1 0.6Lane4 1.208 0.125 0.125 0 0 0 0 0 0.4166
be designed according to the traffic flow if the traffic flow is higher than roads should be
widened with proper lane marking so it may not causes fatal crashes.Similarly in non-
fatal accident graph two wheeler accident rates is higher on every lane (lane 2, lane 3,
lane 4).while lane 4 causing more non-fatal accidents because of the wide width of roads
and this lead the 2 wheeler to ride fast and overtake .hence this can be controlled by
constructing roads according to the design speed which may reduce the 2 wheeler and
motor bike speed on lane 4 roads.
5.1.4.2 Statistical analysis
Chi square test was performed for statistical analysis and for this factor two analysis were
performed and the result of both analyses is as follows
1. No. of lanes are dependent on driver of two wheeler accidents for non fatal
accidents (hypothesis 3).
2. No. of lanes are dependent on motorbike accidents for non fatal(hypothesis 4).
5.1.4.3 Discussion
From graphical analysis and statistical analysis it is concluded that there is a significant
relationship between the non fatal accidents of driver of two wheeler and non fatal
accidents of motor bike with the number of lanes. Therefore, in order to prevent from
such accidents surface condition should be improved because there are many bikes slips
every day and wearing helmet should be compulsory for 2 wheeler driver.
5.2 EFFECT OF SPEED
5.2.1 Effect of speed on average rate of accidents due to victim and vehicle
5.2.1.1 Graphical analysis
BELOW 30 ABOVE 300
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
1.2
1.4
1.6
AVERAGE ACCIDENT RATE OF VICTIM (FATAL)
Driver of 2wheelersPillion PassengerDriver of 4WheelersPasenger Pedestrian
speed
accid
ents
Graph 5.9 b/w speed & average rate of fatal accidents due to victim
Table 5.9 shows the average rate of fatal accidents due to victim & speed
BELOW 30 ABOVE 300
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
AVERAGE ACCIDENT RATE OF VICTIM (NON-FATAL)
Driver of 2wheelers Pillion PassengerDriver of 4WheelersPasenger Pedestrian
speed
acci
dent
s
Graph 5.10 b/w speed & average rate of nonfatal accidents due to the victim
Speed Driver Of
2wheelers
Pillion Passeng
er
Driver Of
4wheelers
Passenger
Pedestrian
Below 30
0.5 0 0.166667
0.333333
0.611111
Above 30
1.125 0.5 0 0 1.34375
Table 5.10 shows the average rate of nonfatal accidents due to victim & speed
BELOW 30 ABOVE 300
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.8
2
AVERAGE ACCIDENT RATE DUE TO VEHICLE (FATAL)
MotorbikeBusTaxi RickshawSPEED
speed
acci
dent
s
Graph 5.11 b/w speed & average rate of fatal accidents due to the vehicle
Speed Motorbike
Mini Van
Bus Truck Bicycle Car Taxi Rickshaw
Other
Below 30
0.444444 0 0.666667
0 0 0 0 0 0.388889
Above 30
1.875 0.125 0.125 0 0 0 0.125 0.0625 0.5625
Table 5.11 shows the average rate of fatal accidents due to vehicle & speed
Speed Driver Of 2wheelers
Pillion Passenge
r
Driver Of 4wheelers
Passenger
Pedestrian
Below 30
47.05556 17.05556 1.055556 8.5 15.55556
Above 30
37.28125 12.3125 1.09375 5.28125 20.0625
BELOW 30 ABOVE 300
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
AVERAGE ACCIDENT RATE DUE TO VEHICLE (NON-FATAL)
Other Bus Taxi Mini VanTruckBicycleCar Rickshaw
speed
acci
dent
s
Graph 5.12 b/w speed & average rate of nonfatal accidents due to the vehicle
Table 5.12 shows the average rate of nonfatal accidents due to vehicle & speed
The graph above shows that the average rate of both fatal and non-fatal accidents due to
the victim and vehicle are dependent on the speed. As it can be seen from the 1 stgraph
that pedestrians are mostly involved in fatal accidents from the vehicle speed of above
30km/hr, because as the vehicle coming at high speed and the people crossing the road,
their time of crossing road does not match with the coming speed of the vehicle. While
during the survey of roads it is seen that pedestrian bridges are also provided but people
are not using it as the pedestrian bridges are constructed far away from the bus stops or
from where the most of the people used to cross roads. So the pedestrian bridges must be
constructed after ascertaining locations where more people are crossing roads and hence
after this bridge must be provided on the suitable location and according to the need.
It can be also seen from the graph that 2 wheeler accidents after pedestrian accidents are
greater in number because the bikes used to ride at high speeds or just to overtake other
Speed Motorbike Mini Van
Bus Truck Bicycle Car Taxi Rickshaw Other
Below 30
66.55556 0.777778
5.722222
0.277778
0.388889
0.055556
2.722222
0 5.444444
Above 30
61.09375 1.03125
2.34375
0.71875
0.4375 0.5 6.5 0 4.21875
vehicles and then meet to the accidents. Hence the road should be constructed according
to the design speed.as the road design depends on the lane width, no. of lanes, shoulder
width presence and the cars parked at the edge of the road.
5.2.1.2 Statistical analysis
Chi square test was performed for statistical analysis and for these factors three analyses
were performed and the result of analyses is as follows
1. The average speed is independent of the fatal accidents of driver of two
wheeler(hypothesis 7)
2. The average speed is independent of the non fatal accidents of driver of two
wheeler(hypothesis 7)
3. The average speed is independent of the fatal accidents due to motorbike
(hypothesis 8).
5.2.1.3 Discussion
From the statistical analysis is concluded that there is no significant relationship between
the average rate of both fatal and non-fatal accidents due to the two wheeler victim and
motor bike vehicle with the speed. Therefore, in this case accident are not directly
affected by the speed.
5.2.2 Effect of speed on accidents due to time
5.2.2.1 Graphical analysis
BELOW 30 ABOVE 300
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
1.2
AVERAGE RATE OF ACCIDENTS DUE TO TIME (FATAL)
DawnDay Light DuskDark
speed
accid
ents
Graph 5.13 b/w speed & average rate of fatal accidents due to time
Table 5.13 shows the average rate of fatal accidents due to time & speed
BELOW 30 ABOVE 300
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
AVERAGE RATE OF ACCIDENT DUE TO TIME (NON-FATAL)
Day Light Dark Dusk Dawn
speed
accid
ents
Graph 5.14 b/w speed & average rate of nonfatal accidents due to time
Speed Dawn Day Light Dusk DarkBelow 30 4.22222 44.27778 13.66667 27.22222
Speed Dawn Day Light Dusk DarkBelow 30 0 0.611111 0.166667 0.777778Above 30 0.71875 1 0.65625 0.4375
2Above 30 5.84375 39.15625 13.4375 18.71875
Table 5.14 shows the average rate of nonfatal accidents due to time & speed
From the graph of fatal accidents the number of fatal accidents is greater in daylight
because of the high speed (greater than 30km/hr.) as in the daylight most of the want to
reach on their destinations on time hence this lead them to drive fast and causes an
accident. This may happen because of the non-suitable road width for large volume
traffic or because of the absence of lane markings. Roads must be designed according to
the traffic volume flow. If the traffic flow on a particular road is higher road width should
be provided according it, also lane markings should be provided. Separate lanes must be
marked according to the 2 wheeler, 4 wheeler vehicles. After the day light accidents, it is
observed that serious crashes occurred in dark times, at the speed of below 30 and also
above 30.this may mostly happen due to the absence of lightening poles on the roads.
Usually on many site area roads and other roads heavy vehicle flow is greater in the
darkness and the absence of clear view due to shortage of lightening causes fatal and non-
fatal accidents. Hence by providing proper lightening poles and also signs about the
speed limits of the road, upcoming hazards, curves in the road or navigation information
can save the drivers for many fatal and non-fatal accidents.
5.2.2.2 Statistical Analysis
Chi square test was performed for statistical analysis and for this factor two analyses
were performed and the result of analyses is as follows
1. The average speed is independent of fatal accidents due to daylight (hypothesis 9).
2. The average speed is independent of nonfatal accidents due to daylight(hypothesis
10).
5.2.2.3 Discussions
From the statistical analysis is concluded that there is no significant relationship between
the average rate of both fatal and non-fatal accidents due to daylight time with the speed.
Therefore, in this case accident are not directly affected by the speed
5.3 EFFECT OF CONFLICTING POINTS
5.3.1 Effect of conflicting points on victim
5.3.1.1 Graphical analysis
1 TO 10 11 TO 20 21 TO 30 31 TO 400
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
AVERAGE RATE OF ACCIDENTS OF VICTIM (NON-FATAL)
Driver of 2wheelers Pillion Passenger Driver of 4WheelersPassengerPedestrian
NO. OF CONFLICTING POINTS
ACC
IDEN
TS
Graph 5.9 b/w no. of conflicting points & average rate of nonfatal accidents of the victim
Table 5.9 showing the average rate of nonfatal accidents due to victims &no.of conflicting points.
