ieej:august 2015 energy policy of lao pdr 2015 · mr. phaysone phouthonesy technical officer...
TRANSCRIPT
Mr. Phaysone Phouthonesy Technical officer Department of Energy Policy and Planning Ministry of Energy and Mines, Lao PDR www.laoenergy.la Email: [email protected]
Energy Policy Training Program (B)
NO. J1504286/ID.1584585 Course Period in Japan :
From June 21 2015 to July 11, 2015
Energy Policy of Lao PDR 2015
IEEJ:August 2015
Content 1) Country Background 2) Current energy policy and measures 3) Energy demand and supply 4) Outlook of energy demand and supply 5) Major difficulties and bottlenecks currently faced in formulating energy policies 6) Subjects would like to study in the order of priority and the reason
Country Background
Area of 236,800 sq km 26 people /square kilometer; Mountainous area with major
Tributaries of the Mekong River Covering 35% of total Mekong
River basin. Population 2014
Female: 3,389 Millions Total: 7,771 Millions
Total share of GDP GDP/per Capital: 1,628 US$ Growth Rate GDP: 8.0%
Total Share of GDP Agricultural: 23.5% Industry: 33.2% Services: 37.4% Total: 94.1%
Consumer Price Index 2014-2015 Jan: 2.04% Dec: 2.40%
Inflation Rate 2014-2015 Jan: 122.87 Dec: 123.18
Country Background • National Goal to graduate from a least-
development Country status by 2020 • Energy sector is one of important driving forces
to social and economic growth • Upgraded and revised the policy on sustainable
hydro development to ensure that hydropower development is truly sustainable in the longer term and effective mitigation of negative impacts on the local environment and affected population, including protection of the watershed
Current energy policy and measures
Maintain and expand affordable, reliable and sustainable electricity supply to promote economic and social development. Electrification Ratio to exceed 90% by 2020;
Improve and expand transmission networks to support the industrialization and modernization policy, and to integrate the power sector in the ASEAN community through its power exchange programs;
Tap the country’s large hydropower potentials with the participation of private developers;
Promotion of Renewable Energy to reach 30% by 2025 with reasonable feed-in tariff.
Current energy policy and measures
Government has been approval Promulgation of the “Policy on Sustainable Hydropower Development in Lao PDR”. Ministry of Energy and Mines has been
approval guideline Policy on Sustainable Hydropower Development in Lao PDR. Daft Decree on Electrical Tariff Structure
for Support to Agriculture and Industry Growth
Current energy policy and measures Daft Decree on Small Hydropower
Development for implement to guide monitoring in feasibility study of hydropower Development Power Industry Supply Development NPDP • Increase a share of bio-fuel consumption in
Transport Sector up to 30% by 2020; • Establish a National Policy of Renewable
Strategic Policy; • Establish a National Strategic Plan for Bio- fuel
development.
Energy demand and supply 2014
1257.7 Ktoe
82.8 , 3%
160.0 , 6%
1,506.3 , 59%
822.39 , 32%
3.9 , 0%
Energy Supply 2014
Coal
Electricity
Biomass
Petroleum
LPG
4.8 , 0%
317.32 , 13%
1,367.14 , 54%
816.72 , 33%
3.9 , 0%
Energy Demand 2014
Coal
Electricity
Biomass
Petroleum
LPG
Energy demand and supply
8%
31%
12%
48%
1%
Final Energy Consumption 2014
Industry
Transportation
Commercial
Residential
Agriculture
786.2 Ktoe
307.9 Ktoe
1189.7 Ktoe
2% 0% 5%
67%
26%
Industry Final Energy Consumption 2014
Coal
LPG
Fuel Oil
Electricity
Fuel wood
94 Ktoe 0.6 Ktoe 4.8 Ktoe
52.6 Ktoe
134.5 Ktoe
26%
69%
5%
Transportation Final Energy Consumption 2014
Gasoline
Diesel
Jet Fuel
202.4 Ktoe
40.3 Ktoe
202.4 Ktoe
1% 18%
58%
23%
Commercial Final Energy Consumption 2014
LPG
Electricity
FuelWood
Charcoal
178.9 Ktoe
57.3 Ktoe
2.0 Ktoe
69.7 Ktoe
Energy demand and supply
1.3 Ktoe , 0% 122.5 Ktoe ,
10%
999.7 Ktoe , 84%
66.2 Ktoe , 6%
Residential Final Energy Consumption 2014
LPG
Electricity
FuelWood
Charcoal
21.2 Ktoe , 87%
3.1 Ktoe , 13%
Agriculture Final Energy Consumption 2014
Diesel
Electricity
Outlook of energy demand and supply
The most important aspect of the energy outlook of Lao PDR is that the country is net exporter of electricity generation from hydropower using abundant water resource from the Mekong River and tributaries. It is also said that the country has extensive coal resource, which expected to cover almost all domestic demand for coal with the exception of some coal deposits, has not been conducted. On the other hand, it has few petroleum resource, so all petroleum products are imported.
Outlook of energy demand and supply Hydropower Projects is Operating in 2014 - 29 Projects - Capacity: 3200 MW - Install Capacity Generation : 15,270 Gwh
15,270 , 43%
4,456.1 , 13% 1,214.91 , 3%
14,624.97 , 41%
Electricity 2014, GWh
Supply
Consumption
Imports
Exports 9.278 , 0% 204.00 , 5%
13.00 , 0%
540.0 , 12%
1,564.0 , 35%
666.21, 15%
1,424.0 , 32%
35.6 , 1%
Electricity Consumption 2014, Gwh
Entertianment
Gov. office
International organization
Edu.and sport business
Industry
Commercial
Residential
Agriculture
Outlook of energy demand and supply Import Petroleum 100% from Thailand 70% and Vietnam 30%
212,949,578, 22%
688,907,148, 72%
47,866,066, 5%
10,067,350, 1% 2,004,046, 0%
3,510, 0%
Petroleum Import 2014, Liters
Motor gasoline
Diesel
Gasoline by Jet Fuel
Bunker Oil
Lubricant
LPG
817,352,813, 96%
10,067,862, 1% 24,213,568, 3%
Petroleum Consumption by Sector 2014
1.Transportation
2.Commercial
3.Industry
Outlook of energy demand and supply Coal: 2014, Most of all Coal using for industry sector, Especially use in cement factory
438,250 , 66%
54,462 , 8%
168,553 , 26%
Coal 2014, Ktoe
Production
Export (Anthracite)
Consumption
157,780 , 94%
10,773 , 6%
Coal Consumption by Industry 2014, Ktoe
(Lignite)
Anthracite
Major difficulties and bottlenecks currently faced in formulating energy policies
• No integrated national energy policy and no clear on
existing vision to cover all energy sub-sector • Certain energy policy mainly focuses on electricity • Manpower with the sufficient and strong knowledge of
know-how, experiences and skill strategic planning is still limited.
• Responsibilities among related agencies are not clearly descried and coordinated.
• We problem with summary energy data
Subjects would like to study in the order of priority and the reason
How to the formulation of future activities forenergy policy making How to formulate an action plan describing How to prepare energy data base for energy
demand forecast How to Using Simple E What is good tool for energy policy making
Contact : [email protected]