The graph above shows that the average rate non-fatal accidents due victim is dependent
on the number of conflicting points. In this case of the type of victim involved in the
accident, it is observed that the number of drivers of two wheelers and the passenger is
increasing as the number of conflicting points is gradually increasing. This is due to the
Conflicting Points
Driver Of 2wheeler
s
Pillion Passenger
Driver Of 4wheeler
s
Passenger
Pedestrian
1 To 10 49.85 17.04 1.04 7.18 21.1611 To 20 41 22 1 9 2321 To 30 29 6 2 10 431 To 40 27.93 9.125 0.9375 4.18 14.37
reason that as the conflicting points are increasing, there is an increase in the speed of the
vehicle due to the increase in the number of lanes. Therefore the driver of two wheeled
vehicles and passengers are both suffered from the accidents on intersection and due this
they are the greatest affected in both the fatal and non-fatal accidents. In the case of non-
fatal accidents, the driver of two wheelers are also affected, however the driver of four
wheelers is the least suffered as four wheeled vehicles such as the cars and busses mostly
travel in a single lane with comparatively less speed and overtaking and consequently
decreasing the number of nonfatal accidents.
5.3.1.2 Statistical analysis
Chi square test was performed for statistical analysis and it was found from the analysis
that the average rate of nonfatal accidents of driver of two wheeler is dependent on the
number of conflicting points(hypothesis 6).
5.3.1.3 Discussion
From graphical analysis and statistical analysis it is concluded that there is a significant
relationship between the non fatal accidents of driver of two wheeler with a number of
conflicting points. Therefore, in order to prevent from such complex accidents protective
barriers should be provided and the proper sight triangle should be provided at an
intersection so that the coming vehicle can witness the motorbikes coming from any
direction.
5.4 EFFECT OF LOCAL SREETS
5.4.1 Effect of local streets on average rate of accidents of victim and vehicle
5.4.1.1 Graphical analysis
1 to 5 6 to 10 11 to 150
10
20
30
40
50
60
AVERAGE RATE OF ACCIDENTS OF VICTIM
Driver of 2wheelersPillion PassengerDriver of 4WheelersPassengerPedestrian
number of local streets
acci
dent
s
Graph 5.10 b/w no. of local streets & average rate of nonfatal accidents of the victim
No. of Local Street
Driver Of 2wheelers
Pillion Passenger
Driver Of 4wheelers
Passenger Pedestrian
1 To 5 25.375 7.25 1.375 6.875 3.256 To 10 48 15.375 1.625 8.25 33.511 To 15 42.2 15.6 0.73 5.8125 14.16
Table 5.10 shows the average rate of nonfatal accidents of victims & number of local streets.
1 to 5 6 to 10 11 to 150
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
AVERAGE RATE OF ACCIDENTS DUE VEHICLE
MotorbikeMiniVanBusTruckBicycleCarRickshaw
number of local streets
acci
de
nts
Graph 5.11 b/w no. of local streets & average rate of accidents due to vehicle
No. of Motorbike Mini Bus Truck Bicycle Car Rickshaw Other
Local Street
Van
1 To 5 68 2 6 0 0 2 2 116 To 10 60 1 3 0 1 10 1 711 To 15 129 4 9 1 2 6 3 8
Table 5.11 shows the average rate of nonfatal accidents due to vehicle & number of local streets.
In the above given graph it can be clearly seen that accidents rate of motorbikes are
highest on local streets, this is because, most probably motorbike riders take short-cut
approach to reach on their destinations and most of them overtake or use wrong ways
while using local streets and cause fatal or non-fatal accidents.
5.4.1.2 Statistical analysis
Chi square test was performed for statistical analysis and it was found from the analysis that number of local streets is independent of pillion passenger accidents but is dependent on motorbike accidents (hypothesis 11).
5. 4.1.3 Discussion
In order to prevent motorbike riders from accidents service lanes must be provided
between local streets and roads, of suitable widths in order reduce accidents.
It can be also observed from the graph that pedestrians are mostly meeting to accidents;
this is because as the vehicles take wrong ways or drive with speed above 30 miles/hour
and hit the pedestrians or most of the time causes severe accidents. However to prevent
pedestrians, wrong ways should be stopped or by also providing pedestrian footpaths
accidents on local streets can be reduced.
5.4.2 Effect of local streets on average rate of accidents due to wrong way
5.4.2.1 Graphical analysis
1 to 5 6 to 10 11 to 150
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
AVERAGE RATE OF ACCIDENT DUE TO WRONG WAY
wrong way
number of local streets
acci
de
nts
Graph 5.12 b/w no. of local streets & average rate of accidents due to wrong way
Table 5.12shows the average rate of accidents due to the wrong way& number of local streets.
The above graph illustrates the relationship between no. of local streets with accidents
due to wrong way. The accident rate increases with the increase in local streets on a road.
Greater no. of local streets provides greater chances of wrong way movements.
5.4.2.2 Statistical analysis
Chi square test was performed for statistical analysis and it was found from the analysis that the number of local streets is independent of accidents due to wrong way (hypothesis 12)
5.4.2.3 Discussion
From the statistical analysis it is concluded that there is no significant relationship
between the average rate of both fatal and non-fatal accidents and a wrong way.
Therefore, in this case accident is not directly affected by the wrong way.
No. of Local Street Wrong Way1 To 5 2.36 To 10 411 To 15 7.11
5.5 EFFECT OF NUMBER OF TURNINGS
5.5.1 Effect of number of turnings on time of accidents
5.5.1.1 Graphical analysis
1 TO 5 6 TO 100
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
AVERAGE RATE OF ACCIDENTS DUE TO TIME (FATAL)
DawnDay LightDusk Dark
number of turnings
acci
dent
s
Graph 5.13 b/w no. of turnings & average rate of fatal accidents due to time
Table 5.13shows the average rate of
fatal accidents due time& number of tunings.
1 TO 5 6 TO 100
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
AVERAGE RATE OF ACCIDENTS DUE TO TIME ( NON-FATAL)
DawnDay LightDusk Dark
number of turnings
acci
dent
s
Graph 5.14 b/w no. of turnings & average rate of non fatal accidents due to time
NO. OF TURNINGS
Dawn Day Light
Dusk Dark
1 TO 5 0.325 0.516667
0.2 0.416667
6 TO 10 0 0.625 0.25 0.75
NO. OF TURNINGS
Dawn Day Light
Dusk Dark
1 TO 5 4.016667
30.075 10.4 15.90833
6 TO 10 1.25 17.375 8.625 11.25Table 5.14 shows the average rate of fatal accidents due time& number of tunings.
The above graph shows the increase in road accidents with the increasing number of turnings with respect to the different times of the day. It is observed from the graph that the greatest number of accidents is the highest in the dark as compared to other times and it increased as the number of turnings has increased. This is due to the fact that at night, the vehicles entering an arterial could not see the traffic due to the absence of street lights and run into the vehicle which is approaching from behind or collide with the vehicle which is coming from the wrong way. Also during the day, as there are more number of vehicles using the road, and consequently the wrong way vehicles are more, there are a greater number of accidents. Furthermore, at dusk time, as the road is fairly clear, the vehicles coming from a local street just rush into the arterial traffic without giving any warning signals such as horns and end up with a collision.
In order to control these accidents, traffic lights should be placed at each turning of the arterial accompanied with mirrors so that the vehicle approaching the arterial could see the vehicle which is heading towards the turning point and vice versa. Also both the vehicles should show warning when approaching the meeting point.
5.5.1.2 Statistical analysis
Chi square test was performed for statistical analysis and it was found from the analysis that the number of turnings is independent of accidents time (hypothesis 13)
5.5.1.3 Discussion
From the statistical analysis it is concluded that there is no significant relationship
between the average rate of both fatal and non-fatal accidents due to time on a number of
turnings. Therefore, in this case accident is not directly affected by the number of
turnings.
5.5.2 Effect of number of turnings on time of accidents
5.5.2.1 Graphical analysis
1 TO 5 6 TO 100
10
20
30
40
50
60
AVERAGE RATE OF ACCIDENT AT INTERSECTIONS
FATAL INTERSECTIONNON-FATAL INTERSECTION
number of turnings
acci
dent
s
Graph 5.15 b/w no. of turnings & average rate of accidents at intersection
NO. OF TURNINGS
FATAL INTERSECTION
NON-FATAL INTERSECTION
1 TO 5 1.183333333 54.416666676 TO 10 1.5 23
Table 5.15 shows the average rate of accidents at an intersection& number of tunings
The graph above shows that the average rate of accidents at intersections are dependent on the number of turnings. If there are less number of turnings at the intersection there are possible chances of wrong way that can cause serious accidents. Turnings should be provided at appropriate interval
5.5.2.2 Statistical analysis
Chi square test was performed for statistical analysis and it was found from the analysis that the number of turnings is dependent of accidents at intersection (hypothesis 14)
5.5.2.3 Discussion
From the statistical analysis it is concluded that there is a significant relationship between
the average rate of accidents at intersections on a number of turnings. Therefore, in order
to avoid such accidents turnings should be provided at appropriate interval.
5.6 EFFECT OF MEDIAN HEIGHT
5.6.1 Effect of median height on average rate of accidents
5.6.1.1 Graphical analysis
6" 9" 10"0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
AVERAGE RATE OF ACCIDENTS
Average No. of Accidents
median
acci
de
nts
Graph 5.16 showing relationship between median height and average number of accidents
Median Height
Average No. of Accidents
6" 3.8333333339" 3.7510" 6.687512" 8.64583333315" 20
Table 5.16 shows average no. of accidents with respect to median height
The above graph shows that the number of accidents is dependent on the median height.
The rate of accidents is increasing with the increasing median height.
5.6.1.2 Statistical analysis
Chi square test was performed for statistical analysis and it was found from the analysis
that the average rate of accidents is dependent on the median height.
5.6.1.3 Discussion
From both graphical analysis and statistical analysis it can be concluded that there is a
significant relationship between the average rate of accidents and median height. In order
to control these accidents, street lights should be placed to provide a better view of the
ongoing traffic. Also mirrors should be placed at the turning points so that the traffic
coming from the back could be sighted. Another approach to reduce accidents due to
increased median heights is the application of cat-eyes on the medians or to add some
greenery to the median so that it becomes distinguished from the drive way.
5.6.2 Effect of median height on motorbike accidents
5.6.2.1 Graphical analysis
6" 9" 10" 12" 15"0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
AVERAGE RATE OF ACCIDENTS DUE TO MOTORBIKE
F MotorbikeN.F Motorbike
median height
acci
den
ts
Graph 5.17 showing relationship between median height and motorbike accidents
Median Height F Motorbike N.F Motorbike6" 1 9.259" 2.5 10.510" 0 29.512" 0 27.1666715" 0 66
Table 5.17 shows accidents of motorbike with respect to median height
The above graph shows that as the median height is increasing the percentage of fatal
accidents involving motorbikes are increasing at a lower rate whereas this trend is absent
in case of non fatal motorbike accidents.
5.6.2.2 Statistical analysis
Chi square test was performed for statistical analysis and it was found from the analysis
that the median height is dependent on motorbike accidents (for non fatal) but
independent for motorbike accidents (for fatal).
5.6.2.3 Discussion
From both graphical analysis and statistical analysis it can be concluded that there is a
significant relationship between the average motorbike accidents (for non fatal) and
median height. These accidents occur as the increased height of the median cause sight
obstruction for the motorbike traveler due to which he could not see other vehicles
coming in the way when taking a turn, and a result a head on collision may result.
5.6.3 Effect of median height on victims
5.6.3.1 Graphical analysis
N.F Driver Of 2wheelers
N.F Pillion Passenger
N.F Driver Of 4wheelers
N.F Passenger N.F Pedestrian0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
average rate to accidents due to victim
6"9"10"12"15"
median height
acci
de
nts
Graph 5.18 showing relationship between median height and victims accidents
Median Height
N.F Driver Of 2wheelers
N.F Pillion Passenger
N.F Driver Of 4wheelers
N.F Passenger
N.F Pedestrian
6" 5.583333 2.583333 0.166666667 0.75 2.1666679" 3.25 0.75 0.75 1 6.7510" 18 6.666667 0.333333333 2 8.16666712" 16.16667 5.166667 0.333333333 1.833333 10.4166715" 34 15 1 6 24Table 5.18 shows victims accidents with respect to median height
5.6.3.2 Statistical analysis
Chi square test was performed for statistical analysis and it was found from the analysis
that the median height is dependent on accidents of driver of two wheeler, pillion
passenger and pedestrian but independent of driver of 4 wheeler and passenger (for non
fatal accidents).
5.6.3.3 Discussion
From both graphical analysis and statistical analysis it can be concluded that there is a
significant relationship between the victims (for non fatal) and median height. In order to
control these accidents, the drivers of two wheelers should decrease their speed at the
conflicting points or should take a longer radius in order to avoid collision with the traffic
approaching the particular lane. Also the pedestrians should take advantage of the
pedestrian bridge in order to cross the particular road.
5.6.4 Effect of median height on accidents at mid block
5.6.4.1 Graphical analysis
6" 9" 10" 12" 15"0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
AVERAGE RATE OF ACCIDENTS AT MID BLOCK
F Mid BlockN.F Mid Block
median height
acci
de
nts
Graph 5.19 showing relationship between median height and accidents at midblock
Median Height F Mid Block N.F Mid Block 6" 1.25 11.25 9" 2.5 12.510" 0 34.8333312" 0.333333 34.2515" 0 80
Table 5.19 shows accidents at midblock with respect to median height
This graph is showing that the number of the non fatal accidents at the midblock
locations is consequently increasing with the increase in median height at the particular
location. However there is no effect of increase on median height on fatal accidents.
5.6.4.2 Statistical analysis
Chi square test was performed for statistical analysis and it was found from the analysis
that the median height is dependent on accidents at midblock of road (for non fatal
accidents) but independent of fatal accidents at midblock.
5.6.4.3 Discussion
From both graphical analysis and statistical analysis it can be concluded that there is a
significant relationship between the accidents at midblock and median height. In order to
control these accidents street lights should be provided so that the vehicles have a clear
view of the traffic in the opposite lanes. Also there should be a sign indicating reduced
speed at the point where there is a turn.
5.6.5 Effect of median height on accidents of motorbike and bus
5.6.5.1 Graphical analysis
6" 9" 10" 12" 15"0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
AVERAGE RATE OF ACCIDENTS DUE TO MOTORBIKE (NON- FATAL)
N.F MotorbikeN.F Bus
median height
acci
de
nts
Graph 5.20 showing relationship between median height and accidents of motorbike and bus
Median Height N.F Motorbike N.F Bus6" 9.25 0.59" 10.5 0.510" 29.5 0.66666712" 27.16667 0.66666715" 66 9
Table 5.20 shows accidents of motorbike and bus with respect to median height
5.6.5.2 Statistical analysis
Chi square test was performed for statistical analysis and it was found from the analysis
that the median height is dependent on accidents due to motorbikes and bus but
independent of the minivan, truck, bicycle, taxi rickshaw and other vehicles (For non
fatal).
5.6.5.3 Discussion
From both graphical analysis and statistical analysis it can be concluded that there is a
significant relationship between the average rate of accidents of motorbikes/bus and
median height. In order to control these accidents the drivers of the motorbikes and the
bus should take great care when taking a U turn or when they merge into a lane. Also
there should be a separate path for the vehicles which has taken a U turn in which they
could properly mix with the running traffic in order to avoid any accidents.
5.6.6 Effect of median height on accidents of motorbike and bus
5.6.6.1 Graphical analysis
6" 9" 10" 12" 15"0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
AVERAGE RATE OF ACCIDENTS DUE TO TIME (NON-FATAL)
N.F DuskN.F Day LightN.F DawnN.F Dark
median height
acci
de
nts
Graph 5.21 showing relationship between median height and time of accident (non fatal)
Median Height
N.F Dusk N.F Day Light N.F Dawn N.F Dark
6" 2.416667 4.333333 0.666667 3.833333 9" 5.5 4.25 2 0.7510" 6.5 19.33333 0.833333 812" 5 17.75 1.666667 9.83333315" 13 42 4 21
Table 5.21 shows time of accident (non fatal) with respect to median height
The above graph is showing the increase in non fatal accidents with respect to the time of
the day in which it is observed that the average number of accidents occurring in the
daylight is the highest due to the highest road occupancy of vehicles during the daytime.
This trend can also be observed at the dusk because those vehicles which are using the
road at the dusk usually drive with high speed due to comparatively vacant road way due
to which they could not decrease the speed to avoid collision with the other road user.
Also the accidents occurring at night time is higher due to the darkness of the road when
taking U-turn which create a sight obstruction with the traffic of the opposite lane.
5.6.6.2 Statistical analysis
Chi square test was performed for statistical analysis and it was found from the analysis
that the median height occurs depends on accidents at dusk, day and dark time but
independent of accidents occur at dusk time (for non fatal) but the median height is
independent of time (fatal accidents)
5.6.6.3 Discussion
From both graphical analysis and statistical analysis it can be concluded that there is a
significant relationship between the time of accidents and median height. In order to
control these accidents, the vehicles running in daylight and dusk should maintain a
medium speed and should not rush in more traffic times and to allow pedestrian
passenger to cross the road if there is no overhead bridge nearby. Also the roads should
be provided with street lights at the night time and with cat-eyes in order to reduce traffic
accidents at the darkest hours.
CHAPTER 6
CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS
6.1 GENERAL CONCLUSIONS
1. This project identified critical highway geometric design elements in terms of road
traffic accidents and investigated the frequency and severity level of each of the
identified critical geometric design elements.
2. The project provided a basis for the importance of engineering design for highway
safety.
3. In specific terms clear identification of critical geometric design elements causing
road traffic accidents is achieved. A strong association between adverse road
geometry and traffic accident's occurrence has been recognized and in order to
achieve this, the statistically significant relationships between road accidents and
road geometric design has been identified rather extensively for specific roadway
and roadside features.
6.1.1 Key findings
1. There is a strong relationship between road traffic accidents and road geometry.
2. Among some of the parameters analyzed in the study, there is a highlighting
correlation between the number of accidents and the number of lanes on a particular
road section and also with the number of conflicting points.
3. This relationship can be visualized by small road surveys with the help of easy and
hand equipped survey tools and techniques.
4. This relationship can be determined by carrying out chi square tests and also can be
modeled by simple regression analysis.
6.1.2 Major outcomes
1. Establishment of statistical relationships between road accidents and road geometric
design parameters.
2. Development of a methodology for the evaluation of the causes of road accidents on
the black spot areas of the city.
3. Determinations of safety margins for the road safety and;
4. Proposing recommendations for road geometric design standards.
6.2 RECCOMMENDATIONS
In this project the relation between the black spot road accidents and the geometric design of
roads in Karachi has been valuated with the help of statistical analysis methods. Apart from
this method, there are numerous techniques for the determination of fundamental
relationships between road geometric design parameters and road design:
a) This method can be improved by introducing an automatic tool for modeling vehicle
evaluation at critical locations based on artificial vision techniques. This tool and
methodology of vehicle evolution models and their derivatives could be used to
imply clear improvements to the currently used safety methods. The project research
domains can be made extensive to any other kind of critical points such as
acceleration and deceleration lanes and weaving links even to the urban environment
with a greater number of factors considered.
b) In further studies Geometric design consistency studies can be used to identify
inconsistent sections on highways, which can then be targeted for improvement.
Consequently local authorities can make optimal use of available resources and can
considerably improve the safety performance of the highway.
c) The study outcomes can be transformed into the forecasting model relating the curve
radii, preceding speed environment and the drivers’ observed curve negotiation
speeds. Then the observed free speeds can be compared to the safe speed, measured
as the function of the design speed at each curve. The relation between speed and
crash occurrence is examined by relating the crashes to the difference between
observed and safe speed.
REFERENCES:
1. Elena Diaz and Alfredo Garcia. Vehicle tracking in black spots using artificial vision
techniques in order to improve road geometric design standards.
2. P Watters, M O’Mahony, Trinity College Dublin, IE. The relationship between geometric
design consistency and safety on rural single carriageways in Ireland
3. Handbook of transportation science (Operation research) by Randolph W.Hall
4. Road transport and intermodal linkages (Research programme safety strategies by
organization for economic co-operation and development 1999 edition)
5. A policy on geometric design of highway and streets (2004 5th edition American
association of state highway and transportation officials)
6. Shane Turner, Beca Infrastructure Ltd and Christchurch, Fergus Tate, MWH, Wellington:
Relation between road geometry, observed travel speed and rural accidents, NZ
Transport Agency Research Report 371
7. Principles of traffic and highway engineering
APPENDIX
APPENDIX A
ROAD TRAFFIC INJURY RESEARCH AND PREVENTION CENTRE
ONSITE ROAD ACCIDENT INVESTIGATION FORM
Accident Reference#:
Date of accident: ----------------------------
Day:
Time of Accident: -------------------- Reported Hospital: ----------------------------
Arrived by: ---------------------------- Details: -------------------------------------------
Location of Accident: ---------------- Name of the Road: ----------------------------
Town: ----------------------
Traffic Zone: ---------------------- Traffic Section: --------------------------------
Area Police Station: ---------------------- Occupation: ------------------------------------
------------------------------------
------------------------------------
------------------------------------
Global Positioning:
Latitude: ------------------- Longitude: --------------------------------------
1) VICTIMS WERE: 2) AGE OF DRIVERS/ RIDERS:
Su M T W Th F S
Fata
l
Injure
d
Passenger
Driver
Pedestrian
Rider
Pillion Rider
Unknown
Total no of
casualties
Vehicle 01
Vehicle 02
Vehicle 03
Vehicle 04
3) TYPE OF ACCIDENT--- COLLISION WITH:
Single Vehicle Acc.
Two vehicles
More than two vehicles
Pedestrian
Animal
Train
Bicyclist
Parked vehicle
Other Object (not fixed)
Property/vehicle damage
COLLISION WITH FIXED OBJECT:
Utility pole/Light Support
Crash Cushion
Sign Post
Signal Standard
Tree
Building/Wall
Curbing
New Jersey/concrete/traffic barrier
Fence
Guard rails
Bridge Structure
Footpath
Median-Not at End
Median- End
Temporary barriers
Earth Embankment/Rock cut/Ditch
Fire/ Water Hydrant
Other fixed Object
NO COLLISION:
Overturned
Fall from vehicle
Fire/Explosion
Submersion
Run Off Roadway Only
Jackknife
Others
4) Total No of vehicles involved in accident: ----------------------
5) VEHICLE (s) involved in Accident:
1. Motorbike2. Mini
Van/Coaster
3. Bus/Mini Bus/
Coach4. Truck
5.Push
Cart
6. Taxi 7. Car8. Water/Oil
Tanker
9. Emergency
Vehicle
10.
Rickshaw
11.Animal driven
Vehicle12. Dumper 13. Trailer
14. Loading
Pickup
15.
Bicycle
16. Others
If loaded Vehicle, Loaded with: ----------------------
Vehicle owned by: ----------------------
Route No: ----------------------
6) VEHICLE
REGISTRATION MARK:
Vehicle 01
Vehicle 02
Vehicle 03
Vehicle 04
7) PEDESTRIAN /BICYCLIST ACTION:
Walking/ riding in road way with traffic
flow
Walking/riding in roadway against traffic
flow
In cross walk
Median
Island
Side walks
Not in available Cross walk
Cross walk not available
Emerging from in front of/ behind parked
vehicle
Standing in roadway
Pushing or working on vehicles in roadway
Other working on road
Playing on road
Not in roadway
Alighting/ boarding from the vehicle
Lying
Crossing road
8) USE OF RESTRAINT
DEVICES:
Yes No
Helmet
Seat belt
Others
Others
Unknown
9) COLLISION TYPE:
10) ROAD CATEGORY:
Locals
Collectors
Arterials
Residential
Specify Name:
Industrial
Specify name:
Rear end
Overtaking
Left turn
Right angle
Right turn
Head on
Sideswipe
Express ways
11) LOCATION DETAIL:
11.1) Along or Across (Name of street or route)
FROM --------------------
TO -------------------------
NEAR BY LAND MARKS: ---------------------------------------
11.2) VEHICLE MOVEMENT PRIOR TO COLLISION:
Vehicle
No.
TOWARD
S N
TOWARDS
S
TOWARDS
W
TOWARDS
E
Road name
1
2
3
Going Straight Ahead
Slowing in Traffic Way
Stopped in Traffic Way
Making Left Turn
Making Right Turn
Making U Turn
12) WEATHER CONDITIONS:
Rain
Clear
Fog
Cloudy
Drizzling
Sunny
Overtaking/Passing
Changing Lanes
Driving wrong way
Loss of Control
Negotiating a Curve
Backing
Avoiding
Veh/Obj/Animal/Ped
Entering Parking Position
Leaving Parking Position
Properly parked
Improperly Parked
Driverless moving vehicle
Others
Unknown
Blowing
sand/dirt
Other
13) LIGHT CONDITIONS:
Daylight
Dawn
Dusk
Dark
Other
14) STREET LIGHTS:
Available
Not Available
14.2) If Available:
Working
Not Working
15) ACCIDENT OCCURRED AT:
Intersection
Bridge
Overpass
(Flyover)
Underpass
Straight Road
Low Road
Median
Road side
Shoulder
Parking lot
Drive-Through
Gore
U Turn
Other
15.1) IF ACCIDENT OCCURRED AT
INTERSECTION:
Type of intersection:
None
Four way
Intersection
T intersection
Cross over
Five point or
more
Off ramp
Y intersection
Traffic circle/
roundabout
Others
Name of intersecting Roadways ---------
15.2) IF NOT AT INTERSECTION:
Name of nearest street -----------------------
16) NUMBER OF LANES (Each Direction):
1 2 3 4 5 6 None
17) TRAFFIC WAY DESCRIPTION: 18) TYPE OF MEDIAN:
Raised Median
One way
traffic
Two way,
undivided
Two way
divided,
unprotected
Two way
divided with
median
barrier
Others
Unknown
19) TRAFFIC CONTROL DEVICES:
Traffic signals
Working Not
working
Traffic Signs
Lane marking
Rumble strips
Cat eyes
Unknown
Others
None
20) If Traffic Signs are present then,
Warning Signs
Prohibitory Signs
Mandatory Signs
21) ROAD CHARACTER:
22) ROAD SURFACE:
Concrete
Asphalt
Gravel
Dirt
Straight and level
Straight and on
slope
Straight and on
hilltop
Curve and level
Curve and on
slope
Curve and on
hilltop
Other
23) ROAD SURFACE CONDITIONS:
Dry
Wet (water)
Wet ( Oil)
Water (standing)
Fine Sand/ Mud
Slush
Other
24) ROAD/ ENVIRONMENT APPARENT
CONTRIBUTING FACTORS:
Pot holes
Debris
Cracks on the road (road distresses)
Inadequate marked signs or road
markings
Vision affected by road layout
Pavement Slippery
Physical obstruction
Stopped/ parked vehicle
Moving vehicle
Load on vehicle
26) VEHICLE APPARENT
CONTRIBUTING FACTORS:
Accelerator defective
Steering failure
Brakes defective
Headlights defective
Other lighting defects
Tire failure
Mirrors/ wipers
Suspension
Wind shield/ windows
Improper loading/ unloading
Trees/ shrubs/ bushes
Work zone
Traffic control devices improper/ non
working
Animal’s action
Glare (sunlight)
Glare (headlight)
Others
Others
25) HUMAN APPARENT
CONTRIBUTING FACTORS:
27) IMMEDIATE CAUSES:
Unleveled manholes
Open manholes
Invisible speed barkers
Wrong way driving
Sudden application of brakes
Risky/ vandalism/ adventure/ racing
Over speeding
Road Crossing
Overtaking/lane jumping
Fall (Descending / Ascending/Moving)
On turning
Vehicle fault/Brake Failure/Tyre burst
Drug Addict/Drunk Driving
Drive fatigue/ Drowsy
Fell asleep
Loss consciousness
Drinking or drugs
Alcohol involvement
Driver caught after hitting
Driver run after hitting
Failure to yield Right-of-way
Failure to obey traffic signals
Failure to obey stop signs
Improperly parked
Sudden starting or stopping the vehicle
Backing unsafely
Negotiating curve
Not watching road
Improper judgment
Mobile or other distractions
Novice driver
Careless,reckless,thoughtless or in a
hurry
Following too close
Exceed speed limit
Lack of knowledge
Lack of adequate training
Aggressive driving
Lack of judgment of own path
30) CRASH DIAGRAM Indicate North Arrow
31) NARRATIVE (Describe what happened):
SUGGESTIONS/ RECOMMENDATIONS GIVEN BY SENIOR STAFF:
27) IMMEDIATE CAUSES:
Unleveled manholes
Open manholes
Invisible speed barkers
Wrong way driving
Sudden application of brakes
Risky/ vandalism/ adventure/ racing
Over speeding
Road Crossing
Overtaking/lane jumping
Fall (Descending / Ascending/Moving)
On turning
Vehicle fault/Brake Failure/Tyre burst
Drug Addict/Drunk Driving
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Name & Signature
------------------------
Dated: -------------------------------
Data Entered by: ------------------------
Filled by: ----------------------------------
Investigated by: --------------------------
APPENDIX B
TOTAL NUMBER OF ACCIDENTS OF YEAR 2008
1. Age Group:
2.
Gender:
3. Patient:
Location Of Accidents
Fatal
Patient WasDriver Of
2wheelersPillion
PassengerDriver Of
4wheelersPassenger Pedestrian
2 Minute Chowrangi
0 0 0 0 0
Location Of Accidents
Fatal Serious
Age Group Age Group0-10
11-20
21-30
31-40
41-50
>50 0-10
11-20
21-30
31-40
41-50
>50
2 Minute Chowrangi
0 0 0 0 0 01 02 03 09 01 02 02
NaganChowrangi 0 0 0 0 0 0 02 18 20 09 02 04At Nazimabad 7 Signal
0 0 01 0 0 0 03 16 18 11 03 02
At Siemens Chowrangi
0 0 04 0 01 0 0 06 22 10 01 02
Jama Cloth 0 0 0 0 0 0 04 25 38 13 08 08Jinnah Bridge 0 0 01 0 0 02 02 06 07 07 02 02
Location Of Accidents Fatal SeriousGender Gender
Male Female Male Female2 Minute Chowrangi 01 0 16 03
NaganChowrangi 0 0 43 12At Nazimabad 7 Signal 01 0 48 05At Siemens Chowrangi 05 0 42 0
Jama Cloth 0 0 86 10Jinnah Bridge 03 0 24 02
NaganChowrangi 0 0 0 0 0
At Nazimabad 7 Signal
01 0 0 0 0
At Siemens Chowrangi
02 0 0 02 01
Jama Cloth 0 0 0 0 0
Jinnah Bridge 01 01 0 0 01
Location Of Accidents
Serious
Patient WasDriver Of 2wheelers
Pillion Passenger
Driver Of 4wheelers
Passenger Pedestrian
2 Minute Chowrangi
11 03 0 0 05
NaganChowrangi 25 13 01 07 09
At Nazimabad 7 Signal
29 15 01 02 06
At Siemens Chowrangi
20 06 02 10 04
Jama Cloth 41 22 01 09 23
Jinnah Bridge 15 06 01 0 04
4. Vehicle involved:
Location Of Accidents Fatal
Vehicle Involved
Motorbike Mini Van
Bus Truck
Bicycle Car Taxi Rickshaw
Other
2 Minute Chowrangi 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
NaganChowrangi 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
At Nazimabad 7 Signal
01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
At Siemens Chowrangi
01 0 02 0 0 0 0 0 02
Jama Cloth 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Jinnah Bridge 02 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 01
Location Of Accidents SeriousVehicle Involved
Motorbike
Mini Van
Bus Truck Bicycle Car Taxi Rickshaw Other
2 Minute Chowrangi 18 01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0NaganChowrangi 44 01 02 0 01 0 05 0 02At Nazimabad 7
Signal47 0 02 0 03 0 01 0 0
At Siemens Chowrangi
29 0 07 0 0 0 0 0 06
Jama Cloth 78 0 11 0 0 0 03 0 04Jinnah Bridge 22 0 0 0 0 01 01 0 09
5. Location detail:
Location Of Accidents Location Detail
Fatal Serious
Intersection Mid Block Intersection Mid Block
2 Minute Chowrangi 01 0 18 01NaganChowrangi 0 0 54 01
At Nazimabad 7 Signal 01 0 51 02At Siemens Chowrangi 05 0 42 0
Jama Cloth 0 0 18 80Jinnah Bridge 01 02 10 13
6. Time of accident:
Location Of Accidents Fatal SeriousDusk Day Light Dawn Dark Dusk Day Light Dawn Dark
2 Minute Chowrangi 01 0 0 0 02 11 03 03NaganChowrangi 0 0 0 0 09 17 05 24
At Nazimabad 7 Signal 0 01 0 0 07 30 04 12At Siemens Chowrangi 0 02 0 03 11 17 01 13
Jama Cloth 0 0 0 0 08 45 06 37Jinnah Bridge 0 02 0 01 04 17 0 04
TOTAL NUMBER OF ACCIDENTS OF YEAR 2009
1. Age Group:
Location Of Accidents
Fatal Serious
Age Group Age Group0- 11- 21- 31- 41- >50 0- 11- 21- 31- 41- >50
10 20 30 40 50 10 20 30 40 502 Minute Chowrangi
0 0 0 0 0 01 02 03 09 01 02 02
NaganChowrangi 0 0 0 0 0 0 02 18 20 09 02 04At Nazimabad 7 Signal
0 0 01 0 0 0 03 16 18 11 03 02
At Siemens Chowrangi
0 0 04 0 01 0 0 06 22 10 01 02
Jama Cloth 0 0 0 0 0 0 04 25 38 13 08 08Jinnah Bridge 0 0 01 0 0 02 02 06 07 07 02 02
2. Gender:
3. Patient:
Location Of Accidents
Fatal
Patient Was
Driver Of 2wheelers
Pillion Passenger
Driver Of 4wheeler
s
Passenger Pedestrian
2 Minute Chowrangi 0 0 0 0 1
Golimar Chowrangi 0 0 0 1 0
Jinnah Bridge 2 1 0 0 0
Kala Pul Korangi Road
0 0 0 0 0
Numaish Ma Jinnah Road
1 0 0 0 0
Location Of Accidents Fatal SeriousGender Gender
Male Female Male Female2 Minute Chowrangi 0 1 37 7
Jinnah Bridge 3 0 41 0Numaish Ma Jinnah Road 1 0 123 24Tibet Centre Ma Jinnah
Road2 0 42 4
Tibet Centre Ma Jinnah
0 0 1 0 0
Location Of Accidents
Serious
Patient Was
Driver Of 2wheelers
Pillion Passenger
Driver Of 4wheeler
s
Passenger Pedestrian
2 Minute Chowrangi 24 9 1 3 6
Golimar Chowrangi 20 9 0 5 6
Jinnah Bridge 26 12 1 1 0
Kala Pul Korangi Road
19 12 0 2 10
Numaish Ma Jinnah Road
71 24 0 19 25
Tibet Centre Ma Jinnah
25 8 0 2 7
4. Vehicle Involved:
Location Of Accidents Fatal
Vehicle Involved
Motorbike Minivan Bus Truck Bicycle Car Taxi Rickshaw Other
2 Minute Chowrangi 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Golimar Chowrangi 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
Jinnah Bridge 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Kala Pul Korangi Road 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Numaish Ma Jinnah Road 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Tibet Centre Ma Jinnah Road 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 00
Location Of Accidents Serious
Vehicle Involved
Motorbike Minivan Bus Truck Bicycle Car Taxi Rickshaw Other
2 Minute Chowrangi 39 2 3 0 0 0 0 0 1
Jinnah Bridge 39 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 2
Numaish Ma Jinnah Road
117 6 5 1 0 2 3 0 7
Tibet Centre Ma Jinnah Road
38 0 6 0 0 0 1 0 3
5. Location Detail:
Location Of Accidents Fatal SeriousLocation Detail Location Detail
Intersection Mid Block Intersection Mid Block2 Minute Chowrangi 1 0 40 3Golimar Chowrangi 1 0 38 1
Jinnah Bridge 0 3 12 29Kala Pul Korangi Road 0 0 39 5
Numaish Ma Jinnah Road 1 0 107 38Tibet Centre Ma Jinnah
Road2 0 31 14
6. Time Of Accident:
Location Of Accidents Fatal Serious
Dusk Day Light Dawn
Dark Dusk Day Light Dawn
Dark
2 Minute Chowrangi 0 1 0 0 13 15 2 13Golimar Chowrangi 0 1 0 0 6 18 4 15
Jinnah Bridge 0 2 1 0 8 15 3 15Kala Pul Korangi Road 0 0 0 0 11 24 2 6
Numaish Ma Jinnah Road 0 0 0 1 23 77 10 33Tibet Centre Ma Jinnah
Road0 1 0 1 6 23 0 15
TOTAL NUMBER OF ACCIDENTS OF YEAR 2010
7. Age Group:
Location Of Accidents
Fatal Serious
Age Group Age Group
0-10
11-20
21-30
31-40
41-50
>50 0-10
11-20
21-30
31-40
41-50
>50
NumaishChowrangi 0 0 1 0 0 0 11 20 42 25 9 9
At Nazimabad 7 Signal
0 0 0 0 0 0 4 7 26 24 7 13
Nursery 0 0 2 0 0 0 3 26 47 30 18 17
Jinnah Bridge 0 0 1 2 0 0 3 7 21 9 8 2
Akhtar Colony 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 3 6 1 2 1
8. Gender:
9. Patient:
Location Of Accidents
Fatal
Patient WasDriver Of 2wheelers
Pillion Passenger
Driver Of 4wheelers
Passenger Pedestrian
NumaishChowrangi 01 0 0 0 0
At Nazimabad 7 Signal
0 0 0 0 0
Nursery 0 0 0 0 3
Location Of Accidents Fatal SeriousGender Gender
Male
Female Male Female
NumaishChowrangi 1 0 110 24At Nazimabad 7
Signal0 0 57 19
Nursery 2 0 129 12Jinnah Bridge 3 0 43 7Akhtar Colony 1 0 14 4
Jinnah Bridge 3 0 0 0 0
Akhtar Colony 0 0 0 0 1
Location Of Accidents
Serious
Patient WasDriver Of 2wheelers
Pillion Passenger
Driver Of 4wheelers
Passenger Pedestrian
NumaishChowrangi 61 15 02 17 36At Nazimabad 7
Signal41 16 1 6 11
Nursery 69 13 3 15 38
Jinnah Bridge 23 8 1 13 4
Akhtar Colony 11 4 0 0 3
10. Vehicle involved
Location Of Accidents Fatal
Vehicle InvolvedMotorbik
eMini Van Bus Truck Bicycle Car Taxi Rickshaw Other
NumaishChowrangi 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
At Nazimabad 7 Signal
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Nursery 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Jinnah Bridge 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Akhtar Colony 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Location Of Accidents Serious
Vehicle InvolvedMotorbik
eMini Van Bus Truck Bicycle Car Taxi Rickshaw Other
NumaishChowrangi 97 2 4 0 0 0 13 0 15At Nazimabad 7
Signal66 1 5 0 0 0 1 0 3
Nursery 96 3 3 0 1 2 20 0 11
Jinnah Bridge 36 3 1 3 0 2 0 0 5
Akhtar Colony 16 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
5. Location detail:
Location Of Accidents Location Detail
Fatal Serious
Intersection Mid Block Intersection
Mid Block
NumaishChowrangi 1 0 106 27At Nazimabad 7
Signal0 0 51 21
Nursery 2 1 101 39Jinnah Bridge 0 3 1 49Akhtar Colony 1 0 17 1
6. Time of accident:
Location Of Accidents Fatal SeriousDus
kDay Light Dawn Dark Dusk Day Light Dawn Dark
NumaishChowrangi 0 1 0 0 18 74 7 33At Nazimabad 7
Signal0 0 0 0 18 52 0 6
Nursery 0 1 1 0 14 81 9 31Jinnah Bridge 1 1 0 1 5 34 1 10
Akhtar Colony 1 0 0 0 2 5 4 7
TOTAL NUMBER OF ACCIDENTS OF YEAR 2011
11. Age Group:
12. Gender:
13. Patient:
Location Of Accidents Fatal
Patient WasDriver Of 2wheeler
Pillion Passenger
Driver Of 4wheelers
Passenger Pedestrian
Location Of Accidents Fatal SeriousAge Group Age Group
0-10
11-20
21-30
31-40
41-50
>50 0-10
11-20
21-30
31-40
41-50
>50
NumaishChowrangi 0 0 1 1 0 0 18 79 213 82 38 27
Under Baloch Colony Fly Over
0 0 2 0 1 0 5 20 38 23 17 18
Akhtar Colony Signal 0 0 3 1 1 2 7 32 36 17 7 7
Singer Chowrangi 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 6 11 8 3 2
Jinnah Bridge 1 1 3 0 0 3 3 11 16 6 0 0
ChamraChowrangi 0 1 3 2 0 2 3 27 41 25 16 8
GurumandarChowrangi 0 1 0 0 0 1 3 8 13 17 3 5
Location Of Accidents Fatal SeriousGender Gender
Male Female Male FemaleNumaishChowrangi 2 0 478 56
Under Baloch Colony Fly Over 2 0 90 26
Akhtar Colony 6 1 89 17Singer Chowrangi 1 0 27 4
Jinnah Bridge 6 3 31 5ChamrahChowrangi 8 0 106 14
GurumandarChowrangi 2 0 46 3
sNumaishChowrangi 1 0 0 0 5
Under Baloch Colony Fly Over
0 0 0 0 2
Akhtar Colony Signal 2 0 0 0 5
Singer Chowrangi 0 0 0 0 1Jinnah Bridge 4 3 0 0 2
ChamraChowrangi 5 2 0 0 1
GurumandarChowrangi 0 1 0 0 1
Location Of Accidents SeriousPatient Was
Driver Of 2wheeler
s
Pillion Passenger
Driver Of 4wheelers
Passenger Pedestrian
NumaishChowrangi 304 112 2 27 69
Under Baloch Colony Fly Over 47 16 1 5 43
Akhtar Colony Signal 45 27 1 8 21
Singer Chowrangi 17 3 1 2 7Jinnah Bridge 23 8 0 1 2
ChamraChowrangi 48 17 2 9 41GurumandarChowrangi 32 7 0 0 10
14. Vehicle involved:
Location Of Accidents Fatal
Vehicle InvolvedMotorbik Mini Bus Truck Bicycle Car Taxi Rickshaw Other
e VanNumaishChowrangi 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Under Baloch Colony Fly Over
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2
Akhtar Colony Signal 3 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 1
Singer Chowrangi 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0ChamraChowrangi 7 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
GurumandarChowrangi 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0Jinnah Bridge 8 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Location Of Accidents Serious
Vehicle InvolvedMotorbike Mini Van Bus Truck Bicycle Car Taxi Rickshaw Other
NumaishChowrangi 459 6 9 5 4 1 9 0 37Under Baloch Colony Fly Over 90 1 1 0 0 0 17 0 5
Akhtar Colony Signal 82 1 3 0 0 0 6 0 13
Singer Chowrangi 25 1 4 0 0 0 0 0 1ChamraChowrangi 93 0 8 5 0 1 10 0 1
GurumandarChowrangi 43 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 4
Jinnah Bridge 34 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1
5. Location detail:
Location Of Accidents Location Detail
Fatal Serious
Intersection Mid Block Intersection Mid Block
NumaishChowrangi 2 0 392 139
Under Baloch Colony Fly Over 0 2 9 104
Akhtar Colony Signal 5 2 99 7
Singer Chowrangi 1 0 31 0Jinnah Bridge 1 6 1 18
ChamraChowrangi 1 5 97 23GurumandarChowrangi 2 0 43 7
6. Time of accident:
Location Of Accidents Fatal Serious
Dusk Day Light
Dawn Dark Dusk Day Light
Dawn Dark
NumaishChowrangi 0 1 0 1 85 292 20 133
Under Baloch Colony Fly Over
1 0 1 0 19 54 11 32
Akhtar Colony Signal 1 3 0 3 20 42 8 32
Singer Chowrangi 1 0 0 0 6 16 1 8
Jinnah Bridge 2 1 2 2 5 13 1 16
ChamrahChowrangi 2 2 3 0 38 61 13 12
GurumandarChowrangi 0 1 0 1 0 20 2 27
APPENDIX C
Survey Form
Road Number: __ Location: _______________ Date: ___________ Time:______
1. Number Of Lane: _______________2. Road Width: _______________3. Median Height: _______________4. Median Width: _______________5. No. Of Turning: _______________6. Road Type: _______________ 7. Speed: _______________ 8. Sight Obstruction: _______________ 9. Sign Available: _______________ 10. Encroachment: _______________ 11. Parking On Road: _______________ 12. Ditches: _______________13. Conflicting Points: _______________14. Wrong Way: _______________15. Pedestrian Movement: _______________16. Speed Breaker: _______________17. Approach Road:-
Coming From: _______________Going To: _______________18. Lane:-
Merging Lane: _______________ Diverging Lane: _______________
19. Traffic Mix:-
Car Bus Truck Bike Rickshaw Animal Cart
20. Lane Discipline:-
Car Bus Truck Bike Rickshaw
APPENDIX D
Locations No. of
Lane
Average Speed
(km/hr.)
Median Height
(in)
No. of Conflicting
Points
No. of Turnings
No. of Local
Streets1 Jinnah Bridge 2 32 6" 32 1 42 Tibet center 3 21 6" 32 0 153 Siemens Chowrangi 3 23 12" 21 6 14 Singer Chowrangi 3 28 12" 32 8 95 Akhter colony 3 32 6" 2 0 96 Nazimabad no.7 3 33 12" 4 6 117 Jama Cloth 4 24 15" 11 9 128 NaganChowrangi 4 27 10" 3 1 159 NumaishChowrangi 4 28 10" 6 1 11
10 Gurumandir 4 33 12" 4 2 1111 ChamraChowrangi 4 34 9" 32 1 712 2 min Chowrangi 4 38 9" 5 2 13
13Under baloch
flyover 4 42 12" 4 2 9
14 Nursery 4 44 12" 4 2 7
APPENDIX E
Location Road no.
Road width(ft.-in)
Median width(ft.-in)
Ditches Speed breaker
Road coming
from
Road going to
2 minute chowrangi 1 12'-2" 17'-1" No Yes Surjani road Power
house chowrangi
Akhtar colony 1 36' 3' 9" No No Defence phase ii
Baloch colony
Café al-noor 3 48' No median
No No Tower Urdu bazar intersection
Chamra chowrangi 1 43' 38'-3" No No Kpt interchange
Vita chowrangi
Grumandir 1 48' 4' No No Numaish Jail roadJinnah bridge(Lower
ramp)1 12' 6" No No Manipur Jackson
police chokie
Jinnah bridge(Upper ramp)
2 12' 6" No No Manipur Jackson police chokie
Nagan chowrangi (downstream)
1 70' 39' No No U.p mor Buffer zone
Nagan chowrangi (upstream)
2 60' 39' No No U.p mor Buffer zone
Nazimabad signal no.7 1 40' - No No Liaqutabad Habib bank chowrangi
Numaish chowrangi 1 48' 3'-5" No No Gurumandir
Tibet centre
Nursery (upstream) 1 35' 22' No No Baloch colony
Regent plaza
Nursery(downstream) 2 43' 5'-11" Yes No Regent plaza
Baloch colony
Siemens chowrangi 1 12'-2" - Yes No Nazimabad Site areaSinger chowrangi 1 40' 47' No No Shaam
chowrangiKorangi #5
Tibet centre 1 48' 2' Yes No Numaish Jama clothUnder baloch fly over
(downstream)2 12' - No No Nursery Drig road
Under baloch fly over (upstream)
1 12' - No No Drig road Nursery
Urdu bazar intersection (upstream)
1 48' 3' No No Numaish Tower
Urdu bazar intersection (down
stream)
2 36' 3' No No Jama cloth Numaish
Location Road type Sign available
Encroachment Parking on roads
Traffic mix
2 minute chowrangi 2 way Yes Yes Yes AllAkhtar colony 2way No No Yes YesCafé al-noor 1 way No Illegal parking Yes All
Chamra chowrangi 2 way No Yes Yes Heavy vehicle traffic
Grumandir 2 way No No Yes AllJinnah bridge(Lower
ramp)1 way Yes No No All except
animal cart
Jinnah bridge(Upper ramp)
2 way Yes No No All heavy vehicle traffic
Nagan chowrangi (downstream)
2 way Yes Yes Yes All
Nagan chowrangi (upstream)
2 way Yes Yes Yes All
Nazimabad signal no.7
2 way Yes Yes Yes All
Numaish chowrangi 2 way No No No AllNursery (upstream) 2 way No No Yes All except
animal cart
Nursery(downstream) 2 way Yes No Yes pedestrian
All except animal
cartSiemens chowrangi 2 way No No No AllSinger chowrangi 2way No Yes Yes All
Tibet centre 2 way No No No AllUnder baloch fly over
(downstream)2 way Yes No No All except
animal cart
Under baloch fly over (upstream)
2 way No No Yes All
Urdu bazar intersection (upstream)
1 way Crossing sign
Yes Yes All
Urdu bazar intersection (down
2way No Yes Yes All
stream)
1. Number of lane:
APPENDIX F
Location Wrong way
Pedestrian movement
Merging lane
Diverging lane
Lane discipline
2 minute chowrangi Yes Yes No No NoAkhtar colony All Yes Yes No NoCafé al-noor Yes Yes Yes Yes No
Chamra chowrangi Yes Yes Yes Yes NoGrumandir No No Yes Yes No
Jinnah bridge(Lower ramp)
Yes Yes Yes Yes No
Jinnah bridge(Upper ramp)
Yes No No Yes No
Nagan chowrangi (downstream)
Yes Yes No Yes No
Nagan chowrangi (upstream)
Yes Yes Yes Yes No
Nazimabad signal no.7 Yes Yes Yes Yes NoNumaish chowrangi N o Yes Yes Yes NoNursery (upstream) Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes
Nursery(downstream) Yes Yes Yes Yes YesSiemens chowrangi No Yes Yes Yes NoSinger chowrangi No No Yes Yes Yes
Tibet centre No Yes Yes No NoUnder baloch fly over
(downstream)No Yes Yes Yes Yes
Under baloch fly over (upstream)
No Yes No No No
Urdu bazar intersection (upstream)
Yes Yes No No No
Urdu bazar intersection (down stream)
Yes No(bridge) Yes Yes No
Hypothesis 1
Lanes Observed Frequency
Expected Frequency
Critical Value
Calculated Value
2 31.5 62.2745.99 60.5113 43.4 62.274
4 111.923 62.274
Observed FrequencyLanes Time Of Accidents
Dawn Day Light Dusk Dark Total
2 0.75 1.5 0.75 1 43 0 1 0.4 1.1 2.54 0.625 0.645 0.4375 0.208 1.9155
Total 1.375 3.145 1.5875 2.308 8.4155
Expected FrequencyTime Of Accidents
Dawn Day Light Dusk Dark Total
0.65356 1.49486 0.75456 1.09702 40.40847 0.93429 0.4716 0.68564 2.50.31297 0.71585 0.36134 0.52534 1.91550.96653 3.145 1.5875 2.308 8.4155
Critical Value 12.59Calculated Value 1.22308
Hypothesis 2
N.F DaylightLanes Observed
FrequencyExpected
FrequencyCritical Value
Calculated Value
2 1.5 1.048335.99 0.3523 1 1.04833
4 0.645 1.04833Hypothesis 3N.F Driver of 2 Wheeler Accidents
Lanes
Observed Frequency Expected Frequency
Critical Value
Calculated Value
2 21.75 33.85316.6372 16.637173 26.8 33.853
4 53.01 33.853
Hypothesis 4N.F Motor BikeAccidents
Lanes Observed Frequency
Expected Frequency
Critical Value Calculated Value
2 32.75 51.483327.932 27.932393 39.5 51.4833
4 82.2 51.4833
2. Number of Conflicting points
Hypothesis 6N.F Driver Of 2 WheelerAccidents
Conflicting Points Observed Frequenc
y
Expected Frequenc
y
Critical Value
Calculated Value
1 To 10 49.85 36.945
7.82 8.86115311 To 20 41 36.94521 To 30 29 36.94531 To 40 27.93 36.945
Hypothesis 5N.F Accidents At Intersection
Lanes Observed Frequency
Expected Frequency
Critical Value Calculated Value
2 6 39.226666675.99 51.154293 42.6 39.22666667
4 69.08 39.22666667
3. Average Speed
Hypothesis 9F Day LightAccidents
Average Speed
Observed Frequency
Expected Frequency
Critical Value Calculated Value
Below 30 0.611111 0.8055555 3.84 0.09387Above 30 1 0.8055555
Hypothesis 7F Driver Of 2 Wheeler Accidents
Average Speed
Observed Frequency
Expected Frequency
Critical Value Calculated Value
Below 30 0.5 0.8125 3.84 0.24038Above 30 1.125 0.8125N.F Driver Of 2 WheelerAccidents
Average Speed
Observed Frequency
Expected Frequency
Critical Value
Calculated Value
Below 30 47.05556 42.168405 3.84 1.1328Above 30 37.28125 42.168405
Hypothesis 8F Motor BikeAccidents
Average Speed
Observed Frequency
Expected Frequency
Critical Value Calculated Value
Below 30 0.444444 1.159722 3.84 0.88232Above
301.875 1.159722
Hypothesis 10N.F Dawn Accidents
Average Speed
Observed Frequency
Expected Frequency
Critical Value Calculated Value
Below 30 4.222222 5.032986 3.84 0.261212Above 30 5.84375 5.032986
4. Local streets
Hypothesis 11Pillion PassengerAccidents
Local Streets
Observed Frequency
Expected Frequency
Critical Value Calculated Value
1 To 5 7.25 12.741666675.99 3.5523546 To 10 15.375 12.74166667
11 To 15 15.6 12.74166667
Motor BikeAccidentsLocal
StreetsObserved Frequency
Expected Frequency
Critical Value Calculated Value
1 To 5 68 85.666666675.99 33.252926 To 10 60 85.66666667
11 To 15 129 85.66666667
Hypothesis 12Wrong WayAccidents
Local Streets
Observed Frequency
Expected Frequency
Critical Value Calculated Value
1 To 5 2.3 4.47 5.99 2.6620586 To 10 4 4.47
11 To 15 7.11 4.47
5. No. of turning
Hypothesis 13F Accidents
Turning Observed Frequency Expected Frequency
Critical Value Calculated Value
1 To 5 30.27798 24.01399 3.84 3.2678936 To 10 17.75 24.01399
N.F AccidentsTurning Observed Frequency Expected
FrequencyCritical Value Calculated
Value1 To 5 0.757738 0.472619 3.84 0.34401
6 To 10 0.1875 0.472619
1. Median height
Hypothesis 15Average Accidents
Median Height Observed Frequency
Expected Frequency
Critical Value Calculated Value
6" 3.833333333 8.583333333
9.487 20.9559" 3.75 8.583333333
10" 6.6875 8.58333333312" 8.645833333 8.583333333
Hypothesis 14F Accidents At Intersection
Turning Observed Frequency Expected Frequency
Critical Value Calculated Value
1 To 5 1.183333333 1.341666667 3.84 0.037376 To 10 1.5 1.341666667
15" 20 8.583333333
Hypothesis 16N.F Motorbike Accidents
Median Height
Observed Frequency
Expected Frequency
Critical Value
Calculated Value
6" 9.25 28.48333
9.488 73.853339" 10.5 28.48333
10" 29.5 28.4833312" 27.16667 28.4833315" 66 28.48333
F Motorbike AccidentsMedian Height
Observed Frequency
Expected Frequency
Critical Value
Calculated Value
6" 1 1.1666675.991 2.7149" 2.5 1.166667
12" 0 1.166667
Hypothesis 17N.F Driver Of 2wheelers Accidents
Median Height Observed Frequency
Expected Frequency
Critical Value Calculated Value
6" 5.583333333 15.4
9.488 38.789" 3.25 15.4
10" 18 15.412" 16.16666667 15.415" 34 15.4
N.F Pillion Passenger AccidentsMedian Height Observed
FrequencyExpected
FrequencyCritical Value Calculated
Value6" 2.583333333 6.033333333
9.488 20.1169" 0.75 6.033333333
10" 6.666666667 6.03333333312" 5.166666667 6.03333333315" 15 6.033333333
N.F Driver Of 4wheelers AccidentsMedian Height Observed
FrequencyExpected
FrequencyCritical Value Calculated
Value6" 0.166666667 0.516666667
9.488 0.92479" 0.75 0.516666667
10" 0.333333333 0.51666666712" 0.333333333 0.51666666715" 1 0.516666667
N.F Passenger AccidentsMedian Height Observed
FrequencyExpected
FrequencyCritical Value Calculated
Value6" 0.75 2.316666667
9.488 7.80829" 1 2.316666667
10" 2 2.31666666712" 1.833333333 2.31666666715" 6 2.316666667
N.F Pedestrian AccidentsMedian Height Observed
FrequencyExpected
FrequencyCritical Value Calculated
Value6" 2.166666667 10.3
9.488 26.3119" 6.75 10.3
10" 8.166666667 10.312" 10.41666667 10.315" 24 10.3
Hypothesis 19N.F Bicycle Accidents
Median Height Observed Frequency
Expected Frequency
Critical Value Calculated Value
6" 0 0.1
9.488 0.88889" 0 0.1
10" 0.166666667 0.112" 0.333333333 0.115" 0 0.1
N.F Bus AccidentsMedian Height Observed
FrequencyExpected
FrequencyCritical Value Calculated
Value6" 0.5 2.2666666679" 0.5 2.266666667
Hypothesis 18N.F Accidents At Mid Block
Median Height Observed Frequency
Expected Frequency
Critical Value Calculated Value
6" 11.25 34.56666667
9.48773 89.539" 12.5 34.56666667
10" 34.83333333 34.5666666712" 34.25 34.5666666715" 80 34.56666667
F Accidents At Mid BlockMedian Height Observed
FrequencyExpected
FrequencyCritical Value Calculated
Value6" 1.25 0.816666667
9.48773 5.6189" 2.5 0.816666667
10" 0 0.81666666712" 0.333333333 0.81666666715" 0 0.816666667
9.488 25.014710" 0.666666667 2.26666666712" 0.666666667 2.26666666715" 9 2.266666667
N.F Car AccidentsMedian Height Observed
FrequencyExpected
FrequencyCritical Value Calculated
Value6" 0.166666667 0.066666667
9.488 0.59" 0 0.066666667
10" 0 0.06666666712" 0.166666667 0.06666666715" 0 0.066666667
N.F Mini Van AccidentsMedian Height Observed
FrequencyExpected
FrequencyCritical Value Calculated
Value6" 0.083333333 0.35
9.488 1.28579" 0.5 0.35
10" 0.833333333 0.3512" 0.333333333 0.3515" 0 0.35
N.F Motorbike AccidentsMedian Height Observed
FrequencyExpected
FrequencyCritical Value Calculated
Value6" 9.25 28.48333333
9.488 73.859" 10.5 28.48333333
10" 29.5 28.4833333312" 27.16666667 28.4833333315" 66 28.48333333
N.F Other AccidentsMedian Height Observed
FrequencyExpected
FrequencyCritical Value Calculated
Value6" 0.833333333 1.45
9.488 1.85449" 0.5 1.45
10" 2.5 1.4512" 1.416666667 1.4515" 2 1.45
N.F Taxi Accidents
Median Height Observed Frequency
Expected Frequency
Critical Value Calculated Value
6" 0.416666667 1.516666667
9.488 4.380959" 0.5 1.516666667
10" 0.833333333 1.51666666712" 2.833333333 1.51666666715" 3 1.516666667
N.F Truck AccidentsMedian Height Observed
FrequencyExpected
FrequencyCritical Value Calculated
Value6" 0 0.033333333
9.488 0.6669" 0 0.033333333
10" 0.166666667 0.03333333312" 0 0.03333333315" 0 0.033333333
Hypothesis 20N.F Dark
Median Height Observed Frequency
Expected Frequency
Critical Value Calculated Value
6" 3.833333333 8.683333333
9.488 27.633349" 0.75 8.683333333
10" 8 8.68333333312" 9.833333333 8.68333333315" 21 8.683333333
N.F DawnMedian Height Observed
FrequencyExpected
FrequencyCritical Value Calculated
Value6" 0.666666667 1.833333333
9.488 3.87889" 2 1.833333333
10" 0.833333333 1.83333333312" 1.666666667 1.83333333315" 4 1.833333333
N.F Day LightMedian Height Observed
FrequencyExpected
FrequencyCritical Value Calculated
Value
6" 4.333333333 17.53333333
9.488 54.33039" 4.25 17.53333333
10" 19.33333333 17.5333333312" 17.75 17.5333333315" 42 17.53333333
N.F DuskMedian Height Observed
FrequencyExpected
FrequencyCritical Value Calculated
Value6" 2.416666667 6.4833333339" 5.5 6.483333333
10" 6.5 6.48333333312" 5 6.48333333315" 13 6.483333333